59
Enabling Technologies Modelling Philosophy 1 predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre A legacy for mineral exploration science

What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Enabling Technologies

Modelling Philosophy

1

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 2: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

2

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

A. Gradient inhydraulicpotential

B. Permeability

C. Solubilitysensitivity to P, T, C

D. Spatialgradient of P, T, C

E. Time (duration)

Key Parameter

is reflected in

ExplorationMineral System

scale-dependent translation

5 Questions1. Geodynamics2. Architecture3. Fluid

reservoirs4. Flow drivers &

pathways5. Deposition

Terrain Selection

Area Selection

Drill Targeting

Page 3: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

What is a numerical model?

Numerical modeling is simply taking the equations that governa system and using them to simulate the changes in a systemwith math.

Always based on several assumptions

Create the most accurate model with the simplest equations

3

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 4: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Why use numerical models?What factors control the formation of ore deposits

Test hypotheses derived from field observations

Explore the effects of changing rock properties and/or boundaryConditions

e.g. permeability or mechanical strengthe.g. orientation of the far-field principal stresses

understand interactions between geological processes

determine the response of the system to any given parameter(e.g. deformation, fluid flow, heat transfer)

Provide quantitative results

Identify critical geological processes

Translate all of the qualitative research understanding intoquantitative spatial prediction

4

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 5: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Coupled Models

5

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 6: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Coupled Models

Proxies for earth processes – not replication

No code provides a proxy for all processes

Many codes evolved for different purposes (i.e. not for understanding earth processes)

Some basic parameters/relationships not well understood

All 3D models are boxes - boundary conditions critical

Formation of ore systems involves many complex interactionstime/length scale ≠ geological scale

So we need to couple codes which model different processes together

6

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 7: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Coupled Models

FLAC3Dfully coupled deformation and fluid flowcan handle permeability and pore pressure changes produced by deformation-induced dilatancy

7

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 8: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Coupled Models

FastFlohandles chemical reactions (equilibrium or kineticallycontrolled), mineral dissolution and precipitation, solute transport by advection and diffusion (with heat flow)

8

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

A

B

C

Page 9: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Deformation

Many ore deposits are structurally controlled

Create/destroy permeability

Pathways to fluids

Barriers/traps to fluids

Constitutive models: Elastic, plastic, viscous and combinationsof these

9

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 10: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Modelling Deformation

10

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Displacement vectors

Magnitudes of displacement vectors

Page 11: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Modelling Deformation

Simple Shearing of an Elastic Mohr-Coulomb Material.

If the material has non-associative constitutive behaviour, ie., the stress vector is not parallel to the plastic strain rate increment, then shear zones form spontaneously at yield (strain-hardening both+&-).

11

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Contours of plastic strain-rate.

Page 12: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Fluid Flow

Darcy flow (laminar flow through porous media) is the mostrelevant processes (not on all scales!)

Darcy flow is driven by hydraulic head (i.e. fluid flows downenergy potential gradients

Permeability in many cases is the key property to determinewhere fluid flows in a hydrothermal system

Permeability is a material property, but can by modified bydeformation (destruction and creation of pore space) andchemical reaction (dissolution / precipitation)

12

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 13: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Darcy’s Law

13

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

( )gPkq fρµ−∇−=

Fluid flux (m3/m2/s) = velocity x porosity

Permeability (m2)

Pressure gradient (Pa/m)

Fluid density (kg/m3)

Gravity (m/s2)Fluid viscosity (Pa s)

Flux = Rate x Driving Force

Page 14: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Fluid FLowWhat controls the driving force?

14

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Deformation– Dilation– Compaction

Fluid production/consumption– Dehydration reactions– Cooling magma

Topography

Fluid density– Temperature– Pressure– Chemical composition (salinity)

( )gPkq fρµ−∇−=

( )gPkq fρµ−∇−=

Page 15: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Modelling Fluid Flow

15

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Potential for mixing meteoric/basinal fluids with metamorphic fluids

Contours of shear strain + particle tracks

Downflow (due to extension)

Upflow (due to devol.)

Fluid moves towards shear zone – on edge of granite dome

Page 16: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Heat Transfer

Geologically relevant are only conduction and advection

Conduction is a diffusive process: ‘‘heat will flow from hot tocold’’

Advection is a transport process, whereby heat is transportedby a solid, fluid or gas

Advection is faster than diffusion

Normal geothermal gradient generally too small for convection(requires local heat source or high permeability)

16

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 17: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Heat Transfer

Conduction

Diffusive process: “heat will flow from hot to cold”

Fourier’s law:

Geotherms are conductive

17

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 18: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Heat Transfer

Advection

Heat is transported by a solid, fluid or gas

18

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 19: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Heat Transfer

Convection

Density-driven flow

Density varies with P, T, and chemistry

19

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

HEAT( )gPkq fρµ

−∇−=

Page 20: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Modelling Convection

20

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 21: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Transport

Molecular Diffusion is solute transport down a concentration gradient in chemical potential or concentrationSolute flux is directly proportional to the concentration gradient

Advection describes transport of solutes by movement of medium (e.g. fluid)

Dispersion describes the effect of an inhomogeneous flow field(heterogenity of porous media)

21

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 22: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Reaction

KINETIC MODELS Mineral reactions fall into three groups:

(1) reaction rates may be so slow relative to the time period of interest that the reaction can be ignored altogether

(2) those in which the rates are fast enough to maintain equilibrium

(3) the remaining reactions. Only those require a kinetic description

22

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 23: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Modelling Convection

23

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Gold concentration

(g/tonne)

Page 24: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

5 Processes – basic relationship

24

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

dtcccp

pcT

TcPgA

rr

r

eee ... ⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛∇

∂∂

+∇∂∂

+∇∂∂

∇= ∑∫ µκρ

Amount of material deposited at a particular point

Fluid viscosity

permeability

Fluid densitygravity

gradient in non-hydrostatic pressure

equilibrium solubility sensitivities with respect to T, P and c of other species

spatial gradients in T, p and cr

the time the system operates for

Page 25: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Current research issues

Accurate simulation of fracture porosity generation and fluidflow

Thermodynamic data for chemical modelling

Effective simulation of magma intrusion and wall rock effects

Geologically realistic consistency of models across all scales

Full coupling

Appropriate methodology

Appropriate constitutive model

25

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 26: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Efficiency gains

Computation time

Parameter space exploration (inversion process)

Stability

Visualisation and interpretation

User interaction

26

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 27: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Use in economic geology

In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction

So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisationand seek to find copies of them

NUMERICAL METHODS HELP TO UNDERSTAND PROCESSINTERACTION, AND TO MAKE PREDICTIONS ABOUT PHYSICALPROCESSES INTERACTING WITH COMPLEX GEOMETRIES

27

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 28: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

predictive mineral discovery*Cooperative Research Centre

A legacy for mineral exploration science

Page 29: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Convection cells and temperature contours

Page 30: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modelingLaverton model concept

Laverton model geometry in FLAC3D

Laverton model faults

Page 31: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Conclusion 2Conclusion 2

Under the effect of thrust loading from west, dilation is localized along the Bardoc shear and the lower part of the Ida fault, forming the dominant fluid transport channel.

Page 32: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Geometry of the modelGeometry of the model

Greenstones

Ida FaultBardoc Shear

140 km

53 k

m

Moho

ZuleikaFaultUpper Crust

Lower Crust

Page 33: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Model 1Model 1

• stratigraphic units + faults• no thrust loading• horizontal shortening

deformation

Page 34: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Dilation - Volumetric strain

Page 35: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Darcy Fluid Flow Vectors

Page 36: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Conclusion 1Conclusion 1

The Ida fault is the major channel for fluids to migrate upwards, but the Bardoc shear is also important.

Page 37: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Model 2Model 2

• stratigraphic units + faults• thrust loading

(the west margin)• horizontal shortening

deformation

Page 38: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Dilation - Volumetric strain

Page 39: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Darcy Fluid Flow Vectors

Page 40: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Darcy Fluid Flow

Vectors

(zoom-in view)

Page 41: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Model architectureModel architecture

Granite – old and cold

Greenstone

Conglomerate

Shale (turbidites)

Fault

(late)

30 km

15 km

Present-day erosion?

Page 42: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Rock propertiesRock properties

Medium

MediumHigh

LowVery

high Permeability

Strong

WeakModerate

Weak

Very wea

k

Strength (cohesion, friction

angle, tensile strength)

Page 43: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Results 1: Regional Results 1: Regional devolatilisationdevolatilisation

Heat from the base: T = 500 °C

Initialise with steady-state geotherm (30 °C/km at surface)

T = 25 °C

Page 44: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Results 1: Regional Results 1: Regional devolatilisationdevolatilisation

Page 45: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Results 2: Local Results 2: Local devolatilisationdevolatilisation

Initialise with steady-state geotherm (30 °C/km at surface)

T = 25 °C

Late (low-Ca) granites: Initialised at 750 °C

Page 46: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Fluid flow directions Fluid flow directions after 1 after 1 MyrMyr

Regional heating: Still dehydrating, upward flow (max. 3 x 10-10 m3/m2/s)

Local heating: Cooling and retrogression, downward flow (max. 0.9 x 10-10 m3/m2/s)

Page 47: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Integrated fluid flux Integrated fluid flux after 1 after 1 MyrMyr

Regional heating

Max. = 1.04 x 104 m3/m2

Local heating

Max. = 3.49 x 103 m3/m2

Page 48: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies1 Enabling Technologies Numerical modelingNumerical modeling

Results 3: Results 3: Regional Regional devolatilisationdevolatilisation + extension+ extension

Heat from the base: T = 500 °C

Initialise with steady-state geotherm (30 °C/km at surface)

T = 25 °C

Extend at strain rate ~8 x 10-15 s-1

Page 49: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Wallaby

Wallaby

Page 50: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Conceptual model

Page 51: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

Model Conditions• Burial depth of around 8km• Pore fluid pressure initialised at around 0.7 x lithostatic(~ 140 Mpa)

• Insitu boundary stress applied at a ratio ofσ1 / σ2 = 1.2

σ3 / σ2 = 0.8

σ1 = 240 MPaσ2 = 200 MPaσ3 = 160 MPa

Software – UDEC and FLAC 3d Comparisons

Page 52: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek
Page 53: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek
Page 54: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies 1 Enabling Technologies Mechanical modelingMechanical modeling

DeformationDeformation• Deformation of rock can create permeability (in solid rock) and destroy permeability (by enhancing compaction of unconsolidated sediment)

• Faults in mineral deposits often act as pathways to fluids, faults in hydrocarbon deposits often act as barriers to fluids

• The relation between stress and strain is described by a constitutive model

• Constitutive models: Elastic, plastic, viscous and combinations of these • Many ore deposits are structurally controlled• Important structures such as faults, jogs, and bends provide structural traps

• Focussing of metal laden fluids is an important issue in developing an ore deposit

Page 55: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies 1 Enabling Technologies Mechanical modelingMechanical modeling

DeformationDeformation• Elastic materials are characterized by reversible deformations upon unloading.

The stress-strain laws are linear and path-independent.

e.g. Hooke’s law

Stress = constant * strain

stress

strain

Page 56: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies 1 Enabling Technologies Mechanical modelingMechanical modeling

DeformationDeformationPlastic models potentially involve some degree of permanent, path-dependent deformations

non-linear stress-strain relations

Different models may be characterized by their yield function, hardening/softening functions and flow rule.

stress

strainStress = f(plastic strain)

Page 57: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies 1 Enabling Technologies Mechanical modelingMechanical modeling

MohrMohr--CoulombCoulombRepresentative forupper crustal rocks

Page 58: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

ValidationPhysical versus numerical experiments.

Volumetric strain versus axial

Axial stress versus axial strain strain

GA 02/000

Page 59: What is a numerical model and what is it good for? Outline ...In exploration, we are ONLY interested in prediction So we observe patterns associated with known mineralisation and seek

1 Enabling Technologies 1 Enabling Technologies Mechanical modelingMechanical modeling

Fluid flowFluid flowDarcy Fluid Flow

Vectors

(zoom-in view)