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Institut dʹEtudes Politiques de Paris
ECOLE DOCTORALE DE SCIENCES PO Programme Doctoral Monde Musulman
Centre d’Etudes et de Recherches Internationales
Doctorat de Sciences Politiques
VIOLENT ISLAMISM IN SAUDI ARABIA, 1979‐2006
THE POWER AND PERILS OF PAN‐ISLAMIC NATIONALISM
L’islamisme violent en Arabie Saoudite, 1979‐2006:
La puissance et les périls du nationalisme pan‐islamique
Thomas Hegghammer
Thèse dirigée par Professeur Gilles Kepel Soutenue à Paris, novembre 2007 Jury: Mme Donatella Della Porta, Professeur à l’Institut Universitaire Européen à Florence M. Gilles Kepel, Professeur à l’IEP de Paris M. James Piscatori, Professeur à l’Université d’Oxford M. Ghassan Salamé, Professeur à l’IEP de Paris M. Bjørn Olav Utvik, Professeur à l’Université d’Oslo
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Résumé Ceci est une étude des dynamiques de la violence islamiste sunnite en Arabie Saoudite, et en particulier des causes de la violence qui éclate en 2003. La mouvance djihadiste saoudienne est analysée dans un cadre à trois niveaux emprunté à Donatella Della Porta, théoricienne des mouvements sociaux. La thèse s’appuie sur des sources primaires recueillies en Arabie Saoudite ainsi que sur l’Internet. L’analyse au niveau micro se base sur 787 biographies de militants saoudiens. L’analyse montre que lʹArabie Saoudite nʹa pas connu de mouvement islamiste socio‐revolutionnaire, et que le djihadisme saoudien s’inspire plutôt d’un nationalisme pan‐islamique. La violence en 2003 représente le résultat d’un mouvement qui s’est développé en trois phases. Dans les années 1980 émerge la mouvance djihadiste dite “classique” qui s’engage dans des conflits locaux contre des non‐Musulmans. Le djihadisme classique jouit du soutien de l’Etat, ainsi que de l’importance accordée au nationalisme pan‐islamique dans la politique intérieure du royaume. Le milieu des années 1990 voit l’émergence d’une branche plus extrême, celle du “djihadisme global” représenté par al‐Qaïda. Ben Laden s’oppose a la présence américaine dans la Péninsule, mais suspend les opérations en 1998. Après lʹinvasion de lʹAfghanistan en 2001, Ben Laden décide de rouvrir un front dans le royaume. Les vétérans d’Afghanistan mobilisent et lancent une campagne en mai 2003. Les militants échouent car ils sont perçus comme révolutionnaires et parce que les jeunes recrues préfèrent partir se battre en Irak. L’Arabie Saoudite se distingue ainsi des républiques arabes, où la violence islamiste tend à sʹorienter vers les régimes, et est alimentée par des problèmes socio‐économiques. Abstract This is a study of the dynamics of Sunni Islamist violence in Saudi Arabia which asks why unrest broke out in 2003 and not earlier. It analyses the Saudi jihadist movement using a three‐level framework borrowed from social movement theorist Donatella Della Porta. It uses new primary sources from jihadist Internet sites and fieldwork in Saudi Arabia. A collection of 787 biographies supports the micro‐level analysis. The main finding is that Saudi Arabia lacks a strong socio‐revolutionary Islamist movement, and that Saudi militancy is driven by pan‐Islamic nationalism. The 2003 violence marked the homecoming of a movement which had developed in three stages. In the 1980s emerged the “classical jihadist” movement which fought non‐Muslims in local territorial conflicts. It grew strong because it enjoyed initial state support and because pan‐Islamic nationalism played a special role in Saudi politics. In the mid‐1990s arose the more extreme “global jihadist” branch represented by al‐Qaida. Bin Ladin violently opposed the US presence in the Kingdom, but was first unable, and then unwilling to launch operations at home. After the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, Bin Ladin decided to reopen a front in Saudi Arabia. His deputy Yusuf al‐Ayiri recruited hundreds of returnees from Afghanistan and launched an anti‐Western guerrilla campaign in May 2003. The campaign failed because the militants were perceived as revolutionaries and lost recruits to Iraq. The dynamics of Saudi Islamist militancy thus differ from the Arab republics, where violence is more inward‐oriented and driven by socio‐economic grievances.
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To Målfrid
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Table of Contents List of Illustrations .......................................................................................................................13 Abbreviations................................................................................................................................15 Acknowledgements .......................................................................................................................17 Note on Conventions ....................................................................................................................19
INTRODUCTION ..............................................................................................................................21 Research Question and Focus .......................................................................................................21 Existing Literature........................................................................................................................23 Methodology and Sources .............................................................................................................27 Argument and Outline .................................................................................................................31
PART ONE: BACKGROUND..........................................................................................................35 1 ANALYSING ISLAMIST VIOLENCE IN SAUDI ARABIA ............................................37
1. EXPLAINING LOW‐LEVEL POLITICAL VIOLENCE....................................................................37 Definitions ....................................................................................................................................38 Epistemological Challenges...........................................................................................................40 Existing Literature on Islamist Violence and Terrorism ..............................................................42 A Social Movement Theory Approach ..........................................................................................49
2. TOWARD A TYPOLOGY OF ISLAMIST SOCIAL MOVEMENTS....................................................53 The Limits of Essentialist Typologies ...........................................................................................55 A Rationale‐Based Typology.........................................................................................................69 Implications and Limitations ........................................................................................................77
3. SAUDI ARABIA AS A CONTEXT FOR ISLAMIST ACTIVISM........................................................80 The Idiosyncrasies of Saudi Arabia...............................................................................................80 The Composition of the Saudi Islamist Field ................................................................................90 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................98
2 PATTERNS OF ISLAMIST VIOLENCE IN SAUDI ARABIA .......................................101 1. JUHAYMAN AL‐UTAYBI’S MESSIANIC REVOLT (1979)..........................................................102 The Origin of Juhayman’s Ikhwan..............................................................................................102 Juhayman’s Ideology and Rationale for Violence........................................................................105 The Legacy of Juhayman .............................................................................................................108
2. FROM VIGILANTISM TO POLITICAL VIOLENCE (1990‐1994).................................................109 The Rejectionist Revival .............................................................................................................109 The 1991 Vigilantist Violence.....................................................................................................111 “Opening the Gates of Blood”: The al‐Hudhayf Incident ...........................................................114
3. TARGETING THE CRUSADERS (1995‐1996)............................................................................117 The Jihadists Attack: The 1995 Riyadh Bombing .......................................................................118 The 1996 Khobar Bombing: The Elusive al‐Qaida Fingerprints.................................................124
4. THE QUIET INSURGENCY (2000‐2003) ..................................................................................128 The “Alcohol Trade Bombings” ..................................................................................................128 Mysterious Explosions................................................................................................................131 The Sakaka Killings.....................................................................................................................132 Hunting Westerners ...................................................................................................................133
5. THE QAP CAMPAIGN (2003‐2006)........................................................................................135 Attack Patterns ...........................................................................................................................136 Declared Purpose ........................................................................................................................137 Fighting the Near or the Far Enemy?.........................................................................................143
CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................................144
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PART TWO: THE JIHAD BEGINS ...............................................................................................147 3 THE POLITICS OF PAN‐ISLAMIC NATIONALISM.....................................................149
1. KING FAISAL AND THE ORIGINS OF PAN‐ISLAMIC NATIONALISM......................................150 Pan‐Islamism and King Faisal....................................................................................................150 Pan‐Islamic Cause no 1: Palestine..............................................................................................154 From Pan‐Islamism to Pan‐Islamic Nationalism .......................................................................156
2. THE AFGHAN WAR AND SAUDI STATE SUPPORT FOR CLASSICAL JIHADISM......................160 Unprecedented Involvement .......................................................................................................160 American Pressure......................................................................................................................161 Military Support.........................................................................................................................164 Hesitant Ulama...........................................................................................................................167
3. THE GULF CRISIS AND THE SAHWA’S CONTESTATION ........................................................169 Infidel Assistance........................................................................................................................170 Islamist Outrage .........................................................................................................................171
4. THE BOSNIAN WAR AND PAN‐ISLAMIC ONE‐UPMANSHIP .................................................175 The Constraints of Jihad in the New World Order.....................................................................175 Domestic and International Bidding Games ..............................................................................176 Disproportionate State Support..................................................................................................177 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................182
4 THE FORMATION OF THE SAUDI JIHADIST MOVEMENT....................................185 1. AFGHANISTAN: CRADLE OF THE JIHADIST MOVEMENT.......................................................186 The Pioneering Phase: A Muslim Brotherhood Enterprise.........................................................186 The Mobilization Phase: The Role of the Services Bureau ..........................................................193 The 1987 Tipping Point..............................................................................................................197 Legacy of the Afghan Jihad .........................................................................................................199
2. JIHAD IN BOSNIA: THE ANTICLIMAX ....................................................................................201 Early Arab Mobilisation to Bosnia: The Shaʹban‐Barbaros Alliance .........................................202 Bringing Saudis to Bosnia: Exploiting the State‐Sahwa Competition .......................................205 Disappointment ..........................................................................................................................208
3. IN SEARCH OF NEW JIHAD FRONTS ......................................................................................209 The Minor Jihad Fronts: Kashmir, Philippines, Eritrea, Algeria and Somalia...........................209 Tajikistan: Khattab’s Post‐Afghanistan Adventure ...................................................................211 Chechnya and the Preservation of Classical Jihadism ................................................................213 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................217
5 SAUDI RECRUITMENT TO THE EARLY JIHAD FRONTS .........................................221 Sources and Methods ..................................................................................................................223
1. PERSONAL BACKGROUNDS ...................................................................................................229 General Characteristics...............................................................................................................229 Geographical and Tribal Background .........................................................................................231 Social and Economic Status........................................................................................................236 Other Shared Characteristics......................................................................................................238
2. PERSONAL MOTIVATIONS .....................................................................................................240 Pan‐Islamic Nationalism ............................................................................................................240 Duty, Martyrdom and Purification............................................................................................243 Adventurism and Status.............................................................................................................245
3. PATTERNS OF JOINING...........................................................................................................247 Top‐Down Recruitment..............................................................................................................248 Bottom‐Up Initiatives.................................................................................................................251 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................254
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PART THREE: GOING GLOBAL .................................................................................................257 6 THE IDEOLOGY OF GLOBAL JIHADISM ......................................................................259
1. TOWARD A DEFINITION OF GLOBAL JIHADISM.....................................................................260 The Ambiguities of Global Jihadism............................................................................................261 Anti‐Americanism, Pan‐Islamic Nationalism and Global Warfare............................................263 Instrumental Strategy or Ideology?............................................................................................265
2. THE ORIGINS OF GLOBAL JIHADIST THOUGHT.....................................................................268 Antecedents of Global Jihadism in Radical Islamist Thought.....................................................268 Macro‐ and Meso‐Level Factors Behind Global Jihadism ...........................................................274 The Political and Ideological Trajectory of Usama bin Ladin .....................................................276
3. CONSTRUCTION AND MAIN THEMES OF BIN LADIN’S DISCOURSE .....................................282 Diagnosis, Prognosis and Rationale ...........................................................................................282 Global Jihadism as a Discursive Frame.......................................................................................284 Saudi Arabia and the Al Saud in the Global Jihadist Worldview ...............................................287 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................293
7 CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR GLOBAL JIHAD, 1996‐2001 ............295 1. BETWEEN POLICE OPPRESSION AND COMPLACENCY ..........................................................296 Imprisoning the Sahwa ...............................................................................................................296 Torturing the Mujahidin ............................................................................................................298 Back to Non‐Confrontational Policing........................................................................................302
2. NEW CAUSES AND OPPORTUNITIES: THE 1999 TURNING POINT ........................................304 Internal Political Liberalisation ..................................................................................................305 New Pan‐Islamic Nationalist Causes .........................................................................................307 The Internet and the Growth of Online Jihadism .......................................................................311
3. THE RISE OF THE AL‐SHU‘AYBI SCHOOL...............................................................................314 Profiles of the Scholars ................................................................................................................315 Reacting to the Progressives .......................................................................................................324 Turning to Pan‐Islamic Nationalism..........................................................................................327 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................331
8 AL‐QAIDA AND SAUDI ARABIA, 1996‐2001..................................................................333 1. AL‐QAIDA IN AFGHANISTAN................................................................................................333 Al‐Qaida: The Definitional Debate .............................................................................................334 Organisational Structures ..........................................................................................................338 The Myth of Saudi Domination of al‐Qaida ...............................................................................342
2. AL‐QAIDA’S PRE‐9/11 OPERATIONS IN SAUDI ARABIA........................................................343 Early Difficulties.........................................................................................................................343 Abd al‐Rahim al‐Nashiri and the 1998 Missile Plots .................................................................346 The 1998 Strategy Change: Indefinite Postponement of Operations..........................................349
3. RECRUITMENT AND FUNDRAISING .......................................................................................350 Early Recruitment Problems.......................................................................................................351 Yusuf al‐Ayiri: Bin Ladin’s Ideal Representative .......................................................................353 The Jihadist Fundraising Industry .............................................................................................360 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................366
9 SAUDI RECRUITMENT TO AL‐QAIDA ..........................................................................369 Sources and methods...................................................................................................................370
1. PERSONAL BACKGROUNDS ...................................................................................................373 General characteristics................................................................................................................373 Geographical and Tribal Background .........................................................................................374
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Socio‐Economic Status................................................................................................................380 Other Shared Characteristics and Formative Experiences..........................................................385
2. MOTIVATIONS FOR GOING TO AFGHANISTAN .....................................................................387 Defending the Chechens and the Taliban....................................................................................388 Duty and Martyrdom.................................................................................................................392 Adventurism and Training.........................................................................................................393
3. PATTERNS OF JOINING...........................................................................................................395 Top‐Down Recruitment..............................................................................................................396 Bottom‐up Initiatives..................................................................................................................399 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................403
PART FOUR: THE HOMECOMING............................................................................................405 10 THE POST‐9/11 CONTEXT FOR GLOBAL JIHADIST ACTIVISM.............................407
1. NEW SYMBOLS OF MUSLIM SUFFERING ................................................................................408 Afghanistan, Guantanamo and the War on Terror ....................................................................408 Escalation in Palestine and Chechnya ........................................................................................410 The Invasion of Iraq ....................................................................................................................413
2. AL‐QAIDA’S SCHOLARS: THE RHETORICAL ESCALATION OF THE AL‐SHU’AYBI SCHOOL..414 Time for Loyalty and Dissociation: 9/11 and the War in Afghanistan.......................................415 No We Won’t Coexist: At War with the Sahwa .........................................................................417 Threatening the Regime over Iraq...............................................................................................419 From Radicals to Renegades .......................................................................................................420
3. FROM SOFT TO HARD POLICING OF THE JIHAD COMMUNITY..............................................424 The Persistence of Soft Policing..................................................................................................425 Autumn 2002: The First Bullet ..................................................................................................427 Early 2003: The Gloves are Off...................................................................................................430 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................433
11 THE FORMATION OF AL‐QAIDA ON THE ARABIAN PENINSULA......................435 1. THE INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN AND THE DECENTRALISATION OF AL‐QAIDA ...............436 Underestimating the U.S. response ............................................................................................436 Withdrawing from Afghanistan .................................................................................................439 Aiming for the Arabian Peninsula .............................................................................................442
2. AL‐NASHIRI AND AL‐QAIDA’S FAILED 2002 OFFENSIVES ...................................................448 Independent Initiatives ...............................................................................................................449 The Abu Hudhayfa Missile Plot .................................................................................................450 The al‐Nashiri Network ..............................................................................................................452
3. AL‐AYIRI AND THE MUJAHIDIN ON THE ARABIAN PENINSULA..........................................458 Al‐Ayiri the Organisation‐Builder.............................................................................................458 Internet Propaganda and Strategic Studies................................................................................460 Systematic Recruitment of Arab Afghans ..................................................................................463 Training Infrastructure ..............................................................................................................467 Safe Houses, Weapons and Equipment.......................................................................................471
4. LAUNCHING THE JIHAD ........................................................................................................475 A Contested Launch Order.........................................................................................................475 The East Riyadh Operation ........................................................................................................481 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................485
12 RECRUITMENT TO AL‐QAIDA ON THE ARABIAN PENINSULA ..........................487 Sources and methods...................................................................................................................488
1. PERSONAL BACKGROUNDS ...................................................................................................489 General Characteristics...............................................................................................................489
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Geographical and Tribal Background .........................................................................................491 Social and Economic Status........................................................................................................494
2. THE AFGHANISTAN FACTOR.................................................................................................498 A Unique Radicalisation Process................................................................................................498 Jihad Experience and Internal QAP Organisation .....................................................................500 A Closed Universe ......................................................................................................................503
3. MOTIVATIONS........................................................................................................................504 Global Jihadist Ideology ..............................................................................................................505 Companionship and Loyalty .......................................................................................................506 Self‐Defence and Vengeance .......................................................................................................507
4. PATTERNS OF JOINING...........................................................................................................509 Persuasion...................................................................................................................................510 Incrimination ..............................................................................................................................511 Protection....................................................................................................................................512 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................512
13 THE FAILURE OF THE QAP EXPERIMENT ....................................................................515 1. EVOLUTION OF THE QAP CAMPAIGN ..................................................................................516 Setback and Reorganisation (May‐November 2003) ..................................................................517 Consolidation and Revenge (December 2003‐March 2004) .......................................................519 Spring Offensive and QAP Collapse (April‐July 2004) .............................................................521 Death Cramps of the Old QAP (August 2004‐May 2005) ........................................................526 The New Generation (June 2005‐December 2006) .....................................................................529
2. EXPLAINING THE FAILURE OF THE QAP CAMPAIGN ...........................................................533 Overwhelming State Power ........................................................................................................533 Legitimacy Deficit.......................................................................................................................537 Iraq and the Split between Classical and Global Jihadists ..........................................................540 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................545
CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................................549 BIBLIOGRAPHY AND SOURCES ...............................................................................................565
OVERVIEW OF SOURCES ..................................................................................................................565 FULL REFERENCE LIST.....................................................................................................................573
APPENDIX 1: SECURITY INCIDENTS IN SAUDI ARABIA, 2000‐2006 ................................................613
APPENDIX 2: BIOGRAPHIES OF SAUDIS IN THE EARLY JIHAD FRONTS.....................................635
APPENDIX 3: BIOGRAPHIES OF SAUDIS IN POST‐1996 AFGHANISTAN.......................................649
APPENDIX 4: BIOGRAPHIES OF MILITANTS IN POST‐2001 SAUDI ARABIA ...............................667
APPENDIX 5: BIOGRAPHIES OF SAUDIS IN IRAQ................................................................................699
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List of Illustrations
Tables
Table 1 A Rationale‐Based Typology of Islamist Activism..........................................................73
Table 2 Birth Year and Average Recruitment Age of Saudis in the Early Jihad Fronts .........230
Table 3 Geographical Origin (by Macro‐Region) of Early Saudi Jihadists ..............................233
Table 4 Administrative Region of Residence of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan.................375
Table 5 Geographical Origin (by Administrative Region of Residence) of QAP Militants ...491
Table 6 A Rationale‐Based Typology of Saudi Islamism ...........................................................558
Figures
Figure 1 Saudi Funding for Palestinian Resistance Compared With Oil Prices, 1967‐1990 ...157
Figure 2 Saudi Government Funding of Afghan Mujahidin Compared With Oil Prices, 1980‐
1990......................................................................................................................................................157
Figure 3 Departure Year of Saudi Militants in Pre‐1996 Afghanistan and Bosnia .................230
Figure 4 Map of Saudi Arabia with Administrative Regions ....................................................231
Figure 5 Geographical Origin (by Macro‐Region) of Early Saudi Jihadists.............................232
Figure 6 Home City of Early and Late Arrivals to the First Afghan Jihad ..............................233
Figure 7 Residence of Saudis in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Tajikistan and Chechnya ...................234
Figure 8 Tribal Origin of Early Saudi Jihadists............................................................................235
Figure 9 Occupational Status of Early Saudi Jihadists ...............................................................237
Figure 10 Education Level of Early Saudi Jihadists ....................................................................238
Figure 11 Education Level of Saudis in Early Jihad Fronts Compared with National Average
..............................................................................................................................................................238
Figure 12 Departure Dates of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan ...............................................374
Figure 13 Geographical Origin (by Macro‐Region of Residence) of Saudis in Post‐1996
Afghanistan ........................................................................................................................................375
Figure 14 Geographical Origin (by City of Residence) of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan.377
Figure 15 Geographical Distribution (By City) of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan and Early
Jihad Fronts ........................................................................................................................................377
Figure 16 Tribal Origin of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan .....................................................378
Figure 17 Education Level of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan................................................381
Figure 18 Education Level of Saudis in Early Jihad Fronts and in Post‐1996 Afghanistan ...382
Figure 19 Occupational Status of Saudis in Post‐1996 Afghanistan .........................................383
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Figure 20 Geographical Origin (by City of Residence) of QAP Militants (Full Sample) .......492
Figure 21 Geographical Origin (by Macro‐Region) of Saudi Jihadists, 1980‐2006..................493
Figure 22 Tribal Origin of QAP Militants (Full Sample) ............................................................494
Figure 23 Education Level of QAP Militants ...............................................................................495
Figure 24 Evolution of Education Level of Saudi Jihadists........................................................496
Figure 25 Occupational Status of QAP Militants ........................................................................497
Figure 26 Date of QAP Militants’ First Departure for Military Training Abroad ..................501
Text Boxes
Text Box 1: Major Crackdowns and Shootouts, May‐November 2003…………………………517
Text Box 2: Major Shootouts, December 2003‐ March 2004…………………………………..…520
Text Box 3: Attacks on Security Services, December 2003……………………………………... 520
Text Box 4: Major Shootouts, April‐May 2004……………………………………………………522
Text Box 5: Main Attacks on Security Forces, April‐June 2004… ……………………………...522
Text Box 6: Assassinations of Westerners, May‐June 2004……………………………………...524
Text Box 7: Major Crackdowns, August‐November 2004……………………………………….527
Text Box 8: Major Gunbattles, July‐October 2005………………………………………………...531
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Abbreviations
CDLR
CIA
CISR
CSRT
EIJ
ETA
FFI
FIS
GIA
GSPC
HT
IBC
IIRO
IRA
JSM
LeT
MB
MIRA
MWL
NATO
NSC
OIC
OPM/SANG
PAIC
PLO
QAP
SB
SMT
TWRA
UN
Committee for the Defence of Legitimate Rights
Central Intelligence Agency
Centre for Islamic Study and Research
Combatant Status Review Tribunal
Egyptian Islamic Jihad
Euskadi Ta Askatasuna
Forsvarets forskningsinstitutt
Front Islamique du Salut
Groupe Islamique Armé
Groupe Salafiste pour la Prédication et le Combat
Hizb al‐Tahrir
Islamic Benevolence Committee
International Islamic Relief Organisation
Irish Republican Army
al‐Jama’a al‐Salafiyya al‐Muhtasiba
Lashkar‐e‐Tayyiba
Muslim Brotherhood
Movement for Islamic Reform in Arabia
Muslim World League
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
National Security Council
Organisation of the Islamic Conference
Office of the Programme Manager, Saudi National Guard
Popular Arab and Islamic Conference
Palestine Liberation Organisation
al‐Qaida on the Arabian Peninsula
Services Bureau
Social Movement Theory
Third World Relief Agency
United Nations
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Acknowledgements
The only part of this study I did entirely on my own was the typing. For the rest, I
relied on the generosity of many remarkable people across Europe and the Middle
East.
Let me start by thanking my supervisor, Professor Gilles Kepel in Paris, who
accepted me as a doctoral student, opened the door to Saudi Arabia and offered
generous guidance and advice throughout the four years it took me to produce this
thesis. I also thank my other academic mentor and long‐time colleague, Dr Brynjar
Lia, whose day‐to‐day advice, feedback and support has been invaluable for my
work. His talent and integrity have been, and still are, a tremendous source of
inspiration.
This study would not have been possible without the PhD scholarship
generously awarded to me by the Norwegian Ministry of Defence. I am also very
grateful to my employer, Forsvarets forskningsinstitutt (FFI), for giving me the
resources and the time to carry out my project. I especially thank the always
supportive Jan Erik Torp and the phenomenally efficient FFI librarians.
I cannot overstate my gratitude to the King Faisal Foundation and the King
Faisal Centre for Research and Islamic Studies in Riyadh, for hosting me as a visiting
student on my four trips to Saudi Arabia. I am immensely grateful to the Director, Dr
Yahya Ibn Junayd, and his colleagues for their unconditional support and practical
assistance during my fieldwork. I will repay in the currency I know they value the
most: academic objectivity and sincerity.
I am also extremely grateful to the many people I met during my fieldwork in
Saudi Arabia and elsewhere. I am forever indebted to Saud al‐Sarhan, Mansur al‐
Nuqaydan and Yusuf al‐Dayni who unselfishly shared their vast knowledge of Saudi
Islamism and helped me in innumerable ways since I first arrived in the Kingdom. I
would never have been able to write this thesis without the help of these true
intellectuals. I also express special gratitude to Fahd al‐Shafi, Nasir al‐Huzaymi,
Nasir al‐Barrak, Hudhayfa Azzam, Abdallah Anas, and certain anonymous friends,
whose intellectual generosity seemed to have no limits. I thank Nawaf Obaid, whose
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insights into the QAP investigation were crucial for my analysis. I interviewed many
other generous people who are unfortunately too numerous to be listed here.
In preparing this thesis, I have benefited from constant interaction with
colleagues in the field who generously shared documents, contacts, information and
ideas with me. My closest companion and sparring partner in this process has been
Stéphane Lacroix, with whom I have enjoyed an exceptionally fruitful and trustful
working relationship since we first enrolled in Sciences‐Po together in 2003. I also
thank Steffen Hertog and Will McCants, who kindly commented on parts of this
manuscript and with whom I had very stimulating discussions. I am very grateful to
my FFI colleague and excellent discussion partner Petter Nesser whose willingness to
take on extra duties in the last six months enabled me to finish this project in time. I
also thank my other current and former colleagues at FFI’s terrorism research project
– Laila Bokhari, Åshild Kjøk, Hanna Rogan, Anne Stenersen, Truls Tønnessen and
Samna Zia – for their help and encouragement. I have also benefited from
discussions with, and the travel companionship of, fellow doctoral students at
Sciences‐Po in Paris, especially Carine Abou Lahoud, Abd al‐Asiem al‐Difraoui,
Amelie Le Renard, Nabil Mouline, Thomas Pierret, Omar Saghi and Abdallah
Tourabi. Many other brilliant scholars and journalists have helped me in various
ways on this project, including Mariam Abou Zahab, Awadh al‐Badi, Faiza Ambah,
Peter Bergen, Faris Bin Huzzam, Christopher Boucek, James Buchan, Frank Gardner,
Bernard Haykel, Andrew Higgins, Sean Keeling, Michael Knights, Robert Lacey, Tim
Niblock, Reuven Paz, Bernard Rougier, Kjetil Selvik, Guido Steinberg, Camille Tawil,
Christoph Wilcke, and Lawrence Wright.
I am grateful to all the people who assisted me during my travels and
research visits abroad. I thank Bishoy Salah, Ashraf Ibrahim and Nicholas Stivang for
helping me around Cairo in 2003; I thank Ambassador Jan Bugge‐Mahrt and Trond
Rudi at the Norwegian Embassy in Riyadh for their assistance during my trips to
Saudi Arabia; I thank the librarians at the Arab World Documentation Unit in Exeter
University; and I thank Wyn Bowen, Michael Clarke, and Peter Neumann for
facilitating my research visit at King’s College London in 2005‐2006.
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Last but not least I thank my family and close friends for their unrelenting
support and patience in this time‐consuming and laborious process. Above all and
everything else, I thank my wife Målfrid.
Oslo, July 2007
Note on Conventions
Transliteration
Words and titles in Arabic are transcribed using a simplified version of the
Encyclopaedia of Islam system. Diacritics are not included. Ayn and Hamza are
indicated but not distinguished. Transcribed Arabic words are never capitalised.
Arabic words in unabridged English dictionaries (Qur’an, hadith etc) are not
italicised.
Names
Arabic names are transcribed according to the abovementioned system (though
capitalised) unless a different transcription is dominant in English‐language texts
(e.g. Khobar not Khubar). Where different usages occur, I chose the one closest to the
abovementioned system (e.g. Usama bin Ladin). The article is dropped before
common place‐names (e.g. Riyadh, not al‐Riyadh). Ayn is not included at the
beginning of names (e.g. Abdallah)
Footnotes and Bibliography
Footnote numbering restarts in each chapter. Bibliographic references appear in
“Chicago 15th A” style. Full bibliographic details are provided only at first reference;
subsequent references appear in shortened form. Titles in foreign languages are only
translated on first reference. Page numbers are not preceded by “p.” References to
Internet sources usually do not include full URL address, but all cited documents are
stored electronically by the author. Some interviewees have been anonymized.
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Introduction
It was a quiet Monday evening in Riyadh when the car bombs ripped through the
expatriate housing compounds. The triple suicide attack on 12 May 2003 was the
largest of its kind in Saudi history and marked the beginning of a protracted wave of
bombings, shooting sprees and clashes between security forces and militant
Islamists1 calling themselves “al‐Qaida on the Arabian Peninsula” (QAP). By the end
of 2006, the QAP campaign had left around 300 people dead and thousands
wounded. Never before in its modern history had Saudi Arabia experienced internal
violence of this scale and duration.
The QAP campaign is intriguing, because it put an end to a “Saudi exception”
as well as a “Saudi paradox” in the history of militant Sunni Islamism. The “Saudi
exception” refers to the fact that Saudi Arabia had experienced considerably less
Islamist violence than many other countries in the region. The “Saudi paradox” hints
at the curious discrepancy between, on the one hand, the high number of Saudis
involved in militancy abroad in the 1980s and 1990s and, on the other hand, the low
level of Islamist violence inside the Kingdom in the same period.
Research Question and Focus
Why was there an outbreak of Islamist violence in Saudi Arabia in 2003? The question may
seem straightforward at first sight, but in fact it encapsulates a number of intriguing
puzzles which require in‐depth analysis. It raises four particularly important sub‐
questions which I shall try to answer in this doctoral thesis: First, why and how did
the QAP emerge when it did? Second, why were so many Saudis engaged in
1 I define “Islamism” very broadly as ”Islamic activism.” A detailed discussion of this and other concepts will follow in Chapter 1.
22
militancy abroad in the 1980s and 1990s? Third, why was there relatively little
Islamist violence in Saudi Arabia prior to 2003? Fourth, to what extent do the
dynamics of Islamist militancy in Saudi Arabia differ from those in other countries?
These research questions are complex because they are rooted in at least three
semi‐independent fields of academic inquiry, namely the study of Saudi politics and
society, the study of Islamism and the study of political violence. The overall purpose of
this thesis is to make an intellectual contribution to these three academic fields
through an analysis of the jihadist movement in Saudi Arabia.2 For those studying
Saudi politics and society, the case of the QAP campaign presents conundrums such
as: How did this campaign relate to previous waves of political activism in recent
Saudi history? How strong is the Islamist opposition really in the Kingdom? From
which parts of Saudi society did the militants recruit? For scholars of political Islam,
our inquiry raises a number of issues, notably: What were the aims and the ideology
of the militants behind the campaign? How did the QAP relate to other Islamist
groups and currents, inside and outside of Saudi Arabia? How strong was al‐Qaida’s
foothold in the Kingdom? For the student of political violence and terrorism, the
Saudi case raises intriguing questions such as: How could there be a violent
campaign in a context with no visible political or socio‐economic crisis? How does
individual radicalisation occur in ultra‐conservative, tribal and wealthy societies?
How was the QAP able to grow so strong under a supposedly authoritarian regime?
While these questions will not be answered in full in this thesis, they do provide an
indication of the broader significance of this inquiry.
The focus of the study is on the dynamics of Sunni Islamist violence in
modern Saudi Arabia. While the analysis will hopefully shed some light on more
general issues relating to the history and politics of the Saudi Kingdom, the primary
criterion defining my research object is that of physical violence. Non‐violent Islamist
actors will be considered where relevant, but this is neither a study of Saudi
Islamism as such nor of the Saudi political system as a whole. I will also leave out
Shiite Islamist militancy, which represents a separate political phenomenon. 2 In this thesis, the term ”jihadism” used on its own is simply a synonym for ”militant Islamism.” However, as I shall explain below, ”Saudi jihadism” connotes a more specific political orientation, namely ”militant pan‐Islamic nationalism.”
23
Conversely, this study will include time periods and phenomena which may not
immediately seem relevant to our primary research question. The QAP campaign is
widely considered to have begun on 12 May 2003 and to be still ongoing – albeit at a
reduced rate – at the current time of writing (June 2007). However, my analysis will
delve as far back as the late 1970s, when the first significant Islamist violence
occurred and when the main Saudi Islamist currents began to crystallize. I will not,
however, consider historically more distant manifestations of Islamist militancy,
such as the so‐called Ikhwan revolts of the 1920s. At the other end, the chronological
focus ends on 31 December 2006, which concludes the last full calendar year before
the submission of this thesis. Similarly, the analysis will place considerable emphasis
on Saudi militancy outside the Kingdom, notably in foreign conflict zones such as
Afghanistan, Bosnia and Chechnya. This is because the QAP phenomenon, as we
shall see, was closely linked to the private participation of Saudis in foreign conflict
zones and in foreign‐based organisations such as Usama Bin Ladin’s al‐Qaida. A
major line of inquiry in this analysis will thus be the nature of the relationship
between the international and the domestic activities of militant Saudi Islamists. Put
simply, therefore, this thesis focuses on the history of the Saudi jihadist movement
from 1979 to 2006.
Existing Literature3
The main justification for this study is that violent Islamism in Saudi Arabia remains
notoriously understudied and that the existing literature fails to explain the outbreak
of the 2003 violence. In the academic literature on violent Islamism, Saudi Arabia
remains one of the least known parts of the Middle East, for two main reasons. First
3 In this review I exclude my own writings on Saudi Islamism, which include Thomas Hegghammer, ʺViolence politique en Arabie Saoudite: Montée et déclin dʹal‐Qaïda sur la péninsule arabiqueʺ in Quʹest‐ce que le salafisme?, ed. Bernard Rougier (Paris: Presses Universitaires de France, 2007); Thomas Hegghammer and Stéphane Lacroix, ʺRejectionist Islamism in Saudi Arabia: The Story of Juhayman al‐Utaybi Revisitedʺ, International Journal of Middle East Studies 39, no. 1 (2007); Thomas Hegghammer, ʺCombattants saoudiens en Irak: Modes de radicalisation et de recrutementʺ, Cultures et Conflits 64 (2007) Thomas Hegghammer, ʺReview of Dore Gold, Hatred’s Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorismʺ, British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies 34, no. 2 (2007); Thomas Hegghammer, ʺTerrorist Recruitment and Radicalisation in Saudi Arabiaʺ, Middle East Policy 13, no. 4 (2006); Thomas Hegghammer, ʺSaudi Arabia: Terror threat reduced ‐ for time beingʺ, Oxford Analytica Daily Brief (2006); and Stéphane Lacroix and Thomas Hegghammer, ʺSaudi Arabia Backgrounder: Who Are the Islamists?ʺ (Brussels: International Crisis Group, 21 September 2004).
24
is that the Kingdom long remained out of reach to Western social scientists, and that
until recently, the Saudi government was very secretive on security issues. The
second reason is that scholars and analysts have long tended to exempt Saudi Arabia
from critical scientific inspection. Essentialist perspectives on Saudi Arabia have
come in two types – pro‐Saudi and anti‐Saudi – both of which are equally limiting.
Pro‐Saudi essentialism discourages academic inquiry into political contestation and
violence and because it is embarrassing to the regime. Anti‐Saudi essentialism skirts
basic scientific principles in its urge to highlight some fundamentally “wrong” aspect
with Saudi state and society.4 The result of this exemption from scientific inspection
is a deficit of both empirical knowledge and operational theories on the comings and
goings of militant Saudi Islamism.5 This deficit is reflected in the literature on the
violence that broke out in 2003.
The QAP campaign has been subject to a certain amount of analysis, but the
vast majority of articles are descriptive and more concerned with the policy
implications of the violence than its causes.6 In the few works that deal with the QAP
in some depth, we do not find adequate answers to the abovementioned research
questions. Broadly speaking, the literature contains three main types of causal
explanations.
First are organisational‐level analyses which attribute the 2003 violence to the
decision by Usama bin Ladin and al‐Qaida to open a battlefront in Saudi Arabia. This
is, simply put, the explanation found in the work of Nawaf Obaid and Anthony
Cordesman, who see the QAP campaign as the latest in a series of attempts by
4 See for example Stephen Schwartz, The Two Faces of Islam: The House of Saud from Tradition to Terror (Doubleday, 2002); Dore Gold, Hatredʹs Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism (Washington: Regnery, 2004) or Mark Silverberg, The Quartermasters of Terror: Saudi Arabia and the Global Islamic Jihad (Lima, OH: Wyndham Hall Press, 2005). For a criticism of this perspective, see Thomas Hegghammer, ʺReview of Dore Gold, Hatred’s Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism,ʺ British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies 34, no. 2 (2007). 5 There are very few works that focus specifically on the issue of Saudi Islamist militancy – as opposed to Saudi Islamism more generally – in the 1980s and 1990s. A rare exception is Joshua Teitelbaum, Holier Than Thou: Saudi Arabiaʹs Islamic Opposition, vol. 52, (Policy Papers) (Washington: Washington Institute for Near East Studies, 2000). 6 For the best accounts and policy analyses of aspects of the QAP campaign, see the writings of Michael Knights (in the publications of Jane’s Information Group and the Olive Group) and Stephen Ulph (in the publications of the Jamestown Foundation). The Saudi journalist Faris Bin Huzzam has also published a number of good analyses on parts of the QAP campaign on the al‐Arabiya website and in al‐Riyadh newspaper.
25
Usama bin Ladin to topple the Saudi regime.7 Obaid and Cordesman provide very
valuable insights into the early history of the QAP organisation and show how the
QAP mobilisation was dependent on key entrepreneurs such as Yusuf al‐Ayiri. A
variant of this explanation has been presented by Dominique Thomas, who traced
the emergence of a Saudi jihadist current in the mid‐ and late 1990s which took to
arms in 2003 upon the order of Bin Ladin and the mobilisation of al‐Ayiri.8 Thomas
puts more emphasis on ideology than Obaid and Cordesman and sheds light on the
important role played by radical scholars such as Nasir al‐Fahd in the build‐up to the
2003 violence. However, these analyses do not adequately explain why Bin Ladin
suddenly decided to launch the campaign in 2003 and why there was a 7 ½‐year gap
between the 1995 Riyadh bombing and the QAP campaign. Moreover,
organisational‐level analyses tend to skirt the deeper causes of the violence. Obaid
and Cordesman’s paragraph on “Underlying causes of support for al‐Qaeda” only
lists a broad range of political and economic problems without explaining how they
relate to violence.9
A second and related type of explanation is based on social movement theory
and views the QAP campaign as the violent phase in a “cycle of contention” of the
Saudi Islamist movement. This is the approach used in Roel Meijer’s detailed and
balanced book chapter on the QAP campaign.10 Meijer argued that the violent phase,
which began in 1995, was brought about by the state repression of the non‐violent
Islamist opposition of the early 1990s. He explained the absence of violence before
2003 as the result of a tactical choice by Usama bin Ladin to focus his military
activities elsewhere. However, Meijer somewhat problematically assumes the
existence of a coherent “Saudi Islamist movement”, while in fact there are important
ideological differences and few organic links between the QAP and the Sahwist
7 Nawaf Obaid and Anthony Cordesman, ʺAl‐Qaeda in Saudi Arabia: Asymmetric Threats and Islamic Extremistsʺ (Washington: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 6 January 2005). The report is reproduced in Anthony H. Cordesman and Nawaf E. Obaid, National Security in Saudi Arabia: Threats, Responses, and Challenges (Westport, Conn.: Praeger Security International, 2005), 112‐121. 8 Dominique Thomas, Les hommes dʹAl‐Qaïda: Discours et stratégie (Paris: Michalon, 2005), 39‐58. 9 Nawaf Obaid and Anthony Cordesman, ʺAl‐Qaeda in Saudi Arabia: Asymmetric Threats and Islamic Extremistsʺ (Washington: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 6 January 2005), 21‐22. 10 Roel Meijer, ʺThe ʹCycle of Contentionʹ and the Limits of Terrorism in Saudi Arabiaʺ in Saudi Arabia in the Balance, ed. Paul Aarts and Gerd Nonneman (London: Hurst, 2005). See also Roel Meijer, ʺJihadi Opposition in Saudi Arabiaʺ, ISIM Newsletter 15 (2005).
26
opposition of the early 1990s. Moreover, Meijer does not adequately explain why
Usama bin Ladin changed his mind and refocused on Saudi Arabia in 2003.
Third are the structural explanations, which see the QAP‘s violence as the
natural result of deep socio‐economic problems or fundamental dysfunctions in the
Saudi state system. Some emphasise the economic dimension; Robert Looney, for
example, has argued that Saudi Arabia experiences violence because it is in a
terrorism‐prone stage of economic development.11 Others, such as Joshua
Teitelbaum, acknowledge the importance of socio‐economic factors, but suggest that
the real problem is the “ideology of religious extremism” which underlies the
legitimacy of the Saudi State.12 A related, but more sophisticated analysis is that
presented by Madawi al‐Rasheed, who sees Saudi jihadism as one of the many
permutations of Wahhabism after the authoritarian Saudi state lost the monopoly
over Wahhabi discourse under the pressures of globalisation.13 Al‐Rasheed’s book
Contesting the Saudi State is by far the best available study of radical Saudi Islamism,
not least because it is one of the few works to rely extensively on primary sources.
Al‐Rasheed rightly emphasises the indigenous nature of Saudi jihadism and
eloquently explains the fluid and complex relationship between jihadist, Sahwist and
official religious discourse. Unfortunately she does not articulate a clear explanation
to the outbreak of the 2003 violence, partly because this is not the focus of her book.
She does, however, strongly allude to the authoritarian nature of the state and its
instrumentalisation of Wahhabism as root causes of Saudi jihadism.14 Structural
explanations are no doubt important in identifying underlying causes of violence.
However, they require rigorous testing against empirical evidence, something which 11 Robert Looney, ʺCombating Terrorism Through Reforms: Implications of the Bremer‐Kasarda Model for Saudi Arabiaʺ, Strategic Insights 3, no. 4 (2004). 12 Teitelbaum noted that “Saudi Arabia is beset by many acute problems, such as the need for economic and political reform, corruption, unemployment, and a burgeoning population. […] they are close to insurmountable, since Saudi legitimacy is based on an ideology of religious extremism” ; Joshua Teitelbaum, ʺTerrorist Challenges to Saudi Arabian Internal Securityʺ, Middle East Review of International Affairs 9, no. 3 (2005). 13 Madawi al‐Rasheed, Contesting the Saudi State: Islamic Voices from a New Generation (Cambridge: University Press, 2007), 134‐174. See also Madawi al‐Rasheed, ʺDeux prédécesseurs saoudiens de Ben Ladenʺ, Critique Internationale, no. 17 (2002). 14 Al‐Rasheed notably stated that “it is essential to consider the role played by the Saudi regime in creating a context that allows it to grow. In many respects, the violence of the jihadis represents a mirror reflecting the violence of the state and its official ulama”; Madawi al‐Rasheed, Contesting the Saudi State: Islamic Voices from a New Generation (Cambridge: University Press, 2007), 137.
27
neither Teitelbaum nor al‐Rasheed really undertakes. Moreover, such explanations
very rarely account for variations in levels of violence over time and are not
sufficient to account for the timing of the QAP campaign. If authoritarianism or
Wahhabism is the problem, how do we explain the absence of a Saudi jihadist
movement prior to the mid‐1980s and the low levels of violence inside Saudi Arabia
prior to 2003?
This brief review shows that there is a significant gap in the academic
literature regarding the causes of the QAP campaign and on the general
phenomenon of Islamist militancy in Saudi Arabia. It also highlights a number of
methodological challenges, notably that organisational‐level analyses omit root
causes, structural explanations cannot explain timing, and social movement theory
does not work well on the “Saudi Islamist movement.” How, then, shall we analyse
the problem at hand?
Methodology and Sources
The basic analytical procedure followed in this thesis consists of viewing the QAP as
part of a Saudi jihadist movement – defined as an undercurrent of Saudi Islamism –
and to study the emergence and development of this movement using a three‐level
framework borrowed from social movement theorist Donatella Della Porta.15 The
justification and details of this approach will be further explained in Chapter 1, but to
put it simply, I posit that the nature of the violence in question requires an analytical
framework with several levels of analysis in order to capture both the underlying
causes and the tactical factors which determine the timing and form of violent
campaigns. Della Porta studied leftist extremism in Italy and Germany by
distinguishing between macro‐level variables such styles of protest policing, meso‐
level variables such as underground organisational dynamics, and micro‐level
variables such as recruitment and radicalisation processes. This is a powerful
framework which allows for conceptualising the effect of synchronic changes at
different levels of analysis. After all, political violence is rarely the product of a single
cause, but of constellations of factors at different levels. 15 Donatella Della Porta, Social Movements, Political Violence and the State: A Comparative Analysis of Italy and Germany (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995), 9‐14.
28
My analysis also applies Della Porta’s concept of “social movement family” to
the Saudi context. Given that Saudi Islamism is politically too heterogeneous to be
analysed as a social movement, I view it instead as a family of social movements, one
of which is jihadism. I view Saudi jihadism as an extreme pan‐Islamic nationalist
movement whose rationale for the use of violence is the protection of the Muslim
nation and the liberation of its territories. The Saudi jihadist movement is distinct
from the non‐violent Saudi reformist movement (or Sahwa) and from the pietistic
“rejectionist movement.” Saudi jihadism can be considered a social movement
because it meets the four criteria in Della Porta’s definition of social movements,
namely that 1) they are informal interaction networks between a plurality of
individuals, groups and/or organisations; 2) they have shared beliefs and a sense of
belonging; 3) they are engaged in collective action focusing on political and/or cultural
conflicts 4) they use protest, i.e. unconventional styles of political participation.16 An
important assumption is that the Saudi jihadist movement has a long history which
must be analysed in stages. The analysis will therefore identify the most crucial
chronological periods and study each of them on the macro, meso and micro level.
The central concern at each stage is to understand and explain mobilisation, i.e.
how political entrepreneurs acted to mobilise the human, material and immaterial
resources available to them in given political contexts. The underlying theoretical
inquiry is therefore related to the agent‐structure problem in the study of collective
action.17 Having said this, the ambition of this work is not to develop political science
theory, but to use the most relevant analytical tools on a poorly known body of
empirical data to provide the best possible answer to the research question.
The process of collecting this body of empirical data was fraught with
numerous source‐related problems, as is always the case in the study of small violent
actors. Militant groups are clandestine by their very nature, and they are involved in
bitter struggles which solicit strong emotions and invite manipulation of information
by all parties to the conflict. This particular case study would seem even more
16 Donatella Della Porta and Mario Diani, Social Movements: An Introduction (Oxford: Blackwell, 1999), 14‐15. 17 See for example Jeffrey Berejikian, ʺRevolutionary Collective Action and the Agent‐Structure Problemʺ, American Political Science Review 86, no. 3 (1992).
29
problematic to study academically, because the QAP remained completely out of
reach to researchers and journalists, and because the campaign took place in the
hitherto inaccessible and secretive Saudi Arabia.18 It is fair to say that if the QAP
campaign had happened ten years ago, it would not have been possible to write this
doctoral thesis.
However, recent years have seen a number of important developments which
made it possible to collect a considerable amount of primary and secondary sources
on the Saudi jihadist movement. The first and most important factor is the Internet,
which has revolutionized the academic study of militant Islamism by making
primary sources much more widely accessible. Since the late 1990s, an international
community of radical Islamists has used the Internet as a distribution platform,
library and information exchange for texts, recordings and videos. Active groups
embraced the Internet as a means to publicise their agenda, document their activities
and hail their martyrs. The QAP in particular published an astonishing amount of
documentation about itself, making it one of the best documented militant Islamist
groups in history.19 Jihadist media entrepreneurs also used the Internet to document
the past, by scanning texts, digitalising old videos and tape recordings going back to
the 1970s, and posting them online. Documentation from jihadist websites must
obviously be used with caution, because its origin is difficult to verify and because it
nearly always has a propaganda purpose. However, while the question of
authenticity must be taken seriously, it is less of a problem than sceptics think. Most
long‐time observers of “jihadism online” agree that falsification is rare. Forgery is
difficult because individual documents can always be checked against other sources
for consistency of style and content. Moreover, the sheer quantity of documents in
circulation means the propaganda value of individual documents is limited.
18 Active QAP militants never gave a single face‐to‐face interview with outsiders in the 2002‐2006 period. Their hostility was evidenced by the tragic killing of BBC cameraman Simon Cumbers and the near‐fatal wounding of his colleague Frank Gardner in Riyadh in June 2004. 19 The remarkable textual production of the QAP included five different publication series: Sawt al‐Jihad [Voice of Jihad], published in 30 issues (30‐50 pages each); Mu’askar al‐Battar [Camp of the Sabre], 22 issues (30‐50 pages); al‐Khansa [named after a 7th century female poet], one issue; al‐Taqrir al‐Ikhbari [News Report], 23 issues; and the Bayan [Statement], at least three issues. The QAP also produced several 40‐90 minute films documenting their operations in remarkable detail; such as Wills of the Heroes, Martyrs of the Confrontations, Badr of Riyadh, the Quds Squadron and the Falluja Raid.
30
Authenticity issues arise mostly in the case of key documents that are exploited in
high‐level politics, such as the alleged letters between Ayman al‐Zawahiri and Abu
Mus’ab al‐Zarqawi, which were used by U.S. officials keen to delegitimise the Iraqi
insurgency. Accuracy, on the other hand, is a more serious concern, but this problem
can be addressed by relying on accumulated evidence. This study is based on
thousands of texts, recordings and videos systematically collected from the Internet
over a period of five years. The quantity and variety of this material is too large for
everything to be discussed here, so I will instead assess specific sources in the course
of the analysis.
The second factor which made this study possible was Saudi Arabia’s
opening to Western social scientists from around 2002 onward. Thanks to the King
Faisal Centre for Research and Islamic Studies in Riyadh, I was able to visit Saudi
Arabia on four occasions – each time for a period of 3‐4 weeks – in April 2004, April
2005, November 2005 and January 2007. Although the fieldwork was not without its
challenges of the practical and cultural kind, I was never at any point obstructed,
guided or “minded” in my travels and interview requests, at least to my knowledge.
The KFCRIS provided visas, office facilities and introductions without ever asking
for details about my research. I say this in all sincerity – if I wanted to be
sycophantic, I would not have judged Saudi prison torture or counterterrorism
inconsistencies as harshly as I do in Chapters 7 and 10. Although I was never able to
access active QAP members, I conducted numerous interviews with former radicals,
relatives of militants, moderate Islamists, journalists and expert commentators across
the country. I was also able to collect unique documentary evidence from Saudi
libraries and private collections. Interviews helped me develop a broader
understanding of Saudi Islamism which I could never have acquired from textual
sources alone. They also provided me with crucial factual details and insights. I have
anonymized a certain number of my sources upon their request or out of a concern
for their security. Information from interviews is of course not unproblematic and
must be treated with the same caution as other subjective documents. The credibility
of each source depends on his or her position and history, which must be evaluated
in the course of the analysis.
31
The third major development which facilitated data collection was the fact
that Saudi authorities were considerably more forthcoming with information about
security incidents from May 2003 onward than they had been in the past. The change
likely reflected a realisation that the Internet and Satellite TV had broken the state’s
monopoly on information, and that the government needed to use information
warfare to win the hearts and minds of the population. The Saudi Interior Ministry
published regular press releases and appointed official spokesmen, allowing for an
unprecedented level of detail about security incidents and investigations in the
media. Local Saudi media were also allowed to undertake a certain amount of
investigative reporting, which added depth and detail to the coverage. Given the
State’s influence over the Saudi press, local media sources must be used carefully.
However, when accumulated and combined with other sources, the vast media
coverage represents an important resource.
The material made available by these three developments is different enough
in kind to allow for a sound triangulation of sources. By triangulating jihadist
literature, local media reports and interviews, I can establish a historical narrative
which takes into account the perspectives of militants, the government and outside
observers. By complementing this narrative with secondary sources from the
academic literature and the international media, I hope to further reduce the risk of
error. Given the clandestine and politicised nature of my research object, the analysis
will inevitably contain inaccuracies and misinterpretations. Nevertheless, I argue that
the source data is rich enough to provide an empirically founded answer to the
research question.
Argument and Outline
The central argument in this thesis is that the QAP campaign represented the
homecoming of an extreme offshoot of a Saudi jihadist movement which had
emerged and developed abroad over two decades and in three stages.
The first stage lasted from the mid‐1980s to the mid‐1990s and saw the
formation of a “classical jihadist movement” which engaged in local struggles of
national liberation in places such as Afghanistan, Bosnia and Chechnya in the name
of pan‐Islamic nationalism. The class