• WEATHER SYNOPSIS• In the wake of TS Faxai, H pressure building to the E and Nwlys to the W set up shear line over Guam.• Shear line developing and approaching around Sat, bringing clouds and precip over Guam through Monday• Low CAPE until Sat when ISO/SCTSH and BKN conditions in forecast as tropical disturbance freshens trades.• Sun/Mon tropical disturbance moves SW contributing to Ely 500 hPa flow and 1200-1400 CAPE

• FLIGHT SYNOPSIS• Fri looks OK for flying, but increasing cloud cover throughout the day• Cloud ceiling could be a problem at Sat landing time• Cloud ceiling on Sun takeoff is not favorable for flying, but clearing throughout the day• Cloud ceiling and precip at Mon landing time look bad

wind cld cover (base) precip

landing

Fri (03AM) NE10-15 SCT020, BKN080 ISONE10-15, SCT020 BKN035

Sat (03AM) NE10-15 SCT015, BKN035 -SCT ENE15-20BKN020

Sun (03AM) ENE15-20 BKN020 (not favorable but clears)

-SCT E10-15

Mon (03AM) E5-10BKN035 (not favorable

landing->)SCT

E5-10BKN/

OVC010

Satellite IR

2014-03-03 ~23UTC (9AM

TUE)

2014-03-05 ~22UTC (8AM

THU)

Metogram

Fri T.O.Fri LandSat T.O.Sat Land

Sun T.O.Sun LandMon

NE10 NE15 NE10 NE15G E10 E10 SE10

SCT SCT SCT BKN BKN BKN BKN

GFS 500hPa RH & Winds Take Off

Fri 4am Sat 4am

Sun 4am Mon 4am

L L

L

H H

H

L

H

GFS 1000 hPa Precip & Winds Take Off

Fri 4am Sat 4am

Sun 4am Mon 4am

L L

L L

GFS 850hPa RH & Winds Take Off

Fri 4am Sat 4am

Sun 4am Mon 4am

L L

L L

GFS CAPE & Sfc Winds Take Off

Fri 4am Sat 4am

Sun 4am Mon 4am

L L

L L

GFS Low Clouds & 850 hPa Winds Take Off

Fri 4am Sat 4am

Sun 4am Mon 4am

L L

L L