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Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

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Page 1: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Wealth Condensation as

a ZRPZ. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski,

M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed

Phys. Rev E65 026102

oops!

Page 2: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Wealth Condensation as

a ZUMZ. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski,

M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed

Phys. Rev E65 026102

Page 3: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

The plan

•Apologies (this is an exercise in re-labelling)

•Context: Pareto, Gibrat

•Obtaining observed distributions

•Finite total wealth

•Balls in boxes (ZRP, ZUM, ASEP...)

Page 4: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

The rich (really) are different•Distribution of wealth:

•Majority - log normal:

•Bill Gates and friends:

Page 5: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Pareto (1897)•Pareto looked at personal income for the wealthy:

• Pareto index, found to be between one and two

Page 6: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Gibrat for the rest of us

•Formulated in 1931

• is the Gibrat index

Page 7: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

The gentlemen in question ( +1)

Pareto Gibrat Zipf

Page 8: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

A Wealth curve

Page 9: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

And another

Page 10: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

How might one arrive at such

distributions?•Log normal from MSP

Page 11: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Getting a power law

•Poverty bound in MSP

•Drift to is balanced by reflection at

Page 12: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Other ways

•Adding noise

•Pareto Index

Page 13: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Models with individual agents•Flow-like model - Bouchaud

and Mezard

•Generalized Lotka-Volterra, Solomon et.al.

Page 14: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Mean-Field•Mean-field solution of Bouchaud, Mezard

•where

•Express in terms of normalized wealth

Page 15: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Pareto Like distribution

•The steady state distribution

•Pareto exponent greater than one, but can be twiddled

Page 16: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Characterizing the distribution

•Partial wealth

•Inverse participation ratio

Page 17: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Wealth Condensation• Acts as a order parameter

•If one or more is extensive then

• mean wealth is finite

• mean wealth is infinite

•some guy gets

Page 18: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

What happens for finite total wealth?

•The non-integrable tail gives the wealth condensation

•So what happens in a finite economy?

Page 19: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Balls in boxes (==ZUM)

•Take Pareto distribution as given

•Z(W,N) is an appropriate normalization

•W balls in N boxes

Page 20: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

ZRP, ASEP..

Page 21: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Steady state

•Weights are determined by the jump rates

•Or vice-versa

Page 22: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Solving •Saddle point solution

•where

Page 23: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Solving II

•Saddle point solution

•where is a solution of

•giving

Page 24: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Solving III•Nature of saddle point solution

•As is increased decreases

•At some critical density, saddle point fails

Page 25: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Solving IV

•Effective Probabilities

•Exact calculation

Page 26: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

What does this look like? Above threshold

Page 27: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Below and through threshold

Page 28: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Condensation

•Above threshold the effective distribution is bare + delta

Page 29: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Non-condensation

•Below the threshold, damped power law

Page 30: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Inverse Participation ratio

•At threshold it changes

•From zero to

Page 31: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Tinkering with the “economy”

•Suppose we started below threshold

•Increasing decreases

Page 32: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Why did I get interested?

Page 33: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Effective polymer model

Page 34: Wealth Condensation as a ZRP Z. Burda, J. Jurkiewicz, M. Kaminski, M.A. Nowak, G. Papp, I. Zahed Phys. Rev E65 026102 oops!

Endpiece

•What I haven’t discussed - dynamics i.e. ZRP, ZUM

•Godreche - “zeta-urn”