WarrenBuffetl[1]

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    FIN 490

    Joe, Sam, John, Rashed

    Ancell Consulting Group

    Berkshire Hathaway and

    PacifiCorp

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    Itinerary

    History/ Background - Rashed

    Asset Allocation - Rashed

    Buffets Investment Philosophy - Sam Methodology - Sam

    MidAmerican Energy - Joe

    PacifiCorp - John

    Recommendation - John

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    Background

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    Berkshires Portfolio of business

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    Buffets Investment Philosophy

    1) Economic reality, not accounting reality

    2) Cost of lost Opportunity

    3) Value creation: time is money

    4) Measure performance by gain in intrinsic value, notprofits

    5) Risk and discount rates

    6) Diversification7) Investing driven by info, analysis and self-discipline

    8) Alignment of agents and owners

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    Time money of projected cash flows

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    ROE

    20%

    COE15%

    $9.4 $11.28 $13.54 $16.24 $19.49 $23.39

    Value Creation

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    ROE

    10%

    COE

    15%

    $9.4 $10.34 $11.37 $12.51 $13.76 $15.14

    Value Destruction

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    Value Creation Value Destruction

    Market book value created: $1.24

    Market book value destroyed: $0.80

    PacifiCorp

    (amount in billions)

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    MidAmerican financials

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    MidAmerican Net Earning Growth vs.

    Return on Revenue

    Year % Growth on

    revenue return

    2000 0

    2001 38%

    2002 92%

    2003 138%

    2004 27%

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    Share price performance of Berkshire

    and Scottish Power

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    Comparable Regulated Energy Firms

    Beta Shares O/S Market

    Cap

    Net

    Income

    Alliant

    Energy0.85 115.74 $3026.60

    $164Cinergy

    Corp0.85 187.53 $7266.79 $404

    NSTAR 0.70 106.55 $2658.42 $190

    SCANACorp

    0.75 113.00 $4096.25 $264

    WisconsinEnergy 0.70 116.99 $3749.53 $306PacifiCorp 0.77 312.18 $5508.16 $252

    Firms and their performance

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    Return on Assets and Debt Ratio

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    Valuation for Pacific Corp.

    and Berkshire Hathaway

    Basis Enterprise Values

    In Millions

    Revenue $6,584

    EBIT $9,289

    EBITDA $9,076

    Net Income $7,553

    Berkshire Hathaway

    Beta = 0.75

    Risk Free (2004) = 5.76%

    CAPM = 9.315%

    Historical Return = 24%

    AcquisitionValue Added = $2,010

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    Conclusion

    Low risk of corporate greed

    High levels of intrinsic value

    Track record

    Investor confidence