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Winter Forecast 2012-2013
George H. Taylor, CCM
Applied Climate Services, Corvallis
My forecast from August
appliedclimate.wordpress.com
My forecast from August
September: continued warmer and drier than average
October: mild and dry first half but stormy second half
November: just the opposite of October: stormy, mild first half but drier second half. Ski areas open by Thanksgiving.
December: relatively dry and mild but with valley fog
January: similar to December
February: active month, with considerable rain; 50-50 chance of low-elevation snow
March: wet, windy and wild
April: a dry and mild second half
May: dry and mild
Analog years
PDO: 1933 2000 2011MEI: 1958 1980 2005
Nov 8 (Reuters) - The U.S. national weather forecaster has called off its El Niño watch five months after raising the alert as it is now less likely that the much-feared phenomenon that can wreak havoc on global weather will emerge.
Have you heard about El Niño?
Pacific Ocean waters warming up again this year.
Best be ready for El Niño
This winter will be hell because the weather will be weird
And if you own a house upon the beach at Malibu you should be scared.
It’s because of El Niño
This winter in New York it will be 70 degrees
Because of El Niño
It will be as cold in Florida as it will be in Maine
And every day the forecast in Los Angeles is mudslides mixed with rain.
If you’re wondering why it rains all night,the weather bites --- El Niño
And if you haven’t had a drop of rainthen you can blame El Niño
Well, the Weather Channel’s so confused, it’s such a mess.
If your basement has to be pumped out,then curse and shout, “El Niño!”
There’s no sunshine in the skies today
It’s gonna rain, rain, rain ‘til the month of May
I guess you say, why do I get wet today?
La Niña, talking ‘bout La Niña -- La Niña!
There’ll be soooo much snow in the mountains this year
And lowland flooding, baby, is something to fearI guess you say, why is there a
flood today?La Niña, talking ‘bout La Niña --
La Niña!
It’s gonna be a dry, dry winter down in LADrought in Arizona, and along the Southern WayI guess you say, why is it so dry
today?La Niña, talking ‘bout La Niña --
La Niña!
Talkin’ ‘bout La Niña….There’s no sunshine in the skies
today, it’s La Niña,It might even flood today,
La NiñaTalkin’ ‘bout, talkin’ ‘bout, talkin’
‘bout La Niña