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1 Weekly Market Update 8-12-16 © 2016 · Phoenix Capital Research, Phoenix Capital Management Inc. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Phoenix Capital Management Inc. · All Rights Reserved.

Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Page 1: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Weekly Market Update 8-12-16

©2016·PhoenixCapitalResearch,PhoenixCapitalManagementInc.AllRightsReserved.Protectedbycopyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This newsletter may only be usedpursuanttothesubscriptionagreementandanyreproduction,copying,orredistribution(electronicorotherwise, including on theworld wideweb), inwhole or in part, is strictly prohibited without theexpresswrittenpermissionofPhoenixCapitalManagementInc.·AllRightsReserved.

Page 2: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

Disclaimer: The informationcontainedon thisnewsletter is formarketingpurposesonly. Nothing contained in thisnewsletter isintendedtobe,norshallitbeconstruedas,investmentadvicebyPhoenixCapitalResearchoranyofitsaffiliates,norisittoberelieduponinmakinganyinvestmentorotherdecision.Neithertheinformationnoranyopinionexpressedonthisnewsletterconstitutesandoffertobuyorsellanysecurityorinstrumentorparticipateinanyparticulartradingstrategy.Theinformationinthenewsletterisnotacompletedescriptionofthesecurities,marketsordevelopmentsdiscussed.Informationandopinionsregardingindividualsecuritiesdonotmeanthatasecurityisrecommendedorsuitableforaparticularinvestor.Priortomakinganyinvestmentdecision,youareadvisedtoconsultwithyourbroker,investmentadvisororotherappropriatetaxorfinancialprofessionaltodeterminethesuitabilityofanyinvestment.OpinionsandestimatesexpressedonthisnewsletterconstitutePhoenixCapitalResearch'sjudgmentasofthedateappearingontheopinionorestimateandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Thisinformationmaynotreflecteventsoccurringafterthedateortimeofpublication.PhoenixCapitalResearchisnotobligatedtocontinuetoofferinformationoropinionsregardinganysecurity,instrumentorservice.Informationhasbeenobtainedfromsourcesconsideredreliable,butitsaccuracyandcompletenessarenotguaranteed.PhoenixCapitalResearchanditsofficers,directors,employees,agentsand/oraffiliatesmayhaveexecuted, or may in the future execute, transactions in any of the securities or derivatives of any securities discussed on thisnewsletter. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and is no guarantee of future results. SecuritiesproductsarenotFDICinsured,arenotguaranteedbyanybankandinvolveinvestmentrisk,includingpossiblelossofentirevalue.Phoenix Capital Research, OmniSans Publishing LLC and Graham Summers shall not be responsible or have any liability forinvestment decisions based upon, or the results obtained from, the information provided. Phoenix Capital Research is notresponsibleforthecontentofothernewsletterstowhichthisonemaybelinkedandreservestherighttoremovesuchlinks.OmniSansPublishingLLCandthePhoenixCapitalResearchLogoareregisteredtrademarksofPhoenixCapitalResearch.OmniSansPublishingLLC-POBOX2912,Alexandria,VA22301

Page 3: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Themarkethaschanged.Perhapsthesinglemostdifficultpartofinvestingduringabubbleisthatassetpricesbecomecompletelydisconnectedfromtheirtrueunderlyingdrivers(earningsandeconomicgrowth).Forthisreason,bubblescanalwayslastlongerthanonethinks.Andthisbubblehasproventobethecase.BackinApril2015,Inotedthatwehadreceivedararemonthly“sell”signalontheS&P500.ThatsellsignalwastherarebutoftenHIGHLYaccurateSELLonthemonthlyMACD.

WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE 8-12-16

Page 4: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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AtthattimeIwrote:

Asyoucansee,thissignalhasbeenfairlyaccurateforpickingtops.Ofcourseit’smoreofanartthanasciencewhenitcomestotimingtheendofabullmarket(twoofthe“sell”signalshitonshort-termtopsin1998and2011,asopposedtotheultimatemarkettopswhichcamelater).However,itisworthnotingthatevenduringthoseperiodsinwhich“sell”signalsonlycoincidedwithtemporarytops(1998and2011),BOTHtimesstocksstagedadramaticcollapsebeforebeginningtheirnextlegup.~PrivateWealthAdvisory4/1/15

Thekeyitemwasthatwiththis“Sell”triggerinplace,stockswouldhavetogoabsolutelyVERTICALotherwisethebullmarketstarted2009wasOVER.ThiswasourcentralthesisforinvestingfromApril2015untiltoday.Anditservedusverywell.However,themarketHASgonevertical,breakingoutofatwoyeartradingrangetotheupsideonthemonthlychart.

Page 5: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Whyhasthishappened?Thebondbubble.AsI’vewrittenbefore,theBondBubbleisthesinglemostimportantfactorinthefinancialsystem.EverymajormonetarypolicyemployedbyCentralBankssince2008hasbeenaboutmaintainingtheBondBubblebyanymeanspossible.ThemostaggressivepolicyconcernedthemovetoNegativeInterestRatePolicy(NIRP)bytheEuropeanCentralBank(ECB)inmid-2014andtheBankofJapan(BoJ)inearly2016.Whenthishappened,bondsforbotheconomiesbegantobreakout,pushingtheiryieldsintonegativeterritory.WHYDOESTHISMATTER?Becausethishascompletelyskewedtheentireinvestinglandscape.Withbondsnowpostingnegativeyieldsasfarouras10yearsinJapanand30-50yearsforsomeEUmembers,stockshavebecomeEXTREMELYattractivefromayieldperspective.Putanotherway,theoldadage“buybondsforincomeandstocksforcapitalgains”hascompletelyreversed.Investorsarenowbuyingbondsforcapitalgainsbyfront-runningCentralBanks…andinvestorsarebuyingSTOCKSforincome.Inthesimplesttermspossible,withbondsnowCHARGINGyoumoneytoownthem,investorsareseekingoutyieldinstocks.TheS&P500currentlyyields2.3%,whichisverylittle.ButcomparedtobeingCHARGEDtoownsomething,2.3%isMASSIVELYpositive.Asaresultofthis,stocksarebreakingout,drivenlargelybytradingalgorithmsprogramedtofindyieldanywherepossible.Thishaspushedstockstobreakoutofthatmassivetwoyearstradingrangetotheupside.ThisbreakouthasrefutedmythesisthatTHETOPisin.AsIsaidinApril2015,stocksneededtogoverticaltorefutethemonthlysellsignal.Theyhavedoneso.Anditnowlooksasthoughwe’reprimingforafinalblowoffrallytonewhighstosuckerineveryonebeforethebubblebursts.Howhighwillwego?

Page 6: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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TheS&P500willprobablytrytomakearunfor2,300.However,itfirstneedstoretesttheupperlineofthetradingrangetoconfirmthatthisupwardsbreakoutistheREALDEALandnotafalsebreakout.

Tobeveryclear…Stocksareseverelyoverboughtandoverextendedintheshort-term.WeNEEDtoseethatre-testoftheupperline.Thatwillbethemostcriticalpointforstocks.

• Ifthelineholds,thebubblewillenterafinalblowofftoptomid-2,200ifnot2,300.

• IfthelinedoesNOThold,it’safalsebreakoutandwe’regoingto1,900ontheS&P500andTHEtopisin.

Irealizetheaboveanalysisisprobablyshockingtomanyofyou.Butmycentralthesis(thatweareinabubblethatwillresolveinaCrashfargreaterthan2008)hasnotchanged.Theonlythingthathaschangedismytimelineforthisevent.Thefactisthatweareincompletelyunchartedwatersinthefinancialsystem.NEVERinhistoryhaveweseen$13trillioninbondspostingnegativeyields.Thisisbeyondlunacy…itisoutrightludicrous.

Page 7: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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ItlookedasthoughthegamewasupbackinlateFebruary/earlyMarchwhentheBoJwenttoNIRP.Atthattime,theYensurgedaggressivelyandtheJapanesebondmarketalmostcollapsed.

However,Japangotahandleonthesituation,andthebondbubblecontinued.Atthatpoint,twoofthefivemajorCentralBanksintheworldwereatNIRP.Andthemarketbeganitssharpbreakout.PutverysimplyCentralBankshavebettheentirefinancialsystemontheirtheories.TheprofessionalinvestorclasshasnochoicebuttodancetothetunetheDevilisplaying.Sohereismycentralthesisgoingforward:

1. Stocksandriskingeneralareseverelyoverboughtandneedtocorrect.ThiswillfeaturetheS&P500fallingto2,100orso,Oilplungingtosub-$40,andprobablyGoldandSilvercorrectingaswell.

2. AtthatpointtheMAJORmovehigher(theblowofftop)willbegin.AsImentionedearlier,theS&P500willprobablyshootfor2,300.Thisrepresentsabreakoutequaltothewidthofthetradingrange(200points)abovetheoldline(2,100).

Page 8: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Oilwillprobablymakearunto$60perbarrel.

Page 9: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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InaworldinwhichbondsarenowNEGATIVE,preciousmetals,whichyieldZERO,arenowVERYattractive.Yes,we’vereachedthepointatwhichfinanceissoscrewedupthataZEROyieldisHIGHLYattractivefromanincomeperspective.Withthatinmind…Goldwillprobablymakearunto$1600.However,firstwe’recorrectingto$1,100orso.

Silverwillprobablymakearunto$27.50.However,firstwehaveadatewith$15.00.

Page 10: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Mytimelinefortheaboveis:

1) Thecorrectioninriskassetsshouldhitinthenext3-4weeks.Afterthat…

2) Thefinalblowofftopwillhitandrunintoearly2017.Forthisreason,we’resittingonourhedgesfornow.Iexpectquiteafewofthemwillendbeinglosses,butbywaitingforthecorrectiontohit,thelosseswillbesmallerthantheyarenow.Oncethecorrectionhits,wewillunloadthesehedgesandclosemanyofourshorts.AtthatpointwewillbebuyingHEAVILYinpreciousmetalsminers,someoilplays,andsomeindividualstocks.Ialsoexpectwe’llseeUSTreasuryyieldsfallaggressivelytotrademoreinlinewithJapanandGermansovereignbondsyields.

Page 11: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Thatwillbethefinalstageinthebubble.Itwillbetheultimatetrapthatluresinvestorsin.AsI’venotedbefore,thislatestbreakouthasoccurreddespitemostinvestorsSELLING.AsZeroHedgehasnoted,theSmartMoneyhasbeensellingstocksthroughout2016.Thiscontinuedlastweekasstockshitnewhighs.

Page 12: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Oncestockscorrect/putinanewbase,itwillbethefinaltrapthatluresinvestorsintostocks.Thiswillbewhatpropelsthefinalblowofftopto2,300.Andthat’swhenTHERESETwillbegin.OncetheBondBubblegoes,THERESETwillbegin.THERESETwilltakeyearstounfoldbutwillendwhentheS&P500fallstonewlowsbelowtheMarch2009lows.Currentlymytargetis400orsoontheS&P500.

Here’stheVERYBIGPICTURE…Since2000wehavehadsuccessivebubblesinmoreandmoreseniorassetclasses.TheTechBubblewasastockbubble.ThencametheHousingBubble,whichrepresentedthesinglelargestassetclassmostconsumerseverpurchase(homes).WearenowintheBONDbubbleorabubbleforENTIRECOUNTRIES.Whenthisbubblebursts,(whenbondsimplode),theRESETwillhit.Atthatpoint,Gold,Silver,andanythingthatisacrisishedge/currencythatcannotbetrashed,willgoBALLISTIC.

Page 13: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Ontothemarkets!Thewarningsignsofthenear-termcorrectionarealreadyhere.Indeed,itlookslikeanotherroundofdeflationishittingasIwritethis.Long-termUSbonds(TLT)havebrokenoutofawedgepattern.

Commodityproducers,likeUSSteel(X)arealreadyrollingoversharply.

Page 14: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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ActiontoTake:ShortUSSteel(X).BasicmetalsproducerRioTinto(RIO)looksreadytogo.

Page 15: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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ActiontoTake:ShortRioTinto(RIO)Freeport-McMoran(FCX)isabouttotakeoutitsrallytrendline.

ActiontoTake:ShortFreeport-McMoran(FCX).Preciousmetalswillbenext.Silverlooksverysicktome.$17isbeckoning,henceourowningUltraShortSilverETF(ZSL).

Page 16: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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ThestoryisthesameforGold.We’vesimplycometoofartoofast.Iwouldn’tbesurprisedtoseeabreakto$1150,henceourexposureviatheUltraShortGoldETF(GLL).

Page 17: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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Thisconcludesthisweek’sWeeklyMarketUpdate.Inconclusion,thebreakoutinriskassetshasalteredtheinvestmentlandscape.ItissettingthestageforafinalblowofftoptosuckerinEVERYONE.ThisblowofftopwillbedrivenbyacrazedsearchforyieldandthebeliefthatCentralBankscansomehowmaintainthebondbubbleasmoreandmorebondyieldsmoveintonegativeterritory.However,intheverynearterm,weareoverdueforanotherroundofdeflation.Theriskonrallyneedstocool/correct.Wewillbeusingthiscorrectiontogetoutofourhedgesandprepareforthefinalblowofftop.Mycentralthesisremainsthesame…butthetiminghasshifted.TheRESETloomsbutistakinglongerthanIthoughtitwould.ThisisALWAYStheproblemwithbubbles…andwillbeparticularlytruefortheBONDBUBBLE,thesinglelargestbubbleinfinancialhistory.However,thefactremains,theCentralBankshavecompletelybackedthemselvesintoacorner.With$13trillioninbondspostingnegativeyields,theycannottightenwithoutblowingupthebondbubble.EVER.Thefinalblowofftopbeckons.Afterthat,THERESETbegins.I’mwatchingthemarketscloselyandwillissueupdatesasneeded.Barringanynewdevelopmentsyou’llnexthearfrommenextWednesdayinourusualWeeklyMarketUpdate.Untilthen…

ChiefMarketStrategistPhoenixCapitalResearch

BestRegards,

Page 18: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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OPEN POSITIONS

US DOLLAR CARRY TRADE IMPLOSION PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

UltraBullishDollarETF UUP 5/23/11 $21.79 $24.7213%

UltraShortEuro EUO 4/10/15 $27.68 $24.01 -13% UltraShortYenETF YCS 5/27/15 $94.48 $60.47 -36%

RELATIVE US STRENGTH PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

NuveenMuni.Fund NIO 1/2/14 $13.12 $16.30 42% Wal-Mart WMT 7/30/14 $74.78 $73.96 5% Exxon XOM 9/24/14 $95.82 $87.79 -2% 7-10YrTreasuryETF UST 11/26/14 $55.54 $64.09 17%

20+YrTreasuryETF TLT 7/15/15 $116.89 $140.10 23% RPXCorp RPXC 8/5/15 $15.48 $10.71 -31% Apple AAPL 9/11/15 $114.21 $108.01 -4%

Pricesasofmarket’scloseon8/12/16at2:30PM

Page 19: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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INFLATION PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

Gold 3/17/10

$1,120$1,342.00

20%

Silver* 3/17/10

$16.23$19.73 22%

UraniumETF URA 6/8/16 $15.49 $14.38 -7%*Avg.priceof$17.50and$14.97

RETAILMELTDOWNPORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

Amazon(SHORT) AMZN 2/25/15 $484.19 $771.08 -59% AmericanEagleOutfitters(SHORT) AEO 5/26/16 $15.36 $18.90 -23%

*Avg.priceof$385.37and$583

Pricesasofmarket’scloseon8/12/16at2:30PM

Page 20: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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MARKET HEDGE PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

UltraShortNikkeiETF EWV 1/6/15 $67.46 $42.30 -37% UltraShortEmergingMarketETF EEV 1/20/16 $24.03 $15.41 -36% UltraShortChinaETF FXP 1/20/16 $59.95 $32.39 -46% UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 1/20/16 $74.40 $19.98 -73% UltraShortFinancials* SKF 2/10/16 $56.82 $40.68 -28% UltraShortRussell2000ETF** TWM 2/10/16 $47.92 $30.37 -37% UltraShortGoldETF GLL 5/26/16 $82.75 $68.39 -17% UltraShortSilverETF ZSL 7/20/16 $29.20 $27.69 -5% UltraShortS&P500ETF SDS 7/27/16 $16.60 $16.36 -1% USSteel(SHORT) X 8/12/16 $21.08 NEW SHORT RioTinto(SHORT) RIO 8/12/16 $31.08 NEW SHORT Freeport-McMoran(SHORT) FCX 8/12/16 $11.75 NEW SHORT

*Avgpriceof$60.95and$51.69**Avgpriceof$52.94and$42.90

EU BANKING CRISIS PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL

BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

EuropeanFinancialsETF EUFN 7/5/16 $14.86 $16.82 -13%CreditSuisses CS 7/5/16 $10.30 $12.00 -17% DeutscheBank(SHORT) DB 7/5/16 $14.18 $14.23 0% Santander(SHORT) SAN 2/3/16 $4.13 $4.27 -3% Barclays(SHORT) BCS 7/5/16 $7.92 $8.46 -7% Pricesasofmarket’scloseon8/12/16at2:30PM

Page 21: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Apple AAPL 4/2/14 $77.51 9/29/14 $98.84 28%

EuropeanFinancials(SHORT) EUFN 4/15/14 $24.89 10/10/14 $22.47 11%

UltraShortRussell2000 TWM 4/15/14 $49.46 10/10/14 $52.28 6%

UltraShortBrazil BZQ 10/15/14 $62.00 10/21/14 $71.92 16%

UltraShortGold GLL 10/24/14 $94.15 11/14/14 $104.21 11%

UltraShortSilver ZSL 10/24/14 $104.89 11/14/14 $122.00 17%

EnduroRoyaltyTrust NDRO 5/22/13 12.05 11/28/14 $7.06 -26%

UltraShortEuro EOU 1/20/15 $23.49 3/5/15 $26.51 13%

UltraShortBrazil BZQ 1/6/15 $91.07 3/6/15 $100.74 11%

Target TGT 5/28/14 $55.34 4/1/15 $82.13 52%

Pfizer PFE 7/30/14 $29.26 4/1/15 $34.56 20%

GeneralElectric GE 2/5/14 $24.57 4/13/15 $27.89 18%

BPPrudhoeBayRoyaltyTrust BPT 1/2/14

$76.775/20/15 $66.70 5%

ConocoPhillips COP 3/5/14$66.30

5/20/15 $65.27 4%

RussiaETF TRF4/9/15 $10.62 5/20/15 $11.36

7%

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS

Page 22: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

UtraShortOilETF SCO 5/27/15 $61.08 7/6/15 $70.30 15%

UltraShortGoldETF GLL 2/25/15 $95.49 7/7/15 $101.75 7%

Copper(SHORT) JJC 3/10/15 $31.35 7/7/15 $28.78 8%

UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 5/27/15 $85.70 7/7/15 $92.02 7%

IndustrialMetalsETF UBM 3/25/15 $15.24 7/7/15 $13.56 11% UltraShortChinaETF(half) FXP 3/10/15 $36.45 7/8/15 $41.93 15%

UltraShortOilETF(half)SCO 7/21/15 $76.19 7/23/15 $82.14 8%

UltraShortBrazilETF(half)

BZQ 7/21/15 $91.39 7/23/15 $102.36 12% UltraShortBrazilETF(secondhalf)

BZQ 7/21/15 $91.39 7/24/15 $109.60 20% UltraShortOilETF(secondhalf)

SCO 7/21/15 $76.19 7/27/15 $87.36 15%

LinkedIn(SHORT)LNKD 6/17/15 $215.45 8/4/15 $194.96 10%

AustraliaETF(SHORT)EWA 1/6/15 $21.97 8/11/15 $19.85 11%

UltraShortEmergingMktsETF

EEV 1/20/15 $19.48 8/11/15 $21.56 11%

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

Page 23: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

UltraShortChinaETF FXP 3/10/15 $36.458/19/15 $41.59 14%

ChinaRealEstateETF(SHORT) TAO 6/11/13 $20.11 8/24/15 $17.21 14% SouthKoreaETF(SHORT) EWY 8/18/15 $48.17

8/24/15 $43.82 10%

IndiaETF(SHORT) INP 8/18/15 $70.188/24/15 $59.38 18%

Santander(SHORT) SAN 8/13/15 $6.638/24/15 $5.99 10%

SpainETF(SHORT) EWP 8/13/15 $34.088/24/15 $31.38 8%

AustralianDollarETF(SHORT)

FXA 5/27/15 $77.368/26/15 $70.99 8%

UltraShortSilverETFZSL 7/29/15 $120.84

8/26/15 $132.02 9%

UltraLongS&P500 SSO 9/2/15 $56.129/9/15 $59.37 6%

UltraLongRussell200 UWM 9/2/15$79.20 9/9/15 $83.75 6%

CanadaDollarETF(SHORT)

FXC 5/27/15 $79.819/23/15 $74.47 7%

Canon(SHORT) CAJ 7/31/13 $30.849/23/15 $29.12 6%

UltraShortSemiconductorsETF

SSG9/18/15

$54.00 9/24/15 $60.2011%

UltraShortBrazilETFBZQ 9/22/15 $172.16

9/24/15 $199.00 16%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)DB

10/28/15$30.31 11/12/15 $26.17 14%

Page 24: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

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RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Santander(SHORT)SAN

10/28/15$5.70 11/27/15 $5.36 6%

UltraShortGoldETFGLL 7/29/15 $112.00

11/27/15 $117.38 5%

UltraShortOilETF SCO 11/12/15 $95.3512/2/15 $108.18

13%

UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 11/12/15 $66.3212/2/15 $72.46

9%

BancoDeChile(Short)

BCH 8/18/15 $61.8912/8/15 $57.68 7%

RussiaETF(SHORT)RSX 12/2/15 $16.35

12/8/15 $15.32 6% UltraShortEmergingMarketsETF EEV 11/12/15 $22.14

12/8/15 $23.767%

SpainETF(SHORT)EWP

9/30/15$29.66 1/14/16 $27.64 7%

UltraShortEmergingMarketsETF

EEV12/17/15

$23.84 1/14/16 $25.316%

SingaporeETF(SHORT)EWS 9/22/15 $10.31

1/7/16 $9.57 7%

MexicoETF(SHORT) EWW 12/23/15 $51.151/7/16 $46.66 9%

FranceETF(SHORT)EWQ

9/30/15$24.07 1/11/16 $22.64 6%

Nvidia NVDA 6/26/13$14.14

1/13/16 $30.04119%

Auto-Zone AZO 9/25/13$422.73

1/13/16 $716.2169%

Intel INTC 12/20/13$25.14

1/13/16 $32.4036%

Target TGT 5/28/14$55.34

1/13/16 $72.6838%

Page 25: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

25

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Tesla(SHORT) TSLA 2/25/15 $203.761/14/16 $196.41 4%

UltraShortFinancialsSKF

9/18/15$52.39 1/14/16 $55.20

5%

EuropeanFinancials(SHORT)

EUFN1/6/16

$19.36 1/15/16 $18.02 7% UltraShortS&P500 SDS 9/18/15 $22.33

1/15/16$23.58 6%

MalaysiaETF(SHORT)EWM 9/22/15 $7.50

1/15/16 $7.16 5%

Kraft KHC 9/24/14 $56.811/15/16 $68.79

27%

McDonalds MCD 10/30/14 $92.871/15/16 $115.25

29%

Santander(SHORT)SAN

1/6/16$4.52 1/19/16 $4.19 7%

RetailETF(SHORT)XRT

1/13/16 $40.66 1/20/16 $38.01 7%

Coke KO 8/28/13$36.80

1/22/16 $41.8121%

GeneralElectric GE 2/5/14$24.57

1/22/16 $27.9120%

EliLilly LLY 12/3/14 $71.131/22/16 $83.09

20%

UniversalCorporation UVV3/5/15

$48.051/22/16 $52.23

12%

Pfizer PFE 7/30/14 $29.262/1/16 $30.16

8%

Microsoft MSFT 12/3/14 $48.082/1/16 $54.70

16%

Page 26: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

26

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Netflix(SHORT) NFLX 1/27/16 $91.152/8/16 $81.55 11%

ItalyETF(SHORT)(half)

EWI1/27/16 $12.05 2/9/16

$10.88 10% BarclaysPLC(SHORT)(half) BCS 1/27/16 $10.37

2/9/16$9.09 12%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)(half) DB 2/3/16 $16.65

2/9/16$14.95 10%

ItalyETF(SHORT)(otherhalf)

EWI1/27/16 $12.05 2/11/16

$10.71 11% BarclaysPLC(SHORT)(otherhalf) BCS 1/27/16 $10.37

2/11/16$8.64 17%

GoldMinersETF GDX 5/13/15 $17.49 3/23/16 $19.22 11% GoldMiningJuniorsETF GDXJ 1/27/16 $19.12 3/23/16 $26.91 41% SilverStandardResources SSRI

4/20/16 $8.08 4/28/16 $9.0812%

DRDGOLD DRD 4/20/16 $4.34 4/28/16 $4.97 15%

OilETF OIL 3/17/16 $5.64 4/29/16 $6.17 9% SugarETN SGG 4/27/16 $35.79 5/12/16 $38.66 8%

DBCommoditiesETN DBC 3/17/16 $13.59 5/19/16 $14.466%

WheatETF WEAT 4/27/16 $9.03 6/7/16 $9.44 5% AgricultureETN RJA 4/27/16 $6.49 6/7/16 $6.87 6% DeutscheBank(SHORT)(otherhalf) DB 2/3/16 $16.65 6/9/16 $15.68 6% UltraShortOilETF SCO 5/26/16 $79.52 6/14/16 $83.50 5% SpainETF(SHORT)(otherhalf) EWP 1/22/16 $26.44 6/14/16 $25.46 4%

Page 27: Weekly Market Update 8-12-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/pwa8-12-16.pdf2016/08/12  · Back in April 2015, I noted that we had received a rare monthly “sell” signal on the S&P 500

27

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

NovaGold NG4/20/16 $5.95 6/24/16 $6.51

9%

GoldMinersETF GDX6/8/16 $26.36 6/24/16 $26.86

2%

GoldMiningJuniorsETF GDXJ6/8/16 $40.21 6/24/16 $42.22

5%

DRDGOLD DRD6/8/16 $5.12 6/24/16 $5.47

7%

SilverStandardResources SSRI

6/8/16 $11.09 6/24/16 $12.2611%

Santander(SHORT) SAN 2/3/16 $3.866/27/16

$3.61 6%

GermanyETF(SHORT) EWG 3/10/16 $24.256/27/16

$22.86 6%

USNaturalGasFund UNG6/8/16 $7.44 6/27/16 $8.11

9%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)DB 7/5/16

$13.45 7/6/16 $12.50 7%

Barclays(SHORT)BCS 7/5/16

$7.23 7/6/16 $6.88 5%

UltraShortOilETFSCO 7/6/16

$84.54 7/8/16 $92.52 9%

Stamps.com(SHORT) STMP 5/26/16 $84.407/11/16 $78.31 7%

UltraShortOilETFSCO 7/20/16

$92.70 7/25/16 $102.47 11%