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Dr. Cathryn Clarke Murray PICES Project Scientist MAY 2017 VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI DEBRIS COMPARE?

VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

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Page 1: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

Dr . Cathryn C la rke Mur rayP ICES P ro ject Sc ient i s t

MAY 2017

VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI DEBRIS COMPARE?

Page 2: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

JAPANESE TSUNAMI MARINE DEBRIS

A new transport vector of marine species in the North Pacific

Phot

o cr

edit:

U.S

. Na

vy

Phot

o cr

edit:

Rob

in L

ozna

k

Page 3: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

COMMERCIAL SHIPPING

Page 4: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

AQUACULTURE

Page 5: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

ORNAMENTAL TRADEPh

otos

: Na

tiona

l Geo

gra

phi

c

Page 6: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

MORE THAN 200 SPECIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN INTRODUCED BY OTHER ACTIVITIES

Ornamental

Aquaculture

Multiple

Shipping

Number of species

Page 7: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

THE INVASION PROCESS

Source

Transit

Delivery

Impact

Page 8: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

THE INVASION PROCESS

Source

Source

Transit

Delivery

Impact

Page 9: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

THE INVASION PROCESS

ShipmentsRichnessSurvival

Source

Transit

Delivery

Impact

Page 10: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

THE INVASION PROCESS

Release Environment

match

Source

Transit

Delivery

Impact

Page 11: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

THE INVASION PROCESS

Establishment events?High risk species?

Source

Transit

Delivery

Impact

Page 12: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY

Source Richness Number Survival Release EnvironmentMatch

Tsunami Debris

Hullfouling

Ballast Water

Ornamental

AquacultureFramework:Williams et al 2013; California Ocean Science Trust 2013

Page 13: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

SOURCE OF SPECIES

Survey Site Species richness

Kesennuma 14 - 24Matsushima 13 - 35Minamisanriku 12 - 21Miyako 8 - 27Overall 8 - 35

Tohoku coast surveys and documented species richness

Japan NUS CO Ltd

A single source country

Page 14: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

TRANSIT – NUMBER OF ITEMS

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Deb

ris it

ems

Total Debris

Cumulative Debris

2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 15: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

TRANSIT – RICHNESS PER ITEM

20

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Spec

ies r

ichn

ess

0

20

40

60

80

Page 16: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

TRANSIT - SURVIVAL

2016 2017

2012

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o: R

obin

Loz

nak

Phot

o: R

uss

Lew

is

2012

Page 17: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

DELIVERY - RELEASE

Photo: NOAA

Page 18: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

DELIVERY – ENVIRONMENTAL MATCH

Highest Temperature (°C)

Page 19: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY

Source Richness Number Survival Release EnvironmentMatch

Tsunami Debris O O O o O O

Page 20: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY

Source Richness Number Survival Release EnvironmentMatch

Tsunami Debris O O O o O O

Hullfouling O o O O O O

Page 21: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY

Source Richness Number Survival Release EnvironmentMatch

Tsunami Debris O O O o O O

Hullfouling O o O O O O

Ballast Water O O O o o o

Ornamental O O O O O O

Aquaculture O O O O O O

Page 22: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

SPECIES SHARED WITH OTHER VECTORS

Hull fouling & sea chest

Oyster aquaculture

Ballast water & sediment

Unique JTMD

Ornamental

UniqueJTMD

Page 23: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

WILL THERE BE AN INVASION?

Page 24: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

BASELINE DETECTION

Invertebrate surveys- 600 panels at 73 sites

Seaweed surveys - 30 sites

Mussel parasite surveys- 4000 mussels at 30 sites

Page 25: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

ONE POSSIBLE INTRODUCTION

Striped beakfish (Opelgnathus fasciatus)

Phot

o: O

rego

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity

Phot

o: T

ravi

s Ha

ring

Page 26: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

JTMD COMPARATIVELY LOWER RISK

However… potential to introduce high risk species will require monitoring

Page 27: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

RESEARCH TEAM

• Thomas Therriault, Canada• Nancy Wallace, USA• Hideaki Maki, Japan• Atsuhiko Isobe, Japan• James Carlton, USA• Amy MacFadyen, USA• Hiroshi Kawai, Japan• Masafumi Kamachi, Japan• Toshio Furota, Japan• Shin-ichiro Kako, Japan• Gregory Ruiz, USA,• Gayle Hansen, USA• Tomoya Kataoka, Japan• Janson Wong, Canada

• Jonathan Geller, USA• Hideki Takami , Japan• Nikolai Maximenko, USA• Jessica Miller, USA• Yoichi Ishikawa, Japan• Hirofumi Hinata, Japan• John Chapman, USA• Jocelyn Nelson, Canada• Sandra Lindstrom, Canada• Danielle Scriven, Canada• Lauran Liggan, Canada• Reva Gillman, USA• Karin Baba, Japan• Sonia Gorgola, USA

• Michio Otani, Japan• Brian Neilson, USA• Kirsten Moy, USA• Sherry Lippiatt, USA• Stephen Ambagis, USA• Kristine Davidson, USA• Nancy Treneman, USA• Cathryn Murray, Canada

Page 28: VECTOR RISK ASSESSMENT: HOW DOES TSUNAMI ...VECTOR SOURCE TRANSIT DELIVERY Source Richness Number Survival Release Environment Match Tsunami Debris Hull fouling Ballast Water Ornamental

どうもありがとうございます

Thank you very much

The PICES ADRIFT project has been a rare and exciting interdisciplinary study and we are extremely grateful to the Ministry of Environment and the people of Japan for their vision and support.