WFIC - WiMAX and Emerging Economies WS281110

8/8/2019 WFIC - WiMAX and Emerging Economies WS281110

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WiMAX Forum Indonesia Chapter:

n

merg ng

Economies

Fri, 26 Nov 2010, Jakarta IndonesiaIntel Corporation, South-East Asia.


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To ics

Broadband and GDP rowth

Key Drivers for BB Voice ARPU declining

Data demand

Snapshot WiMAXDeployment in Asia

Indonesia BB status and challen es its facin

Intel The technology ingredient company

Technology to address the challenges

Summary


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The Economics Benefit of Broadband

HighHighIncomeCountriesIncomeCountries

LowLow andMiddleandMiddleIncomeIncome 1.121.121.211.21

1.381.38

ountr esountr es

0.730.730.810.81 0.770.77

0.430.43

..

Fixed TelephonyFixed Telephony MobileTelephonyMobileTelephony InternetInternet BroadbandBroadband

GrowthImpactoftelecommunicationsGrowthImpactoftelecommunications

6 Booz & Company, Digital Highways: The Role of Government In

21st-Century Infrastructure, 2009, p. 5Qiang, Christine Z., 2009. Telecommunications and Economic Growth.Unpublished paper. World Bank, Washington, D.C.

GDPpercentagepointincreasedueto10percentincreaseinpenetrationGDPpercentagepointincreasedueto10percentincreaseinpenetration


4/16

Broadband and Services

Providing the Next Rev Growth

Voice for All ce o

G

4

While Voice Revenues Continue Decline.....UPDATE 4-Reuters Thu Nov11, 2010 - Telecom Egypt's profit dips, eyes data growth


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1.4 billion Internet users>150 million websites1.5B web searches daily

1 billion IM users10 billion videos viewed every month100000 blo s created dail of a trillion dollars online sales worldwide3 million Twitter messages sent every day

Status. .Indonesia: 40M Internet/ 1.0M broadband users in 09

Vietnam: 22M Internet/ 2.9M broadband users in 09Philippines: 26M internet/ 1.0M broadband users in 09


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BB penetration in some SEA countries

AAPOPPOP (1)(1) (m):(m): 240240 2727 9898 8989 6868

ouse o mouse o m 6060 66 2020 3030 1818

MobileMobile (2)(2) :: 59%59% 99 %99 % 55.1 %55.1 % 73 %73 % 81 %81 %

InternetInternet (1)(1) :: 17%17% 45 %45 % 26 %26 % 24 %24 % 13 %13 %

BroadbandBroadband (3)(3) %%POPs:POPs:

0.4%0.4% 5.0 %5.0 % 1.0 %1.0 % 3.0 %3.0 % 2.5 %2.5 %

(3)(3)

**

HH:HH: .. .. .. ..

TARGET 50%TARGET 50% 20102010 TARGET 30%TARGET 30%2010/20112010/2011

Source: Internet World Stats (2H 09), (2) ABI Research (2H 09), (3) ITU (June 09), * Mr Toh MCMC Nov10 WF-SEA

- Indonesia has one of the lowest broadband penetration in the region even Indonesia has one of the lowest broadband penetration in the region evenwhen compared to countries with lower GDP-per-capita such as Vietnam and Philippines-Big discrepancy between internet and broadband penetration rate (12.5% vs 0.1%) shows potential users for broadband connections once they areavailable.


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Indonesia At a Glance240250

300

Key Penetration in mill ions

200

100

150Cellular

Internet3%Househol

40

2

50

en.

0POP Cellular Internet Broadband

pop, ouse o , u ony . users

Large Gap Between Internet User and Broadband AvailabilitySignify The Need and Opportunity


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Terabytes/Month: demands data-focused

100,000,000Source: TechWorld, November 27, 2008

1,000,000

, ,

WiMax Roaming Solves3G Capacity Crunch

10,000

, , , -

100

, The problem with 3G is in the air and the backhaul.The network was built for narrow band and now

users are downloading video on iPlayer, on what is

essentially a voice network. In London my calls

1

phone drops between cells.

Source: Caspian Networks and Cisco Estimates

Forecast


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Which Technology..?

AT&T's iPhone MessThe iPhone has swam ed AT&T's data

KDDI Confirms LTE Migration Plan

But Will Use WiMAX and WIFI too

network and sparked a consumer

rebellion.

KDDIsPresidentandChairman,TadashiOnoderastatedatGSMAMobileAsiaCongress2010.

TeleGeography Comms

Cover Story Feb 3,

2010

Update

Wed, 17 Nov 2010

Handle High Numbers of Mobile Internet UsersHandle High Numbers of Mobile Internet Users

huge data demands so we also need to usehuge data demands so we also need to use

other technologies such asother technologies such as WiMAXWiMAX and Wiand Wi--Fi,Fi,

Traffic Equivalents*Traffic Equivalents*1 La to = 15 Smart hones = 450 Voice1 La to = 15 Smart hones = 450 Voice

HandsetsHandsets* Source: Cisco, 2009Other brands and names are the property of their respective owners.Other brands and names are the property of their respective owners.


10/16

WiMAX Momentum in Asia is increasing

Malaysia: P1 W1MAX Celebrates OneYear Anniversary with 100,000Subscribers

Aug09: We are 1 yr into our mission to provide broadbandtechnology that reaches out to everyone in Malaysia. As one of

Augere Bangla DeshOCT 2009Augere launches first WiMax for DhakaInitially, the Qubeeservice is available for businesses and residential customers

the forerunners in the world for large scale 802.16e 2.3GHzcommercial WiMAX deployment, were very proud of what weve

achieved today from ground zero. Michael Lai CEO P1

, , , .be available across Bangladesh soon.

"UQ WiMAX" Business

On February 26, 2009, UQ Communications started UQ WiMAXService. This is a global-standard "future broadband" service,enablin faster mobile data transmissions usin Mobile WiMAX

June 11, 2009: Intel is delighted to take part in the launchof Globe Telecoms WiMAX services in the Philippines, saidNavin Shenoy, Intel Corporation Vice President and APAC

WiMAX passes 30Ksubs in August.

General Manager.

Malaysia: YTL CommunicationsRETHINK RESEARCH Wed 13 Oct 2010

,

Communications Sdn Bhd today launched theworld's first fully converged 4G mobile Internetservice with voice offering the industry'slowest rates at nine sen a minute, per SMS orper 3MB of data through its pay-as-you-go

expan s serv ce , -and Wi-Fi, across Korea By March, KT says itwill be the first carrier in the world to offernationwide Mobile WiMAX service, covering 82cities across Korea, or 85% of the population.

10 All DeploymentsAll Deployments areare 802.16e802.16e


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WiMAX Direct Impact on Broadband Modem Pricing

Wireless Notebook Modem ASP Trajectory

$150 Since Intelcame out with

2.5-3G Cellular

WiMAX 16e - Echo

Peak

Single Chip.11N+.16E**

p . +.

WiFi .11ABG

WiFi .11N

$0

*ABI Research, Q307 preliminary

** Intel Estimates


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-4G4G

2G2G

APAP

APAP

BTBTDiscreteDiscreteDiscreteDiscrete

WiWi--FiFi

GPSGPS

n egra on ec no og es on egra on ec no og es o oo n scre e o u onsn scre e o u onsDependent Upon Cost and Power TargetsDependent Upon Cost and Power Targets


13/16

Intel a Technology Ingredient Company

Intel has been for sometime committed to expand our silicon offerings to includeadditional communications silicon in addition to Wi-Fi and 4G

e uure o newor s w no e a snge ec noogy sou on, u ra er ervce

Providers will rely on multiple technologies deployed that client devices will need to beready to take advantage of and move between networks.

ur communcatons pro uct port o o ncu es - , , an soon an .We are a Multi-CommTechnology Company.

TDD-LTE solutions are still a few years away and most LTE networks will take severalyears to reach the level of maturity of current WiMAXnetworks.

Intel will deliver solutions as we believe the market need develops.

rema ns our pre erre so u on or o ay, ue o sTTM (Time To Market), cost and performance advantages.


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Mature WiMAX Technology

USB Dongles Pricing dropped from $70 (2009) to $40 (2010)

Dongles continue to come-down to $30 or lower in 2011 Embedded module cost $50 in 2009, now less than $30 in 2010, and

continue going down to $20 in 2011 and lower in 2012

Embedded WiMAXmake it possible to support various devices ie., , , , -


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Key Take-Away

Increasing broadband penetration is a matter of crucial National and Economic Interestfor Indonesia.

ue o c a enges n wre - roa an epoymen an m a on, e coun ry mus

deploy the latest, matured, wireless broadband technology available today Two wireless technology officially included in IMT-Advanced as 4G

One is and has been here for many years with mature ecosystems - WiMAX

The other one is just entering the marketing hype-stage, with NO mature ecosystemset LTE.

WiMAXis a mature technology and available now

Indonesia have several WiMAX16e manufacturers compliant to TKDN requirement

. Each month of delayed deployment means hampering the growth of the Countrys

Economy.

A Waiting Game is a Losing Game


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WiMAX Forum Indonesia Chapter:

WiMAX inEmerging

Economies

Werner SutantoWed, 26 Nov 2010, Jakarta Indonesia

Intel Corporation, South-East Asia.

Documents

WFIC - WiMAX and Emerging Economies WS281110