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What Drives the Issuance of Putable
Convertibles: Risk-Shifting, Asymmetric
Information, or Taxes?
Thomas J. Chemmanur and Karen Simonyan∗
This paper presents the first empirical analysis of firms’ rationale for issuing putable convertiblebonds in the literature. We distinguish between three possible rationales for the issuance ofputable convertibles: 1) the risk-shifting hypothesis, 2) the asymmetric information hypothesis,and 3) the tax savings hypothesis. The results of our empirical analysis can be summarizedas follows. First, putable convertible issuers are larger, less risky firms, having larger cashflows, smaller growth opportunities, and lower bankruptcy probabilities as compared to ordinaryconvertible issuers. Second, putable convertible issuers have lower preissue market valuations,more favorable announcement effects, and better postissue operating performance when comparedto ordinary convertible issuers. Third, putable convertible issuers have better postissue long-runstock return performance as compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Finally, putable convertibleissuers typically have greater tax obligations and better credit ratings than ordinary convertibleissuers. Overall, the results of our univariate as well as multivariate analyses provide supportfor the asymmetric information and tax savings hypotheses, but little support for the risk-shiftinghypothesis.
The objective of this paper is to study financial innovation and the rationale for developinginnovative securities.1 We focus on a specific innovative security, putable convertibles, which areconvertible bonds that allow bondholders to “put” or sell the bonds to the issuer at prespecifiedprices on prespecified dates. Starting from small beginnings in the 80s and early 90s, putableconvertibles have become the most successful financial innovation in the convertible bond marketin the last 5 to 10 years.2 Thus, according to the Securities Data Company (SDC) database, whilethe total amount of capital raised by issuing putable convertibles was only $6.1 billion in the 1980s,it grew to $25.6 billion in the 1990s, and skyrocketed to $122 billion in the 2000s (from 2000 to2003). In fact, in the 2000s, more money was raised by issuing putable convertibles than through
For helpful comments and discussions, we thank Debarshi Nandy, Susan Shu, Bob Taggart, Hassan Tehranian, Chris Veld,An Yan, as well as seminar participants at Boston College, Lehigh University, Seton Hall University, Suffolk University,and conference participants at the 2009 Financial Intermediation Research Society Meetings, the 2006 European FinanceAssociation Meetings, the 2006 Financial Management Association Meetings, and the 2005 Southern Finance AssociationMeetings. We also thank Rayna Kumar for excellent research assistance. Special thanks to an anonymous referee and BillChristie (the editor) for several helpful comments. We alone are responsible for any errors or omissions.
∗Thomas J. Chemmanur is a Professor of Finance at the Carroll School of Management at Boston College in Boston, MA.Karen Simonyan is an Assistant Professor of Finance at the Sawyer Business School at Suffolk University in Boston, MA.
1There is significant empirical and theoretical literature regarding the development of financial innovations. See Schroth(2006) for an example of the former and Herrera and Schroth (2000) for an example of the latter.2The other successful financial innovation in the convertibles market over the last two decades is mandatory convertibles.However, the amounts raised through putable convertibles have by far outstripped the amounts raised through mandatoryconvertibles. See Chemmanur, Nandy, and Yan (2003) for a study of mandatory convertibles.
Financial Management • Autumn 2010 • pages 1027 - 1067
1028 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Figure 1. Total Proceeds of Putable and Ordinary (Nonputable) Convertible Debt
Offerings Conducted in the United States from 1982 to 2003 by Year of Issue
The numbers represent the total proceeds of all the issues of putable and ordinary convertible debt (with theexclusion of poison put convertible debt offerings) identified in SDC/Global New Issues database for thesample period.
ordinary (nonputable) convertibles: only $109 billion was raised by ordinary convertibles, so thatputable convertibles constituted 52.71% of the total amount raised in the convertibles market (seeFigure 1 ).3,4
Putable convertibles fall into two broad categories: 1) zero coupon putable convertibles (about36% of our sample) and 2) those paying a coupon (about 64% of our sample). It is useful toillustrate various features of putable convertibles using two examples of these issues. The firstexample is the issue of $281.26 million worth of zero coupon putable convertibles by MotorolaInc. on September 27, 1993. Each bond (with a face value of $1,000) was issued at $639.23, hada maturity date of September 27, 2013 (20-year maturity), and was convertible to 5.589 sharesof Motorola common stock at any time prior to maturity. In addition, however, the bonds wereputable by investors to the company on September 27, 1998 (i.e., 5 years from the issue date) at$714.90 and also at 5 years and 10 years after that at prices of $799.52 and $894.16, respectively.Consider now a second example illustrating a coupon paying putable convertible issue. On May 1,2001, Adelphia Communications Corporation issued $500 million worth of putable convertiblespaying 3.25% coupon and maturing on May 1, 2021. The bonds were issued at par and were
3In 2004-2005, there were 160 putable convertible issues raising a total of $38.5 billion. In comparison, there were 214ordinary convertible issues raising a total of $24.0 billion in new capital.4While the focus of this study is on US firms issuing putable convertibles in the United States, a number of Europeanfirms have also issued putable convertibles in the Eurobond market. Examples of such firms are the UK firms Lonrho,Consolidated Gold Fields, BET, Next, the Austrian firm Bank Austria, and the Polish firm Elektrim.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1029
convertible to 22.853 shares each of Adelphia common stock at any time prior to maturity. Thebonds were putable to the firm at par (plus accrued and unpaid interest) on the following dates:May 1, 2003 (two years from the issue date), May 1, 2005, May 1, 2007, May 1, 2011, andMay 1, 2016.5 A key feature worth noting about putable convertibles is that unlike ordinaryconvertible holders (who have no recourse but to wait for the stock price to rise above the strikeprice), putable convertible holders can earn a fair return simply by putting the bond back to theissuer. In other words, unless the stock price rises to a significant premium over the conversionprice, investors may be better off exercising the put option rather than waiting to convert toequity.6
Putable convertibles came under intense scrutiny and attack in the financial press in late 2001and 2002, after a number of companies (e.g., Calpine, Inc.; Marriott International, Inc.; StillwellFinancial, Inc.; and Household International, Inc.) were forced to raise additional financing in theequity or debt market to repurchase the putable convertible bonds issued by them (either partiallyor fully) when investors exercised their put option. Many analysts commented that the firms thatissued these securities were wrongly advised by investment banks that these were sources ofunusually cheap financing, without emphasizing the significant probability of the put options inthese convertible bonds being exercised. “These deals are turning out to be much more expensiveand troublesome for companies than expected, as some were advised that the likelihood of a putwas extremely low . . . CFOs of these firms were not expecting these deals to be put back to themin a year” (“The Convert Boomerang,” Investment Dealers’ Digest, March 2002). It was alsoargued that a company’s outstanding putable convertible issue was contributing to a downwardspiral in both its stock price and credit quality.7 Alternatively, many putable convertible issuersdefended the security saying that the cheap financing they obtained made the risk of the put beingexercised well worth taking, and mentioning that they had either the cash on hand to honor apossible put or were able to raise such cash on favorable terms at short notice.
The above debate among practitioners about the desirability of issuing putable convertiblesraises several interesting questions. First, what is the true rationale behind firms issuing putableconvertibles? After all, we know that in a Modigliani-Miller (1958) setting, issuers should beindifferent between issuing putable and ordinary convertibles. Second, is it indeed the case thatputable convertible issues are received particularly negatively by the stock market as comparedto the issues of convertible debt without such a put provision attached? Third, how do firmsissuing putable convertibles compare with those issuing ordinary convertibles in terms of long-run operating and stock return performance subsequent to the issuance of these securities?Unfortunately, there has been no academic literature on putable convertibles thus far to enableus to answer the above questions. The objective of this paper is to answer these and other relatedquestions by developing the first empirical study of putable convertibles.
5Like most other convertible bonds, both bonds were callable as well. The Motorola issue was callable starting five yearsafter the issue, while the Adelphia Communications issue was callable starting four years after the issue.6It is important to distinguish between putable convertibles and “poison put” convertibles, which are convertible bonds thatbecome putable only in the event of certain corporate events such as a change in control of the firm following a takeover.In contrast, the putable convertibles in our sample become putable on prespecified dates according to a prespecified putschedule (though some of them may also have additional put provisions in the event of some specified corporate events).We exclude pure “poison put” convertibles from our sample since the factors driving the issuance of these seem to bequite different from those driving the issuance of putable convertibles. See Nanda and Yun (1996) for a study of poisonput convertibles. While there were a number of issues of poison put convertibles during the late 80s and early 90s, theissues of such poison put convertibles have been reduced to a trickle in recent years.7See “Headed for a Fall,” (Fortune Magazine, November 26, 2001) and “Convertible Bonds” (The Economist, November14, 2002) for similar comments.
1030 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Our primary goal is to identify the factors driving the issuance of putable convertibles. Weanalyze three possible rationales that may drive the issuance of putable convertibles: 1) risk-shifting, 2) asymmetric information, and 3) tax savings. We first discuss the underlying theoryand develop testable hypotheses based on each of these rationales for our empirical analysis. Giventhat the primary difference between putable and ordinary convertibles is the put option enablinginvestors to sell the convertible bond back to the issuer according to a prespecified put schedule,the natural research design to accomplish this task is to compare the various characteristics ofputable and ordinary convertible issuers, as well as the stock return and operating performanceof these firms after the issue. Therefore, we adopt such a research design to distinguish betweenthe risk-shifting, asymmetric information, and tax savings hypotheses regarding firms’ issuanceof putable versus ordinary convertibles.8
We now briefly discuss the risk-shifting, asymmetric information, and tax savings rationalesfor the issuance of putable versus ordinary convertibles (we analyze these in detail in Section I).These rationales are suggested by the existing theoretical literature. The “risk-shifting” or “assetsubstitution” hypothesis is based on the argument that in a setting of incomplete contracting andwhere a firm has a significant probability of financial distress, stockholders have an incentive totake on excessively risky projects in an attempt to transfer wealth from bondholders to themselves.Ordinary convertibles have the ability to mitigate these distortions in stockholder incentives byallowing convertible holders to convert to equity when the stock price is high, thus sharing insome of the “upside” generated by the risky investment strategy adopted by the firm. They cannot,however, eliminate such incentives (Green, 1984). Putable convertibles can further reduce suchincentive distortions by allowing putable convertible holders to obtain their money back if theyobserve the firm engaging in suboptimal investment policies. As we argue in Section I, the testableimplication here is that putable convertibles are more likely to be issued by firms that have bettergrowth opportunities, and those that are smaller and riskier with a greater probability of financialdistress overall.
The “asymmetric information” hypothesis postulates that putable convertibles are issued byfirms with favorable private information (currently undervalued in the stock market), who assessa lower probability of their put option being exercised when compared to overvalued firms(whose insiders have less favorable private information about their firm value). Thus, firms withmore favorable private information (undervalued firms) will issue putable convertibles whilethose with less favorable private information will issue ordinary convertibles. As we argue inSection I, this has the testable implication that in addition to being undervalued, firms issuingputable convertibles will have more favorable announcement effects and better postissue operatingperformance as compared to a matched sample of ordinary convertible issuers.
The tax savings hypothesis argues that putable convertible issuers may be partially motivatedby their desire to save on income taxes (see Section I for details). This has the testable predictionthat firms that have greater income tax obligations and those in higher credit rating categories(who will have more income to shelter from taxes) are more likely to issue putable rather thanordinary convertibles.9
8In principle, one can compare the characteristics of putable convertible issuers to those of not only ordinary convertibleissuers, but also issuers of other securities like straight debt and common stock (as well as other innovative securities).However, there may be a number of market imperfections that may affect a firm’s choice of equity versus debt (as well asother securities). Given that there is no consensus in either the theoretical or the empirical literature regarding the specificimperfections driving the above choice, it is impossible to include all of these imperfections in our empirical analysis.Therefore, the approach we have taken here is to compare putable convertibles with the closest “standard” securitiesissued by firms, which are clearly ordinary convertibles.9We also develop testable implications arising from the above three theories for subsamples of putable convertible issuersthat we discuss in Section I.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1031
Our results can be summarized as follows. First, firms that issue putable convertibles arelarger, less risky firms with smaller growth opportunities and a lower overall probability ofbankruptcy as compared to those issuing ordinary convertibles. These results do not supportthe risk-shifting hypothesis. Second, putable convertible issuers have lower preissue marketvaluations when compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Third, they also experience morefavorable abnormal stock returns upon the announcement of an issue as compared to a matchedsample of ordinary convertible issuers. Fourth, putable convertible issuers exhibit better long-runpostissue operating performance when compared to firms issuing ordinary convertibles. Fifth,among putable convertible issuers, the subsample of firms issuing putable convertibles with largerconversion premia (i.e., with conversion options that are more out of the money) have lowerpreissue market valuations, more favorable announcement effects, and better long-run operatingperformance than the subsample of firms issuing putable convertibles with smaller conversionpremia. The last four results broadly support the predictions of the asymmetric informationhypothesis. Sixth, firms issuing putable convertibles have greater income tax obligations thanthose issuing ordinary convertibles. Additionally, a greater proportion of putable convertibleissues fall into higher credit rating categories as compared to ordinary convertible issues. Thesetwo results support the tax savings hypothesis, with the latter result being inconsistent withthe risk-shifting hypothesis. Finally, putable convertible issuers exhibit better long-run stockreturn performance in the years after the issue when compared to ordinary convertible issuers.Overall, our empirical analysis provides support for the asymmetric information and tax savingshypotheses, but relatively little support for the risk-shifting hypothesis.
Our paper is related to three strands in the literature. The first strand is the empirical and the-oretical literature regarding the development of financial innovations. An important contributionto this literature is Tufano (1989), who demonstrates that imitation occurs shortly after the firstissue of a new security and that the development cost is significantly smaller for imitators than forinnovators. Schroth (2006) measures the difference in value to firms from raising money using asecurity engineered by an innovator versus an imitator, and explains part of the innovator’s marketshare advantage. The theoretical literature on innovation has argued that innovators may facelower search costs of identifying issuers and investors (Allen and Gale, 1994) or lower marketingcosts if there are fixed costs of setting up marketing networks (Ross, 1989). In a related paper,Bhattacharyya and Nanda (2000) argue that innovators may be able to appropriate a larger fractionof the value generated by their innovations despite the entry of imitators if switching by clientsto other underwriters is costly.
The second strand in the literature that our paper is related to is the theoretical and empiricalliterature regarding specific financial innovations, especially those involving convertible features.Examples of this literature are Chatterjee and Yan (2008) who study contingent value rights(CVRs) in takeovers, Chemmanur, Nandy, and Yan (2003) who develop a theoretical and empiricalanalysis of mandatory convertibles, Hillion and Vermaelen (2004) who develop a theoretical andempirical analysis of “death spiral” convertibles, and Nanda and Yun (1996) who study “poisonput” convertibles (see Footnote 6 for the distinction between putable and poison put convertibles).While all of the above papers study innovative securities with convertible features, none of thesepapers focus on putable convertibles.
The third strand in the literature related to our paper is the theoretical and empirical litera-ture regarding ordinary convertibles. The theoretical literature concerning ordinary convertiblesincludes Stein (1992), Green (1984), Constantinides and Grundy (1989), Mayers (1998), andBrennan and Kraus (1987). The large empirical literature about ordinary convertibles includes,among others, Dann and Mikkelson (1984), Billingsley and Smith (1996), Spiess and Affleck-Graves (1999), and Lewis, Rogalski, and Seward (1999, 2001). Our paper is also indirectly related
1032 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
to the theoretical and empirical literature concerning the information content of a firm’s call policyregarding the ordinary convertibles it has issued (Harris and Raviv, 1985; Nyborg, 1995; Brick,Palmon, and Patro, 2007).10
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section I discusses theory and develops testablehypotheses. Section II describes our data. Section III presents our empirical tests and resultsconcerning three possible rationales for issuing putable convertibles. Section IV explores analternative explanation suggested by practitioners for the issuance of putable convertibles, whileSection V provides our conclusions.
I. Theory and Hypotheses
A. The Risk-Shifting or Asset Substitution Hypothesis
It is well known that when a firm has a significant probability of financial distress, outstandingdebt can distort the incentives of equity holders in a setting of incomplete contracting aboutthe firm’s investment policy, motivating them to engage in risk-shifting (Jensen and Meckling,1976) or underinvestment (Myers, 1977). Green (1984) demonstrates that ordinary convertibledebt can mitigate the above loss in value due to the risk-shifting incentives of stockholders. Sinceconvertible holders have the ability to convert this debt to equity when equity value is high (so thatequity holders will have to share any increased equity value arising from risk-shifting with theseconvertible debt holders) equity holders’ incentives to engage in risk-shifting in the first placeis reduced when ordinary convertibles are issued rather than straight debt. However, as Green(1984) notes, ordinary convertibles can only mitigate the incentives of equity holders to engagein risk-shifting and the pursuit of other suboptimal investment policies. They cannot eliminatesuch investment distortions. In this situation, putable convertibles can further reduce the abovedistortions in stockholder incentives by allowing putable convertible holders to demand theirmoney back (on the next available put date) if they observe the firm engaging in risk-shifting orother suboptimal investment policies. In contrast, since such a put provision is absent, the onlyrecourse of ordinary convertible debt holders is to wait until the equity value increases to the pointwhere it is optimal for them to convert to equity, thus sharing in any value gains created by thefirm’s investment policies (a recourse also available to putable convertible holders). In summary,putable convertibles are able to control distortions in stockholder incentives more effectively thanordinary convertibles.11
10There is a small theoretical and empirical literature regarding straight putable bonds (see David, 2001, for a theoreticalanalysis of the strategic value of such bonds in liquidity crises and Cook and Easterwood, 1994, for an empirical analysisof straight poison put bonds). Our paper is also indirectly related to the larger literature concerning raising externalfinancing under asymmetric information (Myers and Majluf, 1984).11A formal theoretical development of these arguments can be found in an appendix to the working paper version ofthis article. Thus, consider a firm’s choice between three mutually exclusive projects: 1) a safe project, S, that has thelowest risk (standard deviation of cash flows) but highest NPV; 2) a medium-risk project, M , that has the next highestrisk but lower NPV than Project S; and 3) a high-risk project, R, that has the highest risk but lowest NPV. We firstdemonstrate that, under suitable parameter variables, a firm that issues debt to finance its project will choose Project Rdue to the risk-shifting considerations discussed in Jensen and Meckling (1976). However, if a firm that has all threeprojects available it issues putable convertibles to finance its project, and then the firm chooses the highest NPV (andsafest) Project S. Alternatively, if the same firm issues ordinary convertibles, it continues to choose Project R. If, however,a firm with only two projects, S and M , available to it issues ordinary convertibles, then the firm chooses the highest NPVProject S. This illustrates that when the portfolio of projects available to a firm is not too risky, ordinary convertiblesare sufficient to eliminate the risk-shifting problem; however, if the portfolio of projects is very risky, then only putableconvertibles can accomplish this task. In summary, the equilibrium choice of security issued by a firm depends on the
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1033
On the cost side, however, the put option in putable convertibles means that stockholders’ abilityto pursue genuinely value increasing long-term investment strategies may be circumscribed by thefact that convertible holders may put the bonds back to the firm if its stock price were to go down,even due to factors outside the stockholders’ (managers’) control. Thus, under the mitigationof risk-shifting hypothesis, putable convertibles will be issued by those firms whose benefitsfrom controlling distortions in the firm’s investment policies outweigh any costs of issuing thesesecurities.12
The risk-shifting hypothesis leads to the following testable implications. First, since the prob-ability of asset substitution is greater for firms with more growth opportunities (which tend tobe riskier firms), this hypothesis predicts that such firms are more likely to issue putable ratherthan ordinary convertibles (H1). Second, the greater the probability of bankruptcy, the greater theincentives of stockholders to engage in risk-shifting. Thus smaller and riskier firms or those withhigher existing financial leverage (those with a greater probability of financial distress overall)are more likely to issue putable rather than ordinary convertibles under this hypothesis (H2). Forsimilar reasons, the risk-shifting hypothesis predicts that a greater proportion of putable convert-ible issues will be in the lower credit rating categories as compared to ordinary convertible issues(H3A).
Given that the risk-shifting hypothesis does not postulate any ex ante private information onthe part of firm insiders at the time of security issue (and, therefore, no differences in privateinformation across putable and ordinary convertible issuers), the risk-shifting hypothesis predictsno difference in the announcement effects across the two types of security issues (H4A). Forsimilar reasons, the risk-shifting hypothesis also implies that there will be no difference in themarket valuation of firms issuing putable versus ordinary convertibles prior to the issue (H5A).Finally, the risk-shifting hypothesis predicts no difference in the postissue operating performanceof firms issuing putable versus ordinary convertibles (H6A). As we discuss in Footnote 11, therisk-shifting hypothesis implies that firms having a highly risky portfolio of projects available tothem will issue putable convertibles in equilibrium while those having a less risky portfolio willissue ordinary convertibles. Since, in each case, the firm will optimally eliminate the risk-shiftingproblem faced by it, one should expect to find no difference in postissue operating performanceacross the issuers of the two kinds of convertibles.13
portfolio of projects available to it. Firms having a highly risky portfolio of projects will issue putable convertibles, whilethose having a less risky portfolio of projects will issue ordinary convertibles, in each case eliminating the risk-shiftingproblem faced by it.12One can also think of the benefit of raising external financing by issuing putable convertibles in Jensen’s (1986) “freecash flow” framework. Putable convertibles allow investors to reduce managerial discretion in making use of the firm’scash flows (by putting the convertibles back to the firm) contingent upon observing a greater potential for the wastage ofthese cash flows (due to the lack of availability of a sufficient number of positive net present value projects to the firm).If the firm were to issue ordinary convertibles or straight debt instead, the above ability of investors to reduce managerialdiscretion in using the firm’s cash flows would not be contingent on the firm’s investment opportunity set.13One may at first conjecture that the postissue operating performance of firms issuing putable convertibles can beexpected to be better than that of firms issuing ordinary convertibles since while ordinary convertible issuers continue toinvest in suboptimal risky projects, the put feature will provide the putable convertible issuers with incentives to refrainfrom choosing such projects. For such a conjecture to be valid, we need to make the additional assumption that whilefirms issuing putable convertibles are making their equilibrium choice, those issuing ordinary convertibles are actingout of equilibrium when they choose to issue that security (i.e., they could benefit from issuing putable convertiblesinstead). In contrast, in developing Hypothesis H6A, we are assuming that both types of convertible issuers are makingtheir equilibrium (optimal) choice of security. We thank an anonymous referee for suggesting that we address this issue.
1034 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
B. The Asymmetric Information Hypothesis
Consider a situation where insiders have information superior to outsiders about the futureearnings and cash flows of their firm (and, as such, about the intrinsic value of its equity). In thissituation, insiders of a firm whose equity is currently undervalued relative to its intrinsic valueare more likely to bundle a put option when issuing convertible debt compared to insiders ofa firm that is overvalued. This is because insiders of a firm with favorable private informationabout its future cash flows are aware that once their private information is public, their firm’sequity value will reflect this, so that the put option bundled with its convertible debt issue is lesslikely to be exercised. In contrast, it would be costly for insiders of a firm with less favorableprivate information to mimic the above strategy as their stock price is more likely to fall whentheir private information becomes public, increasing the probability that any put options bundledwith their convertible debt issue will be exercised. This, in turn, implies that rational investorswill infer that any firm issuing a putable convertible is an undervalued (rather than an overvalued)firm.14
The above theory has several implications for issuers’ choice between putable and ordinaryconvertibles. First, the above theory predicts that the announcement effects in the equity market tofirms issuing putable convertibles will be more favorable (less negative) than those of a matchedset of firms issuing ordinary convertibles (H4B). Second, the average market valuation of putableconvertible issuers prior to the issue (as measured by the ratio of price to intrinsic value, whereintrinsic value is calculated conditional on insiders’ private information) will be lower than theaverage market valuation of ordinary convertible issuers (H5B). Third, the postissue operatingperformance of putable convertible issuers will be better than that of ordinary convertible issuerssince the favorable private information of putable convertible issuers regarding their firms’ futurecash flows is realized over time (H6B).15
We now develop the implications of the asymmetric information hypothesis for subsamplesof firms issuing putable convertibles based on conversion premium (i.e., the extent to which thestock price must rise for the conversion option to be in the money).16 In order to develop theseimplications, we consider an extension of the Stein (1992) asymmetric information model ofconvertible debt issuance, where we allow a firm facing asymmetric information in the financialmarket to signal not only through its choice of security issued, but also through the conversionpremium (when the chosen security is a convertible). In Stein’s (1992) model, there are three dates:Times 0, 1, and 2, and three types of firms (good G, medium M , bad B) differing in their abilityof realizing a high rather than a low cash flow at Time 2. This probability is private informationto firm insiders at Time 0. In addition, the lowest type, B, faces a probability of “deterioration.” If
14One way to think of the put option in a convertible issue is as something akin to a “money-back guarantee” or a warrantyin the product market. Clearly, the manufacturers of higher quality products (similar to undervalued firms in our setting)are more likely to offer such money-back guarantees as compared to manufacturers of lower quality products (akin toovervalued firms in our setting) since the former are aware that consumers are less likely to use their guarantee. SeeGrossman (1981) for a formal model as to how warranties can signal quality in the product market and Gibson and Singh(2002) for a theoretical model of how put options attached to equity can signal insiders’ favorable private informationabout their firm’s intrinsic value to outsiders.15A formal theoretical development of these arguments, applied specifically to the issuance of putable versus ordinaryconvertibles, is available in an appendix to the working paper version of this article. We demonstrate there using atheoretical example that under suitable parameter values, higher intrinsic value firms facing a choice between putable andordinary convertibles under asymmetric information will issue putable convertibles in equilibrium, while lower intrinsicvalue firms will issue ordinary convertibles.16We thank an anonymous referee for suggesting that we conduct an analysis of subsamples of firms issuing putableconvertibles based on their conversion premium (i.e., the extent to which their conversion options are out of the money).
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1035
the firm deteriorates, it realizes a low cash flow with certainty. The menu of securities availableto firms is straight debt, ordinary convertibles, or equity. Any firm that cannot meet its paymentobligations under either kind of debt (straight or convertible) faces an exogenous cost of financialdistress. While final cash flows are realized only at Time 2, the true type of firms (i.e., the privateinformation of insiders) is publicly revealed at Time 1. This will be reflected in the firm’s stockprice at this date. In equilibrium, type G firms issue straight debt, type M firms issue ordinaryconvertibles, and type B firms issue equity. The intuition here is that type G firms are confidentin realizing a high cash flow; as such, they do not face a significant probability of having to paythe distress cost allowing them to issue debt. Type B firms do not wish to issue either kind of debtsince they assess a significant probability of cash flow deterioration thus being forced to pay thedistress cost if they issue any debt. Therefore, they issue equity. Type M firms issue convertibledebt allowing them to avoid pooling with type B firms and simultaneously avoiding incurring thedistress cost as they are confident their stock price will be high enough by Time 1 that convertibleholders will convert to equity.
We now extend the Stein (1992) model by adding putable convertibles to the menu of securities(replacing straight debt in that model), keeping the other two securities in the menu (ordinaryconvertibles and equity) the same. We also assume four types of firms: 1) G1, 2) G2, 3) M , and4) B each differing in their probability of realizing a high rather than a low cash flow, which isprivate information to firm insiders. Type G1 has a greater probability of realizing a high cashflow than type G2, which, in turn has a higher probability of realizing a high cash flow than typeM . Finally, firm insiders can signal their type (private information) using a combination of twosignals: 1) the choice of security to issue and 2) the conversion premium (if they choose to issue aconvertible, is it putable or ordinary). All other assumptions are as in Stein (1992). In this setting,it can be demonstrated that type G1 firms will issue putable convertibles with a high conversionpremium (i.e., with the conversion option more out of the money), and type G2 firms will alsoissue putable convertibles, but with a low conversion premium. The other two types of firms,M and B, will issue ordinary convertibles and equity, respectively, as in the Stein (1992) model.The intuition behind the above choices is as follows. The two highest types issue putable ratherthan ordinary convertibles since they assess a great enough probability of realizing a high cashflow; as such, they assess only a low probability of the put attached to the convertible being inthe money and, therefore, being exercised at Time 1. Type G1 issues putable convertibles with ahigher conversion premium than type G2 given that insiders expect their firm’s stock price to riseto a higher extent from current levels than that of type G2. As such, they will set the strike priceof the conversion option of the putable convertible at a higher level than that set by type G2 firminsiders. The intuition behind type M issuing an ordinary rather than a putable convertible is asfollows. The insiders of type M firms assess a greater probability than the G1 or G2 type firmsthat if they bundle a put option with their convertible debt, it will be exercised. The intuitionbehind type B firms issuing equity rather than any kind of debt is similar to that in the Stein(1992) model.
Thus, our extension of the Stein (1992) model implies that firm insiders with more favorableprivate information will issue putable convertibles with a high conversion premium. This has threetestable predictions for subsamples of firms issuing putable convertibles. First, the announcementeffects in the equity market of putable convertible issues with a high conversion premium relativeto a matched set of ordinary convertible issues will be more favorable than that of putableconvertible issues with a low conversion premium (H7). Second, the average market valuationof firms issuing putable convertibles with a high conversion premium prior to the issue (asmeasured by the ratio of price to intrinsic value, where intrinsic value is calculated conditionalon insiders’ private information) will be lower than that of firms issuing putable convertibles
1036 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
with a low conversion premium (H8). Additionally, the postissue operating performance of firmsissuing putable convertibles with a high conversion premium will be better than that of firmsissuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium (H9) as the more favorable privateinformation of the former category of firms will be realized over time.
The private information hypothesis does not predict any differences in the long-run stock returnperformance of putable and ordinary convertible issuers if outside investors are fully rational andthe stock market is completely efficient. This is because such investors will fully infer the insiders’private information from their decision to issue putable rather than ordinary convertibles. As such,this inference will be fully reflected in the stock price on the day of the announcement. In otherwords, there will be no differences in the long-run returns measured subsequent to the issue. If,however, investors are only boundedly rational, so that the insiders’ private information is not fullyreflected in the stock price on the announcement day, but is incorporated over a longer period, thenone would expect superior long-run performance from putable convertible issuers when comparedto a matched sample of ordinary convertible issuers. In any case, long-run stock returns oftengo hand in hand with operating performance. As such, it is worth comparing the long-run stockreturn performance of putable and ordinary convertible issuers, at least as a robustness check.Therefore, this is the tenth hypothesis (H10) that we test here.17,18
C. The Tax Savings Hypothesis
The tax savings hypothesis argues that putable convertible issuers may be partially motivatedby their desire to save on corporate income taxes. A significant proportion of putable convertiblesare zero-coupon bonds (36% in our sample) and the present value of deductions from taxableincome is greater for such bonds since the “contingent debt” feature of the tax code allows theoriginal issue discount of zero-coupon bonds to be deducted yearly (similar to coupon paymentsin the case of coupon-bearing bonds) even though the issuing firm does not make any cashpayments to investors until the maturity date. However, one disadvantage of zero-coupon putableconvertibles to investors is that no cash flows are paid to them until the maturity date, so that theeffective maturity of the bond is longer (relative to a comparable coupon-bearing bond). Thus,under the tax savings hypothesis, issuers who want to reduce taxes by issuing zero-coupon bondsmay include a put provision in these bonds as a “sweetener” for investors (reducing the effectivematurity back to acceptable levels by allowing investors to obtain their money back earlier if theyso desire).19
This hypothesis has three testable implications. First, it predicts that firms that have greaterincome tax obligations are more likely to issue putable rather ordinary convertibles (H11).
17Of course, if the stock market reflects insiders’ private information only over a longer period of time, the difference inabnormal returns on the announcement day between putable and ordinary convertible debt issuers will be correspondinglyreduced.18Note that all long-run stock return studies around corporate events require the assumption of bounded rationality orlimited market efficiency, similar to the one we make here. One may consider this to be a strong assumption, but given thelarge empirical literature documenting the postevent drift following earnings announcements and many other corporateevents (Foster, Olsen, and Shevlin, 1984; Bernard and Thomas, 1989), one has to at least consider the possibility thatthe information revealed by many corporate actions is not always instantaneously reflected in the stock price. Further,given the sizable existing empirical literature studying the long-run postissue stock return performance of firms issuingequity, ordinary convertibles, and straight debt (Loughran and Ritter, 1995; Spiess and Affleck-Graves, 1995, 1999), it isindependently interesting to study the long-run postissue stock return performance of putable convertible issuers and tocompare it to the corresponding stock return performance of ordinary convertible issuers.19Investor aversion to longer bond maturities may arise from a variety of reasons. For example, the longer the matu-rity, the greater the ability of stockholders to modify corporate investment policies, thus engaging in risk-shifting orunderinvestment in order to transfer wealth from bondholders to themselves.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1037
Second, within a sample of putable convertible issuers, it predicts that issuers of zero-couponputable convertibles will be those firms that have greater tax obligations as compared to issuers ofcoupon-bearing putable convertibles (H12). Third, since firms with higher credit ratings are likelyto have more taxable income to shelter, this hypothesis also predicts that a smaller proportion ofputable convertibles will be in the lower credit rating categories compared to ordinary convertibles(H3B).20
II. Data and Sample Selection
The data used in this study came from several different databases. The list of convertibledebt offerings was obtained from SDC/Platinum Global New Issues Database. Since the firstputable convertible debt offering was made in 1982, we restricted ourselves to a sample of firmsthat issued convertible debt from 1982-2003. After eliminating firms with no CRSP/Compustatdata available, foreign issuers, issues with poison put provisions, mandatory convertible issues,exchangeable issues, and convertible preferred stock offerings, we were left with 2,036 issues.Of these issues, 365 were putable convertible offerings and the remaining 1,671 were ordinary(nonputable) convertible offerings. Further, of the 365 putable convertible offerings, 132 werezero-coupon bonds and 233 were coupon-bearing bonds. Additionally, of the 1,671 ordinaryconvertible offerings, only 42 were zero-coupon bonds while 1,629 were coupon-bearing bonds.21
We eliminated the following issues as they are irrelevant to the objectives of our study. Poisonput issues become putable only in cases of some specific corporate events (e.g., changes in thecomposition of the firm’s board of directors, takeovers, and others). Mandatory convertibles aremandatorily convertible and can be considered as deferred equity. Exchangeable convertibles areconvertible to equity of firms other than the issuer or convertible to securities other than theequity of the issuer.
Information regarding stock prices and returns necessary to analyze announcement effects,firm valuation, and stock return performance was obtained from CRSP, while the accountinginformation necessary to study firms’ operating performance, valuation, and to calculate vari-ous financial ratios was obtained from Compustat. Convertible issue announcement dates wereobtained by searching the Factiva database maintained by the Dow Jones and Reuters Company.
III. Empirical Tests and Results
We now discuss the empirical methodology used to test our hypotheses and report results. InSection A, we present the summary statistics and results of our univariate tests comparing firmand issue characteristics of putable and ordinary convertible issuers. In Section B, we reportour results concerning the announcement effects of putable and ordinary convertible issues. In
20Of course, the tax savings hypothesis cannot provide a stand-alone explanation for the choice of firms between putableand ordinary convertibles since 64% of the putable convertibles in our sample are coupon-bearing bonds. However, thefact that 36% of putable convertibles are zero-coupon bonds (while only 2.5% of ordinary convertibles are zero-couponbonds) indicates that one has to consider tax savings as one of the possible contributing factors for the issuance of putableconvertibles.21Many zero-coupon putable convertibles are LYONs (Liquid Yield Option Notes), which are zero-coupon, putableconvertible bonds that are also callable created by Merrill Lynch White Weld Capital Markets Group in 1985. SeeMcConnell and Schwartz (1992) for a description and history of this security. However, some zero-coupon putableconvertibles in our sample are not callable and, therefore, do not fall into the category of LYONs.
1038 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Section C, we study the long-run operating performance of putable and ordinary convertibleissuers. Section D reports the results of our valuation analysis. In Section E, we present the resultsof our study of the long-run stock return performance of putable and ordinary convertible issuers.Finally, in Section F, we submit the results of logit regressions explaining the firms’ choicebetween putable and ordinary convertible issues.
A. Summary Statistics and Univariate Tests
In this section, we present the summary statistics of firm and issue characteristics of putable andordinary convertible issuers in the context of our hypotheses and report the results of univariatetests of differences in these variables between the two groups.
The risk-shifting hypothesis H1 predicts that firms with greater growth opportunities are morelikely to issue putable convertibles. Table I, reporting the summary statistics of putable andordinary convertible offerings, demonstrates that putable convertible issuers have lower levelsof capital expenditures and R&D expenses normalized by assets in the fiscal year prior to theissue when compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Putable convertible issuers’ average capitalexpenditures over assets is 6.65% and average R&D expenses over assets is 2.85%, while the sameratios for ordinary convertible issuers are significantly higher at 9.44% and 6.26%, respectively.Putable convertible issuers also have lower Q ratios measured at the end of the fiscal year priorto the issue. Q ratio (the ratio of the market value of firm’s assets to the book value of assets)is used extensively in the literature as a measure of investment opportunities (Smith and Watts,1992) and higher values of the Q ratio indicate greater investment opportunities. The average Qratio of putable convertible issuers (1.95) is significantly lower than that of ordinary convertibleissuers (2.68). Thus, we find no evidence supporting the risk-shifting hypothesis H1.
The risk-shifting hypothesis H2 predicts that smaller and riskier firms with higher leverage andgreater bankruptcy probability overall are more likely to issue putable convertibles (to minimizethe opportunity for risk-shifting by equity holders). Table I demonstrates that putable convertibleissuers are significantly larger. The mean and median book values of their assets are approximatelynine times larger than those of ordinary convertible issuers. Also, the mean and median marketvalues of equity of putable convertible issuers are approximately six times larger than thoseof ordinary convertible issuers. Additionally, putable convertible issuers are less risky firms.They have significantly lower preissue values of cash flow volatility, stock return volatility, andidiosyncratic risk as compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Next, putable convertible issuershave higher levels of leverage measured by the ratio of long-term debt over assets before theissue. However, since the ratio of total proceeds to total assets was significantly less for putableconvertible issuers, the leverage of these firms was lower after the issue. Thus, at the end ofthe fiscal year of the issue, the median leverage ratio of putable convertible issuers was 29.04%while that of ordinary convertible issuers was 34.26% with the difference being significant atthe 1% level. Finally, putable convertible issuers have a lower overall bankruptcy probability. Weestimate the bankruptcy probability by constructing a bankruptcy probability measure using themodified model of market and accounting variables suggested by Shumway (2001). In additionto accounting ratios such as those used by Altman (1968) and Zmijewski (1984), this model alsouses market driven variables such as prior market-adjusted stock return and idiosyncratic risk topredict bankruptcy.22 This measure, which we call the Shumway bankruptcy measure (SBM), iscalculated in the following way:
22Shumway (2001) indicates that the models with market driven variables predict bankruptcy probability better than thosewith the Altman (1968) and Zmijewski (1984) variables. A model with market driven variables places 75% of bankruptfirms in the highest bankruptcy decile, while models with the Altman (1968) and Zmijewski (1984) variables place only42% and 54% of bankrupt firms in the highest bankruptcy decile, respectively.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1039
Tab
leI.
Su
mm
ary
Sta
tisti
cs
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Deb
tO
fferi
ng
s
Item
sre
fer
toC
ompu
stat
data
item
sat
the
end
ofth
efi
scal
year
prio
rto
the
conv
erti
ble
issu
e.C
apit
alex
pend
itur
esar
eth
eca
pita
lexp
endi
ture
s(I
tem
128)
.R&
Dis
the
rese
arch
and
deve
lopm
ent
expe
nses
(Ite
m46
).Q
rati
ois
Tobi
n’s
Qco
mpu
ted
for
the
fisc
alye
arpr
ior
toth
eis
sue
asth
em
arke
tva
lue
ofas
sets
divi
ded
byth
ebo
okva
lue
ofas
sets
,w
here
the
mar
ket
valu
eof
asse
tseq
uals
the
book
valu
eof
asse
tspl
usth
em
arke
tva
lue
ofco
mm
oneq
uity
(Ite
m19
9×
Item
25)
less
the
book
valu
eof
com
mon
equi
ty(I
tem
60).
Mar
ket-
to-b
ook
isth
em
arke
tval
ueof
equi
tyov
erth
ebo
okva
lue
ofeq
uity
.Tot
alas
sets
are
the
book
valu
eof
firm
’sto
tal
asse
ts(I
tem
6).M
arke
tva
lue
ofeq
uity
isth
enu
mbe
rof
shar
esou
tsta
ndin
g(I
tem
25)
mul
tipl
ied
byth
esh
are
pric
e(I
tem
199)
.Car
dina
lize
dcr
edit
rati
ngis
the
card
inal
ized
rati
ngba
sed
onth
eco
nver
tibl
eis
sues
’S
&P
bond
rati
ngs,
whe
reA
AA
=1,
...,
and
C=
9.C
onve
rsio
npr
emiu
mis
the
perc
enta
gedi
ffer
ence
betw
een
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atw
hich
the
conv
ersi
onop
tion
beco
mes
inth
em
oney
and
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atth
eti
me
ofco
nver
tibl
eis
sue.
Cas
hfl
owvo
lati
lity
isth
est
anda
rdde
viat
ion
ofth
efi
rm’s
cash
flow
/tot
alas
sets
over
the
five
-yea
rpe
riod
prio
rto
the
issu
e.S
tock
retu
rnvo
lati
lity
isth
est
anda
rdde
viat
ion
ofth
eda
ilyst
ock
retu
rns
for
ape
riod
of25
5tr
adin
gda
ysen
ding
46da
ysbe
fore
the
issu
eda
te.I
dios
yncr
atic
risk
isth
ere
sidu
alst
anda
rdde
viat
ion
ofth
em
arke
tmod
eles
tim
ated
over
255
trad
ing
days
endi
ng46
days
befo
reth
eis
sue
date
.Lon
g-Te
rmD
ebti
sth
ebo
okva
lue
oflo
ng-t
erm
debt
(Ite
m9)
.Shu
mw
ayba
nkru
ptcy
mea
sure
(SB
M)
isco
mpu
ted
afte
rS
hum
way
(200
1)as
SB
M=
−1.9
82×
(RO
A)+
3.59
3×
(tot
alli
abil
itie
s(I
tem
181)
/tot
alas
sets
)−
0.46
7×
(nat
ural
loga
rith
mof
the
rati
oof
the
mar
ketv
alue
ofeq
uity
toth
eto
talm
arke
tval
ueof
equi
tyof
allC
ompu
stat
firm
s)−
1.80
9×
(one
-yea
rpri
orm
arke
t-ad
just
edcu
mul
ativ
ere
turn
)+
5.79
1×
(idi
osyn
crat
icri
sk).
Inco
me
tax
obli
gati
ons
are
the
tota
lin
com
eta
xob
liga
tion
s(I
tem
16).
Sal
esar
eth
eto
tal
sale
s(I
tem
12).
Inve
stor
sent
imen
tind
exis
the
firs
tpri
ncip
alco
mpo
nent
ofor
thog
onol
ized
valu
esof
the
valu
e-w
eigh
ted
aver
age
clos
ed-e
ndfu
nddi
scou
nt,t
hena
tura
llog
arit
hmof
NY
SE
shar
etu
rnov
erde
tren
ded
usin
gth
efi
ve-y
ear
mov
ing
aver
age,
the
num
ber
and
aver
age
firs
t-da
yre
turn
son
IPO
s,th
eeq
uity
shar
ein
new
issu
esof
equi
tyan
dlo
ng-t
erm
debt
,and
the
divi
dend
prem
ium
defi
ned
asth
elo
gdi
ffer
ence
betw
een
aver
age
valu
e-w
eigh
ted
mar
ket-
to-b
ook
rati
osof
divi
dend
paye
rsan
dno
ndiv
iden
dpa
yers
.Inv
esto
rse
ntim
enti
ndex
ism
easu
red
atth
ebe
ginn
ing
ofth
eis
sue
mon
th.I
ssue
proc
eeds
are
the
tota
lpro
ceed
sof
the
issu
e.C
ash
flow
isth
efr
eeca
shfl
owco
mpu
ted
asop
erat
ing
inco
me
befo
rede
prec
iati
on(I
tem
13)
min
usin
com
eta
xob
liga
tion
s(I
tem
16)
plus
the
chan
gein
defe
rred
taxe
sfr
omth
epr
evio
usye
arto
the
curr
enty
ear(
chan
gein
Item
35)m
inus
inte
rest
expe
nse
(Ite
m15
)min
usth
esu
mof
pref
erre
ddi
vide
nds
(Ite
m19
)and
com
mon
divi
dend
s(I
tem
21).
RO
Ais
the
retu
rnon
asse
tsco
mpu
ted
asth
era
tio
ofth
ene
tinc
ome
(Ite
m17
2)to
the
tota
lass
ets.
One
-yea
rpr
ior
mar
ket-
adju
sted
cum
ulat
ive
retu
rnis
com
pute
dby
cum
ulat
ing
daily
mar
ket-
adju
sted
retu
rns
for
ape
riod
of25
5tr
adin
gda
yspr
ior
toth
eis
sue
date
.Mat
urit
yis
the
num
ber
ofye
ars
tofi
nalm
atur
ity.
The
resu
lts
oft-
test
sfo
rth
edi
ffer
ence
inm
eans
and
nonp
aram
etri
cW
ilco
xon
rank
-sum
test
sfo
rth
edi
ffer
ence
inm
edia
nsar
ere
port
edin
pare
nthe
ses.
Pu
tab
leC
on
ve
rtib
leO
rdin
ary
Co
nv
ert
ible
Dif
fere
nc
e(t
-Sta
tis
tic
)D
iffe
ren
ce
(z-S
tati
sti
c)
Off
eri
ng
sO
ffe
rin
gs
inM
ea
ns
inM
ed
ian
s
NM
ea
nM
ed
ian
NM
ea
nM
ed
ian
Cap
ital
expe
ndit
ures
/tot
alas
sets
(%)
333
6.65
4.46
1,37
69.
445.
99−2
.79∗∗
∗(−
4.11
)−1
.54∗∗
∗(−
4.06
)R
&D
/tot
alas
sets
(%)
342
2.85
0.00
1,47
06.
260.
00−3
.41∗∗
∗(−
3.65
)0.
00∗∗
∗(−
3.08
)Q
rati
o34
21.
951.
511,
451
2.68
1.60
−0.7
3∗∗∗
(−2.
95)
−0.1
0∗∗(−
2.20
)M
arke
t-to
-boo
k33
22.
202.
251,
330
10.1
02.
23−7
.90
(−0.
80)
0.02
(−0.
13)
Tota
lass
ets
($m
illi
on)
342
14,9
04.9
32,
016.
831,
470
1,67
5.41
228.
0813
,229
.52∗∗
∗(8
.88)
1,78
8.76
∗∗∗
(17.
40)
Mar
ketv
alue
ofeq
uity
($m
illi
on)
348
7,08
5.01
1,60
5.18
1,46
71,
299.
8123
4.91
5,78
5.19
∗∗∗
(9.7
2)1,
370.
27∗∗
∗(1
6.25
)
(Con
tinu
ed)
1040 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leI.
Su
mm
ary
Sta
tisti
cs
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Deb
tO
fferi
ng
s(C
on
tin
ued
)
Pu
tab
leC
on
ve
rtib
leO
rdin
ary
Co
nv
ert
ible
Dif
fere
nc
e(t
-Sta
tis
tic
)D
iffe
ren
ce
(z-S
tati
sti
c)
Off
eri
ng
sO
ffe
rin
gs
inM
ea
ns
inM
ed
ian
s
NM
ea
nM
ed
ian
NM
ea
nM
ed
ian
Car
dina
lize
dcr
edit
rati
ng22
94.
424.
0066
55.
216.
00−0
.79∗∗
∗(−
7.63
)−2
.00∗∗
∗(−
7.62
)C
onve
rsio
npr
emiu
m(%
)33
234
.29
30.1
71,
146
23.5
822
.14
10.7
1∗∗∗
(5.8
5)8.
03∗∗
∗(1
0.22
)C
ash
flow
vola
tili
ty(%
)30
74.
382.
661,
042
7.88
3.39
−3.5
1∗∗∗
(−4.
07)
−0.7
3∗∗∗
(−3.
80)
Sto
ckre
turn
vola
tili
ty(%
)36
03.
162.
811,
552
3.68
3.15
−0.5
2∗∗∗
(−4.
54)
−0.3
4∗∗∗
(−3.
69)
Idio
sync
rati
cri
sk(%
)36
02.
872.
611,
552
3.45
2.99
−0.5
8∗∗∗
(−5.
40)
−0.3
8∗∗∗
(−4.
89)
Lon
g-te
rmde
bt/t
otal
asse
ts(%
)34
224
.82
22.7
21,
460
22.7
918
.13
2.02
(1.3
0)4.
59∗∗
∗(3
.03)
Shu
mw
ayba
nkru
ptcy
mea
sure
(SB
M)
333
6.19
6.08
1,31
26.
596.
38−0
.40∗∗
∗(−
3.25
)−0
.30∗∗
∗(−
2.94
)
Inco
me
tax
obli
gati
ons
($m
illi
on)
341
172.
7434
.61
1,46
718
.78
2.38
153.
96∗∗
∗(9
.17)
32.2
3∗∗∗
(12.
75)
Inco
me
tax
obli
gati
ons/
sale
s(%
)34
13.
602.
781,
445
2.36
1.72
1.25
∗∗∗
(3.3
7)1.
07∗∗
∗(4
.49)
Inve
stor
sent
imen
tind
ex36
5−0
.06
−0.1
41,
671
0.54
0.52
−0.6
1∗∗∗
(−13
.00)
−0.6
6∗∗∗
(−13
.35)
Issu
epr
ocee
ds($
mil
lion
)36
533
1.80
195.
601,
670
100.
7350
.00
231.
07∗∗
∗(1
7.16
)14
5.60
∗∗∗
(17.
55)
Issu
epr
ocee
ds/t
otal
asse
ts(%
)34
218
.09
10.3
81,
469
38.9
923
.78
−20.
90∗∗
∗(−
7.46
)−1
3.40
∗∗∗
(−10
.39)
Cas
hfl
ow/t
otal
asse
ts(%
)30
15.
946.
391,
166
−1.3
45.
747.
28∗∗
∗(3
.61)
0.65
∗∗∗
(3.1
3)R
OA
(%)
332
2.00
3.61
1,33
1−8
.33
2.91
10.3
3∗∗∗
(4.3
5)0.
71∗∗
∗(3
.05)
One
year
prio
rm
arke
t-ad
just
edcu
m.
retu
rn(%
)36
010
.63
7.39
1,55
220
.30
18.1
7−9
.67∗∗
∗(−
2.84
)−1
0.78
∗∗∗
(−4.
23)
Mat
urit
y(y
ears
)36
519
.98
20.2
91,
527
14.2
110
.20
5.77
∗∗∗
(12.
55)
10.0
9∗∗∗
(11.
45)
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1041
SBM = −1.982 × NI
TA+ 3.593 × TL
TA− 0.467 × Relative size − 1.809 × (rit−1 − rmt−1)
+ 5.791 × Sigma, (1)
where NI is the net income (Compustat Item 172), TA is the book value of total assets (Item 6), TLis the total liabilities (Item 181), Relative size is the natural logarithm of the ratio of a firm’s marketvalue of equity (Item 199 × Item 25) to the total market value of equity of all Compustat firms,rit−1 − rmt−1 is the one-year prior market-adjusted cumulative return computed by cumulatingdaily market-adjusted returns for a period of 255 trading days prior to the issue date, and Sigma isthe idiosyncratic risk calculated as the residual standard deviation of the market model estimatedover 255 trading days ending 46 days before the issue date. All accounting variables are measuredat the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. Higher values of SBM indicate a higher probabilityof bankruptcy. Table I indicates that both the mean and median SBM values of putable convertibleissuers are significantly lower than those of ordinary convertible issuers. These findings do notprovide support for the risk-shifting hypothesis H2, as well.
The risk-shifting hypothesis H3A predicts that a greater proportion of putable convertibleissues will be in the lower credit rating categories when compared to ordinary convertible issues,while the tax savings hypothesis H3B predicts quite the opposite. We calculate a cardinalizedmeasure of credit rating based on S&P bond ratings by assigning an AAA-rated bond a codeof one, an AA-rated bond a code of two, . . . , and a C-rated bond a code of nine. We excludeunrated issues from the construction of this measure.23 The average cardinalized credit rating ofputable convertible issues (4.42) is significantly smaller than that of ordinary convertible issues(5.21). This indicates that, on average, putable convertible issues have better credit ratings, whichcontradicts the risk-shifting hypothesis H3A and provides support for the tax savings hypothesisH3B.
The tax savings hypothesis H11 predicts that firms that have greater tax obligations are morelikely to issue putable convertibles. Table I demonstrates that putable convertible issuers havesignificantly greater tax obligations (both in absolute dollar terms, as well as normalized by sales)in the fiscal year prior to the issue when compared to ordinary convertible issuers.24 Further,the tax savings hypothesis H12 predicts that zero-coupon putable convertible issuers are morelikely to have larger tax obligations as compared to non-zero-coupon putable convertible issuers.We split putable convertible issuers into two subsamples of zero-coupon putable convertibleissuers (129 firms) and non-zero-coupon putable convertible issuers (212 firms). Zero-couponputable convertible issuers have significantly greater tax obligations in the year prior to the issuewhen compared to non-zero-coupon putable convertible issuers (both in absolute dollar terms,as well as normalized by sales). The median income tax obligations of zero-coupon putableconvertible issuers are $80.70 million while it is only $18.78 million for ordinary convertibleissuers. The median income tax obligations over sales of zero-coupon putable convertible issuersare 3.51% while it is 2.26% for ordinary convertible issuers. These differences in medians arestatistically significant at the 1% level. Thus, the above evidence provides support for the taxsavings hypotheses H11 and H12.
23There are 136 unrated putable convertible issues and 1,015 unrated ordinary convertible issues in our sample. Smallerissues are often not rated to save rating fees, even if the issue would have been rated investment grade. We thank ananonymous referee for pointing this out.24We normalize income tax obligations by sales rather than assets as income tax obligations are directly related to thelevel of sales and, to a lesser degree, to the level of assets.
1042 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
We further test our hypotheses by conducting a subsample analysis. We split our sample ofconvertible issues into two equal subsamples based on various firm and issue characteristics (twosubsamples with above and below median values of such characteristics) and test the differencesin proportions of putable convertibles across the two subsamples. The results of this analysisare presented in Panel A of Table II. The proportions of putable convertible issuers in thesubsamples of convertible issuers with above median values of capital expenditures over assetsand R&D expenses over assets are significantly smaller than those in the respective subsamplesof convertible issuers with below median values of these variables.25 These findings indicate thatfirms with higher capital expenditures and R&D expenses relative to their assets are more likelyto issue ordinary convertibles rather than putable convertibles thus contradicting the risk-shiftinghypothesis H1.
Further, Panel A of Table II reports that the proportions of putable convertible issuers inthe subsamples of convertible issuers with above median values of total assets and marketvalue of equity are significantly larger than those in the respective subsamples of convertibleissuers with below median values of these variables. Also, the proportions of putable convert-ible issuers in the subsamples of convertible issuers with above median values of cash flowvolatility, stock return volatility, idiosyncratic risk, and Shumway (2001) bankruptcy measureare significantly smaller than those in the respective subsamples of convertible issuers withbelow median values of these variables. These results indicate that smaller firms, as well asthose with higher firm risk and greater bankruptcy probability, are more likely to issue ordinaryconvertibles than putable convertibles, thus providing further evidence against the risk-shiftinghypothesis H2.
Panel A of Table II also indicates that the proportion of putable convertible issues in thesubsample of convertible issues with below median values of cardinalized credit rating (bettercredit ratings) is significantly larger than that of the respective subsample of convertible issueswith above median values of this variable (worse credit ratings). We also study the distributionof credit ratings of putable and ordinary convertible issues. Panel B of Table II reports the pro-portions of putable convertible issues (as a fraction of all putable convertible issues) in eachcredit rating category (AAA, AA, . . . , and C), as well as the proportions of ordinary convertibleissues (as a fraction of all ordinary convertible issues) in each credit rating category. Panel Bof Table II indicates that the proportions of putable convertible issues in the investment-gradecategories of AAA, A, and BBB are significantly larger than those of ordinary convertible is-sues and the proportions of putable convertible issues in the speculative-grade categories of Band CCC are significantly smaller than those of ordinary convertible issues. The above find-ings provide further evidence that putable convertible issues are more likely to have highercredit ratings when compared to ordinary convertible issues. This provides support for the taxsavings hypothesis H3B, while this evidence is inconsistent with the risk-shifting hypothesisH3A.
Finally, Panel A of Table II demonstrates that the proportion of putable convertible issuers inthe subsample of convertible issuers with above median values of income tax obligations (bothin absolute dollar terms as well as normalized by sales) is significantly larger than that of therespective subsample of convertible issuers with below median values of income tax obligations.This provides further support for the tax savings hypothesis H11.
25There are 1,055 firms in our sample of convertible issuers with the ratio of R&D expenses over assets equal to zero.We place these firms in the below median R&D/assets category. The ratio of R&D expenses over assets is positive forthe rest of the sample (757 firms), which we place in the above median R&D/assets category.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1043
Table II. Subsample Analysis of Putable and Ordinary Convertible Debt Offerings
Variables of interest are various firm and issue characteristics. Items refer to Compustat data items at theend of the fiscal year prior to the convertible issue. Capital expenditures are the capital expenditures (Item128). R&D is the research and development expenses (Item 46). Q ratio is Tobin’s Q computed for the fiscalyear prior to the issue as the market value of assets divided by the book value of assets, where the marketvalue of assets equals the book value of assets plus the market value of common equity (Item 199 × Item25) less the book value of common equity (Item 60). Total assets are the book value of the firm’s total assets(Item 6). Market value of equity is the number of shares outstanding (Item 25) times the share price (Item199). Cardinalized credit rating is the cardinalized rating based on the convertible issues’ S&P bond ratings,where AAA = 1, . . . , and C = 9. Convertible bond issues with BB or above ratings are denoted as issueswith below median cardinalized credit ratings, and issues with BBB or below ratings are denoted as issueswith above median cardinalized credit ratings. Conversion premium is the percentage difference betweenthe issuer’s stock price at which the conversion option becomes in the money and the issuer’s stock priceat the time of convertible issue. Cash flow volatility is the standard deviation of the firm’s cash flow/totalassets over the five-year period prior to the issue. Stock return volatility is the standard deviation of thedaily stock returns for a period of 255 trading days ending 46 days before the issue date. Idiosyncratic risk isthe residual standard deviation of the market model estimated over 255 trading days ending 46 days beforethe issue date. Long-term debt is the book value of long-term debt (Item 9). Shumway bankruptcy measure(SBM) is computed after Shumway (2001) as SBM = −1.982 × (ROA) + 3.593 × (total liabilities (Item181)/total assets) − 0.467 × (natural logarithm of the ratio of the market value of equity to the total marketvalue of equity of all Compustat firms) −1.809 × (one-year prior market-adjusted cumulative return) +5.791 × (idiosyncratic risk). Income tax obligations are the total income tax obligations (Item 16). Sales arethe total sales (Item 12). The results of t-tests for the difference in proportions are reported in parentheses.
Panel A. Proportions of Putable Convertible Issues Among All Convertible Issues with Above and BelowMedian Values of the Variables of Interest
Variables of Interest Proportion of Proportion of Difference in (t-Statistic)
Putable Putable Proportions
ConvertibleIssues amongAll Convertible
Issues withAbove MedianValues of theVariable of
Interest
ConvertibleIssues amongAll Convertible
Issues withBelow MedianValues of the
Variable ofInterest
N Proportion N Proportion
Capital expenditures/total assets 855 0.1637 854 0.2260 −0.0623∗∗∗ (−3.26)R&D/total assets 757 0.1678 1,055 0.2038 −0.0360∗ (−1.93)Q ratio 897 0.1773 896 0.2042 −0.0270 (−1.45)Total assets 906 0.3300 906 0.0475 0.2826∗∗∗ (16.47)Market value of equity 907 0.3197 908 0.0639 0.2559∗∗∗ (14.63)Cardinalized credit rating 427 0.1475 457 0.3632 −0.2157∗∗∗ (−7.53)Conversion premium 739 0.3099 739 0.1394 0.1705∗∗∗ (8.02)Cash flow volatility 675 0.1941 674 0.2611 −0.0671∗∗∗ (−2.94)Stock return volatility 956 0.1589 956 0.2175 −0.0587∗∗∗ (−3.29)Idiosyncratic risk 956 0.1538 956 0.2228 −0.0690∗∗∗ (−3.87)Long-term debt/total assets 901 0.2120 901 0.1676 0.0444∗∗ (2.41)Shumway bankruptcy measure 823 0.1762 822 0.2287 −0.0525∗∗∗ (−2.66)Income tax obligations 904 0.2898 904 0.0874 0.2024∗∗∗ (11.38)Income tax obligations/sales 893 0.2240 893 0.1579 0.0661∗∗∗ (3.56)
(Continued)
1044 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Table II. Subsample Analysis of Putable and Ordinary Convertible Debt Offerings
(Continued)
Panel B. Distribution of Credit Ratings of Putable and Ordinary Convertible Issues
Credit Cardinalized Putable Ordinary Difference in (t-Statistic)
Ratings Credit Convertible Convertible Proportions
Ratings Issues Issues
N Proportion N Proportion
AAA 1 5 0.0218 3 0.0046 0.0173∗∗ (2.38)AA 2 9 0.0393 16 0.0244 0.0149 (1.17)A 3 42 0.1834 62 0.0947 0.0887∗∗∗ (3.61)BBB 4 77 0.3362 122 0.1863 0.1500∗∗∗ (4.73)BB 5 33 0.1441 88 0.1344 0.0098 (0.37)B 6 54 0.2358 298 0.4550 −0.2192∗∗∗ (−5.94)CCC 7 7 0.0306 58 0.0885 −0.0580∗∗∗ (−2.90)CC 8 1 0.0044 3 0.0046 −0.0002 (−0.04)C 9 1 0.0044 5 0.0076 −0.0033 (−0.52)
Total 229 1 655 1
∗∗∗Significant at the 0.01 level.∗∗Significant at the 0.05 level.∗Significant at the 0.10 level.
B. The Announcement Effects of Putable and Ordinary Convertible Issues
In this section, we study the announcement effects of convertible debt issues and empiricallytest hypotheses H4A, H4B, and H7. The risk-shifting hypothesis H4A predicts no difference inthe announcement effects across putable and ordinary convertible issues, whereas the asymmetricinformation hypothesis H4B predicts that the announcement effects of putable convertible issueson the issuers’ equity will be more favorable (less negative) when compared to that of matchedordinary convertible issues.
For public issues, the announcement date was taken to be the earliest of the filing date or thedate of the first news article regarding the issue in the news media. For private placements, theannouncement date was taken to be the earliest date of the first news article regarding the issuein the news media or the issue date. The announcement effect for each firm was computed asthe cumulative abnormal return (CAR) for a particular event window around the announcementdate. Daily abnormal returns were computed using the market model (with value- and equallyweighted CRSP indices). Market model parameters were estimated over 255 trading days ending46 trading days before the offering announcement with at least 100 daily returns in the estimationperiod. Announcement effects were calculated for six different event windows for each marketindex ranging from three days before to three days after the announcement date.
There are substantial differences in the types of firms issuing putable and ordinary convertibledebt (recall that from the summary statistics, putable convertible issuers are much larger firmswith better performance).26 Such differences can greatly influence the announcement effect.Another aspect that can potentially have an impact on the announcement effect is the type of issue
26Table I indicates that the operating performance of putable convertible issuers measured by the return on assets (ROA)in the fiscal year prior to the issue is significantly better than that of ordinary convertible issuers.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1045
(public offering or private placement).27 In order to account for such differences, we compare theannouncement effects of putable convertible issues with those of a matched sample of ordinaryconvertible issues. In our context, it is difficult to implement a standard matching algorithm (see,e.g., Loughran and Ritter, 1997) and directly match each putable convertible issue to an ordinaryconvertible issue by firm size, prior performance, industry, type of issue, and year of issue since itis impossible to find such a match within a reasonable size range. Therefore, we use the propensityscore matching technique to find a match for each putable convertible issue. This technique hasa number of advantages. First, no constraints need to be imposed on matching variables. Second,a large number of matching variables can be used. Finally, this technique produces accurateestimates in a setting where the event group significantly differs from the population of potentialmatches (Dehejia and Wahba, 2002).28
We use a modified version of the “nearest match” propensity score matching algorithm similarto the one used by Hillion and Vermaelen (2004). Let Xi,j be a vector of independent characteristicsobserved for firm i (putable convertible issuers as well as ordinary convertible issuers) in fiscalyear j prior to the issue. The set of the factors Xi,j for firm i in year j consists of the following:[operating income before depreciation (OIBD) + interest income (Compustat Item 13 + Item62)]/Assets (Item 6), profit margin [net income (Item 172)/sales (Item 12)], return on assets (netincome/assets), (OIBD + interest income)/sales, [capital expenditures + R&D (Item 128 + Item46)]/assets, market-to-book [(number of shares outstanding (Item 54) times share price (Item199)/book value of equity (Item 60)], assets, and a set of two-digit SIC code industry dummies.Let Di,j be a dummy that is equal to one for putable convertible issuers and zero for ordinaryconvertible issuers. We estimate the propensity score logit function as Pi,j = P(Di,j = 1|Xi,j)for all issues from 1982-2003. With the estimated propensity scores Pi,j, we match each putableconvertible issuer to a single ordinary convertible issuer with the closest Pi,j score within thesame year of issue and within the same type of issue (public vs. private placements). If we do notfind a match within the year of issue, we search for a potential match in the two years prior to theissue year.
Table III presents the announcement effects of putable convertible issues and matched ordi-nary convertible issues. The results indicate that putable convertible issues have less negativeannouncement effects in all event windows with the differences being statistically significant forthe windows of 0 to +1 day, −3 to +3 days, and 0 to +3 days around the announcement date.These results broadly support the asymmetric information hypothesis H4B and are inconsistentwith the risk-sifting hypothesis H4A.
Next, we test the asymmetric information hypothesis H7, which predicts that the announcementeffects of putable convertible issues with a high conversion premium relative to a matched set ofordinary convertible issues will be more favorable than those of putable convertible issues with alow conversion premium relative to a matched set of ordinary convertible issues. Table IV reportsthat the average announcement effect of putable convertible issues with a high (above median)conversion premium is significantly less negative that that of matched ordinary convertibleissues. The differences in the means between these two groups are highly significant for all event
27See Hertzel and Smith (1993) who document positive announcement effects for private equity placements and Asquithand Mullins (1986), Masulis and Korwar (1986), and Mikkelson and Partch (1986) who document negative announcementeffects for public equity offerings.28The propensity score matching method has already been used in the finance literature to pair-match companies basedon a given set of characteristics. In particular, Villalonga (2004) uses the propensity score matching method in her studyof the diversification discount to find appropriate benchmark companies for diversifying firms. Hillion and Vermaelen(2004) apply propensity score matching in their study of the operating performance of companies issuing floating-pricedconvertibles.
1046 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leIII.
An
no
un
cem
en
tE
ffects
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
es
Ann
ounc
emen
tef
fect
for
each
issu
eis
com
pute
das
the
cum
ulat
ive
abno
rmal
retu
rn(C
AR
)fo
ra
part
icul
arw
indo
war
ound
the
anno
unce
men
tda
teof
the
offe
ring
.Dai
lyab
norm
alre
turn
sar
eco
mpu
ted
usin
gth
em
arke
tmod
elfo
rtw
om
arke
tind
ices
:1)t
heva
lue-
wei
ghte
d(V
W)
and
2)eq
ually
wei
ghte
d(E
W)C
RS
Pin
dice
s.M
arke
tm
odel
para
met
ers
are
esti
mat
edov
er25
5tr
adin
gda
ysen
ding
46tr
adin
gda
ysbe
fore
the
offe
ring
anno
unce
men
tw
ith
atle
ast
100
nonm
issi
ngda
ilyre
turn
sin
the
esti
mat
ion
peri
od.A
nnou
ncem
entd
ate
isde
note
das
Dat
e0.
Eac
hpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
ism
atch
edw
ith
anor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
usin
gth
epr
open
sity
scor
em
atch
ing
algo
rith
m.P
rope
nsit
ysc
ores
are
esti
mat
edba
sed
onth
epr
evio
usfi
scal
year
’s(O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e)/t
otal
asse
ts,p
rofi
tm
argi
n,R
OA
,(O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e)/s
ales
,(ca
pita
lex
pend
itur
es+
R&
D)/
tota
las
sets
,mar
ket-
to-b
ook,
tota
las
sets
,and
ase
tof
two-
digi
tS
ICco
des.
The
prop
ensi
tysc
ore
logi
tfun
ctio
nis
esti
mat
edus
ing
allc
onve
rtib
leis
sues
and
am
atch
ing
ordi
nary
conv
erti
ble
issu
eris
sele
cted
toha
veth
ecl
oses
tpro
pens
ity
scor
ew
ithi
nth
esa
me
type
ofis
sue
(pub
lic
orpr
ivat
epl
acem
ent)
and
inth
esa
me
year
ofth
eis
sue
asth
epu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
.If
apr
oper
mat
chis
notf
ound
inth
eye
arof
the
issu
ew
ithi
nth
esa
me
type
ofis
sue,
the
mat
chin
gor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
isse
lect
edfr
omth
epr
evio
ustw
oye
ars.
The
resu
lts
oft-
test
sfo
rth
edi
ffer
ence
inm
eans
and
nonp
aram
etri
cW
ilco
xon
rank
-sum
test
sfo
rth
edi
ffer
ence
inm
edia
nsar
ere
port
edin
pare
nthe
ses.
Win
do
wP
uta
ble
Co
nv
ert
ible
Ord
ina
ryC
on
ve
rtib
leD
iffe
ren
ce
(t-S
tati
sti
c)
Dif
fere
nc
ein
(z-S
tati
sti
c)
Iss
ue
sIs
su
es
inM
ea
ns
(%)
Me
dia
ns
(%)
Me
an
(%)
Me
dia
n(%
)M
ea
n(%
)M
ed
ian
(%)
VW
−1to
0−1
.30
−1.0
3−1
.49
−1.5
80.
18(0
.42)
0.55
(0.9
1)E
W−1
to0
−1.5
2−1
.02
−1.7
5−1
.59
0.22
(0.5
1)0.
58(0
.85)
VW
−1to
+1−3
.23
−2.8
4−3
.97
−3.5
80.
74(1
.41)
0.74
(1.3
5)E
W−1
to+1
−3.5
7−3
.21
−4.4
4−4
.26
0.88
∗(1
.69)
1.05
(1.6
0)V
W0
to+1
−3.3
9−2
.73
−4.2
3−3
.37
0.85
∗(1
.85)
0.64
∗(1
.74)
EW
0to
+1−3
.63
−3.1
6−4
.60
−3.7
50.
97∗∗
(2.1
2)0.
60∗
(1.9
0)V
W−3
to0
−0.8
3−0
.44
−1.2
3−1
.39
0.40
(0.7
1)0.
95(1
.21)
EW
−3to
0−1
.32
−0.8
7−1
.83
−1.7
10.
51(0
.92)
0.84
(1.3
0)V
W−3
to+3
−2.6
6−1
.80
−4.3
4−4
.14
1.68
∗∗(2
.40)
2.33
∗∗∗
(2.7
2)E
W−3
to+3
−3.4
7−2
.18
−5.4
1−5
.00
1.94
∗∗∗
(2.7
0)2.
82∗∗
∗(3
.07)
VW
0to
+3−3
.28
−2.8
1−4
.86
−4.0
31.
57∗∗
∗(2
.68)
1.22
∗∗(2
.52)
EW
0to
+3−3
.74
−2.8
6−5
.48
−4.6
51.
74∗∗
∗(2
.91)
1.78
∗∗∗
(2.8
7)N
313
313
313
313
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1047
Ta
ble
IV.
An
no
un
ce
me
nt
Eff
ec
tso
fP
uta
ble
Co
nv
ert
ible
Iss
ue
sR
ela
tiv
eto
Ma
tch
ed
Ord
ina
ryC
on
ve
rtib
leIs
su
es
Sp
lit
by
Co
nv
ers
ion
Pre
miu
m
Ann
ounc
emen
teff
ectf
orea
chis
sue
isco
mpu
ted
asth
ecu
mul
ativ
eab
norm
alre
turn
(CA
R)
for
apa
rtic
ular
win
dow
arou
ndth
ean
noun
cem
entd
ate
ofth
eof
feri
ng.D
aily
abno
rmal
retu
rns
are
com
pute
dus
ing
the
mar
ketm
odel
for
two
mar
keti
ndic
es:1
)th
eva
lue-
wei
ghte
d(V
W)
and
2)eq
ually
wei
ghte
d(E
W)
CR
SP
indi
ces.
Mar
ketm
odel
para
met
ers
are
esti
mat
edov
er25
5tr
adin
gda
ysen
ding
46tr
adin
gda
ysbe
fore
the
offe
ring
anno
unce
men
tw
ith
atle
ast
100
nonm
issi
ngda
ilyre
turn
sin
the
esti
mat
ion
peri
od.
Ann
ounc
emen
tda
teis
deno
ted
asD
ate
0.C
onve
rsio
npr
emiu
mis
the
perc
enta
gedi
ffer
ence
betw
een
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atw
hich
the
conv
ersi
onop
tion
beco
mes
inth
em
oney
and
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atth
eti
me
ofco
nver
tibl
eis
sue.
Eac
hpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
ism
atch
edw
ith
anor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
usin
gth
epr
open
sity
scor
em
atch
ing
algo
rith
m.P
rope
nsit
ysc
ores
are
esti
mat
edba
sed
onth
epr
evio
usfi
scal
year
’s(O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e)/t
otal
asse
ts,p
rofi
tmar
gin,
RO
A,
(OIB
D+
inte
rest
inco
me)
/sal
es,
(cap
ital
expe
ndit
ures
+R
&D
)/to
tal
asse
ts,
mar
ket-
to-b
ook,
tota
las
sets
,an
da
set
oftw
o-di
git
SIC
code
s.T
hepr
open
sity
scor
elo
git
func
tion
ises
tim
ated
usin
gal
liss
ues
and
am
atch
ing
ordi
nary
conv
erti
ble
issu
eris
sele
cted
toha
veth
ecl
oses
tpro
pens
ity
scor
ew
ithi
nth
esa
me
type
ofis
sue
(pub
lic
orpr
ivat
epl
acem
ent)
and
inth
esa
me
year
ofth
eis
sue
asth
epu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
.If
apr
oper
mat
chis
notf
ound
inth
eye
arof
the
issu
ew
ithi
nth
esa
me
type
ofis
sue,
the
mat
chin
gor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
isse
lect
edfr
omth
epr
evio
ustw
oye
ars.
The
resu
lts
oft-
test
sfo
rth
edi
ffer
ence
inm
eans
are
repo
rted
inpa
rent
hese
s.
Win
do
wP
uta
ble
Co
nv
ert
ible
Pu
tab
leC
on
ve
rtib
le(5
)D
iffe
ren
ce
(t-
(6)
Dif
fere
nc
e(t
-D
iffe
ren
ce
(t-
Iss
ue
sw
ith
Iss
ue
sw
ith
inM
ea
ns
Sta
tis
tic
)in
Me
an
sS
tati
sti
c)
inM
ea
nS
tati
sti
c)
Ab
ov
eM
ed
ian
Be
low
Me
dia
n(%
)(%
)D
iffe
ren
ce
sC
on
ve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
Co
nv
ers
ion
Pre
miu
m(1
)-(2
)(3
)-(4
)(%
)(5
)-(6
)
(1)
Pu
tab
le(2
)M
atc
he
d(3
)P
uta
ble
(4)
Ma
tch
ed
Co
nv
ert
ible
Ord
ina
ryC
on
ve
rtib
leO
rdin
ary
Iss
ue
sC
on
ve
rtib
leIs
su
es
Co
nv
ert
ible
Iss
ue
sIs
su
es
Me
an
(%)
Me
an
(%)
Me
an
(%)
Me
an
(%)
VW
−1to
0−1
.22
−2.1
0−1
.28
−0.8
00.
88(1
.25)
−0.4
8(−
0.86
)1.
36(1
.51)
EW
−1to
0−1
.66
−2.4
3−1
.34
−1.0
10.
77(1
.09)
−0.3
3(−
0.57
)1.
10(1
.21)
VW
−1to
+1−3
.44
−5.6
1−2
.92
−2.2
72.
18∗∗
∗(2
.82)
−0.6
5(−
0.98
)2.
82∗∗
∗(2
.77)
EW
−1to
+1−4
.06
−6.1
6−3
.04
−2.6
72.
10∗∗
∗(2
.76)
−0.3
7(−
0.56
)2.
46∗∗
(2.4
5)V
W0
to+1
−3.5
5−5
.88
−3.1
3−2
.58
2.34
∗∗∗
(3.4
6)−0
.55
(−0.
93)
2.88
∗∗∗
(3.2
2)E
W0
to+1
−3.9
6−6
.29
−3.2
6−2
.89
2.33
∗∗∗
(3.5
0)−0
.38
(−0.
65)
2.70
∗∗∗
(3.0
6)V
W−3
to0
−0.5
2−1
.97
−1.2
4−0
.53
1.45
(1.6
3)−0
.71
(−0.
94)
2.16
∗(1
.85)
EW
−3to
0−1
.44
−2.8
2−1
.40
−0.8
61.
38(1
.57)
−0.5
5(−
0.72
)1.
92∗
(1.6
6)V
W−3
to+3
−2.6
5−6
.22
−2.9
0−2
.51
3.56
∗∗∗
(3.3
7)−0
.39
(−0.
43)
3.95
∗∗∗
(2.8
6)E
W−3
to+3
−4.1
5−7
.53
−3.1
4−3
.33
3.38
∗∗∗
(3.1
1)0.
19(0
.21)
3.19
∗∗(2
.25)
VW
0to
+3−3
.47
−6.6
2−3
.16
−3.1
03.
15∗∗
∗(3
.63)
−0.0
6(−
0.08
)3.
21∗∗
∗(2
.80)
EW
0to
+3−4
.27
−7.2
7−3
.30
−3.7
03.
00∗∗
∗(3
.32)
0.40
(0.5
3)2.
60∗∗
(2.2
0)N
144
144
143
143
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
1048 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
windows, except for the −1 to 0 and −3 to 0 windows. The average announcement effect ofputable convertible issues with a low (below median) conversion premium is more negative thanthat of matched ordinary convertible issues; however, the differences in the means between thesetwo groups are not statistically significant. Finally, the differences in the average announcementeffects of putable convertible issues with a high conversion premium relative to matched ordinaryconvertible issues are significantly larger than similar differences for putable convertible issueswith a low (below median) conversion premium relative to matched ordinary convertible issues.This difference in differences is statistically significant for all event windows, except for the −1to 0 window. The above findings provide support for the asymmetric information hypothesis H7.
C. The Long-Term Operating Performance of Putable and Ordinary
Convertible Issuers
In this section, we examine the long-run operating performance of putable and ordinary con-vertible issuers after the issue and test hypotheses H6A, H6B, and H9. The risk-shifting hypothesisH6A predicts no difference in the postissue operating performance of putable convertible issuersversus ordinary convertible issuers, while the asymmetric information hypothesis H6B predictsthat the postissue operating performance of putable convertible issuers will be better than that ofordinary convertible issuers.
It is problematic to directly compare putable convertible issuers with ordinary convertibleissuers due to substantial differences in size and preissue performance of the two groups asdocumented in our summary statistics. One solution is to match each putable convertible issuerwith an ordinary convertible issuer in the same industry with similar size and performance.However, as discussed in the previous section, it is impossible to find a proper match for eachputable convertible issuer among ordinary convertible issuers within the year of issue and in thesame industry within a reasonable size range. Therefore, we follow Loughran and Ritter (1997)and select a matching nonissuing firm for each convertible issuer. We then compare the relativeperformance of putable convertible issuers with respect to their nonissuing matched firms withthe relative performance of ordinary convertible issuers with respect to their matched nonissuingfirms.29 The matching algorithm used is as follows. Each issuing firm is matched with nonissuingfirms that have not issued convertible debt during the five years prior to the issue date. Thesematching nonissuers have to be in the same industry (using two-digit SIC codes) with assetsize at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue between 25% and 200% of the issuing firm.The nonissuer with the closest operating income before depreciation (OIBD) relative to assets isthen chosen as the unique matching firm. If no nonissuer meets these criteria, then the industryrequirement is dropped and a matching firm is chosen with an asset size within 90%-110% ofthe issuing firm and with the closest, but higher, OIBD/assets ratio. If a matched firm does nothave accounting data for a particular year, we replace it with the next closest match. We usethree measures of operating performance: 1) OIBD/assets, 2) ROA, and 3) profit margin, whereOIBD is the operating income before depreciation plus interest income (Compustat Items 13 +15), assets are the book value of assets (Item 6), ROA is the return on assets (net income (Item172)/assets), and profit margin is net income/sales (Item 12).
Panel A of Table V presents the median operating performance ratios of putable convertibleissuers, their matched nonissuers, and the median differences between the performance ratios of
29This “difference in difference” methodology yields closer matches than the propensity score methodology used inour study of announcement effects in the previous section. Clearly, we could not implement this methodology forour comparison of the announcement effects of putable and ordinary convertible issues as such a comparison can beimplemented only across samples of issuing firms.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1049
Tab
leV
.P
osti
ssu
eO
pera
tin
gP
erf
orm
an
ce
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
ers
Rela
tive
toM
atc
hed
No
nis
su
ers
The
Com
pust
atda
tait
ems
for
the
perf
orm
ance
vari
able
sar
eop
erat
ing
inco
me
befo
rede
prec
iati
on/a
sset
s[O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e(I
tem
s13
+62
)/to
tala
sset
s(I
tem
6)],
retu
rnon
asse
ts[n
etin
com
e(I
tem
172)
/tot
alas
sets
(Ite
m6)
],an
dpr
ofit
mar
gin
[net
inco
me
(Ite
m17
2)/s
ales
(Ite
m12
)].Y
ear
0is
the
fisc
alye
arof
the
issu
e.M
atch
edno
niss
uers
are
chos
enfo
llow
ing
the
Lou
ghra
nan
dR
itte
r(1
997)
mat
chin
gal
gori
thm
.Eac
his
suin
gfi
rmis
mat
ched
wit
ha
firm
that
has
not
issu
edco
nver
tibl
ede
btdu
ring
the
five
year
spr
ior
toth
eis
sue
date
.The
noni
ssue
rha
dto
bein
the
sam
ein
dust
ry(u
sing
two-
digi
tS
ICco
des)
wit
has
set
size
atth
een
dof
the
prev
ious
fisc
alye
arre
lativ
eto
the
issu
eye
arfr
om25
%-2
00%
ofth
eis
suin
gfi
rm,a
ndth
enth
eno
niss
uer
wit
hth
ecl
oses
top
erat
ing
inco
me
befo
rede
prec
iati
on(O
IBD
)re
lativ
eto
asse
tsw
asch
osen
.If
nono
niss
uer
met
thes
ecr
iter
ia,t
hen
the
indu
stry
requ
irem
ent
was
drop
ped
and
am
atch
ing
firm
was
chos
enw
ith
anas
set
size
wit
hin
90%
-110
%of
the
issu
ing
firm
and
wit
hth
ecl
oses
t,bu
thi
gher
,O
IBD
/ass
ets
rati
o.M
edia
ndi
ffer
ence
sar
eth
em
edia
nsof
the
diff
eren
ces
betw
een
the
perf
orm
ance
rati
osof
conv
erti
bles
issu
ers
and
mat
ched
noni
ssue
rs.
Pane
lC
repo
rts
the
z-st
atis
tics
test
ing
whe
ther
the
year
lydi
stri
buti
ons
ofth
edi
ffer
ence
sin
oper
atin
gpe
rfor
man
cera
tios
(fro
mre
spec
tive
mat
ched
noni
ssue
rs)
ofpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
san
dor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sar
eeq
ualu
sing
the
Wil
coxo
ntw
o-sa
mpl
era
nk-s
umte
st.
Fis
ca
lY
ea
rN
um
be
rO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
OIB
D/
RO
AP
rofi
tO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
Re
lati
ve
too
fF
irm
sA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
As
se
ts(%
)M
arg
inA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
Off
eri
ng
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Pane
lA.M
edia
nO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
s,M
atch
edN
onis
suer
s,an
dM
edia
nsof
the
Dif
fere
nces
betw
een
the
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
san
dM
atch
edN
onis
suer
s
Pu
tab
leC
on
ve
rtib
leIs
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Ma
tch
ed
No
nis
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Me
dia
nD
iffe
ren
ce
s
030
811
.63
3.42
4.48
11.2
52.
933.
450.
170.
030.
65∗∗
+128
911
.62
2.99
4.22
11.4
63.
484.
33−0
.19
−0.2
90.
63+2
255
11.6
03.
334.
6411
.18
3.32
3.84
0.25
0.11
0.69
∗
+323
212
.43
3.71
4.79
11.6
94.
304.
910.
19−0
.17
0.45
+420
812
.20
4.37
5.72
12.4
84.
785.
32−0
.46
−0.2
01.
45∗∗
(Con
tinu
ed)
1050 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leV
.P
osti
ssu
eO
pera
tin
gP
erf
orm
an
ce
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
ers
Rela
tive
toM
atc
hed
No
nis
su
ers
(Co
nti
nu
ed)
Fis
ca
lY
ea
rN
um
be
rO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
OIB
D/
RO
AP
rofi
tO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
Re
lati
ve
too
fF
irm
sA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
As
se
ts(%
)M
arg
inA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
Off
eri
ng
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Pane
lB.M
edia
nO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofO
rdin
ary
Con
vert
ible
Issu
ers,
Mat
ched
Non
issu
ers,
and
Med
ians
ofth
eD
iffe
renc
esbe
twee
nth
ePe
rfor
man
ceR
atio
sof
Ord
inar
yC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
san
dM
atch
edN
onis
suer
s
Ord
ina
ryC
on
ve
rtib
leIs
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Ma
tch
ed
No
nis
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Me
dia
nD
iffe
ren
ce
s
01,
227
9.66
2.33
2.87
10.3
42.
662.
41−1
.21∗∗
∗−0
.80∗∗
0.54
+11,
110
9.57
1.88
2.43
10.7
42.
892.
62−1
.14∗∗
∗−1
.17∗∗
∗−0
.04∗∗
+299
99.
281.
262.
0210
.87
3.18
2.63
−1.4
5∗∗∗
−1.7
4∗∗∗
−0.7
9∗∗∗
+388
810
.28
2.13
2.83
11.1
33.
092.
91−1
.19∗
−0.9
7∗∗∗
−0.0
7+4
817
10.2
61.
962.
5711
.25
2.98
3.07
−1.1
8∗∗−0
.71∗
−0.3
4
Pane
lC.z
-Sta
tist
ics
Test
ing
the
Equ
alit
yof
Dis
trib
utio
nsof
the
Dif
fere
nces
inO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Con
vert
ible
Issu
ers
Fis
ca
lY
ea
rR
ela
tiv
eto
Off
eri
ng
OIB
D/A
ss
ets
RO
AP
rofi
tM
arg
in
02.
69∗∗
∗2.
40∗∗
1.26
+11.
351.
85∗
1.60
+23.
20∗∗
∗4.
07∗∗
∗3.
04∗∗
∗
+31.
411.
68∗
1.55
+40.
731.
382.
18∗∗
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1051
putable convertible issuers and nonissuing matched firms. The performance of putable convertibleissuers is very similar to that of their respective matches except for the profit margin that is higherfor putable convertible issuers in Years 0, +2, and +4. Panel B of Table V reports the medianoperating performance ratios of ordinary convertible issuers, their matched nonissuers, and themedian differences between the two groups. Ordinary convertible issuers tend to underperformtheir respective matches in the years after the issue. Panel C of Table V presents z-statistics testingwhether the yearly distribution of the differences in operating performance ratios from nonissuingmatched firms are equal for putable and ordinary convertible issuers using the Wilcoxon twosample rank-sum test. For the year of the issue and the following four years, the z-statistics arepositive for all three measures indicating that the performance of putable convertible issuers(relative to their matched nonissuers) is better than that of ordinary convertible issuers (relativeto their matched nonissuers). The results are significant for the OIBD/assets measure for Years 0and +2, for the ROA measure for Years 0, +1, +2, and +3, and for the profit margin measure forYears +2 and +4. These results indicate that in the years after the issue, putable convertible issuersperform better (relative to their respective matched nonissuing firms) than ordinary convertibleissuers (relative to their respective matched nonissuing firms) consistent with the asymmetricinformation hypothesis H6B and inconsistent with the risk-shifting hypothesis H6A.30
Next, we test the asymmetric information hypothesis H9, which predicts that the postissueoperating performance of firms issuing putable convertibles with a high conversion premiumwill be better than that of firms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium.Panel A of Table VI presents the median operating performance ratios of firms issuing putableconvertibles with a high (above median) conversion premium, their matched nonissuers, and themedian differences between the two groups. The performance of firms issuing putable convertibleswith a high conversion premium is very similar to that of their respective matches except forthe profit margin that is higher for putable convertible issuers in Years +3 and +4. Panel B ofTable VI reports the median operating performance ratios of firms issuing putable convertibleswith a low (below median) conversion premium, their matched nonissuers, and the mediandifferences between the two groups. The performance of firms issuing putable convertibles witha low conversion premium is very similar to that of their respective matches as well except forthe ROA that is lower for putable convertible issuers in Year +3 and the profit margin that ishigher for putable convertible issuers in Year 0. Panel C of Table VI presents z-statistics testingwhether the yearly distribution of the differences in operating performance ratios from nonissuingmatched firms are equal for firms issuing putable convertibles with a high and a low conversionpremium using the Wilcoxon two-sample rank-sum test. The z-statistics are mostly positive forall three measures and are significantly positive for the ROA and profit margin measures for Year+3. These results provide some indication that firms issuing putable convertibles with a highconversion premium perform better (relative to their respective matched nonissuing firms) thanfirms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium (relative to their respectivematched nonissuing firms).
Further, Panels D and E of Table VI present z-statistics testing whether the yearly distributionof the differences in operating performance ratios from nonissuing matched firms are equal forfirms issuing putable convertibles with a high conversion premium and ordinary convertible
30As a robustness check, we also study the long-run operating performance of convertible issuers relative to propensityscore matched nonissuers (matching performed similar to that described in the announcement effects section of thispaper). The results of our long-run operating performance study of convertible issuers relative to a propensity scorematched sample of nonissuers were very similar to our results based on the matching algorithm of Loughran and Ritter(1997) that are presented here. For the sake of brevity, we do not present these results.
1052 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leV
I.P
osti
ssu
eO
pera
tin
gP
erf
orm
an
ce
of
Pu
tab
leC
on
vert
ible
Issu
ers
wit
hA
bo
ve-
an
dB
elo
w-M
ed
ian
Co
nvers
ion
Pre
miu
mR
ela
tive
toM
atc
hed
No
nis
su
ers
The
Com
pust
atda
tait
ems
for
the
perf
orm
ance
vari
able
sar
eop
erat
ing
inco
me
befo
rede
prec
iati
on/a
sset
s[O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e(I
tem
s13
+62
)/as
sets
(Ite
m6)
],re
turn
onas
sets
[net
inco
me
(Ite
m17
2)/a
sset
s(I
tem
6)],
and
prof
itm
argi
n[n
etin
com
e(I
tem
172)
/sal
es(I
tem
12)]
.Yea
r0
isth
efi
scal
year
ofth
eis
sue.
Con
vers
ion
prem
ium
isth
epe
rcen
tage
diff
eren
cebe
twee
nth
eis
suer
’sst
ock
pric
eat
whi
chth
eco
nver
sion
opti
onbe
com
esin
the
mon
eyan
dth
eis
suer
’sst
ock
pric
eat
the
tim
eof
conv
erti
ble
issu
e.M
atch
edno
niss
uers
are
chos
enfo
llow
ing
the
Lou
ghra
nan
dR
itte
r(19
97)m
atch
ing
algo
rith
m.E
ach
issu
ing
firm
ism
atch
edw
ith
afi
rmth
atha
sno
tiss
ued
conv
erti
ble
debt
duri
ngth
efi
veye
ars
prio
rto
the
issu
eda
te.T
heno
niss
uer
had
tobe
inth
esa
me
indu
stry
(usi
ngtw
o-di
gitS
ICco
des)
wit
hth
eas
sets
ize
atth
een
dof
the
prev
ious
fisc
alye
arre
lativ
eto
the
issu
eye
arfr
om25
%to
200%
ofth
eis
suin
gfi
rm,a
ndth
enth
eno
niss
uer
wit
hth
ecl
oses
tope
rati
ngin
com
ebe
fore
depr
ecia
tion
(OIB
D)
rela
tive
toas
sets
was
chos
en.I
fno
noni
ssue
rm
etth
ese
crit
eria
,the
nth
ein
dust
ryre
quir
emen
twas
drop
ped
and
am
atch
ing
firm
was
chos
enw
ith
anas
set
size
wit
hin
90%
-110
%of
the
issu
ing
firm
and
wit
hcl
oses
t,bu
thi
gher
,OIB
D/a
sset
sra
tio.
Med
ian
diff
eren
ces
are
the
med
ians
ofth
edi
ffer
ence
sbe
twee
nth
epe
rfor
man
cera
tios
ofco
nver
tibl
esis
suer
san
dm
atch
edno
niss
uers
.Pa
nels
C,
D,
and
Ere
port
the
z-st
atis
tics
test
ing
whe
ther
the
year
lydi
stri
buti
ons
ofth
edi
ffer
ence
sin
oper
atin
gpe
rfor
man
cera
tios
(fro
mre
spec
tive
mat
ched
noni
ssue
rs)
ofpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sw
ith
abov
ean
dbe
low
med
ian
conv
ersi
onpr
emiu
man
dor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sar
eeq
ualu
sing
the
Wil
coxo
ntw
o-sa
mpl
era
nk-s
umte
st.
Fis
ca
lY
ea
rN
um
be
rO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
OIB
D/
RO
AP
rofi
tO
IBD
/R
OA
Pro
fit
Re
lati
ve
too
fF
irm
sA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
As
se
ts(%
)M
arg
inA
ss
ets
(%)
Ma
rgin
Off
eri
ng
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
Pu
tab
leC
on
ve
rtib
leIs
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Ma
tch
ed
No
nis
su
er
Me
dia
ns
Me
dia
nD
iffe
ren
ce
s
Pane
lA.M
edia
nO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Abo
ve-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
,Mat
ched
Non
issu
ers,
and
Med
ians
ofth
eD
iffe
renc
esbe
twee
nth
ePe
rfor
man
ceR
atio
sof
The
seP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
san
dM
atch
edN
onis
suer
s
014
510
.23
3.42
4.68
10.3
92.
783.
94−0
.09
−0.1
50.
26+1
133
11.5
63.
675.
2411
.26
3.43
4.64
−0.1
3−0
.47
0.23
+210
713
.48
4.97
6.45
11.3
23.
725.
360.
000.
321.
06+3
9512
.60
4.76
6.36
11.7
04.
785.
760.
230.
201.
31∗∗
+484
12.0
74.
967.
4412
.24
4.37
5.64
0.66
0.42
2.19
∗
Pane
lB.M
edia
nO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Bel
ow-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
,Mat
ched
Non
issu
ers,
and
Med
ians
ofth
eD
iffe
renc
esbe
twee
nth
ePe
rfor
man
ceR
atio
sof
The
seP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
san
dM
atch
edN
onis
suer
s
013
511
.66
3.20
3.96
11.7
92.
963.
130.
270.
410.
70∗∗
+112
911
.79
2.76
3.22
12.0
03.
393.
83−0
.41
−0.2
70.
77+2
122
10.8
92.
873.
6511
.86
2.87
2.96
0.01
−0.1
3−0
.39
+311
512
.26
3.08
3.89
12.2
44.
304.
570.
09−0
.73∗
−1.4
2+4
105
12.7
84.
314.
7213
.33
4.92
4.55
−1.2
7−0
.87
0.74
(Con
tinu
ed)
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1053
Tab
leV
I.P
osti
ssu
eO
pera
tin
gP
erf
orm
an
ce
of
Pu
tab
leC
on
vert
ible
Issu
ers
wit
hA
bo
ve-
an
dB
elo
w-M
ed
ian
Co
nvers
ion
Pre
miu
mR
ela
tive
toM
atc
hed
No
nis
su
ers
(Co
nti
nu
ed)
Fis
ca
lY
ea
rR
ela
tiv
eto
Off
eri
ng
OIB
D/A
ss
ets
RO
AP
rofi
tM
arg
in
Pane
lC.z
-Sta
tist
ics
Test
ing
the
Equ
alit
yof
Dis
trib
utio
nsof
the
Dif
fere
nces
inO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Abo
vean
dB
elow
-Med
ian
Con
vers
ion
Pre
miu
m
0−0
.69
−1.0
8−1
.30
+10.
36−0
.37
−0.4
5+2
0.10
1.01
0.58
+30.
501.
83∗
2.33
∗∗
+40.
270.
920.
55
Pane
lD.z
-Sta
tist
ics
Test
ing
the
Equ
alit
yof
Dis
trib
utio
nsof
the
Dif
fere
nces
inO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Abo
ve-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
and
Ord
inar
yC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
s
01.
461.
13−0
.10
+11.
061.
060.
74+2
2.14
∗∗3.
42∗∗
∗2.
25∗∗
+31.
181.
95∗
2.16
∗∗
+40.
581.
541.
83∗
Pane
lE.z
-Sta
tist
ics
Test
ing
the
Equ
alit
yof
Dis
trib
utio
nsof
the
Dif
fere
nces
inO
pera
ting
Perf
orm
ance
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Bel
ow-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
and
Ord
inar
yC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
s
02.
07∗∗
2.26
∗∗1.
41+1
0.77
1.31
1.20
+22.
10∗∗
2.42
∗∗1.
76∗
+30.
59−0
.08
−0.5
3+4
0.36
0.57
1.28
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
1054 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
issuers (Panel D) and for firms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium andordinary convertible issuers (Panel E) using the Wilcoxon two sample rank-sum test. The resultsin Panels D and E of Table VI indicate that in the years after the issue, firms issuing putableconvertibles with a high conversion premium perform better than ordinary convertible issuers inYears +2 (according to all three measures), +3 (according to the ROA and profit margin), and +4(according to profit margin). Firms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premiumperform better than ordinary convertible issuers in Year +2 only (according to all three measures).These results again indicate that the postissue operating performance of firms issuing putableconvertibles with a high conversion premium (relative to their matched nonissuers) is somewhatbetter than that of firms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium (relativeto their matched nonissuers), thus providing weak evidence consistent with the asymmetricinformation hypothesis H9.
D. The Valuation of Putable and Ordinary Convertible Issuers
In this section, we study the extent of under- or overvaluation of putable and ordinary convertibleissuers in the equity market relative to their intrinsic value (i.e., value conditional on firm insiders’private information) and test hypotheses H5A, H5B, and H8. The risk-shifting hypothesis H5Apredicts no difference in the market valuation of firms issuing putable versus ordinary convertiblesprior to the convertible issue, while the asymmetric information hypothesis H5B predicts thatthe market valuation of putable convertibles issuers prior to the issue will be lower than that ofordinary convertible issuers.
To estimate intrinsic values, we make use of the realized values of the issuers’ sales and bookvalue of equity in the year subsequent to the issue. If firm insiders (managers) have privateinformation regarding their firm’s future cash flows at the time of the issue and have rationalexpectations (so that there is no systematic bias in their prediction of the firm’s future cash flowstream), then the above realized values will yield us an unbiased estimate of the insiders’ valuationof the convertible issuer conditional on their private information at the time of the issue.
To obtain the intrinsic value of the putable or ordinary convertible issuer’s equity, we multiplythe realized values of the issuer’s sales or book value of equity in the fiscal year after theannouncement of the issue by the price-to-sales or price-to-book value ratios, respectively, ofa matched nonissuing firm calculated using sales and book value of equity of this matchednonissuer at the end of the fiscal year preceding the issue and share price on the day prior to theissue announcement.
To ensure the robustness of our results, we select nonissuing matched firms using two differentmatching algorithms. For the first matching algorithm, we follow Purnanandam and Swaminathan(2004) where nonissuing industry peers are selected from the entire Compustat universe aftereliminating the firms that had issued convertible debt in the previous three years, foreign firms,REITs, and closed-end funds. Then, potential matching nonissuers are grouped into 48 industriesthat are constructed based on various categorizations of four-digit industry codes using theindustry classifications in Fama and French (1997). For each year, we divide each industryportfolio into three portfolios based on sales, and we split each sales portfolio into three portfoliosbased on OIBD sales margin [OIBD (Compustat Item 13)/sales (Item 12)]. This procedure givesus nine portfolios for each industry-year. We insist, however, that there are at least three firms ineach portfolio, and if the number of firms in the industry does not allow us to form nine portfolios,we limit ourselves to 3 × 2, 2 × 2, or even one portfolio. Each convertible issuer is then placed intoan appropriate year-industry-sales-OIBD margin portfolio based on the convertible issuer’s salesand OIBD margin in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Within the portfolio, we select matching
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1055
industry peers to be the ones that have the closest sales to the convertible issuers. The secondmatching algorithm that we use is the propensity score matching algorithm described earlier (inSection B).
Thus, the per share intrinsic value V of each convertible issuer using either sales or book valueof equity is calculated as follows:
VSales =Issuer next fiscal year sales ×
(P
S
)Match
Issuer CRSP shares outstanding, (2)
VBook value =Issuer next fiscal year book value of equity ×
(P
B
)Match
Issuer CRSP shares outstanding, (3)
where(
P
S
)Match
= Match preannouncement date price × Match CRSP shares outstanding
Match prior fiscal year sales, (4)
(P
B
)Match
= Match preannouncement date price × Match CRSP shares outstanding
Match prior fiscal year book value of equity. (5)
The preannouncement date price-to-intrinsic value ratio for each putable and ordinary convert-ible issuer (P/V ) is calculated as follows by dividing the issuer preannouncement date price bythe per share intrinsic value V calculated above
(P
V
)Sales
= Issuer preannouncement date price
VSales, (6)
(P
V
)Book value
= Issuer preannouncement date price
VBook value. (7)
In the above, preannouncement date price is the share price and CRSP shares outstanding isthe number of shares outstanding of convertible issuers and respective matched nonissuers on theday prior to the announcement of convertible issues as reported by CRSP.
Panel A of Table VII reports the median P/V ratios of putable and ordinary convertible issuers.As expected, ordinary convertible issuers are overvalued as compared to their industry peersaccording to both matching algorithms. The median ordinary convertible issuer is overvaluedrelative to its matched nonissuing industry peer by 12%-18% using the (P/V )Sales multiple andby 6%-11% using the (P/V )Book value multiple. Alternatively, putable convertible issuers are eithercorrectly priced (the median (P/V )Sales ratio of putable convertible issuers is more than one onlyby 1%-2%) or undervalued (the median (P/V )Book value ratio of putable convertible issuers is lessthan one by 4%-8%). Clearly, putable convertible issuers have lower valuations when comparedto ordinary convertible issuers based on both price multiples (the z-statistics testing the equality
1056 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leV
II.
Eq
uit
yV
alu
ati
on
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
ers
Thi
sta
ble
repo
rts
the
med
ians
ofpr
ice-
to-i
ntri
nsic
valu
e(P
/V)
rati
osof
puta
ble
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
(als
osp
liti
nto
two
subs
ampl
esof
puta
ble
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
wit
hab
ove
and
belo
wm
edia
nco
nver
sion
prem
ium
s)an
dor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
son
eda
ypr
ior
toth
eis
sue
anno
unce
men
tda
y.T
hein
trin
sic
valu
eof
conv
erti
ble
issu
eris
com
pute
dby
mul
tipl
ying
the
real
ized
valu
esof
the
issu
er’s
sale
sor
book
valu
eof
equi
tyin
the
fisc
alye
araf
tert
heis
sue
byth
epr
ice-
to-s
ales
orpr
ice-
to-b
ook
valu
era
tios
,res
pect
ivel
y,of
anin
dust
rype
erca
lcul
ated
atth
een
dof
the
fisc
alye
arpr
ior
toth
eis
sue.
Sal
esar
eth
eto
tals
ales
(Com
pust
atIt
em12
)an
dbo
okva
lue
isth
ebo
okva
lue
ofeq
uity
(Ite
m60
).In
dust
rype
ers
are
sele
cted
:1)
foll
owin
gth
eP
urna
nand
aman
dS
wam
inat
han
(200
4)al
gori
thm
asco
mpa
rabl
epu
blic
lytr
aded
firm
sin
the
sam
eFa
ma
and
Fren
ch(1
997)
indu
stry
asco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sth
atha
veth
ecl
oses
tsal
esan
dO
IBD
mar
gin
(OIB
D/s
ales
)in
the
fisc
alye
arpr
ior
toth
eis
sue,
and
2)as
com
para
ble
publ
icly
trad
edfi
rms
inth
esa
me
two-
digi
tS
ICco
dein
dust
ryas
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
that
have
the
clos
est
prop
ensi
tysc
ore
valu
eba
sed
onth
epr
evio
usfi
scal
year
’s(O
IBD
+in
tere
stin
com
e)/a
sset
s,pr
ofit
mar
gin,
RO
A,
(OIB
D+
inte
rest
inco
me)
/sal
es,
(cap
ital
expe
ndit
ures
+R
&D
)/as
sets
,mar
ket-
to-b
ook,
and
tota
lass
ets.
Pro
pens
ity
scor
elo
gitf
unct
ions
are
esti
mat
edse
para
tely
for
puta
ble
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
and
ordi
nary
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
inea
chye
ar.C
onve
rsio
npr
emiu
mis
the
perc
enta
gedi
ffer
ence
betw
een
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atw
hich
the
conv
ersi
onop
tion
beco
mes
inth
em
oney
and
the
issu
er’s
stoc
kpr
ice
atth
eti
me
ofco
nver
tibl
eis
sue.
z-st
atis
tics
corr
espo
ndto
the
Wil
coxo
ntw
o-sa
mpl
era
nk-s
umte
stte
stin
gth
eeq
uali
tyof
dist
ribu
tion
ofP
/Vra
tios
for
two
subs
ampl
esof
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers.
Ind
us
try
Pe
ers
Se
lec
ted
Fo
llo
win
gth
eIn
du
str
yP
ee
rsS
ele
cte
dU
sin
gth
e
Pu
rna
na
nd
am
an
dS
wa
min
ath
an
(20
04
)P
rop
en
sit
yS
co
reM
atc
hin
gA
lgo
rith
m
Ma
tch
ing
Alg
ori
thm
P/V
Ra
tio
Ba
se
do
nP
/VR
ati
oB
as
ed
on
P/V
Ra
tio
Ba
se
do
nP
/VR
ati
oB
as
ed
on
Pri
ce
/Sa
les
Mu
ltip
leP
ric
e/B
oo
kV
alu
eP
ric
e/S
ale
sM
ult
iple
Pri
ce
/Bo
ok
Va
lue
Mu
ltip
leM
ult
iple
Nu
mb
er
Me
dia
nN
um
be
rM
ed
ian
Nu
mb
er
Me
dia
nN
um
be
rM
ed
ian
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
Pane
lA.P
rice
-to-
Intr
insi
cVa
lue
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Con
vert
ible
Issu
ers
Put
able
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
320
1.01
292
0.92
291
1.02
265
0.96
Ord
inar
yco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
s1,
181
1.12
1,06
41.
061,
040
1.18
947
1.11
z-st
atis
tic
for
valu
atio
ndi
ffer
ence
−0.7
4−2
.81∗∗
∗−1
.41
−1.9
0∗
Pane
lB.P
rice
-to-
Intr
insi
cVa
lue
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Abo
ve-
and
Bel
ow-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
Put
able
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
wit
hab
ove-
med
ian
conv
ersi
onpr
emiu
m14
81.
0513
30.
9513
60.
9412
20.
92
Put
able
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
wit
hbe
low
-med
ian
conv
ersi
onpr
emiu
m14
41.
0013
50.
9213
01.
1112
11.
10
z-st
atis
tic
for
valu
atio
ndi
ffer
ence
0.93
−0.2
4−0
.45
−1.7
2∗
(Con
tinu
ed)
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1057
Tab
leV
II.
Eq
uit
yV
alu
ati
on
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
ers
(Co
nti
nu
ed)
Ind
us
try
Pe
ers
Se
lec
ted
Fo
llo
win
gth
eIn
du
str
yP
ee
rsS
ele
cte
dU
sin
gth
e
Pu
rna
na
nd
am
an
dS
wa
min
ath
an
(20
04
)P
rop
en
sit
yS
co
reM
atc
hin
gA
lgo
rith
m
Ma
tch
ing
Alg
ori
thm
P/V
Ra
tio
Ba
se
do
nP
/VR
ati
oB
as
ed
on
P/V
Ra
tio
Ba
se
do
nP
/VR
ati
oB
as
ed
on
Pri
ce
/Sa
les
Mu
ltip
leP
ric
e/B
oo
kV
alu
eP
ric
e/S
ale
sM
ult
iple
Pri
ce
/Bo
ok
Va
lue
Mu
ltip
leM
ult
iple
Nu
mb
er
Me
dia
nN
um
be
rM
ed
ian
Nu
mb
er
Me
dia
nN
um
be
rM
ed
ian
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
of
Fir
ms
P/V
Pane
lC.P
rice
-to-
Intr
insi
cVa
lue
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Abo
ve-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
and
Ord
inar
yC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
s
Put
able
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
wit
hab
ove-
med
ian
conv
ersi
onpr
emiu
m14
81.
0513
30.
9513
60.
9412
20.
92
Ord
inar
yco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
s1,
181
1.12
1,06
41.
061,
040
1.18
947
1.11
z-st
atis
tic
for
valu
atio
ndi
ffer
ence
0.10
−2.0
6∗∗−1
.49
−2.1
1∗∗
Pane
lD.P
rice
-to-
Intr
insi
cVa
lue
Rat
ios
ofP
utab
leC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
sw
ith
Bel
ow-M
edia
nC
onve
rsio
nP
rem
ium
and
Ord
inar
yC
onve
rtib
leIs
suer
s
Put
able
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
wit
hbe
low
-med
ian
conv
ersi
onpr
emiu
m14
41.
0013
50.
9213
01.
1112
11.
10
Ord
inar
yco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
s1,
181
1.12
1,06
41.
061,
040
1.18
947
1.11
z-st
atis
tic
for
valu
atio
ndi
ffer
ence
−1.0
8−1
.60
−0.8
6−0
.13
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
1058 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
of distributions of P/V ratios for putable and ordinary convertible issuers are negative for bothprice multiples and are statistically significant for (P/V )Book value ratios). For example, the medianP/V ratios for putable convertible issuers based on book value are 0.92 and 0.96 depending onthe matching algorithm used, while the same median ratios for ordinary convertible issuers are1.06 and 1.11, respectively. These differences are significant at the 1% and 10% levels. Thus, theresults of our valuation analysis provide some support for the asymmetric information hypothesisH5B and are inconsistent with the risk-shifting hypothesis H5A.
Next we test the asymmetric information hypothesis H8, which predicts that the average marketvaluation of firms issuing putable convertibles with a high conversion premium prior to the issuewill be lower than that of firms issuing putable convertibles with a low conversion premium. PanelB of Table VII indicates that the median P/V ratios based on the Purnanandam and Swaminathan(2004) matching algorithm of firms issuing putable convertibles with above median conversionpremium are slightly larger than those of firms issuing putable convertibles with below medianconversion premium. These differences are not statistically significant. However, the median P/Vratios based on the propensity score matching algorithm of firms issuing putable convertibles withabove median conversion premium are smaller than those of firms issuing putable convertibleswith below median conversion premium. The difference in the median (P/V )Book value ratiosbetween the two groups is significant at the 10% level.
Further, Panel C of Table VII demonstrates that the median P/V ratios of firms issuing putableconvertibles with above median conversion premium are smaller than those of ordinary convert-ible issuers. The differences in the median (P/V )Book value ratios between these two groups aresignificant at the 5% level based on both matching algorithms. Panel D of Table VII reportsthat although the median P/V ratios of firms issuing putable convertibles with below medianconversion premium are smaller than those of ordinary convertible issuers, the differences insuch ratios are not statistically significant.
Thus, our results in Panels B, C, and D of Table VII provide an indication that firms issuingputable convertibles with above median conversion premium are somewhat more undervalued ascompared to firms issuing putable convertibles with below median conversion premium. Theseresults are broadly consistent with the asymmetric information hypothesis H8.
E. The Long-Run Stock Return Performance of Putable and Ordinary
Convertible Issuers
In this section, we examine the long-run stock return performance of putable and ordinaryconvertible issuers and test the asymmetric information hypothesis H10. This hypothesis predictsthat putable convertible issuers will have better long-run stock return performance than ordinaryconvertible issuers.
We study the long-run stock return performance by creating calendar-time portfolios of con-vertible issuer returns using the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model. This multifactormodel serves as a benchmark for expected returns. In this approach, the estimates of interceptsserve as measures of monthly abnormal returns with negative intercepts indicating underperfor-mance and positive intercepts indicating overperformance. We estimate the following regressionincluding the entire sample of putable and ordinary convertible issuers
(Rpt − R f t ) = α + γ Putable dummy + β1(Rmt − R f t ) + β2(Rmt − R f t )Putable dummy
+ s1 SMBt + s2 SMBt Putable dummy + h1 HMLt + h2 HMLt Putable dummy + εt ,
(8)
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1059
where the dependent variable for each calendar month t of the estimation period is the averagemonthly percentage return on a portfolio of convertible issuers that have issued convertible debtduring the prior 60 months (Rpt) minus the one-month T-bill yield in month t (Rft). Rmt is the returnon the CRSP value-weighted index in month t, SMBt is the return on a portfolio of small stocksminus the return on a portfolio of large stocks in month t, and HMLt is the return on a portfolioof high book-to-market stocks minus the return on a portfolio of low book-to-market stocksin month t. We test the differences in the long-run performance between putable and ordinaryconvertible issuers by including in Equation (8) a dummy variable equal to one for putableconvertible issuers, and zero for ordinary convertible issuers (Putable dummy) and interacting itwith the three Fama and French (1993) factors. Thus, the estimate of α in Equation (8) representsthe monthly abnormal returns of ordinary convertible issuers and the estimate of γ representsthe difference between the monthly abnormal returns of putable convertible issuers over those ofordinary convertible issuers. The estimate of γ is expected to be positive if putable convertibleissuers have better long-run stock return performance as compared to ordinary convertible issuers.
Table VIII presents the results of our estimations of Equation (8) using OLS and WLS re-gressions for equally and value-weighted portfolio returns.31 The estimates of α are all negativeand significant indicating that ordinary convertible issuers realize significantly negative monthlyabnormal returns in the five-year period after the issue (ranging from −0.25% to −0.81%). Thecoefficient estimates of Putable dummy (γ ) are all positive and, compared to the estimates ofα, are smaller in absolute terms. This indicates that although putable convertible issuers alsorealize negative abnormal returns in the five-year period after the issue (ranging from −0.11%to −0.33%), such returns are less negative than those of ordinary convertible issuers. The coef-ficient estimate of Putable dummy (γ ) is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level inour OLS regression with equally weighted portfolio returns indicating that putable convertibleissuers significantly overperform ordinary convertible issuers (the monthly abnormal return ofordinary convertible issuers is −0.81% and it is −0.33% for putable convertible issuers). Theseresults are consistent with the asymmetric information hypothesis H10.32
F. The Choice between Putable and Ordinary Convertible Issues
In this section, we investigate the choice between putable and ordinary convertibles in amultivariate setting. We run a set of logit regressions with the dependent variable equal to one ifthe convertible issue is putable and zero if it is ordinary. The independent variables relate to ourthree hypotheses: 1) five independent variables relate to the risk-shifting hypothesis (Shumway(2001) bankruptcy measure (SBM), long-term debt over assets, capital expenditures over assets,stock return volatility, and firm size), 2) one independent variable relates to the asymmetricinformation hypothesis (price-to-intrinsic value (P/V ) ratio based on the price-to-book valuemultiple using the Purnanandam and Swaminathan, 2004, matching algorithm), and 3) oneindependent variable relates to the tax savings hypothesis (income tax obligations in the fiscalyear prior to the issue normalized by sales). We use two other independent variables as controlvariables: 1) cash flow/assets is used to control for operating performance prior to the issue and2) the investor sentiment index is used to control for an alternative explanation for the issuance
31For weighted least squares (WLS) the weights are determined by the number of convertible issuers in the monthlyportfolio.32We also conducted a long-run stock return performance analysis of putable and ordinary convertible issuers by comparingtheir postissue holding-period returns to those of two benchmarks, matched nonissuers, and the CRSP value-weightedindex. Our findings using holding period returns were broadly consistent with our results using the Fama-French (1993)three-factor model.
1060 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leV
III.
Po
sti
ssu
eS
tock
Retu
rnP
erf
orm
an
ce
of
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
ers
Tim
e-se
ries
regr
essi
ons
ofpo
stis
sue
mon
thly
perc
enta
gere
turn
sof
conv
erti
ble
issu
ers
usin
gth
eFa
ma-
Fren
ch(1
993)
thre
e-fa
ctor
mod
el
(Rpt
−R
ft)=
α+
γP
utab
ledu
mm
y+
β1(R
mt−
Rft)+
β2(R
mt−
Rft)P
utab
ledu
mm
y+
s 1SM
Bt+
s 2SM
Bt
Put
able
dum
my
+h 1
HM
Lt+
h 2H
ML
tP
utab
ledu
mm
y+ε
t,
whe
reR
ptis
the
retu
rnon
the
port
foli
oof
sam
ple
firm
sin
mon
tht;
Rft
isth
eon
e-m
onth
T-bi
llyi
eld
inm
onth
t;P
utab
ledu
mm
yis
adu
mm
yva
riab
leeq
ual
toon
efo
rpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
s,an
dze
rofo
ror
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
s;R
mt
isth
ere
turn
onth
eva
lue-
wei
ghte
din
dex
ofN
YS
E,A
ME
X,a
ndN
AS
DA
Qst
ocks
inm
onth
t;SM
Bt
isth
ere
turn
onsm
all
firm
sm
inus
the
retu
rnon
larg
efi
rms
inm
onth
t;an
dH
ML
tis
the
retu
rnon
high
book
-to-
mar
ket
stoc
ksm
inus
the
retu
rnon
low
book
-to-
mar
kets
tock
sin
mon
tht.
The
fact
orde
fini
tion
sar
ede
scri
bed
inFa
ma
etal
.(19
93).
The
sam
ple
peri
odis
Febr
uary
1982
-Dec
embe
r20
08(3
23m
onth
s)an
dsa
mpl
efi
rmre
turn
sar
ein
clud
edin
apa
rtic
ular
mon
thly
port
foli
oif
the
firm
’sco
nver
tibl
ede
btof
feri
ngda
teoc
curr
edw
ithi
nth
ela
st60
mon
ths.
The
num
ber
ofpu
tabl
eco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sin
the
mon
thly
port
foli
ora
nges
from
1to
234
and
the
num
ber
ofor
dina
ryco
nver
tibl
eis
suer
sin
the
mon
thly
port
foli
ora
nges
from
3to
615.
Reg
ress
ions
(1)
and
(2)
use
equa
llyw
eigh
ted
(EW
)re
turn
s,w
hile
Reg
ress
ions
(3)
and
(4)
use
valu
e-w
eigh
ted
(VW
)re
turn
s(w
ith
valu
em
easu
red
asth
esa
mpl
efi
rm’s
mon
th-e
ndm
arke
tca
pita
liza
tion
inth
em
onth
prio
rto
the
port
foli
ofo
rmat
ion)
.Reg
ress
ions
(1)
and
(3)
are
esti
mat
edus
ing
ordi
nary
leas
tsq
uare
s(O
LS
),an
dR
egre
ssio
ns(2
)an
d(4
)ar
ees
tim
ated
usin
gw
eigh
ted
leas
tsq
uare
s(W
LS
)w
ith
the
wei
ghts
base
don
the
num
ber
ofis
suin
gfi
rms
inth
em
onth
lypo
rtfo
lio.
Para
met
eres
tim
ates
are
pres
ente
dw
ith
t-st
atis
tics
inpa
rent
hese
s.
αγ
β1
β2
s 1s 2
h1
h2
R2
(1)
EW
Port
foli
os/O
LS
−0.8
14∗∗
∗0.
481∗∗
1.30
9∗∗∗
−0.2
37∗∗
∗0.
893∗∗
∗−0
.344
∗∗∗
0.03
10.
071
0.81
(−4.
75)
(1.9
7)(3
1.40
)(−
4.01
)(1
5.86
)(−
4.32
)(0
.48)
(0.7
7)
(2)
EW
Port
foli
os/W
LS
−0.6
27∗∗
∗0.
346
1.26
5∗∗∗
−0.1
160.
885∗∗
∗−0
.382
∗∗∗
−0.0
590.
161
0.86
(−5.
07)
(1.2
2)(4
2.75
)(−
1.55
)(2
1.20
)(−
3.81
)(−
1.19
)(1
.36)
(3)
VW
Port
foli
os/O
LS
−0.2
89∗
0.18
21.
173∗∗
∗−0
.194
∗∗∗
0.34
0∗∗∗
−0.0
99−0
.402
∗∗∗
0.12
70.
78(−
1.65
)(0
.73)
(27.
60)
(−3.
23)
(5.9
2)(−
1.22
)(−
6.06
)(1
.35)
(4)
VW
Port
foli
os/W
LS
−0.2
51∗∗
∗0.
022
1.14
6∗∗∗
−0.1
01∗
0.31
5∗∗∗
−0.2
43∗∗
∗−0
.412
∗∗∗
0.21
9∗∗0.
90(−
2.73
)(0
.10)
(52.
13)
(−1.
81)
(10.
15)
(−3.
26)
(−11
.09)
(2.4
9)
∗∗∗ S
igni
fica
ntat
the
0.01
leve
l.∗∗
Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
05le
vel.
∗ Sig
nifi
cant
atth
e0.
10le
vel.
Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1061
of putable convertibles suggested by practitioners, namely, the “issuer optimism” hypothesis asdescribed in the next section.
We construct a monthly series of the investor sentiment index after Baker and Wurgler (2006).The greater the value of the index, the more optimistic the investors and vice versa. Since oneof the definitions of investor sentiment that Baker and Wurgler (2006) use in their work is “. . .optimism or pessimism about stocks in general,” this index is a good proxy to measure the degreeof outside investors’ optimism or pessimism regarding future economic activity, the stock marketin general, and the future stock return performance of issuing firms. The index is constructedusing several proxies suggested in the literature to measure investor sentiment. It is a compositeindex based on the first principal component of those proxies. The underlying proxies of investorsentiment are: 1) the closed-end fund discount, 2) NYSE share turnover, 3) the number and averagefirst day returns on IPOs, 4) the equity share in new issues, and 5) the dividend premium. Thesesentiment proxies are measured monthly for the sample period. While the investor sentimentindex we construct is a monthly series as opposed to the annual series constructed by Baker andWurgler (2006), we follow Baker and Wurgler (2006) closely in constructing the above index,making use of monthly data.33 Due to space limitations, we will not describe the details of theabove construction here.34 We have verified that our monthly series closely follows the annualseries of Baker and Wurgler (2006) and has properties similar to their annual series, while havingthe advantage of capturing intrayear variations in investor sentiment (which is clearly not possiblewith an annual series).
We expect all the independent variables related to the risk-shifting hypothesis (except firm size)to have positive coefficients (we expect a negative coefficient for firm size) if putable convertiblesare issued to mitigate potential risk-shifting. We expect the asymmetric information hypothesisvariable to have a negative coefficient since this hypothesis predicts that putable convertibleissuers will have lower market valuation when compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Weexpect the tax savings hypothesis variable to have a positive coefficient if putable convertiblesare issued for tax saving purposes. Finally, we expect the investor sentiment index to have anegative coefficient if, as suggested by the “issuer optimism” hypothesis in the next section,putable convertibles are issued in periods when investors’ outlook regarding future economicactivity and the stock market is more pessimistic. The results of various specifications of ourlogit regressions are presented in Table IX.
The coefficient estimates of the Shumway (2001) bankruptcy measure, capital expendituresover assets, and stock return volatility are all negative while those of firm size are all positive andhighly significant in most specifications. Thus, larger and less risky firms, and those with lowercapital expenditures and with lower bankruptcy probabilities, are more likely to issue putablerather than ordinary convertibles. These findings imply that putable convertible issuers are lesssubject to risk-shifting as compared to ordinary convertible issuers, and, as such, do not providesupport for the risk-shifting hypotheses H1 and H2. Next, the asymmetric information variablehas a negative coefficient estimate in all specifications indicating that relatively undervaluedfirms (or firms that have favorable private information regarding their future performance notreflected in current market valuations) are more likely to issue putable convertibles rather than
33Baker and Wurgler (2006) construct an annual series of the investor sentiment index and use it to test how subsequentstock returns vary with beginning-of-period sentiment. They show that when beginning-of-period investor sentimentis low (investors are pessimistic), subsequent returns are relatively high for small, young, high volatility, unprofitable,nondividend-paying, extreme growth, and distressed stocks. When sentiment is high (investors are optimistic), on theother hand, these categories of stock earn relatively low subsequent returns.34Additional details of the construction of the above index and data sources are available to interested readers from theauthors upon request.
1062 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
Tab
leIX
.L
og
itR
eg
ressio
ns
Exp
lain
ing
the
Ch
oic
eb
etw
een
Pu
tab
lean
dO
rdin
ary
Co
nvert
ible
Issu
es
The
depe
nden
tvar
iabl
eis
equa
lto
one
ifth
eco
nver
tibl
eis
sue
ispu
tabl
ean
dze
roif
the
conv
erti
ble
issu
eis
ordi
nary
.See
Tabl
eI
for
defi
niti
ons
ofin
depe
nden
tva
riab
les.
P/V
rati
ois
the
pric
e-to
-val
uera
tio,
whe
reva
lue
isth
ein
trin
sic
valu
eof
the
issu
erco
mpu
ted
base
don
the
mar
ket
pric
e-to
-boo
kva
lue
rati
oof
anin
dust
rype
erfo
llow
ing
Pur
nana
ndam
and
Sw
amin
atha
n(2
004)
.Par
amet
eres
tim
ates
are
pres
ente
dw
ith
t-st
atis
tics
inpa
rent
hese
s.
12
34
56
78
91
0
Inte
rcep
t−1
.447
∗∗∗
−0.4
370.
153
0.09
2−0
.558
1.14
0∗∗0.
032
0.29
5−1
.447
∗∗∗
0.87
3∗∗
(−3.
16)
(−1.
58)
(0.3
0)(0
.18)
(−1.
20)
(2.3
5)(0
.07)
(0.5
9)(−
3.16
)(2
.10)
Shu
mw
ayba
nkru
ptcy
mea
sure
0.04
5−0
.056
−0.1
08−0
.134
∗−0
.216
∗∗∗
−0.0
85−0
.116
0.04
5−0
.189
∗∗∗
(0.7
0)(−
0.82
)(−
1.51
)(−
1.93
)(−
3.10
)(−
1.38
)(−
1.63
)(0
.70)
(−3.
06)
Lon
g-te
rmde
bt/t
otal
asse
ts0.
683
0.91
2∗0.
924∗
1.29
2∗∗∗
1.36
7∗∗∗
1.07
5∗∗∗
1.15
7∗∗0.
683
1.12
6∗∗
(1.4
3)(1
.93)
(1.8
8)(2
.66)
(2.7
6)(2
.75)
(2.2
8)(1
.43)
(2.5
1)C
apit
alex
pend
itur
es/t
otal
asse
ts−4
.096
∗∗∗
−2.5
17∗∗
−2.2
69∗∗
−2.6
87∗∗
−3.1
43∗∗
∗−2
.695
∗∗∗
−2.6
16∗∗
−4.0
96∗∗
∗−2
.218
∗∗
(−3.
75)
(−2.
38)
(−2.
14)
(−2.
50)
(−2.
93)
(−2.
72)
(−2.
44)
(−3.
75)
(−2.
19)
Sto
ckre
turn
vola
tili
ty−1
0.07
4∗−2
6.41
6∗∗∗
−26.
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Chemmanur & Simonyan � What Drives the Issuance of Putable Convertibles? 1063
ordinary convertibles. This finding is consistent with the asymmetric information hypothesisH5B and does not provide support for the risk-shifting hypothesis H5A. Finally, the income taxvariable has a positive coefficient estimate in all specifications, which is consistent with the taxsavings hypothesis H11.
The Investor Sentiment Index has a negative coefficient significant at the 1% level in all spec-ifications suggesting that putable convertibles are more likely to be issued at times when theinvestors’ outlook regarding future economic activity and the stock market is more pessimistic.This supports “issuer optimism” as an alternative explanation for the issuance of putable con-vertibles (see, however, the discussion in the next section). To summarize, the results of our logitregressions are broadly consistent with the asymmetric information and tax savings hypothesesand do not provide any support for the risk-shifting hypothesis.35
IV. An Alternative Explanation
A possible alternative explanation suggested by practitioners for the issuance of putable con-vertibles is that these securities are issued by CFOs who are overly optimistic about the futureprospects of their firm, and who believe that the put option in their convertibles is less likely tobe in the money when compared to outsiders’ beliefs about the same event. This implies thatissuers’ valuation (conditional on their own personal probability distribution) of the put optionembedded in putable convertibles will be lower than the price outsiders are willing to pay for thisput option (based on the outsiders’ own more pessimistic probability distribution of the firm’sfuture stock price), thus creating gains from trade between the two parties.
The above “issuer optimism” hypothesis implies that firms will be more likely to issue putable(rather than ordinary) convertibles during periods when the difference in beliefs between issuersand outsiders is greater (with the issuers being more optimistic than outsiders). While it is difficultto measure differences in beliefs across issuers and outsiders directly, this hypothesis generatesa testable prediction if we make the additional assumption that the beliefs of issuers about theirfirm’s future prospects are less likely to fluctuate over time compared to those of outside investors(Landier and Thesmar, 2009).36 Given this, we get the testable prediction that putable convertiblesare more likely to be issued by firms during periods when outside investors’ outlook about futureeconomic activity and the stock market (and, therefore, the issuing firm’s future stock price) ismore pessimistic (thereby increasing the difference in the extent of optimism between issuersand outsiders). We control for the above argument in our multivariate analysis by including theinvestor sentiment index in our regressions in Table IX.
It is also possible that the issuer optimism hypothesis is the practitioners’ (nonacademic) wayof stating the asymmetric information hypothesis since issuer optimism (and the difference inbeliefs between firm insiders and outsiders) may be a result of firm insiders’ favorable privateinformation. A negative coefficient estimate of the investor sentiment index in Table IX indicatesthat putable convertibles are more likely to be issued when firm insiders are more optimisticabout their firm’s future prospects, which is also consistent with firm insiders having favorableprivate information. Viewed in this way, the statistical significance of the investor sentiment index
35We also estimated the regressions in this section by running cluster regressions where the clusters were determined bytwo-digit SIC industry codes. Our results were unchanged.36Landier and Thesmar (2009) document that insiders (such as entrepreneurs) tend to be much more optimistic thanprofessional investors regarding the future prospects of their firm, do not change their beliefs easily, and tend to believethat financial markets underestimate the future prospects of their firm.
1064 Financial Management � Autumn 2010
provides some additional support for the asymmetric information hypothesis. In any case, evenafter controlling for the above alternative explanation, our empirical results broadly support theasymmetric information and tax savings hypotheses.
V. Discussion of Results and Conclusion
This paper presents the first empirical analysis of firms’ rationale for issuing putable convert-ibles in the literature. We used a sample of putable and ordinary convertible debt offerings toexplore three possible rationales for issuing putable convertible debt, namely, the risk-shiftinghypothesis, the asymmetric information hypothesis, and the tax savings hypothesis.
Our empirical findings regarding the three possible rationales for issuing putable convertiblesare as follows. First, putable convertible issuers are larger, less risky firms with smaller growthopportunities and a lower overall bankruptcy probability as compared to ordinary convertibleissuers. These results do not support the risk-shifting hypothesis. Second, putable convertibleissuers have lower preissue market valuations when compared to ordinary convertible issuers.Additionally, they also experience less negative abnormal stock returns upon the announcementof an issue when compared to a matched sample of ordinary convertible issuers. Moreover,putable convertible issuers exhibit better long-run postissue operating performance as comparedto ordinary convertible issuers. Also, among putable convertible issuers, the subsample of firmsissuing putable convertibles with larger conversion premia (i.e., with conversion options that aremore out of the money) have lower preissue market valuations, more favorable announcementeffects, and better long-run postissue operating performance than the subsample of firms issuingputable convertibles with smaller conversion premia. The last four results support the predictionsof the asymmetric information hypothesis for issuing putable convertibles. Furthermore, firmsissuing putable convertibles have greater tax obligations than those issuing ordinary convertibles.Additionally, a greater proportion of putable convertible issues fall into higher credit ratingcategories when compared to ordinary convertible issues. These two results provide support forthe tax savings hypothesis. Finally, putable convertible issuers have better long-run postissuestock return performance as compared to ordinary convertible issuers. Overall, the results ofour univariate as well as multivariate analyses of a firm’s choice between putable and ordinaryconvertibles support the asymmetric information and tax savings hypotheses, but do not provideany support for the risk-shifting hypothesis. �
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