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1 VIETNAM PANGASIUS 2019 SUPPLY & MARKETS Berlin, 16 October, 2019

VIETNAM PANGASIUS - Groundfish Forumgroundfishforum.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Hoa-Phan-Pangasius.pdfPANGASIUS: YOUR EVERYDAY FISH 6 Products Per Capita (pound) Tilapia 1.08 Alaska

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  • 1

    VIETNAM PANGASIUS

    2019 SUPPLY & MARKETS

    Berlin, 16 October, 2019

  • 2

  • 3

    Innovative farming and sustainable source

  • 4

    Supply delicious, versatile, sustainable premium seafood

  • 5

    Supply the world’s first ASC certified hydrolyzed collagen

  • PANGASIUS: YOUR EVERYDAY FISH

    6

    Products Per Capita

    (pound)

    Tilapia 1.08

    Alaska Pollock 0.78

    Pangasius 0.71

    Cod 0.66

    Catfish 0.53

    U.S. Per Capita

    Whitefish Consumption

    Products Per Capita

    (kg)

    Cod 2.33

    Alaska pollock 1.59

    Hake 0.96

    Pangasius1 0.50

    EU Apparent Whitefish

    Consumption

    Products Volume

    (ton)

    Cod 61,400

    Haddock 30,200

    Pollock 42,100

    Pangasius 9,400

    UK Whitefish Market

    Source: National Fisheries Institute, EUMOFA, Kantar Panel Data; Note: 1. and other freshwater catfish

  • VIETNAM PANGASIUS OVERVIEW

    7Source: GOAL (LHS), VASEP

    Production (Million Tons) Export Value (US$bn)

    1.101.13

    1.10

    0.98

    1.11 1.12

    1.191.25

    1.33 1.40

    2010 201420132011 2012 2015 20172016 2018 E2019

    1.43

    1.811.74 1.76 1.77

    1.57

    1.721.79

    2.26 2.20

    201720132010 2014 20152011 2012 2016 2018 E2019

  • VIETNAM PANGASIUS INDUSTRY EXPORT VALUE

    8

    26%

    15%

    14%

    10%

    6%

    3%

    2%

    21%China (incl. HK)

    Mexico

    ASEAN

    USA

    EU

    Brazil

    Columbia2%

    Japan

    Others

    Total

    US$962m

    Source: VASEP

    Export Value by Market (6M 2019)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    EuropeUSA

    China (incl.HK) ASEAN

    Key Export Markets (US$m)

  • MAIN MARKETS: CHINA

    9

    • Vietnam is the 3rd largest white fish exporter after Russia

    and Norway.

    • Export volume reduced in 1H 2019 due to tightening border

    trade and quality control measures.

    • Market recovered in 2H 2019 via formal export channels

    and growth is expected to continue in 2020.

    • Reduced tilapia export to the U.S. from China due to tariffs

    did not impact pangasius sales.

    Note: Vinh Hoan does not participate in border trade

    100

    171

    251

    254

    1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019

    China Export Value (US$m)

  • MAIN MARKETS: UNITED STATES

    10

    • In 6M 2019, sales reached US$142 million, -28% YoY.

    • Wait-and-see approach up to the announcement of the

    new anti-dumping duty in late April.

    • U.S. importers took excess inventory due to supply

    shortage concern in 2H 2018, thus, sales reduced in 1H

    2019 for inventory digestion.

    • Sales recovery in 2H 2019 will contribute to small overall

    growth in 2019.

    187

    176 1

    97

    142

    1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019

    US Export Value (US$m)

  • MAIN MARKETS: EUROPE

    11

    • In 6M 2019, export value reached US$139 million, +18%

    YoY, showing signs of recovery and continuous improvement.

    • In Q2 2019, export to Germany and UK increased

    approximately 40% YoY.

    • EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement removes tariffs to the EU

    from 5.5% over 3 years. Expected to be rectified / receive

    consent in 2019 or 2020.

    • “No Deal” Brexit removes tariffs (from 5.5%) under the draft

    Customs Tariff (Establishment) (EU Exit) Regulations.

    133

    101 1

    17

    139

    1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019

    EU Export Value (US$m)

  • INDUSTRY OUTLOOK

    12

    • Government initiatives to balance supply-demand in farming

    • Reduce border trade and improve quality control to China to drive sustainable

    growth

    • Establish and participate in Market Development Fund for Vietnam pangasius

  • 13

    THANK YOU

    Hoa Phan (Chau)

    Vinh Hoan Corporation

    Email: [email protected]