Weekly Update 29 Oct 2011

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    WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK 29 Oct,

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    MARKET OUTLOOK

    The Nifty opened on a positive note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The Niftyregistered a high of 5399 and closed very near to that level at 5360, a total gain of 310 points.

    In our previous update we have discussed that the index has consolidated in a narrow range of5000-5170. In intra weekthe index has continued to trade above 5170 (Triple top breakout) levels

    and filled up the previous gap of 52305270 levels. Going forward the NIFTY has resistance atits 200 days moving average near 54105420 levels. Sustenance above this can see Nifty to

    head towards 5460 levels (Declining long term trend line) in a short span of time.

    On the downside a close below the 5330 level could bring about a corrective move which could

    see the NIFTY test the levels of 5270 /5230 /5170.

    S&PCNXNIFTY

    OPEN 5114.7

    HIGH 5399.7

    LOW 5084.75

    CLOSE 5360.7

    Change(pts) 310.75

    Change (%) 6.15%

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    MARKET OUTLOOK

    The SENSEX opened on a positive note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The

    SENSEX registered a high of 17908 and closed very near to that level at 17804, a total gain of1019 points.

    In our previous update we have discussed that the index has consolidated in a narrow range of17200-16650. In intra week the index has continued to trade above 17200 (Triple top breakout)

    levels and filled up the previous gap of 17360--17660levels. Going forward the SENSEX hasresistance at its 200 days moving average near 18050 levels. Sustenance above this can see

    SENSEX to head towards 18260 levels (Declining long term trend line) in a short span of time.

    On the downside a close below the 17700 level could bring about a corrective move which couldsee the SENSEX test the levels of 17600 /17450 /17280.

    Key Levels & Averages

    INDEX Close Support-1 Support-2 Resistance-1 Resistance-2 8 DMA 34 DMA 200 DMA

    SENSEX 17804.8 17600 17450 18050 18260 17135 16834 18047NIFTY 5360.7 5270 5230 5410 5460 5155 5062 5417

    BANK-NIFTY 9917 9710 9515 10095 10150 9664 9605 10585

    BSE -SENSEX

    OPEN 17011.06

    HIGH 17908.13

    LOW 16898.6

    CLOSE 17804.8

    Change(pts) 1019.16

    Change (%) 6.07%

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    TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

    Bhushan S teel Limited ` 340.5Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The price of BHUSHAN STEEL has registered a breakout from its symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily charts.Traders should note that breakout from a symmetrical triangle indicates trend reversal. Another sign of strength isthat the price of BHUSHAN STEEL has closed above its key moving average clusters. The momentum indicator is alsoin rising mode .We recommend traders to buy 50% now and again in the range of `335` 337 levels with a stop loss placed below`329.4 levels for targets of `355 `366levels, expected to be achieved ove r the coming few s essions.

    Divi's Laboratories Limited CMP ` 761.15Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The price of Divi's Laboratories Limited has gone throu gh severe correction from the highs of `841.9 levels as on 28thJuly till date. The price of Divi's Laboratories Limited has been trading in a broad range of `748.75to `703.2levelssince it registered a low of `690.05 levels on 26th Aug, 2011. The price witnessed a strong up move during theprevious session of trade and it registered a close above its rising trend line. Another, key ob servation to be made o nthe charts of Divi's Laboratories Limited is that its indicators are coming out of the oversold territory and ha ve given abuy signal.We recommend traders to buy 50% now and again in the range of `750`755 levels with a stop loss placed below`739.4 levels for targets of `785 `805levels, expected to b e achieved ove r the coming few sessions.

    CLOSE (CMP) 340.50

    SUPPORT-1 333.00

    SUPPORT-2 329.00

    RESISTANCE-1 357.00

    RESISTANCE-2 368.00

    CLOSE (`CMP) 761.15

    SUPPORT-1 754.00

    SUPPORT-2 739.00

    RESISTANCE-1 781.90

    RESISTANCE-2 806.00

    52 week-High 841.90

    52 week-Low 581.75

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    Ashok Leyland Ltd. CMP - ` 26.90Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The share price movement of Ashok Leyland from 06 th Apr 2011 till date appears to be forming a sym metrical trianglepattern. It should be noted that symmetrical triangle patterns signify accumulation and suggest price advances oncethe breakout is recorded (above `27.10 for the said pattern). A break above the price level of ` 27.10 should start anupside movement with possible price targets of ` 28.3/ ` 29.5 in a short period of time. The stock has also closedabove its 200 DMA and the momentum indicators are also in a bullish zone suggesting upside in the stock. The stockis also sustaining above its cluster of moving averages adding weight to the Bullish argument.We recommend traders to buy above `27.1 levels with a stop loss placed below `25.9 levels for targets of `28.3 `29.5 levels

    Punj Lloyd Ltd. CMP`58.40Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The Share p rice of Punjlloyd corrected sharply from the highs of `221.35 levels as on 17th Jan, 2010 to register an alltime low of 52.05 levels recently. But, as outlined in the chart above, stock has taken support between the `52--54levels and this price action has now taken sh ape of a triple bottom formation. The stock has also closed ab ove its keymoving ave rage clusters, which is also a sign of strength in the counter. The RS I indicator has also given a buy s ignalbacked by a p ositive divergence. All of the above technical evidence is suggesting a trend reversal.

    CLOSE (`CMP) 26.90

    SUPPORT-1 26.00

    SUPPORT-2 25.3

    RESISTANCE-1 27.6

    RESISTANCE-2 28.5

    52 week-High 81.9

    52 week-Low 22.8

    CLOSE (`CMP) 58.40

    SUPPORT-1 57.70

    SUPPORT-2 55.80

    RESISTANCE1 61.00

    RESISTANCE2 64.00

    52 week-High 134.70

    52 week-Low 52.05

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    We recom mend bu ying at current levels and again on dips to `57.5 -- `58 levels with a stop placed below `56.4 for aninitial target of `60.6 -- `62 in the coming sessions.

    VIP Industries Ltd. CMP` 855.00Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The Share price of VIP Ind. Ltd has reg istered a breakdown after com pleting a bearish Head & sh oulders price patternon its daily charts. Traders would note that a breakdow n from a head & shoulders price pattern has negativeimplications on the future price movem ent of an index/stock. The mom entum indicators were trading with negativedivergences despite the recent rally. The share price has also closed below its moving average clusters support whichwas lending good supp ort during the recent uptrend.We recommend traders to sell now and again in the range of `865--`872 levels with a stop loss placed above `884.6levels for targets of `820 `800 levels

    Disclaimer

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    CLOSE (`CMP) 855.00

    SUPPORT-1 800.00

    SUPPORT-2 760.00

    RESISTANCE-1 890.00

    RESISTANCE-2 912.00

    52 week-High 1025.00

    52 week-Low 455.00