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VISION 2025 A World of Opportunities for UK Space Technology

VISION 2025 - UKspace...Vision 2025 A World of for UK Space Technology Opportunities The ChallengingWorld of 2025 There is more than one possible scenario, but a few •things are

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Page 1: VISION 2025 - UKspace...Vision 2025 A World of for UK Space Technology Opportunities The ChallengingWorld of 2025 There is more than one possible scenario, but a few •things are

VISION 2025A World of Opportunities for UK Space Technology

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ContentsIntroduction 2-3

ChallengingWorldof2025 4-5

SatelliteTechnologyMakesTheDifference 6-7

AGlobalCompetitiveMarketPlace 8-9

AVibrantLow-CarbonEconomy 10-11

AGlobalHealthChecktoTackleClimateChange 12-13

ASatelliteEnabledWorld 14-15

ADigitalGenerationontheMove 16-17

ABetter-PreparedWorld 18-19

MappingtheUniverse 20-21

ASustainableInclusiveGlobalEconomy 22-23

Conclusion:TheUKSpaceVision2025 24-27

Acknowledgements 28

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In 2006, the“Case for Space” painted a picture of thehugebenefitsBritainenjoysfromitsworldleadershipinspace.ItisastoryofoneofBritain’smosthi-tech,valueadding sectors, a sector that today supports 70,000jobs,thatcontributes£7billionayeartooureconomy,that employs the most highly skilled workforce inmanufacturing, that is growing four times faster thantherestoftheeconomy.

Spaceisstillayoungindustry.Fiftyyearsyoung.On4thOctober1957, theSovietUnion launched theworld’sfirst satellite, Sputnik 1. Fifty years later, the satelliterevolutionisonlynowgatheringpace.

Soontheeveofsatellite’sfiftiethbirthday,andoneyearon fromtheCase forSpace, UKSpaceoffersavisionofaspaceenabledfuture.Thisisaglimpseofwhataspaceenabledworldmaylooklikein2025,whatitwillmeanforoureconomy,forourGovernment,andforusasconsumers,as familiesandascitizensofacountrythatremainsattheheartofoneofthemostdynamicandstrategicsectorsintheworld.

This vision is just that. It will not happen unless weworktogetherasstakeholders inUKSpacetomakeithappen.Today.

Vision 2025

A World of

for UK Space TechnologyOpportunities

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The ChallengingWorldof 2025

Thereismorethanonepossiblescenario,butafewthingsareclear.

2025isaworldofglobalrisksandopportunities,drivenby:

•climatechange•pressuresonnaturalresources•demographicstressfromanageingandgrowingworldpopulation

Global risks and opportunities Weneedinnovativesolutions

•globalinterdependency•andviolentconflict

It will demand mankind’s full abilitiesto adapt our way of life, and to live inharmonywithournaturalenvironment.The pace of innovation will be asrelentlessasitistoday.

Innovation is driven by the fusion ofinformation, communication and new,smartmaterials.Anditisincutting-edgefieldssuchasspacewherebreakthroughshappen.

The information age makes individualsever-more powerful. Successful statesand businesses adapt to the big

challenges,exploitingtheirtechnologicalstrengthtostayahead.

ChinaandIndiahavebecomeeconomicpowerhousesandcentresofengineeringexcellence. Britain needs to stay onits toes to compete. Success in 2025dependsondecisionstakennow.

First let’s look at the world of 2025.

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Satellite technology is one of themajor shaping forces of our times.It is embedded in the tools thatfacilitate daily life. We are part of aglobal network of information,communicationandnavigation.

Our quality of life and problem-solving capacity depend on it.Withoutsatellites,wecannotcopewiththebigchallenges.

•Satellitesmovemoredataaroundmorereliably.•Theylinknetworkstogether.•Theyobserveandmeasure everywhereinrealtime.•Theyprovideprecisionin spaceandtime.•Theyexpandthelimitsofour understanding.

Satellite Technology

Makes The Difference

Without satellites, we cannot cope with the big challenges Satellitetechnologywillenrich andempowertheUK

Space-age tools are essential forsustainability, good governance,securityanddefence.Theyareaworld-wide engine of development andempowerment.

Satellites multiply the wealth-creatingforce of information and mobilecommunications technology. Theyprovide global reach, resilience andsupremeenergyefficiency.

Britain’sability toshare thebenefitsofspace with others is a source of ‘softpower’.

In 2025, our leadership in spacetechnology is a source of enrichmentandpoliticalstrengthfortheUK.

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By 2025, the global space sector hasradicallychanged.Thecostoflaunchingsatellitesisafractionofwhatit istoday.New materials and new commerciallaunch operators slash the risk ofinvestinginsatellites.Previouslyunseenlevels of investment have stimulatedhuge growth in the market for satellitebasedapplications.

In 2025, the space market is no longerreliantongovernments.

ThetraditionalUSdominance,backedbymilitaryspace, isfadinginasectorthatlooksmoretotheCitythanthePentagon.Even space science and exploration isbeginningtoattractprivatefunding.

Spaceisaglobalcompetitivemarketthatcontinuestogrowquickly.By2025,itis

worthmorethanonetrillionpounds.

Britainholds thepursestrings tospace.Londonremainstheplacetogotofinanceyoursatellitebusiness.Britain’slong-heldlead in communications satellites hashelpeditmakemoremoneyfromspacethan anywhere else in the world. CitymoneyandUKtechnologyisawinningcombinationnoothernationcanmatch.TheBritishtakespacefromthelaboratory

tothemarketplacequickerthananyoneelseintheworld–justaswedotoday.

In2025,Britainhasdoubleditsshareofthe world space market to 15 percent.Space adds £150bn a year to the UKeconomy.

In2025UKspacesellsintwoweekswhatitnowsellsinayear.

A Global, Competitive

Growth Market

£1,000,000,000,000DoubleUK’sshareofworldspacemarket –valuefrom£7bnto£150bn

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By2025,ourwayof lifeandourwayofworking must be sustainable. Satellitetechnologycanhelpusdothat.

Theharshenvironmentofspaceteachestheartofengineeringforsustainability.Space technology drives low-carbonsolutionsinothersectors.

Wedeveloptechnologiestocapturespace’smostabundantresource—energy.

Muchstreetlightingandtrafficsignshavebeen rendered obsolete by intelligentroadtraffic–enabledbysatellites.

Aircraft routing and landing by satellitenavigation cuts fuel and noise, is saferandexpandscapacity.

The world’s 8 billion people expectalways-onbroadbandwherevertheygo.Without satellites, we would run out ofelectromagneticspectrum.

By 2025, the red tape of frequencyallocationisnomore.Insteadoftoday’stortuous process of interGovernmentalfrequency allocation, there is adynamic global market for bandwidth.Frequencies are traded like any othergood, free from the dead hand ofGovernment.Theconsumerseesasingle‘internetinthesky’,enabledbysatellites,that provides a global, mobile platformfortheworld’scommunicationneeds.

In 2025, satellites are running onsunshine–justastheyaretoday.Butby2025,smarteruseofsatellitesisacentralplankinBritain’sLowCarbonActionPlan.

Satelliteshavereplacedmuchoftoday’senergy-intensiveterrestrialbroadcastingand cellular phone networks. This cutsBritain’sCO2emissionsby6milliontonsperyear.

Dishes are museum pieces. So too aremost masts – a single satellite carriesthe traffic of an entire mobile phonenetwork.

By 2025, Britain’s leadership in greensatellitetechnologyhashelpeduscreatethemostdynamiclow-carboneconomyintheworld.

A Vibrant Low Carbon

Economy

A sustainable way of life – fuelled by sunshine Unleashthegreensatelliterevolution

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A Global Health Check

Satellites are the only way to monitorgradualchangeataglobal level. Today,satellites are monitoring our changingclimate. In 2025, they are policing ourpromises.

In2025,theworldhasasatellite-enabledmonitoring network that underpins ourunderstanding of the health of planetEarth, alerts us to dangers and speedsourresponse.NeveragainwilltheworldbeasunpreparedasitwasfortheAsianTsunami.

Millions of sensors on the ground areconnectedbysatellitesintoacontinuousEarth monitoring network that collectsinformation on the world’s changingclimate, such as ocean heights andtemperatures, and transmits them forinstantevaluation–allinrealtime.

Everyhour,high-resolutionsatellitestakehyperspectral images of all points onEarthanddetectchanges.

Satellites remain our only way ofaccurately assessing changes in seasurface height and temperature,our melting ice caps and solar windintensity.

By 2025, satellites have become theglobalgreenpoliceman,monitoringandenforcing international agreements tocutemissionsandtodefendournaturalresources,suchastheCongorainforest.Efforts to find international accord are

galvanised by irrefutable evidence –evidenceofourimpactoneverycorneroftheworld,foreveryhourofeverydayofthelast25years.

The UK continues to lead internationaleffortstotackleclimatechange. And itisUKSpacethatgivesusthescienceandthetechnologytokeepuscentrestage.

24/7 Earth monitoring networkUKscience,technologyandpoliticalwillcanmakeithappen

to Tackle Climate Change

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In 2025, satellites guide, locate andconnect everything. Every piece ofkit knows where it is and can keep inconstanttouchwiththeoutsideworld.

Movement – of people and things – isquicker, it is safer and it is kinder to theenvironment. Satellites drive our carssafely,theypreventcongestionandtheysaveenergy,allowingustowork,playorevensleep.

In2025,safetyisbuiltintoourdailylives.If our cars crash – which happens lessoften – they will alert the emergencyservicesforus.Theblackboxesofaircraftareathingofthepast.

Peopleat risk, suchaschildrenandtheelderly,cansafelybelocatedandhelpedatalltimes.

Healthmonitoringandalertdevicesworkeverywhere,allowingusalltoleadfullerlives in the comfort of our own livingspace. Formanyofus, satelliteswill letustakethe‘oldagehome’outofouroldage.

Space can help Britain to create anintelligenttransportinfrastructure–andwecansellittotheworld.

A Satellite-Enabled

World Satellites guide, locate and connect everything – securely, efficiently, stress-freeUKleadershipofnewservicemarkets

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In 2025, entertainment is truly mobile,global and interactive – a global toolin tune with local needs. The TV, theinternet, and games consoles have allcombined beneath an ‘internet in thesky’. Todaywerunourownwebsites. In2025werunourownchannels. Forthesamecost.

Andweareallpluggedin,whereverweare. Be it on our wrist, in our pocket

or even behind our ear, we are ableto interact with the world, any timeanywhere. Satellites help to keep uspluggedintotheworldatalltimes.

Tourism into orbit is affordable to themanyandnotjustthefew.Weareevenlookingforwardtoholidaysinspace.

Familiesandfriendshipsaretransformedby virtual 3D presence at the push of abutton.

Real-time interactive e-learning viasatellite is a major export business thatallowsstudentsworldwideaccesstofirst-classeducation.

In Britain, space has become the mostpopular GCSE, boosting the nation’sskillset across the whole landscape ofscienceandtechnology.

A Digital Generation on the MoveSatellites deliver to a ‘glocalised’ audience UKsatellitesteachandentertainadigitalworld

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Withrisingsealevelsandradicalchangesin the world’s weather, we must beprepared fornaturaldisastersonascalebeyondhumanmemory.

Aspace-basedearlywarningsystemwillsave thousands of lives, from floods tothenexttsunami.Forexample,terrestrialsensors, connected by satellite, allowus to predict volcanic eruptions moreaccuratelyandearlier.

This is an intelligent system, constantlyalert,constantlyconnected.

Satellites are the eyes and ears of theworld.Thesametechnologythatguidesour cars and alerts the emergencyservices is embedded in our roads andrailways,andevenourbuildings.

When disaster strikes, satellites guideemergencyreliefstraighttotheheartoftheproblem,evenintheremotestareas.

And when ground infrastructure fails,satellites keep working. Life goes on– satellites keep people in touch andeconomiestickingover.

“If you are not in Space you are not inDefence”. The same virtual technology

A Better-Prepared WorldSatellites for crisis reaction and resilience Prepareforwhenonlysatelliteskeepworking

that takes us all to Mars has alsorevolutionised the digital battlefield– satellites are the eyes and ears of ourArmedForces,minimisingriskandlossoflifeontheground.

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The exploration of our solar system hastransformedourunderstandingoflifeonEarth.

OnlybyunderstandingotherplanetscanweunderstandhowEarthanditsclimatefunction.

Minerals and energy in near spacebecomepartofmankind’ssphere.

The public’s imagination is captured byan international research laboratory ontheMoonandmissionstoMars.

Man’s exploration of the Solar System –andbeyond–isinspiringanewgeneration

Push forward the frontiers of science Providethetoolsforexplorers-andinspirationforusall

inanewway.SatellitesstretchingouttotheRedPlanetrelay3DimagerybacktoEarth,allowingusalltowalkonMars,inthecomfortofourownhomes.

SomenationshaveembarkedonmannedmissionsdeepintotheSolarSystem.

Mapping the Universe

ButevenwheretheUKdoesnotjointhisparticularraceintospace,UKbusinessesand universities capture opportunitiesfor science and business and providethetechnologyandservicesthatenableotherstopursuetheirobjectives.

Photo: ESA

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Developingcountries,aboveallinAfrica,needsustainablesolutionstohelpthemgrow.

Communications satellites offer aninstant communications infrastructurethat would otherwise be beyond thereach of many developing countries.

Satellitesofferasustainable,costeffectivealternativetolayingdowncopperwires.Asolutionthatisfreefromlocalcorruptionand bureaucracy, that will stand whereground based systems fall, that standsthe test of time. Satellites connectAfrica’sruralpopulationswiththeglobaleconomy.Theymonitorcrops.Theycan

Instant infrastructure – a Civil Service in the Sky HelpAfricatousespacetechnology forgrowthandempowerment

predictdroughts.Theydirecthelpwhenhelpisneeded.

Satellites underpin democracy. Directly.As Inmarsat proved last year in theCongo, satellites offer a tamper-proofway of collating election results. Theyalso spread ideas – the ‘internet of theSky’ stretches across Africa. It teaches,empowers and inspires Africa’s futuregenerations.

To Governments, satellites offer a CivilService in the Sky. Reliable tools inorbit help governments to preventand manage conflicts, to improvetheir national security and to extendgovernance to the furthest reaches ofnationalterritory.

A Sustainable, Inclusive Global

Economy

WhereNigeria’sSpaceAgencyistreadingtoday,therestofAfricawillsoonfollow.

SatellitesareAfrica’s infrastructureofthefuture.Theycanhelpspreadtheoldpan-African dream of connecting all Africannationstogether.

Satellites spread good Government,prosperity,educationandhopeintoeveryvillageinAfrica.

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This vision offers a future where Britain’s leadership in space technology has transformed our place in the world and in the global economy, and our way of life.

Our strong, confident message is: Be In It To Win It!• Playing to our strengths, the UK is the best place to do space business in �0��.

• Our engineers and entrepreneurs bring new technology to orbit quickly.

• They create profitable applications that improve people’s lives.

• London’s financial markets provide leverage for commercial ideas and smart procurement.

• They make it Europe’s space capital.

• Government uses space-driven services for efficient governance and delivery.

• It provides leadership on space opportunities that support Britain’s priority goals.

• Enabled by satellites, we push ourselves forward in a clean-tech revolution that makes high-mobility information societies sustainable.

• The global reach of tools in space allows us to monitor and confront climate change and threats of insecurity.

• It multiplies the UK’s political and military ability to act.

• Our understanding of how Earth operates is empowered by continuous measurements of terrestrial and solar data from space.

• The ambition to explore our planetary neighbourhood opens new economic perspectives and inspires a new generation.

• We understand that our way of life depends on orbiting technology as the backbone of a networked global community in pursuit of a prosperous future.

The UK Space Vision2025

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This vision looks ahead to the world of �0��. That’s less than two decades away.

That world of �0�� will be challenging, exciting and promising.

One thing is clear – satellites will play an even greater role in our lives and in our world than it does already. The question is, will Britain still be in it?

Britain’s world leading bank of space technologies has every potential to become a key driver of our future prosperity and security, and a key driver in the future of the global space sector.

To realise this vision, we must:• Recognise space technology as a Key Technology

• Commit Whitehall to a space policy with vision and ambition

• Remove the regulatory barriers that stand in the way of satellite enabled growth

• Make better use of the space solutions across our policy landscape

Let’s be in it to win it!

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Acknowledgements

This leaflet was produced for UKspace, the trade association for the UK Space Industry. It was formally presented to Parliament on �0th June �00�, by Tom Gunner, on behalf of UKspace, at the Summer Reception of the Parliamentary Space Committee, before the Minister for Science. UK Space Vision �0�� was inspired by the recommendation of many stakeholders, including Lord Sainsbury and Malcolm Wicks, for UKspace to produce a forward vision of a space enabled world and the benefits to the UK of maintaining its lead role in Space. It complements and builds on the �00� Case for Space initiative, also by UKspace, which quantified the present benefits of Britain’s leadership in space technologies and applications.

This book is the product of a consultation process involving experts from across the UK space landscape, including academia, policy makers and businessmen. UKspace is grateful to Ged Davis for chairing the initial workshop, and for QinetiQ for hosting it. UKspace would also like to thank Richard Knight and Kirsten Robinson of Mission-�� for designing the final presentation and booklet in record time. Above all, UKspace would like to thank Klaus Becher for managing the entire process with such efficiency, including hosting a web portal and blog to stimulate debate, and for producing the final report through all its revisions.

UKspace would also like to thank the following members of the UK Space Vision �0�� Consultation Group and the UKspace Communications Group for their contributions to the text: John Auburn, Andrew Brookes, Gerrit Beyer, Richard Brook, Jenny Carlton, Jeremy Close, Ged Davis, Richard Farrimond, Paul Flanagan, Bob Graham, Max Grimard, Tom Gunner, Prof Keith Hayward, Helen Kennett, Chris Lee, David Matthews, Marie Le Mauff, Pat Norris, Mark Oakes, David Parker, Colin Paynter, Ian Reid, Dave Robson, Karen Rogers, David Southwood, Sir Martin Sweeting, Will Tew, Peter Truss,Nick Veck, Will Whitehorn, David Williams (Avanti).

UKspace is very grateful to Bill Olner MP and Ian Taylor MP, chairs of the Parliamentary Space Committee, for offering the platform of the PSC’s �00� Summer Reception to launch the vision.

About UKspace

UKspace is the trade association for the UK space and satellite industry. UK Space supports �0,000 jobs and contributes £� billion to the UK economy, and employs Britain’s most highly skilled manufacturing workforce. Founded in ����, UKspace is sponsored by both SBAC and Intellect, reflecting both the manufacturing and service companies within the industry. UKspace members are: ASTOS, Avanti Communications, BT, Com Dev, EADS Astrium, ERA Technology Ltd, ESYS, Helios Technology, IGG Component Technology, Infoterra, Inmarsat, LogicaCMG, Nottingham Scientific, QinetiQ, Qioptiq Space Technology, National Physical Laboratory, SEA Ltd, SciSys, SERCO, Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd, Thales, VEGA Group PLC.

Author: Klaus Becher, Knowledge & Analysis LLP, [email protected] Editor: Tom GunnerDesign: Mission-��, www.mission-��.com

For more information on the UK Space Vision �0��, or on the Case for Space,contact: Tom Gunner, [email protected] or 0���� ����0�, or visitwww.case�space.com