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Office Hours: Thursday 1.30-2.30pm FW102. WEEK 9: BIVARIATE ANALYSIS II. Null Hypothesis?. Null Hypothesis is a hypothesis which the researcher tries to disprove, reject or falsify Example: Does gender influence the salary of a British worker? What is the Null Hypothesis? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Office Hours: Thursday 1.30-2.30pm FW102
• Null Hypothesis is a hypothesis which the researcher
tries to disprove, reject or falsify
• Example: Does gender influence the salary of a British worker?
• What is the Null Hypothesis?There is no association between
gender and salary in UK.
Possible reasons for voting for Far-right parties (BNP)
racist sentiments political alienation (public dissatisfaction
with the working of democracy) social alienation
What do you think? Which one is the main reason?
How much do you trust the Parliament at Westminster?
political alienation
On balance, would you say that most people can't be trusted or that most people can be trusted?
Social alienation
how do you feel about black and white people? Racist sentiment
political alienationThere is no association between voting for
BNP and the level of trust in the parliamentSocial alienationThere is no association between voting for
BNP and trusting peopleRacist sentimentThere is no association between voting for
BNP and feelings about black and white people
N Minimum Maximum MeanStd. Deviation
Feelings_BNP2829 .00 10.00 1.5695 2.22239
Trust-Parliament at Westmister
3011 .00 10.00 4.4915 2.30127
Most People Can Be Trusted 3059 .00 10.00 6.0530 2.15318
Feelings-Whites 2992 .00 10.00 7.4081 1.93979
Feelings-Blacks2992 .00 10.00 6.3961 2.21780
Valid N (listwise) 2721
B coefficient Std. Error P Value
(Constant) 2.983 0.127 0.000
Feelings-Blacks -0.219 0.019 0.000
a Dependent Variable: Feelings_BNP
THREE STEPS1-SIGNIFICANCE OF THE ASSOCIATION The relationship between X (feelings for
blacks) and Y (support for BNP) is significant at the 0.05 level (we can reject the null hypothesis of no association).
2-DIRECTION OF THE ASSOCIATION The b coefficient of -0.219 is negative,
indicating that the people who have positive feelings towards black people tend to have lower levels of support for BNP.
3- MAGNITUDE
3-MAGNITUDE OF THE “X” EFFECT For every point increase on 0-10 scale in X
(positive feelings towards black people), the level of support for BNP (Y) will decrease by 0.219 points on the 0-10 scale.
Dependent variable: Feeling BNP
B coefficient Std. Error P Value
(Constant) 1.736 0.094 0.000
Trust-Parliament at Westminster
-0.037 0.018 0.044
Dependent variable: Feeling BNP
B coefficient Std. Error P Value
(Constant) 2.542 0.127 0.000
Most People Can Be Trusted
-0.158 0.020 0.000
B coefficient
Std. Error P Value
(Constant) 1.245 0.252 0.000
Feelings-Whites
0.059 0.033 0.075
Dependent Variable: Feelings_BNPDependent Variable: Feelings_BNP
Dependent Variable: Feelings_BNP
Multivariate Analysis: Testing Hypotheses
Testing hypotheses with OLS regression Modelling in political science, multiple relationships between variables, interpreting OLS regression analysis
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