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What is Goliath up to and how
can David benefit from it?
ReGenerate
Introduction
• Utility WRA
• Scalability
• Reduce cost
ReGenerate
Typical Project
80 MW 40 x 2.0 MW Turbines 3 x 60m masts 1 x 80 m masts
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So you’ve got your data…
•60 m mast: $20-40k installed/tower •80 m mast : $80-100k installed/tower •Routine maintenance: $5-10k/year/tower •Corrective maintenance: $5-10k/year/tower •Communication: $1k/year/tower •60 m decommission: $ 5-10k •80 m decommission: $10-30k
Total tower costs over 5 years: ~$425k Cost per MW=$5.3k
You can go cheaper, but you have to be lucky or good.
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…but what it is worth?
• Data processing • $1-2k/tower/year
• Assessments • Informative
• Verification
• 1 / year?
• $5-30k per
• Total for project: ~$130k
• Cost/MW: $ 1.6k
Don’t collect it, if you can’t maintain and analyze it!
ReGenerate
It can be scaled down effectively…
• 80 MW: $555k • 4 masts • 5 years • 5 studies
• 20 MW: $139k • 2 masts • 2 years • 1 study
• 5 MW: $35k • 1 mast • 1 year • 1 study
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Analysis
Must spend every penny wisely.
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…but it rarely is.
• Lacking expertise
• Need solid planning
• No clear goals
• Scope creep
• No budget for ongoing costs
• Bad or no advice
• Penny wise and pound foolish
It is better to do a small thing well than a big thing poorly.
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How low can you go?
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When the party is over…
•60 m mast: $20-40k installed/tower •80 m mast : $80-100k installed/tower •Routine maintenance: $5-10k/year/tower •Corrective maintenance: $5-10k/year/tower •Communication: $1k/year/tower •60 m decommission: $ 5-10k •80 m decommission: $10-30k
Total tower costs over 5 years: ~$425k Cost per MW=$5.3k
You can go cheaper, but you have to be lucky or good.
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…somebody has to clean up
•Two options •Carefully decommission and stored •Cut it down •Difference is ~$5k
•How many 10 m masts can you get from a 60 m tower? •20 m? •30 m? •What modifications are necessary?
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Challenges remain
•Late to the party •Installers want to hold towers •Installation •Shipping •Economies of scale •Gov’t funds buying used equipment? •Need cooperation from manufacturer
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Is desperate too strong?
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Sensors are consistent
Part Quantity (per kit)
#40C anemometer or similar (used Part) 1
#200p wind vane or similar (used part) 1
1.53m or similar boom (used Part) 2
25' 2C Sensor Cable (used) 1
25' 3C Sensor Cable (used) 1
Ideal SS 6X500 Clamp (new) 2
Number 5 15 100 200
Unit Cost $300 $200 $75 $70
Total $1,500 $3,000 $7,500 $14,000
Delivery ASAP ASAP End of 2013 End of 2014
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Summary
• “Optics” are fantastic
• Needs proof of concept
• Many unanswered questions
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Questions?
Chris Nuckols
Phone: (712) 577-1825
Thank You
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Optimize early and often
Best times to optimize?
• Define project area
• Major milestones
• “Final” layout
• Now
Because optimization is so cheap compared to the potential value, ROI is always high.
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weaknesses
• Just a tool
• Only as good as data
• Butterfly effect
• Potential for overestimation
• Perfect can be the enemy of good
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Work in progress
• $/MWh
• Calculation vs. rule of thumb
• Early and often
• ROI
• Requires expertise
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What’s it worth?
• Improve project
• Lower Uncertainty
• Financing
• Comfort
• Is it worth it?
Don’t collect it, if you can’t maintain and analyze it!