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Who are we?
How did we get here?
2009 N
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an
a R
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e R
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Th
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Ph
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by D
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http://akfireconsortium.uaf.edu
Sarah Trainor, PI
Scott Rupp, Co-PI
Alison York, CoordinatorRandi Jandt, Fire Ecologist
“Zeke” Ziel, Fire Behavior & Weather
Mission: Better Collaboration Between
Fire Science and Fire Management
Alaska Fire Science Consortium
Coordinate current science delivery efforts
Facilitate communication between scientists
& agency land/fire managers
Create formal outreach mechanisms for
effectively delivering fire science information
Work with managers to ensure delivery is
practical and useful for agencies
…working together to bridge the gap in fire science delivery and outreach
Primary Goals:
Management Challenges
Temperature
Season Length
Ignitions
Rainfall
Permafrost
May 2
01
6 Ft. M
cMu
rray FireP
ho
to b
y Jon
athen
Hayw
ard, Th
e Can
adian
Press
More heat = drier fuels = more combustion
Draining, drying
fuels
20
14
Fun
ny R
iver FireP
ho
to b
y Pen
insu
la Clario
n
Recession of permafrost will turn Alaska’s
fire regime on it’s head
Scientific evidence of fire regime change
and its consequences is mounting, but
how can that science be used to guide fire
and land management policy?
Got Science: so what? Extreme
Events
Ecological
Impacts
Infrastructure
Damage
Smoke &
Health
Impacts
Economic
Impacts
(ex. Tourism)
Preparation
by Residents
&
Communities
IAR
PC
Wild
fires Co
llabo
ration
Team (n
ow
un
de
r TECT)
New Remote Sensing Technologies: can they help?
✓ Satellite detection of new ignitions and daily fire
growth
✓ Infrared mapping (NIROPS in 2015) & thermal
imagery
✓ Advances in communication technology
❑ Improvements in weather and risk forecasts
❑ Better real-time smoke dispersion models
❑ Improvements in understanding of factors leading to extreme events
❑ Real-time fuel moisture trends—especially in deep organic layers.
❑ Trends in fire severity, permafrost and vegetation response to deep burning,
habitat impacts.
2015 K
ashw
itna
La
ke
Fire
Opportunities to Apply Remote Sensing in Boreal/Arctic Wildfire Management &
Science: A WorkshopApril 4-6, 2017
Proposal to the NASA Applied Sciences (Wildfire) Program
Research Team:• PI: Alison York1
• Co-Is: Randi Jandt1, Tom Heinrichs2, Rachel Loehman3, Laura Bourgeau-Chavez4, Tatiana Loboda5
• Collaborators: Vince Ambrosia6, Jennifer Jenkins7
– 1. Alaska Fire Science Consortium, International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF)
– 2. Geographic Information Network of Alaska, UAF– 3. USGS Alaska Science Center, Anchorage– 4. Michigan Tech Research Institute, Ann Arbor– 5. Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park– 6. NASA Ames Research Center– 7. Bureau of Land Management, Alaska Fire Service, Fairbanks
Goals:2
01
5 A
gg
ie C
kfire
Ph
oto
by H
olly
Cra
ke
1) Potential fire risk: Can remotely sensed data
estimate spring soil moisture and surface and
subsurface fuel moisture and fuel conditions, and thus
provide critical inputs for fuel moisture indices used to
predict fire danger and risk?
2) Near real-time fire behavior:
Which remotely sensed data are best
for fire detection, plume tracking of fire
emissions, fire behavior modeling,
mapping of flaming fronts, fire intensity,
active fire perimeters, and response for
ongoing fires?
3) Post-fire effects: Can we develop
analytical methods for remotely
sensed data to assess fire severity,
consumption/CO2 balance, active-layer
changes, and successional trajectories
of boreal vegetation types?