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ANALYST MEETING ANTWERP JULY 10, 2008

Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Page 1: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

ANALYST MEETINGANTWERP JULY 10, 2008

Page 2: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Page 3: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Sharp strategic focus & an eye for detail

Page 4: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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• Vopak’s Transformation Process

• Financial Performance

• Inflation

• Macroeconomic Developments and The PotentialImpact on Tank Storage Demand

• Growth Projects

• Financing

• Vopak Terminal Bahamas

Agenda

Page 5: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Vopak has now completed a successful ‘shrink to grow’ revitalization

Revenues in billion EUR; all figures are excl. exceptional items and incl. joint ventures

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Revenues EBITDA margin EBIT margin ROCE

Page 6: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Products

Logistics services

Terminal location

Value chain (backward) Value chain

(forward)

GeographiesTerminal

types

Many choices made…

LNG

Bio fuels

Vegetable oils

Chemicals

Oil

ME

America’s

Asia

Europe

“Industrial”

“Distribution”

“Hub”

Barging

Shipping

Forwarding

Sea ports

Inland harbors

Airports

Electrical & automation

Civil se

rvices

Mechanical services

Inspection & test services

Waste management Terminal operations

Outsourcing vendor to majors

Simple refining/processing

Product trading

Trucking

Page 7: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Products

Logistics services

Terminal location

Value chain (backward) Value chain

(forward)

GeographiesTerminal

types

Focus after split-off (July 2002)

LNG

Bio fuels

Vegetable oils

Chemicals

Oil

ME

America’s

Asia

Europe

“Industrial”

“Distribution”

“Hub”

Barging

Shipping

Forwarding

Sea ports

Inland harbors

Airports

Electrical & automation

Civil se

rvices

Mechanical services

Inspection & test services

Waste management Terminal operations

Outsourcing vendor to majors

Simple refining/processing

Product trading

TruckingSituation 2002

Page 8: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Products

Logistics services

Terminal location

Value chain (backward) Value chain

(forward)

GeographiesTerminal

types

Clear choices in 2003

LNG

Bio fuels

Vegetable oils

Chemicals

Oil

ME

America’s

Asia

Europe

“Industrial”

“Distribution”

“Hub”

Barging

Shipping

Forwarding

Sea ports

Inland harbors

Airports

Electrical & automation

Civil se

rvices

Mechanical services

Inspection & test services

Waste management Terminal operations

Outsourcing vendor to majors

Simple refining/processing

Product trading

TruckingSituation 2002

Vopak Core

Page 9: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Products

Logistics services

Terminal location

Value chain (backward) Value chain

(forward)

GeographiesTerminal

types

Growth and excellence focus

LNG

Bio fuels

Vegetable oils

Chemicals

Oil

ME

America’s

Asia

Europe

“Industrial”

“Distribution”

“Hub”

Barging

Shipping

Forwarding

Sea ports

Inland harbors

Airports

Electrical & automation

Civil se

rvices

Mechanical services

Inspection & test services

Waste management Terminal operations

Outsourcing vendor to majors

Simple refining/processing

Product trading

TruckingSituation 2002

Vopak Core

Page 10: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Products

Logistics services

Terminal location

Value chain (backward) Value chain

(forward)

GeographiesTerminal

types

Accelerating growth strategy (2007)

LNG

Bio fuels

Vegetable oils

Chemicals

Oil

ME

America’s

Asia

Europe

“Industrial”

“Distribution”

“Hub”

Barging

Shipping

Forwarding

Sea ports

Inland harbors

Airports

Electrical & automation

Civil se

rvices

Mechanical services

Inspection & test services

Waste management Terminal operations

Outsourcing vendor to majors

Simple refining/processing

Product trading

Trucking

Vopak 2007

Page 11: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Cost Efficient Operations

Customer Leadership

Strategic Focus VopakExecution of the strategy is on track

Growth Leadership

Pursue and strengthen leadership in key locations

Invest in partnerships with strategic customers

Attain service excellence across the network

Become preferred provider for strategic accounts

Attain low cost position compared to key

competitors

Develop superior ability to withstand all economic

conditions

Leadership EnablersAlign structure with strategy and improve supply of human capital

ExcellenceSet new standards in commercial operational and financial excellence

Page 12: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Financial Performance

Page 13: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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148,3 152,9179,7

220,9

272,9

300

100

150

200

250

300

2003* 2004 2005 2006 2007 Outlook2008

EBIT excl. exceptionals

EBIT excl. exceptionals is developing positively

* based on Dutch GAAP

In EUR millions

Page 14: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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220.9 272.9

Outlook Summary

* EBITDA includes joint ventures & associates results **excluding exceptional items

475-550

FY 2006 FY 20075 year plan

(2011)EUR (mln)

EBIT**

388.8EBITDA* 309.8

ROCE 25.1%19.4% Around 16%

OutlookFY 2008

a minimum increase of10%

Long-term

Bearing in mind substantialinvestments in greenfield

projects/ expansions

Bearing in mind substantialinvestments in greenfield

projects/ expansions

Guidance

Updated to2009 / 2010

Page 15: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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EBIT 2008 Outlook reflects 17.5% increasecompared to Normalized 2007 Results

Actual 2007 ImpactDivestments

ExchangeRate

Normalized2007 EBIT

Outlook 2008

17.5%17.5%

272.9255.4

9.28.3 300

Page 16: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Reconciling Q1 2008 Results to Outlook 2008 requires an eye for detail…

Actual Q1 EBIT:€ 79.2M

+* expansions* margin management

Outlook 2008

€ 300M EBIT

-/-* tanks out of operation* one-off revenues* pre-operating expenses* depreciation* start-up results* IFRS 3* inflation (timing differences)

Page 17: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Vopak’s challenge

The challenge is facilitating the product flows:

LOCATION

•Hinterland connections•Deep water access•Permit structure•Land availability•Port importance/

speciality•Competitive situation

INFRASTRUCTURE

•Tanks sizes•Jetty capacity•Truck/rail loading

stations•Capacity to blend•Automation level

MEETINGDIFFERENT CLIENT NEEDS

•Flexibility•Speedy ship

turnaround•High SHE standards•Availability of

services: blending, heating, etc.

•Hinterland connections:river, road, rail

…resulting in different EBITDA margins.

Page 18: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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IFRS 3 requires purchase price allocation toidentifiable assets with different depreciation / amortization periods

Starting 2010, professional service fees related to acquisitionscannot be capitalized anymore.

Identifiable Assets Depreciation / Amortization Valuation approach

PPELand rent LandIntangible assets

Economic life period

Dependent on business drivers

Depreciatedreplacement cost (PPE)Market approachIncome approach

Goodwill Annual impairment test

Page 19: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 wouldimplicate an increase by 34% in 2 years time…

± 410475

550

EBITDA Outlook 2008

34%34%

2009 / 2010EBITDA Guidance

Page 20: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Inflation

Page 21: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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InflationCPI 2008 forecast

North and Latin Americas

Canada

U.S.

Mexico

Brazil

Chile

Venezuela

Inflationwage2008 forecast

Page 22: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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InflationCPI 2008 forecast

Europe

Netherlands

Belgium

Germany

United Kingdom

Sweden

Spain

Inflationwage2008 forecast

Page 23: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Asia

China

Japan

Indonesia

Malaysia

Singapore

Australia

InflationCPI 2008 forecast

Inflationwage2007 actual

* Actual 2006

*

Page 24: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Global Carbon Steel Prices

Page 25: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Global Stainless Steel Prices

Page 26: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Macroeconomic developments and the potential impact on tank storage demand

Page 27: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

World Trade in Major Liquid Petrochemicals

Mixed Xylenes Paraxylene Benzene Cumene Phenol Styrene MEG Methanol

Thousand Metric Tons

US closed PX plants

NA closed methanol plants, new mega plants in LA and ME

World Trade in Major Liquid Petrochemicals

Page 28: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Trade ThousandsTons

Production Thousands  Tons

Production Vs Trade

Total Production Trade

9/11, Internet collapse and Enron-case

WT/WP= 19%

WT/WP= 26%

Production VS Trade

Source: CMAI

Page 29: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

World Trade in Major Liquid Petrochemicals

Selected Imports % World GDP

Thousand Metric Tons % GDP

World Trade in Major Liquid Petrochemicals

Source: CMAI

9/11, Internet collapse and Enron-case

Page 30: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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• Growth in major chemical trade flows exceeds production growth

• Growth in world trade flows is expected to continue to accelerate

• Historic impact of economic slowdowns on trade flows limited

Important observations

Page 31: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Shift of production to Middle East / Asia

New flows will come on stream

Dependability on Middle East increases

ME will become the main exporter in bulk chemicals

China / India strongest growing economies / regions

New and growing flows

Supply and demand imbalances grow

As a consequence product flows will grow

Import in Europe of commodity chemicals increase

More tank storage for bulk chemicals

Macro economic developments and the potential impact on tank storage demand

Source: CMAI

Page 32: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Rationalization of Producers continues

Growing number of global customers

BioFuels development : impact on the Fuel supply / demand

On the longer term fuel supply / demand balances will change

Expansion of EU countries E15 – E25

New flows will come on stream

Increasing role for major hubs

Important to be there

Macro economic developments and the potential impact on tank storage demand

Source: CMAI

Page 33: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Growth projects

Page 34: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Projects completed YTD 2008

Location Ownership Type Consolidated Joint venture

Rotterdam 100% Expansion 200,000

Fujairah 30% Expansion 380,000

Sebarok 69.5% Expansion 125,000

Zhangjiagang 100% Expansion 12,500

Bahamas 20% Acquisition 3.0M

Vopak EOS 35% Merger 0.4M

Malaysia 100% Acquisition 20,600

Other 65,000 20,000

Total added capacity YTD 2008 423,100 3.6M

Total added capacity YTD 2008 >4M cbm

Additional CBM

Page 35: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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To be operational in 2008

Location Ownership Type Products Consolidated Joint venture

Zhangjiagang 100% Expansion Chemicals 72,000

BanyanPhase 3

69.5% Expansion Oil / Chemicals

320,000

Sebarok 69.5% Expansion Oil 91,000

Vopak EOS 35% Expansion Oil 200,000

Other 120,000 40,000

Total capacity to be added in 2008 603,000 240,000

Total capacity to be added in 2008 843,000 cbm

Additional CBM

Page 36: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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To be operational in 2009

Location Ownership Type Products Consolidated Joint venture

Botlek Zuid 100% Expansion Chemicals 156,000

BanyanPhase 4

69.5% Expansion Oil / Chemicals

390,000

Sydney 100% Expansion Oil 83,000

Penjuru 69.5% Expansion Chemicals 65,000

Vlaardingen 100% Expansion Chemicals 60,000

Other 138,000 28,000

Total capacity to be added in 2009 892,000 28,000

Total capacity to be added in 2009 920,000 cbm

Additional CBM

Page 37: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Financing

Page 38: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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3.75

Strategic Finance: Sufficient Flexibility

* based on Dutch GAAP

Maximum Ratio under US PP

Net debt : EBITDA ratio

Maximum Ratio under other loans and syndicated revolving credit facility

׀

1.71

1.61

1.76

2.20

2.42

2.49

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

2002*

2003*

2004

2005

2006

2007

Page 39: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Covenant/Term US PP 2001 US PP 2007 New RCFMaximum Net Debt / EBITDA 3.75 3.75 3.75

Additional headroomWhen financed withsubordinated debt

Up to 4.25 > 3.75

EBITDA / Net Interest Payable

> 4.0 > 3.5 > 3.5

Overview of US PP terms and RCF

Amount USD396 mln

USD 375 mln

EUR 1 bln

+ EUR 200 mln

Page 40: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Vopak Terminal Bahamas

Page 41: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Balance sheet

Vopak Terminal Bahamas –impact on Vopak Financial Statement

Profit & Loss

Cash Flow*

Joint venturesand associates

Result of jv(equity method) +Management fee

Acquisition priceDividend

* First 5 years no dividend expected. Operational free cash flow will be reinvested in expanding the terminal.

Equity: 20% Capacity: 3M cbm

Page 42: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Strategic Location

The closest proximity to the U.S. East Coast

Deep water access (VLCC and ULCC)

Availability of land means room forexpansions

Close to the refineries/clients

Transshipment hub

Page 43: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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Shipping Connections

The max draughts of Florida ports:– Tampa: 13 metres– Port Manatee: 12 metres– Jacksonville: 11 metres– Port Canaveral: 12 metres– Palm Beach: 10 metres– Port Everglade: 13 metres

The ports must rely on the local supplyhub as their draughts are not deepenough to accomodate the VLCCs:

The break bulk is necessary.

Page 44: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

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This presentation contains statements of a forward-looking nature, based on currently available plans and forecasts. Given the dynamics of the markets and the environments of the 31 countries in which Vopak renders logistics services, the company cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of such statements.

Unforeseen circumstances include, but are not limited to, exceptional income and expense items, unexpected economic, political and foreign exchange developments, and possible changes to IFRS reporting rules.

Statements of a forward-looking nature issued by the company must always be assessed in the context of the events, risks and uncertainties of the markets and environments in which Vopak operates. These factors couldlead to actual results being materially different from those expected.

Forward-looking statement

Page 45: Vopak Analyst Meeting in Antwerp Jack de Kreij 10 July 2008 · Market approach Income approach ... Realizing a € 550M EBITDA level in 2010 would implicate an increase by 34% in

45Thank you!