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Whither Speech Technology? A Twenty-First Century Perspective Steven Greenberg International Computer Science Institute 1947 Center Street, Berkeley, CA 94704 http://www.icsi.berkeley.edu/~steveng [email protected]. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Whither Speech Technology?A Twenty-First Century Perspective
Steven GreenbergInternational Computer Science Institute1947 Center Street, Berkeley, CA 94704
http://www.icsi.berkeley.edu/[email protected]
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology
The Coming Crisis in Speech TechnologySpeech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous State
The Coming Crisis in Speech TechnologySpeech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous StateA Train Wreck About to Happen
The Coming Crisis in Speech TechnologySpeech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous StateA Train Wreck About to Happen
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing – Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing – Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles– A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing – Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles– A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding– This is no way to sustain innovative research development
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing – Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles– A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding– This is no way to sustain innovative research development
• The Situation is Likely to Worsen Over the Coming Years
The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology• Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically
– Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating
• This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites– There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and
scientists– From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?
• Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent– The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)– The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing
• The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment– Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development– Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur
• Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing – Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles– A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding– This is no way to sustain innovative research development
• The Situation is Likely to Worsen Over the Coming Years – Is there “light” at the end of this “Dark Valley”?
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore– Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore– Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little– There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore– Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little– There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval– Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore– Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little– There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval– Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition
• Biotech and Pharmaceutical Companies Invest $Billions in Academia
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore– Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little– There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval– Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition
• Biotech and Pharmaceutical Companies Invest $Billions in Academia– This amount stands in stark contrast to the paltry sums invested by speech tech
From Alchemy to Speech Technology
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley”
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” – A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” – A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives
(for the better)
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” – A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives
(for the better)– Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications
industry
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” – A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives
(for the better)– Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications
industry– And helping to alleviate behavioral deficits associated with communication disorders
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” – A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives
(for the better)– Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications
industry– And helping to alleviate behavioral deficits associated with communication disorders
(such as hearing impairment and speech production problems)
Beyond Freedom and Discipline
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites– Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites– Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously– Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and
long term goals with forethought and precision
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites– Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously– Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and
long terms goals with forethought and precision– But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites– Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously– Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and
long terms goals with forethought and precision– But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives– In order to effect a balance between scientific and technological perspectives in
defining the speech research of tomorrow
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
• In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….– The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites– Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously– Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and
long terms goals with forethought and precision– But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives– In order to effect a balance between scientific and technological perspectives in
defining the speech research of tomorrow (as well as the coming century)
Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research
For Further Information ….
See the Proceedings Paper
For Further Information ….
See the Proceedings Paper
Whither Speech Technology?
For Further Information ….
See the Proceedings Paper
Whither Speech Technology? – A Twenty-First Century Perspective
For Further Information ….
That’s All, FolksMany Thanks for Your Time and Attention