Weekly Update 15 OCt 2011

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  • 8/3/2019 Weekly Update 15 OCt 2011

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    WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK 15 Oct, 11

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    MARKET OUTLOOK

    The Nifty opened on a positive note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The Niftyregistered a high of 5141 and closed very near to that level at 5132, a total gain of 244 points.

    In our previous update we have discussed that the index has shown a reversal bar in the weeklychart which suggests that the index could head towards the level of 4980 / 5025 /5060 /5130

    and the nifty did that, thus meeting our all upside targets.

    The Index is now trading near to its immediate resistance level of 5170 levels above which the

    index is likely to test the level of 5230 levels (Negative Gap resistance level). Sustenance abovethe 5230 would see the index filling up its negative gap and it could head towards the levels of

    5270 / 5300 -5320 levels in a short span of time.

    On the downside the index has immediate support at the levels of 5060 levels followed by the

    5015-4985 range. (Cluster of short term moving averages support).

    S&PCNXNIFTY

    OPEN 4886.85

    HIGH 5141.40

    LOW 4882.05

    CLOSE 5132.30

    Change(pts) 244.25

    Change (%) 5%

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    WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK 15 Oct, 11

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    MARKET OUTLOOK

    The SENSEX opened on a positive note and maintained its strength throughout the week. The

    SENSEX registered a high of 17112 and closed very near to that level at 17082, a total gain of

    850 points.

    In our previous update we have discussed that the index has shown a reversal bar in the weeklychart which suggests that the index could head towards the level of 16650-16700 /16850 /17000

    and the nifty did that, thus meeting our all upside targets.

    The index is now trading near to its immediate resistance level of 17210 levels above which the

    index is likely to test the level of 17360 levels (Negative Gap resistance level). Sustenance abovethe 17360 would see the index filling up its negative gap and it could head towards the levels of

    17500 / 17650 levels in a short span of time.

    On the downside the index has immediate support at the levels of 16850 levels followed by the

    16700- 16560 range. (Cluster of short term moving averages support).

    Key Levels & Averages

    INDEX Close Support-1 Support-2 Resistance-1 Resistance-2 8 DMA 34 DMA 200 DMA

    SENSEX 17082 16850 16700 17360 17500 16679 16692 18222NIFTY 5132 5060 5115 5230 5300 5015 5015 5450

    BANK-NIFTY 9660 9550 9420 10060 10240 9393 9546 10667

    BSE -SENSEX

    OPEN 16270.05

    HIGH 17112.45

    LOW 16230.75

    CLOSE 17082.70

    Change(pts) 850.15

    Change (%) 5.24%

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    WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK 15 Oct, 11

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    TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

    Bank NIFTY Ltd. CMP ` 9660.40Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The Ban k Nifty is trading near to its immediate resistance level of 9675 level above which it is likely to test the levelsof 9830 /9960 levels in the near term. On the down side the index has su pport at the levels of 9550 / 9420 levels.A close above the 9960 levels could see the index heading towards the levels the level of 10060 / 10240.

    Dish TV India Ltd. CMP` 80.05Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The price of Dish TV witnessed a sharp correction from the highs of `97 levels towards its key support levels of `71`71.5 levels. The key observation to be mad e is that the stock has registered a breakou t from the declining trend lineon 7th Oct 2011 which had been acting as stiff resistance on pullbacks .Since then the stock has been tradingsideways. On the weekly chart the stock is witnessing follow up to its previous weeks hammer candlestick patternwith a rising volume. The mom entum indicators have also come out of their oversold zone.We recommend traders to buy 50% now and again on dips up to `7878.5 levels with a stop loss placed below `76.8levels for targets of 85 `88levels, expected to be achieved over the com ing few Weeks.

    CLOSE (CMP) 9660.40

    SUPPORT-1 9550

    SUPPORT-2 9420

    RESISTANCE-1 10060

    RESISTANCE-2 10240

    CLOSE (`CMP) 80.05

    SUPPORT-1 78.00

    SUPPORT-2 76.80

    RESISTANCE-1 85.00

    RESISTANCE-2 88.00

    52 week-High 97.00

    52 week-Low 53.45

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    WEEKLY TRADING HIGHLIGHTS & OUTLOOK 15 Oct, 11

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    Polaris Software Lab Ltd. CMP - ` 140.15Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The share p rice of Polaris Software from 23rd Aug 2011 till date appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern.It should be noted that ascending triangle patterns signify accumulation and suggest price advances once thebreakout is recorded. In the Fridays session the stock has registered a breakout above the resistance trend line at `137 price level. The momentum indicators on the daily chart are also in a bullish zone suggesting more upside in thestock. The stock is also sustaining above its cluster of moving averages adding weight to the Bullish argument.We recommend traders to buy 50% now and again on dips up to `137.5138 levels with a stop loss placed below`133.8 levels for targets of `146 `150levels, expected to be achieved over the coming few W eeks.

    Voltas Ltd. CMP` 105.50Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The Voltas Ltd has seen a sharp fall from a high of `169.8 on 6th July 2011 to a low of ` 99 on 12th Oct 2011. On theweekly closing basis the stock has formed a Hammer Candlestick Pattern with a robust volume suggestingaccumulation taking place. Traders should note that a Hammer candlestick formation is a significant bullish reversalcandlestick pattern suggesting more u pside for the stock. On the d aily chart the stock has also closed abov e its nearterm mov ing average. The mom entum indicator on the daily chart is also showing a p ositive divergence.We recommend traders to buy 50% now and again on dips up to `104` 105levels with a stop loss placed below

    `102.8 levels for targets of `110 `114levels.

    CLOSE (`CMP) 140.15

    SUPPORT-1 137.50

    SUPPORT-2 133.80

    RESISTANCE-1 146.00

    RESISTANCE-2 150.00

    52 week-High 213.90

    52 week-Low 115.70

    CLOSE (`CMP) 105.50

    SUPPORT-1 104.00

    SUPPORT-2 102.80

    RESISTANCE1 110.00

    RESISTANCE2 114.00

    52 week-High 262.40

    52 week-Low 99.00

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    Reliance Power Ltd. CMP` 86.75Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:-The share price of Reliance Power has fallen from the highs of `119.9 on 26th July 2011 to the lows of `75.1 Levels.The stock has since then pulled back and tended to trade within the ` 75.1---` 87.25 range. On the daily chart thestock has managed to close above its cluster of moving averages. The momentum indicator on the daily chart is alsoin a bullish zone suggesting more up side in the stock.We recommend traders to buy in the range of `85.5` 86 levels with a stop loss placed below `83.8levels for targetsof `90/` 94 levels.

    Disclaimer

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    CLOSE (`CMP) 86.75

    SUPPORT-1 85.50

    SUPPORT-2 83.80

    RESISTANCE1 90.00

    RESISTANCE2 94.00

    52 week-High 192.80

    52 week-Low 75.10