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ValueGuide August 2020 Intelligent Investing Stock Idea Stock Updates Viewpoints Sector Updates Regular Features Report Card Earnings Guide Products & Services PMS MF Picks Advisory Trader’s Edge Technical View Currencies F&O Insights For Private Circulation only www.sharekhan.com

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  • ValueGuideAugust 2020

    Intelligent Investing

    Stock IdeaStock Updates

    ViewpointsSector Updates

    Regular Features

    Report CardEarnings Guide

    Products & Services

    PMSMF PicksAdvisory

    Trader’s Edge

    Technical ViewCurrencies

    F&O Insights

    For Private Circulation only www.sharekhan.com

  • Whether you’re a trader, an investor or a complete newbie who has recently opened an account with Sharekhan, there’s a module designed especially for you.

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    Registered Oce: Sharekhan Limited, 10th Floor, Beta Building, Lodha iThink Techno Campus, O. JVLR, Opp. Kanjurmarg Railway Station, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai – 400042, Maharashtra. Tel: 022 - 61150000. Sharekhan Ltd.: SEBI Regn. Nos.: BSE / NSE / MSEI (CASH / F&O / CD) / MCX - Commodity: INZ000171337; DP: NSDL/CD-SL-IN-DP-365-2018; PMS: INP000005786; Mutual Fund: ARN 20669; Research Analyst: INH000006183; Compliance O¤cer: Mr. Joby John Meledan; Tel: 022-61150000; email id: [email protected]; For any queries or grievances kindly email [email protected] or contact: [email protected]: Client should read the Risk Disclosure Document issued by SEBI & relevant exchanges and the T&C on www.sharekhan.com; Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing.

  • CONTENTS

    3August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide3June 2017 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    disclaimer

    Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by Sharekhan Ltd. (SHAREKHAN) and is intended for use only by the person or entity to which it is addressed to. This Document may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation and any review, retransmission, or any other use is strictly prohibited. This Document is subject to changes without prior notice. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Though disseminated to all customers who are due to receive the same, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. SHAREKHAN will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.

    The information contained herein is obtained from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable and SHAREKHAN has not independently verified the accuracy and completeness of the said data and hence it should not be relied upon as such. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, SHAREKHAN, its subsidiaries and associated compa-nies, their directors and employees (“SHAREKHAN and affiliates”) are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent SHAREKHAN and affiliates from doing so. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Recipients of this report should also be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views. Affiliates of Sharekhan may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusions from the information presented in this report.

    This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject SHAREKHAN and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.

    The analyst certifies that the analyst has not dealt or traded directly or indirectly in securities of the company and that all of the views expressed in this document accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities and do not necessarily reflect those of SHAREKHAN. The analyst further certifies that neither he or its associates or his relatives has any direct or indirect financial interest nor have actual or beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the securities of the company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report nor have any material conflict of interest nor has served as officer, director or employee or engaged in market making activity of the company. Further, the analyst has also not been a part of the team which has managed or co-managed the public offerings of the company and no part of the analyst’s compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this document. Sharekhan Limited or its associates or analysts have not received any compensation for investment banking, merchant banking, brokerage services or any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or from third party in the past twelve months in connection with the research report.

    Either SHAREKHAN or its affiliates or its directors or employees / representatives / clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or engage in transactions of purchase or sell of securities, from time to time or may be materially interested in any of the securities or related securities referred to in this report and they may have used the information set forth herein before publication. SHAREKHAN may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment banking, or other services for, any company mentioned herein. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall SHAREKHAN, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the information have any liability for any damages of any kind.

    Compliance Officer: Mr. Joby John Meledan; Tel: 022-61150000; email id: [email protected];

    For any queries or grievances kindly email [email protected] or contact: [email protected]

    Registered Office: Sharekhan Limited, 10th Floor, Beta Building, Lodha iThink Techno Campus, Off. JVLR, Opp. Kanjurmarg Railway Station, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai – 400042, Maharashtra. Tel: 022 - 61150000. Sharekhan Ltd.: SEBI Regn. Nos.: BSE / NSE / MSEI (CASH / F&O / CD) / MCX - Commodity: INZ000171337; DP: NSDL/CDSL-IN-DP-365-2018; PMS: INP000005786; Mutual Fund: ARN 20669; Research Analyst: INH000006183; For any complaints email at [email protected]. Disclaimer: Client should read the Risk Disclosure Document issued by SEBI & relevant exchanges and the T&C on www.sharekhan.com; Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing.

    Markets have surprised even the most optimistic of investors with the unrelenting rally for more than four months now. Given the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, demand destruction and the pressure on businesses

    From the Editor’s Desk

    PMS DESK

    ProPrime - Prime Picks 43

    MUTUAL FUND DESK 45

    06

    EQUITY

    FUNDAMENTALS

    TECHNICALS DERIVATIVES

    Nifty 39 View 40

    ADVISORY DESK DERIVATIVES

    MID Trades 44 Derivatives Ideas 44

    CURRENCY

    FUNDAMENTALS

    USD-INR 41 GBP-INR 41

    EUR-INR 41 JPY-INR 41

    TECHNICALS

    USD-INR 42 GBP-INR 42

    EUR-INR 42 JPY-INR 42

    REGULAR FEATURES

    3R Stock Idea 07 Report Card 04

    Stock Update 08 Earnings Guide 49

    Sector Update 31

    globally, the surge in the equity market is intriguing to say the least. ...

  • EQUITY FUNDAMENTALSREPORT CARD

    4August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    STOCK IDEAS STANDING (AS ON AUGUST 03, 2020)

    COMPANYCURRENT

    RECOPRICE AS ON

    03-AUG-2020PRICE

    TARGET 52 WEEK ABSOLUTE PERFORMANCE RELATIVE TO SENSEX

    HIGH LOW 1M 3M 6M 12M 1M 3M 6M 12M

    Automobiles

    Apollo Tyres Buy 108 135 197 74 -5.4 21.7 -33.0 -26.5 -7.8 4.5 -26.1 -27.0

    Ashok Leyland Hold 49 60 88 34 0.3 -0.1 -37.6 -23.0 -2.2 -14.2 -31.1 -23.5

    Bajaj Auto Buy 2917 3500 3315 1793 -0.6 19.5 -7.8 11.3 -3.1 2.6 1.8 10.6

    Hero MotoCorp Buy 2631 3200 3021 1475 -3.9 31.4 6.8 9.6 -6.3 12.8 18.0 8.9

    M&M Buy 597 750 641 246 12.7 67.4 3.6 9.4 9.9 43.7 14.4 8.7

    Maruti Suzuki Buy 6166 6925 7755 4002 3.9 26.1 -14.4 8.8 1.3 8.2 -5.4 8.1

    TVS Motor Buy 396 470 503 240 0.2 27.4 -12.8 5.4 -2.3 9.4 -3.8 4.7

    BSE Auto Index 16399 19057 10141 3.7 31.9 -9.9 6.2 1.1 13.3 -0.5 5.5

    Banks & Finance

    Axis Bank Buy 417 585 766 285 -2.6 3.6 -41.6 -37.0 -5.0 -11.0 -35.5 -37.5

    Bajaj Finance Buy 3173 3800 4923 1783 8.2 52.5 -29.8 0.4 5.5 31.0 -22.4 -0.3

    Bajaj Finserv Buy 6073 7500 10297 3986 -1.3 27.4 -36.4 -13.1 -3.7 9.4 -29.8 -13.7

    Bank of Baroda Hold 47 56 108 36 -7.7 2.1 -46.2 -54.6 -10.0 -12.4 -40.6 -54.9

    Bank of India Hold 48 53 80 30 -5.2 42.4 -26.6 -30.3 -7.6 22.2 -19.0 -30.8

    Federal Bank Buy 52 60 99 36 -1.0 19.1 -41.6 -40.0 -3.5 2.2 -35.5 -40.4

    HDFC Buy 1740 2113 2500 1473 -7.7 0.9 -25.8 -19.2 -10.0 -13.3 -18.1 -19.7

    HDFC Bank Buy 1002 1400 1304 739 -6.7 8.5 -18.5 -54.0 -9.0 -6.8 -10.0 -54.3

    ICICI Bank Buy 343 485 552 269 -4.9 1.5 -35.3 -14.7 -7.2 -12.8 -28.5 -15.3

    LIC Housing Finance Hold 258 285 509 186 -6.1 -0.6 -34.4 -48.0 -8.4 -14.6 -27.6 -48.4

    Max Financial Buy 543 570 611 280 -2.3 17.3 12.4 34.3 -4.7 0.7 24.1 33.5

    Punjab National Bank Hold 33 45 70 26 -8.5 8.8 -42.0 -50.6 -10.8 -6.6 -36.0 -50.9

    SBI Buy 192 280 351 150 4.0 7.4 -37.3 -36.0 1.4 -7.8 -30.7 -36.4

    BSE Bank Index 23927 37193 18430 -3.5 5.5 -31.9 -23.4 -5.9 -9.4 -24.8 -23.9

    Consumer goods

    Asian Paints Buy 1705 1987 1916 1432 0.5 1.7 -9.8 11.8 -2.0 -12.7 -0.4 11.1

    Britannia Buy 3776 4200 4015 2101 6.7 22.1 16.8 46.8 4.0 4.8 29.0 45.8

    Emami Buy 241 320 357 141 4.9 27.8 -19.8 -22.6 2.3 9.7 -11.5 -23.1

    Godrej Consumer Products Buy 698 810 772 425 -2.7 32.8 6.7 13.9 -5.1 14.0 17.8 13.2

    Hindustan Unilever Buy 2205 2550 2614 1756 1.5 5.9 2.3 26.6 -1.0 -9.1 13.0 25.8

    ITC Buy 193 250 266 135 -7.1 10.7 -10.7 -25.8 -9.4 -4.9 -1.4 -26.2

    Jyothy Laboratories Buy 125 170 185 86 2.4 14.9 -18.3 -19.5 -0.2 -1.4 -9.8 -20.1

    Marico Buy 363 420 404 234 1.2 27.6 18.1 -2.9 -1.3 9.5 30.4 -3.5

    Tata Consumer Products Buy 434 522 530 214 9.5 29.6 14.3 66.4 6.8 11.3 26.2 65.3

    Zydus Wellness Buy 1726 1780 1859 1070 30.0 32.2 14.8 13.5 26.7 13.5 26.8 12.7

    BSE FMCG Index 11418 12378 8491 -0.1 10.3 -1.4 4.7 -2.6 -5.3 8.9 4.0

    IT / IT services

    HCL Technologies Buy 706 750 718 376 21.9 37.3 20.4 -30.2 18.9 17.9 32.9 -30.6

    Infosys Buy 957 ** 986 511 25.5 42.1 21.5 23.3 22.4 22.0 34.2 22.5

    L&T Technology services Buy 1534 1600 1780 995 18.5 28.9 -9.6 2.6 15.6 10.7 -0.2 2.0

    Persistent Systems Buy 978 1000 1040 420 52.6 111.1 36.6 90.0 48.8 81.3 50.9 88.7

    Tata Consultancy Services Hold 2251 ** 2357 1504 2.4 16.7 6.8 0.1 -0.2 0.2 17.9 -0.5

    Wipro Hold 281 ** 291 160 25.2 47.9 17.1 7.3 22.1 27.0 29.3 6.6

    BSE IT Index 18133 18551 10937 17.1 34.0 12.9 15.9 14.2 15.0 24.7 15.2

    Capital goods / Power

    CESC Buy 549 825 855 366 -12.8 -12.9 -23.1 -26.1 -15.0 -25.2 -15.1 -26.6

    Finolex Cable Hold 269 325 433 165 -8.3 10.6 -28.7 -27.5 -10.6 -5.0 -21.2 -27.9

    Greaves Cotton Hold 79 90 154 66 -8.5 4.0 -40.3 -32.6 -10.8 -10.7 -34.1 -33.0

    Kalpataru Power Transmission Buy 229 300 515 170 -2.4 4.5 -47.6 -49.5 -4.8 -10.3 -42.2 -49.8

    KEC International Buy 268 370 358 155 -3.2 33.6 -19.7 -10.1 -5.6 14.7 -11.4 -10.7

    Thermax Hold 742 815 1180 644 -3.1 5.4 -28.1 -28.1 -5.5 -9.5 -20.6 -28.5

    Triveni Turbine Hold 64 72 115 46 -12.4 -6.2 -33.4 -37.3 -14.6 -19.5 -26.5 -37.7

    V-Guard Industries Buy 162 200 260 149 -4.6 -5.1 -24.9 -26.7 -7.0 -18.5 -17.1 -27.2

    New Idea

    New Idea

    New Idea

  • EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS REPORT CARD

    5August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    STOCK IDEAS STANDING (AS ON AUGUST 03, 2020)

    COMPANYCURRENT

    RECOPRICE AS ON

    03-AUG-2020PRICE

    TARGET 52 WEEK ABSOLUTE PERFORMANCE RELATIVE TO SENSEX

    HIGH LOW 1M 3M 6M 12M 1M 3M 6M 12M

    BSE Power Index 1528 2057 1275 -4.9 5.6 -19.7 -19.1 -7.3 -9.4 -11.3 -19.6

    BSE Capital Goods Index 12751 19428 9499 -2.7 10.1 -24.4 -24.9 -5.2 -5.5 -16.5 -25.4

    Infrastructure / Real estate

    Larsen & Toubro Buy 916 1250 1554 661 -3.0 7.6 -29.1 -31.9 -5.4 -7.6 -21.7 -32.4

    Sadbhav Engineering Buy 43 75 148 23 -5.0 -12.1 -62.7 -64.5 -7.4 -24.5 -58.8 -64.7

    CNX Infra Index 3113 3392 2073 0.2 16.7 -4.3 3.1 -2.3 0.2 5.7 2.4

    BSE Real estate Index 1557 2565 1259 -2.3 15.3 -35.8 -21.7 -4.8 -1.0 -29.1 -22.2

    Oil & gas

    Mahanagar Gas Buy 972 1380 1247 666 -9.2 3.3 -19.0 20.6 -11.5 -11.3 -10.5 19.8

    Oil India Ltd Buy 95 115 175 66 -2.5 0.4 -26.4 -37.3 -4.9 -13.8 -18.8 -37.7

    Petronet LNG Buy 250 300 302 171 -8.4 8.2 -7.4 5.6 -10.7 -7.1 2.2 4.9

    Reliance Ind Buy 2008 2400 2199 868 12.4 39.9 40.9 75.7 9.6 20.1 55.5 74.6

    BSE Oil and gas Index 12980 15772 8724 -0.3 12.0 -7.6 1.3 -2.7 -3.9 2.0 0.7

    Pharmaceuticals

    Aurobindo Pharma Hold 868 ** 968 281 11.5 32.9 75.3 58.3 8.7 14.1 93.5 57.2

    Cadila Healthcare Hold 395 445 412 206 7.9 19.6 49.6 76.7 5.2 2.7 65.2 75.5

    Cipla Buy 711 875 814 357 11.2 16.1 58.4 36.9 8.5 -0.3 74.9 36.0

    Divi's Labs Buy 2632 3400 3228 1467 20.2 15.1 34.2 66.9 17.2 -1.2 48.2 65.8

    IPCA Lab Buy 1888 2365 2175 844 13.5 17.0 60.2 98.9 10.7 0.5 76.9 97.6

    Lupin Hold 927 965 978 505 3.1 10.2 28.5 22.5 0.5 -5.4 41.9 21.7

    Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Hold 520 575 551 315 9.0 11.8 22.1 24.7 6.3 -4.0 34.9 23.9

    Torrent Pharma Hold 2731 2780 3029 1555 14.0 15.0 41.6 63.6 11.2 -1.3 56.4 62.5

    BSE Health Care Index 18388 19720 10948 12.5 19.7 32.4 47.8 9.7 2.7 46.2 46.8

    Building materials

    Grasim Hold 634 704 837 380 0.8 32.0 -20.2 -15.4 -1.7 13.4 -11.9 -16.0

    JK Lakshmi Cement Buy 294 372 389 180 6.6 51.6 -17.7 -12.4 3.9 30.2 -9.1 -13.0

    Pidilite Industries Buy 1345 1645 1710 1186 -3.2 -5.4 -13.6 5.7 -5.6 -18.8 -4.6 5.0

    Shree Cement Hold 21761 23453 25341 15500 -4.9 16.8 -11.2 8.9 -7.3 0.3 -1.9 8.2

    The Ramco Cements Buy 676 740 883 457 5.4 31.5 -15.9 -5.0 2.8 12.9 -7.1 -5.6

    UltraTech Cement Buy 4044 5000 4753 2913 4.1 20.8 -9.6 -4.7 1.5 3.7 -0.2 -5.4

    Discretionary consumption

    Arvind@ Buy 28 43 59 19 -14.9 18.8 -35.6 -50.2 -17.0 2.0 -28.9 -50.5

    Century Plyboards (India) Buy 129 145 182 95 2.9 10.6 -24.0 12.2 0.3 -5.0 -16.1 11.5

    Info Edge (India) Hold 3155 ** 3575 1580 14.0 26.2 6.4 46.7 11.2 8.3 17.5 45.7

    Inox Leisure Hold 231 270 511 158 -1.2 11.5 -44.1 -20.0 -3.6 -4.3 -38.2 -20.5

    Relaxo Footwear # Buy 594 825 830 410 -9.4 -2.1 -19.6 35.8 -11.6 -16.0 -11.2 34.9

    Titan Company Limited Buy 1076 1200 1390 720 7.3 20.8 -15.6 3.8 4.6 3.7 -6.8 3.1

    Wonderla Holidays Hold 137 162 300 105 3.8 7.8 -43.6 -45.0 1.2 -7.4 -37.7 -45.3

    Diversified / Miscellaneous

    Bajaj Holdings Buy 2600 3345 3949 1472 2.0 37.3 -30.6 -25.0 -0.6 17.9 -23.4 -25.5

    Bharat Electronics Buy 97 110 122 56 -0.5 43.4 14.1 4.7 -2.9 23.1 26.0 4.0

    Bharti Airtel Buy 547 710 612 326 -5.8 2.8 5.4 53.3 -8.2 -11.7 16.4 52.3

    Coromandel International Buy 780 1000 830 337 4.1 37.1 26.1 115.3 1.5 17.7 39.2 113.9

    Gateway Distriparks Buy 83 110 138 71 -4.6 -4.2 -36.0 -16.5 -6.9 -17.7 -29.4 -17.1

    PI Industries Buy 1841 2250 2154 974 16.8 21.7 19.0 70.1 13.9 4.5 31.4 69.0

    Ratnamani Metals and Tubes Buy 1132 1250 1384 716 6.6 29.3 -11.5 25.1 3.9 11.0 -2.3 24.3

    Supreme Industries Limited Buy 1294 1350 1414 791 14.0 30.9 -4.1 25.7 11.2 12.4 5.9 24.9

    UPL Buy 452 550 618 240 1.8 17.2 -13.4 -16.4 -0.7 0.6 -4.4 -17.0

    BSE500 Index 14183 16158 9758 2.8 17.7 -9.3 1.4 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.7

    CNX500 Index 8932 10175 6152 2.7 17.6 -9.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.5

    CNXMCAP Index 15469 18496 10750 2.8 19.8 -13.6 -0.1 0.3 2.9 -4.6 -0.8

    ** Price under review @ Reco price adjusted for demerger # Reco price adjusted for bonus ^ Reco price adjusted for stock split* Price targets will be reviewed after we get further clarity on operations from companies post Q4FY2020 result announcements.New Idea: We have converted the existing Viewpoint under our active coverage into a Stock Idea

    New Idea

    New Idea

    New Idea

    New Idea

  • 6August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    Gush of money, wave of hope

    Markets have surprised even the most optimistic of investors with the unrelenting rally for

    more than four months now. Given the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, demand

    destruction and the pressure on businesses globally, the surge in the equity market is intriguing

    to say the least.

    But the equity market rally globally can be explained by two simple words: money and hope.

    Yes, it is all about money. Policymakers have been quite aggressive and swift this time around.

    Globally, the central bankers have cut interest rates sharply and kept liquidity conditions

    comfortable. Governments have also played their part with aggressive fiscal stimulus packages

    to support accommodative monetary policy. Globally, policymakers have pumped in $10-12

    trillion into financial markets in the past few months. Ample low-cost liquidity conditions create

    a fertile ground to plant seeds for a new equity rally.

    Hope is another key factor behind the equity rally. Hope that the Coronavirus vaccine will be

    available sooner than later. Hope that the economic growth will stabilise and latent demand

    will drive a smart recovery in the global economy next year and also boost corporate earnings.

    The sharp dip in bond yields and falling returns in the fixed income market has also resulted in

    money moving into equity in hope of better returns.

    The consensus view will get tested over the next few months. Moreover, only time will tell

    if reality matches up to hope. This is because the quick recovery in global economy is built

    into the current equity rally. The valuations are also not cheap anymore. Thus, it could create

    volatility in the near term.

    However, there is an important lesson for investors here. It is futile to time the market and catch

    the bottom. The idea should be to accumulate gradually during deep corrections. Eventually

    markets do recover and handsomely reward investors over the next 12-18 months. So it is

    important to keep the larger picture in mind and stay calm as equities eventually bounceback

    in the long run.

    Happy Investing!

    Fro

    m t

    he

    Ed

    ito

    r’s

    De

    skFrom the Editor’s Desk

  • 7August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS STOCK IDEA

    Tata Consumer Products Ltd.

    Date: July 23, 2020 A wholesome basket

    Reco Price

    Buy PT : Rs. 484 Rs. 405

    Summary

    • Initiating coverage on Tata Consumer Products Limited (TCPL) — earlier named Tata Global Beverages — with a Buy rating and

    PT of Rs. 484.

    • TCPL will become strong play with integration of Tata Chemicals’ consumer business; share of consistently-performing India

    business in revenue to rise to 61% from 48%, margins too can rise 60-80 bps in the near term.

    • Appointment of consumer expert Mr. Sunil D’Souza as MD & CEO improves earnings visibility; consolidated revenue and

    earnings (including TCL’s consumer business) to clock CAGR of 10% and 20% over FY2020-23E.

    • Balance sheet strengthening despite commodity-linked business; FCF rose to Rs. 711 crore in FY2020 from negative Rs. 103

    crore in FY2019; debt/equity ratio at 0.1x.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/TataConsumer-July23_2020_StockIdea.pdf

    Pidilite Industries Limited

    Date: August 07, 2020 Investment ka mazboot jod

    Reco Price

    Buy PT : Rs. 1,645 Rs. 1,377

    Summary

    • We initiate coverage on Pidilite Industries Limited (Pidilite) with Buy recommendation and assigning a price target of Rs. 1,645.

    • Pidilite leads domestic market for adhesives, sealants and construction chemicals. Strong brands (including Fevicol, Dr.Fixit and

    Fevikwik) give it a competitive edge over peers.

    • FY2021 will be affected by impact of Covid-19 spread resulting into a wash-out Q1FY21. With recovery started flowing in

    (especially in tier-III and IV towns), FY2022 is expected to witness strong bounceback. Fall in VAM prices would help margins

    continue rise.

    • Launch of premium products in core categories, foray into new categories (largely consumer-centric), wider distribution reach

    and expansion into international markets remain key growth drivers in the medium to long term.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Pidilite-Aug07_2020_3R_StockIdea.pdf

  • Stock Update

    8August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 01, 2020 Finolex Cables Ltd. Stock Update HOLD 291 325

    Summary

    • We reiterate our Hold rating with a revised PT of Rs. 325, due to muted outlook in user industries.

    • Finolex posted lower revenues for Q4FY20 led by weak performance in electrical and communication business, with a decline

    in OPM y-o-y. Net profit was higher due to higher other income and lower ETR.

    • We expect slowdown in construction and postponement of projects by the Government to limit its revenue growth along with

    shortage of skilled labourers in the near term to weigh on performance.

    • Company focuses on containing costs and enhances manufacturing efficiencies. Capex plans remains intact attributable

    towards backward integration and capacity expansion helping enhancing revenues at full capacity utilization.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Finolex-Jul01_2020.pdf

    July 01, 2020 Arvind Limited Stock Update BUY 33 43

    Summary

    • Q4FY2020 revenue fell by 11.7% y-o-y due to COVID-19 disruptions; revenue grew by 6.7% for January-February and OPM

    declined by just 27 bps to 9.6% in Q4FY2020 due to lower operating leverage (despite a significant fall in gross margins).

    • Efficient working capital management helped Arvind reduce net debt by Rs. 248 crore in FY2020; we expect balance sheet to

    remain stable in FY2021 though operating performance is likely to be sluggish during H1FY2021.

    • FY2021 to be impacted by COVID-19, faster recovery in export markets, good growth in garment volumes and sustained growth

    in AMD business will help company post good recovery in FY2022; soft cotton prices to help margins sustain.

    • We maintain our Buy rating with a revised PT of Rs. 43 due to discounted valuation of 6.6x its FY2022E earnings and 4.1x its

    FY2022E EV/EBITDA (trading at a discount of ~28% since its listing last year).

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Arvind-July01_2020.pdf

    July 01, 2020 Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. Viewpoint BOOK OUT - 81 - -

    Summary

    • We drop our coverage on ONGC and recommend Book Out as valuations are pricing in a crude oil price of $50/bbl (as

    compared to current Brent price of $42/bbl) and expect profitability of gas business to be stressed amid weak domestic gas

    prices.

    • Q4FY20 net loss stood at Rs. 3,098 crore (versus PAT of Rs. 4,240 crore in Q4FY19) due to impairment charge of Rs. 4,899

    crore and a forex loss of Rs. 1,113 crore partially offset by a deferred tax benefit of Rs. 1,642 crore. Adjusted standalone PAT of

    Rs. 802 crore (down 81.1% y-o-y) was below our estimates.

    • For FY2020, ONGC’s consolidated reported PAT declined sharply by 64% to Rs10907 crore due to impairment charge of Rs.

    8,025 crore and an inventory loss of Rs. 1,003 crore for its subsidiary HPCL.

    • We expect the gas business to report losses in FY2021 given expectation of further downward revision in domestic gas prices

    to $1.9-2.1/mmBtu for H2FY2021E as against break-even gas price of $3-3.5/mmBtu.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/ONGC-Jul01_2020.pdf

    Upgrade No change Downgrade

    Note: The arrow indicates change in call and price target, if any, vis-à-vis the previous report

  • Stock Update

    9August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 08, 2020 Polyplex Corporation Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 536 15%

    Summary

    • Stay positive on Polyplex Corp (PCL) and expect a 15% upside as valuation of 4.6x FY22E EPS is at a 45% discount to historical

    average PE, given earnings growth visibility (expect 16% PAT CAGR over FY20-FY22E), robust balance sheet and healthy

    dividend yield of 4%.

    • Higher exposure to consumer staple packaging (71% of sales) and increased focus on health & hygiene packaging bodes well

    for BOPET volumes. Recent BOPET capacity expansion to drive 7% volume CAGR over FY20-FY22E.

    • Sharp fall in PTA and MEG prices (key raw material for BOPET films) and lagged impact in correction of BOPET prices bodes

    well for margin in Q1FY2021.

    • Steady rise in share of specialty films in revenue mix (33% in FY2020 versus 24% in FY2017) to structurally drive margin in

    medium to long term.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Polyplex-July08_2020.pdf

    July 09, 2020 Tata Consultancy Services Stock Update HOLD 2,204 2,250

    Summary

    • We downgrade TCS to Hold from Buy with a revised PT of Rs. 2,250.

    • Q4 was weak due to supply-side constraints and subdued demand; OPM severely lagged estimates, pulling down PAT by

    12.9%.

    • Management expects revenue to recover from Q2FY2021E as supply-side constrains evaporate and demand surges for digital

    infrastructure solution core transformation; deal wins remained strong.

    • Though FY2021 looks to be a weak year, we assume strong revenue growth in FY2022E given pent-up demand and market

    share gains.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/TCS-July09_2020.pdf

    July 10, 2020 Sadbhav Engineering Stock Update BUY 49 75

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Sadbhav Engineering Limited (SEL) with a revised PT of Rs. 75, factoring lower valuation of its

    listed subsidiary Sadbhav Infrastructure Projects Limited (SIPL).

    • SEL reported weak execution during Q4FY2020, led by issues plaguing Right of Way in HAM projects and COVID-19 led

    lockdown. Adjusted for exceptional gain, SEL posted standalone net loss.

    • Management expects to revert to normal quarterly revenue run-rate from Q3FY2021 and strong jump in revenue in FY2022.

    Stake sale in assets leads to meaningful de-leveraging.

    • Merger of SIPL with SEL isexpected to complete by March 2021. Receives appointed dates for all HAM projects.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Sadbhav-July10_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    10August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 14, 2020 Wipro Stock Update HOLD 225 250

    Summary

    • We maintain our Hold rating on Wipro with a PT of Rs. 250 given low visibility on growth recovery.

    • Wipro reported constant currency (CC) revenue decline of 7.5%, in-line with our expectations; margins improved 146bps q-o-q

    to 19.1% , resulted in 9% beat in net profit.

    • Management expects stability would return in communication, consumer and technology vertical in Q2FY2021E, which together

    contribute 34.5% of the total revenue; margin likely to remain in narrow band in Q2FY2021.

    • Though new CEO would focus on a potential turnaround strategy, we believe it would be a tough task given existing execution

    issues, absence of large-deal engines and challenging demand environment.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Wipro-July14_2020.pdf

    July 15, 2020 Infosys Stock Update BUY 831 920

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Infosys with a revised price target of Rs. 920.

    • Infosys reported better-than-expected results on all financial fronts despite supply-side constraints, with strong deal wins and

    FCF generation; EBIT margin improved by 150 bps q-o-q to 22.7%, way ahead of our estimates.

    • Management has resumed guidance with FY2021E revenue growth guidance of 0-2% in CC; margins are likely to be at 21-23%

    (EBIT margin was 21.3% in FY2020).

    • Even as reduction of IT spending is expected during 2020, Infosys is well poised to gain share in the recessionary environment

    and outperform peers in terms of revenue growth in FY2021E.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Infosys-July15_2020.pdf

    July 15, 2020 Federal Bank Stock Update BUY 50 60

    Summary

    • Federal Bank (FB) posted operationally strong performance for Q1FY2020, helped mainly by treasury gains, cost control and

    sequentially lower slippages which helped offset elevated provisions and lower fee income.

    • The moratorium book (net) now stands at 24%, PCR stands at 58.5% with stressed book at 1.14%, which provides support.

    • Management indicated that headwinds would continue and may see a spike in NPAs in Q3, growth outlook is likely to be

    cautious.

    • We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with an unchanged price target (PT) of Rs. 60.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/FederalBank-July15_2020.pdf

    July 16, 2020 L&T Technology Services Stock Update BUY 1,439 1,600

    Summary

    • We maintain a Buy on L&T Technology Services (LTTS) with an unchanged PT of Rs. 1,600.

    • Q1 revenue met our modest expectations, while margins missed mark; revenue affected by scrapping of aerospace project and

    softness in plant engineering vertical.

    • Management expects USD revenue to fall 9-10%, as anticipated for FY2021 that translates into a 2.3-3% q-o-q growth for

    remaining quarters.

    • We expect growth to normalise in FY2022E on account of catch-up effects and strong demand for digital engineering.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/LTTS-July16_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    11August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 16, 2020 Larsen & Toubro Infotech Viewpoint NEUTRAL 2,291 5-7%

    Summary

    • We maintain our Neutral stance on L&T Infotech (LTI) given unfavorable risk-reward ratio and expect upside potentialof 5-7%.

    • Revenue in-line, margin beat our estimates; however, revenue decline from the top 5 accounts decelerated to 9.8% q-o-q;.

    • Despite delay in decision making, LTI won a large deal (TCV of $20 million) with BFS logo in UK. TCV of deal was significantly

    smaller compared to usual run-rate in earlier quarters.

    • Consistency in deal wins, new logo openings and prudent client mining would position the company in the leader’s quadrant

    in term of revenue growth in FY2021.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/LTI-July16_2020.pdf

    July 17, 2020 HDFC Bank Stock Update BUY 1,099 1,400

    Summary

    • HDFC Bank reported Q1FY21 results, with Operational performance largely in line with expectations; PAT was boosted by

    higher treasury income even though Core fee income declined.

    • Though asset quality deteriorated slightly as GNPA rose sequentially, a confident management stated that moratorium pie has

    fallen to ~9% of the total book, which is positive. Balance sheet stays robust, with provision buffer (total provisions at 149% of

    GNPAs).

    • The succession of Mr. Puri, the MD & CEO, will be keenly watched, but the bank has hinted the successor is likely to be an

    internal candidate. The bank clarified well on most other uncertainties (recent events, management exits).

    • We retain our Buy rating on the stock with unchanged price target (PT) of Rs. 1,400.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/HDFCBank-July17_2020.pdf

    July 17, 2020 HCL Technologies Stock Update BUY 623 750

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on HCL Technologies (HCL Tech) with a revised PT of Rs. 750.

    • Revenue was inline and margins were ahead of our expectations; deal signings and FCF generation remained strong.

    • Management provided revenue growth in the range of 1.5% - 2.5% q-o-q for the remaining quarters, translates -3.3% to -0.8%

    revenue growth in FY2021E. It expects EBIT margin to be in the range of 19.5-20.5% for FY2021.

    • Strong demand for infrastructure business, higher spending on digital infrastructure and emergence of new business models

    is expected to create new growth opportunities for the company.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/HCLTech-July17_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    12August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 17, 2020 Britannia Industries Stock Update BUY 3,784 4,200

    Summary

    • Q1FY2020 numbers were strong with revenues growing 26% and OPM stable at 21% (up 634 bps). PAT surged 110% led by

    strong operating performance, higher other income and lower tax incidence.

    • Hindi-speaking belt performed well with double-digit revenue growth. Adjacent categories (including rusk, bread and cheese)

    clocked double-digit revenue growth and higher profitability.

    • Sustained demand from in-house consumption and large shift towards branded products and better growth in the rural markets

    will help Britannia to maintain growth momentum.

    • We have raised earnings estimates by 5% and 4%, respectively, for FY2021 and FY2022 to factor a strong improvement in OPM.

    We maintain our Buy rating on stock with a revised price target of Rs. 4,200.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Britannia-July17_2020.pdf

    July 17, 2020 ICICI Lombard General Insurance Viewpoint POSITIVE 1,288 15-18%

    Summary

    • ICICI Lombard General Insurance (ILGI) reported strong Q1FY2021 results with gross direct premium income (GDPI) coming

    higher than expectations and encouraging improvement in combined ratio, and solvency ratio, which was positive.

    • ROAE jumped to 25.1% in Q1FY2021 from 20.8% in FY2020 due to strong cost control and better profitability; and solvency ratio

    also improved to 2.5x in June 2020 (from 2.17x in March).

    • We find the general insurance space attractive with strong growth potential; and ILGI with its focus on higher-margin business

    andstrong operating metrics make ILGI an attractive franchise for the long term.

    • We maintain our Positive view and see 15-18% upside potential for the stock.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/ICICILombard-July17_2020.pdf

    July 17, 2020 L&T Finance Holding Viewpoint NEUTRAL 62 3-5%

    Summary

    • L&T Finance Holdings (LTFH) posted weak results for Q1FY2021, where its operational performance was below expectations,

    but the company saw a one-time stake sale benefit, which was a one-off.

    • Due to the provisions of Rs. 577 crore over and above GS3 provisioning, not only the NS3 declined, but PCR also increased

    from 58% to 69%.

    • Lower disbursals will impact interest and fee income growth, and higher liquidity on the balance sheet may crimp medium-term

    profitability.

    • We have fine tuned our estimates for FY2021E and FY2022E and the target multiples. We maintain our view as Neutral on the

    stock.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/LnTFinance-July17_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    13August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 17, 2020 Granules India Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 264 18-20%

    Summary

    • We maintain our Positive view on Granules India and expect an upside potential of 18-20%.

    • Granules reported an impressive performance for Q1FY21 with revenues at Rs 735.6 cr, up by 23.6% yoy, on the back of a

    double digit growth in lucrative PFI and FD segments. PAT at Rs 111.4 cr was up 34% yoy.

    • Granules is witnessing strong demand traction across segments, which is expected to sustain going ahead as well. Tapping

    new geographies for growth, strong product pipeline, growth in existing core molecules would drive the revenues. Favorable

    mix, benefits of operating efficiencies accruing would lead to OPM expansion.

    • Management has revised upwards its earnings growth guidance of FY2021 to 30% while it has retained FY2022 guidance at

    25% growth. This compares with earlier guidance of 25% CAGR over FY2020-FY2022.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Granules-July17_2020.pdf

    July 17, 2020 Bosch Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 13,184 18-20%

    Summary

    • Bosch would gain from an increase in content per vehicle under the BS-VI emission norms and has a strong order book of Rs

    24,000 cr, which provides visibility for next 2-3 years.

    • Bosch has invested heavily into manufacturing of new age sensors, softwares and services to capture emerging areas of

    connected and electric vehicles.

    • Bosch is adopting a technology-agnostic approach for growth and stated it will recover faster than the automotive industry .

    Bosch has a strong technological parentage, debt-free balance sheet and robust return ratios.

    • Valuations at 25.7x FY22 earnings are below long term historical average of 31-32x. Hence, we stay positive on the stock and

    expect an 18-20% upside from current levels.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Bosch-July17_2020.pdf

    July 20, 2020 Hero MotoCorp Stock Update BUY 2,858 3,200

    Summary

    • We retain Buy rating on Hero Motocorp (Hero) with revised PT of Rs 3,200. Buoyant rural sentiments would lead to faster

    recovery for Hero given its higher rural exposure.

    • While near term demand would be impacted by COVID-19; management expects recovery from H2FY21 driven by strong rural

    sentiments, pent up demand and preference for personal transport in post COVID era.

    • Long term growth levers for 2W industry are intact. Hero is focusing on export markets and premiumisation of product portfolio

    to drive growth.

    • Valuations at 16.1x FY22 earnings are lower than its long-term historical average. Hero remains our preferred pick in automotive

    space.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/HeroMoto-July20_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    14August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 21, 2020 Bajaj Finance Stock Update BUY 3,293 3,800

    Summary

    • Bajaj Finance Ltd (BFL) reported mixed Q1FY20 numbers, with tepid business growth, but asset quality improved sequentially,

    and the moratorium share fell to 15.7% of AUM from 27% which is a positive.

    • Adopting a conservative and prudent provision policy, creating additional reserves will help the bank meet challenges on asset

    quality going forward. Hence, an additional Rs. 1,450 crore COVID-19 provisions (total COVID19 provisions stands at 1.7% of

    AUM as of June 2020) provides comfort.

    • Asset quality improved sequentially with gross NPA and net NPA at 1.40% and 0.50% respectively, from 1.61% and 0.65% in

    Q4FY20. With a strong balance sheet, robust risk management and prudent management, BFL is a strong franchise for the long

    term and is well-placed to ride over medium term challenges.

    • We maintain a Buy rating on Bajaj Finance with a revised price target of Rs. 3,800.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/BajajFinance-July21_2020.pdf

    July 21, 2020 Hindustan Unilever Stock Update BUY 2,319 2,550

    Summary

    • Q1FY2021 performance was better than our as well as the street’s expectation with revenue and PAT growing by ~4% and ~8%,

    respectively. Core business performed well with just a 7% decline compared to ours as well as street’s assumption of 12-13%

    decline.

    • OPM was affected by unfavourable mix and higher COVID-19-related expenses. However, the same is expected to recover in

    coming quarters as business normalises (skin care and personal care regaining momentum).

    • Recovery in rural demand, strong demand for hygiene and nutritional products and market share gains in key categories will

    be key revenue drivers in the near term. The company paid special dividend of Rs. 9.5 per share.

    • We have raised earnings estimates by ~5% and ~4% for FY2021 and FY2022. We retain our Buy recommendation on the stock

    with a revised PT of Rs. 2,550.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/HUL-July21_2020.pdf

    July 21, 2020 Axis Bank Stock Update BUY 446 585

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a revised price target (PT) of Rs. 585.

    • Axis Bank posted strong results Q1FY2020 with Operating results better than expectations and adopting a conservative

    provision policy and slow growth on business impacted the fee income.

    • Notably, the moratorium book has declined to 9.7% from ~26% earlier, which is a positive.

    • With a decent CRAR (CET1 of 13.5%) the bank is well capitalised and plans for additional capital raise. If these plans fructify, it

    will help improve the capital base and augur well for the bank.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/AxisBank-July21_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    15August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 21, 2020 ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd Viewpoint POSITIVE 443 18-20%

    Summary

    • The operational performance of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU) was reasonable even as the decline in business was

    largely expected, due to the impact of the lockdown during the quarter as well as due to shift in customer preferences.

    • Cost management (Cost/TWRP) improved to 14.8% for Q1FY2021 from 17% in Q1FY2020, helped by higher renewal premium

    and lower first income premium growth. VNB margin was 24.4% for Q1FY2021 as compared to 21.7% for FY2020, helped by

    increased protection mix.

    • Going forward, we expect protection and annuity products to continue to see higher growth. We find the insurance space

    attractive, given a long runway for growth and believe that players with a strong balance sheet and business metrics would be

    able to tide over the crisis.

    • We maintain a Positive view on the stock and expect an upside of 18-20%.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/ICICIPru-July21_2020.pdf

    July 22, 2020 Bajaj Auto Stock Update BUY 2,985 3,500

    Summary

    • We maintain Buy rating on Bajaj Auto Ltd (Bajaj) with an upgraded PT of Rs 3,500.

    • Bajaj’s operating results were ahead of our as well as street estimates as better product mix, favourable currency realisations,

    and cost-control measures led to better-than-anticipated margins.

    • Bajaj is witnessing fast recovery in both the domestic (due to strong rural sentiments) as well as overseas markets (due to

    opening of economies and bounce back in crude prices). Management has stated demand recovery is faster than expected.

    • We have fine tuned our earnings estimates. Valuations at 16x FY22 earnings are lower than long term historical average.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/BajajAuto-July22_2020.pdf

    July 22, 2020 HDFC Life Insurance Viewpoint POSITIVE 610 12%-15%

    Summary

    • HDFC Life Insurance (HLIC) Q1 FY21 quarter was impacted by the pandemic as expected, however, better premium recoveries

    m-o-m were a silver lining, hinting that business is normalizing fast.

    • Total annualized premium equivalent (APE) fell by 30% y-o-y in Q1FY21, impacted by a lockdown and weak buyer sentiment

    towards ULIPs; but individual protection and PAR showed strong traction.

    • Given strong structural fundamentals such as a robust balance sheet, strong brand image and high long-term growth potential

    for the Indian insurance industry we see HDFC Life as attractive option for long-term investors. Its inclusion in Nifty benchmark

    index is another positive.

    • We maintain our Positive view and expect a potential upside of 12-15%.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/HDFCLife-July22_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    16August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 22, 2020 Tata Elxsi Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 915 18-20%

    Summary

    • We stay Positive on Tata Elxsi Limited (TEL) and expect an upside of 18-20%.

    • Revenue in-line, margins beat our expectations; constant currency revenue grew 4.1% y-o-y, led by strong growth in non-

    automotive verticals.

    • TEL’s diversification strategy in service offering (in media and communications and healthcare verticals) and geography (in the

    US) has been progressing well and would help the company to tide out the current challenging situation.

    • Management expects recovery in revenues from 2HFY2021 led by new deal wins, addition of new logos, anticipated recovery

    in auto segment and continued growth momentum in media and medical devices verticals.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/TataElxsi-July22_2020.pdf

    July 22, 2020 Indian Oil Corporation Ltd Viewpoint POSITIVE 92 25%

    Summary

    • We upgrade our view on IOCL to Positive and expect 25% upside given its attractive valuation of 6.1x FY22E EPS (40% discount

    to historical average PE and 61% to that of BPCL). Recovery in earnings and high dividend yield of ~8% would narrow valuation

    gap with peers.

    • We expect strong earnings recovery for OMCs over FY21E-FY22E led by above-average auto fuel marketing margins of ~Rs.

    4.5/litre (Rs. 2-2.5/litre historically) and a sharp recovery in petroleum consumption (recovered to ~88% of pre-COVID-19 levels).

    • IOCL is biggest beneficiary of a sharp fall in crude oil prices given high fuel & loss of 8.8% (versus 5.4% for BPCL and 7.2% for

    HPCL) that would result into highest improvement in IOCL’s refining margins.

    • Sharp 27% correction in IOCL’s stock price in CY2020 YTD ignores potential improvement in earnings prospects over FY21E-

    FY22E (we expect standalone EBITDA/PAT to clock CAGR of 29%/19% over FY20-FY22E).

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/IndianOil-July22_2020.pdf

    July 22, 2020 Polycab India Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 824 14-15%

    Summary

    • We maintain our Positive view on Polycab India Limited (Polycab) with 14-15% upside, given attractive valuation post factoring

    COVID-19 impact and expecting strong bounce back in FY2022.

    • Q1FY2020 revenue declined sharply, which came in below estimates, affected by COVID-19 led shutdown and adverse

    operating leverage resulting in lower OPM. Adjusting for write-back of income tax provision and exceptional gain from Ryker

    stake acquisition and interest on income tax refund, adjusted PAT came in at Rs. 7.5 crore.

    • We expect H2FY2021 to be better than H1FY2021, while demand is likely to normalise over one to two quarters. We expect

    Polycab to bounce back in FY2022, owing to its leadership position in key business verticals.

    • Polycab’s strong balance sheet and net cash position provide comfort in the present challenging environment.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Polycab-July22_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    17August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 23, 2020 Bajaj Finserv Stock Update BUY 6,390 7,500

    Summary

    • Bajaj Finserv (holding company) saw its consolidated net profit rise by 43.7% to Rs 1,215 crore, while revenue increased 15.6%

    y-o-y to Rs 14,190 crore in Q1 FY21 mainly helped by strong earnings from its insurance subsidiaries.

    • Bajaj Finance (lending subsidiary) saw tepid AUM growth, but asset quality improved q-o-q and moratorium book share declined

    to 15.7% (from 27% earlier). Insurance arms saw strong PAT growth helped by lower claims and strong cost management. Even

    though Q1 topline was impacted by COVID-19 as expected, pick-up on a month-on-month basis on premiums is encouraging,

    reflecting rapid normalisation.

    • All subsidiaries are well-capitalised with strong operating metrics, which will enable them withstand and tide over near-term

    challenges.

    • We maintain our Buy recommendation on Bajaj Finserv with a revised SOTP-based price target of Rs. 7,500.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/BajajFinserv-July24_2020.pdf

    July 23, 2020 Larsen and Toubro Stock Update BUY 916 1,250

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Larsen and Toubro (L&T) with an unchanged PT of Rs. 1,250, considering undemanding valuation

    and healthy fundamentals to ride the current uncertainties.

    • L&T’s Q1FY2021 performance remained resilient in the given conditions with inline revenue, marginally lower operating profit

    margin (OPM) with estimates, and slip in earnings due to higher interest cost and depreciation.

    • Management has refrained from providing any revenue or order inflow guidance as it is too early to quantify the same and

    highlighted that the situation is expected to improve in the latter part of FY2021.

    • Order book remains strong and diversified. International order book provides cushion despite lower new order prospects from

    the Middle East.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/LnT-July24_2020.pdf

    July 24, 2020 Asian Paints Stock Update BUY 1,711 1,987

    Summary

    • Though Q1 saw the impact of the April lockdown that hit around 30-40 days of business, sales improved post Unlocking 1.0, and

    June saw double-digit volume growth for Asian Paints (APL) in decorative paints segment.

    • Sharp recovery in June helped APL post better-than-expected performance in Q1FY2021 with revenues declining by 43% y-o-y

    (against street expectation of 55-60%) and OPM standing at 16.6% (as against our as well street expectation of 9.5%).

    • We maintain that FY2022 would see strong recovery on back of pent-up demand for painting activities, shift to trusted brands

    and higher construction activities.

    • We have increased our earnings estimates by 6% and 4% for FY2021 and FY2022, respectively. We maintain our Buy

    recommendation on the stock with a PT of Rs. 1,987.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/AsianPaint-July24_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    18August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 24, 2020 ICICI Bank Stock Update BUY 382 485

    Summary

    • ICICI Bank posted good numbers for Q1FY2021, where operating performance was better than expectations, even though

    higher provisions (partly due to COVID-19) resulted in lower-than-expected PAT. Moratorium book stood at 17.5% (from 30% at

    Q4FY2020) which is positive.

    • Asset quality improves with GNPA/NNPA ratio decreasing by 5 bps/18 bps, respectively, to 5.99%/1.23% vis-à-vis Q4FY2020.

    Even gross slippages declined significantly to Rs. 1,160 crore, which was a 20-quarter low.

    • The bank is adequately capitalised (Tier-1 at 14.9%) and a successful equity-raising plan will further add to balance sheet

    strength. We like the prudent and cautious approach of the bank in building provision buffers, cautious loan book growth, and

    healthy capitalisation levels.

    • We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a revised SOTP-based price target (PT) of Rs. 485.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/ICICIBank-July24_2020.pdf

    July 24, 2020 ITC Limited Stock Update BUY 200 250

    Summary

    • Cigarette sales volumes declined by ~38% in Q1FY2021 affected by lockdown (gross revenues fell by 29%); better than ours as

    well as street’s expectation of a 50-55% decline.

    • Non-cigarette FMCG business grew by 12.2% on comparable basis (18.8% excluding education and stationery segments);

    essentials segment grew by 34%.

    • Non-cigarette FMCG business will continue to grow strongly while cigarette sales would improve sequentially; Paperboard,

    paper & packaging segment (excluding stationery) would perform stably in the coming quarters.

    • We have revised our earnings estimates by 4-5% for FY2021/22. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with

    revised PT of Rs. 250.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/ITC-July24_2020.pdf

    July 24, 2020 Biocon Viewpoint POSITIVE 415 10-12%

    Summary

    • Biocon clocked a strong performance for Q1FY21. Revenues at Rs 1672 cr grew 14.6% YoY and were ahead of estimates. Strong

    double digit growth in the Biologics as well as generics segment aided the topline growth. PAT at Rs 152 cr was ahead of

    estimates.

    • Biocon is expected to significantly benefit from the opportunities in the Biologics space. Strong traction in existing products,

    healthy new product pipeline, innovative products / therapies, tapping new geographies would be key growth drivers.

    • Management expects to have a total of 8 biosimilar products in the US markets by end of FY2022 as against 3 now. It has

    retained its guidance of $1bn revenues from the biologics segment by FY2022.

    • Possible listing of subsidiary - Biocon Biologics provides a significant value unlocking opportunity. We stay Positive on the stock

    and expect an upside of 10-12%.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Biocon-Jul24_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    19August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 24, 2020 JSW Steel Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 205 20%

    Summary

    • JSW Steel’s consolidated EBITDA at Rs. 1,341 crore (down 55% q-o-q) was above our estimates, led by higher-than-expected

    EBITDA/tonne at Rs. 4,806/tonne (down 41% q-o-q) due to lower cost of production by 4% q-o-q.

    • Sales volume declined by 23.6% q-o-q to 2.8 million tonne (mt) with export volume at 1.8mt (57% of volumes) but weak domestic

    volumes at 1.2 mt (43% share in sales volume), which was impacted by COVID-19 led lockdown.

    • FY2021E sales volume guidance of 15mt implies 9% y-o-y growth in 9MFY2021E. Likely higher domestic steel price, lower

    coking coal price, improvement in revenue mix (with ramp-up in domestic sales), and higher plant utilisation to aid earnings

    recovery.

    • Valuation of 6.1x its FY2022E EV/EBITDA is at 12% discount to its historical average one-year forward multiple EV/EBITDA

    multiple of 7x. Hence, we maintain our Positive view on JSW Steel and expect a 20% upside potential.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/JSW_Steel-Jul24_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Coromandel International Limited Stock Update BUY 790 1,000

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Coromandel International with unchanged PT of Rs. 1,000.

    • Company set to report healthy revenue and earnings CAGR of 11% and 17.5%, respectively, over FY2020-22E.

    • Coromandel to speed up investments in high-growth crop protection business which is expected to enhance profitability.

    • Q1 performance strong with revenue, EBITDA and PAT rising 51%, 111% and 4x y-o-y, respectively.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Coromandel-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Marico Stock Update BUY 350 420

    Summary

    • Marico’s Q1FY2021 performance was better than our as well street expectations, largely led by ~300 bps expansion in

    consolidated OPM, resulting in 4% growth in adjusted PAT to Rs. 340.8 crore (better our expectation of Rs. 283.4 crore).

    • Domestic sales volume decreased by ~14%, led by 11% volume decrease in parachute rigid packs and 30% volume decline in

    value-added hair oil (VAHO) portfolio. Saffola edible oil registered 16% volume growth.

    • The month of June saw recovery in sales of Parachute rigid pack and VAHO portfolio, Saffola edible oil is expected to maintain

    the good run, while margin expansion is expected to sustain due to benign input prices and lower ad spends.

    • We have revised upwards our earnings estimates by ~6% and ~4% for FY2021 and FY2022, respectively. We maintain our Buy

    recommendation on the stock with a revised price target of Rs. 420.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Marico-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Persistent Systems Stock Update BUY 856 1,000

    Summary

    • We retain our Buy rating on Persistent Systems Limited (PSL) with a revised PT of Rs. 1,000.

    • PSL delivered a strong set of numbers, with beat on all financial fronts; deal signings remained strong.

    • We believe growth momentum in Technology Services would continue in FY2022Eled by large deal signings, new logo addition,

    prudent client mining strategy and a healthy deal pipeline.

    • Cash and cash equivalents account for 23% of its current market capitalisation; strong balance sheet and potential strong

    earnings growth potential provide us comfort on the stock.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Persistent-July27_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    20August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 27, 2020 Supreme Industries Stock Update BUY 1,173 1,350

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Supreme Industries Limited (SIL) with a revised PT of Rs. 1,350 assigning a higher multiple to

    factor in early cycle recovery.

    • Considering healthy demand prospects during FY2021-22E, the company intends to incur a capex of Rs 350 crores to expand

    capacities mainly in piping segment and packaging film segment.

    • We believe that the company will be able to deliver revenue and earnings CAGR of 6.9% and 10.7% respectively during FY2020-

    22E, despite the company’s reluctance to provide annual guidance given the COVID-19 crisis.

    • Though the COVID-19 led lockdown impacted Q1FY2020 results adversely with revenue, EBITDA and PAT witnessing a decline

    of 26.7%, 30.0% and 53.5% respectively performance remained above our expectation.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/SupremeInd-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Kotak Mahindra Bank Viewpoint POSITIVE 1,322 22-25%

    Summary

    • Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) posted mixed results for Q1FY2021 with operational performance largely in line with expectations;

    the decline in moratorium book to 9.65% (from 26% earlier) is encouraging.

    • Net interest income (NII) at Rs. 3,723 crore increased by 17.8% y-o-y/ 4.6% q-o-q despite advances book posting a decline of

    1.9% y-o-y and 7.2% q-o-q, indicating the cautious stance of the management on growth.

    • Management has taken a conservative stance and kept under moratorium only those loans that were viable, allowing rest to be

    treated normally; also 80% of the moratorium book is secured, which indicates lesser NPA pressure going forward.

    • We have maintained our Positive view on the bank and expect 22-25% upside.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/KotakMahindra-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Tech Mahindra Viewpoint POSITIVE 664 18-20%

    Summary

    • We stay Positive on Tech Mahindra and expect a potential upside of 18-20% in the next 10-12 months.

    • Performance was better than expected on all parameters; however, deal signings of $290 million were lower as compared to

    average quarterly deal signings of $450-500 million.

    • Though 5G spends have been delayed, capex on that front is expected early next year as large global telecom players have

    already committed to strengthen their networks.

    • We expect margin to improve in FY2022E led by structural changes, reduction in sub-contractor costs, better synergies among

    portfolio companies and utilization improvement.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/TechMahindra-July27_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    21August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 27, 2020 Nippon Life India Asset Management Viewpoint POSITIVE 270 15%-17%

    Summary

    • Nippon Life India Asset Management’s (NAM’s) quarterly results were mixed; topline met expectations but rise in mark-to-

    market (MTM) income helped other income growth, which lead to better-than-expected PBT and PAT performance.

    • Quarterly AAUM (average assets under management) was lower by 12.1% q-o-q Rs 180,100 crore. AUM recovery was impacted

    by COVID-19in recent months.

    • Focus on retail segment (especially in B-30 town/cities) will boost AUM traction; and with benefits of scale, operating ratios are

    expected to improve.

    • We stay Positive on the stock and expect an upside of 15-17%.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Nippon-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 Atul Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 5,028 9-11%

    Summary

    • We stay Positive on Atul Limited and expect an upside of 9-11%.

    • As global players shift their manufacturing and vendor bases outside China, opportunities will open up for Indian and Southeast

    Asian companies over the medium to long term.

    • After the lockdown lifted, utilisation levels have gradually improved. We have fine-tuned our estimates and expect the company

    to deliver moderate revenue and PAT CAGR of 4.2% and 4.6% during FY2020-22E.

    • Q1FY2020 was impacted owing to COVID-19- led lockdown that dragged down revenue, EBITDA and Adjusted PAT being

    lower by 36.5%, 34.0% and 19.9%, respectively.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Atul-July27_2020.pdf

    July 27, 2020 TCI Express Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 722 13-15%

    Summary

    • We retain our Positive view on TCI Express Limited (TCI) with 13-15% upside potential believing it to achieve its higher-than-

    industry growth rate once normalcy returns.

    • TCI’s net earnings were affected due to COVID-19 led disruption leading to steep decline in net revenues and OPM. However,

    the company surprised positively on a strong rise in gross margins which are expected to sustain going ahead.

    • Weak Q1 led to management revising revenue guidance for FY2021 to remain flat vis-à-vis 10-12% y-o-y growth earlier. However,

    the OPM is slated to rise 200 bps y-o-y due to high gross margins and fixed cost reductions.

    • The two new sorting centers are on schedule with commercial operations expected to start before end of the current calendar

    year.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/TCI-July27_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    22August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 28, 2020 UltraTech Cement Stock Update BUY 4,136 5,000

    Summary

    • We maintain Buy on UltraTech Cement (UltraTech) with a revised PT of Rs. 5,000, factoring revision in earnings estimates for

    FY2021E-FY2022E and marginally revising upwards our valuation multiple.

    • In Q1FY2021, UltraTech reported strong beat on operational performance, largely driven by reduction in key input costs.

    Reduction in net debt was aided by reduction in working capital requirements.

    • The company has increased capex for FY2021 by Rs. 500 crore to Rs. 1,500 crore, highlighting confidence in improving

    demand environment going ahead.

    • Expect rural demand to sustain on back of good monsoon while labourers returning to project sites and the government

    kickstarting infrastructure investments to aid in revising non-trade demand from Q3FY2021.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/UltraTech-July28_2020.pdf

    July 28, 2020 V-Guard Industries Stock Update BUY 165 200

    Summary

    • We retain Buy on V-Guard Industries Limited (V-Guard) with a revised PT of Rs. 200 considering its attractive valuation and

    healthy fundamentals to ride the current uncertainties.

    • V-Guard reported lower-than-expected earnings on account of loss of revenue affected by nation-wide lockdown led by

    COVID-19 pandemic and higher fixed cost.

    • Management expects near term to be uncertain as localised lockdowns are hampering discretionary demand despite long term

    positives. Focus remains on maintaining healthy cash position, cost rationalisation, and expediting digitisation.

    • The company’s strong balance sheet, cash flow and reputed brand along with strong business fundamentals will help the

    company emerge stronger from the near-term weak environment.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/V-Guard-July28_2020.pdf

    July 28, 2020 Bharat Electronics Limited Stock Update BUY 97 110

    Summary

    • We reiterate our Buy rating on Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL) with a price target of Rs. 110.

    • MOU with the Airport Authority of India to create opportunities in the global civilian airport business.

    • Order intake increased by 72.2% y-o-y and 19.3% q-o-q to Rs 3,419 crore while order book remains healthy at Rs. 53,752 crore

    (4.2xits FY2020 revenue), which provides sustainable revenue visibility.

    • Q1FY20 performance adversely impacted owing to lower execution led by COVID-19 led crisis resulting in revenue, EBITDA and

    PAT being lower by 21%/59%/75%y-o-y respectively.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/BEL-July28_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    23August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 28, 2020 Sanofi India Viewpoint POSITIVE 7,581 20-22%

    Summary

    • Sanofi India (Sanofi) reported a strong operational performance for Q2CY2020. Revenues de-grew 5% YoY as some therapy

    segments reported a weak performance due to Covid related restrictions. Margins at 24.9% expanded remarkably 380 bps

    yoy. PAT at Rs 135 cr grew 38.8% YoY.

    • Higher Share of Chronic, which provides a stable stream of revenues coupled with sustained traction from the top brands and

    margin expansion, due to favorable mix, to result in double digit earnings growth over CY2019-CY2021E.

    • High growth visibility, low exposure to highly regulated markets, strong balance sheet with no debt, minimal capex, healthy

    cash position, and sturdy cash conversion cycle would continue to support premium valuations.

    • Sanofi’s Sales and PAT are expected to grow by 5% and 13% CAGR over CY2019-CY2021. We retain Positive view on the stock

    with 20-22% upside over 10-12 months.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Sanofi-July28_2020.pdf

    July 28, 2020 IndusInd Bank Viewpoint POSITIVE 527 12-15%

    Summary

    • IndusInd Bank posted stable numbers considering impact of COVID-19; operational numbers are mixed, advances declined

    q-o-q, but fall in moratorium share to 16% (including MFI book) was positive.

    • Asset quality was stable; GNPA ratio at 2.53% was up by 8 bps q-o-q, NNPA at 0.86% was down 5 bps q-o-q.

    • We believe the bank is in a much better position vis-à-vis its balance sheet, and valuations are more reasonable.

    • We therefore upgrade our view on the stock to Positive and expect an upside of 12-15%.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/IndusInd-July28_2020.pdf

    July 28, 2020 RBL Bank Viewpoint NEUTRAL 182 3-5%

    Summary

    • RBL Bank posted mixed results for Q1FY2021 with operational results better than expectations but witnessed margin erosion.

    On the other hand, asset quality improved (and moratorium book declined), which were positive.

    • However, concerns on growth and credit cost remain and business outlook continues to be beset with uncertainties.

    • Total exposure to BB or below loans is ~7.5% (stable on a sequential basis); and even though the said book is secured, we view

    that as a significant proportion and a key monitorable going forward.

    • We maintain our Neutral rating on the stock.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/RBL-July28_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    24August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 29, 2020 Maruti Suzuki Stock Update BUY 6,186 6,925

    Summary

    • We upgrade our recommendation on Maruti Suzuki to “Buy” from “Hold” earlier with PT of Rs 6,925.

    • Maruti’s Q1FY21 operating results were lower than estimates impacted by negative operating leverage due to steep fall in

    volumes & higher fixed cost incidence due to lower production. However, higher other income led to company posting lower

    than expected loss.

    • Going ahead, the company is witnessing strong pick up in the demand with retails reaching 85-90% of Pre-COVID levels.

    Moreover, demand shift towards entry level cars is likely to benefit Maruti which has stronghold in the segment..

    • We have raised our earnings estimates to factor in the demand recovery and also raised our target multiple from 25x to 27x.

    At CMP, stock is trading at 24.1x FY22 earnings which is close to its long-term historical average. However, given the early

    recovery cycle scenario in which Maruti currently is in, valuation multiples can expand above historical averages.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Maruti-July29_2020.pdf

    July 29, 2020 TVS Motors Stock Update BUY 402 470

    Summary

    • TVS Motors (TVSM) Q1FY21 operating results were lower than estimates as negative operating leverage due to steep fall in

    volumes impacted the margins. However, tax credit during the quarter led to lower than expected loss during the quarter.

    • On the demand front TVSM is expecting strong recovery in both domestic (due to strong rural sentiments) and exports (due to

    opening up of economies and steady oil prices). TVS expects to reach Pre-COVID 19 volumes by September 2020.

    • Cost control initiatives coupled with pick up in volumes would drive margin improvement for TVSM. We expect TVSM to deliver

    strong 17% earnings CAGR over FY20-22 period.

    • Valuations at 20.1x core FY22 earnings are lower than long term historical average of 23x. Hence, we retain Buy rating on the

    stock with PT of Rs 470.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/TVSMotor-July29_2020.pdf

    July 29, 2020 Colgate Palmolive (India) Viewpoint POSITIVE 1,448 16-18%

    Summary

    • Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited’s (Colpal’s) Q1FY2021 revenue fell by just 4%, affected by supply disruptions in the beginning

    of the quarter; domestic sales volumes fell by ~8%, whereas volumes for toothpaste declined by just 2-3%.

    • Gross margin remained flat, lower advertisement spends and operating efficiencies resulted in a ~200 bps expansion in OPM.

    • The company has seen recovery in sales volume in the toothpaste category in most markets.

    • We have fine-tuned our earnings estimates for FY2021/FY2022 to factor in better-than-expected operating performance. We

    maintain our Positive view on the stock with 16-18% upside.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Colgate-July29_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    25August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 29, 2020 Castrol India Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 116 20-22%

    Summary

    • Q2CY20 operating profit plunged 66.5% y-o-y to Rs. 95 crore, below our estimates but ahead of consensus estimates. Sales

    volume declined 47% y-o-y to 29 million litres amid lockdown; EBITDA margin fell 792bps y-o-y to 19.4% due to negative

    operating leverage and as weak rupee drove up input costs.

    • Volumes in personal mobility segment improving since June-end; realisations to rise as dealer support scheme ended in June.

    Management maintained long-term volume growth guidance of 5-6% annually.

    • Alliance with Jio-BP retail fuel network provides strong volume growth opportunity as it will be sole supplier of lubricants for

    network of 1,400 fuel outlets (plan to expand to 5,500 retail outlets over next five years).

    • Attractive valuation of 13.9x CY21E EPS (close to decade low valuation) despite strong cash position, FCF/dividend yields of

    8%/5% and RoE of ~50-52%. We stay Positive view on Castrol and expect a 20-22% upside.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Castrol-July29_2020.pdf

    July 29, 2020 Quess Corp Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 344 18-20%

    Summary

    • Q1FY2021 performance was affected by COVID-19-led lockdown. However, performance bettered our expectation with

    revenues flat at Rs. 2409.4 crore and OPM at 5.4%.

    • Corporate initiatives are on track with 20% cut in indirect cost over Q4; continued focus on cross sales (accounted for 68% of

    revenue in Q1).

    • Strong collections dragged down total receivables to Rs. 921 crore from Rs. 998 crore in Q4FY2020 (OCF/EBIDTA at 152%); net

    debt reduced by Rs. 100 crore to Rs. 254 crore in Q1FY2021.

    • We have fine-tuned our earnings estimates for FY2021/22. Strengthening of balance sheet and reduction in corporate

    governances issue remain key re-rating triggers. We stay Positive and expect an 18-20% upside.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Quess-July29_2020.pdf

    July 30, 2020 Reliance Industries Stock Update BUY 2,109 2,400

    Summary

    • Consolidated operating profit of Rs. 16,875 crore (down 22% y-o-y) met our estimates with broadly in-line GRM of $6.3/bbl and

    petrochemical margin of 13.8%. Jio’s EBITDA rose 17% q-o-q to Rs. 7,281 crore led by higher ARPU of Rs. 140 and better margin

    of 44% (versus 41.8% in Q4FY20).

    • Retail EBITDA fell 47.4% y-o-y to Rs. 1,083 crore and EBITDA margin of 3.4% (versus 5.4% in Q1FY2020) as 50% of stores were

    shut in Q1FY21 resulting in adverse mix (most profitable Fashion & Lifestyle stores stayed shut for most part of quarter).

    • Recent fund raising strengthens RIL’s balance sheet; potential monetisation of stake in retail business and Jio’s likely listing

    could create long-term value for investors.We expect PAT to clock CAGR of 20% during FY20-FY22E driven by digital and retail.

    • We maintain our Buy rating on RIL with revised SoTP based PT of Rs. 2,400 (to reflect higher value for retail and higher net

    cash).

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/RIL-July30_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    26August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 30, 2020 Housing Development Finance Corporation Stock Update BUY 1,811 2,113

    Summary

    • HDFC Limited’s results were mixed with operational results better than expected (benefitted with stake sale proceeds) and

    sequentially improved asset quality..

    • Loans opted under moratorium 2 were at 22.4% of the overall book (from 27% as under moratorium 1 earlier). The decline in the

    moratorium book is lower than that observed with other peers.9+.

    • HDFC had a one-time gain from stake sale in subsidiaries, which resulted in Rs. 1,241 crore benefit; and utilising the same, the

    corporation made provisions of Rs. 1,199 crore (Additional provisions for COVID-19).

    • We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with an unchanged PT of Rs. 2,113.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/HDFC-July30_2020.pdf

    July 30, 2020 Bharti Airtel Stock Update BUY 553 710

    Summary

    • We maintain our Buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a revised price target (PT) of Rs. 710.

    • Broadly in-line performance, while net loss widened owing to incremental provision for the AGR dues; ARPU surprised positively

    despite challenges; data traction remained strong.

    • ARPU would continue to improve on the back of continued up-gradation from 2G to 4G, increasing post-paid subscribers and

    segmentation price hike for the premium users. EBITDA is expected to grow at a CAGR of 24% over FY20-FY22E.

    • We remain positive on Bharti, considering its steady EBITDA performance, scope for growth in the number of 4G subscribers

    and improving free cash flows. Further, we believe that the valuation gap with Reliance Jio is set to narrow down further.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/BhartiAirtel-July30_2020.pdf

    July 30, 2020 Max Financial Services Stock Update BUY 563 665

    Summary

    • Max Financial Services (MFS) posted strong numbers for Q1 FY2021, with better-than-expected operating performance, and an

    encouraging EV growth with market share gain despite the impaired collections because of the lockdown is notable.

    • Despite COVID-19 challenges, Max Life outperformed industry and gained more than 217 bps share from FY20 in the private

    market. Also, the 13th-month persistency ratio for Q1 FY2021 was stable at 82% (as compared to 83% in FY2020), which

    indicates good customer retention and effective client communication.

    • MLIC has strong bancassurance relationships, and the same is now looking more stable due to the recent agreement between

    the two entities.

    • We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a revised price target (PT) of Rs. 665.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Max-July30_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    27August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 30, 2020 Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited Stock Update HOLD 2,437 2,780

    Summary

    • Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited (Torrent) reported strong performance for Q1FY2021 with results ahead of estimates. Revenues

    grew 1.7% YoY While PAT at Rs 321 cr grew by a sturdy 49% YoY.

    • Torrent derives 55-60% of its sales collectively from India and Brazil and has outperformed industry growth in both these

    markets. Management expects to sustain the traction in both these markets backed by new product launches.

    • Torrent has submitted responses for all its three plants to the USFDA and is awaiting a response from the regulator. Timely and

    successful USFDA clearance is critical from a growth perspective.

    • Due to recent run up in stock prices and persisting uncertainties, we see limited upside in the stock price and have retained

    our Hold recommendation with an unchanged PT of Rs. 2,780.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/TorrentPharma-July30_2020.pdf

    July 30, 2020 Gateway Distriparks Limited Stock Update BUY 80 110

    Summary

    • We maintain Buy on Gateway Distriparks Limited (GDL) with an unchanged SOTP-based PT of Rs. 110 due to attractive valuation

    and improving growth and profitability outlook of its key verticals.

    • For Q1FY2021, GDL reported better than expected net earnings led by strong outperformance on OPM front. Rise in imports,

    savings in haulage charges and accrual of ground-rent led to strong beat on operational profitability.

    • GDL continues to focus on de-leveraging with proposed rights issue. Post which, it will be undertaking capex plan for its rail

    vertical.

    • Snowman logistics is expected to fare well with improving operational profitability and capacity expansion plan.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/StockIdea/Gateway-July30_2020.pdf

    July 30, 2020 Dabur India Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 493 14-16%

    Summary

    • Q1FY2021 performance was affected by supply disruptions, resulting in a ~10% decline in domestic volumes..

    • Recovery started in June with mid-single digit growth (that sustained in July as well). The rural market grew by 1% as against a

    13% decline in urban market. Health supplements, over-the-counter (OTC) and ethical products along with new launches (6% of

    overall revenue) saw strong demand.

    • Recovery in rural demand, strong acceptance for healthcare and sanitisation products and gradual recovery in core products

    such as shampoos, hair oils and home-care items would help Dabur post decent revenue growth in the near term; OPM

    expansion to sustain.

    • We have raised earnings estimates by ~8% and 5% to factor in better sales volume and higher-than-expected margins in the

    coming quarters. We stay Positive on the stock and expect a 14-16% upside.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Dabur-July30_2020.pdf

  • Stock Update

    28August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 30, 2020 Mastek Limited Viewpoint POSITIVE 523 18-20%

    Summary

    • We stay Positive on Mastek Limited and expect an 18-20% upside from current levels.

    • The company reported strong quarterly performance, attributed to full quarter revenue contribution from Evosys acquisition;

    added 48 new customers during the quarter.

    • Management expects recovery in revenue growth in 2HFY2021, led by ramp up of deal wins, increased spending on Buy

    Online, Pick-up In Store (BOPIS) by US retail customers, and higher demand for cloud migration.

    • The stock is trading at reasonable valuation of 9x its FY2022E EPS; net cash represents 14% of Mastek’s current mcap; Mastek

    would receive ~Rs. 200 crore as consideration from the recent deal of Majesco USA.

    Read report - https://www.sharekhan.com/MediaGalary/Equity/Mastek-July30_2020.pdf

    July 31, 2020 State Bank of India Stock Update BUY 191 280

    Summary

    • State Bank of India (SBI) posted encouraging results with asset-quality improvement on a sequential basis, and performance

    aided by one-time gain of Rs. 1,539 crore from stake sale benefit of the subsidiary.

    • Asset-quality performance was robust and GNPA at 5.44% (down 209 bps y-o-y and 71 bps q-o-q) improved significantly.

    • Moratorium book was at 9.5% of term loans versus 23% earlier, of which ~2% was comprised of AA and AAA rated corporate

    borrowers, which is encouraging.

    • At

  • Stock Update

    29August 2020 Sharekhan ValueGuide

    EQUITY FUNDAMENTALS

    Date Company Report TypeRecommendation Reco Price

    (Rs.)

    Price Target/ Upside (%)

    Latest Chg Latest Chg

    July 31, 2020 Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Stock Update HOLD 532 575

    Summary

    • Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries (Sun Pharma) reported a healthy performance for Q1FY2021. Revenues declined 9.4% yoy

    While operating margins were almost flat, though were ahead of estimates. The adj PAT after minority interest grew 43% YoY.

    • The domestic business is expected to grow at a healthy pace, b