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1
VIETNAM PANGASIUS
2019 SUPPLY & MARKETS
Berlin, 16 October, 2019
2
3
Innovative farming and sustainable source
4
Supply delicious, versatile, sustainable premium seafood
5
Supply the world’s first ASC certified hydrolyzed collagen
PANGASIUS: YOUR EVERYDAY FISH
6
Products Per Capita
(pound)
Tilapia 1.08
Alaska Pollock 0.78
Pangasius 0.71
Cod 0.66
Catfish 0.53
U.S. Per Capita
Whitefish Consumption
Products Per Capita
(kg)
Cod 2.33
Alaska pollock 1.59
Hake 0.96
Pangasius1 0.50
EU Apparent Whitefish
Consumption
Products Volume
(ton)
Cod 61,400
Haddock 30,200
Pollock 42,100
Pangasius 9,400
UK Whitefish Market
Source: National Fisheries Institute, EUMOFA, Kantar Panel Data; Note: 1. and other freshwater catfish
VIETNAM PANGASIUS OVERVIEW
7Source: GOAL (LHS), VASEP
Production (Million Tons) Export Value (US$bn)
1.101.13
1.10
0.98
1.11 1.12
1.191.25
1.33 1.40
2010 201420132011 2012 2015 20172016 2018 E2019
1.43
1.811.74 1.76 1.77
1.57
1.721.79
2.26 2.20
201720132010 2014 20152011 2012 2016 2018 E2019
VIETNAM PANGASIUS INDUSTRY EXPORT VALUE
8
26%
15%
14%
10%
6%
3%
2%
21%China (incl. HK)
Mexico
ASEAN
USA
EU
Brazil
Columbia2%
Japan
Others
Total
US$962m
Source: VASEP
Export Value by Market (6M 2019)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
EuropeUSA
China (incl.HK) ASEAN
Key Export Markets (US$m)
MAIN MARKETS: CHINA
9
• Vietnam is the 3rd largest white fish exporter after Russia
and Norway.
• Export volume reduced in 1H 2019 due to tightening border
trade and quality control measures.
• Market recovered in 2H 2019 via formal export channels
and growth is expected to continue in 2020.
• Reduced tilapia export to the U.S. from China due to tariffs
did not impact pangasius sales.
Note: Vinh Hoan does not participate in border trade
100
171
251
254
1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019
China Export Value (US$m)
MAIN MARKETS: UNITED STATES
10
• In 6M 2019, sales reached US$142 million, -28% YoY.
• Wait-and-see approach up to the announcement of the
new anti-dumping duty in late April.
• U.S. importers took excess inventory due to supply
shortage concern in 2H 2018, thus, sales reduced in 1H
2019 for inventory digestion.
• Sales recovery in 2H 2019 will contribute to small overall
growth in 2019.
187
176 1
97
142
1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019
US Export Value (US$m)
MAIN MARKETS: EUROPE
11
• In 6M 2019, export value reached US$139 million, +18%
YoY, showing signs of recovery and continuous improvement.
• In Q2 2019, export to Germany and UK increased
approximately 40% YoY.
• EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement removes tariffs to the EU
from 5.5% over 3 years. Expected to be rectified / receive
consent in 2019 or 2020.
• “No Deal” Brexit removes tariffs (from 5.5%) under the draft
Customs Tariff (Establishment) (EU Exit) Regulations.
133
101 1
17
139
1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2019
EU Export Value (US$m)
INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
12
• Government initiatives to balance supply-demand in farming
• Reduce border trade and improve quality control to China to drive sustainable
growth
• Establish and participate in Market Development Fund for Vietnam pangasius
13
THANK YOU
Hoa Phan (Chau)
Vinh Hoan Corporation
Email: [email protected]