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Carla De Geyseleer, Per Ansgar, Therese Jandér 2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update

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Page 1: Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update/media/Files/V/Volvo-Cars-IR/result… · Used cars, P&A* and others-16,860 Volume, sales mix and pricing Foreign exchange rates-2,546 Revenue

Carla De Geyseleer, Per Ansgar, Therese Jandér2020-07-21

Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update

Page 2: Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update/media/Files/V/Volvo-Cars-IR/result… · Used cars, P&A* and others-16,860 Volume, sales mix and pricing Foreign exchange rates-2,546 Revenue

Disclaimer

By accepting this document, the person to whom it is provided (the “Recipient”) agrees to be bound by the following obligations and limitations.

This document has been prepared and issued by Volvo Car AB (together with its subsidiaries, “Volvo Cars”).

The information contained in this document is derived from sources that have not been independently verified. Except in the case of fraudulent misrepresentation, no responsibility or liability is accepted by Volvo Cars or by any of its respective officers, employees, affiliates or agents in relation to the accuracy, completeness or sufficiency of any information contained herein or any other written or oral information made available by Volvo Cars in connection therewith or any data which any such information generates, or for any loss whatsoever arising

from or in connection with the use of or reliance on this document and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. Analyses and opinions contained herein may be based on assumptions that, if altered, can change the analyses or opinions expressed. This document speaks as of the date hereof and in providing this document, Volvo Cars gives no undertaking and is under no obligation to provide the Recipient with access to any additional information or to update this document or to correct any inaccuracies in it which may become apparent. Volvo Cars’ past perfor-mance is not necessarily indicative of future results and nothing contained herein shall constitute any represen-tation or warranty as to future performance of Volvo Cars or any security, credit, currency, rate or other market or economic measure. Nor does this document constitute a recommendation with respect to any securities.

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 2

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 3

1First Half Year 2020

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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Market share gains despite Covid-19 impact

• Proactive and pragmatic actions

• China returning to growth in April and US in June

• Sales in Europe show clear signs of recovery

• Market share gains in all regions

Accelerated transformation

• Share of PHEV sales doubled

• XC40 Recharge production starts in H2

• Polestar 2 reaching markets

• Online sales initiatives

• Waymo collaboration

Financial performance

• Revenue and EBIT reduction from volume decline

• Continued strong mix

• Cost efficiencies intensified

• Liquidity remained strong

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 4

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 5

1First Half Year 2020

Half Year 2020 Financial PerformanceEBIT

Balance SheetCash flow

Financial Summary

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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2020 H1 KEY FIGURES

COVID-19 IMPACTED FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Revenue(MSEK)

Retail sales (K UNITS)

EBIT / margin (MSEK/%)

341

270

2019H1

2020 H1

-20.8%

130,095

111,759

2020 H1

2019H1

-14.1%

5,519

-989

2019H1

2020 H1

-117.9%

Cash flow from operating and investing

activities (MSEK)

-2,759

-12,803

2019H1

2020 H1

-364.0%

4.2%

-0.9%

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 6

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GROWTH TRAJECTORY AFFECTED ELECTRIFICATION ACCELERATED

2020 H1 SALES BY MARKET, CARLINE AND POWERTRAIN

70 70 77 95 101 91

70 83 8298 108 101

82 91 114131

155 153

282291

299

318341

290

2019 LTM20182015 2016 2017

504535

572

642

705

635

CAGR+4.7% -9.9%

XC

V

S

USEurope China Other

18

19

44

47

57 Sweden

Italy

UK

Germany

BeLux*

Model range distribution H1

PHEV sales (k units)

* BeLux: Belgium & LuxembourgH1 2019 H1 2020

21

38

+79.8%

Other

US

Europe

China

69%

14%

17%

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 7

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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

2020-07-21 8Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update

2020 H1 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

(MSEK) 2020 H1 2019 H1 Change (%)

Revenue 111,759 130,095 -14

Cost of sales -94,480 -105,450 -10

Gross income 17,279 24,645 -31

Gross margin 15.5% 18.9%

Operating income (EBIT) -989 5,519 -118

EBIT margin -0.9% 4.2%

Net income -1,171 3,398 -134

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REVENUE DECLINE LESS THAN VOLUME

2020 H1 REVENUE COMPOSITION (MSEK) REVENUE DISTRIBUTION BY MAIN MARKETS

1,070111,759

Revenue 2019 H1

Used cars, P&A* and

others

-16,860

Volume, sales mix and pricing

Foreign exchange rates

-2,546

Revenue 2020 H1

130,095

MSEK -18,336-14.1%

49%22%

15%

14%

OtherEurope US China

* P&A: parts & accessories

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 9

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➢ Existing initiatives in fixed and variable cost reduction intensified

➢ Notice of 1,300 employees in Sweden

3.2

Structural Efficiencies

COST EFFICIENCY MEASURES AND STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION

COVID-19 MITIGATION MEASURES

➢ Governmental support for “technical unemployment” in Q2

➢ Plants balanced their manning costs to meet 20% reduced production in Q2

➢ Strengthened liquidity with SEK 14.7bn credit facilities (of which SEK 13.2 bn incremental)

Cost reduction H1 2020 vs H1 2019 (BNSEK)

MITIGATING MEASURES AND DISCIPLINED COST EFFICIENCIES

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 10

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IMPROVED HEAD COUNT EFFICIENCY

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 11

2020 H1 FTE* END OF PERIOD DISTRIBUTION BY REGION

Jun-19 Jun-20Dec-18

-455

-736

Dec-19

45,233-726

46,414

45,959

44,497

-1,917

21%

72%

Europe

China

4%US

3%

Other

*FTE: number of full time equivalents, includes both employees and agency personnelNo impact of technical unemployment included

44,497

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 12

1First Half Year 2020

Half Year 2020 Financial Performance

EBITBalance Sheet

Cash flowFinancial Summary

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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EBIT MAINLY AFFECTED BY VOLUME DECREASE

2020 H1 EBIT (MSEK)

-989

-1,320

-1,679

5,519

Volume, sales mix and pricing*

EBIT 2019 H1

-6,020

Foreign exchange rates

Efficiencies and other EBIT 2020 H1Governmental support

1,0741,437

Non-recurring**

MSEK -6,508-117.9%

*New car sales** Including recall and restructuring

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 13

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 14

1First Half Year 2020

Half Year 2020 Financial PerformanceEBIT

Balance SheetCash flow

Financial Summary

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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BALANCE SHEET REMAINS STRONG

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 15

ASSETS (MSEK)

JUNE2020

DECEMBER 2019

Intangible assets 33,960 32,790

PPE 67,700 69,740

Operating leases 3,720 3,240

Investments in JVs and associates 6,500 7,410

Deferred taxes and other non-current assets 12,780 10,870

Total non-current assets 124,660 124,050

Inventories 42,130 38,910

Accounts receivable 14,300 13,240

Current tax assets and other current assets 10,700 9,830

Marketable securities, Cash and cash equivalents 43,810 55,530

Total current assets 110,940 117,510

TOTAL ASSETS 235,600 241,560

EQUITY AND LIABILITIES

(MSEK)

JUNE 2020

DECEMBER2019

Total equity 62,880 63,650

Provisions for post-employment benefits 13,820 12,580

Bonds and Liabilities to credit institutions 23,920 26,130

Other interest bearing liabilities 4,960 5,080

Other non-current liabilities and provisions 18,830 18,390

Total non-current liabilities 61,530 62,180

Accounts payable 37,970 44,880

Bonds and liabilities to credit institutions 8,040 4,110

Other interest bearing liabilities 1,160 1,070

Other current liabilities and provisions 64,020 65,670

Total current liabilities 111,190 115,730

TOTAL EQUITY & LIABILITIES 235,600 241,560

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 16

1First Half Year 2020

Half Year 2020 Financial PerformanceEBIT

Balance Sheet

Cash flowFinancial Summary

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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COVID-19 AMPLIFIED CASH FLOW SEASONALITY

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 17

* Change in inventories, accounts receivable and accounts payable

(MSEK) 2020 H1 2019 H1

EBITDA 6,819 13,300

Cash flow from other operating activities -2,420 -3,133

Adjustments 3,243 -1,608

Net working capital * -11,252 -7,455

Other working capital 137 6,259

Cash flow from operating activities -3,473 7,363

Investments in tangible assets -5,108 -5,998

Investments in intangible assets -4,218 -4,239

Cash flow from other investing activities -4 115

Total operating and investing cash flow -12,803 -2,759

Net cash flow from interest bearing liabilities and bonds 971 6,909

Investments in marketable securities 3,065 -2,705

Dividends - -2894

Other 151 255

Cash flow from financing activities 4,187 1,565

Total cash flow for the period -8,616 -1,194

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BUILDING THE FUTURE THROUGH FOCUSED AND CONTROLLED INVESTMENTS

ANNUAL CAPITAL

EXPENDITURE (BNSEK)

ANNUAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT

EXPENSES (BNSEK)

9.213.1

17.013.6 11.8 10.9

4.7

6.2

8.7

7.3 9.2 9.2

7.9%

10.8%

8.7%

201920162015

12.3%

2017

8.3%

2018

7.7%

25.7

2020 June LTM

13.9

19.320.9 21.0 20.1

% of Revenue Tangible investmentsIntangible investments

9.510.2 10.2

10.911.4 11.5

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2015 2017

5.9% 5.7%

2018 20192016

3.6%4.3% 4.2% 4.5%

2020June LTM

R&D expenses% of Revenue

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 18

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LIQUIDITY REMAINS STRONG AT 68 BNSEK

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 19

2020 H1 LIQUIDITY (MSEK) CHANGE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL (MSEK)

3,740

-4,385

-1,961

-403

-4,200

2018

-2.1% -0.8%

2.1%

-0.2%

2016 2017 2019

-1.6%

LTM 2020 June

6,819

867

4,187524

13,593

2020June

Liquidity

3,518

51,997

2019DecemberLiquidity

Investments

68,094

FinancingOther**

24,282

43,288

Net working capital*

EBITDA

-11,252

69,108

-9,330

CashUndrawn credit facilities Marketable securities % of Revenue Net working capital

* Change in inventories, accounts receivable and accounts payable ** Interest, tax and changes in other items

MSEK-12,896

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STRONG NET CASH POSITION

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 20

2020 MATURITY PROFILE AND SPLIT (MSEK)

1,800 5,2003,000 2,000

6,200 5,200200

2,4004,400

450

43,300

500

24,300

LiquidityJune 30

2020

2020 2021

7,400

2022 2023

450

2024

2,450650

2025 2026

68,100

7,6006,650

5,850

BondsUndrawn credit facilities Marketable securities LoansCash & cash equivalents

32,000

32%

68%

Loans Bonds

Net cash

11,800

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 21

1First Half Year 2020

Half Year 2020 Financial PerformanceEBIT

Balance SheetCash flow

Financial Summary

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Covid-19 impact

volume, revenue and EBIT decline

Market share gains

in all regions with strong sales mix

PHEV sales increase

with a doubling share of sales reaching CO2-targets

Disciplined cost efficiencies

and structural transformation showing effect

Strong liquidity

maintained on 2019 level witha net cash position of 12bn

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 22

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2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 23

1First Half Year 2020

3Outlook

2Financial Review

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OUTLOOK H2 2020

Ambition to return to sales volume, profit and cash flow similar to H2 2019.

Committed to continue investments in new technologies and products

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 24

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Thank You.

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 25

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Appendix

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 26

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FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT

2020-07-21 Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update 27

101 98 99

198 185 161 116170

273 359 445424254

LTM

69

642

2017

42

20192016 2018

572

95

535

705635

+4.4%

-9.9%

SUV

Sedan

Estate

Other

181209

253274 256

20192016 2017 2018 LTM

+9.1%-6.6%

26.2 27.429.9

23.4

0

5

10

15

0

10

20

30

12.5%

2018

10.8%12.1%

2016 2017

10.9%

2019

9.1%

LTM

21.5

EBITDAmargin, %

EBITDA

2725 27

32

22

20172016 2018 2019 LTM

RETAIL SALES REVENUE

OPERATING CASH FLOWEBITDA

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BUSINESS RECOVERY

2020-07-21 28

2020 MONTHLY SALES* BY MARKET AND PRODUCTION RESTART (K UNITS)

EUROPE CHINA US

23 2324

9

15

28

AprJan MarFeb JunMay

10

1

10

15 15 15

JunJan MarFeb MayApr

6

8

6

4

1010

JunMayFebJan AprMar

* Sales: Volvo Cars retail sales

Volvo Cars 2020 First Half Year Update