Veblen Effects in a Theory of Conspiscuous Consumption

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  • 8/17/2019 Veblen Effects in a Theory of Conspiscuous Consumption

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    Veblen Effects in a Theory of onspicuous onsum ption

    By

      LAURIE SIM ON BAGW ELL AND B . DOUGLAS B ERN HEIM *

    We examine conditions under which Veblen effects arise from the desire to

    achieve social status by signaling wealth through conspicuo us consum ption.

    Wh ile Veblen effects canno t ordinarily arise w hen preferences satisfy a

     

    'single-

    crossing property.'' they may emerge when this property fails. In that case,

      budg et brands are priced at marg inal cost, while luxury brands, though

    not intrinsically superior, are sold at higher prices to consumers seeking to ad-

    vertise wealth. Luxury brands earn strictly positive profits under conditions that

    would,  with standard formulations of preferences, yield margina l-cost pricing.

    We explore factors that induce Veblen effects, and w e investigate policy impli-

    cations.  JELDW,

      D43)

    In his celebrated treatise on the leis ure

    class ,

    Thorslein Veblen (1899) argued that

    wealthy individuals often consume highly

    conspicuous goods and services in order to ad-

    vertise their wealth, thereby achieving greater

    social status. Veblen's writings have spawned

    a significant hody of research on pr es ti ge

    or st at u s good s.' In the context of this Ht-

    * Respectively. Department of

      Finance.

      J. L. Kellogg

    Graduate School of Management, Northwestern Univer-

    sity.

     2001 Shen dati Road. E vanston. IL 6020 8-2006 . and

    Department

      of Economics. Stanford Unive rsity, Stanford,

    CA

      94305-6072. The work reported here was supported

    by the National Science Foundation through Grant No.

    SES-9110211,  and through a Presidential Young Investi-

    gator Award. The first author would also like to

    acknowledge the support of the Lynde and Harry Bradley

    Foutidation

     and the H oover Itistitution. The authors would

    like

      to thank Kyle Bagwell, Scott Brandwein. R. Preston

    McAfee,

      and the anonymous referees for helpful com-

    ments and discus sions. Previou.s drafts of this paper w ere

    circulated under the titles Conspicuous Co nsum ption.

    Pure

     Profits, and the Luxury Tax: Some Surprising Con-

    sequences

     of Perfect Com petition ' (draft dated Nov emb er

    1991) and ' Conspicuous Consumption. Pure Profits, and

    the Luxury Tax (draft dated September 1992).

    ' See ,  for example, Harvey Leibenstein (1950). and

    more recently Robert H. Fratik (1985), Kaushik Basu

    (1987),  Yew-Kwang Ng (1987), R. L- Basmanti et al.

    (1988). Ottmar L, Braun and Robert A, Wicklund (1989).

    John

     Creedy and D. J. Slottje (1991), and Norman Ireland

    (1992).

      More generally, other recent studies, including

    George A. Akerlof (1980), Steveti R. G. Jones (1984),

    Timothy Besley and Stepheti Coate (1990). B, Douglas

    Bemheim

      (19 94), Harold L. Cole et al (1992 ). Chaim

    Fershtman

      and Yoram Weiss (1992), and Amihai Glazer

    erature, Ve blen effects are said (o exist

    when consumers exhibit a willingness to pay

    a higher price for a functionally equivalen t

    Anecdotal evidence suggests that Veblen

    effects may be empirically significant in mar-

    kets for luxury goods. According to one mar-

    keting manager. O ur customers do not want

    to pay less. If we halved the price of all our

    products, we would double our sales for six

    months and then we would sell nothing. -*

    Indeed

      The Economist

      (1993 ) emphasizes

    that [ r j e t ai le rs can damage a glamorous

    go od's image by selling it too che apl y. A

    recent article in the  Wall Street Journal  noted

    that a BM W in every drivew ay might thrill

    investors in the short run but ultimately could

    dissipate the prestige that lures buyers to these

    luxury ca rs.

    *

     Econom etric evidence also cor-

    roborates the existence of Veblen effects.^

    Recent incarnations of Veblen's theories

    simply proceed from the premise that price en-

    hances utility (see. for example, Leibenstein,

    1950;

      Braun and W icklund, 1989; or Creedy

    and Slottje, 1991 ). Yet Veblen h imself did not

    • TTie following pa ssage typifies m odem disctissions of

    prestige goods:  Conspicuous cons um ption, or Veblen ef-

    fects,  are said to occur when individuals increase their

    demand for a good simply because it has a higher price

    (Creedy and Slottje, 1991).

    ' Quoted in  The Economist (1993 p . 96).

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    THE AMERICAN ECO NOMIC REVIEW

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    endorse the view that the price of an object

    affects utility directly, or that individuals seek

    to pay high prices f'or the sheer pleasure of

    being overcharged. Rather, he proposed that

    individuals crave status, and that status is en-

    hanced by material displays of wealth. Ac-

    cording to Veblen , In ord er to gain and to

    hold the esteem of men, wealth must he put in

    evidence, for esteem is awarded only on evi-

    d en ce (p. 24). By social custom , the evidence

    consists of unduly costly goods that fall into

      accredited canons of conspicuous consump-

    tion, the effect of which is to hold the con-

    sumer up to a standard of expensiveness and

    wastefulness in his consumption of go ods and

    his emp loyment of time and effort (p. 71).

    Thus, in a theory of conspicuous consumption

    that is faithful to V eblen 's analysis, utility should

    be defined over consumption and status, rather

    than over consumption and priees. Although the

    prices that one pays for goods may affect status

    in equilibrium,

      this relation should be  derived

    not

      assumed.

      Moreover, since Veblen argued

    that individuals engage in conspicuous con-

    sumption to advertise and provide evidence of

    wealth, the equihbrium relation between price

    and status should result from signaling.

    Tbe details of Veblen's arguments naturally

    invite the interpretation that conspicuous con-

    sumption reflects signaling. In particular, Veblen

    distinguished between two motives for consum-

    ing conspicuous goods: invidio us compari-

    so n and pecuniary em ulation. Invidious

    comparison refers to situations in which a

    member of a higher class consumes conspicu-

    ously to distinguish himself from members of

    a lower class. Pecuniary emulation occu rs when

    a member of a lower class consumes conspic-

    uously so that he will be thought of as a mem-

    ber of a higher class. In modem terms, these

    motives are the essence of the incentive com-

    patibility conditions that form the basis for sig-

    naling. Members of higher classes voluntarily

    incur costs to differentiate themselves from

    members of lower classes (invidious compar-

    ison), knowing that these costs must be large

    enough to discourage imitation (pecuniary

    emula t ion) .

    Once the need to derive an equilibrium

    signaling relation between price and utility

    of conspicuous consumption would generate

    Veblen effects. There is no particular reason

    to believe that wealth is most effectively sig-

    naled by paying excessive prices for conspic-

    uous goods. Instead, one might prefer to

    purchase a larger quantity of conspicuous

    goods at a lower price, or a higher quality of

    conspicuous good at a higher price.*'

    This paper investigates the conditions under

    which Veblen effects, defined as a willingness

    to pay a higher price for a functionally equiv-

    alent good, arise from the desire to signal

    wealth. We examine a model in which each

    individual's status depends upon perceptions

    of his wealth among social contacts. Consum-

    ers have private information about the value

    of their assets, and attempt to signal their

    wealth by consuming a conspicuous good.

    The sellers of this good have access to iden-

    tical production technologies, and compete

    under conditions that would yield marginal-

    cost pricing under standard formulations of

    preferences. The model does

      not

      constrain

    consumers to signal wealth by oveq^aying for

    visibly labeled conspicuous goods: it is also

    possible to signal by consuming large quanti-

    ties of the good at a lower price, and/or by

    selecting bigher quality. Thus, to the extent

    Veblen effects are present, they must be gen-

    erated endogenously.

    We show that Veblen effects do

      no t

      arise

    when the mod el satisfies the standard sin gl e-

    crossing pro pe rty (wh ich, in this context

    states that the marginal cost of consuming the

    conspicuous good is higher for individuals

    with lower wealth, so that the indifference

    curves of consumers with different levels of

    wealth cross at most once).^ However, when

     

    Certain social customs in Thailand illustrate the prac

    tice of advertising wealth through quantity, rather than

    price. According to Philip Shenon (1991). H is consid

    ered acceptable, even by some Western-educated Tha

    women who would otherwise describe themselves as fem

    inists, for a man to lake one or more mistresses and even

    to be seen with them in public, so long as all of the women

    and their children are provided tor financially . . Mis

    tresses are to some de gree a demonstration of wealth, and

    as a rule, the more mistresses, the wealthier Ihc man. A

    handful of Bangkok's flashier millionaires are said lo have

    10 or more extramarital com pan ion s (p. A4].

    ' Use of ihe single crossing (or Spence-Mirrlees sort

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    BAGWELL AND

      BERNHEIM:

      VEBLEN EFFECTS

    351

    the single-crossing properly fails in a particu-

    lar way , and preferences satisfy a tan ge nc y

    pro per ty, Veblen effects may em erge. In par-

    ticular, the resulting equilibria are character-

    ized by the existence of b ud g et brands

    (sold at a price equal to marginal c os t), as well

    as lu xu ry brands (sold at a price above

    marginal cost). Luxury brands are purchased

    by consumers who seek to signal high levels

    of wealth. It is important to emphasize that, in

    equilibrium, the luxury brands are not intrin-

    sicaHy superior to the budget brands—they

    are simply goods of identical quality, sold at

    a higher price. The manufacturers of these

    brands earn  strictly positive economic  prof

    its even under conditions that would, with

    standard formulations of preferences, yield

    marginal-cost pricing, and despite the ability

    of firms to vary both price and quality.

    The theoretical plausibility of Veblen ef-

    fects therefore depends upon the plausibility

    of the single-crossing property. In the simplest

    models of conspicuous consumption (for ex-

    ample, Ireland, 1992), the single-crossing

    property is satisfied. Since consumption of

    conspicuous goods reduces expenditures on

    other goods., declining marginal rates of sub-

    stitution imply that conspicuous consumption

    is more costly for households witb less wealth.

    As a result, overpayment for these goods does

    not arise in equilibrium. Thus, one reading of

    our results (one that is based on the premise

    that the single-crossing property holds) suggests

    that Veblen effects are difficult to rationalize.

    However, we also exhibit several slightly

    more elaborate models in which the single-

    crossing property fails, and where this failure

    gives rise to Veblen effects. For example, we

    demonstrate that the tangency property is sat-

    isfied in the presence of bankruptcy con-

    straints. Tbis follows from the fact that the

    marginal cost of conspicuous consumption is

    inversely related to wealth at low expenditure

    levels,

      but positively related to wealth at high

    expenditure levels. Remarkably, when Veblen

    effects emerge, bankruptcy constraints  do not

    bind  in equilibrium, and so appear to be irrel-

    evant, despite the fact that Veblen effects

    would not exist without them. Two other fac-

    tors that can produce the requisite breakdown

    sympathetic to the role of any of the factors

    considered here) suggests that Veblen effects

    are naturally rationalized within a signaling

    context.

    The existence of Veblen effects in the con-

    text of our model has some provocative im-

    plications for public policy. Since supranormal

    profits result from the characteristics of de-

    mand rather than from the nature of strategic

    interaction among firms, evidence of high

    profitability does not necessarily support in-

    ferences of either collusion or oligopolistic

    forbearance. This observation also has impli-

    cations for tax policy. Within our model, the

    equilibrium prices of luxury brands are de-

    mand driven, rather than supply driven—that

    is,

      luxury brands are sold at the consumer's

    preferred price, which is tax inclusive, and

    does not vary with the tax rate. Thus, as long

    as the tax per unit does not exceed the differ-

    ence between the consumer's preferred price

    and marginal cost, an excise tax on luxury

    brands amounts to a nondistortlonary tax on

    pure profits.

    This observation is of particular interest in

    light of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation

    Act of 1990. which, for a time, established

    substantial federal taxes on the sale of various

    conspicuous goods, including expensive au-

    tom obiles, yachts, jewelry , and aircraft. One

    should not conclude from our analysis that

    these taxes were nondistortionary; whether the

    demand for luxury items is characterized by

    Veblen effects is a question that can be settled

    only through empirical analysis.

    However, it should be noted that several

    predictions of our model are consistent with

    anecdotal evidence. First, many individuals

    appear to consume conspicuous goods to ad-

    vertise affiuence. According to Daniel Piette,

    vice-president of LVMH (a French conglom-

    erate that owns Louis Vuitton, Moet et Chan-

    don, and Christian Dior perfumes), for many

    individuals buying luxury good s is all about

    demo nstration. ' * According to  The Econo-

    mist the most famous (example) was Ralph

    Lauren, whose Polo brand was positioned to

    appeal to American yuppies pretending to be

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    THE AMERICAN ECONO MIC REVIEW

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    Edwardian toffs (p . 92 ). Indeed,  The Econ-

    omist

      conclud es that pri ce is ... a powerful

    signal of exc lusiv ity (p . 98 ). This motivates

    marketing strategies that appeal to status con-

    sciousness. For example, a recent Jaguar ad-

    vertisement reads: ' 'If you could drive one car

    to your high school reunion, this would be it.

    As you swing into your alma mater in a beau-

    tiful new Jaguar XJS convertible, you can al-

    most see the heads turn as your classmates ask,

    'Isn't that ...?

    Second, brand-name producers apparently

    charge high premia on many status goods. In

    some cases, these premia persist even though

    the good is easily imitated.'' As a result, man-

    ufacturers of status goods tend to earn supra-

    com petitive returns. ' This is most cleariy

    illustrated by cases in which nearly Identical

    versions of the same good are sold at vastly

    different prices. Marshall Schuon (1993)

    notes that less expen sive cars are often vi r-

    tually identica l clones of pricier models. For

    exam ple, If you do n't mind a different grille

    and headlights, opting for the long-wheelbase

    Bentley Brooklands at

     

    152,400 rather than its

    twin, the $178,200 Rolls-Royce Silver Spur

    m , can save $25,800 (p. 20) .

    Third, there is some evidence that the tax-

    inclusive p rices of certain luxury goods were un-

    affected by the luxury tax. Specifically, Rolls

    Royce. Jaguar, and BMW have each run pro-

    motional campaigns in which they oifered to re-

    imburse customers for the full amount of the

    luxury tax. A 1991 advertisement for Rolls Royce

    reads:

      If the luxury tax is all that separates us.

    it's time to talk. From today through December

    31.

      1991, Rolls-Royce Motor Cars Inc. will re-

    imburse you for the full amount of the federal

    luxury excise tax incurred when you purchase

    or lease a new Rolls-Royce or Bentley . Tbis

    offer was still in effect through

      1993.

    'Ireland (1992) describes an interesting case of this

    involving a very expensive brand-named basketball shoe:

      The shoes became so much a passport lo social success

    among poor urban teenagers Ihat a campaign to limit their

    commercial promotion and advert ising was ini t iated

    (p.

      2).

    '

    A number of examples are cited in

      The Economist

    (1993).

    The paper is organized as follows. We

    describe the model in Section I. Section II

    examines signaling equilibria under the as-

    sumption that the single-crossing property is

    satisfied. Section III analyzes cases where the

    single-crossing property fails to hold. The

    plausibility of the assumptions required to

    generate V eblen effects is discussed in Section

    IV. Policy implications and other conclusion

    are considered in Section V.

    I. The Model

    This section presents the model. Sections A

    B .

      and C describe the choices to be made by

    households, social contacts, and producers, re

    spectively. The sequence of decisions in the

    game and the conditions for equilibrium are

    presented in Sections D and E. respectively

    Section F defines the single-crossing property

    in the context of our model.

    A.  Households

    Consider a household that must allocate re

    sources over two types of consumption goo ds

    One type is co ns pic uo us , in the sense tha

    its characteristics, as well as the quantity con

    sumed, are publicly obsen/ed. The character

    istics of the conspicuous good include quality

    q,  where  q E [g,q].The  second type of goo

    is inc on sp icu ou s, in the sense that it i

    consumed privately, and not observed by oth

    ers.  Because of our assumptions about ob

    servability, only conspicuous consumption

    can potentially serve as a signal of wealth

    The inconspicuous good is assumed, for sim

    plicity, to be of fixed quality. We will use th

    inconspicuous good as the numeraire.

    Tbe household is endowed with resources

    R,

      wbicb it allocates to tbe consumption of th

    conspicuous and inconspicuous goods. Le

    x{q)  denote theq uantity purchased of tbe con

    spicuous good with quality

      q..

      and let

     s

      deno

    your Jaguar dealer and we'll send you a reimbursemen

    check equal to the luxury tax based on the manufacturer

    suggested retail price. ' It is interesting to note that Jagu

    did  no t  offer this deal on the XJ-6. which is ils least e

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    BAGWELL AND  BERNHEIM:  VEBLEN EFFECTS

    35 3

    total conspicuous expenditures. Since the in-

    conspicuous good serves as the numeraire, we

    use

      z

      to denote both the total inconspicuous

    expenditure and the quantity purchased.

    There are two types of households (H and

    L ) ,  differing according to their levels of re-

    sources (/?H and /?L, with /?,_

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    THE AMERICAN ECONOM IC REVIEW

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    divided into two groups. The first group con-

    sists of F incumbents, indexed / G [1 , .. . ,

      F].

    Tbe rest of the firms are potential entrants. All

    firms can produce the same range of qualities.

    *? G [

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    BAGWELL AND  BERNHEIM VEBLEN EFFECTS

    35S

    form inferences about each household 's

    wealth, and react accordingly {by choosing

    p).

      The payoff to each ho usehold is given by

      {x, z, p).  Social contacts receive payoffs of

      p) , where  R  is the household's actual

    resources. Firm's payoffs are given by profits

    (revenues minus costs).

    E.  Equilibrium Conditions

    Our game is divided into two main phases.

    In the first phase (stages 1 and 2 ) , firms com -

    pete by naming prices and qualities. In the sec-

    ond phase (stages 3 and 4). households select

    consumption bundles and social contacts draw

    inferences about households' characteristics.

    The second phase is recognizable formally as

    a signa ling ga m e, in the sense of Jeffrey S.

    Banks and Joel Sobel (1987) or In-Koo Cho

    and Kreps (1 98 7) . In particular, the household

    is the se nd er , and possesses private infor-

    mation concerning its type,  R.  The ex ante

    probability distribution over (/?, ,   ? H  }  is com-

    mon kno wled ge, and is sum marized by a. Af-

    ter the household learns its type, it sends a

      m es sa ge , in this case  {x, s),  to the social

    who play the role of re ce iv ers . In

    response to this message, the social contacts

    select a res po ns e. p.  The payoffs to the

    tact) depend upon the sender's type  {R),  the

    message  {x, s),  and the response  (p) .

    We reduce the set of equilibria through the

    use of a refinement that is similar in spirit to

    subgame perfection: for any outcome of the

    first phase, actions and inferences constitute a

    separating equilibrium in the second phase,

    (198 7) intuitive criterion, which is equiv-

     *  For the receiver, dependence on the message itself is

      Equilibrium with comp leie pooling can be ruled out

    sideration of these equilibria

    It is useful to describe the second-phase

    equilibria in a bit more detail. Let  Q  denote

    the set of quality levels named by firms in the

    first phase. For each  q e QA i P{q)  denote

    the set of prices announced by firms for con-

    spicuo us prod ucts of quality ly. Define  p{q) =

    min  P{q), a.ndp{q) = max P{q).  FoFa con-

    spicuous good of quality  q  and price  p,  we

    define the qua lity-w eigh ted price,  pi^{q);

    this corresponds to the price of a quality-

    weighted unit of conspicuous consumption

    (that is, a unit of .v, rather than of  J : ( ^ ) ) .

    In l ight of equation (2) , households would,

    in the abse nce of informational imp erfec-

    t ions,

      choose the conspicuous good with the

    lowest quali ty-weighted pr ice. Let  p =

    min^^^,[j{q)/fiiq),  and p = max^aQPiq)/

    fi(q).  In other words, p ( p ) is the lowest

    (highest) quality-weighted unit price quoted

    in the first phase.

    Note that, unless p = p ; an individual's quality-

    weighted conspicuous consumption, x,  does not

    uniquely determine his total conspicuous expen-

    diture,  .s. Depend ing upon which brands he se -

    lects,  he may spend as little as p ^ , or as much

    as px.  In fact, for any s  satisfying  px ^ s ^ px,

    it is possible to purchase x quality-weighted units

    of the conspicuous good for exactly 5.'

    No rational consumer would ever spend

    more than the minimal amount needed to ac-

    quire a given quantity of the  inconspicuous

    good. However, a consumer may be willing to

    spend more than  £x  to acquire  x  units of the

    conspicuous good. Since others can observe

    his level of consumption,  x(q),  his selection

    of brands, brand prices, and brand qualities,

    they can infer his total expenditure,  s,  and

    quality-weighted consumption,  x.

    Formally, a separating equihbrium consists of

    total conspicuous quality-weighted quantity and

    expenditure choices  {xi_,  5 ,,  x^ ,  .?•„), with

      (J:,

     ,

    Si_ =f=

      (xn,

      Sti),

     satisfying incentive compatibility.

    ( 4 )

    (5 )

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    THE AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW

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    and feasibility.

    (6 )  P ^ - ^

     7

    P  ^

    Xi

    Moreover, social contacts form beliefs, rep-

    resented by a function 7r map ping the m essage

    (x ,  5) to a subjective probability that the

    household is type H. This function must satisfy

    the restrictions that 7r(XL,  ^L)  = 0 and

      Hxn,

    SH)  =  1- Finally, the choices (.tj,  5L)  and (XH,

    SH)  must be optimal (for type-L and type-H

    households respectively) given the relation be-

    tween inferences and actions that is implied by

    the combination of  n  and r(7r).

    Our description of a separating equilibrium

    is incom plete in the following sense: although

    we have specified total conspicuous con-

    sumption (xi. and  xu)  as well as total con-

    spicuous expenditure (5L and  ^ H ) we have

    not indicated which brands are purchased.

    There may well be an infinite number of con-

    spicuous consumption bundles containing  x,

    quality-weighted units, and requiring an ex-

    penditure of exactly .?, (i = L, H ). ' Fortu-

    nately this is immaterial, since consumers do

    not care about brand selection, except insofar

    as it affects total cost. Indeed, consumers are

    completely indifferent between all conspicu-

    ous consumption bundles containing the same

    total number of quality-weighted units that re-

    quire the same total expendittires. Though we

    have made several assumptions to resolve con-

    sumer indifference, our results do not depend

    on the specifics of these assumptions.

    It should be noted that, given our assump-

    tions so far, Veblen effects might arise simply

    because it is

      impossible

      to deter imitation by

    type-L households  except  by paying inflated

    prices for the conspicuous good. If, for ex-

    ' *

     Suppose, for example, that there are three brands. ^4.

     B.

    and C. of qualities q, {j = A, B. C).  sold at prices

     /»,.

     where

    pJp-iRA) < PH/ti(qn) < PrffJigr).  and suppose that  pJ

    f^tjA)  < itx, <

      Pc-Ifiiqr)-

     Then there is an infinite number

    am ple. 5, the absolute limit on conspicuous ex

    penditures, is sufficiently low, then it may b

    impossible to deter imitation by consumin

    high quantity or quality. For the moment, w

    will assume that sufficiently high quantity o

    quality does suffice to deter imitation, so tha

    the existence or nonexistence of Veblen ef

    fects depends upon a comparison of the  desi

    ability

      of signaling through price, quantity, o

    quality, rather than on the feasibility of deter

    rence. We retum to this issue in Section II.B

    where we discuss factors that affect the  po

    .sibility  of deterring im itation through hig

    quantity or quality.

    To state this assumption formally, we mus

    first develop some additional notation, an

    state one preliminary result. Define  xl(p)  a

    the solution to  max,Wi_(x, px,  P L)  where, fo

    simplicity, we assume that this solution i

    unique), and let  Wl{p)  denote the corre

    sponding optimized value of the objectiv

    function. We then have the following.

    LEMMA 1:  For any separating equilibriu

    of the subgame beginning in stage 3, al

    type-L househo lds purcha se x^(p) quality

    weighted units of the conspicuous good at

    total cost of pxy^ip).

    The argument here is a standard one. In th

    separating equilibrium, the L's are correctl

    identified. Therefore, they cannot (in a se

    quential equilibrium) induce social contacts t

    reduce p below p, by deviating from their pr

    scribed choice. Their optimal choice is then t

    select feasible levels of consumption whic

    maximize their intrinsic utility. Consequentl

    if there is another J: ^ 0 and feasible  s  th

    raises the value of W, (x , s,  P L ) ,  it must mak

    them better off. This contradicts the suppos

    tion that an equilibrium prevails.

    We are now prepared to provide the follow

    ing sufficient condition for  the feasib ility  of d

    terring imitation without paying inflated price

    for the conspicuou s good: for all p ^ c'^.

    (8 )

    This condition states that type-L household

    would choose not to imitate type-H house

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    BAGWELL

      AND BERNHEIM:

      VEBLEN EFFECTS

    357

    FIGURE

      I.

    SINGLI; CROSSING AND THK

     ABSKNCt

    OI V K B L K N  hftifTS

    price

      p.

      Consequently, type-H households

    could,

      if

      desired, differentiate themselves

     by

    selecting high quantity

     at the

      lowest available

    price, rather than  by  overpaying  for a  lower

    F.  The Single-Crossing Property

    As discussed

     in the

     introduction,

     our

     objec-

      is to

      determine whether V eblen effects

     as a

     consequence

     of

     signaling.

     As we

      the  existence  of  Veblen effects

     on the

     properties

     of

     the househo lds'

     in-

     in the (x, s)

      plane.

    A condition known as the  single-crossing

    perty often plays

      an

      important role

      in

     I

     in the

     (x. s)  plane

      ( / L ,

      corresponding

      to a

     of

      Wi_ix, s, p))

      and for

      type-H

    / H , corresponding

      to a

      constant

     of VVH Jî i .Si P))

     that satisfy this prop erty.

     the

     curves

      In  and

     i\  cross only once,

      at the

      cros.sing.

      the

      slope

      of /„ is

      the

     slope of / L .

      TO

      appreciate

     the

      of

      this property, define

      the

    as the ratio of the utility gains

     of the

      conspicu-

      to the

      utility losses associated with

      of

      conspicuous expenditure.

      the

      single-crossing property holds,

     the

      is  always higher  for  households

      the

      single-

    Definition:

      Preferen ces satisfy

      the single-

    crossing property

      if, for any

     feasible  (x, x , s,

    s\   p)

      with

     0 ^ jt W^ix, s, p).

    Example:  Sup pose that hou seho ld utility

    is additively separable

     in

     .v,

     c, and p, and

     that

    the resource co nstraint  is given by z ^ R  s.

    Then

     9)  W,ix,s.p = u{x)

    w{p

    In that case,  Wiix ,  s , p)

      s

      W^x, s, p)

     im-

    plies

      u(x ) - u{x)  >

      u(/? |.

      -  s) -  u /?L -

    s ).

      But as

     long as

     i;

     is

     strictly c oncav e,

     v{Ri -

    s )

      -

      v ( R y _

      -

      s )

     > v{Rt, - s )

     -

      v(Rn ~  s ) .

    Combining these statements gives

      us  Wy^{x ,

    s\

      p) > Wu{x, s, p).  Consequently, this

     ex-

    ample satisfies

      the

      single-crossing property.

    Section

      II

     dem onstra tes that Veblen effects

    cannot emerge

      in our

      model when

      the

     single-

    crossing prop erty holds. Section

     III

     establishes

    that, in contrast, Veblen effects  do emerge un-

    der altemative assumptions concerning house-

    hold preferences.

    II .  Equilibrium with the Single-

    Crossing Property

    In this section,

     we

     ch aracterize

      the

     separat-

    ing equilibria

      of

      this model when

      the

      single-

    crossing property holds. Section

     A

     demo nstrates

    that  the  model cannot generate Veblen effects.

    Section B considers the robustness of this  finding.

    A.

      Analysis

      of

      Veblen Effects

    The following result demonstrates that

    Veblen effects cannot arise when

      the

      single-

    crossing property

      is

      satisfied.

    T H E O R E M

      1;  Suppose that  ihe  single-

    crossing property holds,  and  that, entering

    stage

      3, p^^ c .

      Then every equilibrium

      for

    the continuation game  has the property that

    all households purchase  the  conspicuous

    good

      at the

      quality-weighted price

      p. Fur-

    thermore,  on the equilibrium path for   the en-

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    A formal proof of Theorem I appears in the

    Appendix. The intuition for this result is as fol-

    lows.

      The fact that lype-L households buy the

    conspicuo us good at the quality-weigh ted price

    p

      follows directly from Lemma I. It is certainly

    possible for type-H households to discourage

    imitation by choosing

      (A,I,  S^)

      with ,Sn >

      pxu.

    But in that case, type-H households could also

    consider signaling by purchasing a larger

    quality-weighted quantity at a lower quality-

    weigbted price. If the single-crossing property

    is satisfied, then the benefit ratio is higher for

    type-H households, which makes it possible to

    choose an increase in quantity and a decrease in

    effective price thai makes type-H households

    better off, while leaving type-L imitators worse

    oif. The intuitive criterion then guarantees that,

    upon observing this deviation, social contacts

    would infer that the deviator was of type H, and

    respond accordingly. But in that case, the equi-

    librium with ill >   pxn   would be undermined.

    The second half of the theorem (conspicuous

    goods of quality   q are available at price  p  ^

    c^) then follows from standard Bertrand-style

    arguments.

    The central idea of the theorem is illustrated

    graphically in Figure 1. If type-H households

    choose some  (.I:H,-5H)  with  XH''-^H  > c ' , s ingle-

    crossing implies that the shaded area is

    nonempty. Thus, it is possible for type-H

    households to increase their utility, without in-

    ducing imitation, by purchasing more of the

    conspicuous good at a tower price. More gen-

    erally, it should be evident from this figure that

    efficient signaling is ordinarily inconsistent

    with prices in excess of marginal cost unless

    there are no points above /u, below /H , and

    above the line

      s

      -

      c ^x.

      which would require

    the indifference curves to be tangent at  (x^,

    Su)-  This observation anticipates the main re-

    sult of the next section.

    Although Theorem I does not establish the

    existence of an equilibrium satisfying the in-

    tuitive criterion where

      s^

      =

      C XH.

      this follows

    from standard arguments. Thus, our analysis

    establishes thai, when the single-crossing

    property h olds, there can be no Veblen effects:

    no household would choose to pay a higher

    price in order to enhance its status. To the ex-

    tent signaling distorts the choices of type-H

    good consumed (as in Ireland, 1992). rather

    than by the prices or qualities of the brands

    chosen.

    B.  Robustness

    We now establish the robustness of the re-

    sult obtained in Section II.A by examining the

    roles of several potentially important, and

    possibly objectionable, assumptions. The firs

    of these concerns the nature of competition

    among the producers of the conspicuous good

    From the statement of Theorem 1. it should be

    evident that the absen ce of Veblen effects does

    not depend upon the nature of competition

    among firms. Note in particular that, in every

    continuation game, all households purchas

    the conspicuous good at the lowest available

    quality-weighted price,

      p.

      A different mode

    of competition among producers of the con

    spicuous good might produce an equilibrium

    price other than

      c ,

      but would [lot alter th

    nature of any continuation game.' ' Thus, re

    gardless of the process generating price and

    quality choices, when faced with a choice be

    tween a higher-priced brand of the conspicu

    ous good and a lower-priced brand of the sam

    quality, households will always choose th

    lower-priced brand.

    In deriving Theorem 1. we h ave also as

    sumed that the quantity of the conspicuou

    good is variable. This assumption is appropri

    ate even if conspicuous goods are discrete ob

    jects that are used one at a time, such a

    watches, cars, and silk ties. Someone possess

    ing many expensive watches can w ear a Role

    on Monday, a Patek Phillipe on Tuesday,

    Cartier on Wednesday, and so forth. Similarly

    there are well-publicized examples of wealth

    - With other specifications of utility. type-H hous

    holds might signal wealth through their choices of bot

    quantity and quality. However, as long as the singl

    crossing properly holds, they would never choose to ove

    pay for a conspicuous good.

    -' While we have constructed a Berlrand-style game i

    which equilibrium prices are driven to marginal cost, o th

    models of the competitive process might well produc

    higher prices (for example, when entry barriers are hig

    and producers sei capacity prior lo choosing prices, as

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    BAGWELL AND  BERNHEJM:  VEBLEN EFFECTS

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    celebrities who accumulate sta bl es of ex-

    pensive automobiles. Although these individ-

    uals wear only one watch at a time and drive

    only one car at a time, they manage to display

    quantity through ostentalious variety. More-

    over, even when variety across time cannot be

    observed (for example, if social contact is in-

    frequent), the ability to select an array of con-

    spicuous goods serves the same role as

    variable quantity. If ownership of an Armani

    suit does not suffice to differentiate the

    wealthy from pretenders, those who wish to sig-

    nal may add a Rolex watch; if that fails to do

    the trick, they may also brandish a Mont Blanc

    fountain pen, and a Hermes tie or scart. As long

    as the single-crossing property is satisfied, ar-

    gum ents analogous to those used in the pr(K)f of

    Theorem I imply that households will prefer to

    signal with greater variety (quantity of difler-

    entiated conspicuous items), rather than by

    overpaying for less variety.

    Finally, as we now demonstrate, even if

    quantity and variety are  both  fixed, Veblen ef-

    fects still cannot arise in equilibrium, as long as

    firms are free to vary quality.-' We modify the

    model by assuming that each household pur-

    chases either one unit of the conspicuous good

      from a single firm at a single price and quality,

    or none. A separating equilibrium for die sec-

    ond phase of the game consists of

      {q^, p\. q^,

    PH )  with  iq i  , p, ) * ((?„,/?„) such th at ' '

     10

    and

    ( l l :

    .,  P I  ) •

    Moreover,

      pi

      and

      pi,

      must be prices actually

    named by firms in the first phase of the game,

    and (/i and f/n must be qualities actually named

    by firms in the first phase of the game.

    Define

      q^

      as the solution to

     maK^Wi_{ti{q),

    c(q),  Pt ) ,  and let  W i_  denote the correspond-

    ing maximized level of utility. We will assume

    for simplicity that  qi_  is unique, and that  Wi >

    W L ( O .

      0, p ,| ), so that type-L households will

    actually purchase the conspicuous good. We

    will also assu m e ^'

      12

    Condition (12) lakes the place of condition

    (8) (for the case of variable quantity) as

    a sufficient condition for the feasibility of

    deterring imitation without paying inflated

    prices for the conspicuous good. '' In particu-

    lar, type-L hou seho lds will not imitate type-H

    households if type-H households purchase the

    highest quality conspicuous good at a price

    equal to marginal cost. W ith these changes , we

    have the following theorem.

    T H EO R E M 2:  Supp ose that the single-

    crossing property holds, and that each house-

    hold buys at most one indivisible unit of the

    conspicuous

      good

    Then

     p , =

      c(qi ) andp^

      =

     

    It is important to realize thai this conclusion does not

    follow directly from Theorem 1 Even though quality is.

    in our model, a perfect substitule lor quantity trom the

    perspective of households, control over available qualities

    reside.s with firms, rather than households. Since house-

    hold.s must choose among the products that are actually

    otfered. ihe case of lixed quantity and variable quality give

    household.̂ much less discretion than the case ot variable

    quantity.

    -' It is conceivable that one might also construct a .sep-

    arating equilibrium in which some households purchase

    none of the conspicuous good. This would necessitate

    modification of the incentive con.straints (10) and (It).

    However, subsequent assumptions will rule out the pos-

    A

     proo f of this result is contain ed in the Ap-

    f>endix. The intuition is similar to that given

    for Theorem I. The fact that there is no

    markup over marginal cost on units of the

    conspicuous good sold to type-L households

      Technically, with indivisibilities, we must also as-

    sume that  c(q)  s .f, so that it is feasibie to purch ase one

    unit of a conspicuous product with quality ^ at a price

    equal to the marginal cost. This is not restrictive, since, in

    the quantity-constrained modet, we could simply define

      q

    as c

      ' ( . D .

     

    In some sense, condition (12) is less restrictive than

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    THE AMERICAN ECONOM IC REVIEW

    JilNh. 199

    follows from standard Bertrand-style argu-

    ments; competition among producers will

    make quality  q^,  available at price

      c{qv_).

      It is

    certainly possible to construct an equilibrium

    in which type-H households discourage imi-

    tation by choosing {c/n. At) with pH >

      ciq^).

    But in tbat case, the single-crossing property

    guarantees the existence of an alternative offer-

    ing with higher quality and a lower markup, such

    that typc-H households would strictly pre-

    fer this alternative, while typc-L households

    would strictly prefer  {q^_,  pi).  The intuitive

    criterion then implies that, if this alternative

    was offered, and if a household selected it., so-

    cial contacts vi/ould infer that the deviating

    household was of type H. and respond accord-

    ingly. Consequently, if the alternative is of-

    fered. type-H households will select it. But this

    undermines the equilibrium, since an entrant

    would then have an incentive to offer this

    alternative.

    Notice that Theorem 2 is weaker than The-

    orem 1, in the sense that it only describes

    behavior on the equilibrium path.' ' ' In equi-

    librium, households never purchase an exces-

    sively priced conspicuous good, so Veblen

    effects do not arise as an equilibrium phe-

    nomenon. However, off the equilibrium path,

    type-H households may well elect the more

    expensive of Iwo equivalent brands, for the

    simple reason that no other alternatives are

    available, and acquisition of the less expen-

    sive brand would not be sufficiently costly to

    deter imitation by type-L households. Al-

    though Veblen effects can therefore arise out

    of equilibrium, it is important to reiterate that

    even this is a fragile result. The existence of

    even a single conspicuous good with flexible

    quantity, or the existence of a large variety of

    conspicuous goods (such as watches and

    cars) each with fixed quantity, effectively

    brings us back to the variable-quantity case,

    and eradicates Veblen effects both on the

    equilibrium path and out of equilibrium.

    For completeness, it is worth mentioning the

    case where both quantity ««(/quality are fixed.

     

    It should be noicd thai this is

      no t

      anribulable to the

    difference between cundilions (12) and (8) described in

    Let  q =  1 deno te the single feasible leve l o

    quality. Once again, a standard Bertrand-styl

    argument implies that some firm will sell th

    conspicuous good at price  p = c \),  and tha

    type-L households will purchase this brand

    Define  p^  as the solution to '

    ( 1 3 ) l V L ( M n . c ( l ) . p , _ )

    It is easy to verify that, in any equilibrium sa

    isfying the intuitive criterion, some firm wi

    offer the conspicuous good at price  pn, an

    type-H households will purchase this brand

    despite the availability of an equivalent prod

    uct at the lower price, c(l ). Thus, the fixed

    quantity, fixed-quality case gives rise to Veble

    effects even in equilibrium. This is the es

    sence of the signaling equilibrium describe

    by Wolfgang Pesendorfer (1995), It shoul

    be evident, however, that Veblen effect

    when generated in this way, are highly fragil

    and depend on a variety of tenuous assump

    t ions,  including (i) households cannot var

    quantity (either by changing the amount use

    at one time, or by using distinguishable uni

    at different points in time), (ii) firms cann

    vary quality, (iii) there are no other conspic

    uous goods with either variable quantity o

    variable quality, and (iv) there exist rela

    tivety few categories of conspicuous good

    so that households cannot display wealt

    through ostentatious variety.

    III.

     Equilibrium Without the Single-

    Crossing Property

    In the last section, we demonstrated th

    Veblen effects cannot arise when the singl

    crossing property holds if quantity, qualit

    or variety is variable. However, signalin

    equilibria may exist even when the single

    crossing property is violated. This observatio

    suggests that it may be possible to genera

    Veblen effects under less standard assump

    tions.

      In this section, we focus on cases

    which the violation of the single-crossin

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    BAGWELL AND   BERNHEIM:  VEBLEN EEEECTS

     

    FIGURE 2. TH I; TANGKNCV

    property lakes a particular form, which we re-

    fer to as the   tangency property.  At this point,

    we introduce this property as a technical con-

    dition, and explore its implications. In Section

    IV. we identify more primitive conditions

    from which this property can be derived.

    Definition:

      Preferen ces satisfy the

      tan-

    gency property  if there exists a con tinu ous

    function   s*{x)  such tha t for any (.v,  x , s )

    (with  s ^

      s*ix)),

      WiXx , s ,  PH)  =  W^ix,

    s*{x),  PH)  implies  Wiiix , s , pn) < W^ix,

    S*(X),PH).

    We illustrate this property in Figure 2. No-

    tice that the indifference curves /, and   lu

    (which presupposep = p,,) are tangent to each

    other where they cross the function  .V*{.Y).

    This could occur, for example, if the benefit

    ratio (defined in Section I.F) is higher for

    households with greater resources when total

    conspicuous expenditures are less than 5*(.v),

    and lower when conspicuous expenditures ex-

    ceed 5*(.r) .

    When the tangency property is satisfied,

    mutual nonimitation may be infeasible. We

    therefore use the following additional condi-

    tion to guarantee the existence of separating

    equilibria.

    Definition: Separation is feasible  if there

    exists(.rH,.v,,)

      ^ l.xT{c ), c xlic ))withsn/

    Xu ^ c such ihaHxtW ), c xfAc ),  XH,  su )

    satisfies expressions (4) and (5) (incentive

    compatibi l i ty ) .

    The remainder of this section is organized

    as follows. Section A dem ons trates that

    separation is feasible). ** In equilibrium, some

    firms market bu dg et brands (which are

    sold at a price equal to marginal cost), while

    others sell lu xu ry brands (which are sold

    at a price above marginal cost, despite the fact

    (hat producers are perfectly competitive).

    Luxury brands are not intrinsically superior

    to budget brands but are purchased by con-

    sumers who seek to signal high levels of

    wealth. Section B examines the robustness of

    this finding.

    A.  Analysis of Veblen Effects

    To analyze the characteristics of equilibria

    when the tangency property holds, we require

    some additional notation. Specifically, let jf*

    denote the solution (if any) to the equation

    (1 4 ) W , (x * ,  J * ( ^ * ) , P H )  =  Wlic ).

    We illustrate this solution in Figure 3. where

    we have superimposed the indifference curve

    desc ribed by the equation W, (.v,  s, p^)  =

    W*{c on   .S '* ( J : ) .  The point  x*   corresponds

    to the intersection of this indifference curve

    an d

      s*(x).

      It is, of course , possible that .v*(.v)

    could He everywhere below, or everyw here

    above, the indifference curve of interest, in

    which case there would be no intersection. For

    our central result, we will simply assume the

    existence of a unique intersection.'' ' In Section

    IV, we discuss conditions under which this as-

    sumption is satisfied.

    It is easy to verify that the indifference curve

    of interest must lie strictly above the line   s =

    c ^x at the point jt* (f '  ).^ Thu s, depending on

     **

     Veb len effects may arise wh en ihe liingle-crossing

    property fails to hold, even when the tangency property is

    no t satisfied. How ever, ihc analysis of equilibHn is partic-

    ularly tractable when the tangency property holds.

      Once existence is assumed, it is easy to establish Ihat

    the intersection musi be unique. Specifically, if a type-L

    indifference curve crosses .^*(,v) more than once, it must

    be tangent to the same type-H indifference curve at each

    crossing (otherwise lype-H indifference curves would

    cross) .

      But this contradicts the strict inequality in the def-

    inition of ihe tangency property.

      'Consider  s  solving  W.j.xtic -), s, pn) =   Wu(x*.

    s*{x*).

      /?„). Since 1V,(J*,  .V*(A*).  p^,) = WyixTic ),

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    the location of ,?*(.r), it is certainly  possible

    that  5*(.v*)  would exceed  f'^.v*, as shown

    in Figure 3. The following result demonstrates

    that Veblen effects do arise in equilibrium for

    this case.

    THEOREM 3 :

      Suppose that the tangency

    property holds, that separation is feasible,

    and that s *{x*}/x

     

    = / ?* > c^ .  Then(i) (x^.

    sO= (x

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    BAGWELL AND  BERNHEIM VEBLEN EFFECTS

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    returns to scale technology, and Bertrand-

    style pricing—conditions that would yield

    marginal-cost pricing (even when indiffer-

    ence is resolved in favor of incumbents) with

    ordinary formulations of preferences.

    B.

      Robustness

    We now establish the robustness of Veblen

    effects when the tangency property holds by

    examining the roles of several potentially im-

    portant assumptions, including those high-

    lighted in Section II.B.

    Once again, it is evident that different as-

    sumptions about the nature of competition

    among producers of the conspicuous good

    would not qualitatively alter our result. Our

    analysis of signaling equilibria for the second

    phase of the game implies that, regardless of

    the process generating   p   and p ,  type-H house-

    holds will, in a wide range of situations, select

    a higher-priced brand over a qualitatively

    equivalent lower-priced brand.

    Vebien effects are also robust with respect

    to the altemative assumption that quantity is

    fixed (at one unit). For the same reasons as in

    Section II.B, competition among producers

    will make quality

      171,

     available at price  c{qi_)

    (where the definition of   ^ 1 is unchange d). De-

    fine

     (7*

      as the solution to

      1 5

    The term   q*   serves a role analogous to that of

    X*  from the variable-quantity case (see equa-

    tion (I 4 )i n Section III .A). Using an argument

    completely analogous to that given in the

    proof of Theorem 3, it is possible to show that.,

    a s l o n g a s 5 * ( / x ( ^ * ) ) >  c ( ^ * ) ,  type-H house-

    holds purchase quality   q^ = q*   at price  p^ =

    s*{fi{q*)),

      and that the othe r features of Th e-

    orem 3 are unchanged. Naturally, Veblen ef-

    fects also arise if both quantity and quality are

    fixe

    Anotherfeatureof equilibrium with variable

    quantity described in Theorem 3 is that all

    firms choose to produce the first-best quality,

    q .   Thu s, despite the imposition of assu mp -

    tions that would yield marginal-cost pricing

    under standard formulations of preferences,

    cific choice of  q is a somewhat special

    consequence of assumptions about functional

    forms. H owe ver, the finding that firms will not

    dissipate profits through quality competition is

    quite general, and holds even when quality is

    not a perfect substitute for quantity. To clarify

    this point, consider the equilibrium described

    in Theorem 3, where type-H households pur-

    chase  x*lpiq )  units of a quality  q*^  conspic-

    uous good at a total cost of ,?*(.«*). Now

    suppose that some firm can. through some

    costly activity (for example, advertising or in-

    novation), enhance the value of its product. If

    it undertakes this action without changing

    price or quality, it will not succeed in luring a

    single buyer away from its competitors. The

    reason is that the activity would also enhance

    the value of the product for type-L hou sehold s,

    who would then prefer this enhanced package

    to ( . i :*(c ' ) ,  c^xtAc )).  Thu s, the enhanced

    package would not function as a signal of

    wealth, and thereby attract type-H households,

    unless the producer simultaneously raised

    price and/or lowered quality.*-

    A final robustness issue concems our as-

    sumption that there are only two types of

    households. When the single-crossing prop-

    erty is satisfied, the extension of our model to

    an arbitrary number of types is completely

    standard. Although standard argum ents do not

    apply when the tangency property holds, a

    somewhat stronger version of this condition

    permits the introduction of additional types

    with little added com plex ity.' ' S uppose in par-

    ticular that there are / +  types of households

    indexed / = 0. 1 .2, ... , / , with resou rces /?,

    (Rj < Ri  for j 0, we

    will assume that there exists a continuous

    function   sf {x)  such that for any  {x, p,x , s ,

    p ' ) w i t h s '  *   s*(x),  Wu{x ,s ,p ) = Wn{x,

    s*(x),  p)   i m p l i e s  W^x , s , p ) < W^ix,

    '" In an earlier versio n of this paper (B agw ell and

    Bemheim, 1992), we considered a model with advertis-

    ing in which advertising enhanced ulilily. but. unlike

    quality in the current model, did so in a way that was not

    a  perfect substitute for quantity. We demonstrated that

    firms would not dissipate profits through competition in

    advertising.

    " This analysis extends that of Bemheim (1991), who,

    in a much different context, analyzed signaling equilibria

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    sf (x), p).^* We u.se  ,Y,* to denote the solution

    to

      W,> xf.

      5 ,*{-r*) ,  p,) =   W , t ( t ' ) ( w h er e

    W *ic ̂ )  is defined analogously to  W   l{c )).

    To construct the equilibrium, we assign type-0

    households the bundle   (x*(c ),   c x*(c ))

    (analogously to type-L households in the two-

    type ca se ), and type-/ > 0 households the bun-

    d le (x f ,   s*(x*)).  In other word s, we select

    the bundle for each type-/ > 0 household to

    deter imitation by the lowest type, rather than

    (as in the standard case) by its next lowest

    type. With a pair-wise analog of feasible sep-

    aration between type 0 and each type /. this

    assures us of mutual nonimitation for each

    {0 ,  /) pair. Note that  W^ixf  .  s* (x?  ) , p , ) =

    pair (with   i, j >   0). It follows immediately

    from this observation and the modified tangency

    condition that mutual nonimitation is satisfied

    for (/,y) (strictly   iis* {x* )  #  .s*{.x*)).

    IV. Are Veblen Effects Plausible?

    Our analysis has isolated theoretical condi-

    tions that allow us to rationalize the existence

    or nonexistence of Veblen effects. However,

    the fact that it is possible to produce Veblen

    effects under some appropriate set of assump-

    tions does not necessarily imply that one is

    likely to observ e these effects in practice . In-

    deed, the conditions required to generate

    Veblen effects may strike the reader as im-

    plausible. In this section, we examine the

    plausibility of the tangency property. We

    then discuss in greater detail the effective-

    ness of conspicuous expenditures as a signal

    of wealth.

    A.  Justifications for the Failure of the

    Single-Crossing Property

    In this section, we demonstrate that the tan-

    gency property can be derived from more

    primitive assumptions. Three separate exam-

    ples are considered.

      Note [hat. under this assump tion, the locus of tan-

    gencies between inditference curves is independent of  p.

    Example 1: Personal Bankruptcy.  Con

    sider a modified version of the game, in whic

    consumers must borrow to finance conspicu

    ous expenditures, and where loans to house

    holds are potentially risky, since household

    may choose to default. The game unfolds i

    five stages rather than four, with the set o

    agents expanded to include a large number o

    potential creditors, who can borrow and len

    money at the riskless rate /* (their opportunit

    cost of funds). First , each incumbent / a n

    nounces quality   q and price,   pf,  for the con

    spicuous good, and each creditor  n  announce

    an interest rate, r,,. Second, potential conspic

    uous good producers observe these qualities

    prices and interest rates, and then decid

    whether to enter. If a firm chooses to enter,

    announces a quality and price for the conspic

    uous good. Third, consumers observe all an

    nounced qualities, prices and interest rate

    and determine the amounts of the conspicuou

    good to be purchased from each firm. Sinc

    incom e is not received until stage 5. these pur

    chases must be financed through borrowing.''

    We assume for simplicity that creditors can

    not monitor the total indebtedness of any cl

    ent. Thus, households can obtain any desire

    loan at the prevailing rate market of interes

    rS: r*.  Fourth, social contacts observe hous

    holds ' b randed consp icuous-consumpt io

    bundles, form inferences about household

    resources, and react accordingly (choos

    /?). '

      Social contacts do  not  observe hous

    holds '

      choices of lenders. Fifth and finall

    income   (R )  is received and loans matur

    Each household has the option to default o

    its loan, in which case creditors receive a

    '^ Nothing would change if households received a po

    tion of their incomes prior to stage 3. The extreme a

    sumption that all income is received in stage 5 is made f

    simplicity only.

     

    Note thai inferences are draw n in stage 3. prior lo t

    lime at which bankruplcy may be declared. We have ther

    fore assumed implicitly thai a deciaralion of hankniplc

    would not affect status (possibly it is uno bservab le). How

    ever, this assumplion is not essential. Even when a de

    laration of bankruptcy negatively affects stalus, th

    marfiinal  cost of conspicuous spending will be higher f

    higher-income households pasl the point where the ban

    ruptcy con.straint binds for lower-income household

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    BAGWELL AND  BERNHEIM VEBLEN EFFECTS 36 S

    enforceable claim against the household's

    income. Since bankruptcy protection allows

    the household to retain resources of the

    amount  z,   independent of type, a declaration

    of bankruptcy leaves the household with re-

    sources equal to max   [z, R - {\  +  r)s}.  W e

    assume that the household's conspicuous

    consumption is unaffected by bankruptcy (in

    other wo rds, the conspicu ous good cannot be

    repossessed) ." All residual resources are

    spent on the inconspicuous good at the end

    of stage 5. As in the example in Section I.F.

    utility is additively separable,  U,ix, s, p) =

    u{x)  +  vis)  +  wip).

    Once creditors have selected interest rates,

    the game is merely a special case of the model

    considered in Section III. The utility of the

    household is described by equation ( 3 ) , where

    (1 6 )  y(s.R,) = max {z,R  - (1 + '•).v .

    Indifference curves in the {.r,  s)   plane for

    type-L households, /, , and for type-H house-

    holds,  /H ,  are depicted in Figure 4. It is easy to

    verify directly that, given appropriate ch oices

    of

      c

    and .v̂ , Ihe tang enc y prop erty ho lds for

    this model (including the stronger version of

    the condition introduced in our discussion of

    multiple types), as shown in Figure 2. In ef-

    fect, the marginal cost of conspicuous con-

    sumption is higher (and the benefit ratio is

    lower) for type-L households as long as total

    expenditures do not exceed   s* =   (/?L ̂   z) /

    (I -I- r). However, for higher levels of con-

    spicuous spending, the marginal cost is higher

    (and the benefit ratio lower) for type-H house-

    holds."* Since, in this example, 5* is indepen-

    dent of .V, we abbreviate

      s*{x)

      as

      s* .

    ^ This assump tion requires some Justification. Between

    the purchase of a conspicuous good and a declaration of

    bankruptcy, some or all of that good may be consumed or

    depreciated Mo reover, bankruptcy courts often allow in-

    dividuals to retain expensive possessions (see, for exam-

    pie,

      Kirstin Downey, I99l:or Richard Hylton, 1991). One

    could, at Ihe cost of introducing considerable analytic

    complexity, instead assume that, in the event of bank-

    ruptcy, a household consum es some fraction \ (0 < \ <

    1) of its conspicuous possessions, while the remainder,

    (1

     —

      \)x.  is reposse ssed. It does not appear that this would

    disturb the qualitative features of our analysi.s.

    " 'F or ,v   C ' J : * ( C ' ^ ) ,

    their bankruptcy constraint does not bind.

    Since type-H households spend the amount

    s*  = (/?L ^

      z)/{

      I + /•*) on conspicuous con-

    sumption, their bankruptcy constraint does not

    bind either. Hence, (he casual observer would

    conclude that bankruptcy constraints are irrel-

    evant. But this is certainly not the c ase — w ith-

    out the bankruptcy constraint. Theorem 1

    applies, and no Veblen effects emerge. The

    key to this apparent puzzle is that type-L

    households are influenced by the fact that they

    ""Since ,?,*(.«:*)  = s*{x ) = .i*  fo r/ ,) > 0, it does not

    follow that the mutual nonimitation constraints hold

    strictly. Indeed, while each type

      i >

      0 strictly prefers to

    differentiate itself from type 0, all other incentive com-

    patibility conditions hold with equality. If income was un-

    certain as in Bagwell and Bemheim   (\ i92]..s*(x*)  would

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    THE AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW

    JUNE 99

    would

      confront a binding bankruptcy con-

    straint // they attempted to imitate the type-H

    households. Furthermore, with the introduc-

    tion of income uncertainty, default does occur

    with positive probability, while the other

    features of the equilibrium remain qualita-

    tively unchanged (see Bagwell and Bemheim,

    1992) .

      This is consistent with evidence that

    many wealthy individuals  are  at significant

    risk of bankruptcy (see, for example, Michael

    Allen, 1991), and that this risk is often asso-

    ciated with the acquisition of costly, conspic-

    uous possessions. '

    Example 2: Taxation.  Supp ose that, as in

    Exam ple 1, utility is additively separable. Sup -

    pose also that some conspicuous expenditures

    (such as lease payments on luxury automo-

    biles,

      or mortgage payments on expensive

    homes) are deductible expenses for the pur-

    pose of computing personal income taxes, and

    that marginal personal income tax rates de-

    cline with taxable income over some range

    (we note that the U.S. tax code has satisfied

    this condition since 1986 due to the ta ke

    ba ck of personal exemptions and itemized

    deductions). More specifically, suppose that

    taxabje income is given by Y = R  s,  that the

    first  Y  dollars of taxable income are taxed at

    the rate r,, and that additional taxable income

    is taxed at the rate_T2, with T, >  T2. Assume

    further that

      R^

      >

      Y.

      Then

    (17 )

    +

      ( r , - r . ) m a x { 0 , / e

      - s - ?}

    In this case,

      s* = Ri_ -

      K( which is indepen -

    dent of .V, as in Exam ple 1) . It is easily verified

    that, as long as either the curvature of v is not

    too great, or R  ̂ -

      Ry^

      is relatively small, then,

    under appropriate choices of t'^ and J,  the tan-

    gency property holds (including the stronger

     

    One reporter recently summarized this relation as fol-

    lows:

      ' In the 1980s, people lived out their materialistic

    dreams, overspending on BMWs, huge boats, Caribbean

    vacations and dream condos, bankruptcy lawyers say.

    Then came the real estate crash and the job layoffs. Now ,

    version introduced in our discussion of mul

    tiple types).

    Example 3: Intrinsic Utility.  Suppose tha

    utility is given by the expression

    (18 )

    w p

    for / = L, H. where ^L > ^H > 0. In othe

    words, assume that type-L households receiv

    greater intrinsic utility from consuming luxury

    goods, perhaps because of no ve lty value

    or because of personal satisfaction derived

    from ac tin g rich. Assum e also that the

    household faces the budget constraint  z = R ~

    s.  For simplicity, assume that

      uix) = x.

      It i

    then possible to verify that, under appropriate

    choices of c' ' and  s' ,  the tangency propert

    holds i f  v'{Ri,)/v'(Ri) < 9^19 ^,,  and i

    v'iRn - s)lv'(R\_ -  5) declines with 5.- Thi

    final property requires  v'

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    little or no attempt to observe it), and it must

    be interpreted as evidence of substantial re-

    source dissipation. Thus, one can certainly de-

    stroy substantial resources by burning dollar

    bills on one's front lawn, but relatively few

    peop le will observ e this activity since it is both

    brief and localized. It is also possible to waste

    substantial resources in numerous small incre-

    ments during the normal course of social in-

    teraction, for example by tipping excessively

    at every opportunity. H owever, since other in-

    dividuals observe this behavior only at isolated

    moments, tipping serves as an effective signal

    only if others believe that current behavior is

    representative. In contrast, expensive durable

    goods, including one's automobiles, jewelry,

    and clothing are all ob.served regularly by

    numerous other individuals during the nor-

    mal course of social interaction, and pro-

    vide durable emblems of substantial resource

    dissipation.^'

    The predisposition for signaling wealth

    through the purchase of expensive, conspicu-

    ous, durable goods does not completely re-

    solve the issue of indeterminacy. While we

    have focused on the case of a single conspic-

    uous good (with many brands), the extension

    of our analysis to an arbitrary number of con-

    spicuous goods is straightforward and yields

    essentially identical conclusions, except thai

    the distribution of demand across conspicuous

    goods is indeterminant. Thus, our theory does

    not explain which durable, conspicuous goods

    households will choose as signals. Given the

    diversity of actual behavior, we regard this as

    a virtue, rather than a difficulty.

    One might also wonder why households do

    not simply publish tax returns or audited asset

    statements. If one takes our theory literally, it

    is also difficult to understand why consumers

     •- The observation that agents can bum money in a va-

    riety of different ways is troublesome in other contexts,

    such as financial market signaling. Since investors have

    strong incentives to leam all relevant information about

    stocks, the firm need not undertake dissipative activities

    thai investors w ill observe w ith little or no effort, nor need

    they seek durable emblems of dissipation (since potential

    investors can always review fmancial records). Thus, one

    can entertain general doubts about models with money

    remove price tags from their conspicuous pos-

    sessions. Obviously there are other important

    considerations that influence the choice of a

    signal; completely transparent exhibitions of

    wealth seem socially unacceptable. An exam-

    ple of tbese kinds of concerns has been de-

    scribed by  The Economist  (1993 p . 98 ) : M en

    flocked to the likes of Patek Philippe and Ebel,

    apparently because watches are the one sort of

    luxury good that has what the marketers at

    Cartier smilingly describe as a 'functional

    alibi ' . '

    C .

      The Observability of Price Concessions

    Another assumption implicit in the analysis

    of Sections II and III.A is that firms cannot

    make a secret price concession to any given

    buyer. If secret concessions are possible, then

    the equilibrium described in Section III.A will

    break down: type-H agents prefer to buy the

    conspicuous luxury good at a lower price, as

    long as they still get credit for purchasing it at

    the higher priee.'*^

    There are many possible solutions to this

    problem. Each luxury brand producer clearly

    has an incentive to comm it him self to a policy

    of making no secret concessions. Indeed,

    the argument in the preceding paragraph im-

    plies that the signaling value of conspicuous

    consumption is present only if the producer

    has made a credible commitment of this sort.

    One approach is to rely on intermediaries. By

    selling products to intermediaries (for example,

    car dealerships) at publicly observable prices

    that exceed marginal cost, the manufacturer

    places a lower bound on secret price conces-

    sions (equilibrium prices cannot be less than

      dealer invoice'). Another possibility is that

    manufacturers will rely on reputations. Once a

    luxury brand acquires a reputation for being

    sold at heavy discounts, the sn ob va lu e as-

    sociated with its purchase may be eroded.

    In practice, manufacturers of luxury goods

    do indeed adopt these kinds of mechanisms in

    order to maintain high prices. According to

    The Economist

      (1993 p . 98) :

      This motivates manufacturers to thwart the distribu-

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    Recently a fight broke out between big

    pertume houses and a clutch of British

    retailers who , having bought such brands

    as Chanel No. 5 on the grey ma rket ,

    were then reselling them for 60% below

    the recommended price. For some com-

    panies, like Vuitton, the solution is to re-

    strict sales outside their own boutiques.

    Those that use specialist distributors

    must monitor them closely. Cartier has

    one person in Paris whose sole respon-

    sibility is to keep tabs on its watches

    once they leave the workshop.

    V. Policy Implications and Conclusions

    The existence of Vebien effects in the con-

    text of our model has some provocative im-

    plications for public poliey. Since supranormal

    profits result from the characteristics of de-

    mand rather than from the nature of strategic

    interaction among firms, evidence of high

    profitability does not necessarily support in-

    ferences of either collusion or oligopolistic

    forbearance.

    The implications for tax policy are equally

    controversial. Within our model, the equilib-

    rium prices of luxury brands are demand

    driven, rather than supply driven—that is, lux-

    ury brands are sold at the co nsu m er's preferred

    price, w hich is tax inclus ive, and does not vary

    with the tax rate. Thus, as long as the tax per

    unit does not exceed the difference between

    the consumer's preferred price and marginal

    cost, and as long as the tax does not fall on

    budget brands, an excise tax on conspicuous

    goods amounts to a nondistortionary tax on

    pure profits.

    Consider, for example, tax-price relations of

    the form

      rip)

      = max {0,

     t(p - k)].

      whe re the

    parameters / and   k satisfy 0 < / < I and  k  ^

    c(q )

      (so that, in equilibrium , the tax falls

    only on luxury brands).* It is easy to verify

    that equilibrium quantities and prices are in-

    variant with respect to /, and that the tax is

    therefore equivalent to a nondistortionary levy

    on pure profits. This family of tax schedules is

    of particular interest, since it includes the fed-

    ^ The analysis proceeds similarly as long as   rU iq }}  =

    eral luxury taxes created by the Omnibus

    Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990 (OBRA).

    In particular, this Act imposed a 10 percent

    excise tax (r = 0.1 ) on the portion of the retail

    price of certain items that exceeds a product-

    specific threshold

      (k).

      The thresholds were

    $30,000 for automobiles, $100,000 for boats

    and yachts, $250,000 for aircraft, and $10,000

    for jewelry and furs.^

    It is worth emphasizing that traditional

    modes of analysis would produce highly mis-

    leading conclusions within the current context.

    Suppose that the inconspicuous good, ~, is

    nontaxable. Assuming that the planner's ob-

    jective is efficiency, rather than distribution,

    the preceding analysis implies that only luxury

    brands should be taxed (as long as revenue

    requirements are not too high). In contrast,

    since the demand for luxury brands in our

    model is highly price elastic, the application

    of traditional Ramsey-style optimal tax for-

    mulas would suggest that the government

    should raise a significant fraction of its reve-

    nue by taxing budget brands. ^^

    We mentioned in Section IV.B that, in a

    model with many conspicuous goods, the dis-

    tribution of demand across conspicuous goods

    is indeterminant. This implies thai the re-

    sponse to an increase in the luxury tax rate on

    some specific conspicuous good is also inde-

    terminant. It is possible, for example, that

    prices could simply adjust so Ihat profits shift

    to a more lightly taxed industry (with side-

    payments among firms, one might even expect

    this to occur). Thus, there may be advantages

    to adopting a reasonably broad-based luxury

    tax, such as the one originally envisioned in

    OBRA.

    Our results on luxury taxation stand in sharp

    contrast to those of Ireland ( 1992) and Ng

    ( 1 9 8 7 ) .  Ireland considers a signaling model

    of conspicuous consumption that satisfies the

    single-crossing property (and which, there-

    fore,

      does not give rise to Veblen effects). In

    his model, a tax on luxury goods   does  dis-

    • The 1994 threshold for automobiles was $32,000,

    wbiie the luxury tax on all other goods has been repealed

    effective January 1993,

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    tort behavior. However, since equilibrium

    involves excessive consumption of the con-

    spicuous good, the tax may actually be wel-

    fare improving. Ng studies optimal taxation of

    a special class of commodities, which he labels

      diamo nd good s, for which consumers

    pref-

    erences are defined over the amount of money

    spent on acquisition, rather than over amounts

    consumed. Since a change in the price of a di-

    amond good does not alter the utility received

    by consumers, the optimal rate of taxation for

    a diamond good is infinite. The contrast be-

    tween our results and those of Ireland and Ng

    therefore reveals the .sensitivity of policy im-

    plications to the particular formulation of the

    demand for luxury goods.

    APPENDIX

    PROOF OF THEOREM 1:

    To prove the first part of this iheorem, we

    begin by applying Lemma I, which tells us

    that all type-L households purchase   .xfip)

    quality-weighted units at  p.  Next, we claim

    that type-H households will also purchase all

    conspicuous units at the quality-weighted

    price  p.  We establish this claim by supposing

    that, on the contrary,  s^/Xif > p,  and inducing

    a contradiction. The argument leading to the

    contradiction consists of four steps.

    Step I:  The incentive com patibility con-

    straint binds, that is,

    ( A l ) W L(-rH.VH,pH)=   WUP)-

    Suppose on the contrary that this is not the

    case. Then the right-hand side of ( A l ) must

    exceed the left-hand side (otherwise incentive

    compatibility would be violated). Consider

    (.XH,  S H), with  s u   slightly less than  .^H,  and

    X H  =   x^^,

      such that

      .V|'|/-VH  ^

      £, and such that

    incentive compatibility still holds with strict

    inequality. Then type-L households prefer

    their equilibrium

      payoff,

      W  * ( £ ) , to

     (.v, ,,  5 H,

    p)  for all p  G [pi_,  p,il- In contrast, there are

    some values of p e [pu, pul (specifically, p n)

    for which type-H households prefer

      (JCH,

      ^ H ,

    p) to their equilibrium outcome, (.Vn,  .VH- PH)-

    Thus,

      by the logic of the intuitive criterion,

    social contacts must infer  R   =  R^  upon ob-

    s ,i,

      Pn) in particular to their equilibrium out-

    come.

      (AH, .VM.

     PH)-  Thus, the candidate equi-

    librium fails the intuitive criterion. This

    establishes that (AI ) must hold.

    Now we define  x  as the maximum value of

    X G

      [J :II,

      sip]  satisfying

    ( A 2 )

      W, x,px,pn)=

      W^Ap).

    Step 2:

      V

     is well defined, x >

     ,Vn,

      and ^.v <

    s.  First, note that  T ^ Si, >   p.x^i, so  x,i < s lp,

    implying that the feasible set is nonempty. N ext,

    note that

    (A3) H/,,(.V,

    and

    ( A 4 )

    (where the last inequality follows from (8)).

    ( A 3 ) ,

      (A4), continuity, and the intermediate

    value theorem give us existence   oix. x  =/=  x^

    (and therefore

      .x >

      .VH)  follows from (A 3 ).

    Finally, since  x < s^/p (.x ^ Jlp^ follows from

    (M)), px   WH (;CH, AH, PH )-

    This follows from the single-crossing prop-

    erty, since   .x > x^  and IV, ( i ,  p^x,  pn) =

    W*{p^)  =   WL(XII,

      .9,),

     P H )

      (which in turn im-

    plies /).v >  .TH, since  x > Xu).

    Step 4:  The re ex ists .r,',, .vf, with  si, =

    px u  such that IV,

     (.v, ,. .VH,

     pa) < W tip)  an d

    P

    let

      x n

      = i 4- e and

      s\\ = pxi,.

      For e > 0

    sufficiently small, {x{,. s u)  necessarily satisfies

    the required properties (recall that   .x  is defined

    as the   largest  value of x  satisfying (A2)).

    Now we assert that the candidate equihbrium

    fails the intuitive criterion. This follows from

    step 4 through an argument completely antilo-

    gous to thai given in step  1  above. Thus, we have

    the desired contradiction, and we conclude that

    type-H households must purchase all conspicu-

    ous units at the quality-weighted price   p.

    The second part of the theorem is an im-

    mediate corollary of the first part. The free

    entry assumption, combined with the usual

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    THE   AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW

    JUNE   1996

    and sell their products at price   c{q ) =

    /i(f7^)c^ Clearly, only conspicuous goods

    of quality   q will be available at quality-

    weighted price c ' . so only these will be

    produced.

    PROOF OF THEOREM 2:

    We begin by establishing that, in equilib-

    rium, some firms offer, and type-L households

    purchase, a conspicuous product of quality   q^

    at price  C ( ^ L ) -  Suppose on the contrary that

    {?L.

      P\^ ^ iqi.> c{q\_)).

      Since firms cannot

    lose money in equilibrium, either  C/L =̂  q\_  and

    Pl.  ^  c{qi),  or ^L =  qL  a n d  P >   c{qi_).  In

    either case.

    ( A 5 )

    choose this alternative regardless of socia

    contacts' inferences, while type-H households

    would choose this alternative for some infer-

    ences, for example, p,,). Consequently, if this

    alternative is offered, type-H households wil

    select it. Knowing this, it is in the interest of

    an entrant to offer (f/n,  pit),  which under

    mines the equilibrium.

    Now define  q as the m aximum value of ^ G

    [qn,if]  satisfying

    ( A 7 )

    Step 2 : lj Is we ll-defined, and q > q> q\\

    Since, by supp osition,pn >

    ( A 8 )

     

    for some small ^. Suppose then that an entrant

    offered ^,. at price  c\qy) +   e. For any house-

    hold electing the ent ran t's offering, social con-

    tacts must respond with

      p ^

      p]_.  Therefore, by

    ( A 5 ) ,

      all type-L households will purchase the

    conspicuous good from the entrant. This im-

    plies that the entrant w ould eam a profit, which

    contradicts the supposition that an equilibrium

    prevails.

    Now we establish thatpH =   c{qn).  Suppose

    on the contrary that /?,, >   c{qn)  (this is the

    only other pos.sibility, since, in equilibrium,

    price cannot be less than marginal cost). We

    induce a contradiction through four steps (the

    argument here is analogous, but not identical,

    to that used in the Proof of Theorem 1).

    Step I:  The incentive compatibility con-

    straint binds, that is

    ( A 6 )

    Suppose on the contrary that this is not the

    case. Then the right-hand side of (A6) must

    exceed the left-hand side. Consider  ( qw)  follows from

    ( A 8 ) .  q  * ^(and therefore  q < q)  f