6
523 ' H6 : 551' 52·1'3(M) " l!).l6/19-17" Sunspot activity and associated temperature variations B. N. BHARGAVA and R. K. BANSAl, Co/aha Obse rvaw1f, Bombay (Rea>ived 20 May 1969) ABSTRACT. F rom an In vcetlgnt lon of d aily rela tive l:Iunl'lJlt' 1 1I\J1llLc:n nn d mnx illlum temperatu res a t. 2u et ntiUl1" it ie ebc wn that 1916·47 1\ slgnit lo ant rolationship exis tcd l-ctwceu the two ,"ariab!(,8 coJitiml(lusl,)" over period from ..bo ut 60 to 300 deya. In th e I nd ia n north ofaLout Ln t, 22 c X the temperature (·hanr l'Hfollo wed t ho in s unspot numbers by to 18 days . 'l1U' I'OIJpo n8(" ti lll(" was mach shorte ri n the peni nsula r Iudia.Lhc III lt-n ul bein g only 2 to" days. At some ill the intl 'r i ot ;\f.rsorc. l:"Jaln, &"('m,, 111 ul T c.-Irnpma. the rf' llll iull hl1iJ) 'nul cxooodingly s trong. and lasted eve r long intern Is. Recurren t 8una;; pu l a ct ivi ty similar to 1916- 4; ill not en cou nt ered ofteu and when present it la , ta only for a. few so lar rot a t iou e, At other t bu('s th e ac t ivi ty i8 hiJ!hly eporedlc. Howesvr, ti lt" result aof thc p resen t in v6:tt i$Cation R:Jgl;csl tha t a na.lylli" of temp erature datn uf sta tiuns where the response t illl e is only of the order of 1 to 2 deye may yield valuable informa tion lin t he sh ort -period (2 to 10 deys] tl,latiullliltips l.c- tween I UDSpot activity end Bir tem peratu res oven during periods or spo rad ic a ctivity. 1. Introduction In the course of uumerous investigations of BOlar artivity-wcat her relationships a search has been made during last several decades for an association between phase s of sun-pot activity cycles and temperatures at thc eart h' s surface, Shaw (1965) has briefly reviewed tIle earlier work. Fro m spectrums of temperature serks of England, Netherlands and New York eity over a period of 134 to 257 year. he concluded t hat th ere was no definite connection bet ween mid - latitude temperatur es and sunspots. ) !it- chell and Landsberg (1966), who differed from Shaw, showed t hat the cross-spectrum analysis of summer seaso nal mean temperature, of Kew York city and sunspot number series was sug - gestive of a relationship sufficiently ",, 'ollrnging to warrant fu rth er investigation. While the results of long period solar eycle phase-temperature relationsllip remain inconclusive, shorr-period relationships between BOlar activity and tempera- tures such as those over periods of a solar synodic ro tation, have remained relatively un explored. One reason for this is that there are lar ge lind random variations in day-to-day sunspot number and when a 27-day periodi city is presen t, it lasts for two or three solar rotations. Visser (1958) observed a significant relation between daily maximum temperatu rss at a number of stations in the United Stat"" and Europe and sunsoot activity in 19 17, a year when tbe activity under- went regular 27-day oscillations over a period 'of many solar rotaeions. According to him, eight well developed 27-day periods of sunspot activity " ere followed by significant heat waves in Centra l Europe. Sunspot activity data published by Waldmeir (1961) show a that the activity between September 19J6 and November 1947 was not only high but a major part of the variance in the sunspot number series was contributed by fro- qu encies near 1/27 cycles per day. In the present investigation maximum nir temperatures (T DIU ) at select ed Indian st at ions and sunspot numbers (881\) during thi s period, have been examin ed for a possible association by the traditional re- gression method as well as by cross spectral method. 2. Data and analysIs In selecting 20 stnt ions, including a few coastal stations, whoso daily maximum temperatun s \VNO analysed, an attemp t was made to sample broadly the entire sub-continent. 'l'he series of d aily max imum tempera ture W CI C smoothed and t. he seasonal variation or 'tree d' W ag re- moved hy digital filters. Since tn e prir cipnl wavelength of interest was 27 days, a data window with a 25-day width, from 10 to 35 days, "as used for the filt er. Following Behanon and Ness (1966) two sy mmetrical zero ph ase shift digital filters, each of 101 weights, "ere designed. The t ransfer function (ratio of the out put spec- t rum '0 the input spectrum) of each of the t wo filters is shown in Fig. 1. The overall response of th e filters was within 1 per cent of un ity for wavelengths between 35 lind 10 days, greater than 0·9 between 46 and 9·7 days and greater th an 0 ·8 bet ween 1i3 and 9 days. The output series Y, WHe computed from t he inpu t series X, by the linear transformation, n Y, = 2: Wi X, + k 1::= where Wi isthe k th weight of the function and n is 60.

variations - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/521217.pdftween IUDSpot activity end Bir temperatures oven during periods or spo radic ~nn!lllOt activity. 1. Introduction In the course

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Page 1: variations - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/521217.pdftween IUDSpot activity end Bir temperatures oven during periods or spo radic ~nn!lllOt activity. 1. Introduction In the course

•523 ' H6 : 551 ' 52·1'3(M) " l!).l6/19-17"

Sunspot activity and associated temperaturevariations

B. N. BHARGAVA and R. K. BANSAl,

Co/aha Observaw1f, Bombay

(Rea>ived 20 May 1969)

A BSTRACT. F rom an In vcetlgntlon of daily rela tive l:Iunl'lJlt'1 1I\J1llLc:n nn d mnx illlum temperatu res a t. 2u et ntiUl1"it ie ebc wn that darjn~ 1916·47 1\ slgnit loant rola t ionship existcd l-ctwceu t he two ,"ariab!(,8 coJitiml(lusl,)" over periodfrom ..bout 60 to 300deya. In th e I nd ian ~j()11 north ofaLout Ln t , 22cX the tempera tu re (·hanr l'Hfollowed t ho ~'haflj..'t'llin sunspot numbers by in terval.:!on ~ to 18 days . 'l1U' I'OIJpon8(" t i lll(" was m ach shor te ri n the peni nsula r Iudia.Lhc III lt-nulbein g only 2 to" days . At some atati(ln~ ill the intl'r iot ;\f.rsorc. l :" J a ln,&"('m,, 111ul Tc.-Ir np m a . the rf' lll l iull hl1iJ) 'n ulcxooodingly s trong. and lasted eve r long internIs. Recurren t 8una;;pu l act ivi ty si mila r to 1916-4; illnot encou nt ered ofteuand when present it la , ta only for a. few so lar rot a t ioue, At other tbu('s th e ac t ivi ty i8 hiJ!hly eporedlc. H owesvr, ti lt"resultaof thc p resen t inv6:tt i$Cation R:Jgl;csl that a na.lylli" of temperat ure datn uf sta t iuns where the response t illleis on ly of the order of 1 to 2 dey e may y ield val uable informa tion lin t he short -per iod (2 to 10 deys] tl,la t iullliltips l.c­tween IUDSpot activity end Bir tem peratures oven d uring periods or spo rad ic ~nn!lllOt activity.

1. Introduction

In th e course of uumerous investigations ofBOlar ar t ivity-wcather relationships a search hasbeen made during last several decades for anassociation between phases of sun-pot activitycycles and temperatures at thc earth's surface,Shaw (1965) has briefly reviewed tIle earlierwork. From spect rums of temperature serksof England, Netherlands and New York eityover a period of 134 to 257 year. he concludedthat there was no definite connection betweenmid -latitude temperatures and sunspots. ) !it­chell and Landsberg (1966), who differed fromShaw, showed that the cross-spectrum analysisof summer seasonal mean temperature, of KewYork city and sunspot nu mber series was sug ­gestive of a relat ionship sufficiently ",,'ollrngingto warran t further investigation. While theresults of long period solar eycle phase-temperaturerelationsllip remain inconclusive, shorr-periodrelationships between BOlar activity and tempera­t ures such as those over periods of a solar synodicrotation, have remained relatively un explored.One reason for this is that there are large lindrandom vari at ions in day-to-day sunspot numberand when a 27-day periodicity is presen t, itlasts for two or three solar rotations. Visser(1958) observed a significant relation between dailymaximum temperatu rss at a number of st ationsin the Uni ted Stat"" and Europe and sunsootactivity in 1917, a year when tbe activity under­went regular 27-day oscillations over a period 'ofmany solar rotaeions. According to him,eight welldeveloped 27-day periods of sunspot activi ty " erefollowed by significant heat waves in Centra lEurope. Sunspot activity data published byWaldmeir (1961) showa that the activity between

September 19J6 and November 1947 was notonly high but a major par t of the variance in thesunspot number series was contributed by fro­qu encies near 1/27 cycles per day. In the presentinvestigation maximum nir temperatu res (T DIU )

at select ed Indian st at ions and sunspot numbers(881\) during this period, have been examin edfor a possible association by the traditional re­gression method as wellas by cross spect ral method.2. Data and analysIs

In selecting 20 stnt ions, including a few coastalstations, whoso daily maximum temperatun s\VNO analysed, an attempt was made to samplebroadly the entire sub-cont inent . 'l'he seriesof daily maximum temperature WCIC smoothedand t.he seasonal variation or ' treed' W ag re­moved hy digital filters. Since tn e prir cipnlwavelength of interest was 27 days, a datawindow with a 25-day width, from 10 to 35 days,"as used for the filter. Following Behanon andNess (1966) two symmet rical zero ph ase shiftdigital filters, each of 101 weights, "ere designed .The t ransfer function (ratio of the output spec­t rum '0 the input spectrum) of each of the t wofilters is shown in Fig. 1. The overall responseof th e filters was within 1 per cent of un ity forwav elengths between 35 lind 10 days, greaterthan 0·9 between 46 and 9 ·7 days and greaterth an 0 ·8 between 1i3 and 9 days. The outputseries Y, WHe computed from the inpu t seriesX, by the linear transformation,

n

Y, = 2: Wi X, + k1::= -1~

where Wi is the kth weight of the filterin~ functionand n is 60.

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