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Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Management Sufficiently complex, dynamic systems can use information and knowledge to maintain stability in spite of a volatile environment Things can go wrong Inputs are subject to noise and disruption Components wear out and/or act stochastically Systems need to use information to self-correct and possibly adapt to changes in the environment Feedback and Feedforward The coordination of complex systems The adaptation of complex systems The hierarchical control subsystem

Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

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Page 1: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Management

• Sufficiently complex, dynamic systems can use information and knowledge to maintain stability in spite of a volatile environment

• Things can go wrong – Inputs are subject to noise and disruption – Components wear out and/or act stochastically – Systems need to use information to self-correct and

possibly adapt to changes in the environment

• Feedback and Feedforward • The coordination of complex systems • The adaptation of complex systems • The hierarchical control subsystem

Page 2: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Motivational Questions

• How do complex, dynamic systems maintain stability and longevity in a “stochastic” world?

– Stochastic: randomness in aspects of dynamic processes

– The world is always changing in unpredictable ways

• What are the roles of information and knowledge in maintaining and sustaining complex systems?

– How are they used to keep systems organized and functioning?

Page 3: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Things Can Go Wrong • The world is always changing in unpredictable ways • Uncertainty

– Random noise – Non-stationary stochastic processes

• Trends away from long-term norms • New elements coming into the environment

– Chaotic processes – Example: Climate and Weather

• Entropic Decay – Second Law of Thermodynamics – All real physical systems require energy input to maintain

form and function – All work results in some loss of energy to waste heat,

which cannot be used to do more work

• Systems have to be self-maintaining to remain stable over time

Page 4: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Self Regulation - Cybernetics • Systems can use internal information

(messages) and knowledge to self-regulate

• Feedback of information regarding a subsystem’s behavior can be used to bring the subsystem into expected performance

• A standard ‘closed-loop’ control set point

control model

process inputs

output

sensor

actual measurement

desired value

comparator

error signal (information)

control signal

messages

Page 5: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Closed-Loop Control

• A standard, ideal or desired value for the measurement of an output (product) attribute is determined and set

• A sensor measures the actual, real-time value of the attribute

• A comparator device determines how close or far the actual measurement is from the desired set point

• The result is an error signal that can take on zero, positive, or negative error levels

• A control model, and decision processor uses the error to compute a countervailing action (command) that is sent to the main process to cause it to adjust its internal conditions – to reduce the error back to zero

Page 6: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Emergence of Cooperating Processes • Outputs from some processes are inputs to other processes

• Processes send messages to each other to coordinate inputs and outputs

• The collective of processes emerges as a loosely organized system

inputs

output

internal feedback messages

cooperating processes

A “Market” of Cooperating Processes

Each process has an internal self-regulating controller and shares its signals with other processes.

Page 7: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Coordination Above Cooperation

• Cooperating systems can evolve to incorporate a more reliable and dedicated coordinator

• An information processor whose job is to maintain balance between processes

• Logistic control – making sure resources are optimally shared

A coordinator is a special information process that acts as a controller over two or more subsystems (processes). It adjusts set points and control models to keep processes cooperating smoothly.

Process A Process B

control control

set point set point

Coordinator

Page 8: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

A More Complex Set of Coordinated Processes

process A process B

control control

process D

control

process C

control

process E

control process F

control

coordinator

coordination model

More elaborate coordination models are required to handle complex, cooperating processes. Processes can send messages to one another directly, but receive coordinating signals from a coordinator process when imbalances arise.

serial processing

parallel processing

Page 9: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Internal Coordination is Logistical Control

• A coordination model is used to specify the input/output relations between all of the processes

• Sufficiently complex systems may further divide the coordination task between multiple coordinator processes – this requires a supra-level coordinator to coordinate the inferior-level coordinators

• Coordination hierarchies can be found – in living cells – metabolism control

– whole organisms – central nervous system

– organizations – management

– states - government

Page 10: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

An Example of a Logistical Control – Distribution of Resources

energy

material

processes

distribution coordination

product

budget model

resources

distribution

needs assessments

energy routing control

A distribution coordinator uses a budget model to route resources (like energy) to the processes.

Page 11: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Coordinating With the External World – Tactical Control

• A tactical controller is similar to a logistical controller but must act to coordinate the system’s activities with the environmental entities that are sources and sinks (also threats and opportunities)

source

tactical

sink

logistical

acquisition – getting resources

internal distribution

export operations level

coordination level

Logistical and tactical controllers must cooperate themselves. At some level of complexity this implies the need for an even higher level of control.

Page 12: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Complex Systems in Complex, Changing Environments

• Combining the stochastic, possibly chaotic, and hidden nature of real environments

sources sinks

system of interest

unknown influences

opportunities threats

Systems that deal with multiple sources and sinks, including unknown possibilities, e.g. opportunities and threats, are subject to high degrees of uncertainty. Influences on sources and sinks that are not known to or observed by the system add even more uncertainty to stability.

Page 13: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Strategic Control for Planning and Long-term Coordination

Strategic control (management) involves longer-term planning based on ongoing behaviors of entities in the environment and an understanding of the self (e.g. strengths and weaknesses).

observer process

tactical coordinator

logistical coordinator

other processes

resource source

Other entity Strategic manager

cue messages

semantic messages

association messages

operation messages

inter-coordination messages

environment messages

self messages

environment model

self model

?

self

environment

planning level

coordination level

operations level

Page 14: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

The Hierarchical Control Model

• This model is ubiquitous in many kinds of systems

• Complex systems in complex environments

• Uncertain and ambiguous dynamical processes

• Natural systems, including human societies, have evolved toward this structure

• Information and Knowledge are used to obtain stability in the face of an unstable world

• The human brain is possibly the most successful examples of a hierarchical control system in action

Page 15: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Seminar Questions

• Why is internal control necessary for maintenance of function?

• Why is adaptivity a requirement for internal control?

• What role do models play in the levels of the cybernetic hierarchy?

• Are hierarchies good or bad or...? • What is it about the world that makes it

necessary to have a hierarchical cybernetic subsystem?

Page 16: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

The Brain as a Hierarchical Control

System

• Operational level – “hind brain” – Getting sensory data from the body – Controlling glands, muscles, and viscera

• Coordination level – Logistical level – “mid brain”

• Hormone balances • Circulatory, breathing, digestion control

– Tactical level – “fore brain” • Limbic system – fear, hunger, sex • Expanded sensory system in neocortex

• Strategic level – “prefrontal cortex”

Page 17: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Hindbrain

Midbrain

Cerebellum

Cerebrum

Page 18: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Prefrontal Cortex

Sensory processing

Perceptual Integration

Concept Integration

Planning & Volition

Motor Commands

Page 19: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Schematic

Sensory Response decision

Motor outputs Reactive

Layer

Tactical Logistical Coordination Layer

Mission Layer Planning

Perceptual

Motor sequence

programming

Situation

Progress report

Internal condition

report Goals

Operations commands

Feedback messages

Page 20: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

The Political Economy as a Hierarchical Control System

• The fundamental economy is based on the flow of materials and energy from environmental sources, through work and distribution process, to consumption, which produces wastes.

• Energy is required to do work and obeys the laws of thermodynamics – especially the 2nd

• Materials can be recycled but that takes work and thus energy. Energy cannot be recycled.

Page 21: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

The Economy and the Environment

Resource Sources

Waste Sink

Waste Heat Sink

Consumption processes

The Economy

Flows of energy and

material

The Environment

Energy flows from sources (extraction) through work and distribution processes to consumers, eventually flowing out as wastes.

Governance processes

Distribution processes Extraction

processes

Energy

Matter

Production processes

Page 22: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Adaptive (deciding) Agents and Information Flow Controlling Trade

The Economy

Deciding agents

Demand

Supply

Agents use information to decide how much work to do, and when to do it.

Message

Page 23: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Labor Agents and Trade

The Economy

Demand

Supply

Agents supply labor to work processes in exchange for an ability to control the output of other work processes (for consumption).

Labor

Page 24: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Money Conveys Information to All Agents via Price

Money flows in the opposite direction of energy (embedded in products or as labor).

The Economy

Labor

Product

Money

Page 25: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Governance Coordination

The Economy Build &

maintain

Taxes

Infrastructure

Contract

Benefits

Coordination Laws, rules, and regulations Taxes

Page 26: Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control & Managementfaculty.washington.edu/gmobus/Academics/TINST401/Summer-14/w… · Weeks 6 & 7: Cybernetics: the Science of Control &

Strategic/Planning Level of Governance

Laws, rules, and regulations

Legislative Branch

Judicial Branch make

interpret

Re-do

Executive Branch

execute

Coordination Level -Bureaucracy

Constitution

suggest

Federal Reserve

Money

The Economy

other information

Looks good on paper! What might be wrong with a governance scheme like this?