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What to Cut When You Can’t Cut Anymore: The Board’s
Role in Balancing the BudgetPresented by
Maureen EvansAssociate Vice PresidentSchool Services of California, Inc.
Ron BennettPresident and CEO
School Services of California, Inc.
Celia JaffeBoard President
Huntington Beach CSD
Penny RanftleBoard MemberPoway USD
2
Overview
Current climate
Comparative data
Board’s role – revenue and expense
Use of budget advisory committees
School closure(s)
Long-range financial planning goal
Current ClimateCurrent Climate
4
The Economy
Powerful economies do great things, and they generate a lot of tax revenue In past years, revenue growth was estimated at 4% to 6%
annually In 2000, it was more than 20%!
And now, it is dropping like a rock – flat revenues would be a plus
Past revenue growth allowed: The state to avoid cuts to any major expenditure areas Full funding of statutory and formula-driven increases Increases in important areas, including education An on-time budget
Yes, high revenue growth is a good thing! But, it is now also a thing of the past – way past
5
The Economy
In 2007-08, the choice between raising revenues or making a reduction in spending did not have to be made
The outlook for 2008-09 – and beyond – is a bit more clouded
Revenue projections are much weaker – high year-to-year growth is simply not sustainable over the longer term
The Budget assumed 2008-09 state revenues increase only slightly
Reflects that much of the jump in revenues in 2005-06 and 2006-07 is assumed to be one time
But revenues are coming in well below forecasts
6
K-12 Revenue Limits – An Overview
Look at the “Revenue Limit Roller Coaster” January’s Governor’s Budget proposed a 10% cut to
education Flexibility in spending was promised
By the May Revision, the cut was reduced Revenue limits were maintained from 2007-08 Categoricals were to be cut by 6.5%
By the September Budget Enactment, education was flat funded A tiny COLA, 0.68% was provided Flexibility was not included in the Budget
Just one month later, the Governor announced the Special Session to deal with declining revenues
What should we plan for given all these changes?
7
Structural Budget Shortfall Remains
The Legislative Analyst predicts major budget problems ahead
The state cannot “grow its way” out of this problem
Even with minor revenue growth, the budget gap swells
The message for us is – the status quo may be as good as it gets for a while
8
Governor Calls Special Session
Purpose of the Special Session – to reduce the budget deficit
The Governor proposes to do this: By cutting expenditures
$2 billion to $4 billion for education for this year, 2008-09
0.68% COLA would be “unfunded”
Additional cut to revenue limit of about $300 per average daily attendance (ADA)
By adding revenues
Largest source is proposed 1.5% sales tax increase
9
Proposition 98 Projections
Proposition 98 simply isn’t growing fast enough to provide a COLA
Proposition 111 allows the state to short education during bad times
Most of the 5.66% COLA for 2008-09 has already been deficited
The Governor’s proposal would take back the remaining 0.68%
We recommend districts also plan for a zero COLA for 2009-10
10
Proposition 98 Projections
By 2009-10, the absence of two COLAs would cause the deficit to be more than 10% – we would get only 90¢ on the dollar
We forecast that if that happens, about 500 districts go “Qualified” or “Negative” financially
We will fight for the COLAs but need a plan to live without them
Comparative DataComparative Data
12
How Do You Know If You’veCut Everything?
Use of comparative data to find area of opportunity Compare to similar-type district
Unified
Elementary
High Compare to similar-size districts Compare to districts with similar revenues Compare to districts with similar enrollment patterns
Examine numbers and types of employees
Examine expenditure patterns
Examine class size
13
How Is Your District Different?Why?
Compare your district revenues and expenditures to the correct district type
2006-07
Revenue Area
Unified High Elementary Your District$ Per ADA
% of Total
$ Per ADA
% of Total
$ Per ADA
% of Total
$ Per ADA
% of Total
Revenue Limit $5,907.76 62.86% $6,945.82 69.90% $5,706.90 63.54%Federal 758.13 8.07% 557.56 5.61% 713.83 7.95%Other State 2,212.45 23.54% 1,733.22 17.44% 1,841.09 20.50%
Other Local 520.12 5.53% 700.42 7.05% 720.10 8.02%
Subtotal $9,398.46 100% $9,937.02 100% $8,981.92 100%
Source: 2006-07 State-Certified Reports: J-90, CBEDS, SACS
14
2006-07
Expenditure Area
Unified High Elementary Your District
$ Per ADA % of Total $ Per ADA % of Total $ Per ADA % of Total $ Per ADA % of Total
CertificatedNon-Mgmt. Salaries $3,937.12 43.98% $3,869.51 41.42% $3,745.70 43.99%
ClassifiedNon-Mgmt. Salaries 1,235.87 13.81% 1,363.22 14.59% 1,123.00 13.19%
ManagementSalaries 498.00 5.56% 492.56 5.27% 487.91 5.73%
Employee Benefits 1,682.39 18.51% 1,711.40 17.74% 1,534.61 17.71%
Books & Supplies 478.25 5.34% 508.25 5.44% 468.11 5.50%
Services and Other Operating Exp. 893.18 9.98% 873.66 9.35% 817.36 9.60%
Capital Outlay 57.26 0.64% 69.14 0.74% 50.79 0.60%
Other Outgo 170.22 1.90% 453.89 4.86% 286.88 3.37%
Total Expenditures $8,952.29 100% $9,341.63 100% $8,514.36 100%
How Is Your District Different? Why?
Source: 2006-07 State-Certified Reports: J-90, CBEDS, SACS
15
Class Sizes/Staffing
Many districts have increased or may be considering increasing class sizes but be aware of constraints Class-Size Reduction incentives Legal limits Contractual limits
Grade Level Target Actual
Contract Limit Statewide*
Maximums per Education CodeSections 41376 and 41378
K-3 19.7
Kindergarten – average class size not to exceed 31 students; no class larger than 33 students and grades 1-3 average class size not to exceed 30 students; no classes larger than 32
4-8 27.5
Grades 4 through 8 – current fiscal-year average number of pupils per teacher not to exceed the greater of the statewide average number of pupils per teacher in 1964 (29.9) or the district’s average number of pupils per teacher in 1964
9-12 27.7 No limit
*Source: 2006-07 State-Certified CADIE
16
Where Can I Find Comparative Data?
SSC offers state-certified comparable data for comparison and analysis
Other resources for comparative data:
www.cde.ca.gov/ds/sd/cb/dataquest.asp
www.ed-data.k12.ca.us
The Board’s Role – Revenue and Expense
The Board’s Role – Revenue and Expense
18
You Have LimitedFlexibility in Revenues
Revenue areas that can be influenced by the district – examples: Revenue limits
Special emphasis on ADA tracking and improvement Federal revenues
Application for programs and grants Application for impact aid (PL-874)
Other state revenues Application for special programs Application for programs and grants Application for mandated costs
19
You Have LimitedFlexibility in Revenues
Other local revenues and financing sources Interest income Voted parcel taxes (operating funds) Maintenance assessment districts District property disposal and lease income Community foundations and grants Developer fees (capital facilities) Voted bonds (capital facilities) Fees for transportation, food services, or athletic
competitions
20
You Have Dramatic Flexibility in Allocating Expenditures
Expenditures areas that you control Organization of administrative staff
Assistant superintendents, directors, principals, and assistant principals
Compensation of district staff
Salary level and methodology of compensation
Benefit support and types offered Range of programs offered
Gifted and Talented Education (GATE), Economic Impact Aid (EIA), Peer Assistance and Review (PAR)
Preschool, community schools, opportunity schools
21
You Have Dramatic Flexibility in Allocating Expenditures
Design of categorical programs
Flexibility for delivery is very significant Class size for instructional programs
Class size by grade levels and programs
Continuation of low-enrolled programs Curriculum and instructional methods
Course offerings and program emphasis Staffing levels for support programs
Health, psychological, counseling, etc. Level and type of support services
Custodial, maintenance, and transportation
22
You Have Dramatic Flexibility in Allocating Expenditures
Type and location of facilities
Number, size, location, and grade level configuration Community support programs
Use of facilities – when, where, costs
Recreational services and offerings
Conclusion Determination of expenditures is local and historical – not
state controlled Districts are revenue dependent and relatively expenditure
independent
23
Achieving Proportional Reductions
Good planning is necessary to achieve balanced, proportional reductions
Don’t allow “sacred cows”
Arbitrarily protecting one program necessitates even greater cuts in others
Use comparative analysis to see how much stable districts of comparable size spend on each major object and try to get to that level
Don’t try to take all the cuts in just a few areas; spread the impact
Use of BudgetAdvisory Committees
Use of BudgetAdvisory Committees
26
Budget Advisory Committees
Budget Advisory Committees can be helpful Community buy-in Additional resources and ideas Political insulation Publicity agents for successes
Budget Advisory Committee, however, require: Strong, timely, committed staff resources Good leadership/strong chairperson Concrete, focused, short-term goals and projects Membership balance – avoid organization dominance
27
Budget Advisory Committees
Use the budget committee to assist in budget reduction analyses
Use short-focused areas: “Prioritize these six expenditure augmentation proposals” “Identify three district services, totaling an expenditure of
$500,000, that should be discontinued” “Analyze one service area and identify how the service
could be provided less expensively” “Develop a booklet that explains the district’s fiscal issues
to others” “Identify one program area that has the highest measured
accomplishment for the least expense” Do not leave the task open-ended; provide direction and focus Always make a Budget Advisory Committee “advisory”
School Closure(s)School Closure(s)
30
Political Consideration inClosing Schools
Closing a school is never popular, but may be necessary You cannot please everyone – expect to hear from the
opposition But you can follow a process that avoids the appearance of
being arbitrary or making a purely political decision Establish and follow objective criteria
Maximum savings Enrollment trends Size Proximity to other locations Condition and type of facility Access, traffic, and safety Performance
31
Political Consideration inClosing Schools
Timing – avoid holding discussions before school board elections or when a bond or parcel tax is to appear on the ballot
Allow time for meaningful hearings
Involve the community in planning
Long-Range Financial Planning Goal
Long-Range Financial Planning Goal
34
Long-Range Financial Planning
Multiyear projections – your guide to sound finance
Sometimes your first long-term goal is to survive the short term
The multiyear projection needs to “work”
35
Failure to Consider the Multiyear Impact of Budget Decisions
AB 1200/AB 2756 requires districts to consider the budget impact of the current year and two subsequent years
Multiyear planning does not rely on a crystal ball – it is the mathematical consequences of the actions of today
Most major budget failures can be traced to specific events and decisions
The county office of education should intervene if your multiyear projections are less than positive
We recommend you do a “sensitivity analysis” on your projections What happens if COLA assumptions go up or down? What if ADA changes?
Failure to look to the future may ensure that your own “future” ends
36
Failure to Follow Through on Budget Decisions
Difficult budgets require difficult decisions Those decisions are hard to make and sometimes the
Board takes considerable public punishment for making them
But once those decisions have been made, they must be implemented – but often they are not Positions are not cut Expenditures are not reduced
Failure to follow through, no matter how good the excuse, requires that the Board and superintendent readdresses the budget
Bad news does not get better with age – if the cuts can’t be made, develop a new plan early
37
Your End Goal –“The Bottom Line”
Focus on critical issues in your district
Recognize current problems that must be addressed immediately with the understanding that “we” (Board, staff, and community) share in the good and difficult times
Thank you