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VimpelComVimpelCom
Presentation of 4Q and Annual 2003Financial and Operating Results
Presentation of 4Q and Annual 2003Financial and Operating Results
March 25, 2004
2
DisclaimerThis presentation contains "forward-looking statements", as the phrase is defined in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements relate, in part, to the Company’s development plans, such as national expansion. These statements also relate to the consummation of the merger between VimpelCom and each of VimpelCom-Region and KB Impuls each of which is subject to regulatory and certain other approvals, as well as certain other conditions precedent, including the transfer of all respective licenses and permissions to VimpelCom. If any of the respective approvals are not obtained or any condition precedent is not met, the mergers will not be consummated. The forward-looking statements are based on management's best assessment of the Company's strategic and financial position, future market conditions and trends and its ability to consummate the mergers. These discussions involve risks and uncertainties. The actual outcome may differ materially from these statements as a result of unforeseen developments from regulatory authorities, competition, governmental regulations of the wireless telecommunications industry, general political and social uncertainties in Russia, general economic developments in Russia, the Company’s ability to continue to grow its overall subscriber base, continued volatility in the world economy and other factors. There can be no assurance that such risks and uncertainties will not have material adverse effects on the Company’s development plans. Certain factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in any forward-looking statements include the risks described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2002 and other public filings made by the Company with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which risk factors are incorporated herein by reference. VimpelCom disclaims any obligation to update developments of these risk factors or to announce publicly any revision to any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, or to make corrections to reflect future events or developments.
3
VimpelCom 2003 Financial Highlights
768.5
1335.6
2002 2003
Net Revenues, $ Million
768.5
1335.6
2002 2003
Net Revenues, $ Million
129.6
234.0
2002 2003
Net Income, $ Million
129.6
234.0
2002 2003
Net Income, $ Million80.6%80.6%
322.2
613.2
2002 2003
OIBDA, $ Million
322.2
613.2
2002 2003
OIBDA, $ Million
90.3%90.3%
41.9% 45.9%
2002 2003
OIBDA Margin
41.9% 45.9%
2002 2003
OIBDA Margin
73.8%73.8%
Source: VimpelCom
4
VimpelCom-R 4Q2003 Financial Highlights
128.7155.2
3Q2003 4Q2003
Net Revenues, $ Million
128.7155.2
3Q2003 4Q2003
Net Revenues, $ Million
17.6
35.6
3Q2003 4Q2003
Net Income, $ Million
17.6
35.6
3Q2003 4Q2003
Net Income, $ Million
102.3%102.3%
49.8
62.3
3Q2003 4Q2003
OIBDA, $ Million
49.8
62.3
3Q2003 4Q2003
OIBDA, $ Million25.1%25.1%
38.7% 40.2%
3Q2003 4Q2003
OIBDA Margin
38.7% 40.2%
3Q2003 4Q2003
OIBDA Margin
20.6%20.6%
Source: VimpelCom
5
Operating Highlights
‣ 13.2 million subscribers in Russia as of March 25, 2004
‣ National market share increased from 28% to 31% during 2003
‣ Fastest growing operator in Central, Volga, South and Siberia super-regions
‣ 15 new regions launched in 2003 increasing VimpelCom’s footprint to 55 regions
‣ Migration of regional subscribers to the unified integrated billing and customer relations management system is completed
‣ Introduction of countrywide prepaid on-line roaming and GPRS based services
6
National GSM Network Rollout
In commercial operation In commercial operation
Other licensed regions Other licensed regions Unlicensed territories Unlicensed territories
12
3
4
5
678
9
1011
12 13
1415
16
17
18
192021
22
232424
25
26
27
2829
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
4243
44
45
46
47
48
49
5051
52 53
54
55
56
MoscowPopulation: 17.0 mln.MoscowPopulation: 17.0 mln.
CentralPopulation: 21.0 mln.CentralPopulation: 21.0 mln.
SouthPopulation: 22.9 mln.SouthPopulation: 22.9 mln.
VolgaPopulation: 25.2 mln.VolgaPopulation: 25.2 mln.
SiberiaPopulation: 15.3 mln.SiberiaPopulation: 15.3 mln. Far East
Population: 11.4 mln.Far EastPopulation: 11.4 mln.
UralsPopulation: 18.3 mln.UralsPopulation: 18.3 mln.
NorthwestPopulation: 14.0 mln.NorthwestPopulation: 14.0 mln.
7
National GSM network rollout (regions)
NetworkLaunch
NetworkLaunch
1. City of Moscow2. Moscow Region3. Voronezh4. Tver5. Kaluga6. Vladimir7. Ryazan8. Lipetsk9. Tula10.Yaroslavl11.Smolensk12.Belgorod13.N. Novgorod14.Saratov15.Rostov16.Barnaul17.Kemerovo18.Novosibirsk19.Bryansk20.Kostroma21.Ivanovo22.Orenburg **23.Kursk24.Orel25.Omsk26.Kazan27.Tomsk28.Krasnodar29.Maykop30.Volgograd31.Ufa
1. City of Moscow2. Moscow Region3. Voronezh4. Tver5. Kaluga6. Vladimir7. Ryazan8. Lipetsk9. Tula10.Yaroslavl11.Smolensk12.Belgorod13.N. Novgorod14.Saratov15.Rostov16.Barnaul17.Kemerovo18.Novosibirsk19.Bryansk20.Kostroma21.Ivanovo22.Orenburg **23.Kursk24.Orel25.Omsk26.Kazan27.Tomsk28.Krasnodar29.Maykop30.Volgograd31.Ufa
Jul 1999Jul 1999
May 2000Sep 2001Sep 2001Sep 2001Sep 2001Oct 2001Oct 2001Oct 2001Nov 2001Nov 2001Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002
May 2002May 2002Jun 2002Jul 2002
Aug 2002Aug 2002Aug 2002Aug 2002Sep 2002Sep 2002Sep 2002Oct 2002Oct 2002
Jul 1999Jul 1999
May 2000Sep 2001Sep 2001Sep 2001Sep 2001Oct 2001Oct 2001Oct 2001Nov 2001Nov 2001Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002Jan 2002
May 2002May 2002Jun 2002Jul 2002
Aug 2002Aug 2002Aug 2002Aug 2002Sep 2002Sep 2002Sep 2002Oct 2002Oct 2002
AreaArea SuperRegionSuperRegion
10,3586,6272,3791,4731,0411,5251,2281,2131,6761,3681,0501,5123,5242,6694,4072,6072,9002,6921,379
7371,1492,1771,236
8612,0793,7801,0465,571
--2,7024,103
10,3586,6272,3791,4731,0411,5251,2281,2131,6761,3681,0501,5123,5242,6694,4072,6072,9002,6921,379
7371,1492,1771,236
8612,0793,7801,0465,571
--2,7024,103
AreaPopul.(‘000)
AreaPopul.(‘000)
MLA *MLA *
CentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralVolgaVolgaSouthSiberiaSiberiaSiberiaCentralCentralCentralVolga
CentralCentralSiberiaVolga
SiberiaSouthSouthSouthVolga
MLA *MLA *
CentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralCentralVolgaVolgaSouthSiberiaSiberiaSiberiaCentralCentralCentralVolga
CentralCentralSiberiaVolga
SiberiaSouthSouthSouthVolga
NetworkLaunch
NetworkLaunchAreaArea Super
RegionSuperRegion
AreaPopul.(‘000)
AreaPopul.(‘000)
32. Cheboksary33. Nalchik34. Gorno-Altaysk35. Krasnoyarsk36. Samara37. Astrakhan38. Ulyanovsk39. Kaliningrad **40. Norilsk41. Makhachkala42. Stavropol **43. Cherkessk **44. St. Petersburg45. Tura46. Tambov47. Leningrad Reg.48. Ekaterinburg49. Novgorod50. Penza51. Yoshkar-Ola52. Chelyabinsk53. Tyumen54. Saransk55. Elista56. Vladikavkaz
VolgaSouthSiberiaSiberiaVolgaSouthVolga
North WSiberiaSouthSouthSouth
North WSiberiaCentralNorth W
UralNorth W
VolgaVolgaUralUral
VolgaSouthSouth
1,314900203
2,9663,2401,0071,382
955135
2,5842,730
4404,669
181,1801,6714,490
6951,453
7283,6063,266
889292710
Oct 2002Oct 2002Oct 2002Oct 2002
Nov 2002Nov 2002Dec 2002Dec 2002Dec 2002
Jan 2003Jan 2003Jan 2003
April 2003Aug 2003
Oct 2003Oct 2003
Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Dec 2003Mar 2004
* Moscow license area
** Acquisitions
8
3.71
1.44
3.95
2.24
4.43
3.00
5.08
4.18
5.66
5.78
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
VimpelCom Subscriber Base, mln
Moscow Regions
3.71
1.44
3.95
2.24
4.43
3.00
5.08
4.18
5.66
5.78
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
VimpelCom Subscriber Base, mln
Moscow Regions
VimpelCom Market Share
49%49%49%50%52%
31%31%30%29%28%
23%19%
17%13%
0%
20%
40%
60%
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
Moscow Russia Regions
VimpelCom Market Share
49%49%49%50%52%
31%31%30%29%28%
23%19%
17%13%
0%
20%
40%
60%
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
Moscow Russia Regions
Strong Subscriber Growth
Source: VimpelCom, independent sources
5.15
6.19
7.43
9.26
11.44
21%
9
Strong Growth In The Regions
523
416106285110
706
579
416
422119
903
775
545
594
188
1,226
1,073
744
824
316
1,616
1,458
1,166
1,030
496
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
VimpelCom Regional Subscriber Base, ('000)
Central Volga South Siberia Northwest
523
416106285110
706
579
416
422119
903
775
545
594
188
1,226
1,073
744
824
316
1,616
1,458
1,166
1,030
496
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
VimpelCom Regional Subscriber Base, ('000)
Central Volga South Siberia Northwest
4,183
3,005
2,242
1,440
5,777
10
Note:BTS – base transceiver stationBSC – base station controllerMSC – mobile switching center
Network Rollout As Of 12/31/03
Source: VimpelCom
№ of BTSs 2,681 2,556 4,330 3,525 7,011 6,081
№ of BSCs 116 114 111 89 227 203
№ of MSCs 12 10 47 45 59 55
4Q2003 3Q2003 4Q2003 3Q2003 4Q2003 3Q2003
Moscow Regions Total
11
Key Subscriber Statistics
Moscow 5,660 3,713 52% 5,076 12% Contract 820 725 13% 799 3% Prepaid 4,840 2,988 62% 4,277 13%
Regions 5,777 1,440 301% 4,183 38%
Total 11,437 5,153 122% 9,259 24% Contract 1,491 1,082 38% 1,470 1% Prepaid 9,946 4,071 144% 7,789 28%
Churn (quarterly) 9.7% 8.7% - 9.6% -
(‘000) 31 Dec 03 31 Dec 02 YtY 30 Sept 03 QtQ
12
Key Financial Figures
Net Revenues* 407.7 229.0 78.1% 379.0 7.6% Moscow* 263.0 192.5 36.6% 259.7 1.3% Regions* 144.7 39.8 263.7% 119.3 21.3% Gross Margin 82.0% 79.1% -- 81.8% -- OIBDA 186.9 84.6 120.9% 178.5 4.7% OIBDA Margin 45.8% 37.0% -- 47.1% --
Net Income* 67.7 39.1 73.3% 72.2 -6.2% Net Income Margin 16.6% 17.1% -- 19.1% -- Moscow 48.6 46.3 5.1% 61.6 -21.5% Regions 35.5 (8.7) 507.3% 17.9 98.1% SG&A 148.8 89.8 65.6% 126.9 17.3% % of Net Revenues 36.5% 39.2% -- 33.5% --
Bad Debt -1.3 6.7 -119.7% 4.9 -127.3% % of Net Revenues -0.3% 2.9% -- 1.3% --
Capex 251.6 179.9 39.8% 165.3 52.2%
($ mln) 4Q03 4Q02 YtY 3Q03 QtQ
* Net operating revenues and net income excluding inter-company transactions
13
Operational Indicators
ARPU, Blended ($) 12.5 16.0 -21.9% 14.4 -13.2%ARPU Moscow 15.7 17.6 -10.8% 17.5 -10.3% Contract (Moscow) 52.7 48.9 7.8% 53.6 -1.7% Prepaid (Moscow) 9.1 9.4 -3.2% 10.4 -12.5%ARPU Regions 10.0 11.8 -15.3% 11.5 -13.0%
MOU, Blended (min) 89.3 89.3 0.0% 92.7 -3.7%MOU Moscow 84.7 89.5 -5.4% 92.5 -8.4% Contract (Moscow) 303.1 243.4 24.5% 284.2 6.7% Prepaid (Moscow) 45.9 49.6 -7.5% 54.7 -16.1%MOU Regions 94.4 88.5 6.7% 93.0 1.5% SAC, Blended ($) 18.1 20.9 -13.4% 18.8 -3.7% Moscow 28.4 29.4 -3.4% 27.0 5.2% Regions 12.1 13.5 -10.4% 12.3 -1.6%
4Q03 4Q02 YtY 3Q03 QtQ
14
Strong Balance Sheet
223
700
278
926
651
1,693
607
2,302
2000 2001 2002 2003
Assets and Liabilities, $'000
Total Debt Total Assets
223
700
278
926
651
1,693
607
2,302
2000 2001 2002 2003
Assets and Liabilities, $'000
Total Debt Total Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents 157,611 263,657 144,172Total Assets 2,302,232 1,692,744 925,806 Total Debt 606,991 650,580 277,673 - Short-term 214,717 176,265 90,350 - Long-term 392,274 474,315 187,323Shareholder’s Equity 998,216 662,663 508,121 LTM OIBDA* 613,230 322,209 148,456 - LTM Depreciation and amortization 185,326 97,417 61,306 - LTM Operating income 427,904 224,792 87,150
LTM Interest 68,246 46,586 26,865
Debt/Equity 0.6 1.0 0.5 Debt/OIBDA * * 1.0 2.0 1.9 OIBDA/Interest 9.0 6.9 5.5 Debt/Assets 0.3 0.4 0.3
($’000) 12/31/03 12/31/02 12/31/01
Source: VimpelCom
* LTM OIBDA constitutes the sum of the lines: LTM Operating income and LTM Depreciation and amortizationLTM stands for “last twelve months” to reporting date
* * In cases when OIBDA is part of financial ratios it is deemed to be calculated in accordance with thereconciliation tables herein
15
101.1
238.3 221.7
509.1 511.9
728.0
2001 2002 2003
Net Operating Cash Flow/Capex, $ mln
Net Operating Cash Flow Capex
101.1
238.3 221.7
509.1 511.9
728.0
2001 2002 2003
Net Operating Cash Flow/Capex, $ mln
Net Operating Cash Flow Capex
Net Operating Cash Flow vs CAPEX
Source: VimpelCom
16
Corporate Actions
‣ Merger between VimpelCom and VimpelCom-R
Major remaining steps:
Approval at the Joint EGM of VimpelCom and VimpelCom-R shareholders on April 16;
Transfer of licenses and frequencies to VimpelCom;
Liquidation of VimpelCom-R;
Placement of VimpelCom shares to Alfa and Telenor in exchange for their ownership position in VimpelCom-R
17
Corporate Actions (con’t)
‣ Merger between VimpelCom and KB Impuls
Major steps:
Approval at the AGM on May 26 by more than 50% of all disinterested shareholders;
Approval by anti-monopoly authorities;Obtaining third party consents (suppliers, creditors);Approval at the Joint EGM of VimpelCom and KB
Impuls shareholders (a formality required by Russian law);
Transfer of licenses and frequencies from KB Impuls to VimpelCom;
Liquidation of KB Impuls
18
Summary
‣ Ongoing rapid subscriber growth resulted in more than 13 million subscribers
‣ Strong financial results with net income growth over 80%
‣ Leader in the key Moscow market; overall market share in Russia has increased to 31%
‣ Ongoing corporate actions will create full exposure for minority shareholders to regional growth and simplify corporate structure
‣ Proposed merger with KB Impuls will safeguard VimpelCom’s Moscow operations against regulatory risks and simplify corporate structure
‣ Operational focus going forward: maintain growth, sustain profitability and combat churn
19
Reconciliation of OIBDA and OIBDA margin
Reconciliation of VimpelCom OIBDA to operating income
OIBDA 186,893 84,615 613,230 322,209 Less: Depreciation (42,776) (26,679) (151,262) (85,204) Less: Amortization (9,083) (3,476) (34,064) (12,213) Operating Income 135,034 54,460 427,904 224,792
(Three months ended) (Years ended)($ ‘000) Dec. 31, 2003 Dec. 31, 2002 Dec.31, 2003 Dec. 31, 2002
Reconciliation of VimpelCom OIBDA margin to operating income as percentage of net operating revenuesOIBDA margin 45.8% 37.0% 45.9% 41.9% Less: Depreciation as % of net operating revenues (10.5%) (11.7%) (11.3%) (11.0%)
Less: Amortization as % of net operating revenues (2.2%) (1.5%) (2.6%) (1.6%)Operating income as %of net operating revenues 33.1% 23.8% 32.0% 29.3%
20
Reconciliation of OIBDA and OIBDA margin
Reconciliation of VimpelCom-Region OIBDA to operating income
OIBDA 62,345 (26) 160,766 (3,064) Less: Depreciation (11,740) (3,871) (39,917) (9,350) Less: Amortization (5,995) (713) (21,970) (1,530) Operating Income 44,610 4,610 98,879 13,944
(Three months ended) (Years ended)($ ‘000) Dec. 31, 2003 Dec. 31, 2002 Dec.31, 2003 Dec. 31, 2002
Reconciliation of VimpelCom-Region OIBDA margin to operating income as percentage of net operating revenuesOIBDA margin 40.2% (0.1%) 36.5% (3.7%) Less: Depreciation as % of net operating revenues (7.6%) (9.9%) (9.1%) (11.2%)
Less: Amortization as % of net operating revenues (3.9%) (1.8%) (5.0%) (1.8%)Operating income as %of net operating revenues 28.7% (11.8%) 22.4% (16.7%)