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What’s Up With Infrastructure?. Interstate Pipeline Regulatory Committee Jeff Wright, Chief Energy Infrastructure Policy Group Office of Energy Projects Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Phoenix, Arizona October 9, 2003. FERC Helping Markets Work. Adequate Infrastructure. Standard - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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What’s Up With Infrastructure?
Interstate Pipeline Regulatory Committee
Jeff Wright, ChiefEnergy Infrastructure Policy Group
Office of Energy ProjectsFederal Energy Regulatory Commission
Phoenix, ArizonaOctober 9, 2003
2
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
FERCHelping Markets Work
AdequateInfrastructure
StandardMarket Rules
CompetitiveMarket
MarketMonitoring &Oversight
3
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
FERC/OEP Tools
• Create a Forum for Discussion– Outreach Conferences
• Advise– Study Existing Facilities– Meet with Stakeholder Groups
• Our Process– Act on Certificate Filings
4
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Why An InfrastructureGroup?
• The Chairman wanted a group dedicated to infrastructure issues and wanted it located in OEP.
• The convergence of gas and electric necessitates examinations of infrastructure dedicated to both as well as hydro, coal and oil issues.
• Need to research and present findings, both publicly and in-house.
5
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Mission Statement
The Energy Infrastructure Policy Group would apprise the Commission of the status of the national energy infrastructure providing timely and accurate guidance on how national energy infrastructure needs can be met
6
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Objectives
The Energy Infrastructure Policy Group would provide infrastructure guidance on measures before the Commission, prepare periodic regional reports on the status of national energy infrastructure, and, upon request, conduct special infrastructure studies.
7
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Organization
• EIPG is part of OEP’s front office staff.
• Answers directly to the Director and Deputy Director.
• Operates collegially.• Group leader serves as focal point
for assignments
8
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Staff
• Five multidisciplinary people with strong oral and computer-based presentation skills.
• Uses Commission-wide resource as required by the task.
• Regularly work with representatives of OMTR, OMOI, and OGC.
9
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Specific Duties
• Regional Assessments • Regional Infrastructure Conferences• Reports to the Commission
– Closed and Open Meetings
• Convene Meetings with CRE and NEB• North American Energy Working
Group• Other Duties As Assigned….
10
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
FERC Infrastructure Conferences
• Five Conferences Held– Seattle– New York City– Orlando– Chicago– Denver
• Purpose– Bring together experts to discuss
infrastructure issues in region
11
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
InfrastructureConferences
• Discussion Issues Include:
– Adequacy of Electric, Gas, Hydro and Other Infrastructure
– Essential Energy Infrastructure
12
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
TopicsAddressed
• Adequacy of Existing Infrastructure
• Necessary Additions of Infrastructure
• Barriers to Expansion• Environmental and Landowner
Concerns
13
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Why Conferences?
• To Explore How FERC Can Facilitate
• How To Enhance A Comprehensive And Collaborative Approach
• Development Of Reliable Energy Infrastructure
14
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Advising on Gas Infrastructure Needs
•Analyze What’s There•Supply New Generation &
Markets•Security •Siting
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FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Major Pipeline Projects Certificated (MMcf/d)
January 2002 to Oct 2003
7.9 BCF/D Total2,295 Miles
Transco(323) Southern (330)
Kern River
(886)
CIG(282,92)
North Baja (500)
Tuscarora(96)
Northwest(162)
Kern River (282)
Iroquois(70)
TETCO(250)
Northwest(224)
NFS/DTI(150)
Georgia Straits (96)
1. Algonquin (285) 2. Islander East (285) 3. Iroquois (85) 4. Columbia (135,270)
SCG Pipeline (190)
12
3
4
Northwest(191)
East Tennessee (510)
Tennessee (320)
TETCO (197)
Greenbrier (600)
El Paso (320)
WBI(80)
ANR(220)
El Paso (140)
TETCO(223)
16
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Major Pipeline ProjectsPending (MMcf/d)
October 2003
3.6 BCF/D Total526 Miles
Calypso(832)
Maritimes (400)
Ocean Express(842)
Cove Point(445)Cheyenne Plains
(560)
CIG(118)
Northwest(113)
Discovery(150)
ANR(107)
17
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Major Pipeline Projectsin Pre-filing (MMcf/d)
October 2003
1.1 BCF/D Total Pipeline Capacity
1.1 BCF/D Deliverability Capacity
1,120 Miles
Picacho Pipeline (1,000)*Pacific Texas
Grasslands Expansion (120)(WBI)
Weaver’s Cove Energy LNG(400)
Sound Energy Solutions LNG (700) (Mitsubishi)
*Picacho’s pre-filing has been suspendedpending submission of required documents
18
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Transco (250)Alabama-Georgia (Duke) (240)
Seafarer Pipeline (El Paso) (700)Gulf Pines (Gulf South) (1,000)
Major Pipeline Projects On The Horizon (MMcf/d)
October 2003
16.9 BCF/D Total6,306 Miles
Blue Atlantic (El Paso) (1,000)
Freedom Trail (Tennessee)(150)
Northwinds Pipeline(NFG) (570)
WIC (150,300,470)Samoa Point (Calpine) (1,000)
Sun Devil Project(Transwestern) (450)Advantage Southern (KM Interstate) (800)
Silver Canyon Project (KM Interstate) (750)San Juan Lateral Exp. (Transwestern) (600)
KM West Texas (KM Interstate) (300)Wheatland Expansion (KM Interstate) (80)
Western Frontier (So. Star)(540)Kern River Expansion (500)
TransColorado (750,125)Desert Crossing (500)
Coronado (500)
Alaska Gas (4,500)Lebanon Lateral (ANR) (250)
Bison Pipeline (Northern Border) (325)Cheyenne Plains (170)
Trailblazer (100)Enbridge (1,000)
19
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
Desert Crossing(10.0)
Storage Projects(Capacity in Bcf)
October 2003
Certificated Since 2001
On The HorizonCurrently Pending Copiah
(3.3)
SGResources(6.0)
Seneca(0.8)
Stagecoach(13.6)
Dominion(5.6)
Egan Hub(13.5)
Gulf South(18.5)
Natural(10.7)
Wyckoff(6.0)
KM(6.5)
Caledonia(10.0)
Falcon Gas(20.0)
Midwest(4.5)
NUI (11.6)
Questar(5.0)
Sabine(40.0)
Tennessee(5.0)
Copper Eagle(3.2)
EnCana(8.0)
Bluewater(27.0)
Existing Terminals with ExpansionsA. Everett, MA : 1.035 Bcfd (Tractebel)B. Cove Point, MD : 1.0 Bcfd (Dominion)C. Elba Island, GA : 1.2 Bcfd (El Paso)D. Lake Charles, LA : 1.2 Bcfd (Southern Union)
Approved Terminals1. Hackberry, LA : 1.5 Bcfd, (Sempra Energy)
Proposed Terminals – FERC2. Bahamas : 0.84 Bcfd, (AES Ocean Express)3. Bahamas : 0.83 Bcfd, (Calypso Tractebel)4. Freeport, TX : 1.5 Bcfd, (Cheniere / Freeport LNG Dev.)5. Fall River, MA : 0.4 Bcfd, (Weaver's Cove Energy)6. Long Beach, CA : 0.7 Bcfd, (Sound Energy Solutions/Mitsubishi)
Proposed Terminals – Coast Guard8. Port Pelican: 1 Bcfd, (Chevron Texaco)9. Gulf of Mexico: 0.5 Bcfd, (El Paso Global)
Planned Terminals10. Brownsville, TX : n/a, (Cheniere LNG Partners)11. Corpus Christi, TX : 2.6 Bcfd, (Cheniere LNG Partners)12. Sabine, LA : 2.6 Bcfd (Cheniere LNG)13. Humboldt Bay, CA : 0.5 Bcfd, (Calpine)14. Undecided: 1.0+. Bcfd, (ExxonMobil)15. Somerset, MA : 0.65 Bcfd (Somerset LNG)16. Louisiana Offshore : 1.0 Bcfd (McMoRan Exp.)17. Belmar, NJ Offshore : n/a, n/a (El Paso Global)18. So. California Offshore : 0.5 Bcfd, (Chevron Texaco)19. Bahamas : 0.5 Bcfd, (El Paso Sea Fare)20. Altamira, Tamulipas : 1.12 Bcfd, (Shell)21. Baja California : 1.3 Bcfd, (Sempra) 22. Baja California : 1.4 Bcfd, (Chevron Texaco)23. Baja California : 0.85 Bcfd, (Marathon)24. Baja California : 1.3 Bcfd, (Shell)25. St. John, NB : 0.75 Bcfd, (Irving Oil & Chevron Canada)26. California Offshore: 1.5 Bcfd, (BHP Billiton)27. Point Tupper, NS 0.75 Bcf/d (Access Northeast Energy)28. Harpswell, ME 0.5 Bcf/d (Fairwinds LNG – CP & TCPL)
Existing and Proposed LNG Terminals
October 2003
A
C
1 2 3
8 9
25
517
19
4
10
20
11
21
186
222324
13
B
12D
15
16
26
27
20
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
21
0
10
20
30
40
In-Serviceand
Approved
Pending -FERC
Pending -Coast Guard
Planned
In-Service and Approved Pending - FERC
Pending - Coast Guard Planned
Maximum LNGDeliverability Growth (Bcf/d)
What Have WeBeen Doing Lately?
A quick look at Western US Gas Infrastructure
The West is dependent on production from gas originating mainly in the Rockies, Southwest and Canada.
United States
West
% of Unite
d States
Total Gas Consumption 20.5 Tcf 4.1 Tcf 20%
Total Dry Gas Production 19.7 Tcf 4.3 Tcf 22%
Total Proved Gas Reserves 183.5 Tcf 57.0 Tcf 31%
Total Storage Capacity 8.4 Tcf 1.3 Tcf 15%
Total Net Imports from Canada 3.6 Tcf 1.2 Tcf 33%
Total Net Exports to Mexico 0.13 Tcf 0.03 Tcf 23%
Western Gas Facts - 2001
Source: EIA’s Natural Gas Annual 2001 and US Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Natural Gas Liquid Reserves 2001 Annual Report
Office of Energy Projects
23
Source: EIA’s Natural Gas Annual 2001 with supporting data, and EIA’s Historical Consumption by State
Over the past 10 years, the electric generation has been the fastest growing sector in the West and is now the largest gas consuming sector.
0
1
2
3
4
5
1991 2001
Tcf
Residential Commercial Industrial Electric Generation
Office of Energy Projects
24
MONTANAWASHINGTON
OREGON WYOMING
NEW MEXICO
NEVADA
UTAH
COLORADO
IDAHO
ALBERTA
ARIZONA
BRITISH COLUMBIA
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
CALIFORNIA
CHIHUAHUA
KANSAS
MANITOBA
NEBRASKA
OKLAHOMA
SASKATCHEWAN
SONORA
TEXAS
Source: RDI’s Powermap and NewGen (May 2003 data)
Planned gas-fired electric plants in the west for the period 2003-2005 will be located along the major interstate natural gas pipelines, and along the intrastate natural gas pipelines in California.
Under Construction
Natural Gas
Wind
Other
Advanced Development
Under Construction
Natural Gas
Wind
Other
Advanced Development
Natural Gas
Wind
Other
Advanced Development
Year
Proposed Generation in MW (Under Construction & Advanced development)
Related Gas Demand with Heat Rate of 5,687 BTU/KWH (MMcf/d)
Related Gas Demand with Heat Rate of 7,000 BTU/KWH (MMcf/d)
2003 (Post May 03)
8,661 688 846
2004 5,028 399 491
2005 3,019 240 295
Total 16,708 1,327 1,632
Office of Energy Projects
25
The West is dependent on pipeline capacity originating in Canada and the Southwest. As the Rocky Mountain basins develop, increased pipeline capacity will be required to transport this gas towards markets in the West and Midwest.
1.8 Bcf/d
1.1 Bcf/d
0.2 Bcf/d0.5 Bcf/d
3.8 Bcf/d
1.8 Bcf/d
0.4 Bcf/d
Source: RDI’s Powermap and EEA’s April 2002 data base (Average Pipeline Capacity for 2002)
Major Western Interstate Gas Pipelines
Colorado Interstate Gas Co.
El Paso Natural Gas Co.
Kern River Gas Transmission Mojave Pipeline Co.
Northern Border Pipeline Co.Northwest Pipeline Corp.
Paiute Pipeline Co.PG&E Gas Transmission, Northwest Questar Gas Co.Southern Star Central GasSouthern Trails PipelineTrailblazer Pipeline Co.TransColorado Gas TransmissionTranswestern Pipeline Co.
Tuscarora Gas Transmission
Williston Basin InterstateWyoming Interstate Co., Ltd.
Office of Energy Projects
26
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
27
26% Of Total US Gas Reserves Are Located in the Rocky Mountain
Region.
Sources: Wyoming Energy Commission’s Website; Mr. Chris Schenk of USGS; USGS’ Assessment of Oil and Gas Resources in Priority Basins in the US; and Power Map
PowderRiverBasin
BigHornBasin
Wind RiverBasin
Green River Basin
DenverBasin
OverthrustBelt
UTCO
MT
WY
Rocky MountainsTotal Resources 209 TcfConventional 29 TcfNon-Conventional 180 Tcf(Coal Bed Methane 45 Tcf)
Wyoming Southwestern Wyoming & Powder River Basin 101 TcfPowder River Basin – Coal Bed Methane 14.3 Tcf
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
28
Proved Gas Reserves
• Wyoming and Colorado comprised 10% and 7%, respectively, of EIA’s estimated total proved US gas reserves of 183.5 Tcf as of 12/31/01.
• Wyoming had the largest increase in proved reserves, by state or federal region, from 2000 to 2001 at 2.2 Tcf. (Total US reserves increased by 6 Tcf.)
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
29
Rocky Mountain Pipelines
Source: RDI Power Map and Capacity Volumes from Energy and Environmental Analysis Inc’s (EEA) April 2002 Base Case.
Eleven interstate pipelines are locatedwithin the four statesthat encompass the Rocky Mountain region.
These 11 pipelines havetotal average pipeline capacity of 5,204 MMcf/d comingout of the Rockies as ofMay 2003.
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
30
OpalHub
CheyenneHub
0.2 Bcf
2.2 Bcf
3.1 Bcf
Source: RDI PowerMap and various flow diagrams on file at the FERC.
Note: Williams Gas Pipelines Central Inc. is now Southern Star Central Gas Pipeline.
Interstate Pipeline Capacity Out of Wyoming
FERC
30
FERC
Office of Energy Projects
31
Productive Capacity vs.Pipeline Capacity
• EIA shows that the Rockies could produce up to 6 Bcf per day through 2003.
• Wyoming Energy Commission shows that the Rockies could produce up to almost 8.0 Bcf per day by 2005 and 11.0 Bcf per day by 2010.
• Both of these totals are greater than the current pipeline capacity of the region.