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National research center «Institute of Agrarian Economy» Human Transparency Innovations Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv, Ukraine) Aleksandr Matiushok (Khmelnytskyi, Ukraine) November 23-25, 2016 Jachranka, Poland

Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

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Page 1: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

National research center «Institute of Agrarian Economy»Human Transparency Innovations

Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine)Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv, Ukraine)Aleksandr Matiushok (Khmelnytskyi, Ukraine)

November 23-25, 2016Jachranka, Poland

Page 2: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Visions rural development Ukraine

2016

1990

Idea Y. Verhahena - Laureat DataFest 2015

Page 3: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

1990

2016

W

I

S

N

+Z –

D

Visions rural development Ukraine

Page 4: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Indicators 1990 2015 Threats

N Rural population, mln 17 14R

isks to National Safety

W Employment in agriculture, mln 5 1,4

D Level of diversification of agriculturalproduction 0,9 0,4

І Index development of rural infrastructure 0,8 0,3

Z Index health of rural population 1 0,6

S The index of gross agricultural product 1 0,9

Loss of food independenceSignificant decrease in production strategically im

portant food produc

Details of production:

Sugarbeet production, mln t 44,0 5,6

Vegetables production, mln t 4,2 0,8

Production of flax, tobacco and hop, mln t 0,13 0,002

Cows, mln heads 8,4 2,5

Sheep and goats, mln heads 8,4 1,7

Characterization of Agriculture and Food Economy

Page 5: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

The baseline forecast number of rural populationMalyn district, Zhytomyr region

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

2 – territorialcommunity!!!

Page 6: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Forecast National Academy of Agrarian Sciences of Ukraine to accommodate settlements in 2035 (Khmelnitsky region)

Page 7: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

The structure of the main factors that affect the efficiency of dairy and meat industry in Ukraine (1 January 2015)

22,3 26,8-17,6 -26,4

-500

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

Agroholdings Other agriculturalenterprises

Average daily gain g

Average milk yield, kg

Production costs for 1head (UAH).

Cost of 1 quintal of milk,(UAH).

Cost of 1 kg increase incattle UAH.

Profitability of milkproduction,%

Profitability of cattlegrowth,%

Page 8: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Geography of foreign capital in agriculture Ukraine

Ukraine

Ukraine

China

USA

USADenmark

Cyprus

Germany

Saudi ArabiaRussiaSerbia

SwitzerlandSwedenFrance

LuxembourgAustriaEstonia

0,65 mln ha

0,43 mln ha

0,39 mln ha

Page 9: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

№11.1. Production

sunflower1.2. Production

and exportof sunflower

oils

Ukraine's place in the global food market

№22.1.Exports

of nuts2.2. Export

of grain№3

3.1. Productionand exportbarley3.2. Ex%portrape

№44.1. ExportCorn4.2. ProductionHoney4.3. Productionnuts №6-8

Productioncorn and wheat.

Productionand exportsoybean

№5Exportwheat

Page 10: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley
Page 11: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley
Page 12: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley
Page 13: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley
Page 14: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

24

The economic safety of rural areas

32

Page 15: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley
Page 16: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Дякую за увагу !

Page 17: Vasyl Zalizko (Kyiv, Ukraine) Andriy Gordiychuk (Kyiv ...Ukraine's place in the global food market №2 2.1.Exports of nuts 2.2. Export of grain №3 3.1. Production and export barley

Years

Index of agricultural production

volume

Labour productivity at agricultural enterprises per one employee, in constant

prices of 2010, ths UAH

Agricultural production profitability, %

Grains yield, dt/ha

1990 1 0,221241 0,358284 0,8032041991 0,868 0,188039 0,472666 0,6064071992 0,796 0,159689 1 0,6384441993 0,808 0,161172 0,977292 0,7345541994 0,675 0,136628 0,486123 0,6132721995 0,65 0,13284 0,114382 0,5560642001 0,589 0,151819 0,153911 0,6201372002 0,596 0,178829 0,041211 0,6247142003 0,53 0,166878 0,105971 0,4164762004 0,635 0,27827 0,068124 0,6475972005 0,635 0,318862 0,057191 0,5949662006 0,651 0,368182 0,023549 0,5514872007 0,609 0,388891 0,131203 0,4988562008 0,713 0,559256 0,1127 0,7917622009 0,7 0,576641 0,116064 0,6819222010 0,689 0,582562 0,17746 0,6155612011 0,827 0,725473 0,227082 0,8466822012 0,789 0,701105 0,172414 0,7139592013 0,894 0,883486 0,094197 0,9130432014 0,731 1 0,216989 1

Normalized values of key indicators describingthe efficiency of agricultural production in Ukraine