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World Petroleum Council. The Problem of Climate Change and Carbon Storage as a Solution Energy Solutions Conference – Houston 2008 . Dr Pierce Riemer – Director General . The Risk / Insurance. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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World Petroleum CouncilWorld Petroleum Council
Dr Pierce Riemer – Director General Dr Pierce Riemer – Director General
The Problem of Climate Change and Carbon Storage as a SolutionThe Problem of Climate Change and Carbon Storage as a Solution
Energy Solutions Conference – Houston 2008 Energy Solutions Conference – Houston 2008
The Risk / InsuranceThe Risk / Insurance
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
1990 The unequivocal detection of the enhanced greenhouse effect from observations is unlikely for a decade or more.1995… the balance of evidence … suggests a discernable human influence on global climate.
2001 There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
2007 Warming of the climate system is unequivocal. It is very likely that anthropogenic greenhouse gas increases caused most of the observed increase.
The Risk / InsuranceThe Risk / Insurance
>95% Chance
The Western View of the WorldThe Western View of the World
1960 population – 3 Billion1960 population – 3 Billion
2050 population - 9 Billion2050 population - 9 Billion
India
China
Energy Use – What do we do today?Energy Use – What do we do today?
Oil
87m bblsEverything
244m bbls
The Price of OilThe Price of Oil
1999 2008
Six Hard TruthsSix Hard Truths
Over the next 50 years
World energy use will increase Population will increase >70% of our primary energy will be provided by fossil
fuels Easy oil is gone There will be increased coal consumption There will be increased emissions
The Kaya EquationThe Kaya Equation
CO2 emissions = Carbon content of the energy X Energy intensity
of economy X Production per person X Population
In English In English
The Greenhouse Gas MapThe Greenhouse Gas Map
Two Solutions – Reduce DemandTwo Solutions – Reduce Demand
Use less energy
Low energy applications
Mass transitEfficient buildings
Two Solutions – Reduce EmissionsTwo Solutions – Reduce Emissions
Switch Fuels
Natural gas
Renewable
Bio fuels
Nuclear
Carbon capture and storage
Use existing fossil fuel infrastructure in a cleaner way
Over the next 50 YearsOver the next 50 Years
Energy efficiencyNuclear - security and diversity Develop a sustainable low CO2 alternative
Develop talentCarbon capture and storage (CCS)CCS has the greatest potential
The potential role of CCS to 2100 – an exampleThe potential role of CCS to 2100 – an example
Source: IPCC SRCCS, 2005
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2005 2020 2035 2050 2065 2080 2095
Emis
sion
s (M
tCO
2pe
r yea
r)
Conservation and Energy EfficiencyRenewable Energy
Nuclear
Coal to Gas SubstitutionCCS
Allowable Emissions for WRE 550
Emissions to the atmosphere
MiniCAM
Overview of COOverview of CO2 2 capture systemscapture systems
Storing COStoring CO2 2 in underground geological formationsin underground geological formations
The US COThe US CO22-for-enhanced-Oil-Recovery network-for-enhanced-Oil-Recovery network
The Sleipner offshore COThe Sleipner offshore CO22-injection project-injection project
This CCS, 1 million tons/yr CO2-injection project has now been operating successfully for 12 years. CO2 extracted from natural gas
It has played a role in starting off many R&D projects on storage safety and related topics
It has inspired later CCS-projects as well as helped progress the necessary conditions for further expansion (e.g. London Convention, EU ETS)
The Sleipner The Sleipner COCO22-injection and R&D-injection and R&D
Left: Seismic from 1994 (before injection start) to 2006.
Right: Modelling results for dissolution of CO2 in the formation brine
The Weyburn-Midale projectThe Weyburn-Midale project
The world’s first trans-border pipeline crossing from USA to Canada The illustration to the right shows how CO2 and water are injected
alternating (WAG) in order to get more oil out of this reservoir Simultaneous CO2-for EOR and CO2-storage for climate change reasons
EnCana injecting 7000 tonnes/day (Weyburn) and Apache injecting 1800 tonnes/day (Midale), for a total of about 3 million tons/yr
ReginaRegina
EstevanEstevan
BismarckBismarck
North DakotaNorth DakotaMontanaMontana
ManitobaManitoba
CanadaCanada
USAUSA
WeyburnWeyburn
BeulahBeulah
SaskatchewanSaskatchewan
The In Salah COThe In Salah CO22 injection in the Algerian desert injection in the Algerian desert
Location map Picture of the gas processing plant Schematic illustration of CO2-injection in 3 wells Injection of about 1 million tons of CO2 per year, the CO2
extracted from natural gas
COCO22 Capture Ready Plant Capture Ready Plant
Proposed ‘capture ready’ power plant at Tilbury Courtesy RWE Npower
‘Capture Ready’
area(Site of existing
power plant)
Low hanging fruit - Capture Low hanging fruit - Capture
Low hanging fruit - transport and storage Low hanging fruit - transport and storage
The Electric Future?The Electric Future?
World Petroleum CouncilWorld Petroleum Council
Thank you for
Listening