Upload
frank-ramsey
View
246
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Vaccination of Yellowstone Bison
Purpose/Need Decision Alternatives Uncertainties Assumptions Available
Information Time frame
Purpose/Need
Purpose – Address NPS responsibility to advance the IBMP through in-park vaccination of free-ranging bison
Need – Through adaptive management, reduce reduce brucellosis infection rate of bisonbrucellosis infection rate of bison and decrease shedding BrucellaBrucella
Decision
The affected environment is Yellowstone National Park.
Whether to implement long-term remote delivery vaccination of bison park-wide
Remote delivery is defined as vaccination without capture and handling of individual animals.
Current remote vaccination technology focuses on a compressed air powered rifle that delivers a bio-absorbable projectile with vaccine in the payload compartment.
Alternatives
Alternative A – No Action
Per IBMP ROD, continue syringe vaccination of calves and yearlings captured at Stephens Creek for risk management and released back into the park in the spring
Alternative B – Young Bison Only
Continue syringe vaccination program at Stephens Creek and initiate long-term remote delivery vaccination of calves and yearlings
Alternative C – Young Bison and Adult Females
Continue syringe vaccination program at Stephens Creek and initiate long-term remote delivery vaccination of calves, yearlings, and adult females
Alternatives
Alternatives Eliminated from Further ConsiderationAlternatives Eliminated from Further Consideration
Remote delivery of vaccine that results in no detectable difference (e.g. S19)
Remote delivery that results in change in behavior or demography (e.g. helicopter darting)
Vaccination with killed vaccines (e.g. DNA)
Vaccination with ineffective remote delivery mechanisms (e.g. current oral and aerosol )
Alternatives
Elements Common to all Alternatives
Health, welfare, and conservation of bison
Safe and effective delivery system
Monitoring effects and effectiveness of vaccination
Adaptive management
Uncertainties
Will individual bison exhibit a sufficient immune response when vaccinated (e.g. variation across age and sex class)?
Can vaccine be delivered annually to a sufficient number of bison?
Will remote vaccination lead to long-term changes in individual and population-level bison behavior?
Will there be compounding effects of repeated vaccination?
Will long-term vaccination result in decreased disease prevalence at the population level?
Assumptions
Intermediate efficacy of RB51 vaccine
Not all eligible bison vaccinated each year
Not all vaccinated bison exhibit an immune response
With current vaccine and delivery technology, vaccination With current vaccine and delivery technology, vaccination effectiveness at the population level will be a long-term (e.g. effectiveness at the population level will be a long-term (e.g. 20-30 years) response 20-30 years) response
Vaccine technology may evolve to produce improved vaccine
Vaccine delivery technology may evolve to produce improved delivery effectiveness
Available Information
Wildlife vaccination literature review
Bison population demography and movements
Feasibility of remote delivery (accuracy trials, effects to muscle tissue from ballistic delivery, vaccine formulation)
Quantitative modeling of vaccination effectiveness
Available Information
Bison population demography and movements
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
Males per 100 females .
Central Herd
Northern Herd
`
Available Information
Feasibility of remote delivery (accuracy trials, effects to muscle tissue from ballistic delivery, vaccine formulation)
Group Size vs. Vaccination Success
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Group Size
% S
ucce
ss
Biobullet Groups 1200 psi long bullet
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
-200 -100 0 100 200 300 400
No Adjust
Target Area
40m1200Long
30m1200Long
20m1200Long
10m1200Long
Available Information
Quantitative modeling of vaccination effectiveness
Variables of Interest:
Seroprevalence
Infectious events
Vaccinated bison
Removed bison
Boundary and Remote of All
Boundary and Remote of C & Y
Boundary Vaccination of C & Y
10 Years
20 Years
30 Years
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Alternatives
Brucellosis Seroprevalence Over 30 Years Under Proposed Alternatives
Time Into Program
Se
rop
reva
len
ce
16%
28%
35%
Brucellosis Seroprevalence Over 30 Years
Duration of Vaccination Program
10 yrs
20 yrs
30 yrs
Ser
op
reva
len
ce
Alternative A
Alternative B
Alternative C
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Time Frame
Internal agency review of Draft EIS – Winter 2008
Draft EIS released for public comment – Spring 2009
Content analysis and revision – Summer 2009
Internal agency review of Final EIS – Autumn 2009
Final EIS and Record of Decision – Winter 2010