Wax Candle Manufacturing Plant

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    Investment Office ANRS

    Project Profile on the Establishment

    of Wax candle PRODUCING PLANT

    Development Studies

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    p

    Table of Contents

    1.Executive Summary.............................................................................3

    2.Product Description and Application.................................................3

    3.Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program................4

    3.1Market Study...........................................................................................................................4

    3.1.1Present Demand and Supply............................................................................................4

    3.1.2Projected Demand............................................................................................................73.1.3Pricing and Distribution...................................................................................................9

    3.2Plant Capacity.........................................................................................................................9

    3.3Production Program..............................................................................................................10

    4.Raw Materials and Utilities...............................................................10

    4.1Availability and Source of Raw Materials............................................................................104.2Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities.............................................10

    5.Location and Site................................................................................11

    6.Technology and Engineering ...........................................................116.1Production Process................................................................................................................11

    6.2Machinery and Equipment....................................................................................................12

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    1. Executive Summary

    The project envisages the manufacturing of 308 tons of candles per year in Amhara Regional

    State.

    The market study shows the existence of sufficient demand for the product.

    The initial investment cost is estimated at about Birr 1.8 million.

    The project will create employment opportunities for 15persons.

    The internal rate of return (IRR) of the project is 28.7% and the net present value is more than

    Birr 456 thousands discounted at 18%.

    2. Product Description and Application

    From ancient times candles have been important as sources of light, and although they were

    replaced first by kerosene lamps and later by incandescent electric lamps, their use has actually

    expanded because of their ornamental value. In spite of the technical progress in lighting, the

    term candle power is used as a unit for measuring the brilliance of any given light.

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    3. Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program

    3.1 Market Study

    3.1.1 Present Demand and Supply

    Candles are sources of light for homes during evenings and as such they are items of necessity

    especially in rural areas. Modern candle processing from paraffin is a young venture, but candle

    making from bees wax (Tuaf) is one of the oldest and ancient traditional arts of Ethiopia. The art

    is still in existence but due to the expensive nature of the input, the low quality of the product

    and the finding of cheap and quality substitute for it, paraffin wax candle-drove it out of the

    market.

    Candle is demanded by all income groups both in urban and rural areas. However, its importance

    becomes more crucial in a country like Ethiopia where modern electricity supplies are minimal

    and the numbers of churches using the product are numerous.

    In Ethiopia the per-capita consumption of domestic electricity, (as indicated in the report on

    Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing and Electricity Industry Survey, Statistical Bulletin

    403) is about 10.5 kwh, which is one of the lowest by world standard. The great majority of the

    l ti b t 85% i till i th f li hti Th i l d i t d k

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    practically in all parts of Amhara Region. Kerosene, as the only alternative, is only used by well

    to do farmers because of its price and by low income groups of urban dwellers where there is

    electric power and by most urban dwellers, where there is no power supply. For these reasons,

    more than 95% of house in the rural areas and a significant number of urban with no electric

    power of the Amhara Region do not have lights during the evening, especially after meals are

    cooked. Hence, it could be said that Amhara land is as dark as darkness itself after sunset, which

    manifests the general backwardness of the Region.

    Candle in Ethiopia is not demanded by rural and urban centers with no power but also by urban

    centers having power during power interruption, which is a frequent phenomenon of the country

    and by a number of churches as a substitute of Tuaf. More than 3100 churches are estimated to

    exist in Amhara Region and 18,000 in the country.

    Orthodox Church believers usually vow to light candles in churches during high mass ceremony.

    Candle is also demanded during special occasions like birthday, marriage, Christmas, vow day

    etc. Hotels, bars and restaurants are also major consumers of candle.

    Demand for candle in Ethiopia is satisfied through domestic production and imports.

    A) Domestic production :- All commercial candles produced in the country are produced

    in and around Addis Ababa. The CSA statistical bulletins reveal that the country has

    produced about 593 tons, which is equivalent to 11 86 million of candle on the

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    Table -1-Domestic Production of candles

    Year Quantity ( In Tons)

    90

    91

    92

    93

    94

    95

    96

    97

    98

    99

    946

    719

    769

    559

    677

    614

    348

    256

    319

    725

    Average 593

    Source: CSA, Statistical Bulletins, 1990-1999

    B) Import of Candles:- As per the record of Central Statistics and Customs Authority,

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    Table -2-Imports of Candles

    Year Quantity (in Tons) Value (in 000 Birr)

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    138

    749

    326

    1231

    12800

    1986

    670

    1967

    7181

    1510

    817

    4315

    2033

    7756

    77393

    11865

    4186

    12280

    1073

    12605Average 2856 13432

    Source: CSA & Customs Authority Statistical Bulletins, 1990-1999

    3.1.2 Projected Demand

    As indicated above the major determinants or target markets, for candles are growth in urban

    population and income. In addition hotels, bars & restaurants, churches and special accessions as

    well as well-to-do rural population demand candles for various reasons

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    (under normal condition a candle burns for about 5 hours). This group will require

    about 5,000,000 pieces of candle, which is equivalent to about 250 tons.

    c) Churches :- out of the estimated churches of the country (18,000) about 50% (9,000) are

    expected to celebrate a minimum of 18 holidays/month and perform high mass where in

    three candles are consumed in each church during mass. This will require a total of

    5,832,000 pieces for 292 tons. This will include special occasions and vowers demand.

    d) Well-to-do Rural Facilities Out of the total 66,780,000 of Rural population of 2007

    (13,357,400 families), o.01% of the family is expected to use two packets (16 pcs) per

    year, which totals to about 2,137,184 pieces, or about 107 tons of candles per year.

    e) The candle consumption will grow by the combined average growth rate of, GDP

    growth of 10.7% and urban population growth of 4.5%. which is 7.6% per year.

    Based on the above assumptions the forecasted demand for candle for the next ten years is

    indicated in table -3- below. Aggregate demand for candles ranges from 6,630 tons in 2001 to

    12,818 tons in 2010.

    The comparison between effective and projected demand for candles shows that there is excess

    demand at national level

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    Table -3 Forecasted Demand for Candle (tons)

    YearUrbanPopulation

    Hotels&Bars Churches

    RuralPopulation Total

    2001 5981 250 292 107 6630

    2002 6436 269 314 115 7134

    2003 6925 289 338 124 7676

    2004 7451 311 364 133 8260

    2005 8018 335 391 143 8887

    2006 8627 361 421 154 9563

    2007 9283 388 453 166 10290

    2008 9988 417 487 178 11072

    2009 10747 449 524 192 11913

    2010 11564 483 564 207 12818

    In Amhara Region there is no plant that produces candle to date. On the other hand due to its vast

    population and increased urbanization the average level of candle consumption of the region

    during the last four years was (21996 - 1999) estimated to be about 165 tons which is equivalent

    to 3.3 million pieces of candle (Project Idea). Thus, the future candle consumption of the Region

    could grow by 7.6 % (average growth rate figure of GDP, 10.7% and urban population, 4.5%).

    Consumption of candle per head and per family to the 2007 projected population of the Region

    (19,624,000) could be about 0.2 and 0.9 or consumption per head and per family to the urban

    population (2,299,000) could be about 1.6 candles and 7.8 candles per year, respectively.

    I thi t th t bli h t f dl f t i l t ld d th l k f

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    The output of the proposed plant will be about 28,000 household candles per 8 hour a day, which

    is equivalent to 7.7 million Pieces or 308 tons of candles per annum (275 working days).

    3.3 Production Program

    The plant is assumed to start production at 80% capacity in year one which will increase by 10%

    until 100% capacity is reached.

    4. Raw Materials and Utilities

    4.1 Availability and Source of Raw Materials

    The main direct raw material required for the manufacture of household candles are paraffin

    wax, a by-product of the oil refining industry, wick and a very small quantity of paraffin oil.

    Paraffin wax and oil are imported items while wick is produced locally by the Ethiopian Thread

    Factory.

    The paraffin wax to be used for the manufacture of household candles on the machinery and

    equipment described hereafter should have a maximum oil content of 0.5% and a melting point

    of 56 to 62 C.

    Indirect inputs such as packing for candles are packets, cartons and labels. These materials are

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    Table -4 -Annual Raw Materials and Utilities and Cost (in 000 Birr)

    Items Unit Quantity

    Cost

    TotalL F

    A) Materials

    Paraffin wax tons 3,08 - 2,464 2,464

    Wick mt 1,771,000 18 18

    Paraffin Oil lt. 3080 - 46 46

    Carton Pcs 32,080 160 160Packet Pcs 962,500 963 - 963

    Sub total 1,141 2,510 3,651

    B) Utilities

    Power Kwh 216 475 - 475

    Total 1,616 2,510 4,126

    5. Location and Site

    The candle making plant will be located in one of the eleven zonal towns, preferably where

    utilities and infrastructure are available for its normal operation. i.e Bahir Dar, Gonder or

    Dessie).

    6. Technology and Engineering

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    Packaging machinery has not been included since in countries with comparatively low labor

    costs the packing is better done by hand. In many countries the household candles are simply

    packed in blue paper, in cellophane bags or cardboard boxes.

    First paraffin wax is manually fed into the boiler. The melted paraffin is then transferred to the

    machine, through pipes to fill the moulds; the moulds are cooled by water circulating through the

    machine. After the wax in the moulds is solidified to a certain standard, the machine overturns by

    a device and the wick is cut automatically. Each candle is collected manually and then packed in

    packets for delivery. The technology and capital is simple and affordable.

    The producer can use alternative technology that produces less than 40 grams in weight and 19

    mm in diameter and 200 mm in length, (like local candle factories) as well as use automatic

    packing machine.

    6.2 Machinery and Equipment

    Required machinery and equipments are:

    Item Pieces

    1. Electrically heated wax melting pans 22. Wax pump 1

    3. Electrically heated wax feeding tanks 2

    4. Candle molding machines 2

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    Training of manpower could be carried out in any one of similar plants established in Addis

    Ababa at marginal cost.

    8. Financial Analysis

    8.1 Underlying Assumption

    The financial analysis of candle producing plant is based on the data provided in the preceding

    chapters and the following assumptions.

    A. Construction and Finance

    Construction period 2 years

    Source of finance 40% equity and 60% loan

    Tax holidays 2 years

    Bank interest rate 12%

    Discount for cash flow 18%

    Value of land Based on lease rate of ANRS

    Spare Parts, Repair & Maintenance 3% of fixed investment

    B. Depreciation

    Building 5%

    Machinery and equipment 10%

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    Cash in Hand 30 days

    Accounts Payable 30 days

    8.2 Investment

    The total investment cost of the project including working capital (table 6) is estimated to be

    about Birr 1.8 million. The owner could contribute about 40% of the total investment while the

    rest 60% could be financed by long term bank loan The foreign component of the project

    accounts for Birr 0.65 million or 36% of the total investment cost.

    Table 6: Total initial investment

    LC FC Total

    Land3,000 3,000

    Building362,200 362,200

    Office equipment10,000 10,000

    Vehicles0 0

    machinery & equipment50,000 150,000 200,000

    Total Fixed Investment425,200 150,000 575,200

    Pre production

    28,760 28,760Total Initial Investment453,960 150,000 603,960

    Working capital700,465 497,891 1,198,355

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    Table -7-

    Total Production Cost at full Capacity

    Items Cost

    1. Raw materials 3,651,000

    2. Utilities 475,000

    3. Wages and Salaries 133,920

    4. Spares and Maintenance 17,256

    Factory costs 4,277,176

    5. Depreciation 44,862

    6. Financial costs108,139

    Total Production Cost 4,430,177

    8.4 Financial Evaluation

    I. Profitability

    According to the projected income statement the project will generate profit beginning from the

    first year of operation. The income statement and other profitability indicators show that the

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    IV. Simple Rate of Return

    The projects simple rate of return is 23.3% at full capacity utilization.

    V. Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value

    Based on cash flow statement the calculated IRR of the project is 28.7% and the net present

    value at 18% discount is Birr 456 thousands.

    VI. Sensitivity Analysis

    If costs of raw materials are increased by 10 %, the plant will absorb it profitably.

    9. Economic and Social Benefit and Justification

    Based on the foregoing presentation and analysis, we can learn that the proposed project

    possesses wide range of benefits that complement the financial feasibility obtained earlier. In

    general the envisaged project will improve the health condition of the population, reduce

    deforestation and promote the socio-economic goals and objectives stated in the strategic plan of

    the Amhara National Regional State. These benefits are listed as follows:

    A. Profit Generation

    The project is found to be financially viable and earns on average a profit of birr 0.36 million peryear and birr 3.6 million within the project life. Such result induces the project promoters to

    reinvest the profit which, therefore, increases the investment magnitude in the region.

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    ANNEXES

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    Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr)

    CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

    Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

    Capacity Utilization (%) 0.00 0.00 80% 90% 100% 100%

    1. Total Inventory 0.00 0.00 1522909.52 1713273.21 1903636.90 1903636.90

    Raw Materials in Stock- Total 0.00 0.00 617367.27 694538.18 771709.09 771709.09

    Raw Material-Local 0.00 0.00 219054.55 246436.36 273818.18 273818.18

    Raw Material-Foreign 0.00 0.00 398312.73 448101.82 497890.91 497890.91

    Factory Supplies in Stock 0.00 0.00 3771.96 4243.46 4714.95 4714.95

    Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 0.00 0.00 1505.98 1694.23 1882.47 1882.47

    Work in Progress 0.00 0.00 94299.01 106086.39 117873.76 117873.76

    Finished Products 0.00 0.00 188598.02 212172.77 235747.53 235747.53

    2. Accounts Receivable 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00

    3. Cash in Hand 0.00 0.00 53142.11 59784.87 66427.64 66427.64

    CURRENT ASSETS 0.00 0.00 1388764.35 1562359.90 1735955.44 1735955.44

    4. Current Liabilities 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Accounts Payable 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00

    TOTAL NET WORKING CAPITAL REQUIRMENTS 0.00 0.00 958684.35 1078519.90 1198355.44 1198355.44

    INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 958684.35 119835.54 119835.54 0.00

    1

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    Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr) (continued)

    PRODUCTION

    5 6 7 8 9 10

    Capacity Utilization (%) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    1. Total Inventory 1903636.90 1903636.90 1903636.90 1903636.90 1903636.90 1903636.90

    Raw Materials in Stock-Total 771709.09 771709.09 771709.09 771709.09 771709.09 771709.09

    Raw Material-Local 273818.18 273818.18 273818.18 273818.18 273818.18 273818.18

    Raw Material-Foreign 497890.91 497890.91 497890.91 497890.91 497890.91 497890.91

    Factory Supplies in Stock 4714.95 4714.95 4714.95 4714.95 4714.95 4714.95

    Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 1882.47 1882.47 1882.47 1882.47 1882.47 1882.47

    Work in Progress 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76

    Finished Products 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53

    2. Accounts Receivable 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    3. Cash in Hand 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64

    CURRENT ASSETS 1735955.44 1735955.44 1735955.44 1735955.44 1735955.44 1735955.44

    4. Current Liabilities 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Accounts Payable 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    TOTAL NET WORKING CAPITAL REQUIRMENTS 1198355.44 1198355.44 1198355.44 1198355.44 1198355.44 1198355.44

    INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2

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    Annex 2: Cash Flow Statement (in Birr)

    CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

    Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4TOTAL CASH INFLOW 301980.00 1500335.44 4372480.00 4488960.00 4981760.00 4928000.00

    1. Inflow Funds 301980.00 1500335.44 430080.00 53760.00 53760.00 0.00

    Total Equity 120792.00 600134.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Total Long Term Loan 181188.00 900201.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Total Short Term Finances 0.00 0.00 430080.00 53760.00 53760.00 0.00

    2. Inflow Operation 0.00 0.00 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Sales Revenue 0.00 0.00 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    3. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 301980.00 301980.00 5099252.51 4363597.14 4911687.90 4722952.91

    4. Increase In Fixed Assets 301980.00 301980.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Fixed Investments 287600.00 287600.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Pre-production Expenditures 14380.00 14380.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    5. Increase in Current Assets 0.00 0.00 1388764.35 173595.54 173595.54 0.00

    6. Operating Costs 0.00 0.00 3449689.30 3880003.34 4310317.38 4310317.38

    7. Corporate Tax Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 139404.51 145892.84

    8. Interest Paid 0.00 0.00 260798.86 129766.71 108138.93 86511.149.Loan Repayments 0.00 0.00 0.00 180231.54 180231.54 180231.54

    10.Dividends Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Surplus(Deficit) 0.00 1198355.44 -726772.51 125362.86 70072.10 205047.09

    Cumulative Cash Balance 0.00 1198355.44 471582.93 596945.79 667017.88 872064.97

    3

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    Annex 3: DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW-TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTED

    CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

    Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

    TOTAL CASH INFLOW 0.00 0.00 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    1. Inflow Operation 0.00 0.00 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Sales Revenue 0.00 0.00 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 301980.00 301980.00 4408373.66 3999838.89 4569557.43 4456210.22

    3. Increase in Fixed Assets 301980.00 301980.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Fixed Investments 287600.00 287600.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Pre-production Expenditures 14380.00 14380.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 958684.35 119835.54 119835.54 0.00

    5. Operating Costs 0.00 0.00 3449689.30 3880003.34 4310317.38 4310317.38

    6. Corporate Tax Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 139404.51 145892.84

    NET CASH FLOW -301980.00 -301980.00 -465973.66 435361.11 358442.57 471789.78

    CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW -301980.00 -603960.00 -1069933.66 -634572.54 -276129.98 195659.80

    Net Present Value (at 18%) -301980.00 -255915.25 -334655.03 264974.21 184880.69 206223.66

    Cumulative Net present Value -301980.00 -557895.25 -892550.28 -627576.06 -442695.38 -236471.72

    5

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    Annex 3: DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW-TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTED (Continued)

    PRODUCTION

    5 6 7 8 9 10

    TOTAL CASH INFLOW 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    1. Inflow Operation 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Sales Revenue 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 4462698.56 4470912.49 4477400.83 4483889.17 4483889.17 4483889.17

    3. Increase in Fixed Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Fixed Investments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Pre-production Expenditures 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    5. Operating Costs 4310317.38 4310317.38 4310317.38 4310317.38 4310317.38 4310317.38

    6. Corporate Tax Paid 152381.18 160595.11 167083.45 173571.79 173571.79 173571.79

    NET CASH FLOW 465301.44 457087.51 450599.17 444110.83 444110.83 444110.83

    CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW 660961.24 1118048.75 1568647.92 2012758.75 2456869.58 2900980.42

    Net Present Value (at 18%) 172362.33 143491.21 119876.58 100127.48 84853.80 71910.00

    Cumulative Net present Value -64109.39 79381.82 199258.40 299385.88 384239.68 456149.68

    Net Present Value (at 18%) 456,149.68

    Internal Rate of Return 28.7%

    6

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    Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT ( in Birr)

    PRODUCTION

    1 2 3 4 5

    Capacity Utilization (%) 80% 90% 100% 100% 100%

    1. Total Income 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Sales Revenue 3942400.00 4435200.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2. Less Variable Cost 3399657.90 3824615.14 4249572.38 4249572.38 4249572.38

    VARIABLE MARGIN 542742.10 610584.86 678427.62 678427.62 678427.62

    (In % of Total Income) 13.77 13.77 13.77 13.77 13.77

    3. Less Fixed Costs 94893.40 100250.20 105607.00 105607.00 105607.00

    OPERATIONAL MARGIN 447848.70 510334.66 572820.62 572820.62 572820.62

    (In % of Total Income) 11 12 12 12 12

    4. Less Cost of Finance 260798.86 129766.71 108138.93 86511.14 64883.36

    5. GROSS PROFIT 187049.84 380567.95 464681.69 486309.48 507937.26

    6. Income (Corporate) Tax 0.00 0.00 139404.51 145892.84 152381.18

    7. NET PROFIT 187049.84 380567.95 325277.19 340416.64 355556.08

    RATIOS (%)

    Gross Profit/Sales 5% 9% 9% 10% 10%

    Net Profit After Tax/Sales 5% 9% 7% 7% 7%

    Return on Investment 29% 30% 24% 24% 23%

    Return on Equity 26% 53% 45% 47% 49%

    7

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    Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT (in Birr):Continued

    PRODUCTION

    6 7 8 9 10

    Capacity Utilization (%) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    1. Total Income 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Sales Revenue 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00 4928000.00

    Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2. Less Variable Cost 4249572.38 4249572.38 4249572.38 4249572.38 4249572.38

    VARIABLE MARGIN 678427.62 678427.62 678427.62 678427.62 678427.62

    (In % of Total Income) 14 14 14 14 14

    3. Less Fixed Costs 99855.00 99855.00 99855.00 99855.00 99855.00

    OPERATIONAL MARGIN 578572.62 578572.62 578572.62 578572.62 578572.62

    (In % of Total Income) 12 12 12 12 12

    4. Less Cost of Finance 43255.57 21627.79 0.00 0.00 0.00

    5. GROSS PROFIT 535317.05 556944.83 578572.62 578572.62 578572.62

    6. Income (Corporate) Tax 160595.11 167083.45 173571.79 173571.79 173571.79

    7. NET PROFIT 374721.93 389861.38 405000.83 405000.83 405000.83

    RATIOS (%) Gross Profit/Sales 11% 11% 12% 12% 12%

    Net Profit After Tax/Sales 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%

    Return on Investment 23% 23% 22% 22% 22%

    Return on Equity 52% 54% 56% 56% 56%

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    Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr)

    CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

    Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

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    TOTAL ASSETS 301980.00 1802315.44 2419445.28 2673541.68 2872347.32 3032532.42

    1. Total Current Assets 0.00 1198355.44 1860347.28 2159305.68 2402973.32 2608020.42

    Inventory on Materials and Supplies 0.00 0.00 622645.21 700475.86 778306.51 778306.51

    Work in Progress 0.00 0.00 94299.01 106086.39 117873.76 117873.76

    Finished Products in Stock 0.00 0.00 188598.02 212172.77 235747.53 235747.53

    Accounts Receivable 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00Cash in Hand 0.00 0.00 53142.11 59784.87 66427.64 66427.64

    Cash Surplus, Finance Available 0.00 1198355.44 471582.93 596945.79 667017.88 872064.97

    Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 301980.00 603960.00 559098.00 514236.00 469374.00 424512.00

    Fixed Investment 0.00 287600.00 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00

    Construction in Progress 287600.00 287600.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Pre-Production Expenditure 14380.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00

    Less Accumulated Depreciation 0.00 0.00 44862.00 89724.00 134586.00 1 79448.00

    3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    4. Loss in Current Year 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    TOTAL LIABILITIES 301980.00 1802315.44 2419445.28 2673541.68 2872347.32 3032532.42

    5. Total Current Liabilities 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00Accounts Payable 0.00 0.00 430080.00 483840.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Bank Overdraft 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    6. Total Long-term Debt 181188.00 1081389.26 1081389.26 901157.72 720926.18 540694.63

    Loan A 181188.00 1081389.26 1081389.26 901157.72 720926.18 540694.63

    Loan B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    7. Total Equity Capital 120792.00 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18

    Ordinary Capital 120792.00 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18

    Preference Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Subsidies 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    8. Reserves, Retained Profits Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 187049.84 567617.79 892894.97

    9.Net Profit After Tax 0.00 0.00 187049.84 380567.95 325277.19 340416.64

    Dividends Payable 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Retained Profits 0.00 0.00 187049.84 380567.95 325277.19 340416.64

    Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr): Continued

    PRODUCTION

    5 6 7 8 9 10

    TOTAL ASSETS 3207856.96 3402347.35 3611977.19 4016978.02 4421978.85 4826979.69

    1. Total Current Assets 2828206.96 3061807.35 3310547.19 3754658.02 4198768.85 4642879.69

    Inventory on Materials and Supplies 778306.51 778306.51 778306.51 778306.51 778306.51 778306.51

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    Work in Progress 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76 117873.76

    Finished Products in Stock 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53 235747.53

    Accounts Receivable 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Cash in Hand 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64 66427.64

    Cash Surplus, Finance Available 1092251.51 1325851.90 1574591.75 2018702.58 2462813.41 2906924.25

    Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 379650.00 340540.00 301430.00 262320.00 223210.00 184100.00

    Fixed Investment 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00 575200.00

    Construction in Progress 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Pre-Production Expenditure 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00 28760.00

    Less Accumulated Depreciation 224310.00 263420.00 302530.00 341640.00 380750.00 419860.00

    3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    4. Loss in Current Year 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    TOTAL LIABILITIES 3207856.96 3402347.35 3611977.19 4016978.02 4421978.85 4826979.69

    5. Total Current Liabilities 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Accounts Payable 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00 537600.00

    Bank Overdraft 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    6. Total Long-term Debt 360463.09 180231.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Loan A 360463.09 180231.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Loan B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    7. Total Equity Capital 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18

    Ordinary Capital 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18 720926.18

    Preference Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Subsidies 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    8. Reserves, Retained Profits Brought Forward 1233311.61 1588867.69 1963589.63 2353451.01 2758451.84 3163452.68

    9. Net Profit After Tax 355556.08 374721.93 389861.38 405000.83 405000.83 405000.83

    Dividends Payable 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Retained Profits 355556.08 374721.93 389861.38 405000.83 405000.83 405000.83

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