29
Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activities Maury Galbraith Executive Director Western Interstate Energy Board Western Regional Partnership Energy Committee Webinar October 20, 2017 1

Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WesternInterstateEnergyBoardCurrentActivities

MauryGalbraithExecutiveDirector

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard

WesternRegionalPartnershipEnergyCommitteeWebinar

October20,2017

1

Page 2: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

LegalBasis&Purpose

LegalBasisWesternInterstateNuclearCompact(PL910461)

• Enactedby12WesternstatesandratifiedbyCongressin1970.• Writtenbroadlytoencompassallenergytopics.

PurposeToprovidetheinstrumentsandframeworkforcooperativestateeffortsto“enhancetheeconomyoftheWestandcontributetothewell-beingoftheregion’speople.”

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 2October20,2017

Page 3: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

BoardMembers*

UT Dr.LauraNelson,Governor’sOfficeofEnergyDevelopmentNV AngelaDykema,Governor’sOfficeofEnergyAZ BrianGoretzki,ArizonaRadiationRegulatoryAgencyCA JaneaScott,CaliforniaEnergyCommissionID JohnChatburn,Governor’sOfficeofEnergyResourcesMT JeffBlend,DepartmentofEnvironmentalQualityOR JanineBenner,OregonDepartmentofEnergyWA TonyUsibelli,WashingtonDepartmentofCommerceAB ChristineLazaruk,AlbertaEnergyBC LesMacLaren,MinistryofEnergyandMinesSK MikeBalfour,MinistryoftheEconomy

*AppointedbyGovernorsandPremiers.WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 3October20,2017

Page 4: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WIEBPortfolio

WesternInterconnectionRegionalAdvisoryBody• GovernorscreatedpursuanttoSection215(j)oftheFederalPowerAct.• AdvisesFERC,NERCandWECConthereliabilityoftheWesternelectric

powersystem.

CommitteeonRegionalElectricPowerCooperation• JointCommitteeofWIEBandWesternConferenceofPublicService

Commissioners.• FocusedonimprovingtheeconomicefficiencyoftheWesternelectric

powersystem.

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 4October20,2017

Page 5: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

MorePortfolioItems

WesternEnergyImbalanceMarket– BodyofStateRegulators• Onepublicutilitycommissionerfromeachstatewithautilityparticipating

intheWesternEIM.• AdvisestheEIMGoverningBodyonEIMissues.

High-LevelRadioactiveWasteCommittee• CommitteeofWIEB.• CooperativeAgreementwithU.S.DOE-NE.• Focusedontransportationofspentnuclearfuelandhigh-levelradioactive

waste.

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 5October20,2017

Page 6: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

CurrentActivities

• RegionalizationofElectricityMarkets• WIEBWesternElectricityMarketForum• JointCREPC-WIRABMeetings

• BaseloadGeneration&EssentialReliabilityServices• WIRABCommentsonDOEStaffReportonReliabilityandResiliencePricing• WIRABAdvicetoFERConReliabilityandResiliencePricingNOPR• WIRABAdvicetoFERCPrimaryFrequencyResponseNOPR

• DeploymentofSolarPVintheWest• WIEBSunShotAwardfromUSDOE

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 6October20,2017

Page 7: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

April2014

April2015

April2016

April2016

April2014

ElectricityMarketExpansion

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 7October20,2017

Page 8: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

BenefitsofRegionalization

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 8October20,2017

• WesternEIMbenefitstotaled$96.9millionin2016.

• Progressiontoaday-aheadmarketmakesperfectsense.

• EIMbenefitsderivedfromsecurityconstrainedeconomic“dispatch”ofgeneratingunits.

• Day-aheadbenefitscanbederivedfromsecurityconstrainedeconomic“commitment”ofgeneratingunits.

• Improvedsystemsecurityandsituationalawareness.

Page 9: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

GovernanceConcerns

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 9October20,2017

• Allstateswanttoretainauthorityto:• Implementstateenergypolicies• Determineprudenceofgenerationinvestment• Determineprudenceoftransmissioninvestment• Permitsitingofnewtransmissionlines

• Allstateswantimpartialmarketdesignandcostallocation

• Ifstatesallwantthesamethings,thenwhytheconcerns?

• Statesthinkotherstatesareseekingadvantages.Gametheory’sclassicprisoner’sdilemma.

Page 10: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

IncrementalApproach

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 10October20,2017

• One-timeonce-and-for-allthinkingdrivestheclassicdilemma.

• Bettertothinkintermsofalong-termpartnership(infinitelyrepeatedprisoner’sdilemma).

• Thinkintermsofincrementalsteps:• Real-timemarketsto…• Day-aheadmarketsto…• Resourceadequacyandinvestmentto...

Page 11: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WIEBWesternElectricityMarketForum

• Game-basemarketsimulationtrainingforregulatorsandpolicymakers• CollaborativeeffortwithStanfordUniversity

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 11October20,2017

Page 12: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

CREPCResourceAdequacyDiscussions

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 12October20,2017

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

MW

PacifiCorpResourceAdequacy- SummerCapacity

EastPlannedFOTEastPlannedWindWestPlannedFOTEastExistingResourcesWestExistingResourcesSystemObligationObligation+Reserves

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

ForecastedReserveMargins- Summer

NWPP RMRG SRSG CA/MX WECC

Page 13: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

DOEMarketsandReliabilityReport

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 13October20,2017

SecretaryPerry’s“April14Memo”asked:

• Whethertheerosionofbaseloadpoweriscompromisingareliableandresilientgrid?

• Whetherthediversityofgenerationresourceshasdiminishedandwhetherthisisaproblemforgridreliabilityandresilience?

• Whetherthelossofbaseloadpowerismakingthegridlessaffordable?

• Whetherelectricitymarketsareadequatelycompensatingattributesthatstrengthengridreliabilityandresilience?

Page 14: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

DOEReport:BaseloadTrends

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 14October20,2017

• About70%ofthecoalplantsthatretiredbetween2010and2016hadacapacityfactoroflessthan50%intheyearpriortoretirement.

• Abouthalfofthefutureplannedcoalplantretirementsoperatedbelowa50%capacityfactorin2016.

• TheaveragecapacityfactorforallNGCCplantshasgrownfromabout40%in2008toroughly56%in2016,surpassingthatofcoal.

• Attheendof2016,thesystemhadmoredispatchablecapacitycapableofoperatingathighutilizationratesthanitdidin2002.

Page 15: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WIEB- StanfordSummerInternship

• BenjaminLimandMaxVilgalys

• Focusedonchangesinthedailygenerationpatternofcoal-firedgeneratingunitsintheWesternInterconnectionoverthe2001-2016timeperiod.

• EPA’sContinuousEmissionsMonitoringSystem(CEMS)Database• AllthermalelectricgeneratingunitsintheWest• 96CoalUnits,544NGUnits• HourlydataforHeatInput,Generation,Emissions,etc.• 96coalunitsx365daysx24hoursx16years=~13,455,360datapoints• 96coalunitsx365daysx16years=~560,640unit-daysofoperation

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 15October20,2017

Page 16: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 16October20,2017

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Gen

erat

ion

(MW

h)

Operating Hour

Average Hourly Generation at Centralia Coal Plant -November 2001

Unit 1 Unit 2

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Gen

erat

ion

(MW

h)

Operating Hour

Average Hourly Generation at Centralia Coal Plant -November 2016

Unit 1 Unit 2

AverageHourlyGeneration

Page 17: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 17October20,2017

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Gen

erat

ion

(MW

h)

Operating Hour

Average Hourly Generation at Colstrip Coal Plant -March 2016

Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Unit 4

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Gen

erat

ion

(MW

h)

Operating Hour

Average Hourly Generation at Intermountain Coal Plant - December 2016

Unit 1 Unit 2

OtherUnits

Page 18: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

HourlyCapacityFactors- 2016

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 18October20,2017

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Cap

acity

Fac

tor

Month

Capacity Factor of Unit BW71

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Cap

acity

Fac

tor

Month

Capacity Factor of Unit BW72

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Cap

acity

Fac

tor

Month

Capacity Factor of Unit BW73

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Cap

acity

Fac

tor

Month

Capacity Factor of Unit BW74

Page 19: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

UnitOperatingDays

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 19October20,2017

Page 20: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

GenerationPatterns- 2001

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 20October20,2017

52%oftheUnit-Dayswerebaseloadgeneration

Page 21: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

GenerationPatterns- 2006

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 21October20,2017

52%oftheUnit-Dayswerebaseloadgeneration

Page 22: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

GenerationPatterns- 2011

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 22October20,2017

27%oftheUnit-Dayswerebaseloadgeneration

Page 23: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

GenerationPatterns- 2016

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 23October20,2017

22%oftheUnit-Dayswerebaseloadgeneration

Page 24: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

KeyFindings

• Coalfleetbaseloadoperationdecreasedfrom52%ofcoalunitoperatingdaysin2001to22%in2016intheWesternU.S.

• Coalfleetofflineoperationincreasedfrom9%ofcoalunitoperatingdaysin2001to21%in2016intheWesternU.S.

• In2001,53unitsoperatedinbaseloadmodeinmorethan50%oftheoperatingdays;only11exceededthisthresholdin2016.

• Since2011,themajorityofcoalunitshavespentlessthan30%oftheoperatingdaysinbaseloadoperation.

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 24October20,2017

Page 25: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WIRABCommentsonDOEStaffReport

WIRABconfirmedtwoimportantfindingsintheU.S.DOEStaffReport:

1. Manycoal-firedgeneratingunitsthatwereusedforbaseloadgenerationinthepastarenolongeroperatinginthatroleatthistime.

2. BulkPowerSystemreliabilityisadequatetoday,buttherehasnotyetbeenmuchanalysisofhowmuchprimaryfrequencyresponsewillbeneededasthecompositionofthegridchanges,norhowbesttocomplementprimaryfrequencyresponsefromtraditionalsources.

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 25October20,2017

Page 26: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

WIEBSunShotAward

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 26October20,2017

Page 27: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

BarrierstoDeployment

• ThegoalistomitigateorevenremovebarrierstodistributedsolarPVdeploymentintheWesternU.S.

• Threetypesofbarriers:• lengthytimelines• utilityratedesigns• reliability

• Partners:NRELandLBNL

• TechnicalAdvisoryCommitteeMeeting:Oct.26-27,2017inFolsom,CA

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 27October20,2017

Page 28: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

OpportunitiesforEngagement

WIRABMonthlyTeleconferences:1st ThursdayEveryMonthat11a.m.Mtn.

Spring2018JointCREPC-WIRABMeeting:April18-20,2018inVancouverBC

WIEBAnnouncements:http://westernenergyboard.org/

Webinars:http://westernenergyboard.org/category/webinars/

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 28October20,2017

Page 29: Western Interstate Energy Board Current Activitieswrpinfo.org/media/1296/galbraith_wieb.pdf · 2017-10-21 · WIEB Portfolio Western Interconnection Regional Advisory Body • Governors

Maury GalbraithWestern Interstate Energy Board

[email protected]

WesternInterstateEnergyBoard 29October20,2017

ThankYou