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Foresight and Governance Project,

Woodrow Wilson International Center

for Scholars

1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20004-3027

(202) 691-4000

www.wilsoncenter.org/foresight

www.foresightandgovernance.org

www.ibm.com/ibm/gp

www.thefutureofcomputing.org

The FutureofCom

A

Ed

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Introduction

1. Pervasive Computin

of the Concept and

the Public Policy Im

2. Grid Computing

3. Autonomic ComputiThe Technology of

About the Author

Appendix:

The Future of Comp

Pervasive Computin

1. Rod Adkins, Gen

Computing Divis2. Victor Zue, Dire

Computer Scienc3. David Brin, Auth

This paper is part of a project on The Future of Computing at the

Woodrow Wilson International Center of Scholars. This series of semi-

nars and background papers is being developed by the CentersForesight and Governance Project with support from IBM.

You can learn more at the web site: www.thefutureofcomputing.org.

Cover illustration is from Masterfile (RM), Hans Blohm, Close-up of

IC Chip at 45 Magnification.

Editorial Offices

Foresight and Governance Project

Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.

Washington, DC 20004-3027

Order Form

There are limited copies of this book available for distribution. If

you would like to receive one, please send an e-mail request to:

foresight@wwic.si.edu.

About the Wilson Center:

The Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars is the living,

national memorial to President Wilson established by Congress in

1968 and headquartered in Washington, D.C. It is a nonpartisan insti-

tution, supported by public and private funds, engaged in the study of

national and world affairs. The Wilson Center establishes and main-

tains a neutral forum for free, open, and informed dialogue. The Center

commemorates the ideals and concerns of Woodrow Wilson by provid-ing a link between the world of ideas and the world of policy and

fostering research, study, discussion, and collaboration among a full

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found at: www.wilsoncenter.org/directions.

Printed 2004

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27 http://www.calit2.net/observato

28 http://www.nsf.gov/search97cgi

29 http://www.calit2.net/transporta

30 http://www.ubiq.com/hypertext/

and John Seely Brown. The Coming

Calculation: The Next Fifty Years of

Robert M. Metcalfe, 75-86. New Yo

31

http://www.ai.mit.edu/projects/r

22

Endnotes

1 Moore, Gordon E. Cramming More Components Onto Integrated Circuits.

Electronics (1965); http://www.intel.com/research/silicon/mooreslaw.htm

2 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~acarbon/Alejandro/wifi1.htm

3 http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/W/Wi_Fi.html

4 http://www.bluetooth.com/

5 http://80211-planet.webopedia.com/TERM/3/3G.html

6 http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/u/UWB.html

7 http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/W/Web_services.html

8 http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/g/grid_computing.html

9 http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/p/peer_to_peer_architecture.html

10 http://www.ubiq.com/hypertext/weiser/UbiHome.html; Weiser, Mark. The

Computer for the Twenty-First Century. Scientific American (1991): 94-100.

11 Weiser, Mark. Creating the Invisible Interface. Symposium on User Interface

Software and Technology New York, NY: ACM Press, 1994.

12 Weiser, Mark. The World Is Not a Desktop.ACM Interactions 1, no. 1

(1994): 7-8.

13 http://www-106.ibm.com/developerworks/wireless/library/wi-pvc/

14 http://cooltown.hp.com/cooltownhome/index.asp

15 http://oxygen.lcs.mit.edu

16 http://www.calit2.net

17 http://www.cc.gatech.edu/fce/ahri/

18 http://www.philips.com/homelab

19 http://www-3.ibm.com/software/success/cssdb.nsf/cs/NAVO-

4U634A?OpenDocument&Site=indwireless

20 http://www.capwinproject.com/index.html

21 K.F. Eustice, et al. A Universal Information Appliance.IBM Systems

Journal 38, no. 4 (1999): 575-601; http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/sj38-4.html

22 http://cag.lcs.mit.edu/raw/

23 http://oxygen.lcs.mit.edu/Network.html

24 http://www.aimglobal.org/technologies/rfid/

25 http://nms.lcs.mit.edu/projects/cricket/

26 http://www.research.ibm.com/autonomic/

Future of Computing

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Just within the past few years,

from exuberance to ruin to slow

researchers, entrepreneurs, fun

heavyweights, and corporate C

new, and hopefully more solid

As befits an idea that has

vented many times, this vision

distributed computing, Web se

computing, andthe name we

sakegrid computing. Indeed

obscured the fundamental uni

increasingly networked world,

fined to computers. Instead, c

collection of processes that ca

servers, and any number of ot

bling themselves on the fly to

network itself reallywill beco

tional device with resources th

This is what the Internet h

three decades, declares Larry

Institute for Telecommunicatio

Diego, and one of grid comput

2

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Dr. M. Mitchell Waldrop

Dr. M. Mitchell Waldrop is the

book about artificial intelligencSanta Fe Institute and the new

Machine (2001), a book about

Ph.D. in elementary particle ph

and from 1980 to 1991 was a s

currently with the National Sci

70

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Pervasive Computing

1. Rod Adkins, GenComputing Divis

2. Victor Zue, Dire

Computer Scienc3. David Brin, Auth

Autonomic Computing

1. Alan Ganek, VicComputing, IBM

2. Gail Kaiser, DirLaboratory, Colu

3. Peter M. Hughes

Information Syst

Grid Computing

1. Ian Foster, Argo2. Andrew Grimsha

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