welcome to the [r]evolution

imagine

energy access.equity.

a climate

solution

peace

local energy control

freedom

http://www.aip.com.au/pricing/international.htm

What we are facingThe tipping point for runaway climate change is

a 2°C increase in temperature

Warming during the past 100 years was 0.74°C, with most of the warming occurring in the past 50 years

2010 was the end of the warmest decade in history, with last year tied as hottest.

Flooding in Pakistan 2010

Forest Fires in Russia 2010

Petermann Glacier Aug 2010

Rising Sea Level Kiribati

Angat Dam April 2010

Metro Manila Sept 2009

Cebu January 2011

Australia Jan 2011

Current Commitments at the UNFCCC could lead to:

4 degrees

The challenge is fueling growth without being locked in to high emission technologies

Investments in low carbon technilogies will make sense if they are linked to a long term strategy

the energy [r]evolution =

Renewable Energy+

Energy Efficiency

The five key principles behind this shift:

Implement renewable solutions

Respect the natural limits of the environment

Phase out dirty, unsafe and unsustainable energy sources

Create greater equity in the use of resources

Decouple economic growth from the consumption of fossil fuels

with no [r]evolutionReference Scenario - world primary energy

demand

Source: World Energy Outlook (WEO) IEA 2009 until 2030 / DLR for 2040 and 2050

Renewable Energy

Oil

Natural Gas

Coal

NuclearPJ/a

the energy [r]evolutionAdvanced Energy [R]evolution Scenario 2010 –

primary energy demand

Source: Energy [R]evolution Fig 6.11, p.72

Efficiency compared to ‘BAU’Ocean Energy

Solar ThermalGeothermal

BiomassWindHydro

Natural GasOil

CoalNuclear

Cebu Energy Generation in MWh(by Plant Type, 2009)

Coal: 822,007Oil-based: 1,073,710

Diesel: 763,895Gas turbine: 61,972Oil thermal: 247,843

Hydro: 5,869

TOTAL 1,901,710

ENABLERS

Enablers

• Strong Signal from the Government

– Towards low carbon growth

• Ambitious, visionary but realistic target • 50% RE by 2020• Harmonize policies

Greenpeace Report: Philippine Roadmap to 50% Renewable Energy by 2020

Energy Efficiency

– Establish a clear policy with strong targets on EE

– Provide priority to EE investments

– Challenge entrenched business models• Provide incentives for energy companies to

reduce demand

Enablers

EE Technologies Savings

Efficient Lighting 20% - 70%

Efficient Chillers 20% - 50%

Solar Cooling 30% - 40%

High Efficiency Motors 3% - 15%

Variable Speed Drive 25% - 60%

Efficient Air Compressors 20% - 40%

Efficient Transformers 10% - 20%

Building Management System 20% - 40%

Trigeneration/ Cogeneration 5% - 15%

• Absorptive Capacity

– Investment in education

– Create training opportunities

– Develop home grown RE businesses

Enablers

OBSTACLES

Obstacles

• Continuing development of Fossil Fuels

– Coal investments the major source of proposed large energy investments in the near term

– Of the US5.25 billion potential investments that the Aquino government secured from Japan and the US the past year, US3.6 billion are for coal - Sual Calaca, Pagbilao and Masinloc

2009 in EuropeNewly installed and retired electric capacity

Source: REN21 2010

2009 in EuropeNewly installed electric capacity

Source: REN21 2010

world leadersTop-5 countries – current renewable

electricity generation capacity

Source: REN21 2010

employment in RE today

Source: REN21 2010

Industry Jobs (Global)

Key countries

> 3,000,000

Biofuels > 1,500,000 Brazil

Wind power > 500,000 Germany, USA, Spain

Solar PV power > 300,000 Germany, Spain

Solar hot water > 300,000 China

Biomass power > 181,000 Germany, USA

Hydropower (small)

> 35,000 Europe

Geothermal > 18,000 Germany, USA

CSP ~ 2,000 Spain, USA

Bill

ion

$

Source: REN21 2010 / Greenpeace International

gaining momentumAnnual Global Investment New Renewable Energy Capacity

What can we achieve together?50% Renewable Energy by 2020

20% Energy Efficiency by 2020

Zero Deforestation by 2020

Join the Energy [R]evolution

Thank You

Mark DiaPhilippine Country Representative

Regional Deputy Campaign Director

Greenpeace Southeast Asia

mark.dia@greenpeace.org