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Patterns and Processes in Plant Phylogeography in the Mediterranean Basin. A Review Gonzalo Nieto Feliner Real Jardín Botánico, CSIC Plaza de Murillo 2 28014 Madrid [email protected] Phone: +34 914203017 Mobile: +34 609446046 Running head: Plant phylogeography in the Mediterranean Basin Key words: glacial refugia, hybridization, latitudinal patterns, Mediterranean Basin, phylogeography, plants, spatio-temporal concordance, straits 1 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 3 4

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Page 1: digital.csic.esdigital.csic.es/.../102008/1/Nieto_2014_PersPlantEcol.docx · Web view, a decreasing trend in genetic diversity running east-west along the Basin has been detected

Patterns and Processes in Plant Phylogeography in the Mediterranean Basin. A Review

Gonzalo Nieto Feliner

Real Jardín Botánico, CSIC

Plaza de Murillo 2

28014 Madrid

[email protected]

Phone: +34 914203017

Mobile: +34 609446046

Running head: Plant phylogeography in the Mediterranean Basin

Key words: glacial refugia, hybridization, latitudinal patterns, Mediterranean Basin,

phylogeography, plants, spatio-temporal concordance, straits

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ABSTRACT

Phylogeography, born to bridge population genetics and phylogenetics in an explicit geographic

context, has provided a successful platform for unveiling species evolutionary histories. The

Mediterranean Basin, one of the earth’s 25 biodiversity hotspots, is known for its complex

geological and palaeoclimatic history. Aiming to throw light on the causes and circumstances that

underlie such a rich biota, a review of the phylogeographic literature on plant lineages from the

Mediterranean Basin is presented focusing on two levels. First, phylogeographic patterns are

examined, arranged by potential driving forces such as longitude, latitude—and its interaction

with altitude—, straits or glacial refugia. Spatial coincidences in phylogeographic splits are found

but, in comparison to other regions such as the Alps or North America, no largely common

phylogeographic patterns across species are found in this region. Factors contributing to

phylogeographic complexity and scarcity of common patterns include less drastic effects of

Pleistocene glaciations than other temperate regions, environmental heterogeneity, the blurring

of genetic footprints via admixing over time and, for older lineages, possibly a greater

stochasticity due to the accumulation of responses to palaeoclimatic changes. At a second level,

processes inferred in phylogeographically-framed studies that are potential drivers of evolution

are examined. These include gradual range expansion, vicariance, long-distance dispersal,

radiations, hybridization and introgression, changes in reproductive system, and determinants of

successful colonization. Future phylogeographic studies have a great potential to help explaining

biodiversity patterns of plant groups and understanding why the Basin has come to be one of the

biodiversity hotspots on earth. This potential is based on the crucial questions that can be

addressed when geographic gaps are adequately filled (mainly northern Africa and the eastern

part of the region), on the important contribution of younger lineages—for which

phylogeographic approaches are most useful—to the whole diversity of the Basin, and on the

integration of new methods, particularly those that allow refining the search for spatio-temporal

concordance across genealogies.

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CONTENTS

I. Introduction

II. Patterns

(1) Large-scale spatial patterns

(a) Longitudinal patterns

(b) Latitudinal patterns

(c) Glacial refugia

(d) Role of straits

(2) Spatio-temporal phylogeographic concordance

(3) Patterns and complexity

III. Processes

(a) Gradual range expansion

(b) Vicariance

(c) Long-distance dispersal

(d) Radiations

(e) Hybridization and introgression

(f) Changes in reproductive systems

(g) Ecology determining success of colonization

IV. Perspectives

V. Acknowledgements

VI. References

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I. INTRODUCTION

The Mediterranean Basin comprises a large territory around the Mediterranean Sea that is

characterized by a Mediterranean climate, that is to say, mild rainy winters and hot dry summers.

According to Quézel and Médail (2003) the Mediterranean region in a bioclimatic sense spans an

area of 2,300,000 km2, whose limits have sometimes been suggested as coinciding with the

natural distribution range of the olive tree (Olea europaea L.) (Fig. 1). It extends approx. 4000 km

along an east-west axis and approx. 1600 km along a north-south axis.

This region is of considerable biological interest because of its rich biota compared to the

surrounding areas and is considered one of the earth’s 25 biodiversity hot-spots (Myers et al.,

2000). At the plant species level, i.e., in floristic terms, the Mediterranean region contains a flora

that includes c. 24.000 species of which c. 60 % are endemics (Greuter 1991) whereas, for

instance, all of tropical Africa has a comparable plant richness (30,000 taxa) in a surface area four

times larger (Médail and Quezel, 1997). Compared to higher latitudes, 80% of all European plant

endemics are Mediterranean (Comes, 2004). This richness is attributed to a number of factors

including palaeogeologic and palaeoclimatic history, ecogeographical heterogeneity, human

influence (Blondel and Aronson, 1999; Blondel et al., 2010) and a high percentage of species with

narrow distribution ranges (Humphries et al., 1999; Thompson, 2005).

Geological and palaeoclimatic complexity is characteristic of the Mediterranean region. Its

geological evolution involves complicated interactions between orogenic processes and

widespread extensional tectonics (Rosenbaum et al., 2002). The area was formed during the

Cenozoic simultaneously with the convergence of the African and Eurasian Plates and three

associated smaller plates, Iberia, Apulia and Arabia (Dercourt et al., 1986; Krijgsman, 2002). The

western Mediterranean was particularly active tectonically and consisted during the Oligocene of

several small blocks that were remnants of a Paleozoic mountain chain, the Hercynian belt

(Rosenbaum et al., 2002). Rotation, migration and collision processes along more than 30 Mya

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resulted in those small blocks located in the current territories of the Betic-Rif ranges, the Balearic

Islands, the Kabylies, Corsica, Sardinia, and Calabria. The eastern Mediterranean region (Hellenic

arc and Aegean basin) is more recent and its present configuration is the result of the collision of

the Arabian plate with stable Eurasia in middle Miocene, which closed the connection between

the Tethys Sea and the Indian Ocean (Krijgsman, 2002).

The palaeoclimatic history of the Mediterranean Basin included important long-term changes

such as the gradual global cooling since the Oligocene (Zachos et al., 2008) and an aridification

that started c. 9-8 Mya (Van Dam, 2006). During the Late Miocene, subduction processes in the

westernmost Mediterranean caused the closure of the marine gateways that existed between the

Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea, leading to the desiccation of the Mediterranean Sea

that is known as the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC) 5.96-5.33 Mya (Hsü, 1972; Krijgsman, 2002).

This period was followed by the establishment of a Mediterranean type climate, around 3.2 Mya

(Suc, 1984). In addition, the Basin has been influenced by cyclical climatic changes, driven by the

Milankovitch oscillations, due to periodical shifts in the Earth's orbit and axial tilt that decreased

their periodicity to 100 Ky during the Pleistocene (Imbrie et al., 1993; Jansson and Dynesius,

2002).

Phylogeography has shed light on the evolutionary history of current plant species by

bridging population genetic approaches and phylogenetic focuses, or micro- and macroevolution,

as the father of the discipline put it (Avise et al., 1987). The geographic coverage of

phylogeographic investigations has been more intense in regions such as North America

(Brunsfeld et al., 2001; Soltis et al., 2006) and the Alps (Schönswetter et al., 2005), but has

reached most regions including the Arctic (Abbott and Comes, 2004), China (Qiu et al., 2011), the

Southern Hemisphere (Beheregaray, 2008) and also the Mediterranean region, where a

substantial increase in the number of studies has occurred over the last ten to twelve years.

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The present paper reviews the topic of Mediterranean Plant Phylogeography aiming to throw

light on the evolutionary history of plants in the Basin, finding clues for its biodiversity richness

and complexity, and contributing to understand the whole puzzle of the history of European

plants during the last 2 - 3 My. The review has a double focus, on patterns and process, and has

been elaborated from studies published in over 130 papers.

A summary of the knowledge concerning a very significant part of the region, i.e., the three

southern European peninsulas (Iberia, Italy, Balkans), and the role they have played in European

biogeography during the last million years, has been recently published (Hewitt, 2011). The

Balkans represent the main biodiversity hotspot and the major source for postglacial colonization

of central and northern Europe and it was suggested that such richness could be related to

opportunities for dispersal and vicariance along a complex geological history that included several

land connections, disconnections and submergences, particularly during the Miocene and

Pliocene (Griffiths et al., 2004; Tzedakis, 2004). However, its geographic position closer to Asian

biotas probably also contributed to its richness (Mansion et al., 2008).

In the evolution of plant lineages in the Iberian Peninsula, on the other hand, determinant

factors are the mountain ranges allowing multiple refugia and producing “a pulsating patchwork

of allopatric to parapatric clades”, and the recurrent connections and disconnections with

Northern Africa starting even before the MSC between 7 and 14 Mya (Hewitt, 2011).

The Italian Peninsula is a younger conglomerate that contributed less to postglacial

colonization of central and northern Europe due to the strong geographic barrier represented by

the Alps. However, multiple refugia have been identified corresponding to major mountain blocks,

with a particular differentiation in the South both in animal (e.g., Joger et al., 2007; Canestrelli and

Nascetti, 2008) and in plant groups (Cozzolino et al., 2003; Vettori et al., 2004; Heuertz et al.,

2006; Španiel et al., 2011).

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However, that work—one of the last by the late Godfrey Hewitt (Hewitt, 2011)—was almost

exclusively based on studies of mammals, reptiles, amphibians and insects. Despite the common

geological, climatic and environmental history for all organisms phylogeographic patterns might

vary. Mechanisms such as polyploidization and hybridization, and ecogeographical concepts such

as niche conservatism, are regarded as more significant in plants than in animal groups

(Sanmartín, 2007; Donoghue, 2008).

This review is focused on the species level, i.e., within species or closely-related species, as

was the original scope of Phylogeography (Avise et al., 1987). However, there is not a sharp

border line between species and closely-related species and thus some works going beyond the

species level that were important for the Mediterranean Basin have also been considered. On a

geographic side, despite being traditionally considered a part or an extension of the

Mediterranean region, the Macaronesian archipelagos have not been considered here because

oceanic island biogeography (and phylogeography) is a specific field that has received much

attention in recent years and a considerable part of the literature has been devoted to the

Macaronesian region (Juan et al., 2000; Sanmartín et al., 2008; Fernández-Palacios et al., 2011).

II. PATTERNS

In this section, the main phylogeographic patterns detected in plant groups across the

Mediterranean Basin are arranged following the inferred major driving forces or causal factors.

(1) Large-scale spatial patterns

Even if small scale factors and specific biological properties of the plant groups are important in

driving differentiation in an environmentally heterogeneous region like this, large scale factors

also have a role in contributing to gene flow interruption, and thus to phylogeographic splits. The

patterns listed below (longitudinal, latitudinal, sea straits, refugia) are associated to longitude and

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latitude, spanning the size and shape of the region, and potentially contributed to create shared

patterns across plant groups.

(a) Longitudinal patterns

East-west phylogeographical breaks, i.e, occurring along the longest axis of the Mediterranean

Basin, have frequently been inferred, and sometimes dated, to have arisen as a consequence of

pre-Pleistocene diversification of lineages. The most apparent cases are those in which there is a

clear current geographical gap associated with a phylogeographic split, which might have resulted

from contraction of formerly continuous ranges. These disjunctions or highly scattered ranges are

seen in the lowland shrub Buxus balearica Lam. (Rosselló et al., 2007; Fig. 2), the salt-tolerant

succulent Microcnemum coralloides (Loscos & J. Pardo) Buen (Kadereit and Yaprak, 2008) or the

herbaceous legume Erophaca baetica (L.) Boiss. from evergreen oak forests (Casimiro-Soriguer et

al., 2010). In the coastal subshrub Cephalaria squamiflora (Sieber) Greuter such gap is emphasized

by its insular distribution ranging from the Balearics to the Aegean (Rosselló et al., 2009). When

there is no current geographic gap, the location of the phylogeographic break or the secondary

contact may still be detectable (e.g., in the perennial mountain herb Heliosperma pusillum

(Waldst. & Kit.) Rchb., Frajman and Oxelman, 2007), particularly when the distribution range is

linear as in the marsh sedge Carex extensa Gooden. (Escudero et al., 2010). It is however more

frequent that events subsequent to the initial gene flow interruption, such as partial westwards

colonization of genotypes originated in the East or vice versa, led to a more complex picture, as in

the case of the submediterranean herbaceous Anthyllis montana L. (Kropf et al., 2002), the laurel

trees Laurus nobilis L. and L. azorica (Seub.) Franco (Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2009) or the

thermophilous lowland shrub Myrtus communis L. (Migliore et al., 2012). Westward or eastward

waves of colonization, not only during the Pleistocene but at different times depending on the

climatic conditions and the ecological requirements of the species in question, have been decisive

in shaping the current species and genetic composition of the Mediterranean flora. Examples are

found in Araceae, Carex extensa, Erica arborea L. or Myrtus communis (Mansion et al., 2008;

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Escudero et al., 2010; Désamoré et al., 2011; Migliore et al., 2012; respectively). Such expansions

have been reported to be important during the Oligocene–Miocene, when microplates located

between Paratethys and Tethys allowed land connections along the Mediterranean (Steininger

and Rögl, 1984; Meulenkamp and Sissingh, 2003). However, other organisms expanded through

the Southern rim of the Basin at different periods (North Africa – Arabia, Quézel, 1985) as the

steppic herbaceous perennial Ferula loscosii (Willk.) Lange (Pérez-Collazos et al., 2009) or some

thistles (Cardueae; Barres et al., 2013).

In addition to east-west phylogeographic splits, different levels in genetic diversity on a large

scale in eastern vs. western areas of the Mediterranean Basin have been found too, particularly in

trees. Some of those E-W differences have been related to the place of origin or major

diversification of the group in question (e.g., in Quercus suber L., Lumaret et al., 2005), while for

other groups decisive factors have occurred along their evolutionary history. For instance, among

gymnosperm tree species from the genus Abies, Cedrus, Cupressus and Pinus, a decreasing trend

in genetic diversity running east-west along the Basin has been detected and has been attributed

to an east (warm/wet) – west (cold/dry) trend during the last glacial maximum (LGM) (Fady, 2005;

Wu et al., 2007). Such a decreasing gradient of within-population genetic diversity from east to

west has also been found in a meta-analysis based on different groups of living organisms, but it is

stronger in the southern part (northern Africa) than in the northern Mediterranean, in low-land

plants than in plants at higher elevations, in trees that in other life-forms, and in bi-parentally and

paternally than in maternally inherited DNA markers (Conord et al., 2012). However, there is no

overall correlation between genetic diversity and species diversity across the Basin (Fady and

Conord, 2010) and different situations concerning richer eastern or western lineages are found at

the species level (e.g., in Cistus, Guzmán and Vargas, 2005; Hordeum, Jakob et al., 2007; or

Heliosperma, Frajman and Oxelman, 2007). Therefore, new evidence is necessary to understand

the extent and causes for the prevailing idea that the Eastern Mediterranean is a reservoir for

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plant evolution or a cradle for lineages diversification (Mansion et al., 2009; Roquet et al., 2009;

Barres et al., 2013).

(b) Latitudinal patterns

As at the global scale from the poles to the Equator, diversity patterns associated with latitude are

also found in the Mediterranean region. The pattern that is most directly associated to latitude is

a north-south decreasing genetic diversity gradient occurring within lineages. This applies mainly

to the northern Mediterranean region and is even more explicit when territories north of the

Region are also considered. It resulted from the ways by which species responded to the climatic

oscillations during the Pleistocene searching for their climatic optimum, i.e., shifting their ranges

northwards or southwards. For cold-sensitive species this implied that a significant portion of

diversity lost in northern latitudes during glacial periods was preserved in southern regions and

also that only part of the genotypes, usually those occurring on the northern edge or closest to

the glaciated areas, recolonized the northern territories during the Interglacials (Hewitt, 2000).

Such south-north recolonization processes were rapid and resulted in a few genotypes occupying

much larger areas in northern latitudes in Europe compared to Mediterranean territories as well

as in a few alleles surfing on the front of the colonizing populations (Excoffier and Ray, 2008). This

—so called leading-edge expansion model—has been used to explain genetic diversity gradients

within lineages that are likely to have been due to sequential bottlenecks during colonization of

deglaciated areas. Contrasting roles in leading vs. trailing-edge populations led to differential

patterns in gene flow, differentiation and ultimately in shaping the genetic diversity of the species

(Hampe and Petit, 2005; Parisod and Joost, 2010).

The scenario of climatically-driven north-to-south range shifts took place in highly

mountainous terrain in many areas of the Basin particularly in Southern Europe, which

contributed to shape latitudinal patterns beyond a plain latitudinal diversity gradient. One of the

simplest approaches to focus on this latitude-altitude interaction was Kropf et al.’s (2006; 2008)

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“successive vicariance” model regarding the postglacial retreat of cold-adapted species into high

elevations. They tested the implications of the assumption that the retreat should progress in

Europe from south to north as interglacial periods became warmer (De Beaulieu et al., 1994). On

the Iberian Peninsula, such a model would result in greater genetic distance between populations

from Sierra Nevada and the Pyrenees than between the Pyrenees and the Alps because the

southernmost populations had to retreat—and thus interrupt gene flow—earlier. They found

results consistent with this prediction in some, e.g., Silene rupestris L., Kernera saxatilis (L.) Rchb.,

Gentiana alpina Vill. and Saxifraga oppositifolia L., but not all species studied (Kropf et al., 2006;

2008).

(c) Glacial refugia

Mountains provided another dimension, altitude, to the latitudinal gradient and contributed

to compartmentalize the region creating climatically suitable enclaves, which allowed glacial

refugia to occur. According to Médail and Diadema (2009), refugia are areas “where distinct

genetic lineages have persisted through a series of Tertiary or Quaternary climate fluctuations

owing to special, buffering environmental characteristics”. Glacial refugia have important

biological implications, e.g., for conservation under a climate change scenario (Tzedakis, 2004).

The well-known general pattern of refugia in areas less affected by glaciations is strongly

supported by the fossil data (Bennet et al., 1991) and phylogeographic studies have made a major

contribution to identifying them (e.g., Taberlet et al., 1998; Hampe et al., 2003; Heuertz et al.,

2004; Provan and Bennett, 2008). But there have been different views on the number of refugia in

each species. Hewitt (2001) proposed the ‘paradigm postglacial colonization patterns’ model,

which considered each of the main sources of recolonization for northern European territories,

i.e., the three Mediterranean peninsulas (Iberian, Italian and Balkan), as a single refugium.

Although this scheme was useful for tree species in particular (Taberlet et al., 1998; Heuertz et al.,

2004), it was too simple to account for the evolutionary history of many groups due to the

importance of orography, among other factors. The ‘refugia-within-refugia’ model proposed by

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Gómez and Lunt (2007) as a response to the latter advocates that phylogeographic breaks within

these peninsulas in a number of animal and plant groups demonstrate the preservation of various

lineages and thus the occurrence of multiple refugia. In fact, in those phylogeographic studies

that include Mediterranean populations together with populations from elsewhere, the

occurrence of multiple refugia in one or more of the three Peninsulas is the norm both for

herbaceous (Picó et al., 2008) and tree species such as Quercus spp. (Olalde et al., 2002; López de

Heredia et al., 2007), Populus spp. (Macaya-Sanz et al., 2012) or other groups (Carrión et al., 2003;

reviewed for Iberia in Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2010). Although there are more phylogeographic

examples from the Iberian Peninsula the refugia within refugia model clearly holds for the Italian

(Cozzolino et al., 2003; Ansell et al., 2008; Grassi et al., 2009; Španiel et al., 2011) and Balkan

peninsulas (Heuertz et al., 2001; Trewick et al., 2002; Kučera et al., 2010; Surina et al., 2011) (Fig.

3). This multiple refugia pattern has also been inferred in Southern Australia (Byrne, 2008),

probably because as in the Mediterranean Basin effects of climatic oscillations allowed survival

and resilience of different partly or totally isolated lineages within larger territories.

Spatial coincidence of refugia for different species greatly increases their interest as a sort of

sanctuaries for plant diversity (Tribsch and Schönswetter, 2003). There is coincidence at relatively

gross scales, e.g., the Andalusian ranges, Sicily or the Aegean region. However, factors related to

the biology or history of the group in question hinder fine matches for the location of refugia

across groups. For instance, there are scenarios that include also non-Mediterranean refugia, e.g.,

in Meconopsis cambrica (L.) Vig. (Valtueña et al., 2012) or specific traits associated with the

location of refugia, e.g., higher clonality in northern populations of Populus, more exposed to

glaciations (Macaya-Sanz et al., 2012). Another feature that has been found in Fagus and other

trees is the unexpectedly high degree of genetic diversity detected in non-Mediterranean

latitudes away from the glacial refugia even if allelic diversity was higher in the latter (Comps et

al., 2001; Widmer and Lexer, 2001; Petit et al., 2003). This pattern is due to the admixture of

divergent lineages recolonizing the continent from separate refugia.

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In a previous paper I argued that evidencing refugia, even for refugia within refugia, was not an

ultimate goal but a first step in phylogeographic studies in the Mediterranean Basin (Nieto Feliner,

2011) because as sites where extinction has been minimized, the processes that underlie survival

in them seem to be of primary interest. Also, in the context of the scarcity of phylogeographic

patterns in the Mediterranean Basin (see patterns and complexity section), refugia represent an

exception and demand for explanatory processes. In the end—simple as it might sound—refugia

might be environmentally favorable enclaves in spatially convenient sites. This is consistent with a

long series of studies in the Alps (Schönswetter et al., 2005) and particularly with the finding of a

coincidental current genetic structure across numerous taxonomic plant groups that is correlated

with specific substrata (Alvarez et al., 2009). It seems that cases like this exemplify a meaningful

integration of historical and ecological components of biogeography that allows a better

understanding of current distribution patterns. Along this line, glacial refugia represent interesting

places from the community ecology perspective (Webb et al., 2002). As enclaves where

conservation is maximized and at the same time have a biogeographic dynamic nature, examining

phylogenetic community structure along with concepts such as habitat filtering vs. competitive

exclusion of closely related species can help understand the functioning of refugia.

(d) Role of straits

It is likely that straits have been an important modulator of phylogeography across the region (Fig.

4). This role is not unexpected in a region whose coastline stretches 46,000 km, making the sea a

barrier for biological exchange not only between islands but also between mainland and islands or

between mainland areas. The effectiveness of the sea as a barrier has varied over time due to

climatic and geological changes and depending on the plant group. For example, one of the most

significant sea barriers geographically, the Strait of Gibraltar, is considered to be a greater

biogeographic barrier than the Pyrenees or the Alps (Hewitt, 2011) and has acted as such for

species such as the continental juniper Juniperus thurifera L. (Terrab et al., 2008b), a sedge

growing in Quercus suber forests Carex helodes Link (Escudero et al., 2008), Abies spp. (Terrab et

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al., 2007) or several Mediterranean conifers (Jaramillo-Correa et al., 2010), among others.

However, a number of studies found that it was not effective at interrupting gene flow between

African and European populations in both directions, e.g., in the bulbous monocot Androcymbium

gramineum (Cav.) McBride (Caujapé-Castells and Jansen, 2003), the coastal annual Hypochaeris

salzmanniana DC. (Ortiz et al., 2007), the legume shrub Calicotome villosa (Poir.) Link (Arroyo et

al., 2008), several mediterranean rockroses Cistus spp. (Guzmán and Vargas, 2009; Fernández-

Mazuecos and Vargas, 2010) or in Rosmarinus officinalis L. (Mateu et al., 2013). This variable role

of the strait of Gibraltar depending on the species is consistent with results from animal groups

(Hewitt, 2011). The lack of correlation between dispersal abilities and genetic exchange between

the two continents across this Strait is also noteworthy (Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2008; Guzmán

and Vargas, 2009).

The geographic position of straits, and not only their width, is a crucial factor in determining

their biogeographic role. For instance, besides filtering biological exchange between Africa and

Europe, the Strait of Gibraltar has been decisive in shaping diversity patterns in the area. The

concentration of plant diversity on both sides of the Strait, due to both the accumulation of relict

species and the high percentage of endemics, is likely to be strongly related to its geographic

location as a crossroad, which allows it to act as a melting-pot for lineages (Rodríguez-Sánchez et

al., 2008).

The depth of seafloor is another important factor since shallow waters maximized the effects

of eustatic sea-level shifts by narrowing the straits, modifying the shape and size of emerged lands

or even creating land corridors. Along the Mediterranean Basin, the MSC has been widely

classically invoked as the fundamental cause for land connections involving relatively shallow sea

floors (Bocquet et al., 1978) and, more moderately, after the advent of molecular data (e.g., in

Androcymbium gramineum for Gibraltar, Caujapé-Castells and Jansen, 2003; in the orchid

Anacamptis palustris (Jacq.) R.M. Bateman et al., for the Otranto Strait, Mussacchio et al., 2006).

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In contrast to the MSC, the phylogeographic importance of Pleistocene land-bridges has not

been adequately considered until recently, when dated genealogical splits have been associated

to sea-level drops of up to 130 m that occurred during the LGM (Petit et al., 2002; Lambeck et al.,

2002). For instance, the current relationships between species across the Sicilian Channel were

shaped by eustatic sea-level shifts during the Pleistocene that facilitated biotic exchange between

Sicily and Tunisia and also between the islands in the region, Malta, Pantelleria, Lampedusa, and

the Aeolian and Aegadian archipelagos (Naciri et al., 2010; Zitari et al., 2011; Lo Presti and

Oberprieler, 2011; Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2011). In the Balearic Islands marine

transgressions during the interglacial periods divided the island of Majorca into two, whereas

during marine regressions sea-level drops united Majorca, Menorca and Cabrera into a single land

mass (Vesica et al., 2000; Gràcia et al., 2001). The latter regression during the Upper Pleistocene

at the end of the Mindel glaciation (c. 400,000 y BP) also connected Ibiza with the Dianic range in

Iberia which allowed biotic exchanges, e.g., in the perennial herb Cheirolophus intybaceus (Lam.)

Dostál (Garnatje et al., 2013). These eustatic sea-level shifts subsequently promoted or restricted

intraspecific gene flow, fragmenting populations and enhancing their divergence, e.g. in two

Asteraceae herbaceous Balearic endemics such as Senecio rodriguezii Willk. ex J.J. Rodr. (Molins et

al., 2009) and Crepis triasii (Cambess.) Nyman (Mayol et al., 2012). The impact of Pleistocene land-

bridges is also detectable in the Aegean sea (Bittkau and Comes, 2005) and is evident in narrow

and shallow straits like Bonifacio, between Corsica and Sardinia, which are not associated with

any phylogeographic break in a plastid haplotype network of the rockrose Cistus creticus L. (Falchi

et al., 2009).

The biology of the plants can result in opposite effects of the same strait on different species.

For instance, in the Eastern Mediterranean, phylogeographic breaks have been detected

coinciding with the straits of Bosporus for two species from sandy beaches such as Eryngium

maritimum L. and Cakile maritima Scop., and with the Dardanelles for Cakile maritima (Kadereit

and Westberg, 2007). However, because these two species occur in coastal habitats, Bosporus

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and Dardanelles acted as geographic barriers in opposite periods compared to inland plants, and

along different geographic orientations (roughly east-west instead of north-south). Thus, unlike

for inland species, the closure of the two straits that resulted in the isolation of the Black Sea, the

Sea of Marmara and the Aegean Sea could represent an east-west barrier for a coastal expansion

of these species due to elimination of coastline. Yet, on the other end of the Basin, the fact that

the Strait of Gibraltar has remained open since the end of the MSC (c. 5.3 Mya) did not imply that

coastal land plants species could spread freely across it along an east-west direction; this was

probably due to sea-currents that precluded gene-flow via seeds in species with sea-dispersed

fruits (Kadereit and Westberg, 2007; Westberg and Kadereit, 2009). Sea-currents have been also

invoked to explain limitations to gene flow across the same strait for marine species (reviewed in

Patarnello et al., 2007). In all, the conclusion is that predicting the role of straits as

biogeographical barriers requires considering very diverse factors.

(2) Spatio-temporal phylogeographic concordance

Genealogical concordance is the most straightforward evidence for common historical factors

affecting the phylogeography of different groups in the Mediterranean region. Different types of

concordance are conceivable and Avise (1998; 2009) pointed out four: within-locus, multi-locus,

multi-species and among multiple lines of empirical evidence. The third of these—geographical

co-location of significant genealogical splits across multiple co-distributed species—has been

addressed using comparative phylogeographic approaches (Bermingham and Moritz, 1998) in the

Alps (e.g., Tribsch and Schönswetter, 2003; Schönswetter et al., 2004) or North America

(Brunsfeld et al., 2001; Soltis et al., 2006). In the Mediterranean Basin some comparative studies

have focused on taxonomic groups such as Cistus spp. (Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2010),

exemplifying how different phylogeographic patterns can arise in closely related species. Other

studies have focused on phylogenetically unrelated plants from similar habitats. In alpine

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Mediterranean plants no common pattern was found (Vargas, 2003) whereas in coastal

communities there was some concordance in geographic clusters in the Eastern Mediterranean

but no strongly congruent patterns along their inferred evolutionary histories (e.g., Kadereit et al.,

2005; Kadereit and Westberg, 2007). The conclusion that species sharing habitats and even

showing co-located phylogeographic breaks might not share much of their overall

phylogeography is consistent with results from the early comparative study on the continental

scale by Taberlet et al. (1998).

In fact, co-location of phylogeographic breaks in different groups does not always imply time

or process coincidence, a phenomenon recognized as pseudocongruence at a deeper

biogeographic level (Donoghue and Moore, 2003). Pseudocongruence at the species level has

recently been shown by Jaramillo-Correa et al. (2010) in a study of five species of Mediterranean

conifers across the Strait of Gibraltar. And this concept is also applicable to the similarities in

ecological requirements of the species that coincide in Alpian refugia, commented above (Alvarez

et al., 2009). Also, evolutionary patterns need not be associated with important climatic events,

as illustrated by the diversification rates in the annual self-compatible Nigella arvensis L. group,

which were not affected by the onset of the Mediterranean climate (Bittkau and Comes, 2009).

Another commonly followed search for concordance examines matches between gene-tree

partitions (or historical patterns in general) of a given study group and dated historical abiotic

events (geographic or climatic changes). For instance, hybridization and introgression between

previously lineages can be associated to a breakdown of existing geographic barriers. Although

searches for this type of concordance are frequently hampered by too wide confidence intervals

for estimated dates of lineage events (Fromhage et al., 2004), a number of studies using dated

phylogeographies have proposed association between climatic or geographic factors and

evolutionary events in the Mediterranean (e.g., in Anthemis, Lo Presti and Oberprieler, 2009;

Dianthus, Valente et al., 2010; Erodium, Fiz-Palacios et al., 2010). Still, difference in coalescence

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times should ideally be taken into account when examining matches of evolutionary patterns in

different species with the same abiotic event (see Perspectives section).

Lack of phylogeographic structure associated to rapid postglacial colonization also results in

some form of concordance. This seems to be the case in two tree species which, together with

long generation times, share the possession of edible fruits, which might have accelerated their

colonization of the Basin by humans: the stone pine, Pinus pinea L. (Vendramin et al., 2008) and

the chestnut tree, Castanea sativa Miller (Fineschi et al., 2000).

(3) Patterns and complexity

The main conclusion from the available evidence is that common phylogeographic patterns are

scarce in the Mediterranean Basin. In the Alps phylogeography has focused on postglacial

colonization, testing whether refugial areas could have existed in nunataks or at lower latitudes

(e.g., Tribsch and Schönswetter 2003; Schönswetter et al. 2005). The distinct patterns found in

this region seem to result from younger histories, whereas previous lineages disappeared due to

Pleistocene glaciations.

Compared to the Alps, scarcity of patterns in the Mediterranean Basin may partly derive from

blurring of genetic footprints via admixing over time. The successive contacts between

populations that have experienced some differentiation during glacial or interglacial periods, but

failed to develop complete reproductive barriers, lead to admixture and thus obscured genetic

footprints of whatever differentiation might have preceded those contacts. Scarcity of common

patterns may actually reflect a scarcity of simple patterns and thus be related to the idea of

complexity. In the Mediterranean Basin several phylogeographic studies have highlighted this

(Heuertz et al., 2004; Jiménez et al., 2004; López de Heredia et al., 2005, 2007; Médail and

Diadema, 2009; Lo Presti and Oberprieler, 2011; Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2011).

However, species of older, Tertiary, origin such as Erica arborea (Désamoré et al., 2011) or Myrtus

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communis (Migliore et al., 2012) exemplify the idea of complexity resulting from survival and

partial admixture of lineages. These studies report a combination of extensive colonization waves

(frequently east-west or vice versa) and survival without great geographic displacement or, as

expressed in Migliore et al. (2012) “accumulation of the species’ responses to successive

palaeoenvironmental changes”. Also for older lineages, such accumulation of responses under

substantial climatic instability but without dramatic unifying climatic changes probably resulted in

greater stochasticity, which contributed to the scarcity of phylogeographic patterns in the Basin.

III. PROCESSES

Although comparative studies in the Basin have primarily looked for common patterns the

possibility of inferring common processes from different groups would be a great advantage albeit

a challenging one. The coincidence in space of the same processes in different species poses the

question of whether similar selection pressures lie behind them. Some of the processes can be

addressed within the frame of statistical phylogeography approaches that estimate population

parameters (Hickerson et al., 2010) but the focus here is wider. The following paragraphs highlight

a few processes that have been inferred, from phylogeographically-framed studies, to occur in

Mediterranean lineages and may be drivers, or at least important factors, in the evolutionary

history of plant groups. These are gradual range expansion, vicariance, long-distance dispersal

(LDD), radiations, hybridization and introgression, changes in reproductive systems, and ecological

determinants of colonization. The first three of those specifically refer to changes in species

distributions while the remaining are primarily involved in other aspects of evolutionary change,

such as shaping species genetic architecture, although ultimately affect their distributions too. All

of them have implications on phylogeography although in different ways and at different time

scales.

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(a) Gradual range expansion

Following from the simplest way by which plants, as sessile organisms, track their climatic optima

during climate changes it is likely that gradual range expansion has played an important role, if

not the most, in distribution range changes over time. Such expansion has mainly occurred along

a north-south direction and along elevational gradients in the mountains and is currently

detectable, even at minimal time-scales, in alpine pioneer species as a response to global change

(Pauli et al., 2007). But other gradual range expansion scenarios not evidently driven by rapid

climate changes might have been also common in the Mediterranean. Gradual expansion should

have contributed substantially to westwards or eastwards colonization along the Basin either

across the northern (European) side or across Northern Africa and might account for small-scale

migration as reported in Anthyllis montana (Kropf et al., 2002).

(b) Vicariance

Mediterranean phylogeographic studies sometimes set as the null hypothesis the possibility that

current disjunct distributions of genotypes, species or closely related species are due to

vicariance, that is, the fragmentation of an ancient continuous range. The oldest tectonic events

invoked to explain currently recognizable patterns in this region date back to the geological

dynamism in the Oligocene that led to isolation of previously connected land-masses (Rosenbaum

et al., 2002). Thus, lineage splits in herbaceous lineages attributed to vicariance during that

period do not involve populations within species but closely related genera such as Helicodiceros

and its Eastern Mediterranean sister group Eminium (Mansion et al., 2008). However, in slowly

evolving tree species the idea that current genetic structures may reflect population divergence

pre-dating the onset of the Mediterranean climate (c. 3.2 Mya) is not perceived as odd (Petit et

al., 2005). Particularly striking is the interpretation of the partial matching found in Quercus suber

between current plastid intraspecific lineages and the western European Oligocene microplates,

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which was attributed to tectonic-associated vicariance events produced at that time (Magri et al.,

2007).

The complex palaeogeology and palaeoclimatology of the Basin counteracted vicariance by

favoring contacts between previously isolated land-masses and the migration of island arcs. The

outcome is a reticulate biogeographical history in which ‘biotas repeatedly fragmented and

merged as dispersal barriers appeared and disappeared through time’ (Sanmartín, 2003; Salvo et

al., 2010). Therefore, finding whole matches between several areas and genetic groups is an

exception and the most frequent pattern is matches in single vicariant events separating two

lineages. Examples of this include both woody species such as Myrtus (Migliore et al., 2012) and

non-woody species such as Campanula (Cano-Maqueda et al., 2008), some of them associated

with well-dated raising of barriers, e.g., the opening of the Strait of Gibraltar, 5.3 Mya, in

Anthemis (Lo Presti and Oberprieler, 2009) or Linaria (Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2011).

A more recently reported model of vicariant relationship is associated with Pleistocene

climatic oscillations. During interglacial periods (including the current ‘postglacial’ one),

distribution areas of cold-adapted species were fragmented and restricted to higher elevations,

thus creating vicariance, which may have left genetic footprints. Current patterns attributed to

this type of vicariance have been reported in high elevation species, both herbaceous perennials

such as Pritzelago alpina (L.) Kuntze (Kropf et al., 2003), Silene rupestris, Gentiana alpina, Kernera

saxatilis, Saxifraga oppositifolia (Kropf et al., 2006; 2008), Androsace vitaliana (L.) Lapeyr. (Dixon

et al., 2009), Reseda sect. Glaucoreseda (Martín-Bravo et al., 2010) as well as trees such as Pinus

mugo Turra (Heuertz et al., 2010).

(c) Long-distance dispersal

LDD events inferred in the frame of phylogenetic studies of genera or species groups, using

analytical methods, have not been rare within the Mediterranean region (e.g., in Araceae,

Mansion et al., 2009; Erodium, Fiz-Palacios et al., 2010) and between this and other regions (e.g.

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in Senecio, Coleman et al., 2003; Convolvulus, Carine et al., 2004; Hypochaeris, Tremetsberger et

al., 2005; Oligomeris, Martín-Bravo et al., 2009; Legousia, Roquet et al., 2009; and other groups,

Kadereit and Baldwin, 2012). At the phylogeographic level, the sharper the contrast between

genetic and geographic distance (specifically a low genetic distance combined with a high

geographic distance) the clearer the footprint of the LDD event is, which implies that older LDD

events are more difficult to document. LDD has been suggested to occur between mountain

ranges affecting cold-tolerant plants only recently, e.g., Alps and Iberian ranges (Androsace

vitaliana, Dixon et al., 2009), Pyrenees and Sierra Nevada (Papaver alpinum L., Kropf et al., 2006).

This is perhaps in contrast to those events mediated by marine bird flights involving coastal or low

elevation species, which have been considered classical examples of LDD. Of those LDD events

connecting areas isolated by sea, there are a number of reports between the Iberian Peninsula

and the Balearics (e.g., Cheirolophus intybaceus, Garnatje et al., 2013), the Iberian Peninsula and

Corsica-Sardinia (Armeria pungens (Link) Hoffmanns. & Link, Piñeiro et al., 2007; Juniperus

thurifera, Terrab et al., 2008b), as well as across the Strait of Sicily (Anthemis secundirramea Biv.,

Lo Presti and Oberprieler, 2011; Linaria Sect. Versicolores, Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2011)

(Fig. 5). For other coastal plants, marine long-distance dispersal has been important in some

species (e.g. Calystegia soldanella (L.) R. Br., Arafeh and Kadereit, 2006).

(d) Radiations

Although adaptive radiations are usually associated to islands (e.g., Aeonium in the Canary Islands,

Jorgensen and Ollesen, 2001), correlations between morphological traits and environmental

variables have revealed cases in the Mediterranean Basin, e.g., in Cistus (Guzmán et al., 2009).

Perhaps this is not unexpected given the environmental heterogeneity of the Basin and the

patchy landscape that offer a variety of niches in relatively close proximity. However, in some

cases there is no evidence for considering the radiations to be adaptive, e.g., in Dianthus broteri

Boiss. & Reuter (Balao et al., 2010) and Erodium spp. (Fiz-Palacios et al., 2010), while in others

radiations are explicitly considered non-adaptive. In fact, comparatively buffered climatic

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oscillations and relatively uniform environments in the Aegean region have favored non-adaptive

radiation, driven instead by genetic drift and leading to allopatric speciation in this area, e.g., in

the Nigella arvensis group (Bittkau and Comes, 2005; Comes et al., 2008). Studies on other groups

are consistent with a scenario of random drift as the driver of plant diversification in the Aegean

region (e.g., Brassica cretica Lam., Edh et al., 2007). Altogether, these examples have stressed the

importance of non-adaptive radiation as compared to the most extended model of radiative

evolution (Gittenberger, 1991).

(e) Hybridization and introgression

The Mediterranean Basin gathers historical and ecological factors that render it a fertile arena for

hybridization and introgression (Thompson, 2005). Firstly, it is a biodiversity hotspot containing a

high degree of genetic and species diversity accumulated in a comparative small space over

extended time (Médail and Diadema, 2009). Secondly, adequate conditions have existed to

encourage contact between partially differentiated populations and closely related species.

Quaternary climate-driven shifts in species ranges involved shorter distances than in higher

latitudes (Hewitt, 2001) in part due to the fact that orography enabled species to track their

niches along altitude (Gutiérrez Larena et al., 2002; Naciri et al., 2010; Fuertes Aguilar et al., 2011;

Surina et al., 2011). This, together with the patchy nature of the landscape and the narrow ranges

of many species (Thompson, 2005) contributed to those contacts. There is evidence that contact

zones between close species of Antirrhinum that are able to hybridize can be finely defined by

niche modelling (Khimoun et al., 2012). This gives ground to the idea that maximizing ecotones in

a patchy landscape can favor hybridization in the Mediterranean and is also consistent with the

importance of ecological differentiation in the region (Thompson et al., 2005). Another favorable

environmental circumstance is habitat disturbance (Lamont et al., 2003; Seehausen et al., 2008)

and domestication, usually progressing from east to west (Besnard et al., 2007; 2013). In

comparison to central or northern European regions, humans have substantially altered the

Mediterranean Basin landscape over several thousand years, both through cultivation and

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habitation, as well as by introducing non-native species. Disturbed habitats provide a suitable

ground for hybridization (Anderson, 1948; Levin et al., 1996) and the potential of alien species to

become invasive has been associated to hybridization too (Schierenbeck and Ellstrand, 2009).

These factors suggest that hybridization and introgression, which are common features in

plants throughout the world, might have been quantitatively important in the Mediterranean.

Testing if this is true is important because these processes can be main drivers of plant evolution

(Arnold, 1997; Mallet, 2005) but by no means easy because there are different possible

evolutionary outcomes of hybridization and introgression (Arnold, 1997; Soltis and Soltis, 2009)

that require specific pattern-detection strategies. Despite these difficulties, hybridization and

introgression have been detected in the Region based on different patterns. These include

incongruence between differently inherited markers (in Centaurium, Mansion et al., 2005;

Helliosperma, Frajman and Oxelman, 2007; Olea, Besnard et al., 2007; Anthemis, Lo Presti and

Oberprieler, 2011); sharing of haplotypes (e.g., in evergreen oaks, Belahbib et al., 2001; López de

Heredia et al., 2007; and Fraxinus, Heuertz et al., 2006) sometimes linked to altitudinal shifts (in

Armeria, Gutiérrez Larena et al., 2002); quantitative morphological variation, especially

intermediacy (in Cyclamen; Thompson et al., 2010); coalescent simulations to tell apart

hybridization from incomplete lineage sorting (in Linaria, Blanco-Pastor et al., 2012); or, more

rarely, species-independent geographic structure of variation for nuclear ribosomal DNA ITS (in

Armeria, Nieto Feliner et al., 2004).

Three aspects remain crucial to refine the assessment of the true incidence of

hybridization and introgression in the region. Understanding and documenting the ecological

factors, and in particular the adaptive significance of hybridization and introgression events, is

central to interpret and even predict the outcomes of these processes. Despite a few thoroughly

studied cases in other regions (Rieseberg et al., 2003), this is an elusive topic. Evidence in the

region is scanty but not lacking. For example, niche expansion associated with hybridization and

introgression is suggested in Armeria pungens (Piñeiro et al., 2011). Along with ecological

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determinants of hybridization, a second crucial aspect is finely assessing reproductive barriers

between hybridizing species, which need not be constant across their ranges (e.g., in Narcissus,

Marques et al., 2012). The role of pollinators as premating barriers is very diverse. Examples of

week premating barriers involving pollinator sharing but leading to sterile hybrids due to post-

mating barriers include Mediterranean orchids (Cozzolino and Widmer, 2005). A third difficult

aspect is distinguishing introgression from lineage sorting (Albaladejo et al., 2005; Maureira-Butler

et al., 2008; Blanco-Pastor et al., 2012) and detecting old introgression. Next generation

sequencing techniques offer new possibilities for addressing those problems (Twyford and Ennos,

2012).

(f) Changes in reproductive systems

Intraspecific breeding system variation is a form of diversity. Thus, it is not unexpected that

it is well represented and, due to its lability and adaptive significance, to have changed several

times in a biodiversity hot-spot like the Mediterranean Basin. A number of phylogeographically

framed studies have identified changes in the reproductive system within this region, e.g., in

Mercurialis (Pannell et al., 2004), Ecbalium (Costich and Meagher, 1992), Hypochaeris (Ortíz et al.,

2007), Epipactis (Tranchida-Lombardo et al., 2011) or Erodium (Alarcón et al., 2011), among

others. In addition, it has long been known that annual life-forms are well represented in the

Mediterranean Basin (Raunkiaer, 1934). Since annuals are frequently associated with selfing

(Stebbins, 1970) and the shift from perennial outcrossing to annual selfing is considered to be

mostly irreversible (Barrett, 2013), the good representation of this life-cycle might be an indirect

indication of active breeding systems shifts.

There are a number of factors that are well represented in the Mediterranean region that

might be associated to breeding systems changes, e.g., human disturbance (Eckert et al., 2010),

environmental changes causing stress particularly in trailing edge populations (Levin, 2012),

threats of inbreeding in narrow habitats (Fiz-Palacios et al., 2010) or the occurrence of

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biogeographic crossroads, such as the Strait of Gibraltar area, where populations of the same

species with different breeding systems accumulate following range shifts across this region

(Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2008). In contrast to these dynamic scenarios, breeding system shifts

are sometimes associated with relatively stable evolutionary scenarios in which differentiation has

been mainly due to genetic drift (e.g., Nigella in Bittkau and Comes, 2005; Comes et al., 2008).

Understanding the origin and maintenance of alternative reproductive systems is far from

simple and requires multiple approaches that go from the genetic basis to the ecological drivers

(Barrett, 1998; Charlesworth, 2006). However, breeding system variation revealed in a

phylogeographic context is a first step that can unveil possible associations between breeding

systems and haplotypes across space.

(g) Ecology determining success of colonization

Seedling establishment is a crucial stage in the colonization of new spots and, in general, in

species range expansion. When LDD events are involved, the success of colonization has been

traditionally been thought to depend primarily on the availability of dispersal vectors and other

factors related with the transport of the diaspores (Nathan, 2006) at least within historical

biogeography. This view somehow implies that once the most stochastic event is achieved, i.e.,

transporting a diaspore across a long distance, the rest of the elements for colonizing a new

territory are or comparatively minor importance. In recent years a view has emerged that gives a

bigger role in the colonization of new areas after LDD or surmounting narrow sea-barriers to

colonization abilities based on preadaptation of genotypes and availability of suitable habitats.

This view follows from research using different approaches including phylogeographically-

oriented studies from high latitudes (Alsos et al., 2007) and from Mediterranean groups. Among

the latter, some have stressed the lack of adaptations in seeds for transmarine transport

(Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2008; Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2010). Another study, using

species distribution modelling (SDM) and genetic data, has shown that the source of a successful

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LDD of Armeria pungens from Iberia to Corsica-Sardinia were the populations occurring in the

most similar habitats, which happened to be geographically the most distant (Piñeiro et al., 2007).

If this pattern is frequent, it would be more correct to speak of long-distance colonization than of

long-distance dispersal, based on the idea that what we recognize as such are those events in

which colonization in the new territory has been achieved, whereas LDD events could be much

more frequent but many not resulting in successful colonization and therefore remaining

undetected.

IV. PERSPECTIVES

Plant phylogeography in the Mediterranean region will probably progress first by increasing the

number of markers sampled within genomes, as in any other discipline in evolutionary biology.

The main advantage of using genealogies from uniparentally inherited genes, i.e., discarding the

possibility of recombination and thus of mixed historical signals (Avise et al., 1987; Avise, 2009),

has been partly overridden years ago by the access to a range of multilocus markers such as

AFLPs, microsatellites, SNPs, and more recently by the availability of high throughput sequencing

techniques, even for non-model organisms (Emerson et al., 2010). This trend has been boosted by

the urge to sample larger parts of genomes when facing complex patterns and processes as we do

in the Mediterranean and also by the realization that relying on one or two gene genealogies to

infer past events at the species level, as done in classical phylogeography, entails risks. However,

inferring organism level evolution from that deluge of molecular data will continue to pose

problems that, conceptually, are not that different from those faced by molecular phylogenetics

in the nineties, i.e., homology/paralogy issues and the connections and disconnections between

gene tree and species tree.

A second aspect is the development and use of new approaches that seek to circumvent the

conceptual problems of more classical approaches. Knowles and Maddison (2002) introduced the

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field of statistical phylogeography, which uses statistical approaches based on coalescent models

for parameter estimation and testing of alternative hypothesis. They focus on the processes that

generate the patterns of genetic variation and on assessing the confidence of phylogeographic

conclusions (Hickerson et al., 2010). The main argument is that if coalescent theory is not

considered, equating genealogical pattern with demographic and evolutionary processes may be

flawed (Arbogast et al., 2002). For example, genealogical splits caused by the same historical

abiotic event need not coincide exactly in time for two species showing disparate demographic

parameters (Knowles, 2009). Although several coalescent-based hypotheses testing methods

have been implemented, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is becoming increasingly used

since it bypasses the computational difficulties of calculating likelihood functions (Beaumont et

al., 2002). These methods are starting to be applied also in comparative phylogeographic studies

(Hierarchical Approximate Bayesian Computation methods, HABC). HABC methods estimate

‘hyper-parameters’, which inform degree of congruence among co-distributed species and ‘sub-

parameters’, which describe the demographic history of each species (Hickerson et al., 2006;

Beaumont, 2010). To the extent that statistical phylogeography minimizes the role of genealogies

(“a gene genealogy is a transitional variable for connecting data to demographic parameters

under an explicit statistical model” Hickerson et al., 2010), it is arguable whether it contributes to

narrowing the gap between phylogenetics and population genetics, as originally proposed by

Avise et al. (1987), and has led to hot debates (Beaumont et al., 2010). In any case, these

approaches should be tried in Mediterranean plant phylogeographic studies, where to date they

are virtually absent, unlike niche modelling approaches, which have been successfully used in

Mediterranean groups.

A third important component for the future of Mediterranean phylogeography is seeking for

congruence with independent data to improve the uncertainty and provide robustness to

phylogeographic hypotheses. Due to scantiness of the plant macrofossil record and the limited

utility of fossil pollen beyond non wind-pollinated species (Petit et al., 2002; Carrión et al., 2003;

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López de Heredia et al., 2007; Terrab et al., 2008a), independent past evidence is expected to be

scarce for many plant groups. This is despite findings like those reported in Anderson et al. (2009)

in volcanic islands such as the Canaries, which remembers how fossil discovery is possible even in

places in which it was considered unlikely. Palaeoclimatic reconstructions in the Mediterranean

Basin and the projection of species distribution modelling into past scenarios (Waltari et al., 2007;

Benito-Garzón et al., 2007; Rodríguez-Sánchez and Arroyo, 2008; Rodríguez-Sánchez et al., 2010;

Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas, 2013) are effective strategies to incorporate past evidence into

phylogeographic studies. But their usefulness will partly depend on filing gaps of palaeoclimatic

data for eastern and southern areas of the Basin and on refining them to be representative of the

environmental heterogeneity in the region (Jakob et al., 2007; Médail and Diadema, 2009).

Choosing simplified systems, e.g., with linear distribution ranges, may help in searching for

congruence too (Clausing et al., 2000; Piñeiro et al., 2007; Escudero et al., 2010).

Focusing on drivers of differentiation and thus beyond the neutral marker domain, another

interesting pursue is performing genome scans and searching for outlier loci showing a

significantly higher degree of differentiation, as this may be indicative of adaptive divergence

particularly when there is correlation with environmental variables (Herrera and Bazaga, 2008;

Excoffier et al., 2009; García et al., 2013). This exemplifies the tendency towards broadening the

scope of evolutionary questions addressed under a phylogeographic frame, which is likely to

increase as phylogeography becomes more inclusive. Combining efforts into integrative

hypothesis-based approaches is one of the keys to understand the complex picture of how the

Mediterranean biota have interacted and evolved along the Basin (Salvo et al., 2010).

Deepening comparative studies with the other four Mediterranean climate zones could also

throw light on plant evolution within the Basin (Cowling et al., 1996). Altogether the

Mediterranean biome covers 2% of the world’s surface, but is home to 20% of the total world’s

flora (Médail and Quézel, 1997). While some Mediterranean climate zones show common

features beyond the climate and the floristic richness, factors determining this richness and the

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processes leading to it seem to differ substantially. For instance, the Mediterranean Basin seems

to share the high speciation and low extinction rates as well as the complex environmental

conditions with the Cape region and, maybe to some extent, the importance of soil types. Yet,

other factors that have apparently played a significant role in the diversity of the Cape region

were not crucial in the Mediterranean Basin. These are climatic stability (at least in comparable

terms), explosive radiation of a few clades that constitute most of the diversity, shifts in fire-

survival strategy, the timing of the onset of summer drought (Linder and Hardy, 2004; Linder,

2005; Schnitzler et al., 2011) and, underlying all these factors, lineage age (Valente and Vargas,

2013).

Large-scale comparative studies could also help to understand features of plant evolution in

time and space in this region. Large efforts like the IntraBiodiv Consortium that focused on the

Alps and Carpathians (e.g., Alvarez et al., 2009) would be useful in the Mediterranean but studies

focused on specific questions could give clues too. An example of the latter is Normand et al.

(2011), which assessed the relative importance of current climate vs. postglacial accessibility to

places with suitable conditions for explaining current plant species ranges in Europe. This study

found that accessibility was especially important for small-range species in southern Europe.

Another important question was addressed by the same team looking at the relationships

between Plio-Pleistocene climate changes, species richness and topographic heterogeneity. They

found a greater increase in species richness with increasing topographic heterogeneity in

southern Europe, than in northern Europe (Svenning et al., 2009).

In addition to the above exposed directions, some final remarks should be pointed out

regarding future phylogeographic studies in the Basin. There are substantial gaps in geographic

coverage for plant phylogeographic studies such as North Africa, the Balkans and the easternmost

part of the Basin. New evidence from the latter area is crucial to substantiate the idea that the

Eastern Mediterranean is a cradle for lineages diversification (Mansion et al., 2009; Barres et al.,

2013). Also, it is fortunate that recent rapid speciation events—associated with Pleistocene

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climatic changes—have substantially contributed to the whole diversity of the area compared to

the Cape Flora (Valente and Vargas, 2013). Thus reconstructing the evolutionary history of a

growing number of younger lineages in the Mediterranean Basin, for which phylogeographic

approaches are particularly useful, will be insightful for the whole biota, including the possible

influence of humans. Because the location and dynamics of glacial refugia depend heavily on the

ecological requirements of each species, important questions regarding their role have to be

addressed using comparative approaches of species from the same habitats and with similar

biological characteristics.

All these things considered, the Mediterranean Basin continues to offer a highly

stimulating scientific ground which phylogeographic approaches can exploit with strong potential

to help explaining biodiversity patterns and understanding how the Basin has come to be one of

biodiversity hotspots on earth.

VI. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I am grateful to Inés Álvarez, Elena Conti, Javier Fuertes, Myriam Heuertz, Joachim W. Kadereit,

Josep A. Rosselló, Isabel Sanmartín and two anonymous reviewers for providing very helpful

comments, and to Peter Linder for suggesting that I write this review, as well as for suggestions

and discussion. Support from the Spanish Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación through the project

CGL2010-16138 is also acknowledged.

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FIGURE LEGENDS:

Figure 1.- Delimitation of the Mediterranean region according to bioclimatic criteria (redrawn

from Quézel and Médail, 2003)

Figure 2.- Examples of east-west phylogeographic breaks associated with a distinct current

geographic gap. Distribution ranges of Buxus balearica (red), Erophaca baetica (grey) and

Cephalaria squamiflora (black) according to Rosselló et al. (2007), Casimiro-Soriguer et al., (2010)

and Rosselló et al. (2009), respectively.

Figure 3.- Examples of the refugia-within-refugia model advocating that each of the three

southern European peninsulas did not function as a single refugium during Pleistocene glacial

periods but each hosted different lineages in separate refugia as indicated by current genetic

structure (Gomez and Lunt, 2007). The map gathers information from a different plant group in

each of three peninsulas: hypothetic location of refugia during the LGM for Quercus spp. in the

Iberian peninsula according to Olalde et al. (2002); genetic groups in Arabis alpina in the Italian

peninsula (Ansell et al., 2008); taxonomic-genetic groups in the Cardamine maritima complex in

the Balkans (Kučera et al., 2010).

Figure 4.- Sea straits whose biogeographic role as barriers or corridors has been addressed in

phylogeographic studies around the Mediterranean Basin.

Figure 5.- Examples of inferred long-distance dispersal (LDD) events within the Mediterranean

Basin in Androsace vitaliana (dark blue), Papaver alpinum (yellow), Cheirolophus intybaceus (red),

Armeria pungens (lilac), Juniperus thurifera (light blue), Anthemis secundirramea (green), Linaria

Sect. Versicolores (orange), interpreted from Dixon et al. (2009), Kropf et al. (2006), Garnatje et al.

(2012), Piñeiro et al. (2007), Terrab et al. (2008b), Lo Presti and Oberprieler (2011) and

Fernández-Mazuecos and Vargas (2011), respectively.

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