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Shalabh Srivastava
Analytics Opportunities for the Indian Utility
8th March 2107
India Smart Grid Week
Principal Director
WEF – Digital Transformation Initiative 2016
The electricity industry: uncovering value through digital transformation
1
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Context @ WEF
World Economic Forum
Fourth Industrial Revolution
Global Challenge Initiative: Future of the Internet
Digital Transformation Initiative
Electricity Industry
2Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Global Trends in Electricity Industry
3
Decarbonization
Decentralization
Intelligent Enterprise
75% of global energy supply currently is non-renewable Energy sector represents 2/3 of global GHG emissions CO2 emission from energy rose from 16 to 32 Bn tonnes
from 1973 to 2012*Shift to
renewables
*Source: IEA
Rapid technological development is making accelerating distributed generation + energy storage solutions
Consumption is growing @ 3.3% CAGR globally, while decentralized energy @ 40% faster
Machines are becoming smarter Software is being embedded M2M communication is spreading Big Data + Advance Analytics Smart Data Cost of cloud computing is falling
Customer Centricity
Mass personalization of services Multi channel customer engagement Beyond the electron
Focus on Analytics led
business transformation
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Digital themes and initiatives
4
GenerationMarket Operational Trading
Transmission DistributionSmart Meters
Asset Lifecycle Management
Grid Optimization &
Aggregation
Integrated Customer Services
Beyond the electron
Smart Home / Building
Asset Performance ManagementDigital field workerSmart Asset Planning
Energy Aggregation Platforms
Real time supply and demand platforms
Real time network controls
Connected & Inter-operable devices
Energy Storage Integration
Energy management
Digital customer model
Energy solution integration
Smart city related servicesEnergy efficiency servicesSecurity & convenience products
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Digital Theme #1.Asset life cycle management
5
Optimize asset life cycles: from generation to distribution
Asset Performance Management
Digital field worker
Smart Asset Planning
“A marginal improvement in the operating efficiency of generation, transformers or power lines will have an exponential effect once scaled across the industry.”
Digital Initiatives
Increased asset life
Improved productivity
Optimized site selection for renewables
Potential Value to be Unlocked
Condition monitoring, Predictive Forecasting, and Reliability-centred Maintenance… enabled by analytics and robotics
Electronic work packages across end-to-end work cycle..
Improving performance of Planners, Schedulers, Field Workers, Data Entry & Reporting operators
Predictive analytics, machine learning, robotics Renewable generation forecasting
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Digital Theme #2.Grid Optimization and Aggregation
6
Build a more flexible and resilient electricity grid
Energy Aggregation Platforms
Real time supply & demand platform
Real time network controls
Digital Initiatives
Real-time optimization
Demand aggregation
System flexibility
Loss Reduction
Real-time pricing
Potential Value to be Unlocked
Bring small distributed renewables on to a single platform as a virtual power plant
Monitor & communicate current load supply and demand, paired with a discriminatory pricing framework
Enable real time adjustments to changing loads
Connected and inter-operable devices
Network Devices: Seamless connectivity to the Grid
Consumer Devices: Smart Car, Electrical Appliances, Wearables, Phones, Smart Home / Building, Smart Cities
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Digital Theme #3.Integrated customer services
7
Reinvent customer service through digital innovation
Energy Storage Integration
Energy Solution Integration
Energy Management
Digital Initiatives
Transparency between Utility and customer / citizen
Enhanced customer experience
Potential Value to be Unlocked
Integrate energy storage devices into the Grid..
..Including storage at domestic level
Digital Customer Model
Branded solution providers help customers optimize energy production and use
Energy information display and control empower prosumers to manage generation, consumption and storage
Customer interacts through web, phone, social media, et al
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Digital Theme #4.Beyond the electron
8
Enable Utilities to enter non-energy services
Smart City related services
Energy efficiency services
Digital Initiatives
Data monetization
Gateway to other services
Potential Value to be Unlocked
Fully integrated citizen services, such as transport, waste management, etc.
For which, DISCOM can provide the anchor platform to build all non-energy services
Security & Convenience Products
Enable Industrial Services such as power management, energy optimization, safety, lighting, etc.
Smart Home / Building, enriched by sensors based connected devices and real time analytics
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Success Stories : Select Examples
9
Asset Performance Management
Digital field worker
Smart Asset Planning
Digital Initiatives
Ausgrid, Australia, deployed IT solution for field data collection, across its distribution operations covering 250 power stations, 500,000 poles, 30,000 small substations, 50,000 km cable network (OH + UG) ~72% improvement in productivity was recorded.1
1. Avoka Technologies; 2. PVMapper.org
US DOE’s Sunshot programme has made multiple mapping applications open-source to assist in siting decisions; they factor inter alia site location, time zone, sun path, nearby weather station data, etc. to optimize site selection for solar plants.2
75% breakdowns eliminated by energy companies through predictive maintenance: US DOE
Success Stories
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Success Stories : Select Examples cont’d
10
Energy Aggregation Platforms
Real time supply & demand platform
Real time network controls
Digital InitiativesNext Kraftwerke, Germany, launched a Virtual Power Plant in 2009 based on distributed generation capacity, with a central platform managed by a control room in Cologne. By 2013, it aggregated 1GW of capacity from 2,400 installations and traded 2,500 MU – mostly from biogas, biomass, combined heat & power plants.
Success Stories
Reposit Power, Australia, enables consumers to sell back electricity to the grid by placing bids back into the market, thereby turning residential properties into micro power plants.
Nordic Power Market, (Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Finland), trade electricity through aggregation at scale across 4 country borders; day-ahead scheduling with minute-wise generation & consumption data for each country enables real time coordination in operations.
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
More Examples: Use of Smart Meter Data
11Indicative and for discussion purpose only
AMI analytics (A US example)
Estimated potential value of applied analytics could approach $40 to $70 per electric meter per year:
Total net benefit 100% = $64.1 per meter per year
More Examples: Use of Smart Meter Data
12
1. Improve the Customer Experience
Initiative Description Example(s)
Customer Engagement
Personalized EnergyManagement Advice
Advice on how to manage and reduce energy bill based on usage. Can be delivered though digital.
PG&E
Enhanced Bill Presentment
Bill redesign to incorporate detailed usage information, comparisons, and personalized tips
British Gas
MarketingLeveraging Real-time Usage
Campaigns designed to use real-time usage information to engage customers
VestforbrændingSDG&E
Digital Capabilities
Usage Visualizations & Comparisons
Digital (portal and app) capabilities to view energy usage, compare to others and overlay data
AGL, BC Hydro
Initiative Description Example(s)
Usage Based Alerts & Notifications
Notifications customers can sign-up for or are automatically sent based on usage / bill forecast
Alabama Power, SouthernComp.
Community Based Energy Management Platform
Energy management platform leveraging real-time data designed for use by groups or communities with energy insights for the group / community
Toshiba
Smart Tariffs & Billing
Time of Use TariffOptions
Tariffs that change based on time of day (e.g. free evenings & Saturdays)
ReliantEnergy
Tariff Comparison Based on Usage
Tools to allow comparison of different tariffs based on past usage
Centerpoint
Customized Billing Periods
Ability for customer to select their preferred bill date or to request a bill on demand
NV Energy, SDG&E
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
More Examples: Use of Smart Meter Data
13
2. Optimize Revenue
Initiative Description Example
Connected Home Services
Use real-time data to help enable connected home services and in-home devices
British Gas, ComEd
Smart Building Services (Small businesses)
Use real-time data to help enable connected building services and energy management
Green Mountain
Product Recommendations
Leverage usage data and customer insights to suggest additional products to customers
AGL
Demand Management
Energy Demand Management Programs
Use smart meter to enable programsto manage peak usage (e.g. peak pricing, AC control)
ConEd, So.Cal. Edison
Third Party Data Integration & Sharing
Create API to enable sharing of smart meter data or usage insights with third parties
SDG&E, PPL
Third Party Promotions & Advertising
Leverage usage insights to provide a platform to advertise to customers on behalf of third parties
AGL
Initiative Description Example
Customer Insight
Load Disaggregation & Analytics
Analytics that break down customersusage to see what devices and appliances are using electricity
Bidgely
EnhancedCustomer Segmentation
Improve customer segmentation with insights on usage and lifestyle from smart meter data
PG&E
Next Best Action Leverage usage information and segmentation to enable intelligent recommended actions for call center and in digital channels
AGL
Value Added Products
Digital Pre-payment Offerings
Develop digital pre-payment offering that allows customers to top-up in digital channels
Powershop, E.ON
Energy Audit Leverage smart meter data to do energy audits on customers and provide recommendations
BGE Home
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
More Examples: Use of Smart Meter Data
14
3. Increase Operational Efficiency
Initiative Description Example(s)
Commercial Loss Reduction
Automate Customer Connections, Disconnections & Investigation Requests
Automate the process to connect, disconnect or re-connect customers electricity service. Initiate investigation requests to the network company if there are anomalies in usage.
BC Hydro
Theft Analytics Analytics to analyze energy usage and identify customers who may have tampered with the meter or be stealing power. This could be offered as a service to the network company.
Florida Power & Light
Outage Management and O&M Optimization
Outage Notifications & Alerts
Send customer notifications proactively when electricity is out and provide alerts on restoration time and status updates. May be offered by network company rather than the retailer.
Center point, ComEd
Indicative and for discussion purpose only
Initiative Description Example
NetworkOptimization
Degrees of control/influence on network costs (TUoS, DUoS, etc.) with Grid relationship
PG&E
WorkforceOptimization
Efficient use of workforce for outage management and fault repairs with the help of integrated system
ComEd
Optimized Demand Forecasting
Use smart meter data and analytics to optimize demand forecasting and energy trading strategies
RepositPower, AGL
Relevance & Applicability to Indian Utility
15Indicative and for discussion purpose only
1. What may not apply to India2. What additional factors would apply specifically to India
3. What is commonly applicable across India and developed countries
Relevance & Applicability to Indian Utility
16Indicative and for discussion purpose only
1. What may not apply to India
ꭕ Manpower Cost Reduction
ꭕ Headcount Reduction / Job Loss
Relevance & Applicability to Indian Utility
17Indicative and for discussion purpose only
2. What additional factors would apply specifically to India
Commercial Loss Reduction
Push customers towards cashless bill payments
Large scale of deployment
Relevance & Applicability to Indian Utility
18Indicative and for discussion purpose only
3. What is commonly applicable across India and developed countries
Open Access Separation of carriage & content Retail Competition
CERC : Penalty on variance between scheduled and actual renewable generation
Net Metering Full scale prosumer / aggregator based market
Electric Vehicles Full scale charging infrastructure, tariff policy, TOU incentives
Falling price of renewables + storage + computing = Potent mix for explosive growth
Focus on Energy Efficiency LED + PAT
Not if, but when
Relevance & Applicability to Indian Utility
19Indicative and for discussion purpose only
3. What is commonly applicable across India and developed countries
Smart City
Smart Buildings / Campus / Township
Connected Citizen
Digitalized Infrastructure & Facilities
DISCOMs are the best “incumbent” to anchor Smart City initiative, as it already has readymade database of all premises, all households and all organisations in a city.
Unlike TELCOs in the developed countries, in India, it is DISCOMs who should own and drive the smart city initiative, in collaboration with Urban Local Bodies, and other authorities like UIDAI.
Cont’d
Concluding Thought
20Indicative and for discussion purpose only
BC (Before Cloud Computing)
Gold In Gold Out
AD (After Digitalization)
Garbage In Garbage Out
Gold In Nothing Out
Silver In Gold Out
Analytics of Business-as-Usual caliber
Advanced Analytics
THANK YOU
21
Contact: [email protected]
Acknowledgement: All people and organisations involved with WEF-DTI initiative, referred to in detail at digital.weforum.org