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What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the Boise River? Alexandra Etheridge April 6, 2012

What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

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Page 1: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the Boise River?

Alexandra Etheridge

April 6, 2012

Page 2: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Boise River history and watershed characteristics

Why Phosphorus?

Spatial Phosphorus Loading 1996-2005

Flow-weighted Phosphorus trends 1994-2010

Boise River & Snake River-Hells Canyon TMDL

Preview

Page 3: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early
Page 4: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

History of the Boise River

Late 1800s – early 1900s diversions for irrigation, mining

Dams – 1915 Arrowrock, 1950 Anderson Ranch, 1957 Lucky Peak, 1957 Hells Canyon Dam

Geomorphological changes

Water-quality changes, increased nutrients, sediment, bacteria – urban and agriculture

Population in Treasure Valley increased 60% from 1990 to 2010

Boise River ~1900

Boise River Today

Page 5: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Lucky Peak Lake

Page 6: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early
Page 7: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early
Page 8: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Photo by ISDA

Page 9: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early
Page 10: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Why Phosphorus?

• Snake River-Hells Canyon TMDL – Phosphorus target = 0.07 mg/L

– Excess nutrients excess algae hypoxia/death

• Dissolved Phosphorus is a clear driver of Snake River algae growth

• No clear relationship between nutrients and floating algae in Boise

• Most algae in Boise River is benthic (attached to surfaces, bottom)

Page 11: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Total Phosphorous Concentrations (1996-2005)

Target at Mouth 0.07 mg/L

Downstream

Page 12: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Smoothed line, Irrigation Season

Smoothed line, non-irrigation Season

Flow-weighted = Total annual

phosphorus load ÷ Total annual Q

Target at Mouth 0.07 mg/L

Flow-weighted Phosphorus at Parma 1994 - 2002

Page 13: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

268

326

294

589

298 303 328

302

0.34

0.38

0.40

0.24

0.40

0.32 0.30

0.29

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

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Flow-Weighted Total Phosphorus At Parma 2003 - 2010

USGS DATA - PROVISIONAL SUBJECT TO PEER REVIEW

Target at Mouth 97 ton/yr (based on 242 kg/d)

Target at Mouth 0.07 mg/L

Page 14: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Robust Data 2008-2010

Study: What does Boise Contribute to Snake?

Funded by municipalities and USGS

TP at Parma every 49 h

Weekly sampling during Irrigation season in Snake and Boise

Estimated daily loads

15-minute water-quality parameters

Surrogates

What we found:

Boise River contributes 30% of TP and 72% of OP in Snake

Boise River has higher TP in winter

Boise River more dissolved than particulate

Snake River more particulate than dissolved

Phosphorus drives algae growth in Snake

Page 15: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Snake River Phosphorus & Floating Chlorophyll-a (Algae)

Overall spearman’s rho = -.64

Page 16: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Relative Contribution to Snake Boise River contributes 11% of mean annual flow in Snake

Net uptake of OP in Snake River, Owyhee River contributes ~2 – 4 % of nutrient loads measured at Nyssa

30%

53%

17%

Total Phosphorus Boise

Snake

Other

72% 39%

-11%

Orthophosphorus

15%

77%

8%

Total Nitrogen

13%

50%

37%

Suspended Sediment 2%

86%

12%

Chlorophyll-a

Page 17: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

All measured TP concentrations in Boise River exceeded the seasonal target of 0.07 mg/L

At Adrian - 13% exceeded target

At Nyssa – 64% exceeded target

Total Phosphorus 2008 - 2010

Page 18: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Most phosphorus in the Boise river is dissolved

Phosphorus increases downstream

Dissolved phosphorus delivered by the Boise River floating algae growth in the Snake River

Summary

Page 19: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Questions

Page 20: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

3 Synoptic sampling events August 2012

October 2012

February 2013

Up to 40 sites 25-30 surface water

10-15 groundwater

Phosphorus mass balance model

USGS Open File Report by June 30, 2013

USGS & IDEQ Synoptic Study

Page 21: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Phosphorus Data Summary 1994 -2005 Explanation

75th percentile (75% of results are lower than this)

25th percentile

(75% of results are higher than this)

Upper Adjacent (Largest result between 75th & 100th percentile)

Median Lower Adjacent (Lowest result between 25th & 0 percentile)

Outlier

Total Number of Samples 55

Page 22: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Total Phosphorus Surrogate Model Boise River

Seasonal Average TMDL Target

Page 23: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

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Dis

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sp

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g/L

River Mile

Right Bank

Center of River

Left Bank

Surface WaterParma

EagleIsland

Diversion Dam

Middleton

Caldwell Near Mason Slough

Glenwood Bridge

Notus

GW source of phosphorous to lower Boise River

Page 24: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

1

10

100

1000

10000

100

1,100

2,100

3,100

4,100

5,100

6,100

7,100

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- lb

s/d

ay

Estimated Mean Monthly Total Phosphorus Loads in pounds per day Boise River Near Parma, Idaho WY2003 - WY2008

Estimated TP Load

95% Confidence Interval

Daily Mean Flow

USGS DATA - PROVISIONAL SUBJECT TO PEER REVIEW

Page 25: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

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an M

on

thly

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ho

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ou

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day

Estimated Mean Monthly Total Phosphorus Loads Boise River Near Parma, Idaho WY2003 - WY2008

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Most recent biological sampling

USGS DATA - PROVISIONAL SUBJECT TO PEER REVIEW

Page 26: What Does USGS Research Tell Us About Phosphorus in the …air.idaho.gov/media/836960-what-does-usgs-research-tell... · 2012-05-09 · History of the Boise River Late 1800s – early

Sediment Concentrations (1996-2005)