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WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU President

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

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Page 1: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16

Wednesday June 18, 2014

The role of LNG in an unconventional world

Jérôme Ferrier

IGU President

Page 2: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Natural gas worldwide demand growth 2005-2020

2

Source: IEA, BP

2 WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow

Page 3: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Gas demand growth to 2025 mainly driven by Asia

3

Source: BG Group

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 3

Page 4: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Chinese Gas Demand (IEA Scenario)

4 Source: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 4

Page 5: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Asian LNG Demand (Japan, Korea, Taiwan, India, China)

5 Source: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 5

Page 6: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

LNG Supply (Excluding North America)

6 Source: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 6

Page 7: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Assessed shale oil and shale gas basins in the world

7 Source: IEA, Advanced Resources International

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 7

Page 8: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Top 10 countries with technically recoverable

shale gas resources

8 Source: EIA, ARI June 2013 WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 8

Page 9: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Global unconventional gas production 2010-2040

9 Source: IEA

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 9

Page 10: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Ten largest unconventional gas producers in 2035

10 Source: IEA

10

Page 11: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Unconventional gas production forecast in China

11

Source: IEA

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 11

Page 12: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Impact of shale gas on international gas trade to 2035

12 Source: IEA

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 12

Page 13: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Natural gas prices in Asia, Europe and the USA

13 WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 13

Page 14: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

US natural gas production by source 1990 to 2040

14 Source: IEA

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 14

Page 15: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

North American LNG Imports and Exports to 2025

15 Source: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16, 18 June 2014, Moscow 15

Page 16: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Location of coal seam gas in Australia

16

Source: ACOLA 16

Page 17: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Australian gas production forecast to 2035

Source: EIA 17

Page 18: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Asian Future LNG pricing trends to 2025

18

Source: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

18

Page 19: WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 WPC Moscow.pdf · WPC-IGU Gas Forum Special Session 16 Wednesday June 18, 2014 The role of LNG in an unconventional world Jérôme Ferrier IGU

Conferencia mundial del gas 2015