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WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

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Page 1: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

WARM-UP

1. Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8a) Find P(AB)b) P(A|B)c) P(B|A)

2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

Page 2: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

Counting and Permutations

Page 3: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

GROUP ACTIVITY

Break into groups and solve the word problem provided to each group. Each word problem is different, so you should only be talking to the people in your group

Page 4: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

FUNDAMENTAL COUNTING PRINCIPAL

• Given a combined action, or event in which the first action can be performed in n₁ ways, the second action can be performed in n₂ ways, and so on, the total number of ways in which the combined action can be performed is the product n₁ n₂…..∙

Page 5: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

INDIVIDUAL ACTIVITY

• You are setting up a special playlist in your iPod. You trying to put 5 songs in an order to your liking. List the songs you are putting in the playlist, and say how many ways you can have the songs listed in that playlist

Page 6: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

PERMUTATION

• A permutation of a set of n objects is an ordered arrangement of all “n” objects

Page 7: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

TOTAL NUMBER OF PERMUTATIONS OF “N” OBJECTS

• The total number of permutations of “n” objects, denoted P(n,n) is given by

P(n,n)=n (n-1) (n-2) …1∙ ∙ ∙

Page 8: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

FACTORIAL NOTATION

• For any natural number “n”,n!=n (n-1) (n-2) ….1∙ ∙ ∙also n!=n (n-1)!∙

• For the number 0, 0!=1

• So, n!=P(n,n)

Page 9: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

QUESTION:

• How many 5-digit numbers can be formed using the digits 2,4,6,8, and 9 without repetition? With repetition?

Page 10: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

WITHOUT REPETITION

I can only choose from 5 numbers. Every time I choose a number, I will have one less number to choose from the next time

5 4 3 2 1=20 6=120∙ ∙ ∙ ∙ ∙

Page 11: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

WITH REPLACEMENT

I have 5 numbers to choose from. Every time I choose a number, I am allowed to choose that number again. So, I will ALWAYS have 5 numbers to choose from

5 5 5 5 5=5⁵∙ ∙ ∙ ∙

Page 12: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

GROUP WORK

• There are 7 people and 3 chairs. How many different ways can I put 7 people in 3 distinct chairs?

• I have 3 balls and 2 cups. How many ways can I put 3 balls in 2 distinct cups? (only 1 ball can go in each cup).

• http://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/v/permutations

Page 13: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

Number o f permutations of a set of “n” objects taken k at a time

The number of permutations of a set of “n” objects taken k at a time, denoted P(n,k) given by P(n,k)=n (n-1) (n-2)…[n-(k-1)]∙ ∙

=n!/(n-k)!

Page 14: WARM-UP 1.Given that P(A)=.35, P(B)=.85, P(AUB)=.8 a)Find P(AB) b)P(A|B) c)P(B|A) 2. Determine if the events A and B are independent

SOLVE1) P(6,6)2) P(10,7)3) 5!4) P(4,3)5) (8-5)!6) 9!/4!