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Where is the future that was predicted in 1958? This presentation looks at three trends that were forecast and didn't happen. The problem is future bias - we tend to think that the future will be like today, but it often surprising.
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Where is the future?
Tomorrowland - 1958
AGENDA
Introduction
Three predictions from 1958
Thinking critically about 2010
Homework
Phillip Allen MGSM Partnership Institute Manager
Past Researcher Think Tank ABF
Technology Forecaster IDC
Masters eCommerce (eLearning) Deakin University
PhD Australian Graduate School of Management
Thesis – Technology Management and Innovation
Economics Degree - University of Newcastle
Objectives
Share three predictions that didn’t happen
Encourage your thinking about the future
Spark ideas
Have a dialogue as we step through the presentation
The Ford Nucleon Nuclear-powered concept car
1
2
Robbie the Robot from Forbidden Planet
3
The Paperlessoffice
However . . . However . . .
Whatever happened to?
Fun
Boring
Please ComeBack
Good Riddance
Pastel Computers
Second Life
Nokia
Monorails
Clippy
The MediaCold War
Fax Machines
Teleportation
Self-CleaningHouse
Jet Packs
Rocket Shoes
Dog Translators
Holograms
Case study superior technology doesn’t always win
VHS vs Beta
Waking up in the future
Films as Idea Generators
Augmented Reality
Cisco Telepresence and HP Halo
HomeworkAction learning
Feed your hungry mind