Wetlands and Climate Change

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    Wetlands and Climate Change

    By Wynn W. Cudmore, Ph.D.

    Northwest Center for Sustainable Resources

    DUE # 0757239

    This project supported in part by the National Science

    Foundation. Opinions expressed are those of the authors

    and not necessarily those of the Foundation.

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    Wetlands and Climate Change

    Global climate change is expected to exacerbate the loss and

    degradation of many wetlands and the loss or decline of their

    species

    Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005)

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    Fossil Fuels

    5,000 10,000

    Ocean

    38,630

    Terrestrial

    Ecosystems

    1,400 2,300

    Atmosphere

    CO2 740 CH4 3.4

    Tropical Rain

    Forests 450

    Wetlands

    455-700

    Rice Paddies

    6.3

    1.7

    0.7

    0.070.13Burning /

    Clearing

    0.4-2.8

    Wetlands in the Global Carbon Budget

    455-700

    Peat

    Building

    0.08

    Burning/

    Draining

    0.03

    0.23

    Units:

    Values in various reservoirs are in Pg carbon

    Fluxes represented by arrows are in Pg

    carbon/yr.

    1 Pg=1015 g

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    Although there are natural sources of these

    greenhouse gases, increases since 1750 are

    consistent with human activity

    Wetlands are

    potential

    sources for allthree major

    greenhouse

    gases

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    Wetlands as a source of methane

    Wetlands emitabout 20-25% of

    current global

    methane, about

    half of this comes

    from rice paddies

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    Northern wetlands as carbon stores

    Perennially frozen ground(permafrost) underlies northern

    wetlands (peat lands and bogs)

    Soils represent a large

    reservoir of organiccarbon stored as peat

    Warming temperatures may

    create a positive feedback loop

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    Climate change and

    disturbance to wetlands

    Wind damage caused byHurricane Katrinachanged wetland forests

    in Pearl River Basin,Mississippi from carbon

    sinks to carbon sources

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    Impact of climate change on wetlands

    Changes in temperature, precipitation and

    sea level have the potential to impact both

    coastal and inland wetlands

    Saltmarsh at Great Bay National

    Estuarine Research Reserve,

    New Hampshire

    Parker River, Massachusetts

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    The vulnerability of wetlands to

    climate change

    Of all aquatic systems, wetlands will likely be the most

    susceptible to climate change. Shallow wetlands that are

    dependent on precipitation will be the most vulnerable to

    drying, warming and changes in waterquality. Intermittent and perennial streams, vernal pools,

    and coastal wetlands and marshes will also be

    particularly vulnerable to projected changes in

    temperature, precipitation and sea level rise.

    Lawler, J.J., et al. 2008

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    Sea level rise is the greatest threat

    to coastal wetlands

    Estimates vary from 50-200 cm

    over the next 100 years. A rise of

    100 cm over 100 years would

    inundate over half of the worlds

    significant wetlands

    Mississippi River delta

    Coastal wetlands including saltmarshes and mangroves are projected to

    be negatively impacted by sea-level rise especially where they are

    constrained on their landward side, or starved of sediment.

    IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007)

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    Sea Level Rise in

    Chesapeake Bay

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    The potential impact of rising

    sea levels on shrimp production

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    Temperature changes are expected to have the

    greatest impact on inland wetlands

    Prairie potholes are the most productive habitat for waterfowl in the world.

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    Predicted impacts of climate change on the

    Prairie Pothole Region

    Due to land use conversion, the

    Prairie Pothole Region has

    changed from a carbon sink to a

    carbon source

    Climate change will likely cause

    changes in:

    Seasonal availability of water

    Plant communities Timing of seed production and

    insect abundance

    Climate change will likely diminish the capacity for the PPR to

    support wetland-dependent birds

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    Carbon trading in wetlands

    Carbon credits may be granted for created, restored or protected

    wetlands that enhance carbon sequestration

    East Bay Marshes

    Lake Ontario,

    New York

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    Summary

    Wetlands are significant sources and sinks of greenhouse gases and thus,

    play an important role in global climate change

    Wetlands are particularly vulnerable to the effects of global climate change

    Increases in global temperatures may release large carbon stores in

    northern wetlands, creating a positive feedback loop.

    Sea level rise driven by climate change is the greatest threat to coastalwetlands

    Increases in temperature pose the greatest threat to inland wetlands

    Carbon trading in wetlands has been proposed as one mechanism to

    enhance carbon sequestration

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    Photo Credits

    Environmental Protection Agency

    Louisiana State University

    Miguel Cruz

    Mitsch and Gosselink (2007)

    NASA/GSFC/LaRC/JPL, MISR Team

    Natural Resource Conservation Service. Peat soils in Richland County,

    Wisconsin. Ho Chunk Nation of the Winnebago Tribe of Wisconsin New York State Department of Environmental Conservation

    NOAA - Pacific Fisheries Environmental Laboratory

    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Department of Commerce: National

    Estuarine Reserve Research System, Louise Kane, Sean Linehan

    U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

    U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

    U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center

    U.S. Global Change Research Program (www.globalchange.gov)

    Vladimir Romanovsky

    Wikipedia

    http://www-misr.jpl.nasa.gov/http://www.globalchange.gov/http://www.globalchange.gov/http://www-misr.jpl.nasa.gov/