Weekly Market Outlook 18.02.12

8/3/2019 Weekly Market Outlook 18.02.12

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Mansukh Securities and Finance LtdOffice: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: [email protected]: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB23078

Sensex 18,289 3.04%

Nifty 5,584 3.75%

Gold(US$/oz) 1,725.3 0.06%

Re/US$ 49.31 -0.08%

Dow 12,950 1.16%

Nasdaq 2,952 1.65%

FX Res (US$ Bn) 293.384 -0.13%

Upto 17.02.12 FIIs DIIs

Total Feb 2012 10310.4 -5769.3

Total 2012 19,780 -12,499

Sectors Close %

Auto 10,319 6.24

Bankex 12,736 6.25

CD 6,647 7.76

CG 11,107 7.91

FMCG 4,153 0.54

Healthcare 6,375 0.45

T 6,267 3.58

Metal 12,572 1.68

Oil & Gas 8,645 -1.44

PSU 7,909 3.08

Realty 2,080 10.21

Weekly Sector Movement

DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK

13th Feb 2012 - 17th Feb 2012

Net FII /DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)

Weekly Markets

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SNAPSHOT

Indian stock markets went through a highly enthralling week of trade as the benchmark indices seldshowed signs of nervousness, riding high on the back of hefty FII inflows and snapped the seveconsecutive week on a cheerful note after garnering over three percentage points. Markets have carforward their exhilaration since the start of the New Year, during which they skyrocketed around 18%

regained the levels last seen in July 2011. Foreign institutional investors showed renewed vigor in Indequities following the ease in inflationary concerns and recent appreciation in rupee. Meanwhile,broader markets showcased a boisterous performance as BSE's Mid-cap & Small-cap indices garnehuge gains for the week and outclassed the larger peers. Stocks from the power counter traded o

jubilant note after PM Manmohan Singh cleared coal supply to private sector power producers, whwould help power plants with estimated capacity of more than 50,000 MW. On the earnings front, estate major DLF, along with Tata Power, Suzlon Energy, SAIL and SBI got pounded heavily aannouncing third quarter results which were below street's expectations while Tata Motors and CIndia on the other hand settled on a strong note as its quarterly performance got commended by invest

WEEK AHEAD

Volatility is expected to remain at the forefront for the holiday truncated week as traders are expected to adjust their position with expiry of Februar

F&O contracts on Thursday, February 23, 2011. Investor's for the coming week will also be eyeing an Empowered Group of Ministers' (EGoMmeeting headed by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, slated to be held on February 24, to consider changes in the natural gas allocation policyMeanwhile, with just one-and-half months left to meet Rs 40,000 crore disinvestment target for this fiscal, a panel of ministers, which deferreddecision on stake sale of blue chip engineering giant BHEL in the week passed by, may meet again in the coming week to take a final call. From thglobal markets, traders will be eyeing data of US, starting from Existing Home Sales data on February 22, followed by Jobless Claim data and NewHome Sales data on February 24, 2011. For the upcoming sessions we believe current euphoria will survive however 5660-5680 could be the neaterm hurdles. Any break out above this zone may further boost the sentiment and we might see 5800-5830 in the next series. On the flip sidpossibility of consolidation wouldn't be rule out at this stage however 5300-5330 may be the good support levels to reenter. HAPPY TRADING...

make more, for suWeekly Market Outlook 18 Feb 2012

India's headline inflation slipped to a m ore than 2-year low in January, giving some relief to t he policy-mak

and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) scope to cut int erest rates in the forthcoming policy review to cou

w eakening economic growt h. Headline inflation, as measu red by the W holesale Price Index (WP I), fell to 6.

In January 2012 as com pared t o 7.47% in December 2011.

Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Feb 2012)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

6-Feb 7-Feb 8-Feb 9-Feb 10-Feb 13-Feb 14-Feb 15-Feb 16-Feb 17-Feb

*NSE

20

2122

23

24

25

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Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %

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3rd 2nd 1st 1st 2nd 3rd

Bajaj Auto Ltd 1712 1756 1778 1800.70 1822 1843 1886 PositiveBharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. 229 267 285 303.45 324 344 382 Positive

Bharti Airtel Ltd. 335 343 346 349.55 354 359 367 Neutral

Cipla Ltd. 304 314 318 321.55 327 333 342 Positive

Coal India Ltd. 309 318 321 324.85 330 336 345 Neutral

DLF Ltd. 240 248 251 253.85 258 263 271 Positive

GAIL (India) Ltd. 353 367 374 380.75 389 397 412 Neutral

HDFC Bank Ltd. 499 513 520 527.55 535 542 556 Neutral

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 1903 2020 2065 2109.70 2182 2255 2372 Positive

Hindalco Industries Ltd. 138 146 148 151.10 156 161 169 Negative

Hindustan Unil ever Ltd. 374 379 382 385.25 388 390 395 Neutral

Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 686 702 709 716.50 725 733 749 Positive

ICICI Bank Ltd. 939 962 972 981.55 995 1007 1030 Positive

Infosys Ltd. 2792 2867 2909 2950.60 2984 3017 3092 Positive

ITC Ltd. 200 202 204 205.30 206 207 210 Positive

Jindal S teel & Power Ltd. 591 619 629 639.25 656 674 701 Positive

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 1293 1383 1416 1448.65 1506 1563 1652 Positive

Mahindra & Mahi ndra Ltd. 699 722 735 749.30 758 766 789 Positive

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1227 1282 1301 1320.00 1355 1391 1446 Neutral

NTPC Ltd. 177 182 185 187.65 190 193 198 Positive

Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 263 274 277 281.30 288 294 304 Neutral

Reliance Industries Ltd. 786 802 810 817.90 826 834 850 Negative

State Bank Of India 2241 2331 2374 2416.75 2463 2509 2599 Positive

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 121 128 130 133.00 137 141 148 Neutral

Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. 522 532 537 541.90 547 552 562 Negative

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1172 1203 1216 1228.70 1247 1266 1297 Neutral

Tata Motors Ltd. 252 264 269 273.90 281 288 300 Negative

Tata Power Company Ltd. 107 112 115 118.65 121 123 129 Positive

Tata Steel Ltd. 443 461 470 478.00 488 497 516 Neutral

Wipro Ltd. 418 432 441 449.20 455 461 475 Positive

SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE

17.02.12

RESISTANCE

SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR T HE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 24th Feb 2012

INCLINATIOSCRIP

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Weekly Market Outlook





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3rd 2nd 1st 1st 2nd 3rd

Adani Power Ltd. 70 78 81 85.00 89 94 102 18530

Allahabad Bank 179 190 194 198.35 205 211 222 9446

Alstom Projects India Ltd.368 396 407 417.70 435 453 481 2800Andhra Bank 121 126 129 131.10 134 137 142 7336

Ashok Leyland Ltd. 27 28 29 29.35 30 31 32 7809

Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 108 114 117 119.45 123 127 133 3477

Bajaj Hindusthan Ltd. 33 34 35 35.75 37 38 40 2286

BEML Ltd. 564 597 616 634.45 648 662 694 2642

Bharat Forge Ltd. 302 311 315 319.10 325 331 340 7428

CESC Ltd. 259 276 283 290.60 300 309 326 3631

Cummins India Ltd. 459 466 469 471.40 475 479 486 13067

DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 700 728 742 756.30 770 783 811 10036

Educomp S olutions Ltd. 210 223 228 233.25 241 249 262 2241

Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 239 257 264 270.45 281 292 310 4119

GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 16 18 19 19.10 20 21 22 3016

Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. 27 30 30 31.30 33 34 36 1899

Hotel Leela Venture Ltd. 36 37 38 38.70 40 41 42 1501

Housing Development & Infrastr ucture Ltd. 103 113 118 122.70 128 133 143 5141

IDBI Bank Ltd 110 114 116 117.95 121 123 128 11614

India Cements Ltd. 94 100 102 103.70 107 111 117 3185

Indian Bank 222 234 239 243.40 251 258 269 10461

Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 70 74 75 76.75 79 81 85 5829

IVRCL Ltd. 49 54 57 58.85 62 65 70 1571

Jain Irrigation S ystems Ltd. 102 110 114 117.45 121 125 132 4759

JSW Steel Ltd. 784 823 839 854.60 878 901 940 19068

Lanco Infratech Ltd. 13 18 20 22.65 25 27 32 5454

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. 22 27 31 34.20 36 38 44 2155

Mphasis Ltd. 356 376 388 399.10 408 417 438 8381

NCC Ltd. 52 58 61 63.30 66 69 75 1624

Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2071 2127 2150 2172.70 2206 2239 2295 18240Patel Engineering Ltd. 101 111 115 118.55 125 131 141 828

Petronet LNG Ltd. 151 162 168 174.60 179 183 194 13095

Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 421 427 430 432.80 436 439 446 7469

Praj Industries Ltd. 79 84 86 88.15 91 93 98 1604

Punj Lloyd Ltd. 57 60 62 62.85 65 67 70 2087

Rolta India Ltd. 88 92 94 96.00 99 102 107 1549

Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 68 73 75 76.95 80 84 89 3584

Sintex Industries Ltd. 87 93 95 97.75 101 105 110 2668

Syndicate Bank 107 112 114 116.30 119 122 127 6667

Tata Chemicals Ltd. 358 365 368 371.00 374 378 384 9451

Tata Global Be verages Ltd 111 115 117 119.15 122 125 129 7368

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. 15 16 17 17.35 18 19 20 3292

Tech Mahindra Ltd. 623 643 651 659.50 671 683 703 8402Titan Industries Ltd. 192 210 221 232.50 240 247 265 20641

Ultratech Cement Ltd. 1428 1452 1464 1475.45 1488 1500 1524 40436

Unitech Ltd. 28 30 31 31.35 32 33 35 8202

United Phosphorus Ltd. 145 154 157 160.90 166 172 181 7430

Vij aya Bank Ltd 63 65 66 67.45 69 70 72 3188

Voltas Ltd. 95 103 106 108.40 113 117 124 3587

Welspun Corp Ltd. 139 146 150 153.05 157 160 167 3486

SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE

17.02.12

RESISTANCE

NSE MI DCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR T HE UPCOM ING WEEK ENDED 24th Feb 2012Marke t Ca

(Rs CroreSCRIP

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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS

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Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose

21-Feb-12 Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.5/- PER SHARE

21-Feb-12 Snowcem India Limited SNOWCEMIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

22-Feb-12 Gayatri Projects Limited GAYAPROJ RIGHTS 1:1 @ PREMIUM RS.110 PER SHARE

22-Feb-12 The Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd GESHIP INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.3/- PER SHARE

22-Feb-12 Oil India Limited OIL 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.10/- PER SHARE

22-Feb-12 Natco Pharma Limited NATCOPHARM INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.3/- PER SHARE

23-Feb-12 S RF Limited SRF INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.7/- PER SHARE

23-Feb-12 Hi-Tech Gears Limited HITECHGEAR INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE

23-Feb-12 Precision Wires India Limited PRECWIRE INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.80 PER SHARE

23-Feb-12 Amrutanjan Health Care Limited AMRUTANJAN INTERIM DIVIDEND OF RS.5/- PER SHARE (50%

24-Feb-12 Zodiac Clothing Company Limited ZODIACLOTH INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE

29-Feb-12 Plastiblends India Limited PLASTIBLEN FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS.10/- TO RS.5/-

1-Mar-12 Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Limited DWARKESH ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

1-Mar-12 Escorts Limited ESCORTS DIVIDEND-RS.1.50 PER SHARE

9-Mar-12 GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare GSKCONS AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.35/- PER SHARE

9-Mar-12 The Andhra Pradesh Paper Mills Limited APPAPER ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

12-Mar-12 ACC Limi ted ACC DIVIDEND RS.17/- PER SHARE

13-Mar-12 Eicher Motors Limited EICHERMOT DIVIDEND-RS.16 PER SHARE

13-Mar-12 K.M.Sugar Mills Limited KMSUGAR ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

14-Mar-12 Spanco Limited SPANCO AGM / DIVIDEND RE. 1/- PER SHARE

19-Mar-12 Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited ONGC INTERIM DIVIDEND

21-Mar-12 Helios And Matheson Information Tech. HELIOSMATH AGM & DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE

21-Mar-12 Lakshmi Energy and Foods Limited LAKSHMIEFL AGM & DIVIDEND RE.0.20 PER SHARE

21-Mar-12 Foseco India Limited FOSECOIND AGM & DIVIDEND RS.7/- PER SHARE






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NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL

Varun Gupta Head - Research [email protected]

Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst [email protected]

Vikram Singh Research Analyst [email protected]

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Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate

29 21 1 7 75.00%

EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR T HE WEEK ENDED 17th Feb 2012



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Weekly Market Outlook 18.02.12