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Theoretical Framework & Practical Challenges in Implementation
Sanjay SaxenaSep 2012
Value for Money
Need for VfM
• OECD countries deliver $120 billion in aid a year. Yet significant concerns remain regarding the impact of much of this aid.
• Overall around a third of global aid is spent on TA. One estimate is that half of this aid (US$ 20 billion per year) ‘is wasted'.
• The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria has spent about $23 billion to save 8.7 million lives over the past decade, but could it have done even more with the same amount of money?
• "Vaccines are one of the most cost‐effective public health interventions and one of the best buys you can get for your bucks. If you are not investing in that, what are you investing in?“
• Donors such as the World Bank and ADB spend heavily on infrastructure – nearly 50% of their portfolio.
What is VfM about?
• Are we getting the most out of the resources we have? • Are we doing the right things in the right way to achieve the
greatest impact … and at what cost? • Are we able to demonstrate what we achieve and what more we
can achieve?
What is VfM?
DFID “Maximising the impact of UK aid so it makes the most difference to the poorest people in the world”.
Ditchburn, the Director of DFID VfM Unit –‘The determination to get the most impact for the money we have’.
What is VfM?
The UK’s National Audit Office (NAO)‘The optimal use of resources to achieve intended outcomes’.
New Zealand Aid (NZAID) “Achieving the best possible development outcomes over the life of an activity relative to the total cost of managing and resourcing that activity and ensuring that resources are used effectively, economically, and without waste”.
What is VfM?
OECD “The optimum combination of whole‐life cost and quality (or fitness for purpose) to meet the user’s requirement. It can be assessed using the criteria of economy, efficiency and effectiveness”
(Glossary definition ‐ Not official).
What is VfM?
Global Fund “VfM in the health sector is defined as creating and complying with rules or procedures for allocating resources that elicit the production and utilization of the health maximizing mix of health services for the available donor, national and private resources.”
What is VfM?
Definitions
• No clear or universally agreed definition
“VFM is about obtaining the maximum benefit over time with theresources available. It is about achieving the right local balancebetween economy, efficiency and effectiveness, or, spending less,spending well and spending wisely to achieve local priorities...VFM ishigh when there is an optimum balance between all three elements,when costs are relatively low, productivity is high and successfuloutcomes have been achieved.”
• VFM not restricted to the procurement phase alone but in all project programming and delivery
VfM Conceptual Framework
Successfully achieving the intended
outcomes from an activity
Minimising the cost of resources
used for an activity
Maximising output for a given input or minimising
input for a given output
Effectiveness
Economy Efficiency
Value for Money and 3Es
Value for Money
VfM Conceptual Framework
Costs £ Inputs Outputs
Economy Efficiency Effectiveness
Quantitative
Qualitative
Value for Money
Outcomes Impacts
Output: Tells you an activity has taken place and is usually quantitative
(e.g. number of people vaccinated)
Outcome: The change that occurs as a result of an activity (e.g. reduction in infant mortality rate)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ Equity ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
VfM Considerations
Economy consideration Efficiency consideration
Can we get same or equivalent inputs for less money?
Would using cheaper, different inputs risk the effectiveness, including sustainability?
Would using cheaper inputs risk greater maintenance costs over the life of the
project?
Can we get the same results while saving on how we manage the activities?
Would making savings to how the project is managed risk reducing effectiveness,
including sustainbility?
Would making savings on how the project is managed risk incurring other costs?
VfM Conceptual Framework
Key Components Measures Modifiers Contributor
ShareConfidence
Levels(Confidence/Assurance)
BenefitMeasures
EffectMeasures
EfficiencyMeasures
EconomyMeasures
Cost Measures
BenefitShare
Cost Share
Context Risk
Assumptions
Effectiveness
Efficiency
Economy
Outcomes
Outputs
Activities
Inputs
Unplanned benefits/
dis‐benefits
Unplanned costs/ intangible costs
Benefits
Costs
1. Key Components
Value for money examines the optimal relationship between costs/resources and benefits/outcomes ‐ delivered through processes that transform inputs through activities to outputs which are necessary and sufficient to trigger outcomes.
– Economy covers aspects such as the procurement of trainers, the cost of hiring room, and the cost of hiring trainers – including the possibility of unit costs compared to benchmarks for similar training available in the country.
– Efficiency: How many judges are trained? How many trainers did we need? Can a measure of productivity be devised?
– Effectiveness: Whether judges trained led to improved access to justice? Are there measurable changes at the outcome level?
2. Measures
• 3Es measure the relationship between key levels in a hierarchy of programme objectives
• The key elements and considerations (and cautions) of a VFM assessment
3. Modifiers
• Contextual matters, such as it being expensive to run training courses in Afghanistan; Considerations of risk, such as perhaps we may be wrongly assuming that the problem is solved through training.
• The optimal balance of the 3Es requires the factoring in of context, risk and assumptions which set limits on effectiveness, efficiency and economy.
• In terms of modifiers, there may also be intangible costs and benefits to factor in which influence judgements on VFM. In addition, at the end of any programme, VFM judgements made at the outset would need to consider not only performance against plan but unplanned costs and benefits.
4. Contributor Share
• There are significant challenges to meet in determining how toattribute costs and benefits when making value for moneyjudgments. This component of the VFM framework is a reminderthat the attribution/contribution questions need to be answeredin any VFM judgement and that assuming a pro‐rata claim onoutcomes based on inputs may be too crude an approach.
• Even if perception surveys show that people feel that the judicialsystem is fairer, how do we know that it was due to ourintervention? How do we consider issues of contribution andattribution?
5. Confidence Levels
• Data quality plays a significant part in any VFM judgement – this is in part linked to how explicit we are about the assumptions we make about reliability, relevance and robustness of the data sets we used (this relates strongly to indicators) and more explicitly is linked to how sensitive our VFM findings would be to changes in any assumptions made.
• Bearing the assumptions in mind, a number of options need to be considered with a view to judging them in terms of: – How well they strengthen the ‘key components’ in the framework – To what extent they capture and enhance measures of economy,
efficiency and effectiveness – Whether they deal with attribution questions robustly – How susceptible they are to poor data quality or associated data
assumptions – How reliable is the data?
Money
Environment
People Inputs Outputs
Resources / Investment
Service & Wider Outcomes
Economic
Environmental
Social
Often VfM is understood by
comparing unit costs
Real VfM is achievedby comparing outcomes
with investment
VfM Conceptual Framework
VfM Isn’t….
• Focusing on Cost Only• Choosing the Cheapest Option• The Easiest thing to Measure• Spending less than Total Budget
To Summarise….
• Good VFM achieves a balance across the 3 Es;
• Spending less; spending well; spending wisely
• Fourth ‘E’ – Equity
“Wider social and environmental costs and benefits for which there is no market price also need to be brought into any assessment. They will often be more difficult to assess but are often important and should not be ignored simply because they cannot easily be costed.”
HM Treasury Green Book
Improved RBM
• Definition: which improvements in results based managementand other project management processes are used todemonstrate improved VFM
• Method: Based on audit practice, this option assumes that goodpractice leads to good results. Very similar to quality programmingor ‘effective programming’ approaches.
• Strengths: Very ‘do‐able’: supports current focus on results andencourages strengthening of existing approaches; strong evidencethat improved RBM does lead to improved results.
• Limitations: The focus is on the process rather than the product.Unlikely to be sufficient to satisfy current pressures to attain VFMwithin DFID.
3Es Rating and Weightings Approach
• Definition: Key processes associated with ‐ and measures of ‐Economy, Efficiency and Effectiveness are identified and used torate programmes; and where these processes and measures canbe weighted to reflect their relative importance.
• Method: This enhances Improved RBM Approach by selecting anumber of management criteria and judging performance againsta standard so that programmes can be rated on this basis. Sincecriteria would vary in importance, they might also need to beweighted. Processes that support management as well asmeasurements of the 3Es would be used. The use of weightingscan help overcome commonly‐held assumptions that the VFM issolely about cost‐cutting, with a rebalance towards key aspectssuch as effectiveness.
• Strengths: Utilises an auditing framework; introduces possibilityof benchmarking standards.
• Limitations: Benchmarks not yet developed; contextualdifferences might make comparison difficult.
Trends Analysis:
• Definition: a comparison of progress against indicators is used to measure effectiveness and in which baselines, targets and underlying trends are all taken into consideration.
• Method: This approach explores the scope for using indicators toestablish a scale against which progress against outcomes can bemeasured and compared (at least against the ‘do‐nothing’ option).Requires relevant and robust indicators, baseline information,monitoring against indicators, and an ability to determinecontribution.
• Strengths: Trends analysis can be used to show a positive contributionof an intervention to a generally downward trend, i.e. that thedownward trend would have been greater without the programme.This can be important in many development contexts, particularlyperhaps in fragile states.
• Limitations: Caution is needed before making cross‐countrycomparisons; requires audit scrutiny to ensure measurementprocedures are adhered to.
Cost Benefit Analysis (or SROI)
• Definition: Outcomes are monetized/financial proxies are introduced in order to make a direct comparison between costs and the financial value of benefits.
• Method: Fully monetized indicators of benefit are compared to costs; involves the development of financial proxies for all programme benefits.
• Strengths: This approach provides a simple, comparable read out on the return on investment.
• Limitations: The approach is extremely sensitive to assumptions and there is a risk that these are manipulated to generate desirable results. – Developing and using criteria to rate and weight programmes – Developing criteria for rating programmes (how they were
developed) – Rating scale, weighting and scoring programmes against criteria – Table of criteria – Testing a prototype: key points from feedback at VFM Research Day
Group Exercise
• Do you already look at VfM in your work but use another term, or don’t use a term but still practice it? How do you ensure VfM?
• What can we learn from how value for money is considered in other areas of public sector spending specially in the ‘developed’ countries and indeed from the private sector?
• Do you think the current focus on VfM is justified?
Who Drives VfM
• Current VfM debate is Donor driven • VfM Defined by Donor Agencies • The ‘Value’ in VfM Determined by Donor Agencies
Who Drives VfM
• DFID decided to focus its bilateral spending on 27 priority countries and close down 16 bilateral programmes by 2016.
• One of the programmes to be closed down is in Burundi DFID decided that its bilateral aid programme to Burundi offered poor value for money compared with other, larger country programmes.
“Our aim is to spend every penny of every pound of your money wisely and well. We want to squeeze every last ounce of value from it. We owe you that. And promise you as well that in future, when it comes to international development, we will want to see hard evidence of the impact your money makes. Not just dense and impenetrable budget lines but clear evidence of real effect.”
Secretary of State for In International Development Andrew Mitchell‟s pledge to the taxpayers
Who Drives VfM
Poor people are the ultimate beneficiaries of aid, and when evaluating VFM and effectiveness it is essential to consider what poor people want (e.g. Jobs, roads, personal security, dignity)
NHS’s methodological approaches uses a three stage process: 1) What outcomes do patients want ‐ generate a set of development
priorities through the use of qualitative surveys, focus groups etc(Integrating the priorities of poor people is key)
2) How do people value the different outcomes ‐ identify what combination of outcomes can development practitioners and recipients identify as the most immediate priorities.
3) What are the costs / benefits of different methods of resource utilization ‐ once priorities are identified it is then possible to compare different ways and combinations of using resources to achieve outcomes.
Practical Challenges
Determining ‘Value’ aspect of VfM in a clear and focused manner, using the Theory of Change
InputsOutputsOutcomes Impact
Value is adjusted...not by any accurate measure, but by the higgling and bargaining of the market, according to that sort
of rough equality which, though not exact, is sufficient for carrying on the business
of common life.
Practical Challenges
Measurement ‐ complex, dynamic aspects
‘the most effective development initiatives are the least easily counted and measured, while the ones most easily counted and measured are often the least effective’
Andrew Natsios (ex‐head of USAID)
Subjectivity of ‘Value’ ‐ Value means different things to different people.
Practical Challenges
Attribution How much credit can your initiative take for the outcomes?
• Deadweight: what would have happened anyway?
• Attribution: how much is due to our project, and how much down to other factors?
• Displacement: have we just moved an outcome to / from somewhere else?
• Benefit period: how long does the outcome last, and does the effect ‘drop off’ over time?
Practical ChallengesExclusion A mechanistic VfM approach can affect aid for:• Fragile states • Conflict zones• Poor & excluded
• Donors themselves often don’t understand VfM and apply it very mechanistically!
Practical Challenges
Group Exercise ‐ How to get VfM right?
• What are the best practices / principle for ensuring VfM in your projects and programmes?
• What can we do to increase the voice of beneficiaries in holding donors accountable for spending aid intended for them wisely?
• To what extent should we be seeking a co‐ordinated approach amongst donors and partners in how we think about value for money in aid? Or should donors all be working separately given their own domestic demands for accountability and good value in development aid?
Way Forward
Recipient ownership ‐ Enhance beneficiary participation in determining ‘Value’, which in turn will increase:
– Coverage – Efficiency– Effectiveness– Capacity and Sustainability
Way Forward
Adopt a flexible approach to avoid risks of exclusion – test and pilot first VfM assessments, ratings, reporting
Way Forward
Promote research, learning and knowledge management on VfM –build VfM assessments, ratings and reporting into Theory of Change concepts
How to apply VfM in practise
How to structure agreements to create stronger incentives for
value for money
How to verify performance to generate greater incentives and
accountability for value for money?
How to collect and use cost data for commodities, supply chain and service delivery to leverage value
for money
How to allocate resources to maximize value for
money
Allocation Contracts
VerificationCost &
Spending
Programmes that deliver VfM should have…..
Costs that are linked to clear outcomes: Granularity of data reporting and frequency of measurement
Management systems in place and project design to ensure effective delivery of outcomes and strong risk mitigation
Project design that prioritises sustainability and capacity building: focus on technical and business capacity building, knowledge transfer and effective handover strategies and procedures
Project design that looks outwards: complementarities with other programmes and initiatives; an understanding of VfM across all development projects and aid modalities; and ensuring that each project addresses recipient priorities.