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2 WEST VOLUSIA CountyHOMETOWN NEWS Friday, May 25, 2012HURRICANE GUIDE

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3WEST VOLUSIA CountyHOMETOWN NEWSFriday, May 25, 2012 HURRICANE GUIDE

HometownNewsOL.com

Published weekly by Hometown News, L.C., 1102 South U.S. 1, Fort Pierce, FL 34950Copyright © 2010, Hometown News , L.C.

Phone (772) 465-5656 • Fax (772) 465-5301Classified (800) 823-0466 • Rants & Raves (866) 465-5504

Circulation Inquiries: 1-866-913-6397 or [email protected]

Steven E. Erlanger Vernon D. Smith Tammy RaitsPublisher and C.O.O. Managing Partner Managing Editor

Voted No. 1 Community Newspaper in Americaby the Association of Free Community Papers.

INSIDECOMMON QUESTIONS 13

HURRICANE FORECAST 4

PETS 14

PHONE NUMBERS 11

SHELTERS 12

SPECIAL NEEDS 10

Photos courtesy of Tom McFadden, Joe Hansen and Dennis Drenner/American Red Cross

ON THE COVERAssociate Managing EditorJeannine Gage

Sales Manager Farris Robinson

Cover Design and GraphicsMegan Schumacher

PhotographerRandy Barber

Ad DesignerKathy Santilla

News ClerkCarrie Maday

Contributing writer:Carla Eskew

Ad sales reps: RodneyBookhardt, Diane Casadey,Tom Frisinger, Don Hendricks, Linda Jones, GaryKirkman, Karen Mell, CathyMoody, Trisha Norman,Jackie Robinson

Hurricane Survival GuideVOLUSIA COUNTY

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Hurricane season prognosis mild, but it only takes one

VOLUSIA COUNTY — Forecastsmay call for a mild hurricane season,but that doesn’t mean a big stormcan’t come along.

“The long term forecasts are whatyou might want to consider a slowseason for numbers,” said RyanWilliams, operations coordinator forVolusia County Emergency Manage-ment. “Back in 1992, when Andrewhit, it was a slow season in numbers.”

Hurricane Andrew hit as a Category5 hurricane in Dade County, Florida.From Volusia County, that’s just a fewhours’ drive south on Interstate 95.According to the website for theNational Hurricane Center(www.nhc.noaa.gov), Andrew causedabout $25 billion worth of propertydamage and left about one-quartermillion people temporarily homeless.Fifteen deaths were a direct result of

Andrew’s forces in Dade County and25 more died as indirect effects ofAndrew.

“We should worry about (and) beprepared for a ‘big one’ in Florida,perhaps the most vulnerable state tohurricane impacts in any given year,”said Dr. Paul Ruscher, associate pro-fessor of meteorology at Florida StateUniversity in the department ofEarth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sci-ence.

“A forecast of a mild season shouldnot give us too much solace,” Mr.Ruscher said “For one thing, long-range predictions of Atlantic tropicalstorm activity do not have anextremely high level of skill. Busy sea-sons can have lots of weak systems.Inactive seasons can have one or twostrong storms that have more severeimpacts.”

Hurricanes have many aspects.Each one is different.

“Each has its own curious, peculiarnature,” Mr. Williams said. “You

remember Charley was a right handturn. Some storms like Tropical StormFaye produced flooding along theorder of 100-year flooding. We have tomonitor each storm individually.”

According to climatology reports,median activity for Atlantic seasonalhurricane activity consists of 12named storms, six hurricanes andtwo major hurricanes, Mr. Williamssaid.

The 2012 Climatology Report byPhilip J. Klotzbach and William M.Gray at Colorado State predicts 10named storms, four hurricanes andtwo major hurricanes.

“We anticipate a below-averageprobability for major hurricanesmaking landfall along the UnitedStates coastline and in the Caribbean.However, coastal residents arereminded that it only takes one hurri-cane making landfall to make it anactive season for them, and they needto prepare the same for every season,regardless of how much activity is

predicted,” the April report states.The report gives a 24 percent

chance of a major hurricane (Catego-ry 3-5) making landfall on the Floridapeninsula. The average for the lastcentury is 31 percent.

“They will take that forecast andadjust it as we go through the sea-son,” Mr. Williams said. “Hopefully,we won’t face anything down. But, itjust takes one storm. It’s a little bitcliché —It’s not if, it’s when?”

The climatology forecast from theColorado State report is based on 29years of past data and analog predic-tors. The report states that thedecreased numbers are because ofcooler than normal temperatures inthe Atlantic Ocean and the potentialdevelopment of El Niño. According tothe National Weather Service,(www.weather.gov) El Niño is definedas warmer than normal water tem-peratures in the tropical Pacific

See PROGNOSIS, 10

By Carla J. EskewFor Hometown News

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The potential for a devastatingdisaster is with us every day. We’veseen it down the street, across the

country and around the world — liveschanged in a matter of moments. Whatif Mother Nature ravaged your home orwork place tomorrow? How preparedare you today to handle a crisis? Thoseare important questions, especially aswe enter another hurricane season.

The American Red Cross can help you,and you can help the American RedCross. Volunteer, learn lifesaving skills,help our youth become leaders, anddevelop a plan for preparedness.

Prevention and preparedness is whatthis special tabloid produced by theHometown News is all about. Throughthe articles and information you seehere, you have the ability to change a lifeand issue a call to action to accomplishall of the items above.

As you read the information in theOfficial Red Cross Hometown NewsHurricane Guide, pay close attention towhat to include in a disaster kit, how toprepare for an evacuation and whatyou’ll need in a Red Cross shelter this

hurricane season. Many of the articles about Red Cross

volunteers and our response to disastersother than hurricanes will give youvaluable insight into the work of theAmerican Red Cross. We are here toprovide disaster services, health andsafety training, and communicationswith our servicemen and womenthroughout the year, 365- days, 24-hours-a-day.

But, we would not be able to do ourjob without your valuable donation oftime and money. Frankly, many peopleare still not aware that the American RedCross receives no federal, state or localtax dollars.

That is why it is critically importantthat each of you reading this publicationask yourself, “What have I done to helpthe Red Cross help my community, myfriends, and my neighbors?”

Helping the Red Cross can be assimple as becoming a volunteer or asvaluable as becoming a donor. How youhelp is your preference. We only ask thatin these very trying economic times youhelp in some way.

We alsourge you tohelp yourselfand yourfamily bebetterprepared forhurricaneseason or anyemergency byfollowingsome verysimple stepsto be RedCross ready:

Make a kit.The American Red Cross recommendseveryone purchase or make an emer-gency-preparedness kit, with at leastthree days’ worth of essential itemsneeded by each household member.Essential items include water (1 gallonper person, per day), nonperishablefood, a flashlight, a battery or crankoperated radio, extra batteries, a manualcan opener, cash and important medica-tions and documents. Store items insturdy, sealable, easy-to-carry contain-

ers. Remember to check your kit andreplace expired items.

Make a plan. As part of making a plan,the American Red Cross recommendscreating and practicing an evacuationand communications plan. Each personin your household should know how toreach other members and where to meetif you can’t go home.

As part of your communications plan,choose an out-of-area relative or friendas an emergency contact and make sureall your household members know howto contact this person.

As part of your evacuation plan,choose two meeting places: one rightoutside of your home in case you need toescape in a hurry, such as in the event ofa home fire, and one outside yourneighborhood, in case a disaster pre-vents you from returning home.

Be informed. Being informed meansfinding out what types of disasters arelikely to occur where you live, work andplay, and how you would receive infor-mation from local officials in the event of

The American Red Cross is prepared and ready to help

Dan Roll

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Volunteers are desperately needed in a variety ofareas for hurricane season. Mobile FeedingTeam, shelter volunteers/managers, licensedmental Health professionals and nurses, driversand many other volunteers are needed. RedCross will provide free training for disaster services volun-teers.

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Yes, I want to help my friends and neighbors prepare for, survive andrecover from a hurricane.Please contact me:

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My donation to help in a disaster is enclosed. Mail to: American Red Cross,Florida’s Coast to Coast Chapter, 341 White St., Daytona Beach, FL, 32114

(386) 226-1400, ext 130 • Fax (386) 258-8848e-mail:[email protected]

Anyone who has been in a disas-ter zone knows that telephone sys-tems commonly failas weather condi-tions worsen. Withphone lines down,people find it diffi-cult to contact eachother to find out ifthey are safe.

To help people inthis situation, theAmerican Red Crosshas established theSafe and Well website, an Internet-based tool that can be integratedinto a family’s communication anddisaster plan. It is also one that theRed Cross uses to help disaster vic-tims communicate from inside thedisaster-affected areas to loved

ones outside.At the time of a disaster, people

within the disaster area can registerthemselves as "safe and well" byselecting and posting standard

messages thatindicate they aresafe and well at ashelter, home orhotel and willmake contactwhen they areable.

Concerned fam-ily members andfriends who knowthe person's

phone number or a complete homeaddress can search for the mes-sages posted by those who self-reg-ister.

For information, visit https://dis-astersafe.redcross.org.

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10WEST VOLUSIA CountyHOMETOWN NEWS Friday, May 25, 2012HURRICANE GUIDE

Ocean that impact globalweather patterns.

The report also states that“it is impossible to preciselypredict this season’s hurricaneactivity in early April. There is,however, much curiosity as tohow global ocean and atmos-phere features are presentlyarranged as regards to theprobability of an active orinactive hurricane season forthe coming year.”

The key is to be prepared nomatter what.

“Listen now,” Mr. Williamssaid. “Be prepared for the sea-son. It doesn’t matter aboutthe numbers. It only takes theone for your backyard.”

Mr. Williams said the econo-my has affected everyoneincluding government agen-cies.

“We’re all operating in basi-cally reduced situation interms of budget. …We’re look-ing at a reduction in our capa-bilities but the people outthere who need to be helpedare probably an expandingpopulation,” he said. “Thelong and the short of it is thepublic, more than ever, needsto take some responsibilities.You need to be able to keepyourself afloat for about five toseven days with food, waterand ice.”

Mr. Williams said heremains hopeful that VolusiaCounty residents will be readyfor hurricane season. “TheNature of disaster is to over-whelm locals. Period. …All wecan do is prepare,” he said.“You need to evacuate whenyou are asked to evacuate. Youneed to make sure you getyour medicine before a storm.You need to be part of thesolution and not part of theproblem.”

PrognosisFrom page 4

Hurricane season begins June 1 but nowis the time to register for the Special NeedsShelter (SNS) program.

The SNS program is designed to providehurricane or disaster related evacuationassistance and care for those who needtransportation assistance, or have a healthor medical condition that requires atten-tion during the times of evacuation and donot have other evacuation alternatives.Participation in the SNS program benefitsboth residents and emergency officials inplanning for the health, safety, and shelterof evacuees during times of disaster.

Applications are available by calling(386) 258-4088 in Daytona Beach, (386)736-5980 in West Volusia, or (386) 423-3395in Southeast Volusia.

The application is also available online athttp://volusia.org/storm/specialneeds.htm .

Sign up nowfor a specialneeds shelterFor Hometown [email protected]

SPECIAL NEEDSSHELTERS

The following shelters willprovide assistance for thosewith special needs:

•Palm Terrace Elementary,1825 Dunn Ave., DaytonaBeach•Atlantic High School, 1250Reed Canal Road, PortOrange•Creekside Middle, 6801Airport Road, Port Orange• Freedom Elementary, 1395S. Blue Lake, DeLand• Galaxy Middle, 2400 EustaceAvenue, Deltona• Heritage Middle, 1001Parnell Court, Deltona

Those with special needs mayrequest an application bycalling (866) 600-9416.

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NUMBERS TO CALL IN TIMES OF NEED

East Volusia CountyFlorida’s Coast-to-Coast Chapter

of the American Red Cross341 White St., Daytona Beach

(386) 226-1400

Ormond Beach Police Department(386) 248-1777

Fire/Rescue (386) 248-1777

Holly Hill Police Department(386) 248-9475

Fire/Rescue (386) 248-9473

Daytona Beach Police Department (386) 323-3569

Fire/Rescue (386) 252-4911

Port Orange Police Department(386) 506-5800

Fire/Rescue (386) 506-5900

South Daytona Police Department(386) 322-3030

Fire/Rescue (386) 322-3033

Daytona Beach Shores Department of Public Safety

(386) 763-5321

Ponce Inlet Police Department(386) 236-2160

Fire/Rescue (386) 322-6720

New Smyrna Beach Police Department

(386) 424-2000Fire/Rescue (386) 424-2000

Edgewater Police Department(386) 424-2000

Fire/Rescue (386) 424-2000

Oak Hill Police Department(386) 423-3888

Fire/Rescue (386) 345-5515

Volusia County Sheriff ’s Office(386) 248-1777, enter No. 1

Coast Guard National Response Center

(800) 424-8802Florida state watch office

(800) 320-0519Ponce Inlet station

(386) 428-9085

Volusia County Emergency Management Services

(386) 258-4088 (Daytona Beach)(386) 423-3395 (New Smyrna Beach)

West Volusia CountyDeBary Police Department

(386) 668-3830 Fire/Rescue (386) 860- 7177

DeLand Police Department(386) 734-1711

Fire/Rescue (386) 740-5837

DeLeon Springs Police Department(386) 860-7030

Fire/Rescue (386) 860- 7177

Deltona Police Department(386) 860-7030

Fire/Rescue (386) 575-6901

Lake Helen Police Department (386) 228-2145

Fire/Rescue (386) 228-1150

Orange City Police Department (386) 775-5470

Fire/Rescue (386) 775-5461

Volusia County Sheriff ’s Office(386) 736-5999, enter No. 1

Volusia County Emergency Management Services

(386) 736-5980

In the event of an emergency, all residents are urged to call 911.

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VOLUSIA COUNTY SHELTERSEast Volusia shelters

• Pine Trail Elementary, 300 Airport Road, Ormond Beach • Pathways Elementary, 2100 Airport Road, Ormond Beach •Champion Elementary, 921 Tournament Drive, Daytona Beach• Hinson Middle (PF), 1860 N. Clyde Morris Blvd., Daytona Beach • Palm Terrace Elementary (SNS and PF) 1825 Dunn Ave, Daytona Beach • Campbell Middle 625 South Keech Street Daytona Beach • Mainland High School, 1255 W. International Speedway Blvd., Daytona Beach • Atlantic High School (SNS and PF), 1250 Reed Canal Road, Port Orange • Horizon Elementary, 4751 Hidden Lakes Drive, Port Orange • Sweetwater Elementary, 5800 Victoria Gardens Blvd., Port Orange • Creekside Middle (SNS and PF), 6801 Airport Road, Port Orange • Cypress Creek, 6100 S. Williamson, Port Orange• New Smyrna Beach High School, 1015 10th St., New Smyrna Beach

West Volusia shelters

• T.D. Taylor Middle/High 100 E. Washington Ave., Pierson• DeLand High School, 800 N. Hill Ave., DeLand • DeLand Middle, 1400 Aquarius Ave., DeLand • Freedom Elementary (SNS and PF), 1395 S. Blue Lake, DeLand •Citrus Grove Elementary, 729 Hazen Road, DeLand• Volusia Pines Elementary, 500 E. Kicklighter Road, Lake Helen • Friendship Elementary, 2746 Fulford St., Deltona • Deltona High School (SIP), 100 Wolf Pack Run, Deltona

• Galaxy Middle (SNS and PF), 2400 Eustace Ave., Deltona • Timbercrest Elementary, 2401 Eustace Ave., Deltona • Deltona Lakes Elementary, 2022 Adelia Blvd., Deltona • Spirit Elementary, 1500 Meadowlark Drive, Deltona • Discovery Elementary, 975 Abigail Drive, Deltona • Forest Lake Elementary, 1600 Doyle Road, Deltona • Sunrise Elementary 3155 Phonetia Drive, Deltona • Heritage Middle (SNS and PF), 1001 Parnell Court, Deltona • Pine Ridge High School (SIP), 925 Howland Blvd., Deltona • Pride Elementary, 1100 Learning Lane, Deltona• DeBary Elementary, 88 W. Highbanks Road, DeBary • Manatee Cove Elementary School 734 W. Ohio Ave., Orange City• River Springs Middle, 734 W. Ohio Ave., Orange City•University High School, 1000 W. Rhode Island Ave., Orange City• Osteen Elementary, 500 Doyle Road, Osteen • Volusia County Fairgrounds (PPS), 3150 E. State Road 44, DeLand (1/4 mile east of Interstate-4 on State Road 44)

SIP: Shelter Information Point (central location to direct evacuees to shelters in Deltona)SNS: Special Needs Shelter – Assists evacuees who are elderly, physically, mentally or sensory disabled, visually or hearing impaired, or require oxygen. It is also a Pet Friendly shelter for PSNs (People with Special Needs).PF: Pet Friendly – people and pets are housed in separate locations at the shelterPPS: People & Pet Shelter (people and pets are housed in the same location – Fairgrounds only)

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What is a tropical storm? A tropical storm is a non-frontal syn-

optic scale area of low pressure overtropical waters with organized convec-tion near the center with counter clock-wise surface wind circulation in thenorthern Hemisphere. The maximumsustained wind near the center must bebetween 39 and 73 mph for it to be clas-sified as a tropical storm.

When does a tropical stormbecome a hurricane?

The maximum sustained wind nearthe center must be 74 mph or greater forit to be classified as a hurricane.

What is a tropical depression?

It is a tropical cyclone, meaning it is aclosed area of low pressure in the trop-ics with somewhat organized convec-tion and sustained winds less than 39mph.

What is the cone of uncertainty?

This is sometimes called the “cone oferror.” This shows the HISTORICALerror at certain time periods in a tropi-cal cyclone forecast. Average error intrack forecasting over the last severalyears is at about 75 miles for 24 hoursmeaning the “cone” will be 150 milesacross. At the 120 hour forecast theaverage error is 300 miles. It is impor-tant to realize that sometimes the actualforecast scenario may be more or lessaccurate than the historical error cone.

What is the consensus model? With so many computer models to

look at, groups of models get puttogether and a “consensus” is the aver-age of those models. This has becomethe newest and more accurate way toforecast hurricanes because the modelsare averaged together. Hurricane fore-casters now lean on the consensusmodels rather than just look at one sin-gle model output.

Is a storm surge different from a tidal surge?

Yes. A storm surge is the onshore rushof seawater associated with the highwinds of an approaching and/or land-falling tropical storm or hurricane.Storm surge is secondarily affected bythe low pressure of the storm.

Tidal surge is independent of the sur-rounding weather and refers to the risein water associated with high tide. Sea-water flooding will be increased whenthere is a storm surge at the time of hightide.

What is a Cape Verde hurricane?

It is an Atlantic Basin tropical cyclonethat develops near the Cape VerdeIslands just off the West Coast of Africaand becomes a hurricane before reach-ing the Caribbean Sea. The peak of theCape Verde Season is August and Sep-tember and a typical year would have

Frequently asked hurricane questions

See QUESTIONS, 14

Using Deltonashelters

Evacuees using shelters in the Del-tona area first should travel to the shel-ter information points at Deltona HighSchool or Pine Ridge High School toreceive detailed directions to the near-est open shelter. For directions, call(386) 226-7852 or (386) 943-7626.

Easy access to the shelter informa-tion points is available from MaytownRoad, State Road 44, Interstate 4 andCounty Road 415.

Before a storm threatens, practicedriving or map two routes to the Del-tona shelter information points.

The Volusia County School Boardand Votran will provide free rides togeneral public shelters. Pick up will bemade at all regular Votran bus stops.

During an emergency, not all shelterswill open at once. To find out whichshelters are available, tune to the localnews media or call the toll-free Citizen’sInformation Hotline at:

(866) 345-0345 (Only during a disas-ter) Telecommunications Device forthe Deaf: (386) 248-1792

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2012 Atlantic hurricane

names AlbertoBerylChrisDebbyErnestoFlorenceGordonHeleneIsaacJoyceKirkLeslie

MichaelNadineOscarPattyRafaelSandyTonyValerieWilliam

—courtesy ofthe National

HurricaneCenter

between one and five hurricanes withan average of around two.

What is the difference betweena watch and warning?

With respect to the tropics, a watch isissued when conditions related to thewatch (hurricane or tropical storm) arepossible with 36 hours. A warning isissued when those same conditions areexpected within 24 hours.

Can a stationary storm weakenbecause it isn’t moving?

It could weaken due to a processcalled upwelling, in which water risesfrom a lower depth to a higher depth.With respect to tropical weather,upwelling can occur if a storm is station-ary or slowly moving, as the wind fromthe storm pushes the surface wateraway from the center. The lower depthwater is colder and thus a stationaryhurricane could actually weaken bybringing up that colder water.

QuestionsFrom page 13

Area hotels that accept petsCall hotels to verify

pet policies as manyhave restrictions on thenumber and size of ani-mals.

ATLANTIC OCEANPALM INN

3247 S. Atlantic Ave.Daytona Beach Shores

(386) 761-8450

BERMUDA HOUSE2560 N. Atlantic Ave.

Daytona Beach(386) 672-1440

CONCH HOUSE700 N. Atlantic Ave.


HILTON DAYTONABEACH OCEAN WALK

VILLAGE100 N. Atlantic Ave.


MAKAI BEACH LODGE707 S. Atlantic Ave.

Ormond Beach(386) 677-8060

a disaster. Part of being informed is learning

first aid, CPR and how to use an AED,so you have the skills to respond to anemergency when help is delayed.

To learn more and view CPR/AEDand first-aid demonstrations, go towww.midfloridaredcross.org to registerfor a class.

As you can see, the American RedCross takes your health and safety veryseriously. When Americans think of adisaster of any magnitude, they

uniformly think of the Red Cross as theagency ready to respond with help andassistance. We want to continue thattradition right here in your communi-ty.

With your help and continuedsupport, the American Red Cross willalways be there to turn heartbreak intohope.

Contact your local American RedCross Chapter today to becomeinvolved in the noblest cause ofhelping save lives and empowering ourcitizens to make a difference.

Sincerely,Dan Roll

LetterFrom page 5

Courtesy Gene Dailey/American Red Cross

General shelters allow approximately 20square feet per person. Do not bring any-thing that is not absolutely necessary for a24- to 48-hour stay.

FOODIf you have the need for special foods

(Ensure, etc.) you may bring them with you.High-energy foods such as peanut butter,jelly, crackers, granola bars, trail mix andother snack foods may be a good idea if youget hungry in between meals. If necessary,bring special dietary foods, such as diabetic,low salt, liquid-only diet, baby food and for-mula. Don’t forget a manual can opener.

CLOTHING AND BEDDINGOne complete change of clothing, includ-

ing footwear. A cot or sleeping bag and pil-low. Rain gear and sturdy shoes.

PERSONAL ITEMSWashcloth, small towel, soap, toothbrush,

toothpaste, sanitary napkins, paper towels,toilet paper, towelettes, etc.

MEDICATIONSMedications should be clearly marked with

your name, dosage, type of medication andprescribing physician. You must be able totake all medications by yourself. Also bringany dressing changes that might be needed.

IMPORTANT PAPERSBring identification and valuable papers,

such as insurance documents, name andaddresses of doctors and name and addressof nearest relative not living in area.

PETSPets are not allowed at general shelters

unless they are service animals.

MISCELLANEOUSBring a cell phone and charger if you have

one. Games, cards, toys, battery-poweredradios, flashlights, batteries or other reason-able items you may need are welcome. Take abath and eat before you leave home.

NOT ALLOWEDAlcoholic beverages and weapons are not

allowed. Smoking is not allowed in shelters.

For more information, go to www.flori-dadisaster.org.

What to bring to a shelter


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