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SANDIA REPORTSAND2017-3387Unlimited ReleaseApril 2017

Country-Level Climate Uncertaintyfor Risk Assessments: Volume 23 Appendix V – Forecast Sea Ice Thickness George A. Backus, Thomas S. Lowry, Shannon M. Jones, La Tonya Walker, Barry L. Roberts, Leonard A. Malczynski

Prepared bySandia National LaboratoriesAlbuquerque, New Mexico 87185 and Livermore, California 94550

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SAND2017-3387Unlimited Release

April 2017

Country-Level Climate Uncertaintyfor Risk Assessments: Volume 23

Appendix V – Forecast Sea Ice Thickness

George Backus, Leonard MalczynskiPolicy & Decision Analytics

Thomas Lowry, Shannon Jones, La Tonya WalkerEarth Systems Analysis

Barry RobertsGeotechnology & Engineering

Sandia National LaboratoriesP.O. Box 5800

Albuquerque, New Mexico 87185-MS1137

Abstract

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country-level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors are grateful to Group 0150 for providing support in preparing this report and for appreciating the potential impact of climate change on international security and on Sandia’s mission.

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CONTENTS

V.1. Introduction..............................................................................................................................7

V.2. Arctic Sea Ice Thickness..........................................................................................................9

FIGURES

Figure 1: Gamma Distribution.......................................................................................................10

TABLES

Table 1: Report Volume to Variable-Data Mapping.......................................................................7Table 2: Uncertainty Data..............................................................................................................12

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NOMENCLATURE

CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5DOE Department of EnergySNL Sandia National Laboratoriesm Meters Secondda DayC Degrees CentigradeK Degrees Kelvin kg Kilogramyr Yearm2 Square meters (area)m3 Cubic meters (volume)

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V.1. INTRODUCTION

This volume contains one of the appendices noted in Volume 1. Each appendix details the data for a single variable. The next section describes the basic information needed to interpret the data and then provides the actual data. The data for each variable are contained in separate report volumes as noted in the table below. The report and all appendices are publicly available1 and the data in EXCEL format are available upon request.2

Volume Appendix Description Unit of Measure Time Period1 - Main Text All All2 A Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical3 B Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast4 C Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical5 D Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast6 E Minimum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical7 F Minimum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast8 G Precipitation m/day Historical9 H Precipitation m/day Forecast10 I Evaporation m/day Historical11 J Evaporation m/day Forecast12 K Near-Surface Relative Humidity % (monthly

mean)Historical

13 L Near Surface Relative Humidity % (monthly mean)

Forecast

14 M Surface Runoff m3/day Historical15 N Surface Runoff m3/day Forecast16 O Soil Moisture (Upper Column) m3/m3 Historical17 P Soil Moisture (Upper Column) m3/m3 Forecast18 Q Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed m/day Historical19 R Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed m/day Forecast20 S Sea Ice Area Fraction m2/m2 Historical21 T Sea Ice Area Fraction m2/m2 Forecast22 U Sea Ice Thickness M Historical23 V Sea Ice Thickness M Forecast24 W Age of Sea Ice day Historical25 X Age of Sea Ice day Forecast26 Y Sea Ice Ridging Rate (m2/day)/m2 Historical27 Z Sea Ice Ridging Rate (m2/day)/m2 Forecast

1 http://www.sandia.gov (https://cfwebprod.sandia.gov/cfdocs/CompResearch/templates/insert/pubs.cfm) 2 Contact Dr. Thomas Lowry, Sandia National Laboratories, [email protected].

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mailto:[email protected]

https://cfwebprod.sandia.gov/cfdocs/CompResearch/templates/insert/pubs.cfm

Table 1: Report Volume to Variable-Data Mapping

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V.2. ARCTIC SEA ICE THICKNESS

This appendix contains the uncertainty distribution information on Arctic Sea Ice Thickness for the forecast period (CMIP5 output variable name: sit). The parametrization is for the Gamma distribution. Note that the parameters enable the calculation of the mean, median, and mode values, as well as of the exceedance-probability values. See the main text (Volume 1) for a further description of the variable, and on finding or using the appropriate data. The raw values from the models have been converted to have dimensions of m.

The pages that follow alphabetically cover each country or autonomous-area, with the distribution parameters for a time period, for a specific month. The table shows the centroid (average) year for the time period, should a user, for simulation purposes only, want to create linearly interpolated values between years. Interpolation requires both historical and forecast data for the years through 2015. The data maintain consistency across the historical and forecast time period to allow such interpolations. Although the change between years are closely approximated through linear interpolation, no claim is made here for the legitimacy of this usage for all purposes.

For forecast data, the values correspond to the average over the (typically) decadal period noted in Columns 6 and 7 of the data table below. For historical data, the values correspond to the average over the 30 year, 1976 to 2005, “historical period” segment from the CMIP5 model runs. Thirty years is typically the averaging time period used to describe the “normal” condition. Because, for example, conventional macroeconomic models do not generally include climate impacts, their results implicitly include the historical normal. Because climatic changes are relatively gradual during the historical period and the first decade of the forecast period, it is generally acceptable, for continuous-simulation purposes, to consider the average as representing a 1990 referent year.

The models used to calculate the distribution are compared in Chapter 2 of Volume 1. Essential information on the functional aspects of the probability distribution are shown on the next page.

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Gamma Distribution: Parame ter1=k , Parameter 2=θ

Figure 1: Gamma Distribution3

PDF (x )= 1Γ (k )∗θk

∗xk−1∗e−xθ

CDF (x )=1−Γ (k , xθ )/Γ (k )

Where Γ ( ∙ ) is the Gamma Function and Γ (k , x /θ ) is the Incomplete Gamma Function

Mean=kθ

Median≈ kθ∗3k−0.83 k+0.2

k≥1

Median≈θ∗( 0.391424 k4−1.29095 k3+1.6553 k2−0.0257641 k−0.0367065 )0.3≤k ≤1 , θ≪1.0

3 The graphic comes from the Wikimedia commons. For more information, see the Wikipedia entry for the specified distribution in Volume 1, Chapter 5.

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PDF(x)

There is no closed-form solution for the median, but many mathematical packages have median calculators (e.g. MATLAB)

Mode=(k−1 )∗θ k≥1Mode=0 k<1

The shape of a Gamma distribution is quite flexible. Note that when k equals one, the gamma distribution becomes an exponential distribution.

The data columns of all the tables first include the country, then the type of distribution, the two parameters that define the distribution (as noted in the Chapter 5 of Volume 1), the standard error on the CDF estimate (the second order uncertainty), the beginning year of the data used to calculate the distribution, the last year of data used to calculate the distribution, the mid-year centroid, the month associated with the uncertainty distribution, and the short, CMIP5 variable name (noted in Table 3 of Volume 1).

As noted in the main text (Volume 1), the most legitimate use of the data is the comparison of a future sampled value to the historical mean or sampled value. The ratio of the forecasted and historical values minus 1 denotes the percentage change from historical values. This value most likely corresponds to the information needed to perform the impact analysis. Alternatively, but somewhat less meaningful, the difference between the numeric value of the forecast and historic values may be required for the impact analysis, for example, those associated with food production or water flow. For an example risk assessment see Backus et al. 2010.4

The Uncertainty Data begin on the next page.

4 Backus, George A., Thomas S. Lowry, and Drake E. Warren. "The near-term risk of climate uncertainty among the US states." Climatic Change 116.3-4 (2013): 495-522. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0511-8. See full report for the study at: http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/access-control.cgi/2010/102052.pdf

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http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/access-control.cgi/2010/102052.pdfb

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0511-8

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 1.71E+00 2.41E-01 5.91E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.44E+00 3.17E-01 7.68E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.49E+00 3.40E-01 9.18E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.58E+00 3.65E-01 1.18E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.78E+00 3.55E-01 1.24E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.78E+00 3.32E-01 1.18E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.41E+00 3.24E-01 1.05E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.17E+00 2.73E-01 6.35E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.49E-01 2.65E-01 4.59E-02 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.55E+00 1.58E-01 4.43E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.82E+00 1.61E-01 3.90E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.96E+00 1.81E-01 4.34E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.42E+00 2.52E-01 4.96E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.29E+00 3.21E-01 6.09E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.39E+00 3.41E-01 7.82E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.72E+00 3.15E-01 9.21E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.01E+00 2.90E-01 9.41E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.75E+00 3.06E-01 8.90E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.55E+00 2.47E-01 5.16E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.53E-01 2.54E-01 5.03E-02 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.91E-01 7.11E-01 1.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.96E-01 2.11E-01 5.45E-02 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.28E+00 1.94E-01 5.94E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.42E+00 2.14E-01 5.94E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.39E+00 2.40E-01 5.73E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.18E+00 3.27E-01 6.35E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.21E+00 3.56E-01 6.99E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.49E+00 3.32E-01 9.10E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.81E+00 2.93E-01 7.80E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.63E+00 2.87E-01 7.94E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

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Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 1.28E+00 2.31E-01 4.97E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 7.09E-01 2.48E-01 4.86E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.43E-01 5.14E-01 5.84E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.29E-01 2.30E-01 4.66E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.40E+00 1.56E-01 5.24E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.39E+00 2.00E-01 7.23E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.03E+00 2.89E-01 7.93E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.72E-01 3.55E-01 7.41E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.13E+00 3.46E-01 6.54E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.18E+00 3.82E-01 7.94E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.28E+00 3.62E-01 6.92E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.23E+00 3.24E-01 5.68E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.67E-01 2.92E-01 4.23E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.73E-01 5.12E-01 4.55E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.51E-01 6.89E-01 7.00E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 4.98E-01 2.52E-01 4.36E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.00E+00 1.84E-01 5.36E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.28E+00 1.89E-01 5.57E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.37E+00 1.75E-01 4.43E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.23E+00 2.34E-01 4.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.20E+00 2.82E-01 4.92E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.41E+00 2.76E-01 6.04E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.61E+00 2.58E-01 4.34E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.28E+00 2.81E-01 5.91E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.95E-01 2.98E-01 5.14E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.22E-01 3.44E-01 2.71E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.51E-01 3.48E-01 2.83E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.42E-01 2.16E-01 2.90E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.05E-01 1.46E-01 3.53E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.34E+00 1.39E-01 3.04E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sit

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Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 8.19E-01 2.60E-01 5.38E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.01E+00 2.59E-01 5.88E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.06E+00 2.98E-01 7.57E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.33E-01 8.64E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.84E-01 4.25E-01 7.80E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 7.83E-01 3.74E-01 7.48E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.99E-01 4.59E-01 4.81E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.21E-01 3.67E-01 3.01E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.07E-01 3.17E-01 3.43E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.43E-01 2.07E-01 2.76E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.45E-01 3.32E-01 6.88E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.20E-01 2.69E-01 6.31E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.82E-01 5.12E-01 8.89E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.36E-01 3.75E-01 6.08E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.90E-01 3.09E-01 5.56E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.78E-01 3.38E-01 6.03E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.88E-01 3.49E-01 6.45E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 7.76E-01 3.29E-01 5.72E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.98E-01 5.01E-01 6.89E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.14E-01 1.78E-01 1.64E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.29E-02 1.01E-01 8.16E-03 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.83E-01 1.14E-01 9.68E-03 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.62E-01 3.17E-01 5.58E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.42E-01 4.34E-01 8.35E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.16E-01 2.88E-01 4.06E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 7.85E-01 2.78E-01 4.27E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.99E-01 2.81E-01 5.06E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.42E-01 3.20E-01 5.64E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.38E-01 3.60E-01 6.75E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 4.64E-01 4.73E-01 5.50E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

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Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 1.71E-01 3.94E-01 4.84E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.02E-01 1.32E-01 1.69E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.86E-02 9.00E-02 7.02E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.23E-01 8.30E-02 7.46E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 2.38E-01 1.91E-01 3.42E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.70E-01 3.23E-01 6.43E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.71E-01 4.11E-01 8.16E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 4.46E-01 4.17E-01 7.15E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.47E-01 3.28E-01 5.78E-02 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 6.83E-01 3.71E-01 5.19E-02 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 7.12E-01 3.85E-01 6.28E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.09E-01 5.86E-01 7.57E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.74E-01 2.44E-01 2.73E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 9.25E-02 8.68E-02 7.95E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 8.16E-02 9.03E-02 8.31E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.18E-01 7.09E-02 6.48E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 1.80E-01 1.63E-01 2.60E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic0E15 Gamma 3.45E-01 2.76E-01 6.85E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.87E+00 1.38E-01 8.99E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.30E+00 1.36E-01 1.23E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.74E+00 1.61E-01 1.46E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.67E+00 1.78E-01 1.77E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.51E+00 1.92E-01 1.98E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.64E+00 2.58E-01 1.47E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.78E+00 3.87E-01 1.21E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.13E+00 5.18E-01 1.34E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.27E+00 3.97E-01 7.20E-02 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.87E+00 2.72E-01 8.86E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.38E+00 1.81E-01 7.42E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.29E+00 1.72E-01 5.73E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sit

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Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 5.00E+00 1.42E-01 9.85E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.08E+00 1.52E-01 1.30E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.46E+00 1.55E-01 1.33E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.37E+00 1.76E-01 1.79E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.10E+00 1.95E-01 2.08E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.47E+00 2.45E-01 1.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.82E+00 3.19E-01 9.80E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.06E+00 4.67E-01 1.49E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.16E+00 3.80E-01 1.03E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.73E+00 2.60E-01 1.00E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.09E+00 1.68E-01 7.53E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.09E+00 1.52E-01 5.27E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.71E+00 1.38E-01 7.28E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.91E+00 1.44E-01 9.08E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.87E+00 1.57E-01 8.91E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.77E+00 1.82E-01 1.20E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.36E+00 2.04E-01 1.41E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.21E+00 2.23E-01 9.76E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.52E+00 3.03E-01 7.05E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 9.02E-01 3.97E-01 9.29E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 7.69E-01 3.93E-01 7.25E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.38E+00 2.45E-01 6.78E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.40E+00 1.90E-01 7.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.79E+00 1.47E-01 4.07E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.89E+00 9.41E-02 5.24E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.44E+00 9.56E-02 5.70E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.77E+00 1.19E-01 6.58E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.16E+00 1.46E-01 9.60E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.79E+00 1.60E-01 1.05E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.49E+00 1.64E-01 6.46E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sit

16

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 1.11E+00 3.28E-01 7.91E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.20E-01 5.39E-01 1.39E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.38E-01 8.87E-01 1.86E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 8.59E-01 3.01E-01 4.72E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.94E+00 1.86E-01 6.48E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.83E+00 1.21E-01 4.42E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.96E+00 9.74E-02 5.61E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.18E+00 8.65E-02 4.39E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.41E+00 9.31E-02 5.11E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.44E+00 1.05E-01 8.08E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.52E+00 1.23E-01 8.97E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.55E+00 1.35E-01 4.59E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.02E+00 2.71E-01 5.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.99E-01 4.84E-01 1.24E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.70E-01 5.51E-01 1.24E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.62E-01 2.83E-01 6.03E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.64E+00 1.76E-01 5.09E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.41E+00 1.13E-01 4.27E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.16E+00 1.24E-01 8.29E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.91E+00 1.19E-01 7.68E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.35E+00 1.22E-01 7.53E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.49E+00 1.32E-01 9.13E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.33E+00 1.31E-01 7.86E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.93E+00 1.25E-01 3.93E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 7.93E-01 2.27E-01 7.21E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.53E-01 3.57E-01 7.23E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.56E-01 4.43E-01 9.01E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.78E-01 3.23E-01 7.87E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.12E+00 1.84E-01 5.04E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.03E+00 1.54E-01 6.90E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sit

17

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 2.28E+00 1.47E-01 8.20E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.14E+00 1.28E-01 6.70E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.73E+00 1.24E-01 6.17E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.00E+00 1.30E-01 6.30E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.62E+00 1.35E-01 5.82E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.82E+00 1.53E-01 5.18E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.98E-01 3.37E-01 1.15E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.95E-01 2.20E-01 5.04E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.49E-01 1.51E-01 2.11E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.98E-01 1.26E-01 2.30E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.82E-01 2.80E-01 9.66E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.31E+00 1.80E-01 9.61E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.86E+00 1.46E-01 7.53E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.73E+00 1.25E-01 7.36E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.16E+00 1.29E-01 7.71E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.41E+00 1.35E-01 9.37E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.62E+00 1.57E-01 1.04E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.07E+00 2.01E-01 7.80E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.20E-01 3.10E-01 7.89E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.64E-01 1.65E-01 2.86E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.10E-01 1.21E-01 9.01E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.26E-01 1.08E-01 1.50E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.24E-01 2.09E-01 5.88E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 6.77E-01 2.55E-01 1.11E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 8.25E-01 2.73E-01 1.30E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.57E+00 1.85E-01 1.04E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.20E+00 1.58E-01 1.04E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 2.42E+00 1.64E-01 1.14E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.34E+00 1.05E-01 6.29E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 5.74E-01 3.07E-01 1.09E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sit

18

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 2.67E-01 2.81E-01 5.37E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.10E-01 1.80E-01 2.21E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 9.62E-02 1.23E-01 1.16E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 1.86E-01 8.87E-02 9.23E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 3.84E-01 1.62E-01 3.65E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic0W15 Gamma 4.85E-01 2.65E-01 9.63E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.08E+01 6.83E-02 8.71E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.62E+01 3.45E-02 5.76E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 5.77E+01 3.07E-02 5.67E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 5.92E+01 3.24E-02 6.57E-02 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 6.06E+01 3.39E-02 5.91E-02 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.27E+01 5.80E-02 7.35E-02 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 6.24E+00 2.05E-01 1.17E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.01E+00 4.04E-01 1.78E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.63E+00 4.00E-01 1.42E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.18E+00 3.14E-01 1.58E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.84E+00 2.01E-01 1.65E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.09E+01 1.11E-01 1.20E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.10E+01 5.91E-02 5.25E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.15E+01 4.45E-02 5.49E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.13E+01 3.76E-02 6.34E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.20E+01 4.00E-02 6.83E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.40E+01 5.19E-02 8.38E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.79E+01 8.85E-02 8.88E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.12E+00 2.40E-01 9.41E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.58E+00 3.78E-01 1.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.25E+00 3.75E-01 7.82E-02 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.62E+00 2.95E-01 1.24E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.40E+00 2.13E-01 1.18E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 8.46E+00 1.16E-01 8.04E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sit

19


20

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105E120 Gamma 1.61E+00 3.11E-01 7.32E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.90E-01 4.72E-01 1.01E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.27E-01 7.53E-01 1.32E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.86E-01 4.30E-01 8.23E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.15E+00 2.97E-01 8.01E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.98E+00 2.05E-01 1.01E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.47E+00 1.64E-01 1.63E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 6.35E+00 1.43E-01 1.88E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 8.41E+00 1.28E-01 1.89E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.21E+01 9.99E-02 1.75E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 8.69E+00 1.42E-01 1.91E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.22E+00 2.85E-01 2.17E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 9.93E-01 3.68E-01 9.87E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.01E-01 5.06E-01 1.25E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.94E-01 4.80E-01 1.13E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.79E-01 2.73E-01 5.14E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.09E+00 2.11E-01 8.17E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.20E+00 2.17E-01 1.50E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.51E+00 2.52E-01 1.83E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.88E+00 2.09E-01 2.15E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 5.30E+00 1.84E-01 2.14E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 6.11E+00 1.83E-01 2.06E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.96E+00 2.29E-01 2.52E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.80E+00 4.33E-01 3.09E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.82E-01 9.73E-01 2.53E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.53E-01 3.72E-01 5.80E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.52E-01 3.51E-01 5.66E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.19E-01 1.83E-01 2.66E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.39E-01 3.62E-01 1.15E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.05E+00 3.76E-01 1.97E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sit

21

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105E120 Gamma 1.71E+00 2.93E-01 1.88E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.47E+00 1.98E-01 1.69E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.92E+00 2.11E-01 2.17E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.83E+00 2.37E-01 2.44E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.36E+00 3.89E-01 3.20E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.17E+00 5.18E-01 2.56E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.33E-01 4.69E-01 1.04E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.13E-01 2.93E-01 3.85E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.19E-01 3.40E-01 4.69E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.01E-01 1.97E-01 1.67E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.25E-01 2.53E-01 6.67E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.90E-01 6.02E-01 2.49E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.35E+00 3.17E-01 1.95E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.07E+00 2.00E-01 1.56E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.97E+00 1.93E-01 1.60E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.82E+00 2.29E-01 2.07E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 2.32E+00 3.66E-01 2.97E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.19E+00 4.11E-01 1.89E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.93E-01 3.75E-01 6.63E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.70E-01 2.91E-01 3.46E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 9.90E-02 3.91E-01 6.07E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 1.47E-01 2.66E-01 2.07E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 3.58E-01 2.32E-01 4.62E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic105E120 Gamma 4.83E-01 4.83E-01 1.81E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.90E+00 1.74E+00 7.16E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.25E+00 1.59E+00 7.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.55E+00 1.49E+00 7.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.74E+00 1.44E+00 7.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.83E+00 1.41E+00 7.44E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.43E+00 1.55E+00 7.44E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sit

22

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 1.43E+00 2.24E+00 5.91E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 8.68E-01 3.15E+00 4.81E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 7.70E-01 3.38E+00 4.76E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 8.91E-01 2.93E+00 5.04E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.20E+00 2.30E+00 6.03E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.53E+00 1.95E+00 6.78E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.93E+00 1.50E+00 6.22E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.33E+00 1.36E+00 6.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.64E+00 1.28E+00 6.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.93E+00 1.21E+00 6.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.06E+00 1.17E+00 6.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.50E+00 1.35E+00 6.27E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.25E+00 2.20E+00 4.58E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 7.73E-01 3.03E+00 4.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 7.06E-01 3.16E+00 4.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 7.92E-01 2.78E+00 4.41E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.12E+00 2.09E+00 5.22E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.51E+00 1.71E+00 5.80E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.95E+00 1.32E+00 5.64E-01 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.43E+00 1.18E+00 5.74E-01 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.80E+00 1.09E+00 5.76E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.13E+00 1.03E+00 5.75E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.23E+00 1.01E+00 5.73E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.65E+00 1.15E+00 5.58E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.28E+00 1.89E+00 4.20E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 6.94E-01 2.81E+00 3.80E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 6.00E-01 3.03E+00 3.62E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 6.94E-01 2.65E+00 3.57E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.03E+00 1.93E+00 4.37E-01 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.47E+00 1.53E+00 5.06E-01 2026 2035 2030 12 sit

23

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 1.95E+00 1.15E+00 4.14E-01 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.47E+00 1.03E+00 4.16E-01 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.89E+00 9.61E-01 4.31E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.26E+00 8.98E-01 4.38E-01 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.35E+00 8.84E-01 4.55E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.47E+00 1.09E+00 4.43E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.01E+00 2.02E+00 3.77E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.73E-01 2.88E+00 4.32E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.60E-01 3.37E+00 4.44E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.70E-01 2.67E+00 3.07E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 8.97E-01 1.85E+00 3.18E-01 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.39E+00 1.37E+00 3.64E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.16E+00 8.15E-01 2.94E-01 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.86E+00 7.22E-01 2.81E-01 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.53E+00 6.54E-01 2.83E-01 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.98E+00 6.14E-01 2.88E-01 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.02E+00 6.10E-01 2.93E-01 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.68E+00 8.18E-01 2.79E-01 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.01E+00 1.53E+00 2.77E-01 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.98E-01 2.34E+00 3.11E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.25E-01 3.34E+00 4.72E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.75E-01 2.27E+00 2.40E-01 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 8.55E-01 1.39E+00 2.29E-01 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.44E+00 9.99E-01 2.74E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.62E+00 5.22E-01 1.63E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.56E+00 4.65E-01 1.47E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.43E+00 4.28E-01 1.44E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.87E+00 4.21E-01 1.59E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.69E+00 4.45E-01 1.86E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.64E+00 6.68E-01 2.24E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sit

24

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 8.82E-01 1.30E+00 3.26E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.34E-01 1.86E+00 3.65E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.27E-01 3.09E+00 5.08E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.22E-01 1.62E+00 2.02E-01 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 8.86E-01 8.73E-01 1.14E-01 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.58E+00 6.39E-01 1.43E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.90E+00 3.49E-01 1.37E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.03E+00 3.25E-01 1.39E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.05E+00 3.08E-01 1.37E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.82E+00 2.95E-01 1.45E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.31E+00 3.29E-01 1.72E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.74E+00 5.04E-01 1.99E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 7.22E-01 1.03E+00 2.64E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.90E-01 1.55E+00 3.12E-01 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.87E-01 1.96E+00 3.73E-01 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.03E-01 1.11E+00 2.10E-01 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.85E-01 8.75E-01 1.81E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.51E+00 4.39E-01 1.35E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.30E+00 3.40E-01 1.59E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.04E+00 2.65E-01 1.35E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.76E+00 2.76E-01 1.60E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.28E+00 2.76E-01 1.71E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.69E+00 3.10E-01 1.96E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.05E+00 3.53E-01 1.25E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.71E-01 8.91E-01 2.03E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.92E-01 9.07E-01 1.60E-01 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.45E-01 1.39E+00 2.22E-01 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.44E-01 7.06E-01 1.23E-01 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.41E-01 6.94E-01 1.48E-01 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.12E+00 4.03E-01 1.37E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sit

25

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 1.33E+00 4.69E-01 2.29E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.36E+00 3.80E-01 2.12E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.41E+00 3.34E-01 1.98E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 4.09E+00 3.11E-01 1.97E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.33E+00 3.74E-01 2.31E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 2.48E+00 3.71E-01 1.33E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 5.47E-01 7.44E-01 1.27E-01 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.89E-01 1.09E+00 1.38E-01 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.18E-01 1.33E+00 1.88E-01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 1.47E-01 8.64E-01 1.64E-01 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 3.45E-01 4.94E-01 1.12E-01 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic105W120 Gamma 6.43E-01 5.16E-01 1.77E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.44E+01 1.03E-01 1.67E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.39E+01 7.11E-02 1.25E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.26E+01 5.76E-02 1.17E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.53E+01 5.68E-02 1.10E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.90E+01 7.13E-02 1.21E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.56E+01 1.12E-01 1.66E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.97E+00 2.72E-01 2.54E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.42E+00 4.97E-01 2.30E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.13E+00 5.11E-01 1.94E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.58E+00 3.72E-01 2.35E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.74E+00 2.40E-01 2.36E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 8.49E+00 1.43E-01 1.93E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.56E+01 8.41E-02 1.29E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.02E+01 5.06E-02 8.70E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.05E+01 4.20E-02 7.51E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.39E+01 4.11E-02 6.74E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.34E+01 5.42E-02 6.20E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.23E+01 1.20E-01 1.17E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sit

26

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 3.08E+00 2.65E-01 1.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.25E+00 3.74E-01 1.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 9.22E-01 4.06E-01 1.07E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.24E+00 3.21E-01 1.44E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.79E+00 2.42E-01 1.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 7.47E+00 1.34E-01 1.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.81E+01 6.40E-02 4.65E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.55E+01 3.93E-02 4.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 5.19E+01 3.05E-02 3.99E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 5.63E+01 3.02E-02 4.70E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.59E+01 3.73E-02 6.13E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.49E+01 8.94E-02 6.88E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.87E+00 2.29E-01 1.06E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 9.48E-01 3.35E-01 7.33E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.62E-01 3.57E-01 3.88E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.16E+00 2.15E-01 4.58E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.67E+00 1.95E-01 6.29E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 7.71E+00 1.11E-01 5.66E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.29E+01 8.28E-02 6.27E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.08E+01 6.26E-02 6.22E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.82E+01 5.24E-02 6.25E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.41E+01 4.71E-02 6.48E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.53E+01 6.38E-02 7.17E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 8.18E+00 1.48E-01 6.75E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.66E+00 3.35E-01 1.01E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 5.98E-01 4.70E-01 5.77E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.95E-01 7.19E-01 9.72E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 5.56E-01 3.71E-01 4.70E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.65E+00 2.67E-01 7.12E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.80E+00 1.57E-01 8.07E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sit

27

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 9.97E+00 9.32E-02 9.55E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.14E+01 5.45E-02 7.37E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.33E+01 4.09E-02 6.30E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.02E+01 3.67E-02 6.96E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.16E+01 4.63E-02 8.59E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 8.04E+00 1.27E-01 9.30E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.65E+00 2.40E-01 6.08E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.43E-01 3.87E-01 5.84E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.08E-01 5.82E-01 1.33E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.97E-01 2.89E-01 6.81E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.35E+00 2.25E-01 7.94E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.67E+00 1.70E-01 1.13E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.04E+00 1.31E-01 1.49E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.04E+01 9.84E-02 1.55E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.43E+01 8.38E-02 1.55E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.76E+01 7.47E-02 1.47E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.30E+01 9.82E-02 1.56E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.63E+00 2.26E-01 1.54E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 9.37E-01 2.84E-01 6.09E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.21E-01 4.20E-01 7.14E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.47E-01 4.65E-01 8.86E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.64E-01 1.98E-01 2.81E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.12E+00 1.84E-01 6.57E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.22E+00 2.22E-01 1.50E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.28E+00 2.13E-01 1.77E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.61E+00 1.39E-01 1.64E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 8.95E+00 1.23E-01 1.87E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 9.94E+00 1.22E-01 1.84E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.68E+00 1.74E-01 2.05E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.82E+00 3.80E-01 1.99E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sit

28

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 2.78E-01 6.62E-01 1.36E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.93E-01 3.19E-01 3.54E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.09E-01 4.09E-01 6.18E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.30E-01 2.36E-01 3.67E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.96E-01 2.11E-01 6.38E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.97E+00 2.09E-01 1.22E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.34E+00 2.51E-01 1.81E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 5.05E+00 1.59E-01 1.62E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 7.07E+00 1.37E-01 1.86E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.74E+00 1.57E-01 2.12E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.49E+00 2.82E-01 2.66E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.18E+00 4.56E-01 2.15E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 4.18E-01 3.44E-01 5.29E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.30E-01 2.78E-01 3.26E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.07E-01 2.84E-01 2.86E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.94E-01 1.86E-01 1.46E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.59E-01 2.90E-01 7.39E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.87E+00 1.74E-01 8.35E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.42E+00 2.09E-01 1.50E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.49E+00 2.06E-01 1.97E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.21E+00 1.43E-01 1.74E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 6.22E+00 1.58E-01 2.03E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 2.79E+00 3.19E-01 3.06E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.26E+00 3.33E-01 1.89E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.92E-01 2.32E-01 4.49E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.18E-01 1.74E-01 2.01E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 9.17E-02 2.51E-01 1.55E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.79E-01 1.84E-01 1.41E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 3.73E-01 2.04E-01 4.46E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic120E135 Gamma 1.29E+00 2.02E-01 9.03E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

29

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 6.93E+00 2.55E-01 2.08E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.42E+00 2.48E-01 2.02E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.85E+00 2.38E-01 1.94E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.83E+00 2.51E-01 2.01E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.88E+00 2.45E-01 1.80E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.14E+00 3.37E-01 2.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.63E+00 5.80E-01 2.54E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.43E+00 8.64E-01 3.46E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.25E+00 9.12E-01 3.40E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.58E+00 6.89E-01 2.33E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.74E+00 4.39E-01 2.30E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.82E+00 3.00E-01 2.02E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.75E+00 2.31E-01 1.36E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.83E+00 2.09E-01 1.58E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.04E+01 2.03E-01 1.54E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.93E-01 1.70E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.06E+01 2.06E-01 1.51E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.04E+00 3.00E-01 1.75E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.06E+00 6.17E-01 2.09E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.17E+00 8.68E-01 2.44E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.80E-01 9.44E-01 2.17E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.35E+00 6.48E-01 1.53E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.35E+00 4.16E-01 1.45E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.35E+00 2.85E-01 1.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 7.75E+00 1.75E-01 1.26E-01 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.94E+00 1.65E-01 1.35E-01 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.18E+01 1.59E-01 1.52E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.32E+01 1.54E-01 1.52E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.20E+01 1.65E-01 1.50E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.51E+00 2.45E-01 1.61E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

30

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 2.14E+00 4.97E-01 1.72E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.87E-01 7.60E-01 1.88E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 7.76E-01 8.33E-01 1.81E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.26E+00 5.20E-01 1.37E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.41E+00 3.20E-01 8.93E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.71E+00 2.18E-01 8.78E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.05E+00 2.01E-01 1.02E-01 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.38E+00 1.81E-01 1.11E-01 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.00E+01 1.75E-01 1.26E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.11E+01 1.70E-01 1.26E-01 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.94E+00 1.84E-01 1.22E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.79E+00 2.93E-01 1.47E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.45E+00 6.14E-01 2.06E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 7.30E-01 8.82E-01 2.54E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.09E-01 1.78E+00 4.32E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.41E-01 5.78E-01 1.46E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.77E+00 3.67E-01 9.59E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.41E+00 2.62E-01 1.00E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.34E+00 1.89E-01 6.75E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 7.82E+00 1.66E-01 7.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.21E+00 1.69E-01 9.85E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.06E+01 1.58E-01 1.13E-01 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.62E+00 1.86E-01 1.21E-01 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.93E+00 3.07E-01 9.94E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.33E+00 5.49E-01 1.10E-01 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.46E-01 8.95E-01 1.56E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.19E-01 1.22E+00 2.14E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.92E-01 6.76E-01 1.16E-01 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.41E+00 3.43E-01 6.24E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.63E+00 2.70E-01 6.54E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sit

31

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 5.45E+00 1.51E-01 1.09E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.39E+00 1.32E-01 1.03E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.14E+01 1.17E-01 9.56E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.25E+01 1.18E-01 7.99E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.94E+00 1.40E-01 7.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.58E+00 2.68E-01 9.80E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.13E+00 4.52E-01 1.12E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.00E-01 7.22E-01 1.79E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.46E-01 1.41E+00 2.86E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.26E-01 4.05E-01 8.25E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.54E+00 1.97E-01 4.77E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.63E+00 1.94E-01 1.01E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.49E+00 1.89E-01 1.71E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.94E+00 1.56E-01 1.71E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.01E+00 1.42E-01 1.45E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 8.75E+00 1.42E-01 1.26E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.09E+00 1.92E-01 1.64E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.40E+00 3.21E-01 1.56E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.99E-01 4.81E-01 1.35E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.75E-01 5.05E-01 9.44E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.36E-01 6.35E-01 1.14E-01 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.43E-01 2.49E-01 5.05E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.86E-01 3.12E-01 1.12E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.65E+00 2.23E-01 1.36E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.99E+00 2.63E-01 2.03E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.46E+00 2.23E-01 1.90E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 5.48E+00 1.82E-01 1.67E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.26E+00 1.77E-01 1.51E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.28E+00 2.34E-01 1.72E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.68E+00 2.24E-01 8.72E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

32

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 5.75E-01 4.11E-01 1.15E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.56E-01 3.79E-01 6.93E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.02E-01 5.72E-01 9.65E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.32E-01 1.88E-01 4.02E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 4.27E-01 2.53E-01 7.42E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 7.75E-01 3.40E-01 1.67E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.11E+00 3.74E-01 2.44E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.95E+00 3.33E-01 2.78E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.16E+00 2.71E-01 2.45E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.55E+00 2.65E-01 2.31E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 3.41E+00 2.46E-01 1.92E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.96E+00 1.72E-01 5.56E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.80E-01 2.41E-01 6.73E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.59E-01 4.50E-01 7.50E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 9.99E-02 5.36E-01 8.52E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 1.35E-01 1.81E-01 2.72E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 2.59E-01 2.77E-01 7.05E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic120W135 Gamma 6.75E-01 2.80E-01 1.22E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.15E+00 2.50E-01 2.99E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.02E+01 1.99E-01 2.85E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.31E+01 1.70E-01 2.82E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.56E+01 1.51E-01 2.66E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.54E+01 1.56E-01 2.56E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.63E+00 2.09E-01 2.56E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.10E+00 4.29E-01 2.34E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.33E+00 6.97E-01 2.10E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.67E-01 8.30E-01 1.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.31E+00 6.01E-01 2.78E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.59E+00 4.24E-01 2.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.78E+00 3.03E-01 2.95E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sit

33

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 7.25E+00 2.16E-01 2.87E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.11E+01 1.66E-01 2.59E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.48E+01 1.38E-01 2.39E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.73E+01 1.25E-01 2.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.63E+01 1.31E-01 2.05E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 8.57E+00 2.00E-01 2.17E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.69E+00 3.70E-01 2.10E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.15E+00 5.43E-01 1.71E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 8.22E-01 6.58E-01 1.47E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.04E+00 5.06E-01 2.05E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.01E+00 4.04E-01 2.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.20E+00 2.83E-01 2.73E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.23E+01 1.08E-01 6.08E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.04E+01 7.89E-02 6.44E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.74E+01 6.68E-02 6.28E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.98E+01 6.60E-02 6.84E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.65E+01 7.35E-02 6.88E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.25E+01 1.21E-01 7.75E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.11E+00 2.56E-01 8.59E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.53E-01 4.36E-01 7.16E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 6.48E-01 5.31E-01 1.12E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.05E+00 3.13E-01 6.30E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.21E+00 2.68E-01 6.11E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 5.74E+00 1.68E-01 6.47E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.25E+00 1.33E-01 8.74E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.50E+01 1.01E-01 8.39E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.94E+01 8.90E-02 8.75E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.26E+01 8.18E-02 7.90E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.06E+01 8.96E-02 8.15E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.09E+00 1.54E-01 9.85E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sit

34

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 1.79E+00 3.89E-01 9.01E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.04E-01 5.52E-01 6.47E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.16E-01 9.61E-01 1.41E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 5.60E-01 5.19E-01 6.33E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.35E+00 3.79E-01 8.55E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.49E+00 2.49E-01 1.06E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.11E+00 1.50E-01 9.27E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.35E+01 1.00E-01 8.09E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.07E+01 7.64E-02 7.62E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.46E+01 6.99E-02 7.25E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.18E+01 7.77E-02 8.87E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.75E+00 1.55E-01 1.27E-01 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.77E+00 2.92E-01 6.35E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 5.08E-01 4.59E-01 5.85E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.16E-01 7.62E-01 1.16E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.36E-01 4.65E-01 7.63E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.04E+00 3.26E-01 7.45E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.78E+00 2.47E-01 1.12E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.45E+00 1.96E-01 1.78E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.23E+00 1.26E-01 1.61E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.34E+01 1.03E-01 1.52E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.52E+01 9.95E-02 1.51E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.16E+01 1.26E-01 1.72E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.69E+00 2.64E-01 1.99E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.42E-01 8.67E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.34E-01 4.57E-01 1.15E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.05E-01 4.78E-01 1.32E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.66E-01 2.43E-01 5.16E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.08E-01 3.03E-01 9.54E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.47E+00 3.56E-01 1.94E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sit

35

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 2.15E+00 3.58E-01 2.61E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 5.29E+00 1.98E-01 2.03E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 8.58E+00 1.47E-01 1.93E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.00E+01 1.39E-01 1.92E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 6.79E+00 1.95E-01 2.41E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.00E+00 4.03E-01 2.89E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.28E-01 6.03E-01 1.98E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.89E-01 2.87E-01 5.55E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.46E-01 3.27E-01 4.81E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.16E-01 2.48E-01 2.56E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.01E-01 3.63E-01 9.52E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 9.53E-01 4.55E-01 2.22E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.45E+00 4.58E-01 2.93E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.37E+00 2.73E-01 2.50E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 6.12E+00 1.85E-01 2.12E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 6.79E+00 1.84E-01 2.27E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.78E+00 3.08E-01 2.98E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.30E+00 5.20E-01 3.23E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.48E-01 4.37E-01 1.14E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.55E-01 2.06E-01 3.03E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.28E-01 2.70E-01 3.20E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.25E-01 3.05E-01 2.55E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 3.59E-01 2.70E-01 5.41E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 5.16E-01 6.62E-01 2.52E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.06E+00 5.27E-01 3.11E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.98E+00 4.09E-01 3.23E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.40E+00 2.33E-01 2.40E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.99E+00 2.29E-01 2.57E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.00E+00 5.22E-01 4.29E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 7.16E-01 7.48E-01 3.86E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sit

36

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 4.65E-01 2.56E-01 7.15E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.40E-01 1.44E-01 1.62E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 8.43E-02 2.96E-01 2.07E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 1.19E-01 2.65E-01 1.51E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 2.88E-01 2.23E-01 3.76E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic135E150 Gamma 4.66E-01 5.61E-01 2.10E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 8.68E+00 1.93E-01 1.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.06E+01 1.82E-01 1.93E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.26E+01 1.72E-01 1.73E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.35E+01 1.72E-01 1.72E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.30E+01 1.78E-01 1.83E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.96E+00 2.84E-01 2.00E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.51E+00 5.44E-01 2.27E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.36E+00 7.41E-01 2.72E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.24E+00 7.41E-01 2.76E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.66E+00 5.60E-01 2.28E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.19E+00 3.50E-01 2.25E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.96E+00 2.31E-01 2.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.03E+01 1.41E-01 1.16E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.43E+01 1.19E-01 1.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.75E+01 1.09E-01 1.23E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.00E+01 1.02E-01 1.26E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.78E+01 1.15E-01 1.36E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 8.37E+00 2.02E-01 1.37E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.33E+00 4.64E-01 1.76E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.24E+00 6.12E-01 2.21E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.08E+00 6.10E-01 2.04E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.58E+00 4.40E-01 1.60E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.13E+00 2.73E-01 1.53E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.14E+00 1.85E-01 1.40E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sit

37

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135W150 Gamma 1.27E+01 9.50E-02 6.84E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.80E+01 8.18E-02 8.49E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.12E+01 7.98E-02 1.12E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.41E+01 7.60E-02 1.12E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.18E+01 8.36E-02 1.05E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 8.89E+00 1.65E-01 1.30E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.51E+00 3.46E-01 1.63E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.06E+00 4.89E-01 1.56E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 7.52E-01 5.84E-01 1.27E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.34E+00 3.77E-01 1.11E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.98E+00 2.20E-01 8.28E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.28E+00 1.46E-01 7.57E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 8.86E+00 1.21E-01 9.13E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.31E+01 1.02E-01 8.63E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.64E+01 9.52E-02 9.38E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.88E+01 9.03E-02 8.91E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.57E+01 1.07E-01 8.14E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.40E+00 2.36E-01 1.35E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.56E+00 4.53E-01 1.66E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.83E-01 6.54E-01 1.93E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.92E-01 1.25E+00 2.83E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 9.43E-01 4.25E-01 1.26E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.07E+00 2.52E-01 9.25E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 4.41E+00 1.76E-01 9.44E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 7.01E+00 1.27E-01 6.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.17E+01 9.84E-02 6.19E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.51E+01 9.10E-02 7.67E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.57E+01 9.67E-02 8.76E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.16E+01 1.28E-01 9.20E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 4.46E+00 2.44E-01 8.01E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sit

38

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135W150 Gamma 1.31E+00 4.24E-01 8.69E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.05E-01 5.91E-01 8.43E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.59E-01 7.97E-01 1.18E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.08E-01 5.06E-01 8.36E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.36E+00 2.76E-01 6.15E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.97E+00 2.05E-01 7.32E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.18E+00 1.13E-01 1.40E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.02E+01 9.30E-02 1.37E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.46E+01 7.96E-02 1.20E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.69E+01 7.66E-02 1.10E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.19E+01 1.05E-01 1.26E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.85E+00 2.10E-01 1.41E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.08E+00 3.05E-01 8.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.92E-01 4.43E-01 1.01E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.41E-01 5.09E-01 1.07E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.90E-01 2.54E-01 7.59E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.36E+00 1.54E-01 6.53E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.77E+00 1.49E-01 1.19E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.83E+00 1.98E-01 1.84E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.16E+00 1.30E-01 1.63E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 9.54E+00 1.05E-01 1.45E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.13E+01 1.00E-01 1.39E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 7.34E+00 1.46E-01 1.80E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.30E+00 2.84E-01 1.72E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.74E-01 3.85E-01 1.19E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.89E-01 1.99E-01 3.64E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.35E-01 1.83E-01 1.98E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.46E-01 9.57E-02 2.10E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.68E-01 1.93E-01 7.85E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.41E+00 2.18E-01 1.31E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sit

39

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135W150 Gamma 1.58E+00 2.78E-01 1.81E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.94E+00 2.22E-01 1.88E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.25E+00 1.63E-01 1.61E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.34E+00 1.54E-01 1.55E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 4.18E+00 2.12E-01 1.92E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.66E+00 1.78E-01 1.09E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 5.43E-01 2.43E-01 8.39E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.72E-01 1.60E-01 2.34E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 9.81E-02 1.33E-01 1.12E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.99E-01 9.78E-02 9.06E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.85E-01 1.92E-01 4.93E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 9.07E-01 2.34E-01 1.09E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.40E+00 2.48E-01 1.41E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.68E+00 3.31E-01 2.38E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.57E+00 2.86E-01 2.55E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.74E+00 3.02E-01 2.94E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 3.39E+00 2.24E-01 2.00E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.40E+00 1.59E-01 7.08E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 6.36E-01 1.32E-01 3.42E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.17E-01 1.25E-01 1.19E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 9.29E-02 9.61E-02 7.17E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 1.24E-01 7.68E-02 7.14E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 2.38E-01 2.11E-01 3.81E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic135W150 Gamma 7.52E-01 1.98E-01 7.39E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.57E+00 2.77E-01 2.77E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 9.12E+00 2.30E-01 2.63E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.15E+01 2.03E-01 2.55E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.39E+01 1.80E-01 2.54E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.55E+01 1.62E-01 2.35E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.00E+01 2.12E-01 1.97E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sit

40

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 2.87E+00 4.81E-01 1.78E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.19E+00 7.81E-01 1.93E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.65E-01 9.08E-01 1.94E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.14E+00 7.21E-01 2.30E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.35E+00 4.69E-01 2.67E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.24E+00 3.46E-01 2.83E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 7.00E+00 2.23E-01 2.82E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 9.54E+00 1.96E-01 2.72E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.25E+01 1.67E-01 2.45E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.67E+01 1.34E-01 2.04E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.87E+01 1.19E-01 1.92E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.05E+01 1.73E-01 1.90E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.74E+00 3.76E-01 1.78E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.06E+00 5.58E-01 1.79E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.08E-01 5.97E-01 1.62E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.03E+00 5.09E-01 2.14E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.07E+00 3.86E-01 2.53E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.15E+00 2.83E-01 2.77E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.14E+01 1.14E-01 7.92E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.74E+01 9.29E-02 9.35E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.39E+01 7.76E-02 9.13E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.00E+01 6.74E-02 8.66E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.12E+01 6.52E-02 8.55E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.58E+01 1.01E-01 7.28E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.19E+00 2.59E-01 8.67E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.92E-01 4.28E-01 6.75E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.02E-01 4.81E-01 6.62E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.08E+00 2.87E-01 6.14E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.39E+00 2.33E-01 6.04E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 5.77E+00 1.62E-01 6.30E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sit

41

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 8.92E+00 1.34E-01 7.56E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.39E+01 1.08E-01 7.35E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.76E+01 9.90E-02 7.91E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.02E+01 9.43E-02 7.97E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.16E+01 8.83E-02 8.04E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.42E+00 1.72E-01 1.02E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.53E+00 4.65E-01 9.80E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.21E-01 5.96E-01 7.51E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.83E-01 7.27E-01 8.34E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 5.53E-01 5.18E-01 5.84E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.36E+00 3.53E-01 7.33E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.62E+00 2.27E-01 8.78E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.96E+00 1.51E-01 9.69E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.29E+01 1.05E-01 7.72E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.00E+01 8.01E-02 6.44E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.57E+01 6.86E-02 5.93E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.61E+01 6.75E-02 6.63E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.35E+00 1.52E-01 8.71E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.54E+00 3.48E-01 6.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 5.46E-01 4.15E-01 6.81E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.62E-01 6.01E-01 6.79E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.36E-01 4.66E-01 5.18E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 9.57E-01 3.49E-01 6.48E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.66E+00 2.54E-01 1.03E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.69E+00 2.24E-01 1.92E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.69E+00 1.29E-01 1.59E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.33E+01 1.03E-01 1.52E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.65E+01 9.21E-02 1.56E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.33E+01 1.11E-01 1.87E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.93E+00 2.51E-01 2.12E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sit

42

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 1.03E+00 3.28E-01 8.21E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.39E-01 3.58E-01 7.44E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.04E-01 3.88E-01 8.68E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.65E-01 2.25E-01 4.58E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.64E-01 2.93E-01 8.71E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.39E+00 3.45E-01 1.86E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.06E+00 3.39E-01 2.42E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.45E+00 2.22E-01 2.16E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.20E+00 1.50E-01 1.88E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 9.95E+00 1.40E-01 1.94E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 7.40E+00 1.78E-01 2.31E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.27E+00 3.40E-01 2.47E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 7.23E-01 2.90E-01 9.28E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.84E-01 1.93E-01 2.80E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.15E-01 3.32E-01 4.77E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.51E-01 1.78E-01 1.57E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.83E-01 3.17E-01 8.08E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.75E-01 4.32E-01 2.06E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.39E+00 4.31E-01 2.59E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.54E+00 3.37E-01 2.72E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.76E+00 2.27E-01 2.31E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 5.93E+00 2.04E-01 2.18E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.34E+00 3.41E-01 2.80E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.42E+00 4.61E-01 2.57E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.41E-01 3.68E-01 8.30E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.78E-01 2.17E-01 3.11E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.17E-01 2.77E-01 3.30E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.35E-01 2.59E-01 2.00E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 3.34E-01 2.49E-01 4.62E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.67E-01 6.27E-01 2.15E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sit

43

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 4.86E-01 9.79E-01 4.44E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.24E+00 5.85E-01 4.06E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.46E+00 3.80E-01 3.39E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.63E+00 4.05E-01 3.80E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.41E+00 7.00E-01 5.24E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 6.03E-01 7.80E-01 3.63E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.52E-01 2.14E-01 6.33E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.11E-01 1.50E-01 1.72E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 8.56E-02 2.39E-01 1.94E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 1.15E-01 2.53E-01 1.32E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 2.52E-01 2.13E-01 3.37E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic150E165 Gamma 4.57E-01 4.51E-01 1.63E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.38E+00 1.94E-01 1.67E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.04E+01 1.83E-01 1.67E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.28E+01 1.67E-01 1.56E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.42E+01 1.60E-01 1.47E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.48E+01 1.55E-01 1.54E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.18E+00 2.36E-01 1.89E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.64E+00 4.79E-01 2.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.37E+00 6.14E-01 2.04E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.19E+00 6.24E-01 1.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.60E+00 4.89E-01 1.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.11E+00 3.18E-01 1.73E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 5.77E+00 2.24E-01 1.66E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.11E+01 1.24E-01 1.09E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.50E+01 1.10E-01 1.07E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.84E+01 1.02E-01 1.10E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.15E+01 9.35E-02 1.20E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.11E+01 9.55E-02 1.32E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.03E+01 1.60E-01 1.32E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sit

44

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 2.65E+00 3.64E-01 1.50E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.28E+00 4.64E-01 1.74E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.01E+00 4.94E-01 1.70E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.71E+00 3.18E-01 1.44E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.55E+00 2.01E-01 1.39E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 6.85E+00 1.49E-01 1.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.21E+01 9.31E-02 6.15E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.85E+01 7.62E-02 7.95E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.13E+01 7.73E-02 1.09E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.29E+01 7.86E-02 1.05E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.25E+01 8.00E-02 1.08E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.69E+00 1.49E-01 1.23E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.50E+00 3.09E-01 1.50E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.06E+00 3.87E-01 1.17E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.49E-01 9.77E-01 2.28E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.26E+00 3.20E-01 8.30E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.81E+00 1.92E-01 5.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 5.92E+00 1.38E-01 6.99E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 7.58E+00 1.33E-01 9.02E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.12E-01 8.43E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.51E+01 1.01E-01 9.01E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.76E+01 9.51E-02 9.23E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.52E+01 1.09E-01 8.02E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 5.20E+00 2.40E-01 1.34E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.52E+00 4.17E-01 1.56E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 6.51E-01 5.06E-01 1.47E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.51E-01 1.09E+00 2.49E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 7.81E-01 4.12E-01 1.14E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.83E+00 2.40E-01 7.18E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.80E+00 1.81E-01 9.19E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sit

45

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 5.71E+00 1.41E-01 8.12E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.80E+00 1.10E-01 6.81E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.36E+01 9.73E-02 7.46E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.44E+01 1.02E-01 8.65E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.26E-01 8.40E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.12E+00 2.50E-01 8.00E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.22E+00 3.85E-01 6.79E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.62E-01 4.78E-01 7.61E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.28E-01 6.70E-01 1.07E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.96E-01 4.77E-01 9.85E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.17E+00 2.45E-01 7.38E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.64E+00 1.90E-01 7.08E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.92E+00 1.61E-01 1.67E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 6.17E+00 1.45E-01 1.67E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.34E+00 1.20E-01 1.42E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.10E-01 1.18E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.83E+00 1.38E-01 1.39E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.99E+00 2.57E-01 1.51E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.58E-01 3.18E-01 8.21E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.67E-01 3.32E-01 7.44E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.42E-01 3.24E-01 6.47E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.44E-01 1.87E-01 4.98E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.54E-01 1.82E-01 6.52E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.93E+00 1.72E-01 1.15E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.95E+00 2.57E-01 1.90E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.73E+00 2.01E-01 1.95E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 6.23E+00 1.55E-01 1.66E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 7.88E+00 1.39E-01 1.48E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 5.85E+00 1.78E-01 1.74E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.12E+00 2.89E-01 1.63E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sit

46

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 2.78E-01 6.65E-01 1.74E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.58E-01 1.58E-01 2.78E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.21E-01 1.59E-01 1.71E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.12E-01 1.26E-01 2.20E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.36E-01 2.62E-01 9.11E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.82E-01 2.65E-01 1.33E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.18E+00 3.23E-01 1.74E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.90E+00 3.24E-01 2.26E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.15E+00 2.60E-01 2.13E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.05E+00 2.32E-01 2.02E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.11E+00 2.78E-01 2.18E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.49E+00 3.04E-01 1.61E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 5.00E-01 2.35E-01 7.17E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.59E-01 1.47E-01 1.60E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.30E-02 1.39E-01 1.01E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.59E-01 1.28E-01 1.49E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.37E-01 2.01E-01 5.37E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.75E-01 3.74E-01 1.48E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.87E-01 5.83E-01 2.44E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.14E+00 4.38E-01 2.66E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.51E+00 4.61E-01 3.31E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.83E+00 4.37E-01 3.37E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.05E+00 2.42E-01 1.94E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.29E-01 4.17E-01 1.92E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 4.77E-01 1.53E-01 3.94E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 9.92E-02 1.28E-01 1.00E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 8.63E-02 1.04E-01 6.63E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 1.13E-01 8.19E-02 7.75E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 2.00E-01 2.22E-01 4.13E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic150W165 Gamma 3.97E-01 3.14E-01 1.01E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

47

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 3.56E+00 1.78E-01 1.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.61E+00 1.97E-01 1.14E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.71E+00 2.07E-01 1.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.73E+00 2.21E-01 9.96E-02 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.49E+00 2.42E-01 1.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.05E+00 2.46E-01 1.24E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.58E+00 2.08E-01 1.10E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.71E+00 2.29E-01 6.75E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.28E+00 2.45E-01 5.08E-02 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.23E+00 1.33E-01 5.67E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.65E+00 1.48E-01 8.88E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.19E+00 1.65E-01 1.27E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.41E+00 1.61E-01 8.70E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.44E+00 1.80E-01 7.27E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.46E+00 1.98E-01 8.49E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.61E+00 2.05E-01 9.14E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.36E+00 2.22E-01 1.01E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.29E+00 1.98E-01 9.10E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.31E+00 1.33E-01 7.24E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 4.50E-01 6.73E-01 1.78E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 4.22E-01 6.03E-01 1.50E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.45E+00 1.91E-01 4.03E-02 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.97E+00 1.65E-01 5.42E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.81E+00 1.57E-01 8.20E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.37E+00 1.38E-01 6.59E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.23E+00 1.69E-01 7.52E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.04E+00 2.02E-01 7.58E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.05E+00 2.16E-01 7.41E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.26E+00 2.10E-01 8.15E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.77E+00 2.26E-01 1.15E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

48


49

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 1.70E+00 1.38E-01 3.61E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.50E+00 1.27E-01 3.06E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.87E+00 1.35E-01 4.27E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.73E+00 1.64E-01 4.36E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.12E+00 2.08E-01 6.57E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.36E+00 2.49E-01 6.85E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 6.30E-01 2.51E-01 4.08E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.48E-01 4.03E-01 3.44E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.15E-01 3.27E-01 4.01E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.87E-01 2.81E-01 2.72E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.45E-01 4.82E-01 8.59E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 9.14E-01 1.88E-01 5.64E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 8.87E-01 2.34E-01 4.27E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.58E+00 1.70E-01 3.00E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.26E+00 1.44E-01 3.70E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.39E+00 1.58E-01 5.26E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.66E+00 2.26E-01 6.37E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 7.77E-01 3.70E-01 7.37E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.27E-01 4.81E-01 6.58E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.15E-01 1.78E-01 1.77E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 9.37E-02 1.03E-01 9.36E-03 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.54E-01 1.31E-01 1.08E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.82E-01 4.67E-01 7.83E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.85E-01 5.22E-01 8.62E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 5.44E-01 3.34E-01 5.17E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 9.94E-01 2.19E-01 4.23E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.43E+00 1.80E-01 3.92E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.55E+00 1.94E-01 4.16E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 9.84E-01 2.95E-01 4.23E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 5.33E-01 4.26E-01 6.56E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

50

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 2.25E-01 3.26E-01 2.60E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.00E-01 1.51E-01 1.72E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 8.89E-02 1.70E-01 1.49E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.09E-01 1.01E-01 6.69E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.95E-01 2.13E-01 3.61E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.96E-01 5.59E-01 1.00E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 3.52E-01 3.84E-01 5.98E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 6.08E-01 2.91E-01 4.16E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 7.79E-01 2.92E-01 4.46E-02 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 8.08E-01 3.23E-01 5.01E-02 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 5.38E-01 4.84E-01 7.34E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 2.89E-01 5.91E-01 6.37E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.24E-01 3.00E-01 2.59E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.00E-01 7.91E-02 7.50E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 8.02E-02 8.97E-02 8.52E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.03E-01 8.01E-02 6.25E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.30E-01 1.95E-01 2.55E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic15E30 Gamma 1.88E-01 4.36E-01 8.35E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.28E+00 7.99E-01 3.31E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.53E+00 7.76E-01 3.03E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.77E+00 7.17E-01 2.60E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.79E+00 7.18E-01 2.40E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.37E+00 8.13E-01 2.21E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.42E+00 1.14E+00 2.02E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 6.63E-01 1.90E+00 2.99E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.66E-01 4.70E+00 7.50E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.62E-01 5.47E+00 1.01E+00 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 6.42E-01 2.11E+00 3.83E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.27E+00 1.09E+00 3.25E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.91E+00 8.48E-01 3.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sit

51

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 2.24E+00 7.22E-01 2.78E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.50E+00 6.94E-01 2.71E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.66E+00 6.82E-01 2.55E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.79E+00 6.57E-01 2.35E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.38E+00 7.33E-01 2.21E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.43E+00 1.00E+00 1.91E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 7.01E-01 1.59E+00 2.40E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.73E-01 4.38E+00 7.17E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.53E-01 5.02E+00 8.51E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 5.69E-01 2.36E+00 4.16E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.17E+00 1.06E+00 2.89E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.78E+00 7.96E-01 2.76E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.41E+00 5.72E-01 2.21E-01 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.88E+00 5.25E-01 2.10E-01 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.06E+00 5.23E-01 2.01E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.07E+00 5.21E-01 1.77E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.35E+00 6.35E-01 1.60E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.31E+00 9.18E-01 1.63E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 5.70E-01 1.65E+00 2.19E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.05E-01 4.51E+00 6.68E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.87E-01 4.88E+00 6.84E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.79E-01 2.21E+00 3.57E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.04E+00 9.55E-01 2.39E-01 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.79E+00 6.51E-01 2.17E-01 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.86E+00 3.94E-01 1.55E-01 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.59E+00 3.52E-01 1.40E-01 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.12E+00 3.26E-01 1.25E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.01E+00 3.44E-01 1.21E-01 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.02E+00 4.20E-01 1.06E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.46E+00 6.41E-01 1.52E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sit

52

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 5.47E-01 1.34E+00 1.69E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.67E-01 3.74E+00 5.39E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.38E-01 4.16E+00 5.13E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.10E-01 2.19E+00 4.09E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.98E-01 8.83E-01 2.20E-01 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.82E+00 5.11E-01 1.68E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.12E+00 2.95E-01 1.27E-01 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.99E+00 2.69E-01 1.27E-01 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.59E+00 2.53E-01 1.25E-01 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.64E+00 2.54E-01 1.10E-01 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.22E+00 3.35E-01 1.12E-01 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.41E+00 5.37E-01 1.34E-01 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 5.30E-01 1.09E+00 1.58E-01 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.23E-01 3.21E+00 3.97E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.58E-01 6.29E+00 6.30E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.57E-01 2.02E+00 3.09E-01 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.50E-01 7.36E-01 1.63E-01 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.84E+00 4.00E-01 1.26E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.30E+00 3.26E-01 8.23E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.02E+00 2.93E-01 8.20E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.60E+00 2.73E-01 9.85E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.62E+00 2.80E-01 1.15E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.64E+00 3.46E-01 1.24E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.24E+00 5.00E-01 1.11E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.30E-01 1.10E+00 1.33E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.74E-01 3.18E+00 3.09E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.36E-01 5.72E+00 5.17E-01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.81E-01 2.38E+00 3.89E-01 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 6.94E-01 7.35E-01 1.90E-01 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.43E+00 4.15E-01 1.07E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sit

53

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 2.20E+00 2.81E-01 1.18E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.78E+00 2.69E-01 1.26E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.28E+00 2.53E-01 1.18E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.20E+00 2.69E-01 1.25E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.49E+00 3.05E-01 1.09E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.14E+00 4.16E-01 8.48E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.98E-01 9.15E-01 1.54E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.40E-01 2.96E+00 2.94E-01 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.05E-01 7.05E+00 5.83E-01 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.37E-01 2.69E+00 5.33E-01 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 5.90E-01 6.98E-01 2.56E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.31E+00 3.62E-01 1.36E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.90E+00 2.70E-01 1.02E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.72E+00 2.27E-01 1.04E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.79E+00 2.51E-01 1.21E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.87E+00 2.56E-01 1.25E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.18E+00 2.94E-01 9.99E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 9.05E-01 4.11E-01 7.13E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.30E-01 8.90E-01 1.32E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.16E-01 3.44E+00 2.97E-01 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.80E-02 6.27E+00 4.28E-01 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.34E-01 4.92E+00 5.17E-01 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 4.32E-01 8.64E-01 2.84E-01 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.05E+00 3.74E-01 1.46E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.59E+00 2.73E-01 9.20E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.20E+00 2.42E-01 9.28E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.78E+00 2.21E-01 1.03E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 2.84E+00 2.29E-01 1.03E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.93E+00 2.83E-01 8.39E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.77E-01 3.63E-01 6.51E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sit

54

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 2.00E-01 1.28E+00 1.50E-01 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 9.91E-02 3.79E+00 3.02E-01 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.32E-02 7.02E+00 4.79E-01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 1.42E-01 3.96E+00 4.30E-01 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 3.64E-01 9.14E-01 2.56E-01 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic15W30 Gamma 8.79E-01 3.66E-01 1.40E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.82E+00 2.56E-01 2.24E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.88E+00 2.30E-01 2.06E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.10E+01 2.07E-01 1.90E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.34E+01 1.81E-01 1.86E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.64E+01 1.46E-01 1.75E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.12E+01 1.77E-01 2.03E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.74E+00 4.45E-01 1.64E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.08E+00 7.45E-01 1.20E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.25E-01 8.55E-01 1.07E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.14E+00 6.64E-01 1.85E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.27E+00 4.46E-01 2.34E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.26E+00 3.25E-01 2.57E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.92E+00 2.12E-01 2.21E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.27E+00 1.93E-01 2.00E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.12E+01 1.80E-01 1.91E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.36E+01 1.60E-01 1.81E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.54E+01 1.41E-01 1.62E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.68E+00 1.74E-01 1.84E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.24E+00 4.00E-01 1.73E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.18E-01 5.68E-01 1.40E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.50E-01 6.54E-01 1.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.01E+00 4.55E-01 1.63E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.19E+00 3.12E-01 1.91E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.53E+00 2.33E-01 2.12E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sit

55

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 1.30E+01 9.12E-02 6.25E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.86E+01 8.10E-02 7.99E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.23E+01 7.89E-02 8.52E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.47E+01 7.75E-02 9.29E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.66E+01 7.16E-02 8.12E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.61E+01 8.96E-02 6.41E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.87E+00 2.31E-01 7.35E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.07E-01 3.39E-01 6.62E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.56E-01 4.31E-01 6.38E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.10E+00 2.45E-01 4.36E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.51E+00 1.85E-01 5.35E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.32E+00 1.30E-01 4.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.30E+00 1.31E-01 6.71E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.19E+01 1.17E-01 9.56E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.54E+01 1.06E-01 1.17E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.72E+01 1.04E-01 1.09E-01 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.78E+01 9.95E-02 1.03E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 7.73E+00 1.66E-01 1.13E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.37E+00 4.14E-01 9.24E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.39E-01 5.28E-01 8.26E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.90E-01 7.38E-01 1.19E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.72E-01 4.15E-01 5.50E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.38E+00 2.87E-01 5.02E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.39E+00 2.13E-01 7.16E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.17E+00 1.51E-01 7.72E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.05E+01 1.17E-01 6.61E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.50E+01 9.77E-02 6.46E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.71E+01 9.55E-02 6.48E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.72E+01 9.35E-02 6.00E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.45E+00 1.69E-01 9.54E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sit

56

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 1.18E+00 3.56E-01 7.71E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.56E-01 5.21E-01 6.60E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.77E-01 7.33E-01 7.16E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.17E-01 4.87E-01 5.31E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.15E-01 2.97E-01 6.10E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.45E+00 2.30E-01 9.10E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.83E+00 2.54E-01 1.76E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.73E+00 1.75E-01 1.33E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.09E+00 1.37E-01 1.13E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.07E+01 1.30E-01 1.06E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.02E+00 1.65E-01 1.46E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.69E+00 3.00E-01 1.81E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.03E-01 3.26E-01 6.81E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.23E-01 3.88E-01 6.09E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.32E-01 3.96E-01 6.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.14E-01 2.26E-01 3.33E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.51E-01 2.75E-01 6.89E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.33E+00 2.86E-01 1.28E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.71E+00 3.42E-01 2.13E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.16E+00 2.70E-01 2.02E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.56E+00 1.95E-01 1.73E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 7.19E+00 1.70E-01 1.66E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.90E+00 2.31E-01 2.24E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.77E+00 3.48E-01 2.17E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.03E-01 5.25E-01 1.42E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.93E-01 1.98E-01 2.84E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.06E-01 1.71E-01 1.88E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.75E-01 2.34E-01 2.56E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.73E-01 3.33E-01 8.64E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 5.85E-01 4.88E-01 1.96E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sit

57

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 1.05E+00 4.59E-01 2.27E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.82E+00 4.06E-01 2.71E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.84E+00 3.33E-01 2.39E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.40E+00 3.15E-01 2.31E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.99E+00 4.92E-01 3.03E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.56E-01 5.36E-01 2.34E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.26E-01 2.76E-01 6.43E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.23E-01 2.09E-01 2.20E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.01E-01 1.38E-01 1.11E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.22E-01 2.60E-01 1.70E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 2.45E-01 2.37E-01 4.75E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.41E-01 4.63E-01 1.45E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.73E-01 7.59E-01 3.20E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.84E-01 8.76E-01 4.53E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.25E+00 6.35E-01 4.03E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.25E+00 7.30E-01 4.76E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 6.61E-01 1.26E+00 6.50E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.73E-01 7.79E-01 2.93E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 3.73E-01 1.86E-01 4.28E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 9.91E-02 1.40E-01 1.53E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 8.23E-02 1.11E-01 7.97E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.08E-01 2.58E-01 1.30E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 1.67E-01 2.38E-01 3.02E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic165E180 Gamma 4.20E-01 3.22E-01 1.13E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 8.92E+00 1.76E-01 1.23E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.11E+01 1.67E-01 1.23E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.31E+01 1.59E-01 1.18E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.49E+01 1.50E-01 1.16E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.70E+01 1.32E-01 1.18E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.11E+01 1.69E-01 1.35E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sit

58

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 3.19E+00 3.53E-01 1.36E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.39E+00 5.21E-01 1.43E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.10E+00 6.00E-01 1.70E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.54E+00 4.54E-01 1.34E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.86E+00 3.13E-01 1.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.69E+00 2.14E-01 1.23E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.01E+01 1.31E-01 9.16E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.36E+01 1.19E-01 8.25E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.62E+01 1.14E-01 8.91E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.96E+01 1.02E-01 9.54E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.24E+01 8.93E-02 8.68E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.32E+01 1.20E-01 7.90E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.03E+00 2.80E-01 8.81E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.25E+00 4.00E-01 8.64E-02 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 8.63E-01 4.86E-01 9.07E-02 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.54E+00 3.01E-01 7.39E-02 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.09E+00 1.99E-01 8.26E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.20E+00 1.51E-01 9.73E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.21E+01 8.76E-02 7.08E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.81E+01 7.51E-02 9.19E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.08E+01 7.71E-02 7.58E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.28E+01 7.70E-02 7.11E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.49E+01 7.07E-02 7.36E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.36E+01 9.99E-02 1.05E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.01E+00 2.17E-01 1.34E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.08E-01 1.02E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.39E-01 8.04E-01 2.01E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.27E+00 2.56E-01 7.96E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.76E+00 1.60E-01 5.24E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.94E+00 1.22E-01 5.98E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sit

59

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 7.10E+00 1.33E-01 7.63E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.14E+01 1.09E-01 9.55E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.48E+01 9.98E-02 1.04E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.67E+01 9.81E-02 9.95E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.72E+01 9.56E-02 1.02E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.62E+00 1.78E-01 1.40E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.56E+00 3.43E-01 1.46E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.61E-01 4.02E-01 9.83E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.22E-01 9.70E-01 2.06E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.90E-01 3.67E-01 9.27E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.72E+00 2.11E-01 5.76E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.33E+00 1.85E-01 6.97E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.13E+00 1.48E-01 1.03E-01 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 9.15E+00 1.15E-01 7.89E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.38E+01 9.35E-02 7.81E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.51E+01 9.58E-02 8.34E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.38E+01 1.05E-01 7.09E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.20E+00 1.88E-01 1.09E-01 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.25E+00 3.15E-01 5.99E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.21E-01 4.33E-01 7.55E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.80E-01 7.34E-01 1.13E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.52E-01 4.48E-01 8.85E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.04E+00 2.32E-01 5.67E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.47E+00 1.77E-01 7.97E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.96E+00 1.99E-01 1.43E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.43E+00 1.94E-01 1.54E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.93E+00 1.57E-01 1.30E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 8.62E+00 1.43E-01 1.10E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 6.77E+00 1.75E-01 1.42E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.80E+00 2.58E-01 1.54E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sit

60

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 8.18E-01 2.84E-01 7.60E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.13E-01 3.58E-01 7.25E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.32E-01 3.27E-01 6.28E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.42E-01 1.68E-01 3.75E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.97E-01 3.43E-01 9.94E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.48E+00 1.99E-01 9.15E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.51E+00 3.09E-01 1.79E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.70E+00 2.68E-01 2.06E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.21E+00 2.24E-01 1.94E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.51E+00 1.95E-01 1.73E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.47E+00 2.27E-01 1.98E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.89E+00 3.02E-01 1.73E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.75E-01 5.51E-01 1.53E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.17E-01 1.70E-01 2.72E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.13E-01 1.55E-01 1.37E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.01E-01 1.21E-01 1.67E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.94E-01 2.48E-01 7.44E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.68E-01 4.88E-01 1.87E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.11E+00 3.16E-01 1.37E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.66E+00 3.62E-01 2.16E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.21E+00 3.63E-01 2.35E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.71E+00 3.41E-01 2.31E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.20E+00 3.86E-01 2.40E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.09E+00 4.00E-01 1.78E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.56E-01 2.35E-01 6.30E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.39E-01 1.83E-01 2.41E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 9.12E-02 1.51E-01 1.34E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.54E-01 1.03E-01 1.20E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.32E-01 2.59E-01 5.82E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.42E-01 3.58E-01 1.21E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sit

61

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 4.66E-01 5.30E-01 2.09E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 4.88E-01 9.55E-01 4.16E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 8.81E-01 7.63E-01 4.24E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.28E+00 6.14E-01 3.79E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 2.19E+00 3.27E-01 2.02E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 5.79E-01 5.41E-01 2.13E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.97E-01 1.63E-01 3.89E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 9.58E-02 1.37E-01 1.04E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 8.66E-02 1.05E-01 6.58E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.10E-01 7.95E-02 7.68E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 1.72E-01 2.25E-01 3.46E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic165W180 Gamma 3.46E-01 3.09E-01 9.64E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.02E+00 1.37E-01 5.92E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.31E+00 1.84E-01 7.69E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.17E+00 2.13E-01 8.94E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.12E+00 2.36E-01 1.08E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.18E+00 2.36E-01 1.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.24E+00 1.97E-01 8.71E-02 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.69E+00 1.69E-01 8.17E-02 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.32E+00 2.61E-01 9.93E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 7.87E-01 3.67E-01 1.05E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.43E+00 1.94E-01 9.62E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.47E+00 1.38E-01 7.61E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.11E+00 1.10E-01 4.79E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.27E+00 1.34E-01 6.37E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.89E+00 1.76E-01 8.26E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.65E+00 2.17E-01 9.15E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.93E+00 2.19E-01 1.10E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.95E+00 2.24E-01 1.05E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.29E+00 1.74E-01 7.52E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sit

62

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 3.00E+00 1.29E-01 5.33E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.20E-01 6.24E-01 1.61E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.61E-01 6.16E-01 1.53E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.09E+00 2.15E-01 5.38E-02 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.93E+00 1.34E-01 6.85E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.01E+00 1.15E-01 6.16E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.96E+00 1.31E-01 6.79E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.56E+00 1.76E-01 6.63E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.30E+00 2.18E-01 7.59E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.35E+00 2.37E-01 9.31E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.54E+00 2.30E-01 8.45E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.79E+00 1.90E-01 8.25E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.00E+00 1.64E-01 6.31E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.39E-01 5.37E-01 9.97E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.61E-01 5.41E-01 8.85E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 6.94E-01 2.57E-01 3.84E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.78E+00 1.22E-01 3.50E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.94E+00 1.02E-01 5.11E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.23E+00 1.32E-01 4.80E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.96E+00 1.79E-01 7.75E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.82E+00 2.18E-01 9.67E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.89E+00 2.38E-01 9.49E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.11E+00 2.34E-01 8.20E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.10E+00 2.01E-01 7.13E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.10E+00 2.12E-01 4.66E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.00E-01 7.14E-01 1.04E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.43E-01 7.26E-01 9.80E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.81E-01 4.66E-01 8.71E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.06E+00 1.66E-01 3.96E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.86E+00 1.18E-01 4.58E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sit

63

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 1.82E+00 1.33E-01 3.97E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.06E+00 1.44E-01 3.69E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.80E+00 1.92E-01 5.78E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.10E+00 1.89E-01 6.10E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.11E+00 2.04E-01 6.70E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.59E+00 2.29E-01 8.05E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 8.26E-01 2.24E-01 3.81E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.26E-01 3.05E-01 2.93E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.15E-01 4.53E-01 5.17E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.22E-01 3.50E-01 5.03E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 5.35E-01 2.37E-01 5.54E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.17E+00 1.55E-01 4.30E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.18E+00 1.60E-01 3.10E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.48E+00 1.59E-01 3.11E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.59E+00 1.80E-01 3.72E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.79E+00 1.97E-01 5.36E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.51E+00 2.57E-01 7.59E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.03E+00 2.81E-01 7.05E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.45E-01 3.07E-01 3.68E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.13E-01 4.21E-01 3.72E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.05E-01 2.65E-01 1.62E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.77E-01 2.75E-01 2.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.37E-01 4.55E-01 7.96E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 5.68E-01 2.77E-01 5.54E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 6.39E-01 2.73E-01 3.47E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.39E-01 2.18E-01 3.33E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.23E+00 1.88E-01 3.55E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.27E+00 2.18E-01 6.35E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.14E+00 2.82E-01 5.65E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 6.47E-01 3.91E-01 6.37E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sit

64

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 1.67E-01 5.87E-01 7.29E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.98E-02 1.82E-01 1.54E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.18E-02 9.32E-02 6.81E-03 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.45E-01 1.55E-01 1.78E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.73E-01 5.02E-01 8.14E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.40E-01 5.78E-01 9.17E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.62E-01 3.34E-01 3.77E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 5.99E-01 3.06E-01 3.38E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 8.75E-01 2.33E-01 3.10E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.77E-01 2.37E-01 3.93E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 7.41E-01 3.43E-01 4.55E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.03E-01 4.87E-01 7.24E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.17E-01 5.18E-01 5.66E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.00E-01 1.09E-01 8.45E-03 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.12E-02 8.38E-02 6.85E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.07E-01 8.47E-02 6.47E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.81E-01 2.06E-01 3.06E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.25E-01 4.62E-01 7.70E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.05E-01 6.00E-01 8.42E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.92E-01 5.33E-01 8.50E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 4.59E-01 4.32E-01 6.23E-02 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 5.27E-01 4.08E-01 5.19E-02 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 3.72E-01 6.30E-01 7.98E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 2.35E-01 6.77E-01 7.16E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.08E-01 3.35E-01 2.62E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 9.07E-02 8.43E-02 7.71E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 7.89E-02 9.07E-02 8.51E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.02E-01 7.95E-02 6.36E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.18E-01 2.16E-01 2.78E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic30E45 Gamma 1.48E-01 5.22E-01 9.35E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

65

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 7.49E-02 8.69E+00 1.50E+00 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.46E-02 9.66E+00 1.71E+00 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.42E-02 1.06E+01 1.92E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.40E-02 1.13E+01 2.08E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.40E-02 1.14E+01 2.13E+00 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.44E-02 1.02E+01 1.86E+00 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.56E-02 7.11E+00 1.16E+00 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.68E-02 4.83E+00 6.16E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.69E-02 4.42E+00 5.22E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.67E-02 4.91E+00 6.39E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.61E-02 6.09E+00 9.16E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.55E-02 7.34E+00 1.20E+00 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.60E-02 6.52E+00 1.17E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.55E-02 7.62E+00 1.42E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.50E-02 8.55E+00 1.62E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.47E-02 9.31E+00 1.78E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.47E-02 9.55E+00 1.83E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.53E-02 8.07E+00 1.50E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.73E-02 4.56E+00 7.22E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.91E-02 2.53E+00 3.06E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.90E-02 2.31E+00 2.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.85E-02 2.86E+00 3.48E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.77E-02 3.85E+00 5.71E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.70E-02 4.95E+00 8.18E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.64E-02 5.84E+00 1.01E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.58E-02 7.03E+00 1.29E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.53E-02 7.98E+00 1.50E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.50E-02 8.66E+00 1.65E+00 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.49E-02 8.79E+00 1.68E+00 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.56E-02 7.40E+00 1.35E+00 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

66

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 7.75E-02 4.16E+00 5.87E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.92E-02 2.09E+00 1.65E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.92E-02 1.83E+00 1.18E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.86E-02 2.43E+00 2.23E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.80E-02 3.35E+00 4.29E-01 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.72E-02 4.58E+00 7.07E-01 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.69E-02 5.06E+00 8.06E-01 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.63E-02 6.09E+00 1.05E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.57E-02 7.07E+00 1.27E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.54E-02 7.79E+00 1.44E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.53E-02 7.93E+00 1.47E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.61E-02 6.36E+00 1.09E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.81E-02 3.16E+00 3.74E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.88E-02 1.62E+00 1.33E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.39E-02 1.50E+00 1.19E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.73E-02 1.97E+00 1.51E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.81E-02 2.77E+00 3.08E-01 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.77E-02 3.80E+00 5.17E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.78E-02 3.84E+00 6.47E-01 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.70E-02 4.95E+00 8.92E-01 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.64E-02 5.95E+00 1.12E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.60E-02 6.65E+00 1.27E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.59E-02 6.69E+00 1.26E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.69E-02 4.99E+00 8.44E-01 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.96E-02 2.06E+00 2.32E-01 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.98E-02 7.14E-01 4.98E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.54E-02 5.25E-01 3.21E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.59E-02 8.61E-01 6.48E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.97E-02 1.57E+00 1.79E-01 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.89E-02 2.61E+00 4.00E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sit

67

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 7.83E-02 3.08E+00 5.27E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.76E-02 4.02E+00 7.16E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.69E-02 4.95E+00 9.05E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.65E-02 5.62E+00 1.03E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.65E-02 5.50E+00 9.75E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.74E-02 3.87E+00 5.60E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.93E-02 1.40E+00 1.05E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.27E-02 4.24E-01 3.15E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.48E-02 2.55E-01 1.91E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.82E-02 4.95E-01 2.85E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.52E-02 1.24E+00 1.31E-01 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.87E-02 2.08E+00 3.08E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.77E-02 2.79E+00 4.69E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.76E-02 3.63E+00 6.31E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.72E-02 4.45E+00 8.02E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.68E-02 5.09E+00 9.34E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.67E-02 4.98E+00 8.96E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.73E-02 3.28E+00 4.96E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 6.92E-02 1.12E+00 9.06E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.87E-02 1.25E-01 9.76E-03 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.52E-02 1.19E-02 1.47E-03 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.37E-02 1.27E-01 9.52E-03 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.67E-02 8.78E-01 1.17E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.36E-02 2.01E+00 3.51E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.71E-02 2.47E+00 4.16E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.73E-02 3.23E+00 5.61E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.72E-02 3.92E+00 6.93E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.70E-02 4.42E+00 7.91E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.67E-02 4.25E+00 7.34E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.65E-02 2.72E+00 4.17E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

68

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 7.76E-02 6.63E-01 6.06E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.63E-02 2.87E-02 1.99E-03 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 1.23E-01 1.29E-04 2.95E-05 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.66E-02 3.08E-02 2.97E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.00E-02 4.20E-01 5.72E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.48E-02 1.47E+00 2.57E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.33E-02 2.19E+00 4.06E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.20E-02 3.05E+00 5.66E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.51E-02 3.58E+00 6.15E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.53E-02 4.05E+00 7.01E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.28E-02 4.07E+00 6.75E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.28E-02 2.35E+00 3.52E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.83E-02 3.74E-01 2.75E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 9.31E-02 4.12E-03 3.10E-04 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 2.19E-01 1.98E-06 3.34E-07 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 9.75E-02 1.28E-02 8.92E-04 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 8.23E-02 2.64E-01 3.48E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic30W45 Gamma 7.58E-02 1.15E+00 1.93E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.27E+00 2.15E-01 7.59E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.43E+00 2.43E-01 8.67E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.70E+00 2.58E-01 9.86E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.79E+00 2.70E-01 1.01E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.31E+00 3.02E-01 1.15E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.24E+00 2.59E-01 1.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.92E+00 2.94E-01 8.47E-02 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.09E+00 4.20E-01 7.58E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 7.47E-01 5.57E-01 8.28E-02 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.11E+00 2.96E-01 1.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.07E+00 1.87E-01 7.58E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.53E+00 1.52E-01 5.81E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sit

69


70

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 1.00E+00 3.10E-01 5.39E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.82E-01 5.79E-01 5.88E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.47E-01 1.15E+00 1.03E-01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.22E-01 5.06E-01 5.04E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 8.86E-01 1.98E-01 2.91E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.65E+00 1.54E-01 3.70E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.42E+00 1.17E-01 4.33E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.87E+00 1.35E-01 5.70E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.94E+00 1.61E-01 8.55E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.84E+00 1.83E-01 9.36E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.63E+00 1.86E-01 7.87E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.00E+00 1.92E-01 6.92E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 8.60E-01 2.79E-01 6.32E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.92E-01 5.84E-01 5.99E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.34E-01 5.09E-01 6.79E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.05E-01 3.57E-01 5.04E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 5.52E-01 2.24E-01 3.43E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.29E+00 1.47E-01 3.71E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.95E+00 1.16E-01 3.18E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.73E+00 1.14E-01 3.61E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.67E+00 1.46E-01 4.81E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.50E+00 1.74E-01 5.71E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.27E+00 1.80E-01 6.19E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.49E+00 2.51E-01 9.58E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 6.29E-01 3.22E-01 3.95E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.50E-01 4.76E-01 6.03E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.33E-01 2.91E-01 3.67E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.75E-01 3.35E-01 3.95E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.01E-01 4.94E-01 6.84E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 6.73E-01 2.24E-01 3.64E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sit

71

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 9.77E-01 1.84E-01 4.25E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.72E+00 1.50E-01 3.27E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.34E+00 1.37E-01 4.25E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.29E+00 1.60E-01 3.99E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.81E+00 1.94E-01 6.42E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 8.77E-01 3.65E-01 8.94E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.25E-01 5.02E-01 8.79E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.64E-01 1.34E-01 1.41E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 9.25E-02 9.65E-02 7.29E-03 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.43E-01 1.79E-01 2.63E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.74E-01 4.49E-01 5.26E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.05E-01 3.86E-01 5.12E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 6.11E-01 2.32E-01 3.04E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.09E+00 1.98E-01 4.95E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.74E+00 1.56E-01 5.26E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.86E+00 1.62E-01 5.59E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.34E+00 2.10E-01 4.35E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 6.01E-01 3.57E-01 5.30E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.46E-01 2.71E-01 3.75E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.09E-01 9.69E-02 7.07E-03 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 9.23E-02 8.10E-02 7.21E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 9.99E-02 9.51E-02 6.67E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.79E-01 2.05E-01 2.97E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.74E-01 3.27E-01 3.68E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.52E-01 3.52E-01 4.56E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.83E-01 4.97E-01 1.14E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 6.39E-01 3.81E-01 1.02E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 7.19E-01 3.80E-01 7.91E-02 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 4.51E-01 5.68E-01 7.66E-02 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 3.11E-01 6.21E-01 9.55E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sit

72

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 1.42E-01 3.39E-01 4.11E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.00E-01 1.03E-01 5.94E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 8.03E-02 8.97E-02 8.52E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.04E-01 7.88E-02 6.46E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 1.22E-01 1.97E-01 2.29E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic45E60 Gamma 2.15E-01 2.85E-01 2.86E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 9.02E+00 9.88E-02 4.98E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.17E+01 9.25E-02 5.54E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.34E+01 9.28E-02 8.18E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.18E+01 1.13E-01 1.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.31E+00 1.76E-01 1.22E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.04E+00 3.09E-01 1.12E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.21E+00 5.70E-01 1.75E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.75E-01 1.30E+00 2.42E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.48E-01 1.25E+00 1.81E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.43E-01 1.10E+01 2.13E+00 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.01E+00 1.88E-01 5.58E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.19E+00 1.21E-01 4.87E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.12E+01 7.06E-02 8.07E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.52E+01 6.52E-02 9.21E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.73E+01 6.65E-02 9.93E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.47E+01 8.36E-02 9.78E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.74E+00 1.34E-01 9.82E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.76E+00 1.76E-01 6.12E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.23E+00 4.10E-01 1.25E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.20E-01 6.42E-01 1.05E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.75E-01 2.69E+01 3.97E+00 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.62E-01 4.28E+01 5.91E+00 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.44E+00 1.11E-01 4.88E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.55E+00 7.08E-02 5.49E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sit

73

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 9.27E+00 8.19E-02 5.71E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.08E+01 8.93E-02 6.99E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.25E+01 8.97E-02 7.21E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.06E-01 7.88E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.60E+00 1.73E-01 7.46E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.85E+00 2.13E-01 7.72E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.36E+00 3.48E-01 1.05E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.02E-01 5.95E-01 9.63E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.67E-01 2.89E+01 4.10E+00 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.69E-01 4.67E+01 6.85E+00 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.03E+00 1.24E-01 4.12E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.36E+00 9.49E-02 4.61E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.67E+00 9.96E-02 7.87E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 9.00E+00 9.58E-02 8.85E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.09E+01 9.22E-02 7.96E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.16E+01 9.41E-02 6.96E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.09E+00 1.44E-01 7.95E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.79E+00 2.36E-01 6.50E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 9.89E-01 3.71E-01 5.34E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.81E-01 4.79E-01 5.67E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.40E-01 6.13E+01 7.08E+00 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.48E-01 5.11E+01 6.28E+00 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.39E+00 1.46E-01 4.98E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.88E+00 1.08E-01 7.12E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.40E+00 8.96E-02 7.78E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.34E+00 9.22E-02 9.16E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.02E+01 9.02E-02 8.18E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.06E+01 9.37E-02 6.91E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.61E+00 1.61E-01 7.55E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.23E+00 1.80E-01 5.72E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sit

74

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 1.02E+00 2.57E-01 4.45E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.65E-01 1.28E+01 1.78E+00 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.18E-01 8.64E+01 8.01E+00 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.32E-01 7.04E+01 7.59E+00 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.68E-01 8.18E+00 2.13E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.81E+00 8.64E-02 5.86E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.80E+00 1.33E-01 8.18E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.95E+00 1.39E-01 1.07E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.70E+00 1.24E-01 1.15E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.00E+00 1.29E-01 1.11E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.81E+00 2.04E-01 9.77E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.58E+00 3.04E-01 9.45E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.03E-01 2.68E-01 5.57E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.11E-01 5.49E+01 4.88E+00 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 9.97E-02 1.09E+02 8.37E+00 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.18E-01 7.79E+01 7.28E+00 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.61E-01 3.09E+01 4.32E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.05E+00 1.40E-01 6.28E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.94E+00 1.16E-01 7.42E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.41E+00 1.42E-01 9.96E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.53E+00 1.38E-01 1.06E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.92E+00 1.40E-01 1.04E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.31E+00 2.12E-01 9.06E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.55E+00 2.86E-01 9.09E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.21E-01 2.08E-01 3.94E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.03E-01 8.83E+01 7.06E+00 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.11E-02 1.47E+02 8.71E+00 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 9.83E-02 9.41E+01 7.09E+00 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.77E-01 3.62E+01 5.80E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.16E+00 1.16E-01 6.04E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sit

75

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 4.24E+00 1.01E-01 7.43E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 5.20E+00 1.16E-01 7.84E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.53E+00 1.59E-01 1.04E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.47E+00 1.73E-01 1.00E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.43E+00 2.63E-01 1.00E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.47E+00 2.46E-01 4.66E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.38E-01 1.44E-01 1.99E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.64E-02 4.78E+01 3.26E+00 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.59E-02 1.71E+02 8.01E+00 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.49E-02 1.08E+02 6.87E+00 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.81E-01 1.84E+01 3.04E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.46E+00 8.41E-02 4.33E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 2.40E+00 1.46E-01 7.02E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.78E+00 1.38E-01 8.99E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 4.04E+00 1.59E-01 1.10E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.45E+00 2.00E-01 1.28E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.87E+00 3.02E-01 1.36E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.08E+00 3.12E-01 9.36E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 3.47E-01 2.20E-01 3.54E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 7.88E-02 9.97E+01 5.92E+00 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 6.56E-02 2.09E+02 9.72E+00 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 8.25E-02 1.16E+02 7.02E+00 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.37E-01 3.80E+01 4.36E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic45W60 Gamma 1.50E+00 1.11E-01 3.94E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.41E+00 2.43E-01 1.69E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 5.27E+00 2.37E-01 1.74E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.11E+00 2.31E-01 1.76E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.80E+00 2.25E-01 1.81E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.04E+00 2.60E-01 2.03E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.03E+00 3.34E-01 2.46E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sit

76

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 1.99E+00 4.08E-01 1.75E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.04E+00 5.09E-01 1.33E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.87E-01 6.45E-01 1.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 9.33E-01 4.31E-01 1.73E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.79E+00 3.26E-01 1.81E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.28E+00 2.56E-01 1.88E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.20E+00 2.92E-01 1.97E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.63E+00 3.04E-01 2.04E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.09E+00 3.05E-01 2.10E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.25E+00 3.17E-01 2.36E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.95E+00 3.43E-01 2.37E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.71E+00 4.11E-01 2.64E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.65E+00 3.96E-01 1.91E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 9.68E-01 4.41E-01 1.56E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.84E-01 5.32E-01 1.26E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 7.65E-01 4.37E-01 1.74E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.18E+00 4.02E-01 1.96E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.13E+00 3.27E-01 1.89E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.94E+00 2.75E-01 1.24E-01 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.35E+00 2.95E-01 1.51E-01 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.52E+00 3.23E-01 1.86E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.41E+00 3.60E-01 2.10E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.00E+00 4.07E-01 2.14E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.39E+00 4.06E-01 2.04E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.81E+00 2.99E-01 1.59E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 7.78E-01 3.87E-01 7.71E-02 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.78E-01 4.56E-01 5.73E-02 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.13E-01 4.11E-01 6.97E-02 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.19E+00 2.93E-01 9.27E-02 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.32E+00 2.48E-01 9.64E-02 2026 2035 2030 12 sit

77

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 2.82E+00 2.33E-01 7.99E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.18E+00 2.59E-01 1.07E-01 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.39E+00 2.84E-01 1.37E-01 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.34E+00 3.18E-01 1.61E-01 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.94E+00 3.57E-01 1.68E-01 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.27E+00 3.45E-01 1.35E-01 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.21E+00 3.28E-01 1.09E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 4.95E-01 4.56E-01 5.52E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.82E-01 8.86E-01 8.38E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.75E-01 4.65E-01 4.89E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 9.22E-01 2.57E-01 6.72E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.96E+00 2.20E-01 7.09E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.92E+00 1.70E-01 5.07E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.62E+00 1.85E-01 6.36E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.98E+00 2.02E-01 9.53E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.60E+00 2.41E-01 1.12E-01 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.94E+00 2.80E-01 9.32E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.52E+00 2.26E-01 7.96E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.22E+00 2.05E-01 5.24E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.03E-01 3.62E-01 5.25E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.26E-01 5.65E-01 8.94E-02 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.93E-01 4.19E-01 5.98E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 7.84E-01 1.78E-01 4.00E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.84E+00 1.58E-01 5.27E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.67E+00 1.52E-01 6.32E-02 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.16E+00 1.76E-01 6.95E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.32E+00 2.03E-01 8.20E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.20E+00 2.32E-01 8.61E-02 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.86E+00 2.41E-01 7.50E-02 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.41E+00 1.81E-01 6.13E-02 2056 2065 2060 6 sit

78

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 8.23E-01 2.00E-01 4.20E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.38E-01 2.78E-01 3.95E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.06E-01 3.78E-01 5.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.78E-01 3.07E-01 2.44E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 6.36E-01 1.45E-01 2.63E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.58E+00 1.36E-01 5.45E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.17E+00 1.44E-01 5.03E-02 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.33E+00 1.92E-01 7.72E-02 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.78E+00 1.99E-01 8.64E-02 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.89E+00 2.10E-01 8.10E-02 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.59E+00 2.08E-01 9.88E-02 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.45E+00 1.94E-01 5.97E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.59E-01 4.58E-01 9.62E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.30E-01 2.07E-01 3.20E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.02E-01 1.11E-01 1.19E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.75E-01 1.62E-01 2.12E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.82E-01 2.66E-01 2.79E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.42E+00 1.06E-01 2.46E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.57E+00 8.88E-02 2.21E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.57E+00 1.32E-01 4.88E-02 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.61E+00 1.67E-01 6.71E-02 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.67E+00 1.69E-01 5.94E-02 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.11E+00 1.78E-01 5.64E-02 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 8.79E-01 2.12E-01 4.61E-02 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.35E-01 2.40E-01 3.06E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.13E-01 1.06E-01 1.04E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 9.29E-02 8.24E-02 7.11E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.33E-01 8.12E-02 6.60E-03 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.73E-01 2.00E-01 2.50E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.28E+00 9.03E-02 1.89E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sit

79

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 2.03E+00 9.14E-02 2.93E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.45E+00 1.17E-01 3.80E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.99E+00 1.81E-01 5.52E-02 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.53E+00 2.54E-01 7.75E-02 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 9.58E-01 3.29E-01 1.05E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 3.87E-01 4.30E-01 6.59E-02 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.02E-01 2.99E-01 4.07E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.02E-01 8.76E-02 7.58E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 8.11E-02 9.07E-02 8.30E-03 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 1.34E-01 7.48E-02 5.14E-03 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 2.12E-01 2.35E-01 2.75E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic60E75 Gamma 7.97E-01 1.16E-01 3.96E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.30E-01 3.22E+00 1.87E+00 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.05E+00 3.04E+00 1.92E+00 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.14E+00 2.95E+00 1.96E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.18E+00 2.93E+00 1.96E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.13E+00 3.02E+00 1.91E+00 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.86E-01 3.47E+00 1.73E+00 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.44E-01 3.93E+00 1.63E+00 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.26E-01 1.12E+01 4.01E+00 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.56E-01 1.97E+01 6.00E+00 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.70E-01 5.59E+00 1.98E+00 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.78E-01 4.19E+00 1.64E+00 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 7.70E-01 3.53E+00 1.78E+00 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.95E-01 3.20E+00 1.84E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.01E+00 3.03E+00 1.90E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.10E+00 2.93E+00 1.93E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.14E+00 2.91E+00 1.93E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.01E+00 1.88E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.53E-01 3.42E+00 1.70E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 sit

80

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60W75 Gamma 5.75E-01 4.20E+00 1.60E+00 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.57E-01 1.69E+01 5.02E+00 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.11E-01 2.88E+01 6.75E+00 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.93E-01 7.56E+00 2.30E+00 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.37E-01 4.27E+00 1.60E+00 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 7.43E-01 3.49E+00 1.75E+00 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.80E-01 3.14E+00 1.78E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.00E+00 2.97E+00 1.84E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.10E+00 2.86E+00 1.88E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.15E+00 2.82E+00 1.88E+00 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.10E+00 2.92E+00 1.83E+00 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.34E-01 3.40E+00 1.63E+00 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.03E-01 3.90E+00 1.59E+00 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.13E-01 2.31E+01 5.87E+00 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.78E-01 3.69E+01 7.09E+00 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.28E-01 1.35E+01 3.40E+00 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.16E-01 4.37E+00 1.56E+00 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 7.17E-01 3.48E+00 1.68E+00 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.25E-01 3.15E+00 1.71E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.52E-01 2.95E+00 1.78E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.05E+00 2.83E+00 1.82E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.09E+00 2.79E+00 1.84E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.04E+00 2.89E+00 1.79E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 7.58E-01 3.43E+00 1.58E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.25E-01 4.32E+00 1.62E+00 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.66E-01 3.82E+01 6.69E+00 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.48E-01 5.22E+01 8.13E+00 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.65E-01 2.84E+01 5.01E+00 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.46E-01 5.17E+00 1.62E+00 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.54E-01 3.56E+00 1.62E+00 2036 2045 2040 12 sit

81

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60W75 Gamma 7.64E-01 3.15E+00 1.63E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.02E-01 2.89E+00 1.69E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.99E-01 2.77E+00 1.73E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.05E+00 2.73E+00 1.75E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.75E-01 2.85E+00 1.70E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.85E-01 3.45E+00 1.52E+00 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.11E-01 6.97E+00 2.08E+00 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.26E-01 4.80E+01 6.41E+00 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.94E-01 7.25E+01 7.77E+00 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.40E-01 3.23E+01 4.99E+00 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.72E-01 6.49E+00 1.65E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.79E-01 3.79E+00 1.54E+00 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 7.20E-01 3.20E+00 1.54E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.76E-01 2.78E+00 1.57E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.91E-01 2.59E+00 1.60E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.04E+00 2.54E+00 1.62E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.50E-01 2.69E+00 1.57E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.15E-01 3.56E+00 1.39E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.39E-01 1.09E+01 2.58E+00 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.57E-01 8.56E+01 6.17E+00 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.43E-01 1.26E+02 9.38E+00 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.13E-01 4.55E+01 5.99E+00 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 3.05E-01 1.08E+01 2.18E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.12E-01 4.20E+00 1.45E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.83E-01 3.10E+00 1.41E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.75E-01 2.54E+00 1.42E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.01E+00 2.30E+00 1.44E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.06E+00 2.25E+00 1.45E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.48E-01 2.44E+00 1.39E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.90E-01 3.43E+00 1.24E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 sit

82

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60W75 Gamma 3.04E-01 1.31E+01 2.66E+00 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.46E-01 1.04E+02 7.46E+00 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.16E-01 1.64E+02 9.95E+00 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.91E-01 5.01E+01 5.67E+00 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.76E-01 1.43E+01 2.63E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.69E-01 4.16E+00 1.31E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.64E-01 2.78E+00 1.22E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.47E-01 2.39E+00 1.27E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.00E+00 2.09E+00 1.27E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.06E+00 2.03E+00 1.28E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.23E-01 2.25E+00 1.23E+00 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.41E-01 3.23E+00 1.10E+00 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.93E-01 1.13E+01 2.23E+00 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.36E-01 7.32E+01 4.86E+00 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.03E-01 1.57E+02 9.18E+00 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.74E-01 4.51E+01 4.75E+00 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.74E-01 1.05E+01 1.90E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.58E-01 3.60E+00 1.14E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 6.67E-01 2.01E+00 9.70E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.54E-01 1.82E+00 1.02E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.94E-01 1.71E+00 1.06E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.05E+00 1.69E+00 1.06E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.57E-01 1.94E+00 1.00E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 5.53E-01 2.32E+00 9.11E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.79E-01 6.67E+00 1.32E+00 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 9.84E-02 9.76E+01 7.12E+00 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 8.48E-02 1.65E+02 1.05E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 1.76E-01 3.59E+01 5.40E+00 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 2.46E-01 1.25E+01 2.80E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic60W75 Gamma 4.79E-01 2.37E+00 9.05E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

83

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 1.15E+01 1.02E-01 1.17E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.36E+01 1.00E-01 1.20E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.49E+01 1.03E-01 1.15E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.60E+01 1.02E-01 1.11E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.45E+01 1.15E-01 1.02E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 7.50E+00 1.86E-01 1.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.90E+00 2.89E-01 9.20E-02 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.52E+00 3.43E-01 6.51E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.01E-01 5.40E-01 1.26E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.19E+00 2.96E-01 8.20E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.61E+00 1.72E-01 9.81E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 7.83E+00 1.18E-01 1.19E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 6.07E+00 1.75E-01 1.56E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 7.04E+00 1.77E-01 1.63E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.18E+00 1.69E-01 1.49E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.21E+00 1.80E-01 1.44E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 6.40E+00 2.29E-01 1.56E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.52E+00 3.35E-01 1.50E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.03E+00 3.40E-01 9.86E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.23E+00 3.59E-01 7.26E-02 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.10E-01 4.37E-01 5.93E-02 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 9.13E-01 3.45E-01 1.11E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.85E+00 2.74E-01 1.18E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.05E+00 1.96E-01 1.27E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.91E+00 1.89E-01 1.33E-01 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 5.62E+00 1.98E-01 1.54E-01 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 5.82E+00 2.17E-01 1.80E-01 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 5.59E+00 2.42E-01 1.96E-01 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.21E+00 3.17E-01 2.47E-01 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.68E+00 3.86E-01 2.26E-01 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

84


85

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 3.33E+00 1.72E-01 1.16E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.08E+00 1.81E-01 1.37E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.49E+00 1.91E-01 1.57E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.23E+00 2.18E-01 1.74E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.37E+00 2.52E-01 1.53E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.27E+00 2.21E-01 1.07E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.25E-01 2.26E-01 5.48E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.50E-01 2.94E-01 4.51E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.20E-01 4.15E-01 5.81E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.79E-01 3.50E-01 2.56E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 7.67E-01 1.53E-01 3.31E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.85E+00 1.77E-01 7.78E-02 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.38E+00 1.99E-01 1.23E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.06E+00 2.03E-01 1.44E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.40E+00 2.16E-01 1.52E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.30E+00 2.34E-01 1.51E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.31E+00 2.88E-01 1.03E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.39E+00 2.68E-01 9.43E-02 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.50E-01 5.20E-01 8.88E-02 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.40E-01 2.52E-01 4.68E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.06E-01 2.05E-01 1.25E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.66E-01 2.30E-01 1.86E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.32E-01 1.97E-01 2.95E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.60E+00 1.57E-01 4.99E-02 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.53E+00 1.47E-01 8.10E-02 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.03E+00 1.70E-01 1.07E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.20E+00 1.95E-01 1.26E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.98E+00 2.17E-01 1.25E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.74E+00 3.01E-01 1.02E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.53E-01 3.08E-01 1.25E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

86

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 2.61E-01 3.80E-01 6.66E-02 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.12E-01 1.29E-01 1.73E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 9.57E-02 2.21E-01 9.64E-03 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.51E-01 2.02E-01 1.20E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.96E-01 2.25E-01 3.73E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.24E+00 1.48E-01 4.63E-02 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.54E+00 1.23E-01 5.74E-02 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.01E+00 1.52E-01 9.11E-02 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 3.18E+00 1.73E-01 9.32E-02 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.61E+00 2.23E-01 1.04E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.25E+00 3.61E-01 1.32E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 4.53E-01 4.47E-01 1.40E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.96E-01 3.51E-01 4.81E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.02E-01 9.57E-02 7.47E-03 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 8.32E-02 2.46E-01 1.13E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 1.46E-01 1.90E-01 1.20E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 2.24E-01 2.53E-01 3.44E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic75E90 Gamma 9.61E-01 1.47E-01 4.32E-02 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.53E-01 5.28E+00 2.26E+00 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.32E-01 5.03E+00 2.33E+00 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.93E-01 4.87E+00 2.39E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 1.03E+00 4.80E+00 2.40E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 1.01E+00 4.85E+00 2.38E+00 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.90E-01 5.27E+00 2.24E+00 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 6.80E-01 6.13E+00 2.00E+00 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 5.26E-01 8.06E+00 2.24E+00 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 4.10E-01 1.27E+01 3.23E+00 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 5.13E-01 7.45E+00 1.84E+00 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 6.42E-01 6.26E+00 2.02E+00 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 7.50E-01 5.68E+00 2.17E+00 2006 2015 2010 12 sit

87

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75W90 Gamma 8.10E-01 5.32E+00 2.27E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.91E-01 5.05E+00 2.34E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.50E-01 4.90E+00 2.39E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.83E-01 4.82E+00 2.41E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.69E-01 4.85E+00 2.39E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.39E-01 5.31E+00 2.23E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 6.14E-01 6.37E+00 1.94E+00 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 4.43E-01 9.89E+00 2.54E+00 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 3.56E-01 1.75E+01 4.28E+00 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 4.56E-01 8.29E+00 1.95E+00 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 5.94E-01 6.41E+00 2.00E+00 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 7.04E-01 5.75E+00 2.16E+00 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 7.79E-01 5.22E+00 2.30E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.69E-01 4.92E+00 2.38E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.37E-01 4.74E+00 2.43E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.74E-01 4.65E+00 2.46E+00 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.58E-01 4.71E+00 2.43E+00 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.09E-01 5.25E+00 2.24E+00 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 5.93E-01 6.28E+00 2.00E+00 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 3.81E-01 1.27E+01 3.24E+00 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 3.22E-01 2.06E+01 4.55E+00 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 4.14E-01 9.37E+00 2.27E+00 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 5.58E-01 6.40E+00 2.03E+00 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 6.73E-01 5.67E+00 2.20E+00 2026 2035 2030 12 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 7.41E-01 5.11E+00 2.28E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.31E-01 4.79E+00 2.37E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.97E-01 4.61E+00 2.43E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.36E-01 4.51E+00 2.46E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 9.20E-01 4.56E+00 2.43E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 7.67E-01 5.10E+00 2.24E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 sit

88


89


90

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75W90 Gamma 2.94E-01 7.97E+00 1.99E+00 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 1.18E-01 8.22E+01 7.47E+00 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 8.34E-02 1.99E+02 1.28E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 1.72E-01 4.74E+01 7.23E+00 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 2.66E-01 1.42E+01 3.60E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic75W90 Gamma 4.01E-01 5.76E+00 2.12E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.93E+01 7.49E-02 7.66E-02 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.30E+01 7.38E-02 6.58E-02 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.63E+01 7.02E-02 8.22E-02 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.52E+01 7.72E-02 8.18E-02 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.99E+01 6.28E-02 9.89E-02 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.93E+01 7.64E-02 1.43E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 6.42E+00 1.52E-01 8.18E-02 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.18E+00 3.30E-01 8.27E-02 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.91E+00 3.02E-01 8.39E-02 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.13E+00 1.42E-01 6.83E-02 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 6.27E+00 1.22E-01 8.74E-02 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.29E+01 8.68E-02 9.24E-02 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.04E+01 1.26E-01 8.77E-02 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.42E+01 1.11E-01 9.33E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.78E+01 9.70E-02 1.14E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.54E+01 1.17E-01 1.37E-01 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.19E+01 1.44E-01 2.11E-01 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 9.37E+00 1.40E-01 1.81E-01 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.23E+00 1.92E-01 1.10E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.66E+00 3.44E-01 1.01E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.37E+00 3.64E-01 8.81E-02 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.27E+00 1.58E-01 4.29E-02 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.20E+00 1.93E-01 5.99E-02 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 6.53E+00 1.48E-01 7.01E-02 2016 2025 2020 12 sit

91


92

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90E105 Gamma 1.89E+00 2.48E-01 8.92E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.37E-01 5.86E-01 8.48E-02 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.91E-01 1.01E+00 1.35E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.04E-01 3.11E-01 6.38E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.08E+00 2.40E-01 6.99E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.57E+00 2.19E-01 1.22E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.09E+00 2.45E-01 2.14E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.88E+00 2.60E-01 2.54E-01 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.75E+00 2.48E-01 2.68E-01 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.84E+00 2.58E-01 2.84E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.61E+00 3.11E-01 2.89E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.75E+00 2.46E-01 1.84E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 9.62E-01 3.88E-01 8.42E-02 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.20E-01 5.60E-01 1.12E-01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.06E-01 5.52E-01 9.80E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.59E-01 2.80E-01 4.78E-02 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 9.49E-01 1.84E-01 6.40E-02 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.78E+00 2.47E-01 1.45E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.99E+00 3.20E-01 2.15E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.83E+00 3.01E-01 2.41E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.53E+00 2.82E-01 2.50E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.56E+00 2.89E-01 2.28E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.72E+00 3.24E-01 1.87E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.67E+00 3.45E-01 2.18E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.80E-01 1.01E+00 2.78E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.09E-01 2.82E-01 8.36E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.61E-01 2.72E-01 4.82E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.44E-01 2.11E-01 2.91E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.70E-01 3.26E-01 9.75E-02 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.03E+00 3.33E-01 1.65E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sit

93

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90E105 Gamma 1.34E+00 3.91E-01 2.07E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.53E+00 2.93E-01 1.89E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.76E+00 3.26E-01 2.15E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.67E+00 3.61E-01 2.38E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.93E+00 4.15E-01 2.28E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 9.11E-01 5.56E-01 2.64E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.15E-01 5.00E-01 1.68E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.77E-01 3.57E-01 8.65E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.21E-01 2.71E-01 3.48E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.54E-01 2.61E-01 2.41E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.10E-01 4.11E-01 9.23E-02 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.54E-01 5.56E-01 2.16E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.17E+00 3.67E-01 2.02E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.39E+00 2.73E-01 1.83E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.13E+00 2.59E-01 1.90E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.86E+00 2.98E-01 2.02E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.62E+00 4.30E-01 2.33E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.83E-01 8.07E-01 3.16E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 3.39E-01 4.30E-01 8.47E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.54E-01 3.14E-01 3.32E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 9.80E-02 3.98E-01 4.47E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 1.40E-01 2.41E-01 1.47E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 2.30E-01 3.08E-01 5.06E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic90E105 Gamma 4.37E-01 4.44E-01 1.49E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.10E+00 4.91E+00 1.63E+00 2006 2015 2010 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.22E+00 4.60E+00 1.69E+00 2006 2015 2010 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.33E+00 4.40E+00 1.73E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.40E+00 4.27E+00 1.77E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.41E+00 4.25E+00 1.80E+00 2006 2015 2010 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.32E+00 4.42E+00 1.74E+00 2006 2015 2010 6 sit

94

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 9.74E-01 5.34E+00 1.50E+00 2006 2015 2010 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.00E-01 6.68E+00 1.26E+00 2006 2015 2010 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.76E-01 9.50E+00 1.75E+00 2006 2015 2010 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.47E-01 7.64E+00 1.40E+00 2006 2015 2010 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.28E-01 5.84E+00 1.44E+00 2006 2015 2010 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.57E-01 5.31E+00 1.56E+00 2006 2015 2010 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.04E+00 4.79E+00 1.63E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.15E+00 4.50E+00 1.70E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.26E+00 4.30E+00 1.74E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.34E+00 4.15E+00 1.77E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.37E+00 4.09E+00 1.79E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.27E+00 4.28E+00 1.71E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.71E-01 5.43E+00 1.39E+00 2016 2025 2020 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.94E-01 7.27E+00 1.16E+00 2016 2025 2020 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.87E-01 2.11E+01 4.82E+00 2016 2025 2020 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.43E-01 8.87E+00 1.56E+00 2016 2025 2020 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.50E-01 5.84E+00 1.39E+00 2016 2025 2020 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.90E-01 5.22E+00 1.52E+00 2016 2025 2020 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.77E-01 4.64E+00 1.58E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.11E+00 4.31E+00 1.66E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.22E+00 4.11E+00 1.71E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.29E+00 3.98E+00 1.76E+00 2026 2035 2030 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.32E+00 3.94E+00 1.76E+00 2026 2035 2030 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.22E+00 4.11E+00 1.68E+00 2026 2035 2030 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.17E-01 5.25E+00 1.36E+00 2026 2035 2030 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.15E-01 8.05E+00 1.29E+00 2026 2035 2030 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.90E-01 4.47E+01 1.01E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 4.47E-01 1.11E+01 2.11E+00 2026 2035 2030 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.62E-01 5.96E+00 1.27E+00 2026 2035 2030 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.20E-01 5.13E+00 1.45E+00 2026 2035 2030 12 sit

95

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 9.03E-01 4.57E+00 1.43E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.05E+00 4.21E+00 1.52E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.16E+00 3.99E+00 1.56E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.24E+00 3.84E+00 1.60E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.26E+00 3.81E+00 1.62E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.11E+00 4.10E+00 1.49E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.56E-01 5.81E+00 1.08E+00 2036 2045 2040 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.75E-01 1.21E+01 1.89E+00 2036 2045 2040 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.05E-01 1.17E+02 2.03E+01 2036 2045 2040 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.41E-01 1.63E+01 2.98E+00 2036 2045 2040 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.45E-01 6.82E+00 1.22E+00 2036 2045 2040 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.35E-01 5.18E+00 1.27E+00 2036 2045 2040 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.17E-01 4.46E+00 1.54E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.65E-01 4.07E+00 1.61E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.08E+00 3.82E+00 1.68E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.16E+00 3.69E+00 1.71E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.17E+00 3.69E+00 1.72E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.90E-01 4.08E+00 1.58E+00 2046 2055 2050 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.59E-01 5.91E+00 1.20E+00 2046 2055 2050 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.24E-01 1.10E+01 1.56E+00 2046 2055 2050 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.58E-01 2.36E+02 3.12E+01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.82E-01 1.84E+01 3.23E+00 2046 2055 2050 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 4.57E-01 7.23E+00 1.47E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.51E-01 5.09E+00 1.43E+00 2046 2055 2050 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.58E-01 4.33E+00 1.61E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.95E-01 3.97E+00 1.69E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.02E+00 3.72E+00 1.73E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.61E+00 1.75E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.09E+00 3.63E+00 1.74E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.71E-01 4.17E+00 1.58E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 sit

96

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 4.66E-01 6.25E+00 1.20E+00 2056 2065 2060 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.83E-01 9.60E+01 1.48E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.21E-01 4.37E+02 4.11E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.20E-01 3.71E+01 6.40E+00 2056 2065 2060 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.70E-01 1.00E+01 2.36E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.87E-01 5.00E+00 1.48E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.97E-01 3.98E+00 1.71E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.31E-01 3.67E+00 1.77E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.46E-01 3.46E+00 1.82E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.03E+00 3.33E+00 1.85E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.03E+00 3.37E+00 1.84E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.91E-01 3.90E+00 1.70E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.95E-01 6.05E+00 1.38E+00 2066 2075 2070 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.35E-01 1.84E+02 2.00E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.88E-02 6.15E+02 4.62E+01 2066 2075 2070 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.68E-01 7.94E+01 1.13E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.90E-01 1.41E+01 3.40E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.13E-01 4.75E+00 1.63E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.02E-01 4.08E+00 1.80E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.53E-01 3.63E+00 1.88E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.52E-01 3.47E+00 1.91E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.18E-01 3.37E+00 1.92E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.02E-01 3.43E+00 1.92E+00 2076 2085 2080 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.70E-01 3.99E+00 1.77E+00 2076 2085 2080 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.21E-01 6.42E+00 1.49E+00 2076 2085 2080 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.25E-01 1.87E+02 1.88E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.58E-02 7.48E+02 3.96E+01 2076 2085 2080 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.30E-01 9.89E+01 1.03E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.52E-01 1.46E+01 3.33E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 4.46E-01 4.78E+00 1.71E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 sit

97

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 5.21E-01 4.35E+00 1.73E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.49E-01 3.89E+00 1.80E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.65E-01 3.58E+00 1.85E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 8.29E-01 3.46E+00 1.88E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 7.65E-01 3.73E+00 1.84E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 5.68E-01 4.29E+00 1.70E+00 2086 2099 2092 6 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 2.77E-01 7.06E+00 1.45E+00 2086 2099 2092 7 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 9.85E-02 3.73E+02 2.69E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 6.98E-02 8.72E+02 4.26E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.01E-01 3.71E+02 2.77E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 1.84E-01 3.95E+01 6.44E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 sitArctic90W105 Gamma 3.51E-01 6.89E+00 2.10E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.65E+00 1.85E-01 2.25E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.32E+01 1.47E-01 2.00E-01 2006 2015 2010 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.62E+01 1.28E-01 1.86E-01 2006 2015 2010 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.92E+01 1.14E-01 1.82E-01 2006 2015 2010 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.97E+01 1.14E-01 1.87E-01 2006 2015 2010 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.47E+01 1.44E-01 2.07E-01 2006 2015 2010 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.98E+00 3.25E-01 1.69E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.36E+00 5.11E-01 1.87E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.20E+00 4.99E-01 1.96E-01 2006 2015 2010 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.91E+00 4.10E-01 2.06E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.57E+00 3.02E-01 2.23E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.05E+00 2.25E-01 2.22E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.17E+01 1.29E-01 1.06E-01 2016 2025 2020 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.69E+01 9.89E-02 8.94E-02 2016 2025 2020 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.22E+01 8.23E-02 8.06E-02 2016 2025 2020 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.46E+01 7.95E-02 8.75E-02 2016 2025 2020 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.45E+01 8.21E-02 8.45E-02 2016 2025 2020 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.52E+01 1.20E-01 9.74E-02 2016 2025 2020 6 sit

98

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.35E+00 3.02E-01 9.83E-02 2016 2025 2020 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.07E+00 4.39E-01 1.12E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.78E+00 4.50E-01 1.11E-01 2016 2025 2020 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.38E+00 3.77E-01 1.11E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.02E+00 2.68E-01 1.14E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.17E+00 1.78E-01 1.12E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.63E+00 1.34E-01 8.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.36E+01 1.07E-01 7.62E-02 2026 2035 2030 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.76E+01 9.19E-02 6.74E-02 2026 2035 2030 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.06E+01 8.46E-02 6.24E-02 2026 2035 2030 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.12E+01 8.47E-02 6.10E-02 2026 2035 2030 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.37E+01 1.17E-01 7.40E-02 2026 2035 2030 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.83E+00 2.82E-01 9.35E-02 2026 2035 2030 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.59E+00 4.26E-01 1.10E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.33E+00 4.35E-01 1.07E-01 2026 2035 2030 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.70E+00 3.92E-01 1.07E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.07E+00 2.80E-01 1.05E-01 2026 2035 2030 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.71E+00 1.89E-01 1.01E-01 2026 2035 2030 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.59E+00 1.32E-01 5.69E-02 2036 2045 2040 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.26E+01 1.03E-01 5.74E-02 2036 2045 2040 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.64E+01 8.86E-02 5.70E-02 2036 2045 2040 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.93E+01 8.19E-02 5.63E-02 2036 2045 2040 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.91E+01 8.52E-02 5.95E-02 2036 2045 2040 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.08E+01 1.32E-01 6.07E-02 2036 2045 2040 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.62E+00 3.37E-01 8.86E-02 2036 2045 2040 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.04E+00 5.13E-01 8.64E-02 2036 2045 2040 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.06E-01 5.45E-01 8.42E-02 2036 2045 2040 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.05E+00 4.87E-01 8.84E-02 2036 2045 2040 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.20E+00 3.14E-01 7.96E-02 2036 2045 2040 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.70E+00 1.95E-01 7.37E-02 2036 2045 2040 12 sit

99

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.79E+00 1.23E-01 6.12E-02 2046 2055 2050 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.22E+01 9.31E-02 5.27E-02 2046 2055 2050 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.61E+01 7.96E-02 5.34E-02 2046 2055 2050 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.98E+01 7.14E-02 5.58E-02 2046 2055 2050 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.97E+01 7.38E-02 6.03E-02 2046 2055 2050 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.62E+00 1.28E-01 8.56E-02 2046 2055 2050 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.03E+00 3.44E-01 9.87E-02 2046 2055 2050 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.47E-01 5.76E-01 1.06E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.56E-01 7.97E-01 1.34E-01 2046 2055 2050 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.32E-01 5.37E-01 9.72E-02 2046 2055 2050 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.58E+00 3.19E-01 7.20E-02 2046 2055 2050 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.06E+00 1.78E-01 6.39E-02 2046 2055 2050 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.17E+00 1.22E-01 1.11E-01 2056 2065 2060 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.04E+01 9.02E-02 9.87E-02 2056 2065 2060 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.39E+01 7.92E-02 9.74E-02 2056 2065 2060 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.61E+01 7.64E-02 1.03E-01 2056 2065 2060 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.40E+01 8.90E-02 1.25E-01 2056 2065 2060 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.58E+00 1.78E-01 1.44E-01 2056 2065 2060 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.32E+00 3.69E-01 1.03E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.96E-01 5.15E-01 9.76E-02 2056 2065 2060 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.12E-01 4.05E-01 7.41E-02 2056 2065 2060 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.22E-01 4.45E-01 1.29E-01 2056 2065 2060 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.08E+00 3.12E-01 1.39E-01 2056 2065 2060 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.41E+00 2.18E-01 1.44E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.54E+00 2.39E-01 1.90E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.31E+00 1.48E-01 1.45E-01 2066 2075 2070 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.42E+00 1.12E-01 1.25E-01 2066 2075 2070 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.85E+00 1.08E-01 1.25E-01 2066 2075 2070 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.53E+00 1.26E-01 1.38E-01 2066 2075 2070 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.85E+00 2.81E-01 1.91E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sit

100

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.61E-01 6.12E-01 1.82E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.59E-01 2.92E-01 4.09E-02 2066 2075 2070 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.25E-01 2.50E-01 3.05E-02 2066 2075 2070 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.59E-01 2.69E-01 7.13E-02 2066 2075 2070 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.63E-01 5.01E-01 1.97E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.11E-01 4.48E-01 2.55E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.31E+00 3.75E-01 2.46E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.75E+00 2.35E-01 1.97E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.89E+00 1.63E-01 1.58E-01 2076 2085 2080 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.15E+00 1.47E-01 1.56E-01 2076 2085 2080 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.07E+00 2.21E-01 2.11E-01 2076 2085 2080 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.40E+00 4.55E-01 2.55E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.86E-01 6.38E-01 1.66E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.96E-01 3.18E-01 3.84E-02 2076 2085 2080 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.44E-01 2.34E-01 3.80E-02 2076 2085 2080 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.54E-01 1.92E-01 4.43E-02 2076 2085 2080 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.28E-01 3.55E-01 1.26E-01 2076 2085 2080 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.67E-01 6.72E-01 2.94E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.66E-01 4.59E-01 2.51E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.30E+00 4.20E-01 2.71E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.11E+00 3.22E-01 2.48E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.68E+00 2.94E-01 2.44E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.34E+00 3.31E-01 2.63E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.11E-01 8.19E-01 3.69E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.62E-01 4.07E-01 9.55E-02 2086 2099 2092 7 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.35E-01 2.16E-01 2.76E-02 2086 2099 2092 8 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.38E-02 1.91E-01 2.70E-02 2086 2099 2092 9 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.88E-01 1.16E-01 1.91E-02 2086 2099 2092 10 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.64E-01 2.48E-01 6.96E-02 2086 2099 2092 11 sitEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.53E-01 5.06E-01 2.05E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

101

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.41E+00 1.34E+00 9.83E-01 2006 2015 2010 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.63E+00 1.29E+00 1.03E+00 2006 2015 2010 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.84E+00 1.25E+00 1.07E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.01E+00 1.22E+00 1.09E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.06E+00 1.22E+00 1.09E+00 2006 2015 2010 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.91E+00 1.24E+00 1.04E+00 2006 2015 2010 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.29E+00 1.36E+00 8.73E-01 2006 2015 2010 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.66E+00 1.62E+00 7.72E-01 2006 2015 2010 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.32E+00 2.11E+00 1.01E+00 2006 2015 2010 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.67E+00 1.60E+00 7.99E-01 2006 2015 2010 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.89E+00 1.50E+00 8.63E-01 2006 2015 2010 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.15E+00 1.40E+00 9.25E-01 2006 2015 2010 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.17E+00 1.35E+00 1.03E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.39E+00 1.30E+00 1.07E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.60E+00 1.25E+00 1.10E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.79E+00 1.22E+00 1.13E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.84E+00 1.21E+00 1.13E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.66E+00 1.24E+00 1.06E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.00E+00 1.39E+00 8.86E-01 2016 2025 2020 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.33E+00 1.79E+00 8.49E-01 2016 2025 2020 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.71E-01 3.29E+00 1.58E+00 2016 2025 2020 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.40E+00 1.67E+00 8.33E-01 2016 2025 2020 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.64E+00 1.53E+00 9.05E-01 2016 2025 2020 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.88E+00 1.43E+00 9.70E-01 2016 2025 2020 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.91E+00 1.37E+00 1.05E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.14E+00 1.31E+00 1.10E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.35E+00 1.27E+00 1.14E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.51E+00 1.24E+00 1.15E+00 2026 2035 2030 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.55E+00 1.23E+00 1.15E+00 2026 2035 2030 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.37E+00 1.26E+00 1.08E+00 2026 2035 2030 6 sit

102

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.70E+00 1.45E+00 9.18E-01 2026 2035 2030 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.04E+00 1.96E+00 8.73E-01 2026 2035 2030 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.01E-01 5.16E+00 2.21E+00 2026 2035 2030 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.09E+00 1.84E+00 8.62E-01 2026 2035 2030 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.36E+00 1.61E+00 9.22E-01 2026 2035 2030 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.64E+00 1.47E+00 9.90E-01 2026 2035 2030 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.70E+00 1.41E+00 1.03E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.93E+00 1.34E+00 1.08E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.15E+00 1.29E+00 1.11E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.31E+00 1.25E+00 1.13E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.36E+00 1.25E+00 1.14E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.15E+00 1.28E+00 1.06E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.38E+00 1.58E+00 8.80E-01 2036 2045 2040 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.30E-01 2.24E+00 8.81E-01 2036 2045 2040 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.46E-01 8.81E+00 3.11E+00 2036 2045 2040 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.59E-01 2.06E+00 8.32E-01 2036 2045 2040 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.11E+00 1.75E+00 8.89E-01 2036 2045 2040 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.41E+00 1.53E+00 9.63E-01 2036 2045 2040 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.47E+00 1.46E+00 1.03E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.70E+00 1.38E+00 1.08E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.91E+00 1.31E+00 1.11E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.08E+00 1.27E+00 1.14E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.13E+00 1.27E+00 1.13E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.86E+00 1.34E+00 1.05E+00 2046 2055 2050 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.11E+00 1.72E+00 8.62E-01 2046 2055 2050 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.39E-01 2.82E+00 8.46E-01 2046 2055 2050 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.28E-01 1.65E+01 4.23E+00 2046 2055 2050 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.71E-01 2.49E+00 7.78E-01 2046 2055 2050 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.91E-01 1.87E+00 8.81E-01 2046 2055 2050 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.18E+00 1.61E+00 9.64E-01 2046 2055 2050 12 sit

103

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.27E+00 1.47E+00 1.04E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.50E+00 1.38E+00 1.10E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.72E+00 1.31E+00 1.14E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.89E+00 1.27E+00 1.16E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.91E+00 1.27E+00 1.15E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.55E+00 1.40E+00 1.03E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.97E-01 1.80E+00 8.54E-01 2056 2065 2060 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.70E-01 9.11E+00 2.26E+00 2056 2065 2060 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.44E-01 3.70E+01 7.04E+00 2056 2065 2060 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.37E-01 4.94E+00 1.29E+00 2056 2065 2060 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 7.24E-01 2.24E+00 8.76E-01 2056 2065 2060 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.83E-01 1.65E+00 9.65E-01 2056 2065 2060 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.04E+00 1.56E+00 9.79E-01 2066 2075 2070 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.28E+00 1.43E+00 1.03E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.50E+00 1.34E+00 1.08E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.67E+00 1.29E+00 1.10E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.67E+00 1.31E+00 1.10E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.26E+00 1.51E+00 9.48E-01 2066 2075 2070 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 7.66E-01 1.90E+00 7.95E-01 2066 2075 2070 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.96E-01 1.35E+01 2.70E+00 2066 2075 2070 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.05E-01 5.92E+01 9.27E+00 2066 2075 2070 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.20E-01 9.28E+00 1.97E+00 2066 2075 2070 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.82E-01 2.75E+00 9.97E-01 2066 2075 2070 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.31E-01 1.72E+00 9.24E-01 2066 2075 2070 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.37E-01 1.56E+00 9.51E-01 2076 2085 2080 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.10E+00 1.48E+00 9.79E-01 2076 2085 2080 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.31E+00 1.38E+00 1.02E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.47E+00 1.32E+00 1.04E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.41E+00 1.38E+00 1.02E+00 2076 2085 2080 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.09E+00 1.54E+00 9.12E-01 2076 2085 2080 6 sit

104

Country Distribution Parameter 1 Parameter 2 Std Error Start Year End Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.11E-01 2.16E+00 7.81E-01 2076 2085 2080 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.46E-01 1.93E+01 3.51E+00 2076 2085 2080 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.78E-01 6.51E+01 8.25E+00 2076 2085 2080 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.65E-01 1.10E+01 1.86E+00 2076 2085 2080 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.29E-01 4.12E+00 1.23E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 7.22E-01 1.92E+00 8.91E-01 2076 2085 2080 12 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.54E-01 1.51E+00 8.77E-01 2086 2099 2092 1 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.56E-01 1.52E+00 8.95E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.06E+00 1.51E+00 9.24E-01 2086 2099 2092 3 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.19E+00 1.46E+00 9.42E-01 2086 2099 2092 4 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.17E+00 1.49E+00 9.39E-01 2086 2099 2092 5 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.00E+00 1.50E+00 8.33E-01 2086 2099 2092 6 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.19E-01 1.96E+00 7.28E-01 2086 2099 2092 7 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.01E-01 3.13E+01 5.74E+00 2086 2099 2092 8 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.35E-01 1.07E+02 1.18E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.44E-01 9.76E+00 2.03E+00 2086 2099 2092 10 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.46E-01 2.39E+00 8.32E-01 2086 2099 2092 11 sitWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.45E-01 1.78E+00 8.17E-01 2086 2099 2092 12 sit

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Distribution

1 MS0159 Thomas R. Nelson 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Howard Passell 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Elizabeth Kistin-Keller 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Drake Warren 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Leonard Malczynski 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Nancy Hayden 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0701 Peter Davies 6900 (electronic copy)1 MS0734 Jasper Hardesty 6913 (electronic copy)1 MS0750 Lori Parrott 6913 (electronic copy)1 MS0899 Technical Library 9536 (electronic copy)1 MS1137 Thomas Lowry 6926 (electronic copy)1 MS1137 La Tonya Walker 6926 (electronic copy)

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Documents

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