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VPVI-64Project Planning + Revenue Methods =The Ultimate Revenue Forecast
Larry George
Chief Financial Officer- Partner, Architect with other responsibilities
Director of Accounting- Full time Accounting (CPA), the Real Deal
Director of Project Performance- Architecture and IT background
- Vision Administrator since implementation
- Coordinate 10 Group Operations Leaders
with 50+ Project Directors across 5 Studios
Project Accountants- Two full time and one part time
- Billing, AP, Plan Management, Project Director
Support
Accounting + Finance at RATIO
Why I Attend Insight
• First Deltek Conference - Spring 2007 in Orlando
• 7th Insight
• Tips – How to’s
• Learn how others work and use the tools
• Gain Insight into what’s next…
• Workflows, UDIC’s
• What can I take back to benefit my company?
• New ideas, Best Practices, Inspiration
Getting to Know You
• Who does NOT use project planning?
• Anyone use Activities?
• Anyone mastered Managing Vision Dashboards?
• Custom revenue methods?
• Using Vantagepoint?
• Any SQL masters in the house?
• Custom Reporting gurus?
• Anyone have a great forecasting system?
Planning
Vision Environment• 7.6 Basics + Resource Planning, CRM,
Visualization
• Newforma – first work with CCG
• Payables Approval and Tracking from CCG
• Synthesis from Knowledge Architecture – “Upshift”
• OpenAsset
• Mobile CRM and Time & Expense
• Do not have Performance Management – yet. ?
• Limited use of iAccess
• Analysis Cubes
Setting the Stage.
• Advantage to Vision 5 in 2007
• Primary drivers for implementation
- Labor Planning
- Forecasting
- CRM
- Organization Reporting
- Dashboards = Real time data
access
• Now five studios in three times zones
Setting the Stage..
• Using Project Planning since the
beginning.
• WBS = Project, Phase, Task
- (Task = Discipline)
• 90% of revenue from fixed fee contracts.
• 40 - 45% of gross to consultants
• Every billable project has a plan
- Currently 370+ active.
- Fees range from under $1,000 to
over $20,000,000.
•Fees flow from plan toproject
•Fees, staff, and consultants aremaintained
at every phase /task
•Calendar format is usuallySemi-Monthly
Setting the Stage...
•Project Number
- Add number to namefield
for display on all tabs
•Additional Editors
- Enable specific others
to edit plans
•Project Stage
- Plans with issues
- Allows us to discountthe
forecast bystage
Planning Tweaks
Forecasting the Old WayCopy orCut
Paste
Reproportion
• Manually allocating fee for every plan, level, and
period is labor intensive and error prone.
• Schedules change and we don’t work to the plan.
• Does not support org reporting at lower levels.
• You can’t forecast negative revenue.
• Who can we trust to maintain the forecast?
• I always thought there had to be a better way.
• The forecast should simulate the revenue
method.
So What’s the Problem
So What’s the
Solution?
• Current Revenue = JTD Revenue - Prior Revenue
• Rev Gen calculates Gross Revenue. Consultants and
expenses are subtracted to report Net Revenue.
• Custom Revenue Methods allow us to calculate Gross
Revenue and report Net Revenue independent of client
invoices or consultant vouchers.
• The Key Components of Rev Gen include:
- Actual posted labor cost
- Actual Consultant and Other expenses
- Planned labor
- Planned fees
- The Revenue Generation method
Revenue Generation
Show Me The Money!
• Bill_F Net = % Billed * Net Fee + Markup
- Different from normal Billed in that it applies the
billed % to just the net fee
- This is used when labor is minimal or sporadic.
• Hourly Net = Labor @ Bill Rate + Markup
- Typical hourly billing
• Fee_R Net = Labor % Complete x Net Fee + Markup
- This accounts for at least 90% or our revenue.
- Labor must be recorded to calculate % complete.
Revenue Methods
95.37%
3.43%
1.21%
FEE_R HOURLY BILL_F
The Revenue Master workflow setsthe
Revenue Method at all lowerlevels
Managing the Methods
Labor Tab Configuration
One Night At
• Fee_R : Net Revenue = labor % complete x net fee*
• JTD Labor, ETC Labor, and Net Fee drive the forecast
• Current month Calculation:
- Recalculate Net Rev based on EAC EM.
- Subtract prior net revenue.
- Add Net Rev forecast for this period based on new EAC
EM.
• Future months forecast at the new EAC EM.
* For mockup purposes, reimbursable markup and consultant fees are not addressed
Mocking up Fee_R Logic
Build the Logic in Excel
Play Time
• Involved CCG initially to help create custom reports.
• Used the excel spreadsheet to describe the objective.
• Started working with Darrell Aaron with CCG
• Worked through conversion of the Excel idea into SQL.
• Darrell did initial work on his own but much of the later work
was us sharing a screen and talking through issues and
possibilities.
• Through this process I set aside the idea of developing a
custom report in favor is Excel Pivot tables.
• I’ve been using Analysis Cubes for years, so this was a
natural.
Phone a
Friend
SQL Happened
Pivot to Excel
Pivot Table Fields
Plan Variance Tracking
Excel Does Charts
Full Project Reporting Capabilities
Org Reporting at Lower Levels
Customizing Custom Reports
Timing Considerations• Reporting is only correct when the current period
follows a closed period.
• Excel solution; the current period is manually editable
by me.
• Vision custom report: the current period is taken from
the users Vision instance.
- The problem is the time period between when a new
accounting period is opened and the financials for
the prior period are completed. This is 7-10 days
when the report is likely not accurate.
- Need to educate users when to set Vision to the
prior period when that period is not yet closed.
Negative adjustment from prior
earned revenue is caused by
either added future labor,
reduction of net fee, or both.
Forecasting Negative Revenue
How Accurate is it?
• If you record exactly the hours planned, it’s perfect.
• Be careful to not over plan staff.
• Most PD’s are overly optimistic about
- How soon work will start
- How soon it will be complete
- How much time will be spent
• Direct Expenses do not earn revenue so will
have a negative impact on Net Revenue.
• We Discount Forecasts for Firm Summaries
- Active plans to 90%
- Imminent plans to 75%
- Uncertain plans to 15%.
•Make required input
fields more obvious.
•Add drop down fields
for survey responses.
More Tweaks