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What we know
Over the past 12
years employment
based overage has
dropped 10
percentage points
68%
1999
58%
2011
Data: US Census Bureau
What we know
In the 30 years from
1980 thru 2010 there
was a 10x increase
in employer group
medical costs
$2600B
2010
$256B
1980
Data: US Dept. HHS
What we know
In the 7 years from
2005 thru 2012 there
was an increase of
$3,500 in employer
group medical costs
per employee
$10K
2012
$7K
2005
Data: Mercer
Factors causing cost inflation
• Availability and growth of expensive medical procedures
• Availability and growth of expensive prescription drugs
• Employee longevity in active workforce
• Self-funded plans have seen continued unpredictability in catastrophic claims
Financial incentives
• Employees have responded to incentives to take
better care of themselves
• 2012 saw the smallest increase in group medical
coverage in 15 years
• An average increase of 4.1%
Private Exchanges to the Rescue!
• Defined Contribution model provides workers a fixed employer contribution
• Uniform Contribution in lieu of Uniform Benefit
• Self-insured employers can parlay adverse selection costs associated with COBRA continuants
• Avoid the excise tax (“Cadillac Tax”)
• Greater plan selection may increase worker satisfaction
Have we been here before?
• Managed competition first described in the late 70s by Alain Enthoven
• Defined Contribution health plans were broadly discussed over a decade ago – “DC Health”
• Over 62% of health-care leaders predicted DC Health would takeover employment-based coverage in 1998
• Interest waned – confusion, tax-free benefits, worker retention
Employee Perspective
Traditional Offering
• Continuity in health plans offered and access to providers
• Reduced perceived value of benefit offering given increased OOP costs
• Singular and consistent experience with enrolling in all benefit types
Private Exchange
• Possibly different carrier and plan mix than what was previously offered
• Reduced perceived value of benefit offering given increased OOP costs
• Mixed enrollment experience with medical plans enrolled on exchange platform while other plans may require use of another platform
Employer Perspective
Traditional Offering
• ERISA-based plan offering retains certain tax benefits
• Reduced perceived value of benefit offering given increased OOP costs
• Singular and consistent experience with enrolling in all benefit types
Private Exchange
• Defined Contribution based offering may adversely impact tax exposure
• Reduced perceived value of benefit offering given increased OOP costs
• Mixed enrollment experience with medical plans enrolled on exchange platform while other plans may require use of another platform
Employers will still…
• Need to decide whether they want to have
involvement in plan selection
• Determine adverse selection implications (risk
adj, exchange open to all employers, min
underwriting provisions)
Employers will still…
• Need to answer whether their contributions will
float with inflation
• Need to provide tools to help works avoid plan
choice overload
• Consider varying contributions by geographic
location
Other Considerations
• Workers depend on employer plan selection
because they lack confidence (7/10)
• Employers may be better positioned to deploy
group purchasing efficiencies
• Insurers respond to the collective voice and
check book of an employer
Sources
• Alain Enthoven, New England Journal of Medicine, March 1978a
• 1998 CIGNA/BenefitAccess National Survey
• Paul Fronstin, EBRI, Private Health Insurance Exchanges and Defined
Contribution Health Plans
• Peter Orzag, Bloomberg, Defined Contributions Define Health-Care Future,
December 2011
• PriceWaterhouseCoopers, HealthCast, 1999
• US Census Bureau,
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/data/historical/HIB_tables.html