Workforce Continuing Education FTE and Enrollment Trends Annual Years – 2012, 2013, 2014 DRAFT REPORT For more information, contact: Barbara Boyce @ [email protected]

WorkforceContinuing Education

FTE and Enrollment TrendsAnnual Years – 2012, 2013, 2014

DRAFT REPORTFor more information, contact:

Barbara Boyce @ [email protected] or 919-807-7158

Margaret Roberton @ [email protected] or 919-807-7159

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

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Workforce Continuing Education

FTE and Enrollment Trends

Table of Contents

Trend by Budget Codes

Trends by Program Area Codes

Trends by Course Titles

College Reports

Tier Funding

Data References

The data found in this document comes from custom statistical reports exported from the NCCCS Data Warehouse on March 12, 2015. Enrollment and FTE figures may vary among tables due to queries used to develop the reports and/or from the rounding-off of numbers. The purpose of this document is to provide community college staff with an overview of the types of reports used by System Office staff to analyze FTE and enrollment trends. The information contained in this document is not official and is not intended to replace any official source.

TRENDS BY BUDGET CODESWorkforce Continuing Education

3

Trends by Budget Codes

College 2011FTE

2012FTE

2013FTE

Change in FTE

2012 to 2013

1

Occupational Extension

2

3

4

Note: Annual FTE = Reporting Terms (Spring + Summer + Fall)

(Table Structure)Table Heading

Filter

3-Year Trend Analysis

Change Analysis

4

Page 5


College 2013FTE

Spring2013

Spring2013

Spring2013


2

Note: 2013 Annual FTE = (Spring 2013 + Summer 2013 + Fall 2013)

(Table Structure)

Term by Term Analysis

1

Annual FTE

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College 2012FTE

2013FTE

2014FTE

Change in FTE

2013 to 2014

Statewide 29,040.86 28,351.20 26,279.74 -2,071.45


Total Change -2,071.45

Percentage Change from 2013 -7%

Average Change -35.71

Spike Year 2012

Number Colleges with Increases 13

Number Colleges with Decreases

45

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Highest FTE Growth 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

Pitt CC

548.88 554.68 621.68 66.99 12%

Southwestern CC

435.93 458.45 495.55 37.10 8%

Roanoke Chowan CC

183.47 156.04 191.47 35.43 23%

Isothermal CC

267.57 209.83 237.39 27.56 13%

College of the Albemarle

273.75 243.79 269.41 25.62 11%

Sampson CC

305.91 323.39 344.66 21.27 7%

Highest FTE Decline 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• Lenoir CC

1,591.20 1,579.01 1,352.98 -226.02 -14%

• Central Carolina CC

865.46 835.08 666.13 -168.96 -20%

• Cape Fear CC

813.09 787.86 630.07 -157.79 -20%

• Blue Ridge CC

484.91 438.88 326.99 -111.9 -25%

• Forsyth TCC

953.52 812.75 708.57 -104.18 -13%

• Coastal Carolina CC

778.13 642.38 539.32 -103.06 -16%

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Occupational ExtensionHighest Percentage Gain 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

Roanoke Chowan CC

183.47 156.04 191.47 35.43 23%

Isothermal CC

267.57 209.83 237.39 27.56 13%

Tri-County CC

151.15 128.23 144.76 16.54 13%

Pitt CC

548.88 554.68 621.68 66.99 12%

Pamlico CC

167.32 132.76 148.59 15.83 12%

College of the Albemarle

273.75 243.79 269.41 25.62 11%

Highest Percentage Drop 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• James Sprunt CC

239.54 185.48 127.66 -57.82 -31%

• Martin CC

184.72 206.48 153.37 -53.12 -26%

• Blue Ridge CC

484.91 438.88 326.99 -111.9 -25%

• Western Piedmont CC

354.88 356.5 275.69 -80.81 -23%

• Central Carolina CC

865.46 835.08 666.13 -168.96 -20%

• Cape Fear CC

813.09 787.86 630.07 -157.79 -20%

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College 2012FTE

2013FTE

2014FTE

Change in FTE

2013 to 2014

Statewide 19,551.12 19,100.15 15,202.84 -3,897.31

Basic Skills

Total Change -3,897.31

Percentage Change from 2013 -20%

Average Change -67.19

Spike Year 2011

Number Colleges with Increases 1

Number Colleges with Decreases

57

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Basic Skills

FTE Growth? 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• Southwestern CC 100.11 101.52 106.14 4.62 5%

• Haywood CC 56.31 46.90 45.34 -1.56 -3%

• Edgecombe CC 203.37 191.11 184.60 -6.51 -3%

• Tri-County CC 38.920 45.30 36.52 -8.78 -19%

• Wilkes CC 264.90 250.60 241.69 -8.91 -4%

• Brunswick CC 255.23 246.29 236.57 -9.72 -4%

FTE Decline 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• Wake TCC 1,430.88 1,566.69 1,308.73 -257.96 -16%

• Guilford TCC 1,093.40 1,106.93 849.16 -257.76 -23%

• Central Piedmont CC 1,438.00 1,406.67 1,152.15 -254.52 -18%

• Fayetteville TCC 1,115.22 1,063.59 815.11 -248.48 -23%

• Central Carolina CC 800.42 821.10 593.93 -227.16 -28%

• Forsyth TCC 651.91 663.23 536.44 -126.79 -19%

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Basic SkillsLow Percentage Change 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• Haywood CC 56.31 46.9 45.34 -1.56 -3%

• Edgecombe CC 203.37 191.11 184.6 -6.51 -3%

• Wilkes CC 264.9 250.6 241.69 -8.91 -4%

• Brunswick CC 255.23 246.29 236.57 -9.72 -4%

• Sampson CC 342.46 345.07 322.36 -22.71 -7%

• Mayland CC 328.93 322.61 299.62 -22.99 -7%

Highest Percentage Drop 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change

• James Sprunt CC 81.83 67.89 37.1 -30.79 -45%

• Rockingham CC 106.33 91.57 52.12 -39.45 -43%

• Blue Ridge CC 135.99 145.96 90.34 -55.62 -38%

• Johnston CC 270.08 242.48 152.66 -89.82 -37%

• Wilson CC 214.44 210.73 138.49 -72.24 -34%

• Cleveland CC 151.74 150.65 99.61 -51.04 -34%

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Call to Action:Check with your college president to review your estimated budget FTE for fiscal year 2015-2016.

Page 13

Critical Research Questions

1. What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in my FTE figures?

2. Will those factors still exist during the next year?

3. How will I benchmark by target FTE for 2016-2017?

4. How do I develop SMART goals to meet my targets?

SMART stands for

Specific, Meaningful and Measurable, Agreed to and Attainable, Reality-based, and

Timely.

TRENDS BY PROGRAM AREA CODESWorkforce Continuing Education

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15

CollegeFTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014

Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)

Enrollment2012

Enrollment 2013

Enrollment 2014

Change in Enrollment

(2013 to 2014)

Basic Skills 19,556.70 19,104.97 15,209.22 -3,895.75 320,698 351,398 252,001 -99,397

Health Occupations 6,029.25 5,878.26 5,213.57 -664.69 48,307 46,433 43,598 -2,835

EMS 4,259.24 4,167.03 4,074.76 -92.26 143,987 147,525 141,562 -5,963

Criminal Justice 2,916.60 2,938.25 2,935.66 -2.59 224,547 227,620 217,644 -9,976

Fire & Rescue Services 3,134.35 2,944.43 2,782.48 -161.95 158,392 159,437 155,249 -4,188

HRD 3,571.52 3,340.74 2,636.26 -704.49 135,335 134,969 107,148 -27,821

Service Occupations 1,504.82 1,681.03 1,683.11 2.09 9,700 9,712 8,509 -1,203

Industrial/Manufacturing 1,515.35 1,587.81 1,589.61 1.80 11,172 10,720 10,700 -20

Construction 1,905.25 1,617.41 1,477.91 -139.50 11,562 9,587 8,898 -689

Community Service 1,302.93 1,207.96 1,127.50 -80.46 66,937 63,770 59,634 -4,136

Self-Support Occupational 1,222.61 1,197.71 1,089.32 -108.39 60,854 61,083 56,915 -4,168

Business 1,251.04 1,134.96 969.96 -165.00 23,890 21,563 17,943 -3,620

Computer Training 985.91 975.82 843.70 -132.13 20,789 18,279 14,782 -3,497

Agri/Natural Resources 602.63 571.22 489.22 -82.00 2,973 2,806 2,568 -238

BLET 338.70 379.15 362.73 -16.42 777 695 899 204

Driver Training 141.95 181.34 274.11 92.77 705 866 1,108 242

Auto Maintenance/Repair 298.71 270.48 206.41 -64.06 1,420 1,337 1,772 435

Early Childhood/Teacher 215.19 221.41 181.30 -40.12 5,719 5,880 5,029 -851

Government Regulations 143.90 153.03 161.39 8.36 6,393 6,430 6,370 -60

Motor Vehicle/DMV 123.31 122.14 126.97 4.84 12,286 12,007 12,632 625

Foreign Languages 162.96 128.95 115.73 -13.21 3,272 2,688 2,287 -401

Aircraft Systems 23.16 68.36 103.43 35.06 196 419 452 33

Emergency Management 99.50 79.84 73.19 -6.65 4,535 4,162 4,251 89

Energy-Related 25.37 17.42 7.21 -10.21 448 452 182 -270

Continuing Education Total 32,514.98 31,602.41 29,543.85 -2,058.56 998,001 991,719 929,995 -61,724


16

Trends by Program Area Codes: Health

17

AnalysisTotal

Colleges%

TotalFTEs

Increase in FTE: 11 19% 47.56

Decrease in FTE: 47 81%

o Greater than 20

11 -361.45

o Between 10-20

11 -164.72

o Less than 10 25 -114.89

Trends: Health is the program area that

generates the highest FTE.

There were 47 colleges (81%) who saw a decrease in FTE in this area.

This program area has been trending downward over the last 4 years.

Labor market data project this area to be the fastest growing occupational cluster.

Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE

and enrollment figures?

Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?

FTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014


Enrollment2012

Enrollment 2013

Enrollment 2014

Change in Enrollment (2013 to 2014)

6,029.25 5,878.26 5,213.57 -664.69 48,307 46,433 43,598 -2,835

Trends by Program Area Codes: Public Safety

18

Trends: Traditionally, Public Safety has been the program area with the largest percentage of

total FTE.

In 2014, the Public Safety cluster only represented 20% of the total statewide FTEs.

Fire/Rescue FTE has been trending downward over the last 4 years.

Conversations regarding the training needs of public safety agencies to include the instructional delivery methods is a “hot topic” conversation at the state and local level. Critical Research Questions:

What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?

How do we maintain the rigor, relevance, and quality of training for public safety agencies.

Program AreaFTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014


Enrollment

2012

Enrollment

2013

Enrollment 2014

Change in Enrollment (2013 to

2014)

EMS 4,259.24 4,167.03 4,074.76 -92.26 143,987 147,525 141,562 -5,963

Criminal Justice 2,916.60 2,938.25 2,935.66 -2.59 224,547 227,620 217,644 -9,976

Fire & Rescue 3,134.35 2,944.43 2,782.48 -161.95 158,392 159,437 155,249 -4,188

Trends by Program Area Codes: Transportation

19

Trends: The FTE for both Driver Training and Aircraft System have doubled.

Motor Vehicle/DMV has relatively low FTE as compared to the enrollment.

Auto Maintenance/Repair is on a downward trend.


Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment

figures?

How do we maintain the rigor, relevance, and quality of training for public safety agencies.

Program AreaFTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014


Enrollment

2012

Enrollment

2013

Enrollment 2014


2014)

Driver Training 141.95 181.34 274.11 92.77 705 866 1,108 242

Auto Maint/Repair

298.71 270.48 206.41 -64.06 1,420 1,337 1,772 435

Motor Veh/DMV 123.31 122.14 126.97 4.84 12,286 12,007 12,632 625

Aircraft Systems 23.16 68.36 103.43 35.06 196 419 452 33

Trends by Program Area Codes: Driver Training

20

Trends: This program area has been trending

upward over the last 4 years.


Critical Research Questions:

What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?


CollegeFTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014


Enrollment

2012

Enrollment

2013

Enrollment 2014


2014)

Caldwell CC and TI

2.84 44.27 91.39 47.13 33 113 256 143

Sampson CC

66.45 65.29 87.20 21.91 185 202 246 44

Nash CC

10.73 13.07 19.91 6.84 79 96 134 38

Isothermal CC

13.67 0 10.88 10.88 74 0 39 39

Surry CC

1.98 0 10.33 10.33 11 0 37 37

Gaston College

0 5.30 7.72 2.42 0 19 28 9

Carteret CC

4.07 4.46 7.62 3.16 37 69 67 -2

Cape Fear CC

5.20 4.41 5.69 1.27 76 64 78 14

Mitchell CC

0 0 3.35 3.35 0 0 12 12

Davidson County CC

0 0 2.38 2.38 0 0 11 11

TRENDS BY COURSE TITLESWorkforce Continuing Education

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Trends by Course Titles

22

Course ID Course TitleFTE 2012

FTE2013

FTE2014

Change in FTE

(2013 to 2014)

Enrollment

2012

Enrollment

2013

Enrollment

2014


(2013 to 2014)

NUR3240 Nurse Aide Level I 2952.53 2855.45 2463.87 -391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617

EMS3044 EMT Basic: Initial 1243.39 1293.48 1275.97 -17.51 4,635 4,789 4,672 -117

EMS3031 EMT Paramedic: Initial 1191.83 1057.37 1146.06 88.69 1,668 1,706 1,892 186

HRD3001 HRD Employability Skills 1259.12 1339.57 1118.30 -221.27 23,808 28,920 24,098 -4,822

CJC3952Mandated In-Service Training

895.10 905.80 918.14 12.34 124,267 126,650 125,385 -1,265

MED3300 Medical Assisting 741.91 819.87 796.65 -23.21 1,802 2,101 1,919 -182

COS3201 Cosmetology 507.47 626.71 691.17 64.46 801 1,029 1,182 153

WLD3106 Welding 521.37 530.73 529.55 -1.18 2,453 2,808 2,842 34

MLA3022 Phlebotomy 534.90 488.10 489.12 1.03 1,985 1,805 1,763 -42

Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment

figures?


Trends by Course Titles - Health

23


FTE2013

FTE2014

Change in FTE

(2013 to 2014)

Enrollment

2012

Enrollment

2013

Enrollment

2014


(2013 to 2014)

NUR3240Nurse Aide Level I

2,952.53

2,855.45

2,463.87

-391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617

MED3300Medical Assisting

741.91 819.87 796.65 -23.21 1,802 2,101 1,919 -182

MLA3022Phlebotomy

534.90 488.10 489.12 1.03 1,985 1,805 1,763 -42

NUR3241Nurse Aide Level II

346.86 345.65 299.05 -46.59 1,394 1,410 1,196 -214

PHM3250Pharmacy Technician

221.98 225.25 222.43 -2.83 1,822 1,788 1,734 -54

MED3030Healthcare Billing and Coding

195.73 166.70 126.74 -39.95 1,662 1,469 1,134 -335

HEA3021Massage Therapy

89.77 162.47 108.17 -54.30 233 276 145 -131

OSC3608Health Unit Coordinator

70.24 53.38 54.44 1.07 419 316 319 3

MED3006Medical Office Assistant

76.63 43.30 45.20 1.90 1,069 704 722 18

PSF3100Sports Medicine Technology

2.67 41.26 32.65 -8.61 6 93 116 23

NUR3267ECG Monitor Technician

19.47 30.20 32.49 2.28 225 307 324 17

PHM4100Medication Aide

32.01 31.01 24.58 -6.43 911 885 694 -191

Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?


Trends by Course Titles – Nurse Aide I

24


FTE2013

FTE2014


Enrollment2012

Enrollment 2013

Enrollment 2014


(2013 to 2014)

NUR3240Nurse Aide Level I

2,952.53 2,855.45 2463.87 -391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617

Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?


AnalysisTotal

Colleges%

TotalFTEs

Increase in FTE: 10 18% 51.38

Decrease in FTE: 47 82%

o Greater than 20

7 -192.18

o Between 10-20

10 -141.62

o Less than 10 30 -109.62

Trends: Nurse Aide I generates the highest

FTE of all course offerings.

There were 47 colleges (82%) who saw a decrease in FTE in this area.

This program area has been trending downward over the last 4 years.


COLLEGE REPORTSWorkforce Continuing Education

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College Reports – Program Mix

26


27


28


29


30


31


32


33

PROGRAM ANALYSIS – SAMPLE QUESTIONSWorkforce Continuing Education

34

Sample Tools and Resources

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Colleague Base Reports

• XCES Statistical Report providing estimated FTE data and registration numbers

• XCLS Status Report providing course status information to include ‘graded’, ‘late’

or ‘canceled’

Informer Reports

Custom reports that pull from ‘live’ Colleague data. Can provide cross views into Course, Student and AR dependent on access.

Program Analysis – Sample Questions

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Broad Category

Course Offerings

1. What specific courses do you offer?

2. Do these courses reflect the training needs in your local area?

3. What courses earned the highest and lowest FTE figures? Were they appropriate for the specific course offering?

4. What courses had the highest and lowest enrollment figures? Were they appropriate for the specific course offering?

5. Did enrollment and FTE increase or decrease for the following timeframes?o Reporting Term: Term-over-Term and High/Low Reporting Termso Reporting Year: Year-to-Year change--- 1-yr, 3-yr, and 5-yr


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Broad Category

Course Offerings

6. What relational changes occurred between increases/decreases in enrollment and FTE?

7. What factors (internal and external) impact the change in enrollment and FTE figures? Will those factors still exist during the next year?

8. Did the scheduled hours/length of course/time format impact your enrollment and FTE? If yes, what action steps will you take to maintain/increase growth? If not, what action steps will you take to change the situation?

9. How did the occupational extension registration fee structure impact the following: courses offered, class location, enrollment and FTE?


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Broad Category

Course Offerings

10. Can you identify broad categories to describe your mix of programs and services?

11. What are some specific descriptors within your broad categories?

12. Can you answer the “who, what, and why” questions related to your target audience and the type of courses they take?

TIER FUNDINGWorkforce Continuing Education

39

Tier Funding

Tier Designations

A college’s continuing education (OE) budget FTE is categorized

into four funding tiers based on the proportion of the college’s

actual FTE in each tier.

• Tier 1A includes FTE in a limited number of continuing

education (OE) courses that train students for the exact

same third-party certification as curriculum courses in Tier

1A.

• Tier 1B includes FTE in short‐term, workforce continuing

education courses that help prepare students for jobs in

priority occupations and lead to competency‐based

industry credentials.

• Tier 2 includes FTE in other continuing education (OE)

courses that are scheduled for 96 hours or more and are

mapped to a third-party credential, certification, or

industry-designed curriculum

• Tier 3 includes FTE in all other continuing education (OE)

courses.

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Budget FTEContinuing Education (Occupational Extension) budget FTE equals the average of the past two years

(spring, summer, and fall) or the latest year, whichever is greater.

Tier Funding

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Allocation Method for FY 2014-15Each college receives a base continuing education (OE) allocation of $65,501, which represents funding for one instructional unit (or the equivalent of one full-time faculty member). In addition to this base, a college is allocated funding based on tier funding---

TierDesignations

Dollar Value Per Budget FTE

1A $4,170.62

1B $3,691.47

2 $3,208.16

3 $2,724.95

Documents

Workforce Continuing Education FTE and Enrollment Trends Annual Years – 2012, 2013, 2014 DRAFT REPORT For more information, contact: Barbara Boyce @ [email protected]