Wisconsin Survey ResultsOctober 31-November 1, 2016 Survey of 891 likely voters 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Wisconsin

October 31-November 1, 2016Survey of 891 likely votersOctober 31-November 1, 2016Survey of 891 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Wisconsin Survey Results

Q1 The candidates for President this fall are Democrat Hillary Clinton, and Republican Donald Trump. If the election were today, who would you vote for?

48% Hillary Clinton..................................................

41% Donald Trump .................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Russ Feingold and Republican Ron Johnson. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

49% Russ Feingold.................................................

44% Ron Johnson...................................................

7% Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you support or oppose requiring background checks on all gun sales, including those sold online or at gun shows?

84% Support requiring background checks on all gun sales ........................................................

11% Oppose requiring background checks on all gun sales ........................................................

4% Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you support or oppose prohibiting anyone convicted of stalking or domestic abuse against a dating partner from buying a gun?

74%

Support prohibiting anyone convicted of stalking or domestic abuse against a dating partner from buying a gun ..............................

15%

Oppose prohibiting anyone convicted of stalking or domestic abuse against a dating partner from buying a gun ..............................

11% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you support or oppose prohibiting individuals convicted of committing a hate crime from buying guns?

76% Support prohibiting individuals convicted of committing a hate crime from buying guns .....

13% Oppose prohibiting individuals convicted of committing a hate crime from buying guns .....

11% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 In 2013 and again in 2016, Senator Ron Johnson voted against a bill that would require most gun sales be subject to a background check. Does Senator Johnson’s opposition to comprehensive gun background checks make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or does it not make a difference?

19% More likely.......................................................

43% Less likely .......................................................

33% Doesn't make a difference ..............................

4% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 In 2015 and again in 2016, Senator Ron Johnson voted against a bill that would prohibit known terror suspects from buying guns. Does Senator Johnson’s opposition to prohibiting known terror suspects from buying guns make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or does it not make a difference?

22% More likely.......................................................

42% Less likely .......................................................

32% Doesn't make a difference ..............................

4% Not sure ..........................................................

October 31-November 1, 2016Survey of 891 likely votersOctober 31-November 1, 2016Survey of 891 likely voters





Q8 If your state legislator supported expanding background checks to all gun sales, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in the next election, or would it not make a difference?

59% More likely.......................................................

13% Less likely .......................................................

24% Wouldn't make a difference.............................

3% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 The Wisconsin legislature is expected to consider a proposal to allow family members or law enforcement to petition a judge to temporarily suspend a person’s access to guns if they are deemed a threat to themselves or others due to severe mental illness or demonstrated violent behavior. Do you support or oppose this proposal?

81%

Support this proposal to allow family members or law enforcement to petition a judge to temporarily suspend a person’s access to guns if they are deemed a threat to themselves or other due to severe mental illness or demonstrated violent behavior .........

10%

Oppose this proposal to allow family members or law enforcement to petition a judge to temporarily suspend a person’s access to guns if they are deemed a threat to themselves or other due to severe mental illness or demonstrated violent behavior .........

9% Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 In the 2012 presidential election, did you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

51% Barack Obama ................................................

41% Mitt Romney....................................................

8% Someone else / Don't remember ....................

Q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53% Woman ...........................................................

47% Man.................................................................

Q12 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent, press 3.

33% Democrat ........................................................

32% Republican......................................................

35% Independent....................................................

Q13 If you are white, press 1. If African-American, press 2. If other, press 3.

89% White ..............................................................

6% African-American ............................................

5% Other...............................................................

Q14 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

13% 18 to 29...........................................................

22% 30 to 45...........................................................

39% 46 to 65...........................................................

26% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q15 Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

23% Yes..................................................................

77% No ...................................................................

Q16 Do you or does someone in your household own a gun?

48% Yes..................................................................

44% No ...................................................................

8% Not sure ..........................................................

Q17 Mode

80% Phone .............................................................

20% Internet ...........................................................

October 31-November 1, 2016survey of 891 likely votersOctober 31-November 1, 2016survey of 891 likely voters





Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

DonaldTrump

Notsure

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 100% - -

41% - 100% -

10% - - 100%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 91% 6% 25%

44% 6% 90% 38%

7% 3% 4% 37%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Background ChecksSupport/Oppose

Support requiringbackground checks

on all gun sales

Oppose requiringbackground checks

on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 97% 68% 88%

11% 3% 24% 2%

4% 0% 8% 10%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Prohibit DomesticAbuser Buy GunSupport/Oppose

Support prohibitinganyone convicted ofstalking or domestic

abuse against a datingpartner from buying a

gun

Oppose prohibitinganyone convicted ofstalking or domestic


gun

Not sure

74% 83% 66% 62%

15% 10% 21% 13%

11% 6% 13% 26%






Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Prohibit Hate CrimeBuy GunsSupport/Oppose

Support prohibitingindividuals convictedof committing a hate

crime from buyingguns

Oppose prohibitingindividuals convictedof committing a hate


Not sure

75% 90% 61% 63%

14% 5% 26% 5%

11% 5% 13% 31%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Johnson Vote AgainstBackground ChecksMore/Less Likely

More likely

Less likely

Doesn't make adifference

Not sure

19% 7% 35% 12%

43% 70% 13% 31%

33% 21% 49% 37%

5% 3% 3% 20%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Johnson Vote AgainstTerror List More/LessLikely

More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 13% 35% 15%

43% 62% 17% 46%

32% 23% 45% 25%

4% 3% 2% 15%

Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Legislator ExpandBackground ChecksMore/Less Likely

More likely

Less likely

Wouldn't make adifference

Not sure

60% 81% 34% 48%

13% 4% 27% 7%

24% 14% 36% 28%

3% 1% 3% 17%






Base

Clinton/Trump

HillaryClint...

Donal-d Tru...

Notsure

Temporarily SuspendAccess to GunsSupport/Oppose

Support this proposalto allow family memb-ers or law enforceme-

nt to petition a judge t-o temporarily suspenda person’s access t...

Oppose this proposalto allow family memb-ers or law enforceme-


Not sure

81% 90% 71% 77%

10% 6% 15% 7%

9% 4% 14% 16%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 90% 6% 22%

41% 5% 85% 25%

10% 5% 9% 52%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 100% - -

44% - 100% -

7% - - 100%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 96% 70% 86%

11% 3% 22% 5%

4% 1% 8% 9%






Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 82% 67% 62%

15% 11% 20% 12%

11% 7% 13% 26%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure






Not sure

76% 89% 62% 66%

14% 6% 23% 11%

11% 5% 16% 23%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 6% 35% 11%

43% 71% 10% 46%

33% 20% 50% 20%

5% 3% 4% 23%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 13% 35% 11%

43% 62% 18% 54%

32% 22% 45% 21%

4% 4% 3% 15%






Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 81% 35% 48%

13% 4% 25% 7%

24% 14% 37% 22%

3% 1% 3% 22%

Base

Feingold/Johnson

Russ F-eingold

Ron Jo-hnson

Notsure






Not sure

81% 91% 70% 73%

10% 5% 16% 7%

9% 4% 14% 20%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney

Someone else /Don't remem...

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 85% 9% 14%

41% 9% 83% 37%

10% 7% 8% 49%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney


Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 86% 7% 27%

44% 8% 89% 39%

7% 5% 4% 34%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney




on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 95% 72% 79%

11% 4% 21% 12%

4% 1% 8% 9%






Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney





gun



gun

Not sure

74% 80% 69% 59%

15% 11% 19% 16%

11% 9% 11% 25%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney







Not sure

76% 87% 64% 55%

13% 6% 24% 14%

11% 7% 12% 31%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 6% 36% 16%

43% 67% 14% 28%

33% 22% 47% 45%

4% 5% 3% 12%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 14% 33% 22%

42% 59% 19% 42%

32% 22% 46% 23%

4% 4% 1% 14%






Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 78% 36% 39%

13% 6% 24% 11%

24% 14% 37% 37%

3% 2% 3% 12%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackOba...

Mitt Ro-mney







Not sure

81% 89% 73% 63%

10% 6% 15% 8%

9% 5% 12% 29%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 55% 41%

41% 34% 50%

10% 11% 9%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 52% 45%

44% 37% 51%

7% 10% 4%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 90% 78%

11% 6% 18%

4% 4% 5%






Base

Gender

Wom... Man




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 78% 70%

15% 10% 21%

11% 12% 9%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man






Not sure

76% 83% 68%

13% 9% 19%

11% 9% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 15% 23%

43% 47% 39%

33% 32% 35%

4% 6% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 20% 24%

42% 46% 39%

32% 30% 34%

4% 4% 3%






Base

Gender

Wom... Man


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 65% 53%

13% 8% 19%

24% 23% 25%

3% 4% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom... Man






Not sure

81% 87% 75%

10% 5% 14%

9% 8% 11%

Base

Party

Democr... Republic... Independe...

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 86% 11% 47%

41% 10% 83% 33%

10% 4% 6% 19%

Base

Party


Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 83% 11% 52%

44% 10% 84% 38%

7% 7% 5% 10%

Base

Party




on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 92% 76% 84%

11% 6% 18% 10%

4% 2% 6% 5%






Base

Party





gun



gun

Not sure

74% 80% 68% 74%

15% 12% 20% 13%

11% 8% 13% 13%

Base

Party







Not sure

76% 87% 65% 74%

13% 6% 23% 12%

11% 7% 12% 14%

Base

Party



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 10% 33% 15%

43% 64% 18% 46%

33% 22% 45% 35%

4% 5% 5% 4%

Base

Party



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 12% 36% 19%

42% 58% 21% 46%

32% 25% 41% 31%

4% 5% 2% 4%

Base

Party



More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 79% 38% 59%

13% 9% 20% 12%

24% 9% 39% 26%

3% 3% 3% 4%






Base

Party







Not sure

81% 84% 74% 84%

10% 9% 14% 6%

9% 7% 12% 9%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 46% 83% 55%

41% 44% 15% 20%

10% 10% 2% 24%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 47% 75% 58%

44% 46% 21% 24%

7% 7% 4% 18%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 85% 88% 68%

11% 11% 7% 28%

4% 4% 5% 5%






Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 75% 73% 57%

15% 15% 16% 20%

11% 10% 10% 22%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other






Not sure

76% 76% 91% 58%

13% 14% 6% 18%

11% 11% 3% 24%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 19% 14% 21%

43% 42% 54% 50%

33% 34% 29% 25%

4% 5% 3% 5%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 22% 15% 22%

42% 43% 46% 36%

32% 31% 39% 41%

4% 4% - 1%






Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 60% 52% 56%

13% 13% 11% 21%

24% 23% 38% 20%

3% 4% - 3%

Base

Race

WhiteAfrican-

Americ... Other






Not sure

81% 83% 64% 67%

10% 8% 26% 19%

9% 9% 10% 15%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 55% 47% 51% 42%

41% 29% 37% 42% 51%

10% 17% 16% 7% 7%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 52% 47% 52% 44%

44% 34% 44% 42% 51%

7% 14% 9% 5% 5%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 90% 87% 81% 83%

11% 7% 12% 12% 12%

4% 3% 1% 7% 4%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 71% 71% 73% 79%

15% 20% 21% 14% 8%

11% 9% 8% 12% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...






Not sure

76% 66% 78% 72% 84%

13% 17% 15% 15% 8%

11% 17% 6% 13% 9%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 25% 11% 17% 25%

43% 48% 45% 45% 37%

33% 15% 40% 37% 33%

4% 11% 4% 1% 6%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 26% 15% 18% 33%

42% 43% 52% 40% 36%

32% 22% 28% 40% 29%

4% 9% 5% 2% 2%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 63% 60% 56% 62%

13% 12% 14% 14% 12%

24% 18% 23% 28% 23%

3% 7% 4% 3% 2%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan ...






Not sure

81% 81% 76% 80% 88%

10% 9% 16% 9% 5%

9% 11% 8% 11% 7%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 60% 45%

41% 34% 44%

10% 6% 11%






Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 56% 47%

44% 41% 45%

7% 3% 8%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 79% 86%

11% 14% 11%

4% 7% 4%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 81% 72%

15% 9% 16%

11% 9% 11%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No






Not sure

76% 80% 74%

13% 12% 14%

11% 8% 12%






Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 18% 19%

43% 45% 43%

33% 33% 34%

4% 5% 4%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 24% 21%

42% 46% 41%

32% 30% 32%

4% 1% 5%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 66% 57%

13% 14% 13%

24% 20% 25%

3% 1% 4%

Base

AlreadyVoted Yes/No

Yes No






Not sure

81% 86% 80%

10% 8% 10%

9% 6% 10%






Base

Household GunOwnership

Yes NoNot

sure

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 46% 56% 18%

41% 45% 32% 76%

10% 9% 12% 6%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 48% 54% 23%

44% 45% 37% 73%

7% 6% 9% 5%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 83% 90% 59%

11% 15% 5% 31%

4% 3% 5% 11%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 77% 73% 61%

15% 16% 13% 21%

11% 7% 14% 18%






Base


Yes NoNot

sure






Not sure

76% 78% 78% 43%

13% 15% 10% 27%

11% 8% 12% 30%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 20% 14% 43%

43% 43% 47% 21%

33% 34% 33% 35%

4% 3% 7% 1%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 25% 17% 35%

42% 39% 49% 17%

32% 33% 29% 42%

4% 3% 5% 5%

Base


Yes NoNot

sure


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 55% 67% 34%

13% 16% 8% 26%

24% 25% 22% 36%

3% 4% 3% 4%






Base


Yes NoNot

sure






Not sure

81% 84% 80% 59%

10% 9% 9% 19%

9% 7% 11% 22%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...

Clinton/Trump

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Not sure

48% 47% 54%

41% 46% 23%

10% 7% 23%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...

Feingold/Johnson

Russ Feingold

Ron Johnson

Not sure

49% 48% 54%

44% 46% 35%

7% 6% 11%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...



on all gun sales


on all gun sales

Not sure

84% 83% 90%

11% 13% 6%

4% 5% 4%






Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...




gun



gun

Not sure

74% 75% 70%

15% 15% 16%

11% 10% 14%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...






Not sure

76% 77% 72%

13% 13% 15%

11% 10% 13%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

19% 22% 9%

43% 42% 46%

33% 34% 32%

4% 2% 12%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

22% 25% 13%

42% 40% 49%

32% 33% 27%

4% 2% 10%






Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...


More likely

Less likely


Not sure

59% 59% 60%

13% 15% 8%

24% 25% 23%

3% 2% 9%

Base

Mode

Pho... Intern...






Not sure

81% 81% 82%

10% 10% 9%

9% 9% 10%

Documents

Wisconsin Survey ResultsOctober 31-November 1, 2016 Survey of 891 likely voters 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Wisconsin