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Week 12:Inferential Statistics. Error Matrix Correct Decision Type I Error: “False Positive” Type II Error: “False Negative” Correct Decision

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Week 12:Inferential Statistics Error MatrixCorrect DecisionType I Error:False PositiveType II Error:False NegativeCorrect DecisionNull is trueNull is falseThe TruthOur ChoiceReject NullRetain NullDatingType I Error:False PositiveCorrect DecisionNull is CorrectNull is FalseReject NullThe TruthNull: I do not have a faithful partner.Alternative: I do havea faithful partner.

Our Choice

Retain NullType 2 Error:False NegativeCorrect Decision

PregnancyType I Error:False PositiveCorrect DecisionNull is CorrectNull is FalseReject NullThe TruthNull: I am notpregnant.Alternative: I ampregnant.

Our ChoiceRetain NullType 2 Error:False NegativeCorrect Decision

Milk?Type I Error:False PositiveCorrect DecisionNull is CorrectNull is FalseReject NullThe TruthNull: I should notdrink milk now.Alternative: I should drink milk now.

Our ChoiceRetain NullType 2 Error:False NegativeCorrect Decision

Q: Does level of inebriation (< .08, > .08) and type of alcohol (Tequila, Whiskey) affect sexual performance? Null Hypotheses:LOI does not affect sexual performance (both levels will have equal performance)TOA does not affect sexual performance (both types will have equal performance)Alternative Hypotheses:LOI affects performance (low inebriation better performance)TOA affects performance (tequila better performance)Test ? Two-Way Between-Subjects ANOVAor 2 separate independent samples t-testsExample Study6I need more shots (< .08)I NEED MORE SHOTS!! (> .08)6771626152111Oh234567WOWZA

7Q: Does level of inebriation (< .08, > .08) affect sexual performance? Stat: F(1,8) = 6.11, p = .04Reject or Fail to Reject H0?p < .05 so reject H0Conclude: Level of inebriation affects sexual performance, such that being too turnt leads to a regretful night.

Level of Inebriation8How do we know which type is better? We look at the means to see which music group has the higher test score.Q: Does type of alcohol (tequila, whiskey) affect sexual performance? Stat: F(1,8) = 3.70, p = .09Reject or Fail to Reject H0?p > .05 so retain H0Conclude: The type of alcohol consumed has no significant effect on sexual performance; however, there is a trend suggesting that whiskey may be the devils drink.

Type of Alcohol9How do we know which type is better? We look at the means to see which music group has the higher test score.HomeworkDue in two weeks in lecture 11/18:Descriptive Statistics Activity: LM 31-32Inferential Statistics Activity: LM 34-39Learning Check Extra Credit Activity: LM 44-47